New thinking on the climate crisis | Al Gore

240,978 views ・ 2008-04-08

TED


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Translator: Erik Ušaj Reviewer: Ales Rosina
00:18
I have given the slide show that I gave here two years ago about 2,000 times.
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Ob prosojnicah, predstavljenih tukaj pred dvema letoma, sem predaval približno 2000 krat.
00:25
I'm giving a short slide show this morning
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Danes zjutraj predstavljam krajše predavanje ob prosojnicah,
00:30
that I'm giving for the very first time, so --
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ki jih predstavljam čisto prvič, torej -
00:33
well it's -- I don't want or need to raise the bar,
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dobro je -- nočem in ne rabim zvišati nivoja;
00:38
I'm actually trying to lower the bar.
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pravzaprav poskušam zmanjšati nivo.
00:39
Because I've cobbled this together
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Ker sem spravil to skupaj,
00:44
to try to meet the challenge of this session.
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da bi dosegel izziv te predstavitve.
00:49
And I was reminded by Karen Armstrong's fantastic presentation
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In opomnjen sem bil ob fantastični prestavitivi Karen Armstrong,
00:54
that religion really properly understood
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da je religija res ustrezno dojeta
01:00
is not about belief, but about behavior.
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ni na ravni prepričanja, temveč vedenja.
01:03
Perhaps we should say the same thing about optimism.
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Morda bi morali reči isto za optimizem.
01:07
How dare we be optimistic?
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Kako si drznemo biti optimistični?
01:11
Optimism is sometimes characterized as a belief, an intellectual posture.
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Optimizem je včasih označen kot prepričanje, intelektualno prepričanje.
01:19
As Mahatma Gandhi famously said,
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Kot je Mahatma Gandhi v znanem govoru rekel,
01:22
"You must become the change you wish to see in the world."
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"Vi morate poosebiti spremembe, ki jih želite videti v svetu."
01:25
And the outcome about which
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In izzd o katerem
01:27
we wish to be optimistic is not going to be created
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želimo biti optimistični ne bo ustvarjen
01:32
by the belief alone, except to the extent that the belief
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na podlagi samega prepričanja, razen do mere, ki jo prepričanje
01:37
brings about new behavior. But the word "behavior"
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prinaša glede novega vedenja. Toda beseda "vedenje"
01:43
is also, I think, sometimes misunderstood in this context.
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je tudi, mislim, včasih nerazumljena v tem kontekstu.
01:47
I'm a big advocate of changing
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Sem velik zagovornik sprememb:
01:50
the lightbulbs and buying hybrids,
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menjavi žarnic in nakupu hibridnih vozil,
01:53
and Tipper and I put 33 solar panels on our house,
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in Tipper in jaz sva postavila 33 sončnih panelov na našo hišo,
01:57
and dug the geothermal wells, and did all of that other stuff.
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in vrtala geotermalne vodnjake ter vse ostale stvari.
02:02
But, as important as it is to change the lightbulbs,
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Toda, kot je pomembno menjati žarnice,
02:06
it is more important to change the laws.
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še bolj pomembno je spremeniti zakone.
02:08
And when we change our behavior in our daily lives,
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In ko spremenimo naše vedenje v našem vsakdanjiku,
02:14
we sometimes leave out the citizenship part
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včasih spregledamo državljanski del,
02:17
and the democracy part. In order to be optimistic about this,
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in demokratičen del. Da bi bili optimistični o tem,
02:24
we have to become incredibly active as citizens in our democracy.
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moramo postati neverjetno aktivni, kot državljani v naši demokraciji.
02:30
In order to solve the climate crisis,
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Če želimo rešili klimatsko krizo,
02:32
we have to solve the democracy crisis.
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moramo rešiti krizo demokracije.
02:35
And we have one.
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In prav to imamo.
02:37
I have been trying to tell this story for a long time.
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To zgodbo sem poskušal povedati že večkrat.
02:42
I was reminded of that recently, by a woman
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Na to sem bil opomnjen pred nedavnim, ko je gospa,
02:46
who walked past the table I was sitting at,
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ki se je sprehodila mimo mize ob kateri sem sedel,
02:49
just staring at me as she walked past. She was in her 70s,
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le zijala vame, ko je šla mimo. Bila je v svojih 70.,
02:53
looked like she had a kind face. I thought nothing of it
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videti je bila prijetnega obraza. Nisem dal pozornosti na to,
02:57
until I saw from the corner of my eye
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dokler nisem videl v kotu očesa,
03:00
she was walking from the opposite direction,
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da je hodila iz nasprotne smeri,
03:02
also just staring at me. And so I said, "How do you do?"
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in prav tako zijala vame. Tako sem rekel "Kako ste kaj?"
03:06
And she said, "You know, if you dyed your hair black,
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In rekla je "Veste, če bi si barvali lase črno,
03:09
you would look just like Al Gore." (Laughter)
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bi bili videti kot Al Gore."
