New thinking on the climate crisis | Al Gore

Prevodilac: Sandra Gojic Lektor: Ivana Korom

I have given the slide show that I gave here two years ago about 2,000 times.

Prezentaciju koju sam ovde održao pre dve godine, prikazao sam oko 2000 puta.

I'm giving a short slide show this morning

Danas ću vam prikazati kratku prezentaciju

that I'm giving for the very first time, so --

i to po prvi put -

well it's -- I don't want or need to raise the bar,

ustvari - ja ne želim niti imam potrebu da uvećam pokazatelje;

I'm actually trying to lower the bar.

Ja ustavri pokušavam da ih umanjim.

Because I've cobbled this together

Sastavio sam ovo

to try to meet the challenge of this session.

tako da odgovara ovoj izazovnoj temi.

And I was reminded by Karen Armstrong's fantastic presentation

A sjajna prezentacija Karen Armstrong me je podsetila

that religion really properly understood

da se kod ispravnog razumevanja religije

is not about belief, but about behavior.

ne radi o verovanju, već o ponašanju.

Perhaps we should say the same thing about optimism.

Možda bismo isto mogli reći i o optimizmu.

How dare we be optimistic?

Kako se usuđujemo da budemo optimistični?

Optimism is sometimes characterized as a belief, an intellectual posture.

Za optimizam nekada kažemo da je to uverenje, intelektualni stav.

As Mahatma Gandhi famously said,

Kao što je Mahatma Gandi slavno rekao,

"You must become the change you wish to see in the world."

"Budi promena koju želiš da vidiš u svetu."

And the outcome about which

A ishod u vezi sa kojim

we wish to be optimistic is not going to be created

želimo da budemo optimistični neće proizaći

by the belief alone, except to the extent that the belief

samo iz verovanja, osim u slučaju kada verovanje

brings about new behavior. But the word "behavior"

dovede do novog oblika ponašanja. Ali i reč " ponašanje"

is also, I think, sometimes misunderstood in this context.

je prema mom mišljenju u ovom kontekstu, pogrešno shvaćena.

I'm a big advocate of changing

Ja sam veliki zagovornik zamene

the lightbulbs and buying hybrids,

sijalica i kupovine hibridnih vozila,

and Tipper and I put 33 solar panels on our house,

Tiper i ja smo postavili 33 solarne ploče na našu kuću,

and dug the geothermal wells, and did all of that other stuff.

i iskopali geotermalne bunare i sve druge stvari.

But, as important as it is to change the lightbulbs,

Ali, koliko god da je važno promeniti sijalice,

it is more important to change the laws.

važnije je promeniti zakone.

And when we change our behavior in our daily lives,

Kada promenimo naše svakodnevno ponašanje,

we sometimes leave out the citizenship part

ponekada izostavljamo naše građanske dužnosti

and the democracy part. In order to be optimistic about this,

i demokratiju. Da bismo postali optimistični po ovom pitanju,

we have to become incredibly active as citizens in our democracy.

moramo da postanemo izuzetno aktivni građani u našoj demokratiji.

In order to solve the climate crisis,

Da bismo rešili klimatsku krizu,

we have to solve the democracy crisis.

moramo da rešimo demokratsku krizu.

And we have one.

A imamo je.

I have been trying to tell this story for a long time.

Pokušavam da ispričam ovu priču već dugo.

I was reminded of that recently, by a woman

Na to me je nedavno podsetila jedna žena

who walked past the table I was sitting at,

koja je zurila u mene,

just staring at me as she walked past. She was in her 70s,

prolazeći pored stola za kojim sam sedeo. Bila je u svojim sedamdesetim,

looked like she had a kind face. I thought nothing of it

prijatnog lica. Nisam razmišljao o tome

until I saw from the corner of my eye

sve dok krajičkom oka nisam primetio

she was walking from the opposite direction,

dok mi je prilazila iz suprotnog smera,

also just staring at me. And so I said, "How do you do?"

da i dalje zuri u mene. I tako sam rekao, "Kako ste?"

And she said, "You know, if you dyed your hair black,

A ona je rekla, " Znate, da ofarbate kosu u crno,

you would look just like Al Gore." (Laughter)

izgledali biste isto kao Al Gore." (smeh)

Many years ago, when I was a young congressman,

Pre mnogo godina, dok sam još bio mladi kongresmen,

I spent an awful lot of time dealing with the challenge

provodio sam mnogo vremena baveći se izazovom

of nuclear arms control -- the nuclear arms race.

kontrole nuklearnog oružja - u trci nuklearnog naoružanja.

