The magic washing machine | Hans Rosling

713,445 views ・ 2011-03-21

TED


Mesedez, egin klik bikoitza beheko ingelesezko azpitituluetan bideoa erreproduzitzeko.

Translator: Alvaro Moya Reviewer: Tania Filgueira
00:15
I was only four years old
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Nik 4 urte besterik ez nituen
00:17
when I saw my mother load a washing machine
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nire ama arropekin garbitzaile bat betetzen ikusi nuenean
00:20
for the very first time in her life.
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lehenengo aldiz.
00:23
That was a great day for my mother.
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Nire amarentzako garrantzi handiko egun bat zen.
00:25
My mother and father had been saving money for years
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Nire gurasoak urte askotan zehar egon ziren aurrezten
00:28
to be able to buy that machine,
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garbitzaile hori erosteko.
00:30
and the first day it was going to be used,
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Eta estreinaldian,
00:32
even Grandma was invited to see the machine.
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nire amona ere gonbidatu zuten
garbitzailea ikustera.
00:35
(Laughter)
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Eta nire amona gero eta hunkiberagoa zen.
00:37
And Grandma was even more excited.
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00:39
Throughout her life, she had been heating water with firewood,
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Bere bizitza osoaren zehar
beti ura berotu behar zuen egurrez,
00:43
and she had hand-washed laundry for seven children.
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eta arropa garbitu eskuz
zazpi seme-alabentzat.
00:47
And now, she was going to watch electricity do that work.
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Eta orain zuzenean ikusiko zuen
elektrizitateak horrelako lana egiten.
00:53
My mother carefully opened the door,
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Nire amak atea arretaz zabaldu zuen,
00:57
and she loaded the laundry into the machine,
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arropa sartu
garbitzailean,
horrela.
01:02
like this.
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01:03
And then, when she closed the door,
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Eta, orduan, atea itxi zuenean,
01:05
Grandma said, "No, no, no, no!
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Nire amonak esan zuen: "Ez, ez, ez, ez, ...
01:07
Let me! Let me push the button!"
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... utzi niri, utzi botoia sakatzen."
01:10
(Laughter)
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01:11
And Grandma pushed the button,
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Eta berak botoia sakatu zuen.
eta zion: "Oh, zoragarria da ...
01:14
and she said, "Oh, fantastic!
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01:16
I want to see this! Give me a chair! Give me a chair! I want to see it,"
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... Hau ikusi nahi dut. Emaidazu aulkia ...
... Emaidazu aulkia. Ikusi nahi dut."
01:20
and she sat down in front of the machine,
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Eta garbitzailearen aurrean eseri zen,
01:23
and she watched the entire washing program.
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eta garbiketa-prozesu osoa ikusi zuen.
01:27
(Laughter)
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Harrituta zegoen.
01:28
She was mesmerized.
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01:29
To my grandmother, the washing machine was a miracle.
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Nire amonarentzat,
garbitzailea miraria zen.
01:35
Today, in Sweden and other rich countries,
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Gaur egun, Suedian, eta beste herri aberatsetan,
01:38
people are using so many different machines.
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pertsonek erabiltzen dituzte
oso makina desberdinak.
01:42
Look -- the homes are full of machines.
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Aizue, etxeak aparagailuz beteta daude.
01:44
I can't even name them all.
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Horiek guztiak nola deitzen diren ere ez dakit.
01:46
And they also, when they want to travel,
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Eta gainera, bidaiatu nahi dutenean,
makina hegalari batzuk erabiltzen dituzte
01:50
they use flying machines
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01:52
that can take them to remote destinations.
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urruneko helbideetara iristeko.
01:54
And yet, in the world,
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Nahiz eta jende asko munduan egon,
01:56
there are so many people who still heat the water on fire,
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zeintzuek ura sutan berotu behar duten,
eta euren sutan janaria prestatu behar duten.
02:00
and they cook their food on fire.
