Al Gore: Alarming new slides of the worsening climate crisis

51,779 views ・ 2009-05-07

TED


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翻译人员: Ivanna Zhang 校对人员: Wang Qian
00:12
Last year I showed these two slides so that
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去年我给各位展示了两个
00:15
demonstrate that the arctic ice cap,
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关于北极冰帽的演示
00:17
which for most of the last three million years
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在过去三百万年中
00:19
has been the size of the lower 48 states,
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其面积由相当于美国南方48州面积总和
00:21
has shrunk by 40 percent.
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缩减了40%
00:23
But this understates the seriousness of this particular problem
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但这些没能完全说明这个问题的严重性
00:26
because it doesn't show the thickness of the ice.
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因为这没有表示出冰帽的厚度
00:29
The arctic ice cap is, in a sense,
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感觉上,北极冰帽
00:31
the beating heart of the global climate system.
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就好象全球气候系统中跳动的心脏
00:34
It expands in winter and contracts in summer.
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冬天心脏舒张,夏天心脏收缩
00:37
The next slide I show you will be
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下面我要展示的是
00:40
a rapid fast-forward of what's happened over the last 25 years.
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在过去25年里的极剧变化
00:44
The permanent ice is marked in red.
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红色的是永冻冰
00:46
As you see, it expands to the dark blue --
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你看,它正在变成深蓝色
00:49
that's the annual ice in winter,
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这是每年冬天形成的年度冰
00:51
and it contracts in summer.
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在夏天永冻冰收缩
00:53
The so-called permanent ice, five years old or older,
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所谓的“永冻”,是指形成五年或更久的冰
00:55
you can see is almost like blood,
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你看,这也像血液一样
00:58
spilling out of the body here.
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输送到身体各部位
01:02
In 25 years it's gone from this, to this.
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在25年的时间里,它从这里,到了这里
01:06
This is a problem because the warming
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值得注意的是
01:09
heats up the frozen ground around the Arctic Ocean,
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温室效应使得北冰洋周围的冻土层受热
01:12
where there is a massive amount of frozen carbon
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而这里有大量被冻封的碳(干冰)
01:15
which, when it thaws, is turned into methane by microbes.
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解冻时,微生物降解碳形成甲烷
01:18
Compared to the total amount of global warming pollution in the atmosphere,
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如果突破顶点,温室气体排放量
01:22
that amount could double if we cross this tipping point.
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将是现有大气层中的全球温室污染总量
01:26
Already in some shallow lakes in Alaska,
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在阿拉斯加的一些浅湖里
01:29
methane is actively bubbling up out of the water.
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已经可以看到水中探头的沼气泡
01:31
Professor Katey Walter from the University of Alaska
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去年冬天,University of Alaska的Katey Walter教授
01:34
went out with another team to another shallow lake last winter.
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结队去了一个浅湖
01:48
Video: Whoa! (Laughter)
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哇(开心而又惊叹滴笑)
01:50
Al Gore: She's okay. The question is whether we will be.
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戈尔:她很好,我们怎么样呢?
01:53
And one reason is, this enormous heat sink
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有一个原因,北方沉积的大量热能
01:55
heats up Greenland from the north.
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加热了格陵兰岛
01:58
This is an annual melting river.
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这是一条每年融化的河
02:01
But the volumes are much larger than ever.
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但流量却比往年都要大
02:04
This is the Kangerlussuaq River in southwest Greenland.
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这是格陵兰岛西南的Kangerlussuaq河
02:07
If you want to know how sea level rises
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如果你想了解陆地上的冰块融化
02:09
from land-base ice melting
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如何使得海平面上升
02:11
this is where it reaches the sea.
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这里就是它的入海口
02:13
These flows are increasing very rapidly.
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这里的流量正在急速上升
02:15
At the other end of the planet, Antarctica
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南极,地球的另一端
02:17
the largest mass of ice on the planet.
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这个行星上最大的冰块
02:19
Last month scientists reported the entire continent
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上个月,科学家报告整个大洲
02:21
is now in negative ice balance.
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正处于冰量减少的阶段
02:23
And west Antarctica cropped up on top some under-sea islands,
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在南极洲的西部突然发现
02:27
is particularly rapid in its melting.
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几个低于海平面的岛屿正在加速融化
02:30
That's equal to 20 feet of sea level, as is Greenland.
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这相当于海平面上20英尺,和格陵兰岛一样
02:34
In the Himalayas, the third largest mass of ice:
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在Himalayas,第三大冰块
02:36
at the top you see new lakes, which a few years ago were glaciers.
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在顶部你可以看到新的湖泊,而几年前,这只是冰河
02:40
40 percent of all the people in the world
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全球40%从其融水中
02:42
get half of their drinking water from that melting flow.
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获得一半的饮用水
02:44
In the Andes, this glacier is the
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在安第斯山脉,这条冰河
02:46
source of drinking water for this city.
