Al Gore: Alarming new slides of the worsening climate crisis

52,070 views ・ 2009-05-07

TED


Please double-click on the English subtitles below to play the video.

Prevodilac: Ana Zivanovic-Nenadovic Lektor: Sandra Gojic
00:12
Last year I showed these two slides so that
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Prošle godine sam prikazao ova dva slajda kako bih
00:15
demonstrate that the arctic ice cap,
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pokazao da se arktički ledeni pokrivač,
00:17
which for most of the last three million years
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koji je u poslednjih tri miliona godina uglavnom
00:19
has been the size of the lower 48 states,
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bio veličine 48 država kontinentalne SAD,
00:21
has shrunk by 40 percent.
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smanjio za 40%.
00:23
But this understates the seriousness of this particular problem
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Ali ovo ne ukazuje u potpunosti na ozbiljnost ovog specifičnog problema
00:26
because it doesn't show the thickness of the ice.
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jer ne pokazuje debljinu leda.
00:29
The arctic ice cap is, in a sense,
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Arktički ledeni pokrivač je na neki nacin
00:31
the beating heart of the global climate system.
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lupajuće srce globalnog klimatskog sistema.
00:34
It expands in winter and contracts in summer.
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Zimi se širi, a leti smanjuje.
00:37
The next slide I show you will be
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Na sledećem slajdu koji ću vam pokazati ćete videti
00:40
a rapid fast-forward of what's happened over the last 25 years.
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ubrzano šta se desilo u poslednjih 25 godina.
00:44
The permanent ice is marked in red.
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Trajni led je označen crvenom.
00:46
As you see, it expands to the dark blue --
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Kao što vidite, širi se u tamno plavu.
00:49
that's the annual ice in winter,
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To je godišnji led u toku zime.
00:51
and it contracts in summer.
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I skuplja se tokom leta.
00:53
The so-called permanent ice, five years old or older,
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Ovaj, takozvani trajni led, star 5 ili više godina je,
00:55
you can see is almost like blood,
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i sami vidite, skoro kao krv,
00:58
spilling out of the body here.
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koja curi iz ovog tela.
01:02
In 25 years it's gone from this, to this.
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Za 25 godina je prešao iz ovoga u ovo.
01:06
This is a problem because the warming
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Ovo predstavlja problem jer zagrevanje
01:09
heats up the frozen ground around the Arctic Ocean,
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zagreva zaleđenu zemlju oko arktičkog okeana
01:12
where there is a massive amount of frozen carbon
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gde se nalazi ogromna količina zaleđenog ugljenika
01:15
which, when it thaws, is turned into methane by microbes.
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koji, kada se topi, mikrobi pretvaraju u metan.
01:18
Compared to the total amount of global warming pollution in the atmosphere,
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U poređenju sa totalnom količinom zagašenja izazvanim globalnim zagrevanjem u atmosferi
01:22
that amount could double if we cross this tipping point.
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ta količina bi mogla da se udvostruči ako pređemo tačku preokreta.
01:26
Already in some shallow lakes in Alaska,
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U nekim plitkim jezerima na Aljasci, već
01:29
methane is actively bubbling up out of the water.
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možemo videti kako metan u vidu mehura izlazi iz vode.
01:31
Professor Katey Walter from the University of Alaska
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Profesor Kejti Volter sa Univerziteta u Aljasci
01:34
went out with another team to another shallow lake last winter.
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je sa drugim timom otišla u jedno plitko jezero prošle zime.
01:48
Video: Whoa! (Laughter)
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Video: Jao! (Smeh).
01:50
Al Gore: She's okay. The question is whether we will be.
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Al Gor: ona je dobro. Pitanje je da li ćemo i mi biti.
01:53
And one reason is, this enormous heat sink
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A jedan od razloga je taj što ova ogromna upijena toplota
01:55
heats up Greenland from the north.
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zagreva Grenland sa severa.
01:58
This is an annual melting river.
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Ovo je reka koja nastaje topljenjem leda svake godine.
02:01
But the volumes are much larger than ever.
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Ali njena zapremina je veća nego ikada.
02:04
This is the Kangerlussuaq River in southwest Greenland.
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Ovo je reka Kangerlusak u jugozapadnom Grenlandu.
