Hans Rosling: Global population growth, box by box

1,654,737 views ใƒป 2010-07-09

TED


์•„๋ž˜ ์˜๋ฌธ์ž๋ง‰์„ ๋”๋ธ”ํด๋ฆญํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์˜์ƒ์ด ์žฌ์ƒ๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฒˆ์—ญ: Poram Lee ๊ฒ€ํ† : InHyuk Song
00:16
I still remember the day in school
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์ €๋Š” ์•„์ง๋„ ํ•™๊ต ๋‹ค๋‹ ์ ์—
00:18
when our teacher told us
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์„ ์ƒ๋‹˜๋“ค์ด ์šฐ๋ฆฌ์—๊ฒŒ
00:21
that the world population had become
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์„ธ๊ณ„ ์ธ๊ตฌ๊ฐ€ 30์–ต์ด ๋˜์—ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ 
00:23
three billion people,
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๋ง์”€ํ•˜์‹  ๊ฑธ ๊ธฐ์–ตํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
00:25
and that was in 1960.
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๊ทธ๊ฒŒ 1960๋…„ ๋•Œ ์ผ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
00:29
I'm going to talk now about
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์ „ ์˜ค๋Š˜ ๊ทธ๋•Œ๋กœ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ์„ธ๊ณ„์ธ๊ตฌ๊ฐ€
00:31
how world population has changed from that year
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์–ด๋–ป๊ฒŒ ๋ณ€ํ™”ํ–ˆ๋Š”์ง€๋ฅผ ์ง€๊ธˆ ์–˜๊ธฐํ•˜๋ ค๊ณ  ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค
00:33
and into the future,
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์•ž์œผ๋กœ ์–ด๋–ป๊ฒŒ ๋ณ€ํ•ด๊ฐˆ ์ง€๋„์š”.
00:35
but I will not use digital technology,
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ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ์ œ๊ฐ€ ์ด๋ฏธ ํ–ˆ๋˜ ๋‹ค์„ฏ ๊ฐœ์˜ ํ…Œ๋“œ ๊ฐ•์—ฐ๊ณผ ๋‹ฌ๋ฆฌ
00:38
as I've done during my first five TEDTalks.
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์ „ ๋””์ง€ํ„ธ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์„ ์“ฐ์ง€ ์•Š์„ ๊ฒ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
00:41
Instead, I have progressed,
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๋Œ€์‹ , ์ „ ๋” ๋ฐœ์ „์‹œ์ผฐ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
00:44
and I am, today, launching
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์ „. ์˜ค๋Š˜ ์ด ์ž๋ฆฌ์—์„œ
00:46
a brand new analog teaching technology
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๋งค์šฐ ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ์•„๋‚ ๋กœ๊ทธ์‹ ๊ต์œก ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์„
00:49
that I picked up from IKEA:
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์„ ๋ณด์ผ ๊ฒ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด์ผ€์•„(IKEA)๋กœ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ๊ฐ€์ ธ์™”์ง€์š”.
00:51
this box.
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์ด ๋ฐ•์Šค์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
00:53
This box contains one billion people.
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์ด ๋ฐ•์Šค๋Š” ์‹ญ์–ต์˜ ์ธ๊ตฌ๋ฅผ ๋‹ด๊ณ  ์žˆ์ฃ .
00:55
And our teacher told us
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์šฐ๋ฆฌ ์„ ์ƒ๋‹˜๊ป˜์„œ ๋ง์”€ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ๋ฅผ
00:57
that the industrialized world, 1960,
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1960๋…„ ์‚ฐ์—…ํ™”๋œ ์„ธ๊ณ„์—๋Š”
01:00
had one billion people.
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์‹ญ์–ต์˜ ์ธ๊ตฌ๊ฐ€ ์žˆ์—ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
01:02
In the developing world, she said,
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๊ฐœ๋ฐœ ๋„์ƒ๊ตญ์—๋Š”
01:04
they had two billion people.
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20์–ต์˜ ์ธ๊ตฌ๊ฐ€ ์žˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ํ•˜์…จ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
01:06
And they lived away then.
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๊ทธ ๋‹น์‹œ, ๊ทธ๋“ค์€ ๋จผ ๊ณณ์— ์‚ด๊ณ  ์žˆ์—ˆ์ฃ .
01:08
There was a big gap between
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์‚ฐ์—…ํ™”๋œ ๊ณณ์˜ 10์–ต์˜ ์ธ๊ตฌ์™€
01:10
the one billion in the industrialized world
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๊ฐœ๋ฐœ ๋„์ƒ๊ตญ์˜ 20์–ต์˜ ์ธ๊ตฌ ์‚ฌ์ด์—๋Š”
01:12
and the two billion in the developing world.
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์ปค๋‹ค๋ž€ ๋นˆํ‹ˆ์ด ์žˆ์—ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
01:15
In the industrialized world,
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์‚ฐ์—…ํ™”๋˜ ์„ธ๊ณ„์— ์‚ด๋˜
01:17
people were healthy,
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์‚ฌ๋žŒ๋“ค์€ ๊ฑด๊ฐ•ํ–ˆ๊ณ 
01:19
educated, rich,
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๊ต์œก๋ฐ›์•˜์œผ๋ฉฐ ๋ถ€์ž์˜€๊ณ 
01:21
and they had small families.
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๋˜ํ•œ ์†Œ๊ทœ๋ชจ ๊ฐ€์กฑ์„ ๊ฐ–๊ณ  ์žˆ์—ˆ์ฃ .
