New thinking on the climate crisis | Al Gore

240,978 views ・ 2008-04-08

TED


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譯者: Joyce Lynn 審譯者: Chih-Yuan Huang
00:18
I have given the slide show that I gave here two years ago about 2,000 times.
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兩年前,我在這裡講過一場演講,後來,同樣的內容我大概又講了2000次
00:25
I'm giving a short slide show this morning
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今天早上的投影片內容
00:30
that I'm giving for the very first time, so --
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可是我頭一次講的
00:33
well it's -- I don't want or need to raise the bar,
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我這樣說,並非想提高標準
00:38
I'm actually trying to lower the bar.
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其實我是想降低標準。
00:39
Because I've cobbled this together
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因為,我東拼西湊了這些資料
00:44
to try to meet the challenge of this session.
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來配合今天的演講場合。
00:49
And I was reminded by Karen Armstrong's fantastic presentation
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我不禁想起了凱倫‧阿姆斯壯( Karen Armstrong) 曾說過
00:54
that religion really properly understood
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宗教,恰當地來說,其實非關人類的信仰
01:00
is not about belief, but about behavior.
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而是人類的行為。
01:03
Perhaps we should say the same thing about optimism.
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或許,我們也該如此看待「樂觀」這件事。
01:07
How dare we be optimistic?
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我們怎敢說自己是樂觀派呢?
01:11
Optimism is sometimes characterized as a belief, an intellectual posture.
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樂觀,有時被當成一種信仰,一種理智的態度
01:19
As Mahatma Gandhi famously said,
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誠如印度國父甘地所言,
01:22
"You must become the change you wish to see in the world."
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「你希望世界變成什麼樣子,你自己要先成為那個樣子」
01:25
And the outcome about which
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我們想要樂觀,可是樂觀
01:27
we wish to be optimistic is not going to be created
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並不會因為我們想要而自動產生
01:32
by the belief alone, except to the extent that the belief
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除非我們的想法,某個程度上
01:37
brings about new behavior. But the word "behavior"
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可以帶來新的行為,但是「行為」這個字眼
01:43
is also, I think, sometimes misunderstood in this context.
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我覺得,有時候在這種情況下會被誤解
01:47
I'm a big advocate of changing
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我是大力贊成換省電燈泡
01:50
the lightbulbs and buying hybrids,
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還有開油電車的人,
01:53
and Tipper and I put 33 solar panels on our house,
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我和太太一同幫家裡裝了 33 片太陽能板,
01:57
and dug the geothermal wells, and did all of that other stuff.
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也開挖地熱井,還有做了許多其他類似的事情。
02:02
But, as important as it is to change the lightbulbs,
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雖然,換省電燈泡很重要,
02:06
it is more important to change the laws.
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但是,修訂法條更重要。
02:08
And when we change our behavior in our daily lives,
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當我們在改變每天的行為模式時,
02:14
we sometimes leave out the citizenship part
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卻忘了我們還有公民權利
02:17
and the democracy part. In order to be optimistic about this,
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還有民主制度,為了要可以真正樂觀,
02:24
we have to become incredibly active as citizens in our democracy.
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我們必須更積極扮演好我們的公民角色。
02:30
In order to solve the climate crisis,
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要解決地球的氣候危機,
02:32
we have to solve the democracy crisis.
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我們要先解決我們的民主危機。
02:35
And we have one.
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我們的民主真的有危機。
02:37
I have been trying to tell this story for a long time.
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這個故事我已經講過很多次了。
02:42
I was reminded of that recently, by a woman
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最近有位女士又讓我想起這個故事
02:46
who walked past the table I was sitting at,
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我那時坐著,她走過我的旁邊
02:49
just staring at me as she walked past. She was in her 70s,
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她一直盯著我看,年紀大約七十來歲
02:53
looked like she had a kind face. I thought nothing of it
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她看起來很和藹,我本來也不以為意
02:57
until I saw from the corner of my eye
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後來我從眼睛的餘光看到她
03:00
she was walking from the opposite direction,
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她從對面方向朝我走來,
03:02
also just staring at me. And so I said, "How do you do?"
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她還是一直盯著我看,於是,我跟她說:「您好!」
03:06
And she said, "You know, if you dyed your hair black,
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然後,她就說:「你知道嗎?如果你把頭髮染黑
03:09
you would look just like Al Gore." (Laughter)
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你看起來就像高爾副總統。」(哄堂大笑)
03:19
Many years ago, when I was a young congressman,
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多年前,我還是個年輕的國會議員
03:21
I spent an awful lot of time dealing with the challenge
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那時我花了好多時間
03:25
of nuclear arms control -- the nuclear arms race.