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02:02
Sometimes they don't even have enough food.
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Batzuetan ez daukate janari nahikorik.
Txirotasunaren atariaren behetik bizi dira.
02:05
And they live below the poverty line.
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02:07
There are two billion fellow human beings
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Badaude 2.000 milioi pertsonak
02:10
who live on less than two dollars a day.
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zeintzuk egunero 2 dolarrekin baino gutxiagorekin bizi diren.
Eta hemengo aberatsak
02:13
And the richest people over there -- there's one billion people,
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orokorrean, 1.000 milioi pertsonak,
02:16
and they live above what I call the "air line" --
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zeruaren atariaren gainetik bizi dira, horrela diot,
02:19
(Laughter)
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02:20
because they spend more than 80 dollars a day
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egunero 80 dolar baino gehiago gastatzen dutelako
kontsumoan.
02:24
on their consumption.
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Baina aipatutakoak 1.000, 2.000, 3.000 milioi dira,
02:26
But this is just one, two, three billion people,
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02:28
and obviously, there are seven billion people in the world,
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eta jakina, munduan 7.000 milioi pertsonak daude,
02:31
so there must be one, two, three, four billion people more
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orduan 1.000, 2.000, 3.000, 4.000 milioi gehiago egongo dira,
zeintzuk zeruaren eta txirotasunaren atarien artean bizi diren.
02:35
who live in between the poverty and the air line.
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Haiek elektrizitatea dute,
02:38
They have electricity,
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02:40
but the question is: How many have washing machines?
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baina galdera da, zenbat dute garbitzailea?
02:43
I've done the scrutiny of market data, and I've found that, indeed,
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Merkatuaren datuak aztertu ditut,
eta aurkitu dut, benetan,
02:48
the washing machine has penetrated below the air line,
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garbitzailea zeruaren ataritik jaitsi egin dela,
eta gaur egun badaude 1.000 milioi pertsona gehiagok
02:52
and today, there's an additional one billion people out there
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zeintzuk garbiketaren atariren gainetik bizi diren.
02:55
who live above the "wash line."
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02:57
(Laughter)
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(Algarak)
02:59
And they consume for more than 40 dollars per day.
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Eta haiek egunero 40 dolar baino gehiago kontsumitzen dituzte.
03:03
So two billion have access to washing machines.
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Hots, 2.000 milioi pertsona horiek garbitzaileetara sarbidea daukate.
03:06
And the remaining five billion --
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Eta gainerako 5.000 milioi horiek.
nola garbitzen dute arropa?
03:09
how do they wash?
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03:10
Or, to be more precise,
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Edo, zehatzagoa izateko,
03:12
how do most of the women in the world wash?
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nola garbitzen dute arropa munduaren emakume gehienek?
03:15
Because it remains the hard work for women to wash.
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Oso lan gogorra delako emakumeentzat.
03:19
They wash like this: by hand.
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Haiek horrela, eskuz, garbitzen dute.
03:22
It's hard, time-consuming labor,
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Oso lan gogorra eta neketsua da,
eta astero ordu dexente igaro behar dituzte.
03:27
which they have to do for hours every week.
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Eta, batzuetan, ura urrutik ekarri behar dute
03:30
And sometimes they also have to bring water from far away
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etxean garbitzeko.
03:33
to do the laundry at home,
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03:34
or they have to bring the laundry away to a stream far off.
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Edo arropa urrun eraman behar dute, ur-korrenteraino.
03:38
And they want the washing machine.
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Haiek garbitzailea nahi dute.
03:41
They don't want to spend such a large part of their life
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Ez dute euren bizitzen hainbeste denbora galdu nahi
03:44
doing this hard work
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lan gogor hori egiten
03:46
with so relatively low productivity.
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emankor gutxiko lana.
Eta euren nahia ez da batere desberdina
03:49
And there's nothing different in their wish
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nire amonak zeukanetik.