01:23
And their aspiration
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๊ทธ๋“ค์˜ ์—ด๋ง์€
01:25
was to buy a car.
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์ฐจ๋ฅผ ์‚ฌ๋Š” ๊ฑฐ์˜€์ฃ .
01:27
And in 1960, all Swedes were saving
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1960๋…„์—”, ๋ชจ๋“  ์Šค์›จ๋ด์ธ์€
01:30
to try to buy a Volvo like this.
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์ด๋ ‡๊ฒŒ ์ƒ๊ธด ๋ณผ๋ณด๋ฅผ ์‚ฌ๋ณด๋ ค๊ณ  ์ €์ถ•ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์—ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
01:33
This was the economic level at which Sweden was.
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์ด๊ฒƒ์ด ๊ทธ๋•Œ ๋‹น์‹œ ์Šค์›จ๋ด์˜ ๊ฒฝ์ œ ์ˆ˜์ค€์ด์—ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
01:36
But in contrast to this,
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ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ์ด๊ฒƒ๊ณผ ๋Œ€์กฐ์ ์œผ๋กœ
01:38
in the developing world, far away,
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์ € ๋ฉ€๋ฆฌ ์žˆ๋˜ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ ๋„์ƒ๊ตญ๋“ค์˜
01:40
the aspiration of the average family there
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ํ‰๋ฒ”ํ•œ ๊ฐ€์ •์˜ ์—ด๋ง์€
01:43
was to have food for the day.
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ํ•˜๋ฃจ์น˜ ์‹๋Ÿ‰์„ ๊ฐ–๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์ด์—ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
01:46
They were saving
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ๊ทธ๋“ค์€ ํ•œ ์ผค๋ ˆ์˜
01:48
to be able to buy a pair of shoes.
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์‹ ๋ฐœ์„ ์‚ฌ๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•ด ์ €์ถ•ํ–ˆ์ฃ .
01:51
There was an enormous gap in the world
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์ œ๊ฐ€ ์ž๋ž๋˜ ์„ธ์ƒ์—๋Š”
01:53
when I grew up.
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์—„์ฒญ๋‚œ ๊ฒฉ์ฐจ๊ฐ€ ์žˆ์—ˆ๋˜ ๊ฑฐ์ฃ .
01:55
And this gap between the West and the rest
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์„œ๊ตฌ ์„ธ๊ณ„์™€ ๊ทธ ๋‚˜๋จธ์ง€ ์‚ฌ์ด์— ์žˆ๋˜ ์ด ํ‹ˆ์€
01:58
has created a mindset of the world,
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์ผ์ข…์˜ ์„ธ๊ณ„๊ด€์„ ๋‚ณ๊ฒŒ ๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค
02:01
which we still use linguistically
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์šฐ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ์•„์ง๋„ ๋งํ•  ๋•Œ
02:03
when we talk about "the West"
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์–ธ์–ดํ•™์ ์œผ๋กœ "์„œ๊ตฌ"์™€
02:05
and "the Developing World."
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"๊ฐœ๋ฐœ๋„์ƒ๊ตญ"์ด๋ž€ ๋ง์„ ์‚ฌ์šฉํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
02:07
But the world has changed,
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ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ์„ธ์ƒ์€ ๋ณ€ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
02:09
and it's overdue to upgrade that mindset
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ํ˜„ ์‹œ๋Œ€๋ฅผ ์ œ๋Œ€๋กœ ์ดํ•ดํ•˜๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•ด์„œ ์‚ฌ์šฉํ•˜๋˜ ์ด๋Ÿฌํ•œ ์„ธ๊ณ„๊ด€๊ณผ
02:12
and that taxonomy of the world, and to understand it.
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๋ถ„๋ฅ˜ ์ฒด๊ณ„๋Š” ์ด์ œ ๊ธฐํ•œ์ด ์ง€๋‚˜ ๊ฐฑ์‹ ํ•  ๋•Œ๊ฐ€ ๋˜์—ˆ์ฃ .
02:15
And that's what I'm going to show you,
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๊ทธ๊ฒƒ์„ ์ œ๊ฐ€ ์—ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋ถ„๊ป˜ ๋ณด์—ฌ ๋“œ๋ฆด ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
02:17
because since 1960
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1960๋…„ ๋•Œ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ
02:20
what has happened in the world up to 2010
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2010๊นŒ์ง€ ๊ทธ๋™์•ˆ ๋ฒŒ์–ด์ง„ ์ผ์€
02:23
is that a staggering
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40์–ต์ด๋ผ๋Š” ์—„์ฒญ๋‚œ
02:25
four billion people
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์ธ๊ตฌ์ˆ˜๊ฐ€
02:27
have been added to the world population.
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์„ธ๊ณ„์ธ๊ตฌ์— ๋”ํ•ด์ง„ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
02:29
Just look how many.
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์–ผ๋งˆ๋‚˜ ๋งŽ์€์ง€ ํ•œ๋ฒˆ ๋ณด์‹œ์ฃ .
02:31
The world population has doubled
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์ œ๊ฐ€ ํ•™๊ต์— ๋‹ค๋…”๋˜ ๋•Œ๋กœ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ
02:33
since I went to school.
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์ธ๊ตฌ๊ฐ€ ๋‘ ๋ฐฐ๋กœ ๋Š˜์–ด๋‚œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
02:37
And of course, there's been economic growth in the West.
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ๋ฌผ๋ก , ์„œ๊ตฌ์˜ ๊ฒฝ์ œ ์„ฑ์žฅ์ด ์žˆ์—ˆ์ฃ .