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處理核武限制、核武競賽的問題。
03:28
And the military historians taught me,
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在那段期間,軍事專家告訴我
03:31
during that quest, that military conflicts are typically
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軍事衝突基本上分為三大類
03:36
put into three categories: local battles,
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局部戰事、區域戰爭
03:41
regional or theater wars, and the rare but all-important
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以及罕見但嚴重的世界大戰
03:46
global, world war -- strategic conflicts.
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戰略性衝突。
03:51
And each level of conflict requires a different allocation of resources,
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不同衝突階段需要不同的資源分配
03:56
a different approach,
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不同的兵法
03:58
a different organizational model.
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以及不同的組織形態
04:02
Environmental challenges fall into the same three categories,
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環保的挑戰同樣也可以分成這三類
04:06
and most of what we think about
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目前大部分人的想法
04:07
are local environmental problems: air pollution, water pollution,
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都停留在局部的環保問題:空氣污染、水污染
04:10
hazardous waste dumps. But there are also
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有害廢棄物棄置等。
04:14
regional environmental problems, like acid rain
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但是還有區域的環保問題,像是酸雨
04:17
from the Midwest to the Northeast, and from Western Europe
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從中西部到東北部,從西歐到北極
04:21
to the Arctic, and from the Midwest
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從中西部密西西比以外
04:25
out the Mississippi into the dead zone of the Gulf of Mexico.
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到墨西哥灣的死區。
04:28
And there are lots of those. But the climate crisis
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這類區域環保問題太多了,但是氣候危機
04:30
is the rare but all-important
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是屬於罕見而嚴重的全球性問題
04:32
global, or strategic, conflict.
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是戰略性的衝突。
04:35
Everything is affected. And we have to organize our response
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全球無一倖免!大家必須組織動員起來
04:40
appropriately. We need a worldwide, global mobilization
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一起好好面對這個問題,我們需要全球動員
04:46
for renewable energy, conservation, efficiency
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找尋再生能源,保護地球資源,提升效能
04:49
and a global transition to a low-carbon economy.
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全世界一起轉型成「低碳經濟」。
04:52
We have work to do. And we can mobilize resources
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我們有好多事情要做,我們可以動員各種資源
04:56
and political will. But the political will
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包括政治力,但政治力要先動員起來
05:00
has to be mobilized, in order to mobilize the resources.
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才能有效動員其他資源
05:03
Let me show you these slides here.
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我來給大家看些投影片
05:08
I thought I would start with the logo. What's missing here,
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我想就從這個LOGO開始,這裡已經消失的
05:15
of course, is the North Polar ice cap.
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當然,就是北極冰帽
05:17
Greenland remains. Twenty-eight years ago, this is what the
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格林蘭還在,28年前,這裡還是極地冰帽
05:24
polar ice cap -- the North Polar ice cap -- looked like
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北極冰帽
05:28
at the end of the summer, at the fall equinox.
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看起來是夏末秋分的時節。
05:32
This last fall, I went to the Snow and Ice Data Center
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這是去年秋天,我去冰雪資料中心
05:36
in Boulder, Colorado, and talked to the researchers
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在科羅拉多的博爾德市,向研究人員演講
05:39
here in Monterey at the Naval Postgraduate Laboratory.
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這是在蒙特雷的海軍研究所實驗室。
05:43
This is what's happened in the last 28 years.
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這是過去 28 年的情形
05:47
To put it in perspective, 2005 was the previous record.
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正確來說,上次記錄是2005做的。
05:52
Here's what happened last fall
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這是去年秋天的情形
05:55
that has really unnerved the researchers.
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這讓研究人員相當緊張。
05:58
The North Polar ice cap is the same size geographically --
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從地形上來看,北極冰帽大小非常像美國。
06:10
doesn't look quite the same size --
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雖然看起來沒有完全像,
06:11
but it is exactly the same size as the United States,
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但它跟美國的大小一樣,
06:15
minus an area roughly equal to the state of Arizona.
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扣掉大約一個亞利桑納州的面積。
06:18
The amount that disappeared in 2005
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2005 年冰帽消失的面積
06:21
was equivalent to everything east of the Mississippi.
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等於密西西比以東的面積。
06:25
The extra amount that disappeared last fall
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去年秋天再消失的面積
06:29
was equivalent to this much. It comes back in the winter,
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等於這麼多,它在冬天又回來了
06:32
but not as permanent ice, as thin ice --
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但這並不是永久冰,而是薄冰。
06:36
vulnerable. The amount remaining could be completely gone
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是會融化的,現在僅存的冰也是會完全消失的
06:42
in summer in as little as five years.
