Why are we happy? Why aren't we happy? | Dan Gilbert

2,138,358 views ・ 2007-01-16

TED


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Translator: Matej Markota Reviewer: Miha Pelko
Ko imate 21 minut na voljo za predstavitev,
00:26
When you have 21 minutes to speak,
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se dva milijona let zdi dolga doba.
00:28
two million years seems like a really long time.
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Vendar sta dva milijona let evolucijsko komaj kaj.
00:31
But evolutionarily, two million years is nothing.
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Kljub temu se je v tem času teža človeških možganov potrojila,
00:34
And yet, in two million years,
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00:36
the human brain has nearly tripled in mass,
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00:39
going from the one-and-a-quarter-pound brain of our ancestor here, Habilis,
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s pol kilograma, kolikor so tehtali možgani našega prednika Habilisa,
na 1,3 kilogramsko gibanico, ki jo nosimo med ušesi.
00:44
to the almost three-pound meatloaf everybody here has between their ears.
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Kaj je takšnega na velikih možganih, da jih je narava človeku priskrbela?
00:49
What is it about a big brain
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00:52
that nature was so eager for every one of us to have one?
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Ko se možganom potroji velikost,
00:56
Well, it turns out when brains triple in size,
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00:58
they don't just get three times bigger; they gain new structures.
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ne postanejo samo trikrat večji, ampak hkrati pridobijo nove strukture.
01:02
And one of the main reasons our brain got so big is because it got a new part,
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Naši možgani so se tako povečali predvsem zato, ker so dobili nov del,
imenovan čelni reženj. Zlasti pa področje imenovano prefrontalna skorja.
01:07
called the "frontal lobe,"
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01:08
particularly, a part called the "prefrontal cortex."
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Čemu sploh služi prefrontalna skorja, da lahko upraviči
01:11
What does a prefrontal cortex do for you
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01:14
that should justify the entire architectural overhaul of the human skull
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celotno preobrazbo človeške lobanje v tako kratkem času?
01:18
in the blink of evolutionary time?
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Izkaže se, da ima prefrontalna skorja številne naloge.
01:20
Well, it turns out the prefrontal cortex does lots of things,
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Ena najpomembnejših med njmi je,
01:23
but one of the most important things it does is it's an experience simulator.
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da deluje kot simulator doživljanja.
Piloti vadijo v simulatorjih,
01:29
Pilots practice in flight simulators
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01:32
so that they don't make real mistakes in planes.
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da ne bi naredili napak med pravimi leti.
01:34
Human beings have this marvelous adaptation
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Človek je razvil to čudovito prilagoditev,
01:37
that they can actually have experiences in their heads
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da lahko dejansko doživlja dogodke
01:41
before they try them out in real life.
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preden jih izkusi v resničnem življenju.
01:43
This is a trick that none of our ancestors could do,
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To je veščina, ki je naši predniki niso imeli
01:46
and that no other animal can do quite like we can.
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in je nobena druga žival ne obvlada tako kot mi. To je čudovita prilagoditev.
01:49
It's a marvelous adaptation.
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01:50
It's up there with opposable thumbs and standing upright and language
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Kosa se lahko s oprijemalnim palcem, pokončno držo in govorom
01:54
as one of the things that got our species out of the trees
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ter je ena tistih stvari, ki nas je z dreves spravila
01:58
and into the shopping mall.
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v nakupovalna središča.
02:00
(Laughter)
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- (Smeh) - To veščino vsi uporabljamo.
02:02
All of you have done this.
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Na primer,
02:04
Ben and Jerry's doesn't have "liver and onion" ice cream,
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ni mogoče najti sladoleda z okusom jeter in čebule.
02:07
and it's not because they whipped some up, tried it and went, "Yuck!"
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Ne zato, ker bi ga kdo naredil, poizkusil in se zgrozil.
02:11
It's because, without leaving your armchair,
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Ampak si lahko, ne da bi pomignili,
02:14
you can simulate that flavor and say "yuck" before you make it.
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predstavljate ta okus in se zgrozite preden ga naredite.
Poglejmo, kako deluje vaš simulator doživljanja.
02:20
Let's see how your experience simulators are working.
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02:23
Let's just run a quick diagnostic
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Naredimo kratek preizkus, preden nadaljujem s predstavitvijo.
02:25
before I proceed with the rest of the talk.
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02:27
Here's two different futures that I invite you to contemplate.
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Razmislite o dveh različnih življenjskih poteh,
02:31
You can try to simulate them and tell me which one you think you might prefer.
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simulirajte ju in povejte, katera pot vam je ljubša.
02:35
One of them is winning the lottery. This is about 314 million dollars.
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Prva je dobitek na loteriji. Ta je vreden 314 milijonov dolarjev.
02:40
And the other is becoming paraplegic.
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Druga možnost je postati paraplegik.
02:43
(Laughter)
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Vzemite si trenutek za razmislek.
02:44
Just give it a moment of thought.
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02:46
You probably don't feel like you need a moment of thought.
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Verjetno se vam zdi, da ne potrebujete razmisleka.
02:49
Interestingly, there are data on these two groups of people,
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Zanimivo je, da obstajajo podatki o teh dveh skupinah ljudi,
02:53
data on how happy they are.
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o tem kako srečni so.
02:55
And this is exactly what you expected, isn't it?
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In to je natančno, kar ste pričakovali, kaj ne?
02:58
But these aren't the data. I made these up!
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Vendar to niso pravi podatki. Te sem si sam izmislil!
03:01
These are the data.
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To so pravi podatki. Po petih minutah predstavitve ste že padli na preizkusu znanja.
03:02
You failed the pop quiz, and you're hardly five minutes into the lecture.
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03:06
Because the fact is that a year after losing the use of their legs
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Dejstvo je, da po enem letu od izgube sposobnosti uporabe nog
03:10
and a year after winning the lotto,
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in eno leto po zmagi na lotu, so dobitniki na lotu in paraplegiki
03:12
lottery winners and paraplegics are equally happy with their lives.