03:19
Many years ago, when I was a young congressman,
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Pred mnogimi leti, ko sem bil mlad kongresnik,
03:21
I spent an awful lot of time dealing with the challenge
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sem namenil ogromno časa izzivu
03:25
of nuclear arms control -- the nuclear arms race.
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problema nadzora nukleranega orožja -- jederske tekme.
03:28
And the military historians taught me,
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In vojaški zgodovinarnji so me med tem iskanjem
03:31
during that quest, that military conflicts are typically
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naučili, da so vojaški konflikti tipično,
03:36
put into three categories: local battles,
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razvršeni v tri kategorije: lokalni boji,
03:41
regional or theater wars, and the rare but all-important
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regionalni ali gledališke vojne, in redki, toda najbolj pomembni:
03:46
global, world war -- strategic conflicts.
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globalne, svetovne vojne. Strateški konflikti.
03:51
And each level of conflict requires a different allocation of resources,
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In vsak nivo konflikta zahteva različno dodelitev virov
03:56
a different approach,
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drugačen pristop,
03:58
a different organizational model.
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drugačen organizacijski model.
04:02
Environmental challenges fall into the same three categories,
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Okoljske izzive lahko razdelimo v iste tri kategorije,
04:06
and most of what we think about
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in največ o čemer razmišljamo,
04:07
are local environmental problems: air pollution, water pollution,
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so lokalni okoljski problemi: onesnaženje zraka, onesnaženje vode,
04:10
hazardous waste dumps. But there are also
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odlaganje nevarnih odpadkov. Toda tu so tudi
04:14
regional environmental problems, like acid rain
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regionalni okoljski problemi, kot je kisel dež,
04:17
from the Midwest to the Northeast, and from Western Europe
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od Srednjega zahoda do severovzhoda ZDA in od zahodne Evrope
04:21
to the Arctic, and from the Midwest
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do Arktike, ter od sredjegazahoda ZDA
04:25
out the Mississippi into the dead zone of the Gulf of Mexico.
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iz Missisipija v mrtvo cono Mehiškega zaliva.
04:28
And there are lots of those. But the climate crisis
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In veliko je tega. Toda klimatska kriza
04:30
is the rare but all-important
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je redek toda vse-pomemben
04:32
global, or strategic, conflict.
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globalen ali strateški konflikt.
04:35
Everything is affected. And we have to organize our response
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Vse je prizadeto. In moramo organizirati naš odziv
04:40
appropriately. We need a worldwide, global mobilization
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na ustrezen način. Potrebujemo svetovno, globalno mobilizacijo
04:46
for renewable energy, conservation, efficiency
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za obnovljivo energijo, ohranjevanje, učinkovitost
04:49
and a global transition to a low-carbon economy.
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in globalen prehod na ekonomijo nizkih ogljikovih ravni.
04:52
We have work to do. And we can mobilize resources
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Čaka nas delo. In lahko mobiliziramo vire
04:56
and political will. But the political will
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in politično voljo. Toda politična volja
05:00
has to be mobilized, in order to mobilize the resources.
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mora biti najprej mobilizirana, če želimo mobilizirati vire.
05:03
Let me show you these slides here.
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Naj vam pokažem te prosojnice.
05:08
I thought I would start with the logo. What's missing here,
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Mislil sem začeti začel z logotipom. Kar manjka tukaj,
05:15
of course, is the North Polar ice cap.
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je seveda, severni polarni led.
05:17
Greenland remains. Twenty-eight years ago, this is what the
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Grenlandija ostaja. Tako je zgledal severni polarni led
05:24
polar ice cap -- the North Polar ice cap -- looked like
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28. let nazaj -- severni polarni led
05:28
at the end of the summer, at the fall equinox.
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ob koncu poletja ob jesenskem enakonočju.
05:32
This last fall, I went to the Snow and Ice Data Center
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Prejšnjo jesen, sem obiskal podatkovno središče
05:36
in Boulder, Colorado, and talked to the researchers
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za Sneg in led v Boulder, Koloradu in govoril z raziskovalci
05:39
here in Monterey at the Naval Postgraduate Laboratory.
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tukaj v Montereju v laboratoriju podiplomske plovbe.
05:43
This is what's happened in the last 28 years.
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To je, kar se je zgovilo v zadnjih 28. letih.
05:47
To put it in perspective, 2005 was the previous record.
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Da damo v prespektivo, 2005 je bil predhodnji rekord.
05:52
Here's what happened last fall
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To se je zgodilo lansko jesen,
05:55
that has really unnerved the researchers.
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kar je res razburilo raziskovalce.
05:58
The North Polar ice cap is the same size geographically --
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Severni polarni pokrov je geografsko iste velikosti.
06:10
doesn't look quite the same size --
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Čeprav ni videti enake velikosti,
06:11
but it is exactly the same size as the United States,
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toda je enake velikosti, kot ZDA
06:15
minus an area roughly equal to the state of Arizona.
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brez področja približne velikosti zvezne države Arizona.
06:18
The amount that disappeared in 2005
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Količina, ki je izginila v letu 2005
06:21
was equivalent to everything east of the Mississippi.