02:40
A lot of companies have happened to grow the economy,
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๋งŽ์€ ํšŒ์‚ฌ๊ฐ€ ๊ฒฝ์ œ๋ฅผ ์„ฑ์žฅ์‹œ์ผฐ์ฃ .
02:43
so the Western population moved over to here.
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๊ทธ๋ž˜์„œ ์„œ๊ตฌ์˜ ์ธ๊ตฌ๋“ค์ด ์ด์ชฝ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ฎ๊ฒจ ๊ฐ‘๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
02:46
And now their aspiration is not only to have a car.
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ํ˜„์žฌ ๊ทธ๋“ค์˜ ์—ผ์›์€ ์ฐจ๋ฅผ ์†Œ์œ ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ๋ฟ๋งŒ ์•„๋‹ˆ๋ผ
02:49
Now they want to have a holiday on a very remote destination
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์ด์   ๋ฉ€๋ฆฌ ๋–จ์–ด์ง„ ๊ณณ์—์„œ ํœด๊ฐ€๋ฅผ ๋ณด๋‚ด๊ณ  ์‹ถ์–ดํ•˜์ฃ .
02:52
and they want to fly.
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๋˜ํ•œ ํ•ญ๊ณตํŽธ์œผ๋กœ ๋‚ ์•„๊ฐ€๊ธฐ๋ฅผ ์›ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
02:54
So this is where they are today.
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์ด๊ณณ์ด ํ˜„์žฌ ๊ทธ๋“ค ์œ„์น˜์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
02:56
And the most successful of the developing countries,
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ๊ฐ€์žฅ ์„ฑ๊ณต์ ์ธ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ ๋„์ƒ๊ตญ๋“ค์€ ์—ฌ๊ธฐ ์žˆ์ฃ .
02:59
they have moved on, you know,
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๊ทธ๋“ค์€ ๊ณ„์† ๋ฐœ์ „ํ•ด์™”์ฃ .
03:01
and they have become emerging economies, we call them.
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ๊ทธ๋“ค์€ ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ํ”ํžˆ ๋งํ•˜๋Š” ์‹ ํฅ ๊ฒฝ์ œ๊ณ„์ธต์ด ๋˜์—ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค
03:04
They are now buying cars.
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์ด์   ๊ทธ๋“ค๋„ ์ฐจ๋ฅผ ์‚ฝ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
03:06
And what happened a month ago
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์•ฝ ํ•œ ๋‹ฌ ์ „์—
03:08
was that the Chinese company, Geely,
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์ค‘๊ตญ ํšŒ์‚ฌ ๊ธธ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€
03:10
they acquired the Volvo company,
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๋ณผ๋ณด ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋ฅผ ์ธ์ˆ˜ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
03:13
and then finally the Swedes understood that
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๋“œ๋””์–ด ์Šค์›จ๋ด์ธ๋“ค์ด ์„ธ๊ณ„์—
03:15
something big had happened in the world.
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์—„์ฒญ๋‚œ ๋ฌด์–ธ๊ฐ€๊ฐ€ ์ผ์–ด๋‚ฌ๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ์ดํ•ดํ–ˆ์ฃ .
03:17
(Laughter)
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(์›ƒ์Œ)
03:20
So there they are.
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์ €๊ธฐ ๊ทธ๋“ค์ด ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
03:22
And the tragedy is that the two billion over here
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๋น„๊ทน์€ ์—ฌ๊ธฐ ์žˆ๋Š” 20์–ต์˜ ์ธ๊ตฌ๋“ค์ด [์•„์ง๋„]
03:25
that is struggling for food and shoes,
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์‹๋Ÿ‰๋‚œ๊ณผ ์‹ ๋ฐœ์„ ๊ตฌํ•˜๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•ด ํ—ˆ๋•์ด๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ฑฐ์ฃ .
03:28
they are still almost as poor
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๊ทธ๋“ค์€ ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ 50๋…„ ์ „๊ณผ
03:30
as they were 50 years ago.
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๋ณ„ ์ฐจ์ด ์—†์ด ๋งค์šฐ ๊ฐ€๋‚œํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
03:32
The new thing is that
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์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ์‚ฌ์‹ค์€
03:34
we have the biggest pile of billions, the three billions here,
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์šฐ๋ฆฌ์—๊ฒ ๊ฐ€์žฅ ๋‘ํ„ฐ์šด ๊ณ„์ธต, ์—ฌ๊ธฐ 30์–ต์˜
03:37
which are also becoming emerging economies,
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์‹ ํฅ ๊ฒฝ์ œ๊ณ„์ธต์ด ์žˆ๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ฑฐ์ฃ .
03:40
because they are quite healthy, relatively well-educated,
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๊ทธ๋“ค์€ ์ƒ๋‹นํžˆ ๊ฑด๊ฐ•ํ•˜๊ณ  ๋น„๊ต์  ๊ต์œก์„ ์ž˜ ๋ฐ›์•˜์œผ๋ฉฐ
03:43
and they already also have two to three children
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์—ฌ์„ฑ ํ•œ ๋ช…๋‹น ๋ณดํ†ต ๋‘์„ธ ๋ช…์˜ ์ž๋…€๋ฅผ ๊ฐ–์ฃ .
03:45
per woman, as those [richer also] have.
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์—ฌ๊ธฐ [๋” ์ž˜์‚ฌ๋Š”] ์ธ๊ตฌ๋“ค์ด ํ•˜๋“ฏ์ด์š”.