02:07
If you want to know how sea level rises
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Ako želite da znate kako se podiže nivo mora
02:09
from land-base ice melting
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zbog topljenje leda na kopnu
02:11
this is where it reaches the sea.
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ovo je tačka gde reka dolazi do mora.
02:13
These flows are increasing very rapidly.
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Ovakve bujice veoma brzo rastu.
02:15
At the other end of the planet, Antarctica
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Na drugom kraju planete, Antarktiku,
02:17
the largest mass of ice on the planet.
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najvećoj masi leda na planeti.
02:19
Last month scientists reported the entire continent
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Prošlog meseca naučnici su saopštili da ceo kontinent
02:21
is now in negative ice balance.
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sada ima negativan bilans leda.
02:23
And west Antarctica cropped up on top some under-sea islands,
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A zapadni Antarktik koji se nalazi na vrhu nekoliko podvodnih ostrva
02:27
is particularly rapid in its melting.
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se posebno brzo topi.
02:30
That's equal to 20 feet of sea level, as is Greenland.
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To odgovara 6 metara morske dubine, kao i Grenland.
02:34
In the Himalayas, the third largest mass of ice:
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Na Himalajima, trećoj najvećoj masi leda na svetu,
02:36
at the top you see new lakes, which a few years ago were glaciers.
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na vrhu se vide nova jezera, koja su pre nekoliko godina bila glečeri.
02:40
40 percent of all the people in the world
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40% svih ljudi na svetu
02:42
get half of their drinking water from that melting flow.
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dobija polovinu pijuće vode iz te otopljene bujice.
02:44
In the Andes, this glacier is the
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U Andima, glečer je
02:46
source of drinking water for this city.
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izvor pijaće vode za ovaj grad.
02:48
The flows have increased.
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Bujice su se povećale.
02:50
But when they go away, so does much of the drinking water.
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Ali kada prođu, sa njima nestane i većina pijaće vode.
02:53
In California there has been a 40 percent
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U Kaliforniji se snežni pokrivač u Sijeri
02:55
decline in the Sierra snowpack.
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smanjio za 40%.
02:57
This is hitting the reservoirs.
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Ovo utiče i na rezervoare.
02:59
And the predictions, as you've read, are serious.
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A predviđanja su, kao što ste pročitali, ozbiljna.
03:02
This drying around the world has lead to
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Ovo isušivanje u svetu je dovelo do
03:04
a dramatic increase in fires.
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dramatičnog povećanja požara.
03:06
And the disasters around the world
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A prirodne nepogode širom sveta
03:09
have been increasing at an absolutely extraordinary
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rastu apsolutno izuzetnom
03:11
and unprecedented rate.
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i ranije neviđenom stopom.
03:13
Four times as many in the last 30 years
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Bilo ih je četiri puta više u poslednjih 30 godina
03:15
as in the previous 75.
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nego u poslednjih 75.
03:17
This is a completely unsustainable pattern.
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Ovo je potpuno neodrživ model.
03:21
If you look at in the context of history
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Ako na to gledate u kontekstu istorije
03:24
you can see what this is doing.
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možete da vidite šta je posledica toga.
03:29
In the last five years
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U poslednjih pet godina
03:31
we've added 70 million tons of CO2
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dodali smo 70 miliona tona CO2
03:33
every 24 hours --
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svakih 24 sata -
03:35
25 million tons every day to the oceans.
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25 miliona tona dnevno u okeane.
03:37
Look carefully at the area of the eastern Pacific,
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Pažljivo pogledajte površinu istočnog Pacifika,
03:40
from the Americas, extending westward,
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od Amerike, idući ka zapadu,
03:42
and on either side of the Indian subcontinent,
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i sa obe strane indijskog potkontinenta,
03:45
where there is a radical depletion of oxygen in the oceans.
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gde je došlo do radikalnog iscrpljivanja kiseonika iz okeana.
03:49
The biggest single cause of global warming,
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Jedan od najvećih individualnih uzroka globalnog zagrevanja,
03:51
along with deforestation, which is 20 percent of it, is the burning of fossil fuels.
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zajedno sa krčenjem šuma, na koje odlazi 20%, je sagorevanje fosilnih goriva.
03:55
Oil is a problem, and coal is the most serious problem.