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enako srečni s svojim življenjem.
Naj vas ne skrbi preveč, ker ste padli na preizkusu,
03:18
Don't feel too bad about failing the first pop quiz,
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03:20
because everybody fails all of the pop quizzes all of the time.
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saj vsi vedno znova padejo na vseh preizkusih.
Raziskave, ki smo jih naredili v mojem laboratoriju
03:24
The research that my laboratory has been doing,
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in ki jih delajo ekonomisti in psihologi po celi državi,
03:27
that economists and psychologists around the country have been doing,
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so razkrile nekaj zelo vznemirljivega.
03:30
has revealed something really quite startling to us,
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Nekaj, kar imenujemo vpliv nagnjenosti,
03:33
something we call the "impact bias,"
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03:35
which is the tendency for the simulator to work badly,
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in označuje težnjo simulatorja k napakam.
03:38
for the simulator to make you believe that different outcomes are more different
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Simulator vas prepriča v to, da so različni izidi
bolj različni, kot v resnici drži.
03:43
than, in fact, they really are.
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03:45
From field studies to laboratory studies,
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Od opazovalnih do laboratorijskih raziskav,
03:47
we see that winning or losing an election,
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vse kaže, da zmaga ali poraz na volitvah, začetek ali konec romantične zveze,
03:50
gaining or losing a romantic partner,
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uspeh ali neuspeh pri napredovanju v službi in pri opravljanju izpitov
03:52
getting or not getting a promotion,
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03:54
passing or not passing a college test,
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03:56
on and on,
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in tako dalje, imajo veliko manjši učinek, manjšo globino in so krajši,
03:57
have far less impact, less intensity and much less duration
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kot ljudje pričakujejo.
04:02
than people expect them to have.
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Najnovejša raziskava -- ki me zelo preseneča--
04:05
A recent study -- this almost floors me --
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preučuje, kako velike travme vplivajo na ljudi,
04:11
a recent study showing how major life traumas affect people
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je pokazala, da po treh mesecih,
04:15
suggests that if it happened over three months ago,
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s samo nekaj izjemami,
travma nima več nikakršnega vpliva na vašo srečo.
04:18
with only a few exceptions,
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Zakaj?
04:20
it has no impact whatsoever on your happiness.
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Ker je srečo mogoče sintetizirati.
04:24
Why?
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04:26
Because happiness can be synthesized.
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Sir Thomas Brown je leta 1642 napisal, "Sem najsrečnejši človek na svetu.
04:30
Sir Thomas Brown wrote in 1642, "I am the happiest man alive.
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V meni je tisto, kar spreobrne revščino v bogastvo, nesrečo v blaginjo.
04:34
I have that in me that can convert poverty to riches, adversity to prosperity.
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Bolj sem neranljiv od Ahila; usoda me nima kam udariti."
04:39
I am more invulnerable than Achilles; fortune hath not one place to hit me."
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Kakšno izredno mašinerijo ima ta človek v glavi?
04:44
What kind of remarkable machinery does this guy have in his head?
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Izkaže se, da ima natanko enako izredno mašinerijo, kot jo imamo vsi ostali.
04:47
Well, it turns out it's precisely the same remarkable machinery that all of us have.
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Človek ima nekaj, kar si lahko predstavljamo kot psihološki imunski sistem.
04:53
Human beings have something
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04:55
that we might think of as a "psychological immune system,"
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Sistem miselnih procesov, večinoma nezavednih,
04:58
a system of cognitive processes, largely nonconscious cognitive processes,
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ki človeku pomaga spremeniti pogled na svet,
05:03
that help them change their views of the world,
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zato, da se lahko bolje počuti v danih okoliščinah.
05:07
so that they can feel better about the worlds
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Kot g. Thomas imate tudi v to sposobnost.
05:09
in which they find themselves.
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Za razliko od g. Thomasa se je verjetno ne zavedate.
05:11
Like Sir Thomas, you have this machine.
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05:14
Unlike Sir Thomas, you seem not to know it.
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Srečo sintetiziramo, prepričani pa smo, da jo moramo iskati.
05:18
We synthesize happiness, but we think happiness is a thing to be found.
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Ne potrebujete me, da bi vam pokazal veliko primerov, kako ljudje sintetizirajo srečo.
05:23
Now, you don't need me to give you
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05:25
too many examples of people synthesizing happiness, I suspect,
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Čeprav vam bom pokazal nekaj eksperimentalnih dokazov,
jih ni potrebno iskati daleč.
05:29
though I'm going to show you some experimental evidence.
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Kot izziv samemu sebi, to namreč občasno rečem med predavanji,
05:32
You don't have to look very far for evidence.
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05:34
I took a copy of the "New York Times"
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sem vzel izvod New York Timesa in poizkusil najti primere, ko ljudje sintetizirajo srečo.
05:36
and tried to find some instances of people synthesizing happiness.
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Tukaj so trije, ki so sintetitzirali srečo.
05:39
Here are three guys synthesizing happiness.
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"Bolje sem fizično, finančno, emocionalno, mentalno
05:41
"I'm better off physically, financially, mentally ..."
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05:43
"I don't have one minute's regret. It was a glorious experience."
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in na skoraj vseh ostalih področjih." "Niti malo mi ni žal.
05:46
"I believe it turned out for the best."
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To je bila veličastna izkušnja". "Verjamem, da se je izšlo najbolje."
05:48
Who are these characters who are so damn happy?
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Kdo so te osebe, ki so tako prekleto srečne?
05:51
The first one is Jim Wright.
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05:52
Some of you are old enough to remember:
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Prvi je Jim Wright.
05:54
he was the chairman of the House of Representatives,
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Nekateri ste dovolj stari, da se ga spomnite: bil je predsednik spodnjega doma ameriškega kongresa.