03:48
And their aspiration now
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ๊ทธ๋“ค์˜ ํ˜„์žฌ ์—ด๋ง์€
03:50
is, of course, to buy a bicycle,
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๋ฌผ๋ก , ์ž์ „๊ฑฐ๋ฅผ ์‚ฌ๋Š” ๊ฒ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
03:53
and then later on they would like to have a motorbike also.
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ํ›„์— ๊ทธ๋“ค์€ ๋˜ํ•œ ๋ชจํ„ฐ์‚ฌ์ดํด์„ ์›ํ•˜๊ฒ ์ฃ .
03:56
But this is the world
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์ด๊ฒƒ์ด ํ˜„์žฌ ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ์‚ด์•„๊ฐ€๋Š”
03:59
we have today,
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์„ธ๊ณ„์˜ ๋ชจ์Šต์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
04:01
no longer any gap.
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์ด์ œ๋Š” ๋นˆํ‹ˆ์€ ์—†์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
04:03
But the distance from the poorest here, the very poorest,
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ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ์—ฌ๊ธฐ ๊ฐ€์žฅ ๊ฐ€๋‚œํ•œ ๊ทน๋นˆ์ธต๊ณผ
04:06
to the very richest over here is wider than ever.
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๊ฐ€์žฅ ๋ถ€์ธต ์‚ฌ์ด์˜ ๊ฑฐ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๊ทธ ์–ด๋Š ๋•Œ๋ณด๋‹ค ๋„“์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
04:09
But there is a continuous world
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ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ์—ฌ๊ธฐ ๋Š์ž„์—†๋Š” ์„ธ๊ณ„๊ฐ€ ์žˆ์ฃ .
04:11
from walking, biking,
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๊ฑท๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ์‹œ์ž‘ํ•ด ์ž์ „๊ฑฐ๋ฅผ ํƒ€๊ณ 
04:13
driving, flying --
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์šด์ „ํ•˜๊ณ  ๋น„ํ–‰ํ•˜๊ธฐ๊นŒ์ง€์˜
04:15
there are people on all levels,
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๋ชจ๋“  ๊ณ„์ธต ์‚ฌ๋žŒ๋“ค.
04:17
and most people tend to be somewhere in the middle.
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ๋Œ€๋ถ€๋ถ„ ์‚ฌ๋žŒ์ด ์ค‘๊ฐ„ ์–ด๋”˜๊ฐ€์— ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
04:21
This is the new world we have today
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์ด๊ฒƒ์ด ํ˜„์žฌ 2010๋…„,
04:23
in 2010.
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์šฐ๋ฆฌ์˜ ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ์„ธ๊ณ„์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
04:26
And what will happen in the future?
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๊ทธ๋Ÿผ, ๋ฏธ๋ž˜์— ๋ฌด์Šจ ์ผ์ด ์ผ์–ด๋‚ ๊นŒ์š”?
04:30
Well, I'm going to project
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๋ญ, ์ œ๊ฐ€ ์˜ˆ๊ฒฌํ•ด๋ณด๋„๋ก ํ•˜์ง€์š”.
04:32
into 2050.
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2050๋…„๊นŒ์ง€๋ฅผ์š”.
04:34
I was in Shanghai recently,
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์ตœ๊ทผ์— ์ƒํ•˜์ด์— ๋ฐฉ๋ฌธํ–ˆ์—ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
04:37
and I listened to what's happening in China,
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์ค‘๊ตญ์—์„œ ๋ฌด์Šจ ์ผ๋“ค์ด ๋ฒŒ์–ด์ง€๋Š”์ง€๋ฅผ ๋“ค์—ˆ์ง€์š”.
04:39
and it's pretty sure that they will catch up,
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๊ทธ๋“ค์ด ์„ ์ง„๊ตญ์„ ๋”ฐ๋ผ์žก์„ ๊ฑฐ๋ผ๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์€ ๊ธฐ์ •์‚ฌ์‹ค์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
04:42
just as Japan did.
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๋งˆ์น˜ ์ผ๋ณธ์ด ๊ทธ๋žฌ๋˜ ๊ฒƒ์ฒ˜๋Ÿผ์š”.
04:44
All the projections [say that] this one [billion] will [only] grow with
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๋ชจ๋“  ์˜ˆ๊ฒฌ๋“ค์ด ์ค‘๊ตญ์˜ ์‹ญ์–ต์˜ ์ธ๊ตฌ๊ฐ€
04:46
one to two or three percent.
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1~3ํผ์„ผํŠธ ์ •๋„ ์„ฑ์žฅํ•˜๋ฆฌ๋ผ๊ณ  ๋งํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
04:48
[But this second] grows with seven, eight percent, and then they will end up here.
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[ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ, ์ง€๊ธˆ ์ด ์ˆœ๊ฐ„] 7~8ํผ์„ผํŠธ๊ฐ€ ์„ฑ์žฅํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์ด์ชฝ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ฌ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
04:51
They will start flying.
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๊ทธ๋“ค์€ ํ•ญ๊ณต ์—ฌํ–‰์„ ํ•˜๊ธฐ ์‹œ์ž‘ํ•  ๊ฒ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
04:53
And these
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์ด ์ค‘ํ•˜์œ„๊ถŒ
04:55
lower or middle income countries, the emerging income countries,
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์†Œ๋“์„ ๊ฐ€์ง„, ์‹ ํฅ ์†Œ๋“ ๊ตญ๊ฐ€๋“ค ๋˜ํ•œ
04:58
they will also forge forwards economically.