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je enakovredna vsemu vzhodno od Missisipija.
06:25
The extra amount that disappeared last fall
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Dodatna količina, ki je izginila prejšnjo jesen,
06:29
was equivalent to this much. It comes back in the winter,
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je ekvivalentna temu. Povrne se pozimi,
06:32
but not as permanent ice, as thin ice --
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toda ne kot trajen led, ampak kot tanek led.
06:36
vulnerable. The amount remaining could be completely gone
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Ranljivo. Količina ki ostaja lahko povsem izgine
06:42
in summer in as little as five years.
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poleti v obdobju kratkem zgolj peti let.
06:43
That puts a lot of pressure on Greenland.
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To pomeni velik pritisk za Grenlandijo.
06:49
Already, around the Arctic Circle --
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Že sedaj, okrog Arktičnega kroga --
06:57
this is a famous village in Alaska. This is a town
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to je znamenita vasica na Aljaski, To je mestece
07:01
in Newfoundland. Antarctica. Latest studies from NASA.
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v Novi Funlandiji. Antarktika. Najnovejše študije agencije NASA.
07:10
The amount of a moderate-to-severe snow melting
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Količina zmernega do hudega taljenja snega
07:13
of an area equivalent to the size of California.
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je ekvivalentna velikosti Kalifornije.
07:17
"They were the best of times,
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"Bili so dobrni časi
07:20
they were the worst of times": the most famous opening sentence
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in bili so hudi časi", najbolj znan začetni stavek
07:23
in English literature. I want to share briefly
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v angleški literaturi. Želim na kratko deliti z vami
07:26
a tale of two planets. Earth and Venus
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"Povest o dveh planetih." Zemlji in Veneri.
07:29
are exactly the same size. Earth's diameter
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Zemlja in venera sta povsem enake velikosti. Zemljin premer
07:32
is about 400 kilometers larger, but essentially the same size.
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je približno 400 kilometrov daljši, toda v bistvu enake velikosti.
07:37
They have exactly the same amount of carbon.
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Imata povsem enako količino ogljika.
07:39
But the difference is, on Earth, most of the carbon
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Toda razlika je, da na Zemlji, večina ogljika
07:44
has been leeched over time out of the atmosphere,
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izpuščena tekom časa v ozračje,
07:47
deposited in the ground as coal, oil,
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je bila v začetku v obliki ogljikovodikov v premogu, nafti.
07:51
natural gas, etc. On Venus, most of it
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plinu, id. Na Veneri je večina le tega
07:54
is in the atmosphere. The difference is that our temperature
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v atmosferi. Razlika je v tem, da je naša temperatura
07:59
is 59 degrees on average. On Venus,
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je povprečno 15 stopinj Celzija, na Veneri
08:02
it's 855. This is relevant to our current strategy
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je ta 457 stopinj Celzija. To je pomembno za našo trenutno strategijo
08:06
of taking as much carbon out of the ground as quickly as possible,
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črpanja čimveč vodika iz tal v čim krajšem času
08:08
and putting it into the atmosphere.
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in vnosu le tega v atmosfero-
08:12
It's not because Venus is slightly closer to the Sun.
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To ni posledica tega, da je Venera nekoliko bližje Soncu.
08:15
It's three times hotter than Mercury,
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Je trikrat bolj vroča od Merkurja,
08:17
which is right next to the Sun. Now, briefly,
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ki je čisto ob soncu. Zdaj na kratko,
08:20
here's an image you've seen, as one of the only old images,
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tu je slika, ki ste jo videli, kot eno izmed starih slik,
08:22
but I show it because I want to briefly give you CSI: Climate.
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toda prikazijem jo, ker vam želim podati CSI: Klima
08:26
The global scientific community says:
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Globalna znanstvena skupnost govori:
08:32
man-made global warming pollution, put into the atmosphere,
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človeško povzročeno svetovno onesnaženje, izpuščeno v ozračje,
08:36
thickening this, is trapping more of the outgoing infrared.
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ga zgoščuje, tako ujame več izhodnega infrardečega sevanja.
08:38
You all know that. At the last
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Vsi vemo to. Na zadnjem
08:39
IPCC summary, the scientists wanted to say,
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srečanju IPCC, znanstveniki so želeli sporočiti:
08:43
"How certain are you?" They wanted to answer that "99 percent."
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"Kako gotovi ste o tem?" želeli so odgovoriti "99 odstotno."
08:46
The Chinese objected, and so the compromise was
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Kitajci so nasprotovali in kompromis je bil
08:48
"more than 90 percent."
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"več kot 90 %".
08:50
Now, the skeptics say, "Oh, wait a minute,
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Zdaj skeptiki pravijo "Hej, počakaj trenutek,
08:53
this could be variations in this energy
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to so lahko varijacije v - v tej energiji,
08:57
coming in from the sun." If that were true,
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ki prihaja iz Sonca." Če bi to bilo res,
09:00
the stratosphere would be heated as well as the
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bi bila segreta stratosfera, kot tudi
09:04
lower atmosphere, if it's more coming in.
