Google's driverless car | Sebastian Thrun

670,539 views ・ 2011-03-31

TED


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Prevoditelj: Zvonimir Mimica Recezent: Mislav Ante Omazić - EFZG
00:15
As a boy,
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Kao dječak,
00:17
I loved cars.
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volio sam automobile.
00:19
When I turned 18,
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Kad sam napunio 18 godina,
00:21
I lost my best friend to a car accident.
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izgubio sam najboljeg prijatelja u prometnoj nesreći.
00:25
Like this.
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Samo tako.
00:27
And then I decided I'd dedicate my life
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I tada sam odlučio posvetiti svoj život
00:30
to saving one million people
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spašavanju milijun ljudi
00:32
every year.
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svake godine.
00:34
Now I haven't succeeded, so this is just a progress report,
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Ipak, nisam uspio u tome, tako da je ovo samo izvješće o napretku,
00:37
but I'm here to tell you a little bit about self-driving cars.
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ali sam ovdje kako bih vam rekao ponešto o samovozećim automobilima.
00:40
I saw the concept first
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Koncept sam prvo vidio
00:42
in the DARPA Grand Challenges
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u DARPA Challenge utrkama
00:44
where the U.S. government issued a prize
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za koje je Vlada SAD-a osigurala nagrade
00:46
to build a self-driving car that could navigate a desert.
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kako bi se izgradio samovozeći automobil koji bi se mogao kretati pustinjom.
00:49
And even though a hundred teams were there,
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I mada je stotinu timova bilo tamo,
00:52
these cars went nowhere.
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ovi auti nisu nigdje stizali.
00:55
So we decided at Stanford to build a different self-driving car.
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Tako smo na Stanfordu odlučili izgraditi drugačiji samovozeći automobil.
00:58
We built the hardware and the software.
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Izgradili smo hardver i softver.
01:01
We made it learn from us,
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Napravili smo ga sposobnim učiti od nas,
01:03
and we set it free in the desert.
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te smo ga pustili samoga u pustinji.
01:06
And the unimaginable happened:
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I dogodilo se nepojmljivo:
01:08
it became the first car
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postao je prvim automobilom
01:10
to ever return from a DARPA Grand Challenge,
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koji se ikad vratio s DARPA Grand Challengea --
01:12
winning Stanford 2 million dollars.
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osvojivši za Stanford 2 milijuna dolara.
01:17
Yet I still hadn't saved a single life.
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Ipak, još nisam spasio nijedan život.
01:20
Since, our work has focused
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Od tada se naš rad usredotočio
01:23
on building driving cars
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na izgradnju automobila
01:25
that can drive anywhere by themselves --
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koji se mogu samostalno bilo kuda voziti --
01:28
any street in California.
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bilo kojom ulicom u Kaliforniji.
01:30
We've driven 140,000 miles.
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Odvozili smo 225 tisuća kilometara.
01:33
Our cars have sensors
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Naši automobili imaju senzore
01:36
by which they magically can see
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putem kojih magično mogu vidjeti
01:39
everything around them
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sve oko njih
01:41
and make decisions
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i donositi odluke
01:43
about every aspect of driving.
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o svakom aspektu vožnje.
01:46
It's the perfect driving mechanism.
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To je savršeni vozeći mehanizam.
01:49
We've driven in cities,
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Vozili smo u gradovima,
01:51
like in San Francisco here.
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kao i ovdje u San Franciscu.
01:53
We've driven from San Francisco to Los Angeles on Highway 1.
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Vozili smo od San Francisca do Los Angelesa autocestom 1.
01:57
We've encountered joggers,
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Susretali smo se s joggerima,
01:59
busy highways, toll booths,
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s prenapućenim autocestama, naplatnim kućicama,
02:02
and this is without a person in the loop;
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i to bez osobe u njima;
02:04
the car just drives itself.
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automobil jednostavno sam sebe vozi.
02:06
In fact, while we drove 140,000 miles,
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Štoviše, dok smo vozili 225 tisuća kilometara,
02:09
people didn't even notice.
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ljudi to nisu niti primijećivali.
02:12
Mountain roads,
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Planinskim cestama,
02:14
day and night,
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danju i noću,
02:17
and even crooked Lombard Street
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čak i iskrivljenom ulicom Lombard
02:20
in San Francisco.
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u San Franciscu.
02:22
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
02:25
Sometimes our cars get so crazy,
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Ponekad naši automobili toliko polude
02:28
they even do little stunts.
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da čak izvode i male podvige.
02:32
(Video) Man: Oh, my God.
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(Video) Čovjek: O Bože.
02:36
What?
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Što?
02:38
Second Man: It's driving itself.
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Drugi čovjek: Vozi se samo.
02:42
Sebastian Thrun: Now I can't get my friend Harold back to life,
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Sebastian Thrun: I sad, ne mogu vratiti u život svog prijatelja Harolda,
02:45
but I can do something for all the people who died.
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ali mogu učiniti nešto za sve ljudi koji su umrli.
02:47
Do you know that driving accidents
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Znate li da su prometne nesreće
02:50
are the number one cause of death for young people?
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najčešći uzrok smrti mladih ljudi?
02:53
And do you realize that almost all of those
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I shvaćate li da su skoro sve one
02:56
are due to human error
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rezultat ljudske pogreške,
02:59
and not machine error,
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a ne pogreške stroja,
03:01
and can therefore be prevented by machines?
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i stoga mogu biti spriječene od strane stroja?
03:05
Do you realize
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Shvaćate li
03:07
that we could change the capacity of highways
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da bismo mogli povećati kapacitet autocesta
03:10
by a factor of two or three
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dva ili tri puta
03:13
if we didn't rely on human precision
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kad se ne bi oslanjali na ljudsku preciznost
03:15
on staying in the lane --
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ostajanja u traci --
03:17
improve body position
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unaprijediti položaj tijela
03:19
and therefore drive a little bit closer together
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i stoga voziti ponešto bliže jadan drugome
03:21
on a little bit narrower lanes,
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na ponešto užim trakama,
03:23
and do away with all traffic jams on highways?
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te se riješiti prometnih zastoja na autocestama?
03:28
Do you realize that you, TED users,
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Shvaćate li da vi, korisnici TED-a,
03:31
spend an average
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provodite u prosjeku
03:33
of 52 minutes per day
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52 minute po danu
03:35
in traffic,
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u prometu,
03:37
wasting your time
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gubeći svoje vrijeme
03:39
on your daily commute?
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na svakodnevne vožnje?
03:42
You could regain this time.
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Mogli biste povratiti to vrijeme.
03:44
This is four billion hours
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To je četiri milijarde sati,
03:46
wasted in this country alone.
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izgubljenih samo u ovoj zemlji.
03:49
And it's 2.4 billion gallons of gasoline wasted.
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A to je 9,1 milijardu litara potrošenog goriva.
03:53
Now I think there's a vision here, a new technology,
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I sad, mislim da ovdje postoji vizija, nova tehnologija,
03:56
and I'm really looking forward to a time
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i zaista se radujem vremenu
03:58
when generations after us look back at us
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kad će se generacije iza nas osvrtati na nas
04:00
and say how ridiculous it was that humans were driving cars.
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i govoriti kako je apsurdno bilo da su ljudi vozili automobile.
04:03
Thank you.
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Hvala vam.
04:05
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
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