And the military historians taught me,

Tokom tog vremena,

during that quest, that military conflicts are typically

vojni istoričari su me naučili da se vojni sukobi dele

put into three categories: local battles,

u tri kategorije: lokalne bitke,

regional or theater wars, and the rare but all-important

regionalne ili ograničene ratove i retke ali sveobuhvatne

global, world war -- strategic conflicts.

globalne, svetske ratove. Strateške sukobe.

And each level of conflict requires a different allocation of resources,

A svaki nivo sukoba zahteva drugačiju raspodelu resursa

a different approach,

i drugačiji pristup,

a different organizational model.

drugačiji organizacioni model.

Environmental challenges fall into the same three categories,

Izazovi očuvanja životne sredine spadaju u iste tri kategorije,

and most of what we think about

i većina onih o kojima razmišljamo

are local environmental problems: air pollution, water pollution,

jesu lokalni problemi životne sredine: zagađenost vazduha, vode,

hazardous waste dumps. But there are also

odlaganje opasnog otpada. Ali tu su i

regional environmental problems, like acid rain

regionalni problemi životne sredine, poput kiselih kiša

from the Midwest to the Northeast, and from Western Europe

od srednjeg zapada do severoistoka, kao i sa zapadne Evrope

to the Arctic, and from the Midwest

do Arktika, te od srednjeg zapada

out the Mississippi into the dead zone of the Gulf of Mexico.

niz Misisipi do mrtve tačke meksičkog zaliva.

And there are lots of those. But the climate crisis

I ima puno takvih primera. Ali klimatska kriza

is the rare but all-important

je ne tako čest ali sveobuhvatni

global, or strategic, conflict.

globalni, ili strateški konflikt.

Everything is affected. And we have to organize our response

Sve je pogođeno. I moramo da organizujemo našu reakciju

appropriately. We need a worldwide, global mobilization

na odgovarajući način. Potrebna nam je svetska, globalna mobilizacija

for renewable energy, conservation, efficiency

za obnovljivu energiju, očuvanje, korišćenje

and a global transition to a low-carbon economy.

i globalni prelaz na nisko ugljeničnu ekonomiju.

We have work to do. And we can mobilize resources

To moramo odraditi. I možemo da prikupimo resurse

and political will. But the political will

i politički volju. Ali politička volja

has to be mobilized, in order to mobilize the resources.

mora biti mobilisana kako bi se mobilisali resursi.

Let me show you these slides here.

Pokazaću vam sledeće slajdove.

I thought I would start with the logo. What's missing here,

Mislio sam da počnem sa logom. Ono sto nedostaje ovde

of course, is the North Polar ice cap.

je, naravno, severni ledeni prekrivač .

Greenland remains. Twenty-eight years ago, this is what the

Grendland je ostao. Pre 28 godina, ovako

polar ice cap -- the North Polar ice cap -- looked like

je izgledao severni ledeni prekrivač

at the end of the summer, at the fall equinox.

na kraju leta za vreme jesenjeg ekvinocija.

This last fall, I went to the Snow and Ice Data Center

Prošle jeseni, otišao sam u Centar za obradu podataka o ledu i snegu

in Boulder, Colorado, and talked to the researchers

u Bolderu, Kolorado, i razgovarao sa istraživačima

here in Monterey at the Naval Postgraduate Laboratory.

ovde u Montereju u postdiplomskoj pomorskoj laboratoriji.

This is what's happened in the last 28 years.

Ovo se dešavalo prethodnih 28 godina.

To put it in perspective, 2005 was the previous record.

Godina 2005 je bila rekordna.

Here's what happened last fall

Evo šta se desilo prošle jeseni

that has really unnerved the researchers.

a što je zaista uznemirilo istraživače.

The North Polar ice cap is the same size geographically --

Severni ledeni prekrivač je geografski iste veličine -

doesn't look quite the same size --

iako ne izgleda tako -

but it is exactly the same size as the United States,

ali je iste veličine kao i Sjedinjene Države,

minus an area roughly equal to the state of Arizona.

manji za površinu koja je približno iste veličine kao Arizona.

The amount that disappeared in 2005

Površina koja je nestala 2005.

was equivalent to everything east of the Mississippi.

jednaka je svemu istočno od Misisipija.