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๊ฒฝ์ œ์ ์œผ๋กœ ์•ž์œผ๋กœ ๋‚˜์•„๊ฐˆ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
05:01
And if,
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ๋งŒ์•ฝ,
05:03
but only if,
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๋งŒ์•ฝ์— ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€
05:05
we invest in the right green technology --
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์˜ฌ๋ฐ”๋ฅธ ์นœํ™˜๊ฒฝ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์— ํˆฌ์žํ•˜์—ฌ ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€
05:08
so that we can avoid severe climate change,
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์‹ฌ๊ฐํ•œ ์ด์ƒ ๊ธฐํ›„๋ณ€ํ™”๋ฅผ ํ”ผํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๊ณ 
05:10
and energy can still be relatively cheap --
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์—๋„ˆ์ง€๊ฐ€ ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ์ƒ๋Œ€์ ์œผ๋กœ ์‹ธ๊ฒŒ ์œ ์ง€๊ฐ€ ๋œ๋‹ค๋ฉด
05:13
then they will move all the way up here.
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๊ทธ๋Ÿฌ๋ฉด ๊ทธ๋“ค์€ ๋ชจ๋‘ ์œ„๋กœ ์›€์ง์ผ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
05:16
And they will start to buy
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ๊ทธ๋“ค์€ ์ „๊ธฐ ์ž๋™์ฐจ๋ฅผ
05:18
electric cars.
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๊ตฌ๋งคํ•˜๊ธฐ ์‹œ์ž‘ํ•˜๊ฒ ์ง€์š”.
05:20
This is what we will find there.
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์ด๊ฒƒ์ด ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ๊ทธ๊ณณ์—์„œ ๋ฐœ๊ฒฌํ•˜๊ฒŒ ๋  ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
05:23
So what about the poorest two billion?
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๊ทธ๋ ‡๋‹ค๋ฉด ๊ฐ€์žฅ ๊ฐ€๋‚œํ•œ 20์–ต์˜ ์ธ๊ตฌ๋Š” ์–ด์ฐŒ ๋ ๊นŒ์š”?
05:25
What about the poorest two billion here?
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๊ฐ€์žฅ ๊ฐ€๋‚œํ•œ, ์—ฌ๊ธฐ, ์ด์‹ญ์–ต์˜ ์ธ๊ตฌ๋Š” ์–ด์ฐŒ ๋˜๋‚˜์š”?
05:28
Will they move on?
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๊ทธ๋“ค๋„ ์›€์ง์ผ๊นŒ์š”?
05:30
Well, here population [growth] comes in
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์Œ, ์—ฌ๊ธฐ ์ธ๊ตฌ ์„ฑ์žฅ์ด ๋ผ์–ด๋“ค๊ฒŒ ๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
05:32
because there [among emerging economies] we already have two to three children per woman,
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์™œ๋ƒํ•˜๋ฉด ์‹ ํฅ ๊ฒฝ์ œ๊ณ„์ธต์—์„  ์ด๋ฏธ ์—ฌ์„ฑ ํ•œ ๋ช…๋‹น 2~3๋ช…์˜ ์ž์‹์ด ์žˆ์ฃ .
05:35
family planning is widely used,
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ๊ฐ€์กฑ๊ณ„ํš์ด ๋„๋ฆฌ ์‚ฌ์šฉ๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค
05:37
and population growth is coming to an end.
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์ธ๊ตฌ ์ฆ๊ฐ€๊ฐ€ ๋ฉˆ์ถฐ์ง€๊ณ  ์žˆ์ฃ .
05:39
Here [among the poorest], population is growing.
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[ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ, ์ด๊ณณ ๊ทน๋นˆ์ธต์—์„ ] ์ธ๊ตฌ๋Š” ๋Š˜์–ด๋‚˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
05:42
So these [poorest] two billion will, in the next decades,
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๊ทธ๋ž˜์„œ ์ด๊ณณ์˜[๊ฐ€์žฅ ๊ฐ€๋‚œํ•œ] 20์–ต์€ ๋‹ค์Œ ์‹ญ ๋…„ ์•ˆ์—
05:45
increase to three billion,
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30์–ต์œผ๋กœ ๋Š˜์–ด๋‚  ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
05:47
and they will thereafter
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๊ทธ๋Ÿผ์œผ๋กœ์จ ๊ทธ๋“ค์€
05:49
increase to four billion.
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40์–ต์œผ๋กœ ๋Š˜์–ด๋‚˜๊ฒ ์ง€์š”.
05:51
There is nothing --
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ํ•ต์ „์Ÿ ๊ฐ™์€ ๊ฒƒ ์™ธ์—๋Š”
05:53
but a nuclear war of a kind we've never seen --
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์ด์™€ ๊ฐ™์€ ์„ฑ์žฅ์ด ์ผ์–ด๋‚˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ๋ฉˆ์ถœ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋Š”
05:56
that can stop this [growth] from happening.
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๊ฒƒ์€ ์—†์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
05:59
Because we already have this [growth] in process.
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์™œ๋ƒํ•˜๋ฉด ์ด๋ฏธ ์ด ์„ฑ์žฅ์ด ์ง„ํ–‰ ์ค‘์ด๊ธฐ ๋•Œ๋ฌธ์ด์ง€์š”.