03:51
than it was for my grandma.
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Begira ezazue hemen, orain dela bi belaunaldi Suedian
03:53
Look here, two generations ago in Sweden --
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03:55
picking water from the stream,
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ibaitik ura hartzen zuten,
03:57
heating with firewood and washing like that.
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egurrez berotzen eta eskuz garbitzen.
04:00
They want the washing machine in exactly the same way.
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Aldi berean, haiek garbitzailea nahi dute.
04:03
But when I lecture to environmentally concerned students,
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Baina ikasle ekologisteei proposatzen diedanean,
04:06
they tell me, "No, everybody in the world cannot have cars and washing machines."
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esaten didate: "Ez, mundu osoak ezin du kotxerik ezta garbitzailerik izan"
04:11
How can we tell this woman
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Nola esango ote diegu emakume horiei
04:13
that she isn't going to have a washing machine?
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inoiz ez dutela garbitzailerik izango?
04:15
And then I ask my students -- over the last two years, I've asked --
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Orduan nire ikasleei galdetzen diet ...
Azkenengo 2 urtetan galdera bera egin diet:
04:19
"How many of you don't use a car?"
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"Zenbat ez duzue kotxerik erabiltzen?"
04:21
And some of them proudly raise their hand and say, "I don't use a car."
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Eta batzuek harro eskuak altxatzen dituzte
eta diote: "Nik ez dut kotxerik erabiltzen"
04:25
And then I put the really tough question:
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Eta gero galdera zaila egiten diet:
04:27
"How many of you hand-wash your jeans and your bedsheets?"
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"Zenbat
garbitzen duzue eskuz prakak eta izarak?"
04:31
And no one raised their hand.
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Ez du inork eskua altxatzen.
Mugimendu ekologistaren amorratuenek ere
04:35
Even the hardcore in the green movement use washing machines.
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garbitzaileak erabiltzen dituzte.
04:39
(Laughter)
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(Algarak)
04:43
So how come [this is] something that everyone uses
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Beraz, zergatik denok erabiltzen ditugu garbitzaileak
04:45
and they think others will not stop it?
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eta jarraituko dugu egiten? Ba al dago zerbait berezirik?
04:47
What is special with this?
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04:48
I had to do an analysis about the energy use in the world.
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Munduan kontsumitzen den energiari buruz analisia egin behar dut.
04:51
Here we are.
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Bagoaz.
04:52
Look here. You see the seven billion people up there?
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Hemen 7.000 milioi pertsonak ikusten dira:
04:55
The air people, the wash people,
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airearen pertsonak, garbiketarenak,
04:57
the bulb people and the fire people.
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bonbilarenak, suarenak.
05:00
One unit like this
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Hauetako unitate bakoitza
05:02
is an energy unit of fossil fuel -- oil, coal or gas.
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fosil-erregairen zati bat da:
petrolioa, ikatza edo gasa.
05:07
That's what most of the electricity and the energy in the world is.
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Hau da munduko energia eta elektrizitatea.
05:11
And it's 12 units used in the entire world,
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Mundu osoan 12 zati horiek erabiltzen dira,
05:14
and the richest one billion, they use six of them.
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eta mila milioi aberatsenek horietako 6 erabiltzen dituzte.
05:17
Half of the energy is used by one seventh of the world population.
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Energiaren erdia mundu polulazioaren zazpirenak erabiltzen du.
05:20
And these ones, who have washing machines
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Eta hauek, garbitzaileak eskuratzen dituztenek,
baina ez aparagailuz beteriko etxea,
05:23
but not a house full of other machines,
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bi erabiltzen dituzte.
05:25
they use two.
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05:26
This group uses three, one each.
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Talde honek hiru erabiltzen ditu, bakoitzak bana.
Eta haiek ere elektrizitatea daukate.
05:29
And they also have electricity.
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Eta hemendik bakoitzak bana ere ez du erabiltzen.