The extra amount that disappeared last fall

Dodatna površina koja je nestala prošle jeseni

was equivalent to this much. It comes back in the winter,

takođe je bila jednaka ovoj. Površina se obnavlja tokom zime,

but not as permanent ice, as thin ice --

ali ne kao čvrst, već kao tanak led.

vulnerable. The amount remaining could be completely gone

Krhak. Preostala površina može u potpunosti da nestane

in summer in as little as five years.

tokom leta u narednih 5 godina.

That puts a lot of pressure on Greenland.

To stavlja ogromni pritisak na Grenland.

Already, around the Arctic Circle --

Već sada, oko Arktičkog kruga -

this is a famous village in Alaska. This is a town

ovo je poznato selo na Aljasci. Ovo je grad

in Newfoundland. Antarctica. Latest studies from NASA.

u Njufaundlendu. Antarktik. Najnovija istraživanja NASA -e.

The amount of a moderate-to-severe snow melting

Oblast prosečnog do ozbiljnog topljenja snega

of an area equivalent to the size of California.

površinski odgovara veličini Kalifornije.

"They were the best of times,

"To su bila najbolja vremena,

they were the worst of times": the most famous opening sentence

to su bila najgora vremena": najpoznatija uvodna rečenica

in English literature. I want to share briefly

engleske književnosti. Želim ukratko da podelim

a tale of two planets. Earth and Venus

"Priču o dve planete." Zemlja i Venera

are exactly the same size. Earth's diameter

su potpuno iste veličine. Prečnik Zemljine lopte

is about 400 kilometers larger, but essentially the same size.

je za oko 400km veći, ali je izvorno iste veličine.

They have exactly the same amount of carbon.

Imaju tačno isti procenat ugljenika.

But the difference is, on Earth, most of the carbon

Ali razlika je u tome što je na Zemlji većina ugljenika

has been leeched over time out of the atmosphere,

vremenom izvučena iz atmosfere,

deposited in the ground as coal, oil,

i nataložena u tlo kao ugljen, nafta,

natural gas, etc. On Venus, most of it

prirodni gas, itd. Na Veneri, veći deo

is in the atmosphere. The difference is that our temperature

je u vazduhu. Razlika je u tome što je naša prosečna temperatura

is 59 degrees on average. On Venus,

15 stepeni celzijusa. Venerina je

it's 855. This is relevant to our current strategy

457,22 stepena celzijusa. Ovo je važno za našu trenutnu strategiju

of taking as much carbon out of the ground as quickly as possible,

izvlačenja što je moguće više ugljenika iz tla, što je brže moguće

and putting it into the atmosphere.

i puštanja istog u okolinu.

It's not because Venus is slightly closer to the Sun.

Venera nije toplija zato što je malo bliža Suncu.

It's three times hotter than Mercury,

Tri puta je toplija od Merkura,

which is right next to the Sun. Now, briefly,

koji je odmah do Sunca. Sad, vrlo kratko,

here's an image you've seen, as one of the only old images,

ovde je slika koju ste videli među starim slikama,

but I show it because I want to briefly give you CSI: Climate.

ali je pokazujem zato što želim ukratko prikazati CSI: Klima.

The global scientific community says:

Svetska naučna zajednica kaže,

man-made global warming pollution, put into the atmosphere,

od ljudi stvoreno globalno zagrevanje, ispušteno u okolinu,

thickening this, is trapping more of the outgoing infrared.

zgušnjavajući ovo, zarobljava više odlazećeg infracrvenog zračenja.

You all know that. At the last

To svi znate. U sižeu

IPCC summary, the scientists wanted to say,

sa poslednjeg Vladinog panela o klimatskim promenama (IPCC), naučnici su hteli da kažu

"How certain are you?" They wanted to answer that "99 percent."

"Koliko ste sigurni?" Želeli su da odgovore "99 procenata."

The Chinese objected, and so the compromise was

Kinezi su se pobunili, pa je komrpomisni odgovor glasio

"more than 90 percent."

"više od 90 posto. "

Now, the skeptics say, "Oh, wait a minute,

Skeptici bi rekli, "Čekaj malo,

this could be variations in this energy

moguće da su to varijacije u... u energiji

coming in from the sun." If that were true,

koja dolazi od Sunca." Ako bi to bila istina,

the stratosphere would be heated as well as the

stratosfera bi bila zagrejana, isto kao i

lower atmosphere, if it's more coming in.

niža atmosfera, kad bi više energije dolazilo.