06:02
But if, and only if,
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ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ๋งŒ์•ฝ, ๋งŒ์•ฝ์—
06:04
[the poorest] get out of poverty,
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[๊ทน๋นˆ์ธต์ด] ๊ฐ€๋‚œ์—์„œ ๋ฒ—์–ด๋‚˜๊ณ 
06:06
they get education, they get improved child survival,
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๊ต์œก์„ ๋ฐ›๊ณ , ์œ ์•„ ์ƒ์กด์œจ์ด ๊ฐœ์„ ๋œ๋‹ค๋ฉด,
06:08
they can buy a bicycle and a cell phone and come [to live] here,
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๊ทธ๋“ค์ด ์ž์ „๊ฑฐ์™€ ํœด๋Œ€ํฐ์„ ์‚ด ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๊ณ  ์ด๊ณณ์—์„œ ์‚ด๋ฉด
06:11
then population growth
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๊ทธ๋ ‡๋‹ค๋ฉด ์ธ๊ตฌ ์ฆ๊ฐ€๋Š”
06:13
will stop in 2050.
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2050๋…„์— ๋ฉˆ์ถœ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
06:16
We cannot have people on this level
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์šฐ๋ฆฐ ์Œ์‹๊ณผ ์‹ ๋ฐœ์„ ์ฐพ์•„๋‹ค๋‹ˆ๋Š” ์ด ์ˆ˜์ค€์—
06:18
looking for food and shoes
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์ธ๋ฅ˜๋ฅผ ๋‘˜ ์ˆ˜ ์—†์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
06:20
because then we get continued population growth.
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๊ทธ๋Ÿฌ๋ฉด ์šฐ๋ฆฐ ์ธ๊ตฌ ์ฆ๊ฐ€๊ฐ€ ์ง€์†ํ•  ํ…Œ๋‹ˆ๊นŒ์š”.
06:23
And let me show you why
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์™œ ๊ทธ๋Ÿฐ์ง€ ๋ณด์—ฌ ๋“œ๋ฆฌ์ง€์š”
06:25
by converting back to the old-time
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์˜› ๋””์ง€ํ„ธ ํ”„๋ ˆ์  ํ…Œ์ด์…˜
06:28
digital technology.
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๋ฐฉ์‹์œผ๋กœ ๋Œ์•„์™€์„œ์š”.
06:30
Here I have on the screen
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์—ฌ๊ธฐ, ์ด ์Šคํฌ๋ฆฐ ์œ„๋กœ
06:32
my country bubbles.
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์ €์˜ '๋‚˜๋ผ ๋ฐฉ์šธ'๋“ค์ด ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
06:34
Every bubble is a country. The size is population.
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๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐฉ์šธ์ด ํ•œ ๊ตญ๊ฐ€์ง€์š”. ํฌ๊ธฐ๋Š” ์ธ๊ตฌ๊ณ ์š”.
06:36
The colors show the continent.
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์ƒ‰๊น”์€ (์†ํ•ด์žˆ๋Š”) ๋Œ€๋ฅ™์„ ๋ณด์—ฌ์ค๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
06:38
The yellow on there is the Americas;
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๋…ธ๋ž€์ƒ‰์€ ์•„๋ฉ”๋ฆฌ์นด์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
06:40
dark blue is Africa; brown is Europe;
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์ง™์€ ํŒŒ๋ž‘์€ ์•„ํ”„๋ฆฌ์นด, ๊ฐˆ์ƒ‰์€ ์œ ๋Ÿฝ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
06:42
green is the Middle East
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๋…น์ƒ‰์€ ์ค‘๋™์ง€์—ญ์ด๊ณ 
06:45
and this light blue is South Asia.
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์ด ํ•˜๋Š˜์ƒ‰์€ ๋‚จ์•„์‹œ์•„์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
06:47
That's India and this is China. Size is population.
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์ด๊ฒƒ์ด ์ธ๋„์ด๊ณ  ์ด๊ฑด ์ค‘๊ตญ์ด์ฃ . ์›์˜ ํฌ๊ธฐ๋Š” ์ธ๊ตฌ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
06:49
Here I have children per woman:
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์—ฌ๊ธฐ ์—ฌ์„ฑ ํ•œ ๋ช…๋‹น ์•„์ด ์ˆ˜๊ฐ€ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
06:52
two children, four children, six children, eight children --
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๋‘ ์•„์ด, ๋„ค ์•„์ด, ์—ฌ์„ฏ ์•„์ด, ์—ฌ๋Ÿ ์•„์ด
06:54
big families, small families.
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๋Œ€๊ฐ€์กฑ ๋Œ€ ํ•ต๊ฐ€์กฑ์ด์ง€์š”.
06:57
The year is 1960.
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์—ฐ๋„๋Š” 1960๋…„๋Œ€์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
06:59
And down here, child survival,
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์•„๋ž˜์ชฝ์— ์œ ์•„ ์ƒ์กด์œจ์ด์ฃ .
07:01
the percentage of children surviving childhood
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์•„์ด๋“ค์ด ์œ ๋…„๊ธฐ๋ฅผ ์ง€๋‚˜ ํ•™๊ต์— ๋“ค์–ด๊ฐ€๋Š”
07:03
up to starting school:
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๋‚˜์ด๊นŒ์ง€ ์ƒ์กดํ•˜๋Š” ํผ์„ผํŠธ์ฃ .
07:05
60 percent, 70 percent, 80 percent, 90,
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60ํผ์„ผํŠธ, 70ํผ์„ผํŠธ, 80ํผ์„ผํŠธ 90,
07:08
and almost 100 percent, as we have today
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ๊ฑฐ์˜ 100ํผ์„ผํŠธ, ์˜ค๋Š˜๋‚ ์˜
07:10
in the wealthiest and healthiest countries.
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๊ฐ€์žฅ ๋ถ€์œ ํ•˜๊ณ  ๊ฑด๊ฐ•ํ•œ ๊ตญ๊ฐ€๋“ค์ฒ˜๋Ÿผ์š”.