05:31
And over there, they don't even use one each.
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05:33
That makes 12 of them.
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Hau guztiak dira 12 zatiak
05:35
But the main concern
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Baina ikasle ekologisten
05:37
for the environmentally interested students -- and they are right --
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kezka nagusiena, eta arrazoia dute,
05:40
is about the future.
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geroa da.
Zeintzuk dira joerak? Joerak luzatzen baditugu,
05:43
What are the trends?
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05:44
If we just prolong the trends, without any real advanced analysis,
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analisi aurreraturik egin gabe 2050. urte arte,
05:48
to 2050,
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badaude energiaren erabilera handitu dezaketen bi gauzak.
05:49
there are two things that can increase the energy use:
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Lehenengo eta behin, populazioaren hazkundea.
05:52
first, population growth; second, economic growth.
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Bigarrena, hazkunde ekonomikoa.
05:55
Population growth will mainly occur among the poorest people here,
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Hazkunde demografikoa hemengo txiroen artean gertatuko da,
umeen heriotza-tasa altua daukatelako
05:59
because they have high child mortality
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eta emakume bakoitzeko seme-alaba asko dauzkatelako.
06:01
and they have many children per woman.
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Eta horrela bi gehiago izango dugu.
06:03
And that will get you two extra,
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baina horrek ez du hein handi batean energiaren erabilera.
06:05
but that won't change the energy use very much.
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Baina hazkunde ekonomikoak sortuko du (energiaren erabilera handitzeak).
06:07
What will happen is economic growth.
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06:09
The best of here in the emerging economies --
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Handiena hemen, garatu bidean dauden ekonomietan.
Nik Ekialde Berria deitzen diet.
06:12
I call them "the New East" --
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06:13
they will jump the air line.
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Zeruaren atarira salto egingo dute.
06:15
"Wopp!" they will say.
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"Wop!", diote.
06:17
And they will start to use as much as the Old West are doing already.
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Eta Mendebalde Zaharrak izandako hainbeste energia erabiliko dute.
06:20
(Laughter)
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Eta pertsona horiek garbitzaileak nahi dituzte.
06:21
And these people, they want the washing machine.
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Benetan esaten dizuet: Haiek hara joango dira.
06:24
I told you. They'll go there.
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06:25
And they will double their energy use.
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Eta erabilitako energia-kantitatea bikoiztuko da.
06:27
And we hope that the poor people will get into the electric light.
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Espero dugu txiroenak era argi elektrikoa hasiko direla erabiltzen,
06:30
And they'll get a two-child family without a stop in population growth.
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eta bi seme-alabetako familiak izatea hazkunde demografikoa gelditu gabe.
Baina energiaren kontsumo orokorra
06:33
But the total energy consumption will increase to 22 units.
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22 unitateetan handituko da.
Eta 22 unitate horietatik
06:37
And these 22 units --
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aberatsenek oraindik gehiengoa erabiliko dute.
06:40
still, the richest people use most of them.
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Beraz, zer egin behar da?
06:44
So what needs to be done?
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06:45
Because the risk,
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zeren arriskua,
06:47
the high probability of climate change is real.
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aldaketa klimatikoaren aukera handia benetazkoa den.
06:50
It's real.
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Benetazkoa.
06:52
Of course, they must be more energy efficient.
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Jakina, energia aldetik eraginkorragoak izan behar izango dira.
06:55
They must change their behavior in some way.
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Euren portaera, nola edo hala, aldatu behar dute.
06:57
They must also start to produce green energy,
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Energia berdea ere hasi behar izango dira ekoizten,
askoz energia berdea ere.
07:00
much more green energy.
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07:01
But until they have the same energy consumption per person,
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Baina pertsona bakoitzeko energia-kontsumo berbera eskuratu arte,
besteei ez liekete ezer esan behar izango
07:05
they shouldn't give advice to others --
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07:06
what to do and what not to do.