05:56
and he resigned in disgrace
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05:58
when this young Republican named Newt Gingrich found out about
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Nečastno je odstopil, ko je mlad republikanec z imenom Newt Gingrich
06:01
a shady book deal that he had done.
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06:02
He lost everything.
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razkril njegove sumljive posle.
06:04
The most powerful Democrat in the country lost everything:
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Vse je izgubil. Najvplivnejši demokrat v državi,
06:06
he lost his money, he lost his power.
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je izgubil vse.
06:08
What does he have to say all these years later about it?
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Izgubil je denar, izgubil je moč.
06:11
"I am so much better off physically, financially, mentally
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Kaj ima za povedati po vseh teh letih?
"Toliko sem bolje fizično, finančno, mentalno
06:14
and in almost every other way."
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06:15
What other way would there be to be better off?
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in na skoraj vseh ostalih področjih."
06:17
Vegetably? Minerally? Animally?
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Na katerih področjih je sploh lahko bolje?
06:20
He's pretty much covered them there.
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Zelenjavno? Mineralno? Živalno? Je kar pokrit.
06:22
Moreese Bickham is somebody you've never heard of.
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06:24
Moreese Bickham uttered these words upon being released.
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Za Moreesea Bickhama še niste slišali.
Ko je bil izpuščen, je povedal naslednje.
06:27
He was 78 years old.
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06:28
He'd spent 37 years in Louisiana State Penitentiary
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Star je bil 78 let. 37 let je preživel
06:31
for a crime he didn't commit.
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v Louisianskem zaporu za zločin, ki ga ni zagrešil.
06:33
He was ultimately [released for good behavior halfway through his sentence.]
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Na koncu je bil osvobojen,
06:37
What did he have to say about his experience?
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pri 78ih, zaradi DNK dokazov.
06:39
"I don't have one minute's regret. It was a glorious experience."
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Kaj je povedal o svoji izkušnji?
06:42
Glorious!
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"Niti malo mi ni žal. To je bila veličastna izkušnja."
06:43
This guy's not saying, "There were some nice guys. They had a gym."
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Veličastna! Ni rekel:
06:46
"Glorious" -- a word we usually reserve for something like a religious experience.
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"Spoznal sem par prijaznih ljudi. Imeli so telovadnico."
"Veličastna",
beseda, ki jo navadno uporabljamo za na primer religiozna doživetja.
06:50
Harry S. Langerman uttered these words.
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06:53
He's somebody you might have known but didn't,
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Harry S. Langerman je nekdo, ki bi ga lahko poznali
06:55
because in 1949, he read a little article in the paper
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ampak ga ne. Leta 1949 je prebral članek
06:58
about a hamburger stand owned by these two brothers named McDonald.
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o stojnici s hamburgerji v lasti nekih dveh bratov z imenom McDonalds.
07:01
And he thought, "That's a really neat idea!"
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07:03
So he went to find them.
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Mislil si je, "to je kar dobro zamisel!"
07:05
They said, "We can give you a franchise on this for 3,000 bucks."
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Poiskal jih je. Odgovorili so mu,
07:08
Harry went back to New York, asked his brother, an investment banker,
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"Franšizo ti lahko damo za 3000 dolarjev."
Harry se je vrnil v New York in prosil brata, ki je delal kot investicijski bankir,
07:11
to loan him 3,000 dollars, and his brother's immortal words were,
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07:14
"You idiot, nobody eats hamburgers."
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naj mu posodi 3000 dolarjev.
Nesmrtne besede brata so bile:
07:16
He wouldn't lend him the money.
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07:17
Of course, six months later, Ray Kroc had exactly the same idea.
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"Ti bebec, nihče ne je hamburgerjev."
Denarja mu ni posodil in seveda šest mesecev kasneje
07:20
It turns out, people do eat hamburgers,
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je imel Ray Croc povsem enako zamisel.
07:22
and Ray Kroc, for a while, became the richest man in America.
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Izkazalo se je, da ljudje jedo hamburgerje
in Ray Croc je za nekaj časa postal najbogatejši Američan.
07:26
And then, finally,
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07:28
some of you recognize this young photo of Pete Best,
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Na koncu --najboljša možnost--
07:31
who was the original drummer for the Beatles,
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nekateri boste prepoznali to sliko mladega Petea Besta,
07:33
until they, you know, sent him out on an errand and snuck away
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07:37
and picked up Ringo on a tour.
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ki je bil prvi bobnar Beatlesov,
07:39
Well, in 1994, when Pete Best was interviewed --
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dokler ga niso "poslali po opravkih" in skrivaj pobegnili
07:41
yes, he's still a drummer; yes, he's a studio musician --
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ter na turi pobrali Ringa.
07:44
he had this to say: "I'm happier than I would have been with the Beatles."
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Ko so imeli leta 1994 intervju s Pete Bestom
-- da, še vedno je bobnar in glasbenik v studiu--
07:48
OK, there's something important to be learned from these people,
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je povedal sledeče: "Srečnejši sem, kot bi bil z Beatlesi."
07:51
and it is the secret of happiness.
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07:53
Here it is, finally to be revealed.
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Dobro. Nekaj pomembnega se lahko naučimo od teh ljudi
07:55
First: accrue wealth, power and prestige,
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in to je skrivnost sreče.
07:58
then lose it.
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Tukaj je, končno bo razkrita.
07:59
(Laughter)
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Prvo: pridobite si bogastvo, moč in ugled,
08:01
Second: spend as much of your life in prison as you possibly can.
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nato jih izgubite. (Smeh)
08:05
(Laughter)
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08:06
Third: make somebody else really, really rich.
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Drugo: preživite čim daljši del življenja v zaporu.
(Smeh) Tretje: Nekoga drugega naredite zelo bogatega. (Smeh)
08:10
And finally: never, ever join the Beatles.
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08:12
(Laughter)
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08:13
Yeah, right.