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是这座城市的饮用水源
02:48
The flows have increased.
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流量正在增加
02:50
But when they go away, so does much of the drinking water.
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但当它们消失时,我们也将失去饮用水
02:53
In California there has been a 40 percent
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在California, Sierra的积雪
02:55
decline in the Sierra snowpack.
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每年减少40%
02:57
This is hitting the reservoirs.
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对于蓄水而言,这是一个打击
02:59
And the predictions, as you've read, are serious.
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而且如你看到的,预计是非常严重的
03:02
This drying around the world has lead to
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全球的干燥化
03:04
a dramatic increase in fires.
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正在导致火灾数量急剧增加
03:06
And the disasters around the world
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而全世界的灾害数量
03:09
have been increasing at an absolutely extraordinary
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也正以绝对显著的
03:11
and unprecedented rate.
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空前的速度增加
03:13
Four times as many in the last 30 years
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在过去三十年内,灾害总数达到了
03:15
as in the previous 75.
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更早七十五年总数的四倍
03:17
This is a completely unsustainable pattern.
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这是一种完全不可持续的模式
03:21
If you look at in the context of history
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如果看下历史
03:24
you can see what this is doing.
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你可以看到发生了些什么
03:29
In the last five years
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在过去的五年
03:31
we've added 70 million tons of CO2
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我们每天
03:33
every 24 hours --
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增加七千万吨二氧化碳
03:35
25 million tons every day to the oceans.
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向海洋排放两千五百万吨二氧化碳
03:37
Look carefully at the area of the eastern Pacific,
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注意看下东太平洋区域
03:40
from the Americas, extending westward,
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从美洲向西
03:42
and on either side of the Indian subcontinent,
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在印度次大陆的两边
03:45
where there is a radical depletion of oxygen in the oceans.
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海洋含氧量急剧减少
03:49
The biggest single cause of global warming,
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温室效应最大的原因,除了森林破坏占20%外
03:51
along with deforestation, which is 20 percent of it, is the burning of fossil fuels.
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是燃烧石油燃料
03:55
Oil is a problem, and coal is the most serious problem.
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石油很重要,煤炭最为紧要
03:58
The United States is one of the two
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美国
04:00
largest emitters, along with China.
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正成为全球最大的两个排放国之一,和中国一起
04:02
And the proposal has been to build a lot more coal plants.
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解决方案曾经是建造一个使用更多煤碳的星球
04:06
But we're beginning to see a sea change.
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但我们已经开始看到海洋的变化了
04:08
Here are the ones that have been cancelled in the last few years
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这里是近年已经取消的一些
04:11
with some green alternatives proposed.
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以及一些新的绿色替代方案
04:13
(Applause)
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(掌声)
04:14
However there is a political battle
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但是,在我们国家
04:17
in our country.
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有一场政治战争
04:19
And the coal industries and the oil industries
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而煤碳和石油工业
04:21
spent a quarter of a billion dollars in the last calendar year
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在去年花费了两千五百万美元
04:24
promoting clean coal,
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来提倡清洁煤炭
04:26
which is an oxymoron.
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这太矛盾了
04:28
That image reminded me of something.
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那个画面让我想起了什么
04:30
(Laughter)
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(笑声)
04:33
Around Christmas, in my home in Tennessee,
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圣诞前后,在我的家乡田纳西
04:35
a billion gallons of coal sludge was spilled.
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挖出了几十亿升的煤淤泥
04:38
You probably saw it on the news.
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可能你在新闻上看过
04:40
This, all over the country, is the second largest waste stream in America.
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这里,是全美第二大的废水排放
04:44
This happened around Christmas.
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这发生于圣诞前后
04:46
One of the coal industry's ads around Christmas was this one.
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有一则这样的煤碳行业广告
04:49
Video: ♪♫ Frosty the coal man is a jolly, happy soul.
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录象:♪♫煤炭酷先生是高兴和快乐的化身
04:52
He's abundant here in America,
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在美国你可以见到他富饶多产
04:54
and he helps our economy grow.
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他还帮助我们发展经济
04:56
Frosty the coal man is getting cleaner everyday.
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煤炭酷先生每天都在变得更干净
05:00
He's affordable and adorable, and workers keep their pay.
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他可爱实惠,为工人们带来工作机会
05:04
Al Gore: This is the source of much of the coal in West Virginia.
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戈尔:这里是West Virginia,许多煤炭的原产地
05:08
The largest mountaintop miner is the head of Massey Coal.
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最大的山顶采矿是head of Massey Coal
05:13
Video: Don Blankenship: Let me be clear about it. Al Gore,
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Don Blankenship:让我来澄清事实(这个老兄是马塞能源公司总裁兼总经理,马赛能源公司被卷入一连串的法律与环境的争议当中,争议主要存在于其开采过程中没有采取相应的防污措施)
05:15
Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid, they don't know what they're talking about.