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Nafta predstavlja problem, ali ugalj predstavlja najozbiljniji problem.
03:58
The United States is one of the two
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SAD su jedan od dva
04:00
largest emitters, along with China.
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najveća zagađivača, zajedno sa Kinom.
04:02
And the proposal has been to build a lot more coal plants.
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A postoji i plan da se izgradi jos više termoelektrana na bazi uglja.
04:06
But we're beginning to see a sea change.
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Ali počinjemo da uviđamo promenu.
04:08
Here are the ones that have been cancelled in the last few years
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Evo nekih projekata koji su otkazani u poslednjih nekoliko godina
04:11
with some green alternatives proposed.
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sa nekim od predloženih ekoloških alternativa.
04:13
(Applause)
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(Aplauz)
04:14
However there is a political battle
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Međutim, postoji i politička bitka
04:17
in our country.
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u našoj zemlji.
04:19
And the coal industries and the oil industries
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A industrije uglja i nafte
04:21
spent a quarter of a billion dollars in the last calendar year
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su potrošile ¼ milijarde dolara u protekloj kalendarskoj godini
04:24
promoting clean coal,
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na promociju "čistog" (ekološkog) uglja
04:26
which is an oxymoron.
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što je oksimoron.
04:28
That image reminded me of something.
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Ta slika me je podsetila na nešto.
04:30
(Laughter)
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(Smeh)
04:33
Around Christmas, in my home in Tennessee,
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Oko Božića, kod moje kuće u Tenesiju,
04:35
a billion gallons of coal sludge was spilled.
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prosuto je oko 3.8 milijarde litara ugljanog mulja.
04:38
You probably saw it on the news.
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Verovatno ste videli na vestima.
04:40
This, all over the country, is the second largest waste stream in America.
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Ovo, širom cele zemlje, je drugi po redu najveći izvor đubrišta u Americi.
04:44
This happened around Christmas.
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To se desilo oko Božića.
04:46
One of the coal industry's ads around Christmas was this one.
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Ovo je bila jedna od reklama industrije uglja oko Božića:
04:49
Video: ♪♫ Frosty the coal man is a jolly, happy soul.
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Video: ♪♫ Ledenko, ugljeni čovek je vesela i srećna duša.
04:52
He's abundant here in America,
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Ima ga u izobilju ovde u Americi,
04:54
and he helps our economy grow.
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i on pomaže našoj ekonomiji da raste.
04:56
Frosty the coal man is getting cleaner everyday.
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Ledenko, ugljeni čovek je svakog dana sve čistiji.
05:00
He's affordable and adorable, and workers keep their pay.
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On je jeftin i divan, a radnici imaju svoju platu.
05:04
Al Gore: This is the source of much of the coal in West Virginia.
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Al Gor: ovo je izvor većine uglja u Zapadnoj Virdžiniji.
05:08
The largest mountaintop miner is the head of Massey Coal.
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Najveći planinski rudnik površinskog kopa je Masi Koal.
05:13
Video: Don Blankenship: Let me be clear about it. Al Gore,
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Video: Don Blankenšip: dozvolite da budem jasan. Al Gor,
05:15
Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid, they don't know what they're talking about.
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Nensi Pelozi, Heri Rid, oni nemaju pojma o čemu pričaju.
05:19
Al Gore: So the Alliance for Climate Protection
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Al Gor: dakle, Savez za zaštitu klime
05:21
has launched two campaigns.
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je lansirao dve kampanje.
05:23
This is one of them, part of one of them.
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Ovo je jedna od njih, deo jedne od njih.
05:26
Video: Actor: At COALergy we view climate change as a very serious
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Video: glumac: U UGLJO-energiji gledamo na klimatske promene kao na veoma ozbiljnu
05:28
threat to our business.
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pretnju našem poslovanju.
05:30
That's why we've made it our primary goal
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Zato je naš osnovni cilj
05:32
to spend a large sum of money
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da potrošimo veliku sumu novca
05:34
on an advertising effort to help bring out and complicate
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na promotivan trud kako bismo doprineli isticanju i komplikovanju
05:37
the truth about coal.
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istine o uglju.
05:39
The fact is, coal isn't dirty.
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Činjenica je da ugalj nije prljav.