If it's more being trapped on the way out, then you would

Ako je više energije zarobljeno na odlasku, onda biste

expect it to be warmer here and cooler here. Here is the lower atmosphere.

očekivali da bude toplije ovde, a hladnije ovde. Ovo je niža atmosfera.

Here's the stratosphere: cooler.

Ovo je stratosfera: hladnije.

CSI: Climate.

CSI: Klima.

Now, here's the good news. Sixty-eight percent of Americans now believe

E sad, ovo su dobre vesti. 68 procenata Amerikanaca veruje

that human activity is responsible

da je ljudska aktivnost odgovorna

for global warming. Sixty-nine percent believe that the Earth is heating up

za globalno zagrevanje. 69 posto veruje da se Zemlja značajno

in a significant way. There has been progress,

zagreva. Bilo je napretka,

but here is the key: when given a list

ali ovde je poenta: kada se suočite

of challenges to confront, global warming is still listed at near the bottom.

sa listom izazova, globalno zagrevanje je i dalje pri dnu.

What is missing is a sense of urgency.

Ono što nedostaje je osećaj hitnosti.

If you agree with the factual analysis,

Ako se slažete sa analizom činjenica,

but you don't feel the sense of urgency,

a nemate osećaj hitnosti,

where does that leave you?

gde vas to vodi?

Well, the Alliance for Climate Protection, which I head

Pa, Savez za zaštitu klime, koji vodim

in conjunction with Current TV -- who did this pro bono --

zajedno sa CurrentTV - koja je to radila besplatno,

did a worldwide contest to do commercials on how to communicate this.

sproveo je takmičenje na svetskom nivou za pravljenje reklame na temu kako razgovarati o ovome.

This is the winner.

Ovo je pobednik.

NBC -- I'll show all of the networks here -- the top journalists

NBC - Pokazaću vam sve TV mreže ovde - vrhunski novinari

for NBC asked 956 questions in 2007

NBC-a postavili su 956 pitanja u 2007.

of the presidential candidates: two of them were about

predsedničkim kandidatima: od toga, dva

the climate crisis. ABC: 844 questions, two about the climate crisis.

su bila u vezi sa klimatskom krizom. ABC: 844 pitanja, dva u vezi sa klimatskom krizom.

Fox: two. CNN: two. CBS: zero.

FOX: dva. CNN: dva. CBS: nula.

From laughs to tears -- this is one of the older

Od smeha do suza. Ovo je jedna od starijih

tobacco commercials.

reklama za cigarete.

So here's what we're doing.

Dakle, ovo je ono što činimo.

This is gasoline consumption in all of these countries. And us.

Ovo je potrošnja goriva u svim ovim zemljama. I kod nas.

But it's not just the developed nations.

Ali nisu u pitanju samo razvijene zemlje.

The developing countries are now following us

Zemlje u razvoju nas prate

and accelerating their pace. And actually,

i ubrzavaju svoj razvoj. Ustvari,

their cumulative emissions this year are the equivalent

njihova zajednička emisija ove godine je jednaka

to where we were in 1965. And they're catching up

našoj iz 1965. I stižu nas

very dramatically. The total concentrations:

vrlo brzo. Ukupnim koncentracijama:

by 2025, they will be essentially where we were in 1985.

do 2025., zapravo će biti tamo gde smo mi bili u 1985.

If the wealthy countries were completely missing

Kada bogatih zemalja uopšte ne bi bilo

from the picture, we would still have this crisis.

na slici, i dalje bismo imali ovu krizu.

But we have given to the developing countries

Ali zemljama u razvoju smo dali

the technologies and the ways of thinking

tehnologiju i načine razmišljanja

that are creating the crisis. This is in Bolivia --

koji kreiraju krizu. Ovo je u Boliviji.

over thirty years.

Tokom 30 godina.

This is peak fishing in a few seconds. The '60s.

Ovo je prekomerni ulov ribe. Šezdesete.

'70s. '80s. '90s. We have to stop this. And the good news is that we can.

Sedamdesete. Osamdesete. Devedesete. Moramo da zaustavimo ovo. A dobra vest je da možemo.

We have the technologies.

Imamo tehnologiju.

We have to have a unified view of how to go about this:

Moramo da imamo jedinstven pogled na to kako prići sledećem:

the struggle against poverty in the world

borba protiv siromaštva u svetu

and the challenge of cutting wealthy country emissions,

i izazov smanjivanja štetne emisije u bogatim zemljama,

all has a single, very simple solution.

svi imaju jedno, jednostavno rešenje.

People say, "What's the solution?" Here it is.