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nižje plasti atmosfere, če je večji vnos.
09:07
If it's more being trapped on the way out, then you would
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Če je več ujetega na poti ven, potem lahko
09:10
expect it to be warmer here and cooler here. Here is the lower atmosphere.
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pričakujemo, da je topleje tukaj in hladnjeje tu. To so nižje plasti atmosfere.
09:16
Here's the stratosphere: cooler.
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In to je stratosfera: hladnejša.
09:19
CSI: Climate.
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CSI: Klima.
09:20
Now, here's the good news. Sixty-eight percent of Americans now believe
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Zdaj, tu so dobre novice. 68% američanov zdaj verjame,
09:27
that human activity is responsible
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da so človeške aktivnosti odgovorne
09:30
for global warming. Sixty-nine percent believe that the Earth is heating up
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za globalno segrevanje. 69% verjame, da se Zemlja segreva
09:35
in a significant way. There has been progress,
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in to opazno. Prišlo je do napredka,
09:38
but here is the key: when given a list
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toda tu je ključ: ob danem seznamu
09:45
of challenges to confront, global warming is still listed at near the bottom.
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izzivov je globalno segrevanje še vedno pri dnu.
09:54
What is missing is a sense of urgency.
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Kar manjka je občutek za nujnost.
09:57
If you agree with the factual analysis,
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Če se strinjate z analizo dejstev,
10:02
but you don't feel the sense of urgency,
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toda ne čutite občutka njunosti,
10:05
where does that leave you?
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kaj vam to prepušča?
10:06
Well, the Alliance for Climate Protection, which I head
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No, združenje za zaščito klime, katerega vodim
10:09
in conjunction with Current TV -- who did this pro bono --
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v sodelovanju z CurrentTV - ki to opravlja v dobro,
10:13
did a worldwide contest to do commercials on how to communicate this.
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sta pripravili so svetovni natečaj za oglase, kako to sporočati.
10:17
This is the winner.
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To je zmagovalni oglas.
11:06
NBC -- I'll show all of the networks here -- the top journalists
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NBC - prikazal bom vse TV-postaje, -- najboljši novinarji
11:13
for NBC asked 956 questions in 2007
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za NBC so vprašali 956 vprašanj v 2007
11:17
of the presidential candidates: two of them were about
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predsedniškim kandidatom, le dve vprašanji od teh
11:20
the climate crisis. ABC: 844 questions, two about the climate crisis.
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so bili o klimatski krizi. ABC: 844 vprašanj, dve o klimatski krizi.
11:27
Fox: two. CNN: two. CBS: zero.
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Fox: dve. CNN: dve. CBS: nobeno.
11:37
From laughs to tears -- this is one of the older
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Od smeha do solz. To je en starejših
11:41
tobacco commercials.
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tobačnih oglasov.
11:43
So here's what we're doing.
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To je kar počnemo.
11:45
This is gasoline consumption in all of these countries. And us.
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To je poraba nafte v vseh naštetih državah in v ZDA.
11:55
But it's not just the developed nations.
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Niso le razvite države.
12:01
The developing countries are now following us
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Države v razvoju nam sledijo
12:05
and accelerating their pace. And actually,
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in povečujejo hod. In pravzaprav
12:07
their cumulative emissions this year are the equivalent
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njihove skupne emisijie so v tem letu ekvivalente
12:10
to where we were in 1965. And they're catching up
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našim v letu 1965. In dohitevajo nas
12:13
very dramatically. The total concentrations:
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zelo dramatično. Skupne koncentracije:
12:17
by 2025, they will be essentially where we were in 1985.
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do 2025 bodo v bistvu tam, kjer smo mi bili leta 1985.
12:23
If the wealthy countries were completely missing
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Četudi bi bogate države povsem izginile
12:28
from the picture, we would still have this crisis.
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iz slike, bi vseeno imeli to krizo.
12:31
But we have given to the developing countries
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Toda mi smo dali državam v razvoju
12:35
the technologies and the ways of thinking
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tehnologije in način razmišljanja,
12:37
that are creating the crisis. This is in Bolivia --
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ki sutvarjajo krizo. To je Bolivija.
12:43
over thirty years.
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V preseku 30 leti.
13:05
This is peak fishing in a few seconds. The '60s.
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To je vrhunec v nekaj sekundah. 60.
13:09
'70s. '80s. '90s. We have to stop this. And the good news is that we can.
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70. 80. 90. To moramo ustaviti. In dobra novica je, da lahko.
13:18
We have the technologies.
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Imamo tehnologije.
13:22
We have to have a unified view of how to go about this:
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Moramo imeti poenoten pogled kako pristopiti k temu:
13:27
the struggle against poverty in the world
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boj z revščino v svetu
13:31
and the challenge of cutting wealthy country emissions,
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in izziv zmanjšanja emisij v bogatih državah,
13:35
all has a single, very simple solution.
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vse ima enotno, zelo preprosto rešitev.
13:39
People say, "What's the solution?" Here it is.