07:12
But look, this is the world my teacher talked about in 1960:
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๋ณด์‹ญ์‹œ์˜ค. ์ด๊ฒƒ์ด 1960๋…„๋Œ€์— ์ œ ์„ ์ƒ๋‹˜๊ป˜์„œ ๋ง์”€ํ•˜์‹œ๋˜ ์„ธ๊ณ„์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
07:15
one billion Western world here --
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์„œ๊ตฌ์„ธ๊ณ„์˜ ์‹ญ์–ต์˜ ์ธ๊ตฌ๋Š”,
07:18
high child-survival, small families --
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๋†’์€ ์œ ์•„ ์ƒ์กด์œจ์„ ์ง€๋‹Œ ํ•ต๊ฐ€์กฑ๋“ค์ด์ฃ .
07:21
and all the rest,
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ๋‚˜๋จธ์ง€ ์ „๋ถ€
07:23
the rainbow of developing countries,
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๋ฌด์ง€๊ฐœ ์ƒ‰๊น”๋“ค์˜ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ ๋„์ƒ๊ตญ๋“ค์ด์ง€์š”.
07:25
with very large families
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๋งค์šฐ ํฐ ๋Œ€๊ฐ€์กฑ๋“ค๊ณผ
07:27
and poor child survival.
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ๋‚ฎ์€ ์œ ์•„ ์ƒ์กด์œจ์„ ๊ฐ€์กŒ์ง€์š”.
07:29
What has happened? I start the world. Here we go.
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๋ฌด์—‡์ด ์ผ์–ด๋‚ฌ์„๊นŒ์š”? ์ด ์„ธ๊ณ„๋ฅผ ์›€์ง์—ฌ๋ณด์ฃ . ์‹œ์ž‘ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
07:32
Can you see, as the years pass by, child survival is increasing?
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๋ณด์ด์‹ญ๋‹ˆ๊นŒ? ํ•ด๊ฐ€ ์ง€๋‚ ์ˆ˜๋ก, ์œ ์•„์ƒ์กด์œจ์ด ๋†’์•„์ง€์ฃ ?
07:35
They get soap, hygiene, education,
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๊ทธ๋“ค์€ ๋น„๋ˆ„๋ฅผ ๊ฐ–๊ฒŒ ๋˜๊ณ  ์œ„์ƒ๊ณผ ๊ต์œก
07:37
vaccination, penicillin
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๋ฐฑ์‹ ๊ณผ ํŽ˜๋‹ˆ์‹ค๋ฆฐ
07:39
and then family planning. Family size is decreasing.
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ๊ฐ€์กฑ๊ณ„ํš์„ ๊ฐ–๊ฒŒ ๋˜์ฃ . ๊ฐ€์กฑ์˜ ํฌ๊ธฐ๋Š” ์ž‘์•„์ง‘๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
07:42
[When] they get up to 90-percent child survival, then families decrease,
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๊ทธ๋“ค์ด 90ํผ์„ผํŠธ์˜ ์œ ์•„ ์ƒ์กด์œจ์— ๋‹ค๋‹ค๋ฅด๋ฉด ๊ฐ€์กฑ ํฌ๊ธฐ๋Š” ์ค๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
07:45
and most of the Arab countries in the Middle East
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์ค‘๋™ ๋Œ€๋ถ€๋ถ„์˜ ์•„๋ž ๊ตญ๊ฐ€๋“ค์ด
07:47
is falling down there [to small families].
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์ด๊ณณ [์ž‘์€ ๊ฐ€์กฑ๋“ค]์— ํ•ด๋‹นํ•˜์ฃ .
07:49
Look, Bangladesh catching up with India.
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๋ณด์‹ญ์‹œ์˜ค. ๋ฐฉ๊ธ€๋ผ๋ฐ์‹œ๊ฐ€ ์ธ๋„๋ฅผ ๋”ฐ๋ผ์žก๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
07:51
The whole emerging world
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[๋ชจ๋“ ] ์„ธ๊ณ„์˜ ์‹ ํฅ ๊ฒฝ์ œ์ธต์ด
07:54
joins the Western world
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์„œ๊ตฌ์„ธ๊ณ„์™€ ํ•จ๊ป˜ํ•˜๊ธฐ ์‹œ์ž‘ํ•˜์ฃ .
07:56
with good child survival
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๋†’์€ ์œ ์•„ ์ƒ์กด์œจ, ๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ 
07:58
and small family size,
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์ž‘์€ ๊ฐ€์กฑ ํฌ๊ธฐ์™€ ํ•จ๊ป˜ ๋ง์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
08:00
but we still have the poorest billion.
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ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ์šฐ๋ฆฐ ์•„์ง ๊ฐ€์žฅ ๊ฐ€๋‚œํ•œ ์‹ญ์–ต์˜ ์ธ๊ตฌ๋ฅผ ๊ฐ–๊ณ  ์žˆ์ฃ .
08:02
Can you see the poorest billion,
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๊ฐ€์žฅ ๊ฐ€๋‚œํ•œ ์ด 10์–ต์˜ ์ธ๊ตฌ๊ฐ€ ๋ณด์ด์‹ญ๋‹ˆ๊นŒ?
08:04
those [two] boxes I had over here?
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์ œ๊ฐ€ ์—ฌ๊ธฐ ๋†“์€ ์ด ๋‘ ๊ฐœ์˜ ๋ฐ•์Šค ๋ง์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
08:07
They are still up here.