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08:14
Because when people synthesize happiness,
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In končno: nikoli se ne pridružite Beatlesom. (Smeh)
08:16
as these gentlemen seem to have done,
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OK. Tako kot Ze Frank, lahko tudi jaz predvidim kaj si mislite,
08:19
we all smile at them, but we kind of roll our eyes and say,
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08:22
"Yeah, right, you never really wanted the job."
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to je: "Ja, seveda." Ko
08:25
"Oh yeah, right -- you really didn't have that much in common with her,
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ljudje sintetizirajo srečo, kakor ti gospodje,
08:29
and you figured that out just about the time
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se jim nasmehnemo, hkrati pa zavijamo z očmi in si mislimo,
08:31
she threw the engagement ring in your face."
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08:33
We smirk,
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"Ja, seveda, nikoli si res nisi želel te službe."
08:34
because we believe that synthetic happiness is not of the same quality
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"Ja, seveda. Saj res nisi
imel dosti skupnega z njo
08:38
as what we might call "natural happiness."
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in to si odkril ravno, ko ti je
08:41
What are these terms?
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08:42
Natural happiness is what we get when we get what we wanted,
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vrgla zaročni prstan v obraz."
Zaničljivo se nasmehnemo, ker verjamemo, da sintetizirana sreča
08:45
and synthetic happiness is what we make when we don't get what we wanted.
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ni iste kakovosti kot tako imenovana naravna sreča.
08:50
And in our society, we have a strong belief
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Kakšni so to izrazi?
Naravna sreča je tisto, kar dobimo, ko dosežemo željeno.
08:53
that synthetic happiness is of an inferior kind.
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Sintetizirana sreča je tisto, kar naredimo, ko ne dobimo željenega.
08:57
Why do we have that belief?
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08:58
Well, it's very simple.
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09:00
What kind of economic engine would keep churning
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In v naši družbi prevladuje prepričanje,
09:04
if we believed that not getting what we want
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da je sintetična sreča manjvredna.
09:07
could make us just as happy as getting it?
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Zakaj to verjamemo?
To je enostavno. Kakšen ekonomski sistem
09:10
With all apologies to my friend Matthieu Ricard,
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bi še deloval,
09:14
a shopping mall full of Zen monks
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če bi verjeli, da bomo enako srečni, če dobimo ali ne dobimo željenega?
09:16
is not going to be particularly profitable,
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09:18
because they don't want stuff enough.
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09:20
(Laughter)
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Z vsem spoštovanjem do prijatelja Matthieu Ricarda,
09:22
I want to suggest to you
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09:23
that synthetic happiness is every bit as real and enduring
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nakupovalno središče polno Zen menihov
ne bo posebej dobičkonosno,
09:27
as the kind of happiness you stumble upon
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ker si le ti ne želijo stvari zadosti.
09:30
when you get exactly what you were aiming for.
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09:32
Now, I'm a scientist, so I'm going to do this not with rhetoric,
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Skušal vam bom pokazati, da je sintetizirana sreča
09:35
but by marinating you in a little bit of data.
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povsem enako resnična in trajna
09:38
Let me first show you an experimental paradigm
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kot tista sreča, ki jo najdete,
09:40
that's used to demonstrate the synthesis of happiness
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ko dobite natanko to, kar ste si želeli.
09:44
among regular old folks.
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Kot znanstvenik ne bom leporečil,
09:45
This isn't mine,
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ampak vas bom namočil v nekaj podatkov.
09:46
it's a 50-year-old paradigm called the "free choice paradigm."
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Najprej vam bom predstavil eksperimentalno paradigmo
09:49
It's very simple.
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09:50
You bring in, say, six objects,
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za prikaz sintetiziranja sreče
09:53
and you ask a subject to rank them from the most to the least liked.
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med starostniki. To ni moje delo.
09:56
In this case, because this experiment uses them,
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To je 50 let stara paradigma, imenovana paradigma svobodne izbire.
09:59
these are Monet prints.
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Zelo je enostavna.
10:00
Everybody ranks these Monet prints from the one they like the most
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Prinesete recimo šest predmetov,
10:04
to the one they like the least.
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preiskovanec pa jih razvrsti od najbolj do najmanj zaželjenega.
10:05
Now we give you a choice:
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V tem primeru, ker jih uporabljamo tudi v naslednjem poizkusu,
10:07
"We happen to have some extra prints in the closet.
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10:09
We're going to give you one as your prize to take home.
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so to Monetove slike.
Vsak lahko razvrsti te Monetove slike
10:12
We happen to have number three and number four," we tell the subject.
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po vrsti, glede na to, koliko so mu všeč.
Zdaj vam damo na izbiro:
10:16
This is a bit of a difficult choice,
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"Slučajno imamo nekaj dodatnih slik v shrambi.
10:18
because neither one is preferred strongly to the other,
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10:20
but naturally, people tend to pick number three,
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Za nagrado lahko eno vzamete domov.
Slučajno imamo številko tri in štiri,"
10:23
because they liked it a little better than number four.
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jim povemo. To ni povsem lahko odločitev,
10:26
Sometime later -- it could be 15 minutes, it could be 15 days --
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ker so slike preiskovancem podobno všeč,
10:30
the same stimuli are put before the subject,
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seveda ljudje praviloma izberejo številko tri,
10:32
and the subject is asked to re-rank the stimuli.
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ker se jim bolj dopade od štirice.
10:35
"Tell us how much you like them now."
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10:37
What happens?
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Čez nekaj časa -- lahko čez 15 minut ali čez 15 dni --
10:38
Watch as happiness is synthesized.
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10:40
This is the result that's been replicated over and over again.
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se preiskovancem pokaže iste dražljaje
10:43
You're watching happiness be synthesized.
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in oni jih ponovno razvrstijo.
10:45
Would you like to see it again?
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"Povejte, koliko so vam zdaj všeč."
Kaj se zgodi? Glejte, kako se sreča sintetizira.
10:48
Happiness!
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10:49
"The one I got is really better than I thought!
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To je rezultat, ki so ga ponovili znova in znova.