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大約五年後的夏天就會消失。
06:43
That puts a lot of pressure on Greenland.
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這讓格林蘭面臨極大壓力。
06:49
Already, around the Arctic Circle --
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這是在北極圈附近
06:57
this is a famous village in Alaska. This is a town
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這是阿拉斯加一個有名的村莊,這是個小鎮
07:01
in Newfoundland. Antarctica. Latest studies from NASA.
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在紐芬蘭,在南極洲,太空總署的最新研究。
07:10
The amount of a moderate-to-severe snow melting
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中度到重度融冰的數量
07:13
of an area equivalent to the size of California.
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約等於一個加州。
07:17
"They were the best of times,
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這是最好的時代
07:20
they were the worst of times": the most famous opening sentence
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也是最壞的時代:這是英國文學
07:23
in English literature. I want to share briefly
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最有名的開場白,我想要簡短地
07:26
a tale of two planets. Earth and Venus
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跟你們講兩個星球的故事
07:29
are exactly the same size. Earth's diameter
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地球和金星大小一樣
07:32
is about 400 kilometers larger, but essentially the same size.
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地球直徑約多了 400 公里,但基本上,兩者大小一樣。
07:37
They have exactly the same amount of carbon.
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兩者含碳量也相同
07:39
But the difference is, on Earth, most of the carbon
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但不同的是,地球上大多數的碳
07:44
has been leeched over time out of the atmosphere,
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經過長時間,都被從大氣層中吸了出去,
07:47
deposited in the ground as coal, oil,
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藏在土壤中,像是煤炭、石油
07:51
natural gas, etc. On Venus, most of it
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天然氣等等,而在金星,大部分的碳
07:54
is in the atmosphere. The difference is that our temperature
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都在大氣層中,結果我們的溫度
07:59
is 59 degrees on average. On Venus,
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平均 59 度,而金星的溫度是855 度
08:02
it's 855. This is relevant to our current strategy
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這跟我們現在的做法有相當的關係
08:06
of taking as much carbon out of the ground as quickly as possible,
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我們正在加速把土壤中的碳拿出來
08:08
and putting it into the atmosphere.
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放回大氣層裡頭去。
08:12
It's not because Venus is slightly closer to the Sun.
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金星不是因為離太陽近一點
08:15
It's three times hotter than Mercury,
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所以它比水星熱三倍,
08:17
which is right next to the Sun. Now, briefly,
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水星就在太陽的旁邊,簡單來說
08:20
here's an image you've seen, as one of the only old images,
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看看這張圖片,這是你看過的照片,
08:22
but I show it because I want to briefly give you CSI: Climate.
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我讓大家簡單看看氣候犯罪現場的照片。
08:26
The global scientific community says:
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全球科學界都說,
08:32
man-made global warming pollution, put into the atmosphere,
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人類造成全球溫室污染,排入大氣層中
08:36
thickening this, is trapping more of the outgoing infrared.
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把這個加厚,更多紅外線無法輻射出去。
08:38
You all know that. At the last
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這些你都已經知道了
08:39
IPCC summary, the scientists wanted to say,
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根據 IPCC 最新的說法,科學家想告訴我們
08:43
"How certain are you?" They wanted to answer that "99 percent."
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「你有多確定呢?」科學家想回答:「百分之九十九」
08:46
The Chinese objected, and so the compromise was
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中國代表反對這種說法,所以折衷的說法是
08:48
"more than 90 percent."
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「百分之九十以上」
08:50
Now, the skeptics say, "Oh, wait a minute,
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現在,懷疑論者說,「等一下」
08:53
this could be variations in this energy
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這裡面有許多變數,來自太陽的能量。
08:57
coming in from the sun." If that were true,
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如果這是真的話
09:00
the stratosphere would be heated as well as the
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同溫層的溫度會上升
09:04
lower atmosphere, if it's more coming in.
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大氣層下層溫度也會上升,如果有更多熱量進來。
09:07
If it's more being trapped on the way out, then you would
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如果有更多紅外線出不去
09:10
expect it to be warmer here and cooler here. Here is the lower atmosphere.
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你可以預期這裡比較熱,這裡比較涼,這裡是大氣層的下層。
09:16
Here's the stratosphere: cooler.
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這裡是同溫層,比較涼。
09:19
CSI: Climate.