Ljudi pitaju, "Šta je rešenje?". Ovo.

Put a price on carbon. We need a CO2 tax, revenue neutral,

Staviti cenu na ugljenik. Potrebni su nam porezi za ugljendioksid, nezavisni od prihoda,

to replace taxation on employment, which was invented by Bismarck --

da zamene porez za nezaposlenost, koji je uveo Bizmark,

and some things have changed

a neke stvari su se promenile

since the 19th century.

on 19 veka.

In the poor world, we have to integrate the responses

U siromašnom svetu, moramo da povežemo odgovor

to poverty with the solutions to the climate crisis.

na problem siromaštva sa odgovorom na problem rešenja klimatskih kriza.

Plans to fight poverty in Uganda

Planovi za borbu protiv siromaštva u Ugandi

are mooted, if we do not solve the climate crisis.

su sporni ako ne rešimo klimatsku krizu.

But responses can actually make a huge difference

Rešenja zaista mogu da promene mnogo toga

in the poor countries. This is a proposal

u siromašnim zemljama. Ovo je predlog

that has been talked about a lot in Europe.

o kojem se mnogo pričalo u Evropi.

This was from Nature magazine. These are concentrating

Ovo je iz časopisa Priroda (Nature Magazine). Ovo su koncentrisane

solar, renewable energy plants, linked in a so-called "supergrid"

solarne elektrane obnovljive energije, povezane u tzv. supermrežu

to supply all of the electrical power

koja obezbeđuje ukupnu električnu energiju

to Europe, largely from developing countries -- high-voltage DC currents.

čitavoj Evropi, uglavnom iz zemalja u razvoju. Visokonaponska jednosmerna mreža.

This is not pie in the sky; this can be done.

Ovo nisu "kule u oblacima", ovo može da se napravi.

We need to do it for our own economy.

Moramo to da napravimo za našu ekonomiju.

The latest figures show that the old model

Poslednje cifre pokazuju da stari model

is not working. There are a lot of great investments

ne radi. Postoji mnogo dobrih investicija.

that you can make. If you are investing in tar sands

Ako uložite u katran pesak, ili

or shale oil, then you have a portfolio

naftu iz škriljaca, onda imate portfolio

that is crammed with sub-prime carbon assets.

koji je pretrpan trećerazrednim CO2 investicijama.

And it is based on an old model.

I zasnovan je na zastarelom modelu.

Junkies find veins in their toes when the ones

Narkomani nađu vene na svojim nožnim prstima kada su im one

in their arms and their legs collapse. Developing tar sands

na rukama i nogama propale. Razvijanje bitumenskog ulja

and coal shale is the equivalent. Here are just a few of the investments

i nafte iz škrljaca je potpuno isto. Evo samo nekoliko investicija

that I personally think make sense.

za koje lično mislim da imaju smisla.

I have a stake in these, so I'll have a disclaimer there.

Imam deonice u ovima, pa ću se odreći odgovornosti.

But geothermal, concentrating solar,

Geotermalna, koncentrisana solarna energija,

advanced photovoltaics, efficiency and conservation.

napredni fotonaponski uređaji, efikasnost i očuvanje.

You've seen this slide before, but there's a change.

Videli ste ovaj slajd ranije, ali postoji promena.

The only two countries that didn't ratify

Jedine dve zemčlje koje nisu ratifikovale (Kjoto sporazum)

-- and now there's only one. Australia had an election.

a sad je ostala samo jedna. Australija je imala izbor.

And there was a campaign in Australia

I postojala je kampanja u Australiji

that involved television and Internet and radio commercials

koja je uključivala televizijsku, radijsku i internet reklamu

to lift the sense of urgency for the people there.

za podizanje osećaja nužnosti, među ljudima.

And we trained 250 people to give the slide show

I obučili smo 250 ljudi kako da, u svakom gradu, selu, naselju

in every town and village and city in Australia.

u Australiji, održe prezentaciju.

Lot of other things contributed to it,

Mnogo drugih stvari je tu doprinelo,

but the new Prime Minister announced that

ali novi Premijer je najavio da

his very first priority would be to change Australia's position

je njegov prioritet promena službenog stava Australije

on Kyoto, and he has. Now, they came to an awareness

o Kjotu, a to je i učinio. Istina, osvestili su se delom

partly because of the horrible drought that they have had.

i zbog velike suše koja ih je pogodila.