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Ljudje sprašujejo "Kakšna je rešitev?" In tukaj je.
13:43
Put a price on carbon. We need a CO2 tax, revenue neutral,
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Dajmo ogljiku ceno. Potrebujemo davek na CO2, prihodkovno-nevtralen,
13:49
to replace taxation on employment, which was invented by Bismarck --
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ki bo zamenjal davke na zaposlovanje, ki so Bismarkov izzum.
13:57
and some things have changed
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In nekatere stvari so se spremenile
13:58
since the 19th century.
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od 19. stoletja.
13:59
In the poor world, we have to integrate the responses
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V obubožanem svetu, moramo integrirati odzive
14:06
to poverty with the solutions to the climate crisis.
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na revščino z rešitvami za klimatsko krizo.
14:10
Plans to fight poverty in Uganda
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Načrti za boj z revšino v Ugandi
14:13
are mooted, if we do not solve the climate crisis.
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so sporni, če ne rešimo klimatske krize.
14:17
But responses can actually make a huge difference
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Toda odzivi lahko dejansko naredijo veliko razliko
14:25
in the poor countries. This is a proposal
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v revnih državah. To je predlog
14:30
that has been talked about a lot in Europe.
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o katerem se je veliko govorilo v Evropi.
14:34
This was from Nature magazine. These are concentrating
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To je iz revije Nature. To so zgoščevalne
14:38
solar, renewable energy plants, linked in a so-called "supergrid"
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sončne obnovljive-elektrarne, povezane v tako imenovano super mrežo
14:45
to supply all of the electrical power
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za nudenje vse električne energije
14:48
to Europe, largely from developing countries -- high-voltage DC currents.
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za Evropo, v glavnem iz držav v razvoju. Visokonapetostni tokovi.
14:56
This is not pie in the sky; this can be done.
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To niso "sanje v oblakih", to je mogoče narediti.
14:59
We need to do it for our own economy.
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To rabimo za našo lastno ekonomijo.
15:02
The latest figures show that the old model
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Zadnje številke kažejo, da je stari modeli
15:05
is not working. There are a lot of great investments
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ne delujejo. Obstaja veliko odličnih investicij,
15:09
that you can make. If you are investing in tar sands
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ki jih lahko izberete. Če investirate v pesek bogat z
15:13
or shale oil, then you have a portfolio
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oljem, potem imate portfolio,
15:19
that is crammed with sub-prime carbon assets.
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ki je obremenjem z ogljikom.
15:23
And it is based on an old model.
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In je osnovan na starem modelu.
15:27
Junkies find veins in their toes when the ones
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Zasvojenci najdejo žile na palcih nog, ko so
15:30
in their arms and their legs collapse. Developing tar sands
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tiste na rokah in nogah pred kolapsom. Razvoj pridobivanja
15:35
and coal shale is the equivalent. Here are just a few of the investments
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nafte ujete v pesku je enakoverden temu. Tu je le nekaj naložb
15:41
that I personally think make sense.
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za ketere osebno menim, da so smiselne.
15:44
I have a stake in these, so I'll have a disclaimer there.
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Sam imam delež v teh, zato moram tole razglasiti.
15:47
But geothermal, concentrating solar,
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Toda geotermična, zbirna sončna,
15:50
advanced photovoltaics, efficiency and conservation.
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napredna fotovoltaika, učinkovitost in ohranjevanje.
15:57
You've seen this slide before, but there's a change.
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To prosojnico ste že videli pred tem, toda tu je sprememba.
16:00
The only two countries that didn't ratify
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Le dve državi nista ratificirali
16:04
-- and now there's only one. Australia had an election.
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-- sedaj le ena. Avstralija je imela volitve.
16:09
And there was a campaign in Australia
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In kampanija v Avstraliji
16:12
that involved television and Internet and radio commercials
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je vključevala televizijske, internetne in radijske oglase,
16:17
to lift the sense of urgency for the people there.
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za dvigovanje občutka njunosti pri prebivalcih.
16:19
And we trained 250 people to give the slide show
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Izurili smo 250 ljudi za predavatelje, ki so predavali
16:23
in every town and village and city in Australia.
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v vsakem mestu in kraju v Avstraliji.
16:28
Lot of other things contributed to it,
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Veliko drugih stvari je prispevalo k temu,
16:30
but the new Prime Minister announced that
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predsednik vlade je napovedal, da
16:33
his very first priority would be to change Australia's position
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je njegova prva prioriteta sprememba pozicije Avstralije
16:37
on Kyoto, and he has. Now, they came to an awareness
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glede Kjotskega sporazuma, in to je tudi storil. Zdaj so ozaveščeni
16:42
partly because of the horrible drought that they have had.
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deloma zaradi hude suše, ki so jo utrpeli.
16:46
This is Lake Lanier. My friend Heidi Cullen
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To je Lake Lanier. Moja prijateljica Heidi Cullins
16:50
said that if we gave droughts names the way we give hurricanes names,
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je rekla, da če suše poimenujemo, kot poimenujemo orkane,
16:54
we'd call the one in the southeast now Katrina,
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bi to sušo na jugovzhodu poimenovali Katrina in
16:57
and we would say it's headed toward Atlanta.