10:51
That other one I didn't get sucks!"
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10:54
That's the synthesis of happiness.
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Gledate, kako se sreča sintetizira.
10:55
(Laughter)
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Bi radi še enkrat videli? Sreča!
10:57
Now, what's the right response to that?
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10:59
"Yeah, right!"
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"Podarjena slika je boljša, kot sem mislil!
11:02
Now, here's the experiment we did,
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Tista, ki je nisem, dobil je slaba!"
11:04
and I hope this is going to convince you
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(Smeh) To je sintetiziranje sreče.
11:06
that "Yeah, right!" was not the right response.
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Kakšen je pravilen odgovor na to? "Ja, seveda!"
11:08
We did this experiment with a group of patients
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11:10
who had anterograde amnesia.
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11:12
These are hospitalized patients.
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Tukaj je poizkus, ki smo ga naredili
11:14
Most of them have Korsakoff syndrome,
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in upam, da vas prepriča, da
11:16
a polyneuritic psychosis.
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"Ja, seveda!" ni bil pravi odgovor.
11:18
They drank way too much, and they can't make new memories.
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Naredili smo poizkus s skupino bolnikov
z anterogradno amnezijo. To so bolniki v bolnišnicah.
11:22
They remember their childhood, but if you walk in and introduce yourself
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Večina ima Korsakoffov sindrom,
11:26
and then leave the room,
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ki je polinevritična psihoza -- veliko preveč so pili,
11:27
when you come back, they don't know who you are.
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11:31
We took our Monet prints to the hospital.
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in ne morejo tvoriti novih spominov.
OK? Spomnijo se svojega otroštva, če pa stopite v sobo, se jim predstavite
11:34
And we asked these patients to rank them
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11:37
from the one they liked the most to the one they liked the least.
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in nato odidete,
ko se boste vrnili, ne bodo vedeli kdo ste.
11:41
We then gave them the choice between number three and number four.
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Vzeli smo Monetove slike v bolnišnico.
11:44
Like everybody else, they said,
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In prosili smo te bolnike, naj jih razvrstijo
11:46
"Gee, thanks Doc! That's great! I could use a new print.
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od tiste, ki jim je najbolj, do tiste, ki jim je najmanj všeč.
11:49
I'll take number three."
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11:50
We explained we would have number three mailed to them.
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Nato so se odločili med številko tri in štiri.
11:54
We gathered up our materials,
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Kot vsi ostali, so rekli
11:56
and we went out of the room and counted to a half hour.
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"O hvala dohtar! Čudovito! Prav bo prišla.
11:58
(Laughter)
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Vzel bom številko tri."
12:00
Back into the room, we say, "Hi, we're back."
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Rekli smo, da bodo dobili številko tri po pošti.
12:03
The patients, bless them, say, "Ah, Doc, I'm sorry,
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Pobrali smo vse potrebščine, odšli iz sobe
12:07
I've got a memory problem; that's why I'm here.
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in počakali pol ure.
12:09
If I've met you before, I don't remember."
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Spet v sobi smo rekli, "Živjo, nazaj smo."
12:11
"Really, Jim, you don't remember? I was just here with the Monet prints?"
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Bolniki, bog jih varuj, so rekli, "Dohtar, žal mi je,
12:14
"Sorry, Doc, I just don't have a clue."
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12:17
"No problem, Jim.
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Imam težave s spominom, zato sem tukaj.
12:18
All I want you to do is rank these for me,
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Če smo se srečali, se ne spominim."
12:20
from the one you like the most to the one you like the least."
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"Res, Jim, se ne spomnite? Ravno sem bilo tukaj z Monetovimi slikami?"
12:24
What do they do?
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"Žal mi je dohtar, ne bi vedel."
12:26
Well, let's first check and make sure they're really amnesiac.
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Nič hudega Jim. Prosil bi vas samo, da razvrstite te
12:29
We ask these amnesiac patients to tell us which one they own,
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slike glede na to, koliko so vam všeč."
12:32
which one they chose last time, which one is theirs.
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Kaj naredijo? Najprej preverimo,
12:36
And what we find is, amnesiac patients just guess.
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če se res ne spomnijo. Vprašamo te
12:39
These are normal controls, where if I did this with you,
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pozabljive bolnike, katero so dobili,
12:42
all of you would know which print you chose.
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katero so zadnjič izbrali, katera je njihova.
12:44
But if I do this with amnesiac patients, they don't have a clue.
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Opazimo lahko, da ti bolniki enostavno ugibajo.
12:48
They can't pick their print out of a lineup.
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To so zdrave kontrole, če bi to poizkusil z vami,
12:51
Here's what normal controls do: they synthesize happiness. Right?
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bi vsi vedeli, katero sliko ste si izbrali.
Če pa to naredim pri naših bolnikih,
12:56
This is the change in liking score,
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se jim ne sanja. Med drugimi slikami ne najdejo svoje.
12:58
the change from the first time they ranked to the second time they ranked.
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13:01
Normal controls show -- that was the magic I showed you;
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To naredijo zdrave kontrole: sintetizirajo srečo.
13:04
now I'm showing it to you in graphical form --
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13:06
"The one I own is better than I thought.
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To je sprememba v oceni naklonjenosti,
13:08
The one I didn't own, the one I left behind,
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sprememba od prvega do drugega ocenjevanja.
13:11
is not as good as I thought."
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To so kontrole
-- to je čarovnija, ki sem jo pokazal,
13:13
Amnesiacs do exactly the same thing. Think about this result.
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zdaj jo kažem v obliki diagramov--
"Podarjena slika je boljša, kot sem mislil. Tista, ki je nimam,
13:18
These people like better the one they own,
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13:20
but they don't know they own it.
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ki sem jo pustil, ni tako dobra, kot sem mislil."
Pozabljivi bolniki naredijo povsem isto. Razmislite o teh rezultatih.
13:24
"Yeah, right" is not the right response!