This is Lake Lanier. My friend Heidi Cullen

Ovo je jezero Lanier. Moja prijatlejica Hajdi Kalins

said that if we gave droughts names the way we give hurricanes names,

rekla je kada bi sušama davali imena kao što to činimo sa uraganima,

we'd call the one in the southeast now Katrina,

sadašnja suša na jugoistoku bi se zvala Katrina,

and we would say it's headed toward Atlanta.

i rekli bismo da se kreće prema Atlanti.

We can't wait for the kind of drought

Ne možemo da čekamo sušu

Australia had to change our political culture.

poput one u Australiji da bismo promenili našu političku svest.

Here's more good news. The cities supporting Kyoto in the U.S.

Evo još dobrih vesti. Broj gradova u Americi koji podržavaju Kjoto

are up to 780 -- and I thought I saw one go by there,

se popeo na 780, čini mi se da sam video jedan kako prolazi,

just to localize this -- which is good news.

da to malo lokalizujem. Što je dobra vest.

Now, to close, we heard a couple of days ago

Da zaključimo, pre nekoliko dana čuli smo

about the value of making individual heroism so commonplace

o značaju pretvaranja pojedinačnog herojstva u nešto toliko

that it becomes banal or routine.

uobičajeno, da postane stvar rutine.

What we need is another hero generation. Those of us who are alive

Ono što nam je potrebno je još jedna herojska generacija. Oni od nas koji živimo

in the United States of America

u Sjedinjenim državama

today especially, but also the rest of the world,

naročito danas, ali i ostatak sveta,

have to somehow understand that history

nekako moramo shvatiti da nam je istorija

has presented us with a choice -- just as Jill [Bolte] Taylor was figuring out

dala izbor - baš kao što je Džil Bolt Tejlor shvatila

how to save her life while she was distracted

kako da spasi svoj život dok ju je ometalo

by the amazing experience that she was going through.

zadivljujuće iskustvo kroz koje je prolazila.

We now have a culture of distraction.

Mi danas imamo kulturu koja nas ometa.

But we have a planetary emergency.

Ali imamo i planetarnu uzbunu.

And we have to find a way to create,

I moramo da nađemo način da kreiramo,

in the generation of those alive today, a sense of generational mission.

u ovoj generaciji koja živi danas, osećaj generacijske misije.

I wish I could find the words to convey this.

Voleo bih da nađem reči da pojasnim ovo.

This was another hero generation

Ovo je još jedna herojska generacija

that brought democracy to the planet.

koja je donela demokratiju na ovu planetu.

Another that ended slavery. And that gave women the right to vote.

Još jedna koja je prekinula ropstvo. I koja je dala ženama pravo glasa.

We can do this. Don't tell me that we don't have the capacity to do it.

Mi možemo da učinimo ovo. Nemojte da mi kažete da nemamo kapaciteta za to.

If we had just one week's worth of what we spend on the Iraq War,

Da imamo samo onoliko koliko potrošimo za nedelju dana na rat u Iraku,

we could be well on the way to solving this challenge.

bili bismo na dobrom putu da rešimo ovaj izazov.

We have the capacity to do it.

Imamo snage za to.

One final point: I'm optimistic, because I believe

Zaključna reč. Ja sam optimističan, zato što verujem

we have the capacity, at moments of great challenge,

da imamo kapaciteta, u trenutku velikog izazova,

to set aside the causes of distraction and rise to the challenge

da stavimo sa strane razloge ometanja pažnje i da se suprotstavimo izazovu

that history is presenting to us.

koji nam istorija postavlja.

Sometimes I hear people respond to the disturbing facts of the climate crisis

Ponekad čujem ljude kako na uznemirujuće činjenice o klimatskoj krizi

by saying, "Oh, this is so terrible.

kažu, "O, to je tako strašno.

What a burden we have." I would like to ask you

Kakav teret imamo." Upitao bih vas

to reframe that. How many generations

da to preoblikujemo. Koliko generacija

in all of human history have had the opportunity

u ljudskoj istoriji je imalo priliku

to rise to a challenge that is worthy of our best efforts?

da prihvati izazov koji je vredan naših najvećih napora?

A challenge that can pull from us

Izazov koji iz nas može da izvuče

more than we knew we could do? I think we ought to approach

više nego što smo znali da možemo? Mislim da bismo trebali pristupiti

this challenge with a sense of profound joy

ovom izazovu sa osećajem duboke radosti

and gratitude that we are the generation

i zahvalnosti što smo mi generacija

about which, a thousand years from now,

koju će, za hiljadu godina od danas,

philharmonic orchestras and poets and singers will celebrate

filharmonijski orkestri i pesnici i pevači, da slave

by saying, they were the ones that found it within themselves

govoreći, oni su bili ti koji su u sebi pronašli

to solve this crisis and lay the basis

ono što je trebalo da se kriza reši i postavili temelje

for a bright and optimistic human future.

za vedriju i optimističniju budućnost čovečanstva.