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rekli, da je na poti proti Atlanti.
16:59
We can't wait for the kind of drought
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Ne smemo čakati na sušo, podobno tisti,
17:03
Australia had to change our political culture.
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ki je prizadela Avstralijo, da spremenimo našo politično kulturo.
17:05
Here's more good news. The cities supporting Kyoto in the U.S.
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Tu je več dobrih novic. Število mestv ZDA, ki podpirajo Kjotski sporazum,
17:14
are up to 780 -- and I thought I saw one go by there,
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se je povzpelo na 780 - in mislim, da vidim še eno med njimi,
17:17
just to localize this -- which is good news.
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da postavim to v lokalen kontekst. To je dobra novica.
17:23
Now, to close, we heard a couple of days ago
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Da zaključim, pred nekaj dnevi smo slišali
17:29
about the value of making individual heroism so commonplace
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o vrednosti posameznega junaštva, ki postane tako vsakovnevno,
17:38
that it becomes banal or routine.
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da postane običajno ali rutinsko.
17:41
What we need is another hero generation. Those of us who are alive
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Kar potrebijemo je nova generacija herojev. Med nami, ki živimo
17:50
in the United States of America
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v ZDA danes,
17:52
today especially, but also the rest of the world,
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še posebej, kot tudi v drugih predelih sveta,
17:55
have to somehow understand that history
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moramo nekako razumeti, da nam zgodovina
18:00
has presented us with a choice -- just as Jill [Bolte] Taylor was figuring out
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nudi možnost izbire - tako kot Jill Bolte Taylor je poskušala ugotoviti
18:10
how to save her life while she was distracted
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kako rešiti svoje življenje, medtem ko jo je zmotila
18:15
by the amazing experience that she was going through.
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neverjetna izkušnja pred njo.
18:19
We now have a culture of distraction.
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Sedaj imamo kulturo odvračanja pozornosti.
18:22
But we have a planetary emergency.
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Toda imamo globalno krizo.
18:27
And we have to find a way to create,
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In moramo najti način ustvarjanja,
18:31
in the generation of those alive today, a sense of generational mission.
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med generacijo tistih, ki živimo danes, občtek generacijske misije.
18:37
I wish I could find the words to convey this.
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Želim, da bi našel prave besede, da vam posredujem to.
18:43
This was another hero generation
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To je še ena generacija herojev,
18:45
that brought democracy to the planet.
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ki so prinesli demokracijo našemu planetu.
18:48
Another that ended slavery. And that gave women the right to vote.
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Še eni, ki so končali sužensjtvo. In dali ženskam volilno pravico.
18:55
We can do this. Don't tell me that we don't have the capacity to do it.
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Mi to zmoremo. Ne recite mi, da nimamo sposobnosti izpeljati tega.
19:02
If we had just one week's worth of what we spend on the Iraq War,
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Če imamo le tednesko vrednost tega, kar danes zapravimo za vojno v Iraku,
19:06
we could be well on the way to solving this challenge.
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smo lahko na lepi poti do rešitve izziva.
19:09
We have the capacity to do it.
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Imamo vse sposobnosti, da to naredimo.
19:19
One final point: I'm optimistic, because I believe
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Kot končna točka. Sem oprimist, ker verjamem,
19:32
we have the capacity, at moments of great challenge,
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da imamo sposobnost, v trenutkih velikih izzivov,
19:36
to set aside the causes of distraction and rise to the challenge
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da damo na stran zadeve, ki odvračajo našo pozornost in se posvetimo pravim izzivom,
19:42
that history is presenting to us.
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kot nam jih ponuja zgodovina.
19:47
Sometimes I hear people respond to the disturbing facts of the climate crisis
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Včasih slišim odzive ljudi na moteča dejstva o klimatski krizi,
19:59
by saying, "Oh, this is so terrible.
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ko govorijo "Joj, to je tako strašno.
20:01
What a burden we have." I would like to ask you
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Kako breme nosimo." Rad bi vas vprašal
20:07
to reframe that. How many generations
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da to ponovno uokvirite. Koliko generacij
20:11
in all of human history have had the opportunity
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v celotni zgodovini človeštva je imelo priložnost
20:16
to rise to a challenge that is worthy of our best efforts?
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da se zoperstavi izzivu vrednemu naših najboljših moči?
20:25
A challenge that can pull from us
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Izzivu, ki nas lahko potegne
20:31
more than we knew we could do? I think we ought to approach
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več kot vemo, več lahko naredimo? Mislim, da moramo približati
20:39
this challenge with a sense of profound joy
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ta izziv z smislom in globokim veseljem
20:43
and gratitude that we are the generation
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in hvaležnostjo, da smo mi generacija
20:48
about which, a thousand years from now,
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o kateri, bodo čez tisoče let od danes,
20:52
philharmonic orchestras and poets and singers will celebrate
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orkestri, pesniki in pevci slavili,
21:01
by saying, they were the ones that found it within themselves
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z besedami, da so oni tisti, ki so našli v sebi
21:08
to solve this crisis and lay the basis
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rešitev krize in postavitev osnov
21:13
for a bright and optimistic human future.
