The magic washing machine | Hans Rosling

739,449 views ・ 2011-03-21

TED


Dubbelklik asseblief op die Engelse onderskrifte hieronder om die video te speel.

Translator: Caren Smit Reviewer: Christo Crafford
00:15
I was only four years old
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Ek was net 4 jaar oud
00:17
when I saw my mother load a washing machine
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toe ek my ma ’n wasmasjien sien laai
00:20
for the very first time in her life.
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vir die eerste keer in haar lewe.
00:23
That was a great day for my mother.
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Dit was ’n wonderlike dag vir haar.
00:25
My mother and father had been saving money for years
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My ouers het jare lank gespaar
00:28
to be able to buy that machine,
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om die masjien te kon koop.
00:30
and the first day it was going to be used,
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Op die eerste dag wat ons dit sou gebruik,
00:32
even Grandma was invited to see the machine.
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is selfs Ouma genooi
om die masjien te sien.
00:35
(Laughter)
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00:37
And Grandma was even more excited.
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En Ouma was nog meer opgewonde.
00:39
Throughout her life, she had been heating water with firewood,
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Regdeur haar lewe
het sy water oor die vuur warm gemaak
00:43
and she had hand-washed laundry for seven children.
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en wasgoed met die hand gewas
vir sewe kinders.
00:47
And now, she was going to watch electricity do that work.
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En nou gaan sy sien hoe
elektrisiteit die werk doen.
00:53
My mother carefully opened the door,
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My ma maak die deur versigtig oop
00:57
and she loaded the laundry into the machine,
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en sy laai die wasgoed
in die masjien,
01:02
like this.
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só...
01:03
And then, when she closed the door,
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En toe sy die deur toemaak,
01:05
Grandma said, "No, no, no, no!
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sê Ouma, "Nee, nee, nee.
01:07
Let me! Let me push the button!"
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Laat ek die knoppie druk."
01:10
(Laughter)
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01:11
And Grandma pushed the button,
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En Ouma druk die knoppie
01:14
and she said, "Oh, fantastic!
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en sy sê, "O, fantasties!
01:16
I want to see this! Give me a chair! Give me a chair! I want to see it,"
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Ek wil sien! Gee vir my ’n stoel!
Ek wil sien!"
01:20
and she sat down in front of the machine,
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En sy sit voor die masjien,
01:23
and she watched the entire washing program.
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en sy kyk die hele wasprogram.
01:27
(Laughter)
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Sy was betower.
01:28
She was mesmerized.
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01:29
To my grandmother, the washing machine was a miracle.
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Vir my ouma,
was die wasmasjien ’n wonderwerk.
01:35
Today, in Sweden and other rich countries,
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Vandag, in Swede en ander welaf lande,
01:38
people are using so many different machines.
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gebruik mense
baie verskillende masjiene.
01:42
Look -- the homes are full of machines.
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Kyk, die huise is vol masjiene.
01:44
I can't even name them all.
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Ek kan nie eens almal opnoem nie.
01:46
And they also, when they want to travel,
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En ook, wanneer hulle wil reis,
01:50
they use flying machines
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gebruik hulle vlieënde masjiene
01:52
that can take them to remote destinations.
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wat hulle na afgeleë bestemmings neem.
01:54
And yet, in the world,
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En tog is daar so baie mense
01:56
there are so many people who still heat the water on fire,
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wat steeds hulle water op ’n vuur verhit,
02:00
and they cook their food on fire.
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en hul kos oor vuur kook.
02:02
Sometimes they don't even have enough food.
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Soms het hulle nie eens genoeg kos nie.
02:05
And they live below the poverty line.
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En hulle lewe onder die broodlyn.
02:07
There are two billion fellow human beings
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Daar is twee miljard medemense
02:10
who live on less than two dollars a day.
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wat op minder as $2 ’n dag leef.
02:13
And the richest people over there -- there's one billion people,
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En die rykste mense daar --
daar's een miljard mense --
02:16
and they live above what I call the "air line" --
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hulle leef bo, wat ek die "luglyn" noem,
02:19
(Laughter)
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02:20
because they spend more than 80 dollars a day
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omdat hulle meer as $80 ’n dag spandeer
02:24
on their consumption.
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op hulle verbruik.
02:26
But this is just one, two, three billion people,
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Maar dis slegs drie miljard mense,
02:28
and obviously, there are seven billion people in the world,
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terwyl daar sewe miljard mense in die wêreld is,
02:31
so there must be one, two, three, four billion people more
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so daar moet vier miljard mense wees,
02:35
who live in between the poverty and the air line.