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13:28
What these people did when they synthesized happiness
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Ti ljudje imajo raje tisto, kar je njihovo,
čeprav ne vedo, da je njihovo.
13:32
is they really, truly changed
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13:34
their affective, hedonic, aesthetic reactions to that poster.
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"Ja, seveda" ni pravi odgovor!
Ko so ti ljudje sintetizirali srečo,
13:40
They're not just saying it because they own it,
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13:42
because they don't know they own it.
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so resnično spremenili
13:45
When psychologists show you bars,
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svoj čustven, hedonističen in estetski odgovor do te slike.
13:48
you know that they are showing you averages of lots of people.
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Tega ne govorijo samo zato, ker je njihova,
13:51
And yet, all of us have this psychological immune system,
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saj ne vedo, da je njihova.
13:55
this capacity to synthesize happiness,
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13:57
but some of us do this trick better than others.
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Ko vam psihologi kažejo stolpce,
14:00
And some situations allow anybody to do it more effectively
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veste, da vam kažejo povprečje množice ljudi.
Vendar imamo vsi ta psihološki imunski sistem,
14:04
than other situations do.
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to sposobnost sintetiziranja sreče,
14:08
It turns out that freedom,
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čeprav nekateri to delamo bolje kot drugi.
14:11
the ability to make up your mind and change your mind,
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Nekatere okoliščine dovoljujejo večjo uspešnost
14:14
is the friend of natural happiness,
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od drugih okoliščin.
14:17
because it allows you to choose among all those delicious futures
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14:20
and find the one that you would most enjoy.
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Svoboda
14:23
But freedom to choose,
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-- možnost odločanja in možnost, da si premislite --
14:25
to change and make up your mind,
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14:26
is the enemy of synthetic happiness,
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je zaveznik naravne sreče, saj dopušča, da se odločite
14:29
and I'm going to show you why.
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med vsemi krasnimi prihodnostmi in najdete najboljšo zase.
14:31
Dilbert already knows, of course.
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14:32
"Dogbert's tech support. How may I abuse you?"
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14:35
"My printer prints a blank page after every document."
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Svoboda odločanja
14:37
"Why complain about getting free paper?"
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-- da se odločate in si premislite -- pa je sovražnik sintetizirane sreče.
14:39
"Free? Aren't you just giving me my own paper?"
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14:41
"Look at the quality of the free paper compared to your lousy regular paper!
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Pokazal vam bom zakaj.
Dilbert seveda že ve.
Strip berete, medtem ko govorim.
14:45
Only a fool or a liar would say that they look the same!"
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"Pasja tehnična pomoč. Kako lahko škodujem?"
14:48
"Now that you mention it, it does seem a little silkier!"
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"Moj tiskalnik natisne prazno stran po vsakem dokumentu."
14:51
"What are you doing?"
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"Zakaj bi se pritoževali, če dobivate zastonj papir?"
14:52
"I'm helping people accept the things they cannot change." Indeed.
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"Zastonj? Mi ne dajate lastnega papirja?"
"Zaboga človek! Primerjaj kvaliteto zastonj papirja
14:56
The psychological immune system works best
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z ušivim navadnim papirjem!
Samo bedak ali lažnivec bi rekel, da sta enaka!"
14:59
when we are totally stuck, when we are trapped.
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"A! Ko ste tako rekli, se mi res zdi bolj nežen!"
15:02
This is the difference between dating and marriage.
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15:04
You go out on a date with a guy,
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"Kaj delaš?"
15:06
and he picks his nose; you don't go out on another date.
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"Ljudem pomagam sprejeti stvari, ki jih ne morejo spremeniti." Res.
15:09
You're married to a guy and he picks his nose?
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Psihološki imunski sistem deluje najbolje,
15:11
He has a heart of gold. Don't touch the fruitcake!
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ko smo povsem obtičali, ko smo ujeti.
15:13
You find a way to be happy with what's happened.
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To je razlika med zmenkom in zakonom, je res?
15:17
(Laughter)
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15:18
Now, what I want to show you
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Če greste z nekom ven
15:19
is that people don't know this about themselves,
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2603
in si ta brska po nosu; ne greste na drugi zmenek.
15:22
and not knowing this can work to our supreme disadvantage.
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Če ste poročeni z nekom, ki si vrta po nosu?
Ja, saj ima veliko srce;
ne dotikaj se torte. Je res? (Smeh)
15:26
Here's an experiment we did at Harvard.
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1977
Najdete način, da ste srečni.
15:28
We created a black-and-white photography course,
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15:31
and we allowed students to come in and learn how to use a darkroom.
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Pokazati vam hočem, da
ljudje tega ne vedo o sebi
15:35
So we gave them cameras, they went around campus,
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2343
15:37
they took 12 pictures of their favorite professors
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in to neznanje nam lahko močno škoduje.
15:40
and their dorm room and their dog,
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Tukaj je naš poizkus s Harvarda.
15:42
and all the other things they wanted to have Harvard memories of.
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Naredili smo fotografski tečaj, črno-beli fotografski tečaj,
15:45
They bring us the camera, we make up a contact sheet,
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in študente smo učili dela v temnici.
15:47
they figure out which are the two best pictures.
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Dali smo jim fotografske aparate, šli so naokoli,
15:50
We now spend six hours teaching them about darkrooms,
336
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naredili so 12 slik svojih najljubših profesorjev, svoje sobe, svojega psa
15:52
and they blow two of them up.
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15:54
They have two gorgeous 8 x 10 glossies
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15:56
of meaningful things to them, and we say,
339
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in vseh ostalih harvardskih stvari, vrednih spomina.
15:58
"Which one would you like to give up?"
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Nazaj so prinesli aparate, razvili smo negative,
16:00
"I have to give one up?"
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1151
16:01
"Yes, we need one as evidence of the class project.
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izbrali so dve najboljši sliki
in nato smo se 6 ur učili o temnicah,
16:04
So you have to give me one. You have to make a choice.