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氣候犯罪現場的分析
09:20
Now, here's the good news. Sixty-eight percent of Americans now believe
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這裡有些好消息,現在有68%的美國人相信
09:27
that human activity is responsible
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人類要為全球暖化負責
09:30
for global warming. Sixty-nine percent believe that the Earth is heating up
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有69%相信地球的溫度正急遽升高
09:35
in a significant way. There has been progress,
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觀念上的確是有些進步了
09:38
but here is the key: when given a list
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但重點是:如果要開一張清單
09:45
of challenges to confront, global warming is still listed at near the bottom.
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列出我們要面對的挑戰,全球暖化還是被排在很下面。
09:54
What is missing is a sense of urgency.
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因為我們缺少了急迫感。
09:57
If you agree with the factual analysis,
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如果你都同意這些事實分析,
10:02
but you don't feel the sense of urgency,
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但是你卻沒有急迫感,
10:05
where does that leave you?
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你會怎麼做呢?
10:06
Well, the Alliance for Climate Protection, which I head
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我所領導的氣候保護聯盟
10:09
in conjunction with Current TV -- who did this pro bono --
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跟 CurrentTV 一起共同舉辦了
10:13
did a worldwide contest to do commercials on how to communicate this.
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一場全球廣告競賽,來宣傳這件事情。
10:17
This is the winner.
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這是得獎作品。
11:06
NBC -- I'll show all of the networks here -- the top journalists
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我給大家看看所有的媒體 - NBC 電視台他們頂尖的記者群
11:13
for NBC asked 956 questions in 2007
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2007 年向總統候選人提了 956 個問題
11:17
of the presidential candidates: two of them were about
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只有兩個是關於氣候危機的問題
11:20
the climate crisis. ABC: 844 questions, two about the climate crisis.
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ABC 電視台:844個問題,只有兩個關於氣候危機
11:27
Fox: two. CNN: two. CBS: zero.
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Fox 電視台:兩個,CNN 新聞網:兩個,CBS 電視台:沒有
11:37
From laughs to tears -- this is one of the older
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樂極生悲,這是一個很老的
11:41
tobacco commercials.
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香煙廣告。
11:43
So here's what we're doing.
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這是我們正在做的事情。
11:45
This is gasoline consumption in all of these countries. And us.
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這是這些國家的石油消耗量,這是我們美國的消耗量。
11:55
But it's not just the developed nations.
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不是只有已開發國家這樣而已。
12:01
The developing countries are now following us
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開發中國家現在也步上了我們的後塵
12:05
and accelerating their pace. And actually,
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而且腳步更快。事實上,
12:07
their cumulative emissions this year are the equivalent
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他們今年的累積排放量已經等於
12:10
to where we were in 1965. And they're catching up
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我們在 1965 年的水準了。
12:13
very dramatically. The total concentrations:
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他們還在拼命急起直追
12:17
by 2025, they will be essentially where we were in 1985.
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到 2025 年的總排放量,大概會到達我們在 1985 年的水準。
12:23
If the wealthy countries were completely missing
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就算有錢國家全都消失了
12:28
from the picture, we would still have this crisis.
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從這圖上來看,我們還是得面臨危機。
12:31
But we have given to the developing countries
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因為我們給了開發中國家
12:35
the technologies and the ways of thinking
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跟我們一樣的科技、一樣的思惟模式
12:37
that are creating the crisis. This is in Bolivia --
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因而產生一樣的危機,這是玻利維亞
12:43
over thirty years.
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過去三十年的情形
13:05
This is peak fishing in a few seconds. The '60s.
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接下來幾秒鐘是捕魚高峰期的圖,60年代
13:09
'70s. '80s. '90s. We have to stop this. And the good news is that we can.
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70年代、80年代、90年代,我們必須停止這種情形,好消息是我們做得到
13:18
We have the technologies.
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我們有這方面的技術。
13:22
We have to have a unified view of how to go about this:
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至於要怎麼做,我們必須要有一致的看法
13:27
the struggle against poverty in the world
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全世界都在對抗貧窮
13:31
and the challenge of cutting wealthy country emissions,
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同時還有降低富有國家碳排放量的挑戰,
13:35
all has a single, very simple solution.
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這些問題有個唯一的、簡單的解決之道。
13:39
People say, "What's the solution?" Here it is.