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wat tussen armoede en die luglyn leef.
02:38
They have electricity,
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Hulle het elektrisiteit, maar die vraag is:
02:40
but the question is: How many have washing machines?
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Hoeveel het wasmasjiene?
02:43
I've done the scrutiny of market data, and I've found that, indeed,
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Ek't die data ondersoek,
en gevind, inderdaad,
02:48
the washing machine has penetrated below the air line,
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dat die wasmasjien tot onder die luglyn deurgedring het,
02:52
and today, there's an additional one billion people out there
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en vandag is daar ’n addisionele een miljard mense
wat bo die "wasgoedlyn" leef.
02:55
who live above the "wash line."
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02:57
(Laughter)
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(Gelag)
02:59
And they consume for more than 40 dollars per day.
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Hulle verbruik meer as $40 per dag.
03:03
So two billion have access to washing machines.
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So twee miljard het toegang tot wasmasjiene.
03:06
And the remaining five billion --
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En die oorblywende vyf miljard,
03:09
how do they wash?
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hoe was hulle?
03:10
Or, to be more precise,
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Of, meer presies,
03:12
how do most of the women in the world wash?
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hoe was die meeste vroue in die wêreld?
03:15
Because it remains the hard work for women to wash.
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Want dit bly harde werk vir vroue om te was.
03:19
They wash like this: by hand.
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Hulle was só: met die hand.
03:22
It's hard, time-consuming labor,
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Dis ’n harde, tydrowende arbeid,
03:27
which they have to do for hours every week.
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wat hulle vir ure elke week moet doen.
03:30
And sometimes they also have to bring water from far away
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En soms moet hulle ook water van vêr af bring
03:33
to do the laundry at home,
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om tuis te was,
03:34
or they have to bring the laundry away to a stream far off.
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of hulle moet die wasgoed na ’n stroompie vêr weg vat.
03:38
And they want the washing machine.
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En hulle wil ’n wasmasjien hê.
03:41
They don't want to spend such a large part of their life
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Hulle wil nie so baie van hulle lewe spandeer
03:44
doing this hard work
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om harde werk te doen
03:46
with so relatively low productivity.
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wat relatiewe lae produktiwiteit het nie.
03:49
And there's nothing different in their wish
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En daar's niks anders aan hulle wens
03:51
than it was for my grandma.
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as die van my ouma nie.
03:53
Look here, two generations ago in Sweden --
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Kyk, twee generasies terug in Swede --
03:55
picking water from the stream,
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skep water by die stroom,
03:57
heating with firewood and washing like that.
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op die vuur verhit en was soos dit.
04:00
They want the washing machine in exactly the same way.
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Hulle wil die wasmasjien hê op presies dieselfde manier.
04:03
But when I lecture to environmentally concerned students,
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Maar wanneer ek ’n lesing aanbied vir omgewingbewuste studente
04:06
they tell me, "No, everybody in the world cannot have cars and washing machines."
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sê hulle: "Nie almal in die wêreld kan karre en wasmasjiene hê nie."
04:11
How can we tell this woman
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Hoe kan ons dié vrou vertel
04:13
that she isn't going to have a washing machine?
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dat sy nie ’n wasmasjien gaan hê nie?
04:15
And then I ask my students -- over the last two years, I've asked --
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En dan vra ek my studente,
oor die laaste twee jaar:
04:19
"How many of you don't use a car?"
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"Hoeveel van julle gebruik nie ’n kar nie?"
04:21
And some of them proudly raise their hand and say, "I don't use a car."
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En somige steek hulle hande trots op
en sê, "Ek gebruik nie ’n kar nie."
04:25
And then I put the really tough question:
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En dan vra ek die regtig moeilike vraag:
04:27
"How many of you hand-wash your jeans and your bedsheets?"
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"Hoeveel van julle
was julle jeans en beddegoed per hand?"
04:31
And no one raised their hand.
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En niemand steek hulle hand op nie.
04:35
Even the hardcore in the green movement use washing machines.
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Selfs die gehardes in die groenbeweging
gebruik wasmasjiene.
04:39
(Laughter)
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(Gelag)
04:43
So how come [this is] something that everyone uses
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So hoekom gebruik almal dit en hulle dink ander sal dit nie stop nie?
04:45
and they think others will not stop it?
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04:47
What is special with this?
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Wat is so spesiaal?
04:48
I had to do an analysis about the energy use in the world.