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zer egin eta ez.
07:08
(Laughter)
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(Txaloak)
07:09
(Applause)
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07:10
Here, we can get more green energy all over.
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Hemen leku guztietan energia berde eskura dezakegu.
Benetan espero dugu.
07:15
This is what we hope might happen.
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Gerorako benetazko erronka da.
07:17
It's a real challenge in the future.
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07:19
But I can assure you that this woman in the favela in Rio,
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Baina ziurta diezazueket Rio-ko favela baten emakumea
garbitzailea nahi duela.
07:23
she wants a washing machine.
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Bera oso pozik dago bere Energia ministrarekin
07:25
She's very happy about her minister of energy
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07:27
that provided electricity to everyone --
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zeinek guztioi energia ematen zien.
07:29
so happy that she even voted for her.
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pozik dago berari botoa emateagatik.
Bera da Dilma Rousseff,
07:33
And she became Dilma Rousseff,
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07:34
the president-elect of one of the biggest democracies in the world,
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izendatu berriko presidentea
munduko demokrazia handinetariko batekoa.
Energia ministroa izatetik presidente izatera.
07:39
moving from minister of energy to president.
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Demokrazia badago,
07:42
If you have democracy, people will vote for washing machines.
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pertsonek garbitzaileen alde botoa emango dute.
Benetan maite dituzte.
07:46
They love them!
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07:47
(Laughter)
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07:49
And what's the magic with them?
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Eta zein da garbitzaileen magia?
07:51
My mother explained the magic with this machine
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Nire amak magia hori azaldu zidan
07:54
the very, very first day.
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lehenengo egunean.
Esan zidan: "Aizu, Hans,
07:57
She said, "Now, Hans.
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sar dezagun arropa,
07:59
We have loaded the laundry.
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eta garbitzaileak lana egingo du.
08:01
The machine will make the work.
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08:02
And now we can go to the library."
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Eta gu liburutegira joan gaitezke".
Hau da magia hau:
08:05
Because this is the magic: you load the laundry,
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batek arropa sartu,
08:08
and what do you get out of the machine?
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eta, zer ateratzen da garbitzailetik?
08:10
You get books out of the machines,
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Garbitzailetik liburuak ateratzen dira,
umeentzako liburuak.
08:14
children's books.
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08:15
And mother got time to read for me.
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Eta nire ama niri ipuinak irakurtzeko gai zen.
08:17
She loved this.
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Benetan maite zuen. "ABC" nuen.
08:18
I got the "ABC's" -- this is why I started my career as a professor,
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Horrela hasi nintzen nire irakasle-karrera,
08:22
when my mother had time to read for me.
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nire ama ipuinak niri irakurtzeko gai zenean,
08:24
And she also got books for herself.
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Eta berarentzako liburuak ere lortu zituen.
08:26
She managed to study English and learn that as a foreign language.
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Ingelera ikasteko moldatu egin zuen
eta atzerriko hizkuntz bat ikasi zuen.
08:30
And she read so many novels,
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2307
Eta eleberri asko irakurri zituen,
08:32
so many different novels here.
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guztiz eleberri desberdinak.
08:35
And we really, we really loved this machine.
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Guk benetan maite genuen makina hori.
08:38
(Laughter)
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1138
08:39
And what we said, my mother and me,
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2550
Eta nire amak eta biok esan genuena zen:
08:42
"Thank you, industrialization.
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"Mila esker, industrializazioa.
08:45
Thank you, steel mill.
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Mila esker, altzairu-fabrikak.
08:47
Thank you, power station.
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1794
Mila esker, energia-estazioak.
08:49
And thank you, chemical processing industry
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Eta mila esker, industria kimikoa
08:52
that gave us time to read books."
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2008
liburuak irakurtzeko denbora emateagatik".
08:54
Thank you very much.
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Mila esker
08:55
(Laughter)
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08:56
(Applause)
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7000
(Txaloak)
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