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有人問:「什麼解決之道?」,就是這個。
13:43
Put a price on carbon. We need a CO2 tax, revenue neutral,
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給碳訂個價錢,我們需要徵收二氧化碳的稅,但不增加整體稅賦,
13:49
to replace taxation on employment, which was invented by Bismarck --
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來取代以聘雇課稅的方式,這是俾斯麥發明的
13:57
and some things have changed
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自從十九世紀開始
13:58
since the 19th century.
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有些事情就已經變了。
13:59
In the poor world, we have to integrate the responses
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對貧窮國家來說,貧窮問題
14:06
to poverty with the solutions to the climate crisis.
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要跟氣候危機一起解決。
14:10
Plans to fight poverty in Uganda
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烏干達對抗貧窮的計畫會被不斷討論
14:13
are mooted, if we do not solve the climate crisis.
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如果我們不一併解決氣候危機的問題。
14:17
But responses can actually make a huge difference
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但是貧窮國家對抗貧窮的方式
14:25
in the poor countries. This is a proposal
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可能會有極大的差異。
14:30
that has been talked about a lot in Europe.
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在歐洲,這個提案已經被廣泛地討論過了。
14:34
This was from Nature magazine. These are concentrating
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這是 Nature 雜誌寫的,這些是密集的
14:38
solar, renewable energy plants, linked in a so-called "supergrid"
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太陽能再生能源電廠,串連成一個超級輸電網
14:45
to supply all of the electrical power
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提供全歐洲所有的電力
14:48
to Europe, largely from developing countries -- high-voltage DC currents.
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這些多半來自開發中國家,高壓直流電。
14:56
This is not pie in the sky; this can be done.
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這不是空話,這是可行的。
14:59
We need to do it for our own economy.
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為了我們的經濟,我們得這麼做
15:02
The latest figures show that the old model
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最新的數據顯示,過去的舊模式是行不通的
15:05
is not working. There are a lot of great investments
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不過還是有很多你可以投資的東西
15:09
that you can make. If you are investing in tar sands
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如果你投資了瀝青砂,或頁岩油
15:13
or shale oil, then you have a portfolio
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那你的投資組合裡面
15:19
that is crammed with sub-prime carbon assets.
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就有很多次級碳資產。
15:23
And it is based on an old model.
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這是根據舊有的模式
15:27
Junkies find veins in their toes when the ones
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當吸毒的人手臂跟腳的靜脈血管都萎縮了
15:30
in their arms and their legs collapse. Developing tar sands
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他們就會發現自己腳趾頭的靜脈了。
15:35
and coal shale is the equivalent. Here are just a few of the investments
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開發瀝青砂和煤炭頁岩結果都一樣
15:41
that I personally think make sense.
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這是一些我個人認為值得的投資。
15:44
I have a stake in these, so I'll have a disclaimer there.
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我自己也投資了一些,所以對此我會發表免責聲明
15:47
But geothermal, concentrating solar,
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但是地熱,密集太陽能
15:50
advanced photovoltaics, efficiency and conservation.
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高階太陽能發電,兼顧效能與節能。
15:57
You've seen this slide before, but there's a change.
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你以前有看過這張投影片,但現在有點不一樣了。
16:00
The only two countries that didn't ratify
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那兩個不簽署的國家
16:04
-- and now there's only one. Australia had an election.
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現在只剩下一個了,澳洲經過了一場選舉。
16:09
And there was a campaign in Australia
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當時在澳洲有一系列宣傳活動
16:12
that involved television and Internet and radio commercials
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包括電視、網路、廣播廣告等
16:17
to lift the sense of urgency for the people there.
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為了加深人們的急迫感。
16:19
And we trained 250 people to give the slide show
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我們訓練了250人來講這些投影片
16:23
in every town and village and city in Australia.
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給澳洲每個小鎮、村子,還有城裡的人聽。
16:28
Lot of other things contributed to it,
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很多其他的資源也都做了貢獻
16:30
but the new Prime Minister announced that
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最後澳洲的新總理宣佈
16:33
his very first priority would be to change Australia's position
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他上任後的第一件事就是要改變澳洲對京都議定書的立場
16:37
on Kyoto, and he has. Now, they came to an awareness
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他的承諾他真的做到了。
16:42
partly because of the horrible drought that they have had.
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現在他們總算意識到問題了,有部份原因是因為澳洲的乾旱。
16:46
This is Lake Lanier. My friend Heidi Cullen
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這是拉尼爾湖,我朋友 Heidi Cullins 說
16:50
said that if we gave droughts names the way we give hurricanes names,
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如果我們像幫颶風命名一樣,也幫乾旱取名字
16:54
we'd call the one in the southeast now Katrina,
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我們會叫東南部的那個乾旱「卡崔納」
16:57
and we would say it's headed toward Atlanta.