Let's do that. Thank you very much.

Hajde da to uradimo. Mnogo vam hvala.

Chris Anderson: For so many people at TED, there is deep pain

Kris Anderson: Za mnoge ljude u TEDu, postoji duboki bol

that basically a design issue

da je u suštini pitanje dizajna - na kraju krajeva,

on a voting form --

dizajn glasačkih listića -

one bad design issue meant that your voice wasn't being heard

jedan loš dizajn je značio da se vaš glas nije čuo

like that in the last eight years in a position

u poslednjih osam godina na poziciji

where you could make these things come true.

gde ste mogli da ostvarite ove stvari.

That hurts.

To boli.

Al Gore: You have no idea. (Laughter)

Al Gor: Ni ne znate koliko. (smeh)

CA: When you look at what the leading candidates

KA: Kada pogledate šta vodeći kandidati

in your own party are doing now -- I mean, there's --

u vašoj stranci trenutno čine - mislim -

are you excited by their plans on global warming?

jeste li uzbuđeni njihovim planovima oko globalnog zagrevanja?

AG: The answer to the question is hard for me

AG: Teško mi je odgovoriti na ovo pitanje,

because, on the one hand, I think that

jer, sa jedne strane, mislim da

we should feel really great about the fact

bi trebalo da se osećamo sjajno zbog činjenice

that the Republican nominee -- certain nominee --

da Republikanski kandidati - određeni kandidat -

John McCain, and both of the finalists

Džon Mekkejn, i oboje finalista

for the Democratic nomination -- all three have a very different

demokratske partije - svo troje imaju različitu

and forward-leaning position

i naprednu poziciju

on the climate crisis. All three have offered leadership,

o klimatskoj krizi. Svo troje je ponudilo vođstvo,

and all three are very different from the approach taken

i svo troje imaju različit pristup od pristupa

by the current administration. And I think

trenutne vlade. Takođe mislim

that all three have also been responsible in

da je svo troje bilo odgovorno

putting forward plans and proposals. But the campaign dialogue that --

u davanju predloga i planova. Ali dijalog u kampanji -

as illustrated by the questions --

ilustrovan ovim pitanjima -

that was put together by the

koji je sastavila

League of Conservation Voters, by the way, the analysis of all the questions --

Liga glasača za očuvanje prirode, usput, analiza pitanja,

and, by the way, the debates have all been

i, usput, sve rasprave je

sponsored by something that goes by the Orwellian label,

sponzorisalo nešto sa orvelovskim nazivom:

"Clean Coal." Has anybody noticed that?

"Čist ugljen." Da li je to neko primetio?

Every single debate has been sponsored by "Clean Coal."

Sve i jednu raspravu je sponzorisao "Čist ugljen."

"Now, even lower emissions!"

"Sada još manja emisija!"

The richness and fullness of the dialogue

bogatstvo i potpunost dijaloga

in our democracy has not laid the basis

u našoj demokratiji nije postavilo temelje

for the kind of bold initiative that is really needed.

za vrstu hrabre inicijative koja nam je zaista potrebna.

So they're saying the right things and they may --

Dakle, oni govore prave stvari i možda će -

whichever of them is elected -- may do the right thing,

ko god bio izabran - uraditi pravu stvar,

but let me tell you: when I came back from Kyoto

ali da vam kažem: kada sam se vratio iz Kjotoa

in 1997, with a feeling of great happiness

1997., sa osećajem velike radosti

that we'd gotten that breakthrough there,

da smo tamo napravili prekretnicu,

and then confronted the United States Senate,

i kada sam se suočio sa američkim senatom,

only one out of 100 senators was willing to vote

samo jedan od 100 senatora je bio rad da izglasa

to confirm, to ratify that treaty. Whatever the candidates say

ratifikaciju sporazuma. Štagod kandidati rekli

has to be laid alongside what the people say.

to mora biti u skladu sa onim što narod kaže.

This challenge is part of the fabric

Ovaj izazov je utkan

of our whole civilization.

u čitavu našu civilizaciju.

CO2 is the exhaling breath of our civilization, literally.