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Ek moes ’n analise doen oor energieverbruik in die wêreld.
04:51
Here we are.
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04:52
Look here. You see the seven billion people up there?
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Hier.
Julle sien die sewe miljard mense bo:
04:55
The air people, the wash people,
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die lugmense, die wasmense,
04:57
the bulb people and the fire people.
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die gloeilampmense en die vuurmense.
05:00
One unit like this
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Een eenheid soos dié
05:02
is an energy unit of fossil fuel -- oil, coal or gas.
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is ’n fossielbrandstof-eenheid:
olie, steenkool of gas.
05:07
That's what most of the electricity and the energy in the world is.
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Dis meeste van die elektrisiteit en energie in die wêreld.
05:11
And it's 12 units used in the entire world,
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Dis 12 eenhede verbruik in die hele wêreld,
05:14
and the richest one billion, they use six of them.
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en die rykste een miljard gebruik ses daarvan.
05:17
Half of the energy is used by one seventh of the world population.
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Helfte van die energie word verbruik deur ’n sewende van die bevolking.
05:20
And these ones, who have washing machines
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En dié wat wasmasjiene het,
05:23
but not a house full of other machines,
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maar nie ’n huis vol ander masjiene nie,
05:25
they use two.
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hulle gebruik twee.
05:26
This group uses three, one each.
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Hierdie groep gebruik drie, een elk.
05:29
And they also have electricity.
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Hulle't ook elektrisiteit.
05:31
And over there, they don't even use one each.
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Daar gebruik hulle nie eens een elk nie.
05:33
That makes 12 of them.
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Dit maak 12 van hulle.
05:35
But the main concern
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Maar die hoof bekommernis
05:37
for the environmentally interested students -- and they are right --
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vir die omgewing-belangstellende studente -- en hulle is reg --
05:40
is about the future.
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is oor die toekoms.
05:43
What are the trends?
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Wat is die tendense? As hulle net verleng,
05:44
If we just prolong the trends, without any real advanced analysis,
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sonder enige gevorderde analise, tot 2050,
05:48
to 2050,
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05:49
there are two things that can increase the energy use:
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is daar twee dinge wat energieverbruik kan verhoog.
05:52
first, population growth; second, economic growth.
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Eerste, bevolkingsgroei.
Tweede, ekonomiese groei.
05:55
Population growth will mainly occur among the poorest people here,
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Bevolkingsgroei sal hoofsaaklik onder die armste mense plaasvind,
05:59
because they have high child mortality
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want hulle ervaar hoë kindersterftes
06:01
and they have many children per woman.
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en hulle het baie kinders per vrou.
06:03
And that will get you two extra,
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Met dit kom twee ekstra,
maar energieverbruik sal nie baie verander nie.
06:05
but that won't change the energy use very much.
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Wat sal gebeur is ekonomiese groei.
06:07
What will happen is economic growth.
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06:09
The best of here in the emerging economies --
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Die mees welaf hier in die opkomende ekonomieë --
06:12
I call them "the New East" --
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ek noem hulle die Nuwe Ooste --
06:13
they will jump the air line.
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hulle sal oor die luglyn spring.
06:15
"Wopp!" they will say.
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"Whap!" sê hulle.
En hulle sal begin om so baie te gebruik soos die Ou Weste reeds gebruik.
06:17
And they will start to use as much as the Old West are doing already.
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06:20
(Laughter)
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06:21
And these people, they want the washing machine.
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En dié mense, hulle wil ’n wasmasjien hê.
Soos ek gesê het: daar gaan hulle.
06:24
I told you. They'll go there.
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06:25
And they will double their energy use.
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Hulle energieverbruik sal verdubbel.
06:27
And we hope that the poor people will get into the electric light.
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En ons hoop dat die arm mense elektriese lig sal kry.
06:30
And they'll get a two-child family without a stop in population growth.
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Hulle kry twee-kind-families sonder ’n stop in bevolkingsgroei.
06:33
But the total energy consumption will increase to 22 units.
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Maar die totale energieverbruik
sal verhoog tot 22 eenhede.
06:37
And these 22 units --
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En dié 22 eenhede --
06:40
still, the richest people use most of them.
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steeds gebruik die rykstes die meeste.
06:44
So what needs to be done?
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So wat moet gedoen word?
06:45
Because the risk,
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Omdat die risiko,
06:47
the high probability of climate change is real.
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die hoë waarskynlikheid van klimaatsverandering,
06:50
It's real.