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然後我們會說它正朝亞特蘭大前進。
16:59
We can't wait for the kind of drought
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我們不能等到像澳洲那麼嚴重的乾旱發生了
17:03
Australia had to change our political culture.
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才來改變我們的政治文化。
17:05
Here's more good news. The cities supporting Kyoto in the U.S.
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這裡有更多好消息,這是全美支持京都議定書的城市
17:14
are up to 780 -- and I thought I saw one go by there,
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有多達780個城市,我好像有看到一個熟悉的名字
17:17
just to localize this -- which is good news.
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就是它,這的確是個好消息。
17:23
Now, to close, we heard a couple of days ago
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最後來做個結論,幾天前我們聽到有人說
17:29
about the value of making individual heroism so commonplace
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個人英雄主義已經普通到沒什麼價值了
17:38
that it becomes banal or routine.
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以致於英雄變得相當平庸或公式化。
17:41
What we need is another hero generation. Those of us who are alive
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我們需要的是另一個英雄世代,就是我們這些活在當下的人
17:50
in the United States of America
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尤其是今天的美國人
17:52
today especially, but also the rest of the world,
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還有全世界其他人,
17:55
have to somehow understand that history
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我們必須明白一件事
18:00
has presented us with a choice -- just as Jill [Bolte] Taylor was figuring out
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那就是歷史正給我們一個機會 - 就像是 吉兒.泰勒 (Jill Bolte Taylor) 正在想方設法
18:10
how to save her life while she was distracted
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拯救她自己的性命
18:15
by the amazing experience that she was going through.
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同時卻被自己奇妙的經歷所擾亂。
18:19
We now have a culture of distraction.
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我們有個紛亂的文化。
18:22
But we have a planetary emergency.
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但是我們正面臨著全球危機
18:27
And we have to find a way to create,
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我們需要找到一個方法
18:31
in the generation of those alive today, a sense of generational mission.
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在我們這一個世代,來創造出一種世代使命感
18:37
I wish I could find the words to convey this.
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真希望我能找到適當的話語來傳達給你們知道。
18:43
This was another hero generation
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這是另外一個英雄世代
18:45
that brought democracy to the planet.
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他們替人類建立了民主制度。
18:48
Another that ended slavery. And that gave women the right to vote.
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另一個英雄世代,他們解放了黑奴,並且賦予婦女投票權
18:55
We can do this. Don't tell me that we don't have the capacity to do it.
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我們也做得到,不要跟我說我們沒有這樣的能力。
19:02
If we had just one week's worth of what we spend on the Iraq War,
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如果我們能有相當於伊拉克戰爭一個星期的軍費,
19:06
we could be well on the way to solving this challenge.
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我們要解決這個挑戰,就一定不成問題。
19:09
We have the capacity to do it.
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我們絕對有能力做得到。
19:19
One final point: I'm optimistic, because I believe
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最後一點,我真的很樂觀,因為我相信我們有能力
19:32
we have the capacity, at moments of great challenge,
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來面對這些極大的挑戰,
19:36
to set aside the causes of distraction and rise to the challenge
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把擾亂我們的原因放在一旁,挺身面對這個挑戰
19:42
that history is presenting to us.
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這是歷史給我們的挑戰。
19:47
Sometimes I hear people respond to the disturbing facts of the climate crisis
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有時候我會聽到別人是這樣回應氣候危機這個煩惱的
19:59
by saying, "Oh, this is so terrible.
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他們說:「真是可怕,我們背的包袱真重」
20:01
What a burden we have." I would like to ask you
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我想請你千萬別這樣說
20:07
to reframe that. How many generations
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因為人類歷史上有多少世代
20:11
in all of human history have had the opportunity
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能有這樣千載難逢的機會
20:16
to rise to a challenge that is worthy of our best efforts?
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來面對這樣的挑戰,這值得我們付出一切努力
20:25
A challenge that can pull from us
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這個挑戰可以激發出我們意想不到的能力
20:31
more than we knew we could do? I think we ought to approach
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我覺得我們應該以相當喜悅的心情
20:39
this challenge with a sense of profound joy
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來迎接這個挑戰,
20:43
and gratitude that we are the generation
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而且要很感恩是我們這個世代
20:48
about which, a thousand years from now,
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再過一千年後
20:52
philharmonic orchestras and poets and singers will celebrate
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愛樂交響樂團,詩人、歌手會歌頌我們這個世代
21:01
by saying, they were the ones that found it within themselves
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歷史會記載說:就是他們發覺自己的能力
21:08
to solve this crisis and lay the basis
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解決了這個重大危機,
21:13
for a bright and optimistic human future.