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svetle in optimistične prihodnosti človeštva.
21:15
Let's do that. Thank you very much.
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Naredimo to. Najlepša hvala.
21:42
Chris Anderson: For so many people at TED, there is deep pain
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Chris Anderson: Za veliko ljudi pri TED, je velika bolečina,
21:48
that basically a design issue
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da je v osnovi vprašanje oblikovanja - na koncu dneva,
21:50
on a voting form --
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vprašanje oblikovanja na glasovalnem obrazcu.
21:52
one bad design issue meant that your voice wasn't being heard
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slabo oblikovanje lahko pomeni, da vaš glas ni bil slišan,
21:56
like that in the last eight years in a position
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kot v preteklih osmih letih na položaju,
21:57
where you could make these things come true.
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ko bi lahko uresničili te stvari.
21:59
That hurts.
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To bili.
22:01
Al Gore: You have no idea. (Laughter)
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Al Gore: Nimate pojma.
22:11
CA: When you look at what the leading candidates
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CA: Ko gledate na to, kar počnejo vodilni kandidati
22:12
in your own party are doing now -- I mean, there's --
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v vaši lastni stranki - mislim, je -
22:14
are you excited by their plans on global warming?
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ali ste razburjeni nad njihovimi načrti glede globalnega segrevanja?
22:28
AG: The answer to the question is hard for me
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AG: Odgovor na to vprašanje je težek,
22:32
because, on the one hand, I think that
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ker na eni strani, menim, da
22:36
we should feel really great about the fact
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bi se morali počutiti odlično že ob dejstvu,
22:41
that the Republican nominee -- certain nominee --
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da je Republikanski kandidat - določen kandidat-
22:47
John McCain, and both of the finalists
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John McCain, in oba finalista
22:51
for the Democratic nomination -- all three have a very different
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med Demokrati - vsi imajo zalo različne
22:56
and forward-leaning position
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in naprej usmerjene poglede
22:58
on the climate crisis. All three have offered leadership,
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glede klimatske krize. Vsi trije do ponudili vodstvo,
23:03
and all three are very different from the approach taken
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in vsi so povsem drugačni od pristopa
23:07
by the current administration. And I think
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trenutne administracije. In mislim,
23:10
that all three have also been responsible in
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da so vsi trije zelo odgovorno
23:14
putting forward plans and proposals. But the campaign dialogue that --
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postavili plane in predloge. Toda kampanija dialoga, ki
23:25
as illustrated by the questions --
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kot ilustrirano s pomočjo vprašanj,
23:26
that was put together by the
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ki so jih sestavilo pri
23:27
League of Conservation Voters, by the way, the analysis of all the questions --
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volilci pri Ligi za Ohranitev, mimogrede, analiza vseh vprašanj -
23:30
and, by the way, the debates have all been
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in mimogrede, vse debate so bile
23:34
sponsored by something that goes by the Orwellian label,
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sponzorirane iz nečesa, kar presega oznako Orwelliansko,
23:36
"Clean Coal." Has anybody noticed that?
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"Čisti premog" Je kdo opazil to?
23:40
Every single debate has been sponsored by "Clean Coal."
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Vsaka posamezno debato je omogočil "Čisti premog".
23:44
"Now, even lower emissions!"
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"Zdaj, še nižji izpusti"
23:46
The richness and fullness of the dialogue
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Bogastvo in polnost dialoga
23:50
in our democracy has not laid the basis
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v naši demokraciji nima osnov
23:53
for the kind of bold initiative that is really needed.
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za močne pobude, ki jih res potrebujemo.
23:57
So they're saying the right things and they may --
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Torej pravijo, prave stvari, ki jih morda --
24:00
whichever of them is elected -- may do the right thing,
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kdorkoli je že izvoljen -- morda bo naredil pravo stvar.
24:03
but let me tell you: when I came back from Kyoto
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toda naj vam povem: ko sem se vrnil iz Kjota
24:07
in 1997, with a feeling of great happiness
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lata 1997 z občutkom sreče,
24:14
that we'd gotten that breakthrough there,
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da nam uspe preboj,
24:16
and then confronted the United States Senate,
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in se soočil z senatom ZDA,
24:18
only one out of 100 senators was willing to vote
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le en on 100 senatorjev je bil pripralvjan glasovati
24:22
to confirm, to ratify that treaty. Whatever the candidates say
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in potrditi ter ratificirati pogodbo. Karkoli kandidati rečejo
24:29
has to be laid alongside what the people say.
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mora biti postavljeno poleg tega, kar ljudje rečejo.
24:34
This challenge is part of the fabric
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Izziv je del tkiva
24:38
of our whole civilization.
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naše celotne civilizacije.
24:40
CO2 is the exhaling breath of our civilization, literally.
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CO2 je izdih naše civilizacije, dobesedno.