05:41
We think it's clean --
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Mi mislimo da je čist -
05:43
smells good, too.
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i lepo miriše.
05:45
So don't worry about climate change.
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Tako da nemojte da brinete o klimatskoj promeni.
05:48
Leave that up to us.
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Prepustite to nama.
05:50
(Laughter)
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(Smeh)
05:51
Video: Actor: Clean coal -- you've heard a lot about it.
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Video: glumac: čist ugalj, dosta ste čuli o tome.
05:53
So let's take a tour of this state-of-the-art clean coal facility.
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Zato hajde da obiđemo ovaj vrhunski objekat čistog uglja.
05:59
Amazing! The machinery is kind of loud.
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Neverovatno! Mašinerija je prilično glasna.
06:02
But that's the sound of clean coal technology.
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Ali to je zvuk tehnologije čistog uglja.
06:06
And while burning coal is one of the leading causes of global warming,
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I dok je sagorevanje uglja jedan od vodećih uzroka globalnog zagrevanja,
06:09
the remarkable clean coal technology you see here
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izvanredna tehnologija čistog uglja koju ovde vidite
06:12
changes everything.
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menja sve.
06:14
Take a good long look: this is today's clean coal technology.
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Dobro pogledajte, ovo je današnja tehnologija čistog uglja.
06:19
Al Gore: Finally, the positive alternative
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Al Gor: konačno, pozitivna opcija
06:21
meshes with our economic challenge
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se prepliće sa našim ekonomskim izazovom
06:23
and our national security challenge.
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i izazovom naše državne bezbednosti.
06:25
Video: Narrator: America is in crisis -- the economy,
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Video: narator: Amerika je u krizi, ekonomija,
06:27
national security, the climate crisis.
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državna bezbednost, klimatska kriza.
06:30
The thread that links them all:
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Nit koja sve njih povezuje
06:32
our addiction to carbon based fuels,
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je naša zavisnost od goriva baziranih na ugljeniku,
06:34
like dirty coal and foreign oil.
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kao što su prljavi ugalj i nafta uvezena iz inostranstva.
06:36
But now there is a bold new solution to get us out of this mess.
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Ali postoji smelo, novo rešenje koje će nas izvaditi iz ovog nereda.
06:39
Repower America with 100 percent clean electricity
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Osnažimo Ameriku sa 100% čistom strujom,
06:42
within 10 years.
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za 10 godina.
06:44
A plan to put America back to work,
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Plan koji će ponovo zaposliti Ameriku,
06:46
make us more secure, and help stop global warming.
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učiniti nas sigurnijima i pomoći da se zaustavi globalno zagrevanje.
06:49
Finally, a solution that's big enough to solve our problems.
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Konačno, rešenje koje je dovoljno veliko da reši naše probleme.
06:52
Repower America. Find out more.
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Osnažimo Ameriku. Saznajte više.
06:54
Al Gore: This is the last one.
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Al Gor: ovo je poslednji.
07:03
Video: Narrator: It's about repowering America.
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Video: narator: radi se o osnaživanju Amerike.
07:05
One of the fastest ways to cut our dependence
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Jedan od najbržih načina da smanjimo našu zavisnost
07:07
on old dirty fuels that are killing our planet.
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na stara, prljava goriva koja ubijaju našu planetu.
07:12
Man: Future's over here. Wind, sun, a new energy grid.
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Čovek: budućnost je ovde. Vetar, sunce, nova energetska mreža.
07:17
Man #2: New investments to create high-paying jobs.
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Čovek #2: nove investicije za stvaranje visoko plaćenih poslova.
07:22
Narrator: Repower America. It's time to get real.
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Narator: osnažimo Ameriku. Vreme je da se uozbiljimo.
07:26
Al Gore: There is an old African proverb that says,
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Al Gor: postoji stara afrička poslovica koja kaže:
07:29
"If you want to go quickly, go alone.
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"Ako hoćete da idete brzo, idite sami.
07:31
If you want to go far, go together."
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Ako hoćete da stignete daleko, idite zajedno."
07:34
We need to go far, quickly.
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Mi moramo da idemo daleko, veoma brzo.
07:36
Thank you very much.
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Hvala vam puno.
07:38
(Applause)
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(Aplauz)
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