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為人類光明、樂觀的未來奠定基礎。
21:15
Let's do that. Thank you very much.
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我們一起努力吧!非常謝謝!
21:42
Chris Anderson: For so many people at TED, there is deep pain
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主持人:對很多TED的朋友來說,真的相當沈痛
21:48
that basically a design issue
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到頭來,這根本是個設計上的問題
21:50
on a voting form --
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一個投票制度的設計問題
21:52
one bad design issue meant that your voice wasn't being heard
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一個不好的設計,結果讓你的聲音無法被聽見
21:56
like that in the last eight years in a position
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像過去八年那樣有個職位
21:57
where you could make these things come true.
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能讓你實現今天所說的這些事情。
21:59
That hurts.
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真的令人心痛
22:01
Al Gore: You have no idea. (Laughter)
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高爾:那種痛你無法體會的(哄堂大笑)
22:11
CA: When you look at what the leading candidates
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主持人:你看你自己黨提名的候選人
22:12
in your own party are doing now -- I mean, there's --
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他們現在在做的事情,我是說
22:14
are you excited by their plans on global warming?
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他們關於全球暖化的計畫,有讓你感到期待嗎?
22:28
AG: The answer to the question is hard for me
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高爾:你這個問題,我有點難回答
22:32
because, on the one hand, I think that
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因為,一方面,我覺得
22:36
we should feel really great about the fact
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我們應該感到高興
22:41
that the Republican nominee -- certain nominee --
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因為共和黨的候選人 - 特定的候選人 - John McCain
22:47
John McCain, and both of the finalists
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還有民主黨的兩個候選人
22:51
for the Democratic nomination -- all three have a very different
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他們三人對氣候危機的主張都很不同
22:56
and forward-leaning position
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也都很有前瞻性
22:58
on the climate crisis. All three have offered leadership,
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他們三人都展現出領導力,
23:03
and all three are very different from the approach taken
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也都打算採取不同於目前政府的做法
23:07
by the current administration. And I think
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我覺得他們三人也都很盡責
23:10
that all three have also been responsible in
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推出很多計畫跟提案。
23:14
putting forward plans and proposals. But the campaign dialogue that --
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但是那些選舉語言
23:25
as illustrated by the questions --
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正如同保守選民聯盟
23:26
that was put together by the
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所整理出來的問題所指出的
23:27
League of Conservation Voters, by the way, the analysis of all the questions --
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而且,他們還分析了所有的問題
23:30
and, by the way, the debates have all been
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此外,這些辯論的贊助廠商
23:34
sponsored by something that goes by the Orwellian label,
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他們的標示牌上面還出現「潔淨煤炭」的字樣
23:36
"Clean Coal." Has anybody noticed that?
306
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有人注意到這個嗎?
23:40
Every single debate has been sponsored by "Clean Coal."
307
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每一場辯論都是「潔淨煤炭」所贊助的
23:44
"Now, even lower emissions!"
308
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「現在,有更低的碳排放!」
23:46
The richness and fullness of the dialogue
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這些民主對話的內容雖然豐富
23:50
in our democracy has not laid the basis
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但並未替我們建立任何基礎
23:53
for the kind of bold initiative that is really needed.
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也沒有給我們帶來真正需要的大膽的計畫。
23:57
So they're saying the right things and they may --
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他們是在說對的話,他們也可能
24:00
whichever of them is elected -- may do the right thing,
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不管誰當選,也會做對的事情,
24:03
but let me tell you: when I came back from Kyoto
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但是讓我告訴你:當我1997年從京都回來的時候
24:07
in 1997, with a feeling of great happiness
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我是充滿了喜悅的
24:14
that we'd gotten that breakthrough there,
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因為我們有重大突破
24:16
and then confronted the United States Senate,
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然後我們去面對美國國會,
24:18
only one out of 100 senators was willing to vote
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100名參議員,只有一個願意投票支持簽署京都議定書
24:22
to confirm, to ratify that treaty. Whatever the candidates say
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不管這些候選人說什麼,他們的意見是什麼
24:29
has to be laid alongside what the people say.
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都必須跟人民的意見一致才對。
24:34
This challenge is part of the fabric
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這項挑戰是我們整個人類文明的結構
24:38
of our whole civilization.
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裡頭的一部份。
24:40
CO2 is the exhaling breath of our civilization, literally.