24:44
And now we mechanized that process. Changing that pattern
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In zdaj smo mehanizirali ta proces. Spremenili vzorec,
24:47
requires a scope, a scale, a speed of change
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kar zahteva obseg, doseg in hitrost sprememb,
24:54
that is beyond what we have done in the past.
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ki presega tiste iz preteklosti.
24:57
So that's why I began by saying,
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Zato sem začel, s tem da sem dejal,
24:59
be optimistic in what you do, but be an active citizen.
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bodimo optimistični v tem kar delamo, bodimo aktivni državljani.
25:06
Demand -- change the light bulbs,
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Zahtevajmo. Menjajmo žarnice in
25:08
but change the laws. Change the global treaties.
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spremenimo zakone. Spremenimo globalne pogodbe.
25:11
We have to speak up. We have to solve this democracy -- this --
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Moramo spregovoriti. Moramo rešiti to demokracijo -- to --
25:18
We have sclerosis in our democracy. And we have to change that.
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Naša demokracija je pozabljiva. In to moramo spremeniti.
25:25
Use the Internet. Go on the Internet.
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Uporabimo Internet. Pojdimo na Internet.
25:26
Connect with people. Become very active as citizens.
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Povežimo se z ostalimi. Postanimo zelo aktivni državljani.
25:30
Have a moratorium -- we shouldn't
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Vzpostavimo moratorije -- ne smemo
25:32
have any new coal-fired generating plants
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imeti nobenih novih elektrarn na premog,
25:34
that aren't able to capture and store CO2, which means we have to
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ki niso sposobne zajemanja in shranjevanja CO2. Kar pomeni, da moramo
25:39
quickly build these renewable sources.
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hitro graditi obnovljive vire energije.
25:41
Now, nobody is talking on that scale. But I do believe
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Danes, nihče ne dela tega v takem obsegu. Toda varjamem,
25:45
that between now and November, it is possible.
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da med zdaj in novembrom, je to mogoče.
25:49
This Alliance for Climate Protection
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Naše zavezništvo za zaščito klime
25:51
is going to launch a nationwide campaign --
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bo začelo nacionalno kampanijo --
25:54
grassroots mobilization, television ads, Internet ads,
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mobilizacijo prek televizijskih, internetnih oglasov,
25:57
radio, newspaper -- with partnerships with everybody
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radia, novic -- s pomočjo partnerstva z vsemi
26:00
from the Girl Scouts to the hunters and fishermen.
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od tabornic do lovcev in ribolovcev.
26:03
We need help. We need help.
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Potrebujemo pomoč. Potrebujemo pomoč.
26:07
CA: In terms of your own personal role going forward,
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CA: V okviru vaše osebne vloge vnaprej,
26:11
Al, is there something more than that
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Al, je še kaj več, kar
26:13
you would like to be doing?
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bi radi počeli?
26:14
AG: I have prayed that I would be able to find the answer
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AG: Molil sem, da bi našel odgovor
26:22
to that question. What can I do?
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na to vprašanje. Kaj lahko počnem?
26:27
Buckminster Fuller once wrote, "If the future
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Buckminster Fuller je nekoč zapisal: "Če je prihodnost
26:31
of all human civilization depended on me, what would I do?
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vsega človeštva odvisna od mene, kaj lahko storim?
26:36
How would I be?" It does depend on all of us,
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Kakšen bi bil?" Odvisna je od nas vseh,
26:41
but again, not just with the light bulbs.
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toda spet, ne samo od menjave žarnic.
26:43
We, most of us here, are Americans. We have a democracy.
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Mi, večina nas tukaj, smo Američani. Imamo demokracijo.
26:51
We can change things, but we have to actively change.
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Lahko spremenimo stvari, toda moramo aktivno spreminjati.
26:57
What's needed really is a higher level of consciousness.
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Kar v resnici potrebujemo, je višji nivo zavesti.
27:02
And that's hard to --
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In to je težko -
27:04
that's hard to create -- but it is coming.
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to je težko ustvariti -- toda to je na poti.
27:08
There's an old African proverb that some of you know
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Star afriški pregovor, morda ga nekateri med vami poznajo,
27:11
that says, "If you want to go quickly, go alone;
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govori: "Če želite hitro, pojdite sami.
27:15
if you want to go far, go together." We have to go far, quickly.
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Če želite daleč, pojdite skupaj." Mi moramo daleč in hotro.
27:23
So we have to have a change in consciousness.
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Zato moramo spremeniti zavest.
27:27
A change in commitment. A new sense of urgency.
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Sprememba k zavezi. Nov občutek nujnosti.
27:31
A new appreciation for the privilege
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Novo cenjenje privilegija,
27:34
that we have of undertaking this challenge.
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da se soočamo s tem izzivom.
27:37
CA: Al Gore, thank you so much for coming to TED.
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CA: Al Gore, najlepša hvala, za udeležbo na TED.
27:41
AG: Thank you. Thank you very much.
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AG: Hvala. Najlepša hvala tudi vam.
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