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Al Core, Nancy Pelosi(现任众议院议长), Harry Reid(众议院能源和商业委员会主席)(这两个人都致力于通过国会推动一项综合性的能源与气候议案),这帮家伙完全不懂得他们在讲些什么
05:19
Al Gore: So the Alliance for Climate Protection
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戈尔:所以气候保护联盟(戈尔是成立人之一及现任主席)
05:21
has launched two campaigns.
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开展了两个项目
05:23
This is one of them, part of one of them.
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这是其中的一个,其中一个的一部分
05:26
Video: Actor: At COALergy we view climate change as a very serious
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演员:在COALergy,我们非常严肃地对待
05:28
threat to our business.
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气候变化对我们的事业威胁
05:30
That's why we've made it our primary goal
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这是为什么我们花费大量金钱
05:32
to spend a large sum of money
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制定我们的最初目标
05:34
on an advertising effort to help bring out and complicate
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努力挖掘并阐释
05:37
the truth about coal.
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煤炭的真相
05:39
The fact is, coal isn't dirty.
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事实上,煤炭并不肮脏
05:41
We think it's clean --
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我们认为,它是干净的
05:43
smells good, too.
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好闻的
05:45
So don't worry about climate change.
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因此,不必为全球变暖而担心
05:48
Leave that up to us.
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让我们来搞定吧
05:50
(Laughter)
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(笑声)
05:51
Video: Actor: Clean coal -- you've heard a lot about it.
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演员:清洁煤炭,你已经听过关于它的许多
05:53
So let's take a tour of this state-of-the-art clean coal facility.
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所以,让我们去看看如同艺术一般的清洁煤炭工厂吧
05:59
Amazing! The machinery is kind of loud.
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壮观!机器有些喧哗
06:02
But that's the sound of clean coal technology.
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但这是清洁煤炭技术的声音
06:06
And while burning coal is one of the leading causes of global warming,
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虽然烧煤是导致全球变暖的主要原因之一
06:09
the remarkable clean coal technology you see here
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你在这里所见到的令人折服的清洁煤炭技术
06:12
changes everything.
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改变了一切
06:14
Take a good long look: this is today's clean coal technology.
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好好看看吧!这就是如今的清洁煤炭技术
06:19
Al Gore: Finally, the positive alternative
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戈尔:最后是这个正面的方案
06:21
meshes with our economic challenge
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可以应对经济挑战
06:23
and our national security challenge.
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和国家安全挑战
06:25
Video: Narrator: America is in crisis -- the economy,
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录象:旁白:美国正处于危机
06:27
national security, the climate crisis.
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经济的、国家安全的、气候的危机
06:30
The thread that links them all:
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将这些危机都串在一起的
06:32
our addiction to carbon based fuels,
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是我们对于基于碳的石油产品的依赖
06:34
like dirty coal and foreign oil.
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譬如肮脏的煤炭和进口的石油
06:36
But now there is a bold new solution to get us out of this mess.
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但现在,有一种全新的解决这些难题的方案 Repower America (让美国重振力量)
06:39
Repower America with 100 percent clean electricity
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用百分百清洁的电力
06:42
within 10 years.
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用十年的时间
06:44
A plan to put America back to work,
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让美国人全新获得工作
06:46
make us more secure, and help stop global warming.
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让我们生活得更安全,并且让地球不在变暖
06:49
Finally, a solution that's big enough to solve our problems.
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最终,一个足够庞大的方案来解决我们的问题
06:52
Repower America. Find out more.
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Repower America (让美国重振力量),了解更多
06:54
Al Gore: This is the last one.
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戈尔:最后一个
07:03
Video: Narrator: It's about repowering America.
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旁白:这是关于Repower America(让美国重振力量)的
07:05
One of the fastest ways to cut our dependence
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陈旧的肮脏石油正在谋杀我们的星球
07:07
on old dirty fuels that are killing our planet.
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这是让我们减少对其依赖的最快方式
07:12
Man: Future's over here. Wind, sun, a new energy grid.
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男A:未来就在这里。风力、太阳能、新的能源网络
07:17
Man #2: New investments to create high-paying jobs.
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男B:新的投资创造更的报酬丰厚的工作
07:22
Narrator: Repower America. It's time to get real.
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旁白:Repower America (让美国重振力量)。是时候梦想成真了!
07:26
Al Gore: There is an old African proverb that says,
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戈尔:有一条古老的非洲谚语
07:29
"If you want to go quickly, go alone.
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如果想要走得快,独立前行
07:31
If you want to go far, go together."
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如果想要走得远,结伴前行
07:34
We need to go far, quickly.
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我们需要的是走得远,而且快
07:36
Thank you very much.
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非常感谢
07:38
(Applause)
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掌声
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