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’n werklikheid is.
06:52
Of course, they must be more energy efficient.
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Natuurlik moet hulle meer energiedoeltreffend wees.
06:55
They must change their behavior in some way.
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Hulle moet gedrag verander op ’n manier.
06:57
They must also start to produce green energy,
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Hulle moet ook begin groen energie produseer,
07:00
much more green energy.
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baie meer groen energie.
07:01
But until they have the same energy consumption per person,
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Maar tot hulle dieselfde energieverbruik per persoon het,
07:05
they shouldn't give advice to others --
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moet hulle nie raad gee aan ander --
07:06
what to do and what not to do.
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wat om te doen of nie te doen nie.
07:08
(Laughter)
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07:09
(Applause)
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(Applous)
07:10
Here, we can get more green energy all over.
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Hier kan ons meer groen energie kry van orals.
07:15
This is what we hope might happen.
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Dis wat ons hoop mag gebeur.
07:17
It's a real challenge in the future.
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Dis ’n werklike toekomsuitdaging.
07:19
But I can assure you that this woman in the favela in Rio,
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Maar ek verseker julle dat hierdie vrou in die favela in Rio:
07:23
she wants a washing machine.
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sy wil ’n wasmasjien hê.
07:25
She's very happy about her minister of energy
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Sy's baie gelukkig met haar minister van energie
07:27
that provided electricity to everyone --
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wat elektrisiteit vir almal verskaf het --
07:29
so happy that she even voted for her.
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so gelukkig dat sy vir haar gestem het.
07:33
And she became Dilma Rousseff,
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En sy word Dilma Rousseff,
07:34
the president-elect of one of the biggest democracies in the world,
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die pas gekose president
van een van die grootste demokrasieë in die wêreld --
07:39
moving from minister of energy to president.
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van minister van energie tot president.
07:42
If you have democracy, people will vote for washing machines.
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As jy ’n demokrasie het,
sal mense stem vir wasmasjiene.
07:46
They love them!
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Hulle's mal oor hulle.
07:47
(Laughter)
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07:49
And what's the magic with them?
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En wat is die wonder hiervan?
07:51
My mother explained the magic with this machine
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My ma't die wonder van die masjien verduidelik
07:54
the very, very first day.
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die heel, heel eerste dag.
07:57
She said, "Now, Hans.
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Sy't gesê, "Nou Hans,
07:59
We have loaded the laundry.
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ons het die wasgoed gelaai.
08:01
The machine will make the work.
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Die masjien sal die werk doen.
08:02
And now we can go to the library."
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En nou kan ons biblioteek toe gaan."
08:05
Because this is the magic: you load the laundry,
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Want dis die wonder:
jy doen die wasgoed,
08:08
and what do you get out of the machine?
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en wat kry jy uit die masjien?
08:10
You get books out of the machines,
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Jy kry boeke uit die masjien,
08:14
children's books.
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kinderboeke.
08:15
And mother got time to read for me.
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My ma't tyd gehad om vir my te lees.
08:17
She loved this.
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Sy was mal daaroor. Ek kry die "ABC's."
08:18
I got the "ABC's" -- this is why I started my career as a professor,
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Dis waar my beroep as professor begin het,
08:22
when my mother had time to read for me.
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toe my ma tyd gehad het om vir my te lees.
08:24
And she also got books for herself.
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Sy't ook boeke vir haarself gekry.
08:26
She managed to study English and learn that as a foreign language.
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Sy't dit reggekry om Engels te studeer
en dit te leer as ’n vreemde taal.
08:30
And she read so many novels,
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En sy lees soveel romans,
08:32
so many different novels here.
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so baie verskillendes.
08:35
And we really, we really loved this machine.
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En ons hou baie, baie van die masjien.
08:38
(Laughter)
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08:39
And what we said, my mother and me,
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En wat my ma en ek gesê het, is:
08:42
"Thank you, industrialization.
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"Dankie, industrialisasie.
08:45
Thank you, steel mill.
192
525560
1934
Dankie, staalplettery.
08:47
Thank you, power station.
193
527518
1794
Dankie, kragstasie.
08:49
And thank you, chemical processing industry
194
529336
3024
En dankie, chemiese industrie
08:52
that gave us time to read books."
195
532384
2008
wat ons tyd gegee het om boeke te lees."
08:54
Thank you very much.
196
534416
1217
Baie dankie.
08:55
(Laughter)
197
535657
1082
08:56
(Applause)
198
536763
7000
(Applous)
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