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CO2簡直就是我們文明的呼吸。
24:44
And now we mechanized that process. Changing that pattern
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現在我們把這個過程僵化了
24:47
requires a scope, a scale, a speed of change
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我們要改變這個模式,而且改變的角度、尺度、速度之大
24:54
that is beyond what we have done in the past.
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要遠遠超出我們過去所做的改變。
24:57
So that's why I began by saying,
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這就是為什麼我一開始先談樂觀
24:59
be optimistic in what you do, but be an active citizen.
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對我們所做的事情要樂觀,要成為活躍的公民
25:06
Demand -- change the light bulbs,
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敢於要求 - 換燈泡,
25:08
but change the laws. Change the global treaties.
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更要換法律,修改全球的條約。
25:11
We have to speak up. We have to solve this democracy -- this --
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我們要大聲疾呼,我們要解決這個民主制度的危機
25:18
We have sclerosis in our democracy. And we have to change that.
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我們的民主像血管一樣硬化了,我們必須改變它。
25:25
Use the Internet. Go on the Internet.
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使用網路,上網。
25:26
Connect with people. Become very active as citizens.
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與其他人串連,成為活躍的公民。
25:30
Have a moratorium -- we shouldn't
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要求政府暫停 - 我們不要再有
25:32
have any new coal-fired generating plants
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新的燃煤發電廠
25:34
that aren't able to capture and store CO2, which means we have to
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如果發電廠無法收集、儲存CO2的話,這也表示
25:39
quickly build these renewable sources.
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我們必須盡快建立再生能源。
25:41
Now, nobody is talking on that scale. But I do believe
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現在沒有人在討論這些,但是我堅信
25:45
that between now and November, it is possible.
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從現在到11月,這是有可能的
25:49
This Alliance for Climate Protection
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氣候保護聯盟
25:51
is going to launch a nationwide campaign --
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會發起全國性的宣傳活動,
25:54
grassroots mobilization, television ads, Internet ads,
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動員基層的人、電視廣告、網路廣告
25:57
radio, newspaper -- with partnerships with everybody
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廣播、報紙,與所有人一起結盟
26:00
from the Girl Scouts to the hunters and fishermen.
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不管是女童軍,還是獵人、漁民。
26:03
We need help. We need help.
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我們需要幫忙、我們需要幫忙
26:07
CA: In terms of your own personal role going forward,
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主持人:談談未來你個人的角色,
26:11
Al, is there something more than that
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有沒有什麼比你現在所想的、所要做的
26:13
you would like to be doing?
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還更大的事情呢?
26:14
AG: I have prayed that I would be able to find the answer
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高爾:我祈禱過,我希望我能找到答案來解決問題
26:22
to that question. What can I do?
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從此之外,我還能做什麼?
26:27
Buckminster Fuller once wrote, "If the future
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Buckminster Fuller 曾經這樣寫道:
26:31
of all human civilization depended on me, what would I do?
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如果全人類的希望都繫在我身上,我該怎麼辦?
26:36
How would I be?" It does depend on all of us,
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我會如何?現在這問題的確是繫在我們的身上,
26:41
but again, not just with the light bulbs.
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再說一次,這不是換換燈泡就行了。
26:43
We, most of us here, are Americans. We have a democracy.
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我們,大部分在座的,都是美國人,我們有民主制度。
26:51
We can change things, but we have to actively change.
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我們有能力改變事情,但是我們要更積極地改變。
26:57
What's needed really is a higher level of consciousness.
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我們需要的是更高的道德良知。
27:02
And that's hard to --
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而這很難
27:04
that's hard to create -- but it is coming.
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這很難創造得出來 - 但就快要有了
27:08
There's an old African proverb that some of you know
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你們知道有一個古老的非洲諺語:
27:11
that says, "If you want to go quickly, go alone;
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「如果要走得快,一人獨行;
27:15
if you want to go far, go together." We have to go far, quickly.
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如果要走得遠,結伴同行」,我們現在需要走得又遠、又快。
27:23
So we have to have a change in consciousness.
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所以我們需要改變我們的道德良知。
27:27
A change in commitment. A new sense of urgency.
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改變我們的承諾,需要有全新的急迫感。
27:31
A new appreciation for the privilege
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需要發自內心來感謝
27:34
that we have of undertaking this challenge.
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感謝我們有接受這份挑戰的榮幸。
27:37
CA: Al Gore, thank you so much for coming to TED.
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主持人:高爾,非常謝謝你來TED演講。
27:41
AG: Thank you. Thank you very much.
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高爾:謝謝你,非常感謝!
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