CO2 je ono što naša civilizacija izdiše, bukvalno.

And now we mechanized that process. Changing that pattern

I sad smo mehanizovali taj proces. Menjanje te navike

requires a scope, a scale, a speed of change

zahteva opsežnu, veliku i brzu promenu

that is beyond what we have done in the past.

koja je izvan svega onoga što smo učinili u prošlosti.

So that's why I began by saying,

Zato sam počeo rekavši,

be optimistic in what you do, but be an active citizen.

budite optimistični u onome što radite, ali budite aktivni građanin.

Demand -- change the light bulbs,

Zahtevajte - zamenite sijalice,

but change the laws. Change the global treaties.

ali menjajte i zakone. Promenite globalne sporazume.

We have to speak up. We have to solve this democracy -- this --

Moramo biti glasniji. Moramo rešiti ovu demokratsku - ovu -

We have sclerosis in our democracy. And we have to change that.

Imamo sklerozu u našoj demokratiji. I moramo to da promenimo.

Use the Internet. Go on the Internet.

Koristite internet. Idite ne internet.

Connect with people. Become very active as citizens.

Povežite se sa ljudima. Postanite vrlo aktivni građani.

Have a moratorium -- we shouldn't

Napravimo moratorijum - ne bismo trebali

have any new coal-fired generating plants

imati nikakvih novih elektrana na ugljen

that aren't able to capture and store CO2, which means we have to

koje nisu sposobne da skupe i pohrane CO2. Što znači da moramo

quickly build these renewable sources.

brzo izgraditi obnovljive izvore.

Now, nobody is talking on that scale. But I do believe

E sada, niko ne govori o tome na tom nivou. Ali ja verujem

that between now and November, it is possible.

da je to moguće, od danas do novembra.

This Alliance for Climate Protection

Alijansa za zaštitu klime

is going to launch a nationwide campaign --

će pokrenuti nacionalnu kampanju -

grassroots mobilization, television ads, Internet ads,

široku mobilizaciju, tv reklame, internet oglasi,

radio, newspaper -- with partnerships with everybody

radio, novine - u sradnji sa svima

from the Girl Scouts to the hunters and fishermen.

od izviđača, lovaca i ribara.

We need help. We need help.

Potrebna nam je pomoć. Potrebna nam je pomoć.

CA: In terms of your own personal role going forward,

KA: U smislu vaše lične uloge u budućnosti,

Al, is there something more than that

Al, da li postoji nešto drugo, što biste

you would like to be doing?

voleli da radite?

AG: I have prayed that I would be able to find the answer

AG: Molio sam se da budem spreman da odgovorim

to that question. What can I do?

na to pitanje. Šta mogu učiniti?

Buckminster Fuller once wrote, "If the future

Bakminster Fuler je napisao, "Da budućnost

of all human civilization depended on me, what would I do?

ljudske civilizacije zavisi od mene, šta bih učinio?

How would I be?" It does depend on all of us,

kakav bih bio?" To zavisi od svih nas,

but again, not just with the light bulbs.

ali opet, ne samo o sijalicama.

We, most of us here, are Americans. We have a democracy.

Mi, većina nas ovde, smo Amerikanci. Mi imamo demokratiju.

We can change things, but we have to actively change.

Možemo da promenimo stanje, ali moramo aktivno da ga menjamo.

What's needed really is a higher level of consciousness.

Ono što je potrebno je ustvari viši nivo svesnosti.

And that's hard to --

A to je teško -

that's hard to create -- but it is coming.

teško kreirati - ali i to se menja.

There's an old African proverb that some of you know

Postoji stara afrička poslovica za koju su neki od vas čuli

that says, "If you want to go quickly, go alone;

koja kaže, "Ako želiš da brzo napreduješ, idi sam;

if you want to go far, go together." We have to go far, quickly.

ako želiš daleko da stigneš, idi u društvu." Moramo ići daleko brzo.

So we have to have a change in consciousness.

Dakle, moramo imati promenu svesti.

A change in commitment. A new sense of urgency.

Promenu onoga što nam je važno. Novi osećaj hitnosti.

A new appreciation for the privilege

Novi osećaj zahvalnosti za privilegiju

that we have of undertaking this challenge.

koju imamo u suočavanju sa ovim izazovom.

CA: Al Gore, thank you so much for coming to TED.

KA: Al Gor, hvala vam mnogo za dolazak na TED.

AG: Thank you. Thank you very much.

AG: Hvala vama. Mnogo vam hvala.