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sliki so razvili
16:07
You get to keep one, and I get to keep one."
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2746
in dobili so dve čudoviti 8x10 podobi
pomembnih stvari. Nato smo rekli
16:10
Now, there are two conditions in this experiment.
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"Kateri se boste odrekli?"
16:13
In one case, the students are told,
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2278
"Eni se moram odreči?"
16:15
"But you know, if you want to change your mind,
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2356
"Da. Eno potrebujemo kot dokaz projekta.
16:18
I'll always have the other one here,
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1853
Eno mi torej morate dati. Morate se odločiti.
16:19
and in the next four days, before I actually mail it to headquarters" --
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Vi obdržite eno in jaz obdržim eno."
16:24
yeah, "headquarters" --
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1933
V poizkusu sta bila dva primera.
16:26
(Laughter)
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1005
16:27
"I'll be glad to swap it out with you.
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1849
V enem primeru študentom povemo, "veste,
16:29
In fact, I'll come to your dorm room, just give me an email.
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3053
če si premislite, bom imel drugo sliko tukaj
16:32
Better yet, I'll check with you.
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1991
in v naslednjih štirih dneh, preden jo pošljem v generalni štab,
16:34
You ever want to change your mind, it's totally returnable."
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2888
16:37
The other half of the students are told exactly the opposite:
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vam jo rade volje -- (Smeh)-- da, "generalni štab"--
16:40
"Make your choice, and by the way,
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1730
"vam jo rade volje zamenjam. Celo
16:41
the mail is going out, gosh, in two minutes, to England.
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2890
v vašo sobo bom prišel
16:44
Your picture will be winging its way over the Atlantic.
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2645
-- kar dajte mi email. Bolje bo, če pri vas preverim.
16:47
You will never see it again."
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1747
Če si kdaj premislite, lahko zamenjamo."
16:49
Half of the students in each of these conditions
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Drugi polovici študentov povemo ravno obratno:
16:52
are asked to make predictions
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1480
16:53
about how much they're going to come to like
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2072
"Odločite se. Pozor,
16:55
the picture that they keep
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1352
pošto moramo poslati v Anglijo že čez dve minuti.
16:57
and the picture they leave behind.
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1687
16:58
Other students are just sent back to their little dorm rooms
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2901
Vaša slika bo letela preko Atlantika.
Nikoli več je ne boste videli."
17:01
and they are measured over the next three to six days
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3111
Polovico študentov v obeh primerih
17:04
on their satisfaction with the pictures.
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1998
prosimo, naj napovedo, kako
17:06
Look at what we find.
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1238
všeč jim bo postala slika, ki jo bodo obdržali,
17:08
First of all, here's what students think is going to happen.
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3355
in slika, ki jo bodo pustili.
17:11
They think they're going to maybe come to like the picture they chose
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3893
Drugi študentje gredo nazaj v svoje študentske sobe
17:15
a little more than the one they left behind.
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2516
in v naslednjih treh do šestih dneh naredimo meritve
17:18
But these are not statistically significant differences.
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3088
glede zadovoljstva s slikami.
17:21
It's a very small increase, and it doesn't much matter
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3516
Poglejte kaj smo ugotovili.
Tukaj vidite kaj študentje mislijo, da se bo zgodilo.
17:24
whether they were in the reversible or irreversible condition.
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2968
Mislijo, da bodo verjetno vzljubili izbrano sliko
17:27
Wrong-o.
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1160
17:28
Bad simulators.
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1169
17:30
Because here's what's really happening.
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1898
malo bolj kot sliko, ki jo pustijo,
17:31
Both right before the swap and five days later,
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3334
vendar to niso statistično pomembne razlike.
17:35
people who are stuck with that picture,
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2186
17:37
who have no choice,
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1152
Porast je majhna in ni zelo važno,
17:38
who can never change their mind,
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2040
ali so v povratnem ali nepovratnem pogoju.
17:40
like it a lot.
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1429
17:42
And people who are deliberating -- "Should I return it?
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2951
Napačno. Slabi simulatorji. V resnici se zgodi sledeče.
17:45
Have I gotten the right one?
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1383
17:47
Maybe this isn't the good one. Maybe I left the good one?" --
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2899
Tako ravno pred predajo in pet dni kasneje,
17:50
have killed themselves.
387
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1200
tisti, ki so obtičali s sliko,
17:51
They don't like their picture.
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1458
17:52
In fact, even after the opportunity to swap has expired,
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2657
ki nimajo izbire,
ki si ne morejo premisliti, so z njo zadovoljni!
17:55
they still don't like their picture.
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1075626
2010
17:58
Why?
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1151
In ljudje, ki premišljujejo -- Naj jo vrnem?
17:59
Because the [reversible] condition is not conducive
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3308
Imam tisto pravo? Morda ta ni dobra?
18:02
to the synthesis of happiness.
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1821
Mogoče sem pustil dobro?" -- so se uničili.
18:05
So here's the final piece of this experiment.
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2903
Slike ne marajo in v resnici
tudi, ko je priložnost za zamenjavo potekla,
18:08
We bring in a whole new group of naive Harvard students
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3740
še vedno ne marajo slike. Zakaj?
18:11
and we say, "You know, we're doing a photography course,
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3356
18:15
and we can do it one of two ways.
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1751
Ker povratni pogoj ni ugoden
18:17
We could do it so that when you take the two pictures,
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2633
za sintezo sreče.
18:20
you'd have four days to change your mind,
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2021
Tukaj je zadnji del poizkusa.
18:22
or we're doing another course where you take the two pictures
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2889
Dobimo povsem novo skupino naivnih harvardskih študentov
18:25
and you make up your mind right away and you can never change it.
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3065
in rečemo, "Veste, vodimo tečaj fotografije,
18:28
Which course would you like to be in?" Duh!
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2024
18:30
Sixty-six percent of the students, two-thirds,
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2418
lahko ga naredimo na dva načina.
18:32
prefer to be in the course where they have the opportunity to change their mind.
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1112801
4069
Lahko ga naredimo tako, da vzamete dve sliki
in imate nato štiri dni za premislek.
18:36
Hello? Sixty-six percent of the students choose to be in the course
405
1116894
3562
Imamo pa tudi tečaj, v katerem vzamete dve sliki,
se takoj odločite
18:40
in which they will ultimately be deeply dissatisfied with the picture --
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3664
in si ne morete več premisliti. Kam bi šli raje?
Jasno! 66 odstotkov študentov, dve tretjini,
18:44
(Laughter)
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1016
18:45
because they do not know the conditions under which synthetic happiness grows.
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5901
raje izbere tečaj kjer imajo možnost, da si premislijo.
18:51
The Bard said everything best, of course, and he's making my point here
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5004
Mislim! 66 odstotkov študentov se odloči za tečaj, v katerem bodo
18:56
but he's making it hyperbolically:
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1136775
1976
na koncu globoko nezadovoljni s sliko.
18:58
"'Tis nothing good or bad But thinking makes it so."
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3260
Ker ne poznajo pogojev, pod katerimi uspeva sintetizirana sreča.
19:02
It's nice poetry, but that can't exactly be right.
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3222
19:05
Is there really nothing good or bad?
413
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2088
Veliki pesnik je seveda vse povedal najbolje in tukaj podpira moje sporočilo
19:07
Is it really the case that gall bladder surgery and a trip to Paris
414
1147417
3915
19:11
are just the same thing?
415
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1537
vendar pretirava:
19:12
(Laughter)
416
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1087
19:14
That seems like a one-question IQ test.
417
1154028
3857
"Nič ni dobro ali slabo / to naredi razmišljanje."
19:17
They can't be exactly the same.
418
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1872
Lepo se sliši, vendar ne more biti čisto res.
19:19
In more turgid prose, but closer to the truth,
419
1159805
3080
Res nič ni dobro ali slabo?
19:22
was the father of modern capitalism, Adam Smith, and he said this.
420
1162909
3374
Je res operacija žolčnika enaka izletu v Pariz?
19:26
This is worth contemplating:
421
1166307
1955
Odgovor se zdi preveč očiten.
19:28
"The great source of both the misery and disorders of human life
422
1168286
3952
19:32
seems to arise from overrating the difference
423
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2623
To ne more biti enako.
19:34
between one permanent situation and another.
424
1174909
2976
V daljši prozi, ampak bližje resnici,
19:37
Some of these situations may, no doubt, deserve to be preferred to others,
425
1177909
5297
je bil oče modernega kapitalizma, Adam Smith, ki je rekel sledeče.
To je vredno razmisleka:
19:43
but none of them can deserve to be pursued
426
1183230
2929
"Velik del bridkosti in motenj v človeškem življenju
19:46
with that passionate ardor which drives us to violate the rules
427
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4570
verjetno izhaja iz precenjevanja razlik
19:50
either of prudence or of justice,
428
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2469
med enim stalnim stanjem in drugim...
19:53
or to corrupt the future tranquility of our minds,
429
1193270
2765
Nekatera od teh stanj si seveda zaslužijo, da jih imamo raje od drugih,
19:56
either by shame from the remembrance of our own folly,
430
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3537
vendar si nobeno ne zasluži, da mu sledimo
19:59
or by remorse for the horror of our own injustice."
431
1199620
4072
20:03
In other words: yes, some things are better than others.
432
1203716
4732
s tisto gorečo vnemo, ki nas sili, da kršimo pravila
20:08
We should have preferences that lead us into one future over another.
433
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5503
bodisi razumnosti bodisi pravičnosti, ali da si kvarimo spokojnost jutrišnjega dne
20:13
But when those preferences drive us too hard and too fast
434
1213999
3781
zaradi sramu ob spominu na lastne norosti
20:17
because we have overrated the difference between these futures,
435
1217804
3691
ali s kesanjem zaradi ostudnosti lastne nepravičnosti."
20:21
we are at risk.
436
1221519
2536
Z drugimi besedami: nekatere stvari so boljše od drugih.
20:24
When our ambition is bounded, it leads us to work joyfully.
437
1224079
3718
Moramo imeti nagnjenost k eni prihodnosti napram drugi.
20:27
When our ambition is unbounded,
438
1227821
1872
20:29
it leads us to lie, to cheat, to steal, to hurt others,
439
1229717
4414
Ko pa nas ta nagnjenja silijo v prehuda in prehitra dejanja
20:34
to sacrifice things of real value.
440
1234155
1999
zato, ker smo precenili razliko med tema prihodnostima,
20:36
When our fears are bounded,
441
1236178
2017
20:38
we're prudent, we're cautious,
442
1238219
2135
takrat tvegamo.
20:40
we're thoughtful.
443
1240378
1183
20:41
When our fears are unbounded and overblown,
444
1241585
3263
Ko imajo naše želje meje, delamo z veseljem.
20:44
we're reckless, and we're cowardly.
445
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2210
Ko naše želje nimajo meja, takrat lažemo, varamo, krademo, prizadanemo druge
20:47
The lesson I want to leave you with, from these data,
446
1247625
3350
20:50
is that our longings and our worries are both to some degree overblown,
447
1250999
4079
in žrtvujemo prave vrednote. Ko imajo naši strahovi meje,
20:55
because we have within us the capacity to manufacture the very commodity
448
1255102
6172
smo razumni, pazljivi in skrbni.
Ko so naši strahovi brez meja in prenaphinjeni,
21:01
we are constantly chasing when we choose experience.
449
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4419
smo brezobzirni in strahopetni.
21:05
Thank you.
450
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1151
Nauk teh raziskav, ki ga hočem prenesti,
21:06
(Applause)
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4925
je, da so naše želje in skrbi nekoliko prenapihnjene,
saj lahko v sebi ustvarimo ravno tisto
kar iščemo, ko se ženemo za doživetji.
Hvala.
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