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๊ทธ๋“ค์€ ์•„์ง ์—ฌ๊ธฐ ์œ„์ชฝ์— ์žˆ์ฃ .
08:09
And they still have a child survival
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ๊ทธ๋“ค์€ ์•„์ง 70~80ํผ์„ผํŠธ๋ฐ–์—
08:11
of only 70 to 80 percent,
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๋˜์ง€ ์•Š๋Š” ์œ ์•„ ์ƒ์กด์œจ์„ ๊ฐ–๊ณ  ์žˆ์ฃ .
08:13
meaning that if you have six children born,
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์ฆ‰ ์Šจ ๋งŒ์•ฝ ์—ฌ์„ฏ ๋ช…์˜ ์•„์ด๋“ค์ด ์žˆ๋‹ค๋ฉด
08:15
there will be at least four who survive
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์ ์–ด๋„ ๋„ค ๋ช…์€ ๋‹ค์Œ ์„ธ๋Œ€๋กœ
08:17
to the next generation.
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์‚ด์•„๋‚จ์„ ๊ฒƒ์ด๋ฉฐ
08:19
And the population will double in one generation.
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์ธ๊ตฌ๋Š” ํ•œ ์„ธ๋Œ€์— ๋‘ ๋ฐฐ๊ฐ€ ๋˜์–ด๋ฒ„๋ฆฌ๊ฒ ์ฃ .
08:22
So the only way
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๊ทธ๋ž˜์„œ ์„ธ๊ณ„์ธ๊ตฌ ์ฆ๊ฐ€๋ฅผ
08:24
of really getting world population [growth] to stop
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๋ฉˆ์ถ”๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•œ ์œ ์ผํ•œ ๋ฐฉ๋„๋Š”
08:27
is to continue to improve child survival
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์œ ์•„ ์ƒ์กด์œจ์„ 90ํผ์„ผํŠธ๊นŒ์ง€
08:29
to 90 percent.
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๋†’์ด๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด๊ฒƒ์ด ๊ฒŒ์ด์ธ  ์žฌ๋‹จ,
08:31
That's why investments by Gates Foundation,
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์œ ๋‹ˆ์„ธํ”„ ๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ๊ตฌํ˜ธ ๋‹จ์ฒด๋“ค์ด
08:33
UNICEF and aid organizations,
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๊ฐ€์žฅ ๊ฐ€๋‚œํ•œ ๋‚˜๋ผ๋“ค์˜
08:35
together with national government in the poorest countries,
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์ •๋ถ€๋“ค๊ณผ ํ•จ๊ป˜ํ•˜๋Š” [๊ฑด๊ฐ•๊ด€๋ จ] ํˆฌ์ž๊ฐ€
08:37
are so good;
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์ข‹์€ ์ด์œ ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
08:39
because they are actually
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์™œ๋ƒํ•˜๋ฉด ๊ทธ๋“ค์€ ์‹ค์งˆ์ ์œผ๋กœ
08:41
helping us to reach
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์ง€์† ๊ฐ€๋Šฅํ•œ ์„ธ๊ณ„ ์ธ๊ตฌ์ˆ˜์—
08:43
a sustainable population size of the world.
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์ด๋ฅด๋„๋ก ๋„์™€์ฃผ๊ธฐ ๋•Œ๋ฌธ์ด์ฃ .
08:45
We can stop at nine billion if we do the right things.
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์šฐ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ์ œ๋Œ€๋กœ๋งŒ ํ•œ๋‹ค๋ฉด ๊ตฌ์‹ญ์–ต์—์„œ ๋ฉˆ์ถœ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์„ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
08:48
Child survival is the new green.
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์œ ์•„์ƒ์กด์ด ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ์นœํ™˜๊ฒฝ์ ์ธ ๋Œ€์•ˆ์ธ ๊ฑฐ์ฃ .
08:51
It's only by child survival
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์œ ์•„์ƒ์กด์œจ์„ ๋†’์ด๋Š” ๊ฒƒ๋งŒ์ด
08:53
that we will stop population growth.
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์ธ๊ตฌ ์ฆ๊ฐ€๋ฅผ ๋ฉˆ์ถœ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
08:56
And will it happen?
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๊ณผ์—ฐ ์‹คํ˜„๋ ๊นŒ์š”?
08:58
Well, I'm not an optimist,
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๋ญ, ์ €๋Š” ๋‚™๊ด€๋ก ์ž๋Š” ์•„๋‹™๋‹ˆ๋‹ค๋งŒ,
09:01
neither am I a pessimist.
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๋น„๊ด€๋ก ์ž ๋˜ํ•œ ์•„๋‹ˆ์ง€์š”.
09:03
I'm a very serious "possibilist."
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์ €๋Š” ๋งค์šฐ ์ง„์ง€ํ•œ ํ˜„์‹ค์ ์ธ ๊ฐœํ˜์ฃผ์˜์ž์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
09:06
It's a new category where we take emotion apart,
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์ด๋Š” ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ์นดํ…Œ๊ณ ๋ฆฌ์ฃ . ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๊ฐ์ •์„ ๋”ฐ๋กœ ๋–ผ์–ด ๋†“๊ณ 
09:09
and we just work analytically with the world.
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์„ธ๊ณ„๋ฅผ ์˜ค๋กœ์ง€ ๋ถ„์„์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ ‘๊ทผํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
09:11
It can be done.
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์ด๊ฒƒ์€ ์ถฉ๋ถ„ํžˆ ์‹คํ˜„ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
09:14
We can have a much more just world.
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์šฐ๋ฆฐ ์ข€ ๋” ๊ท ํ˜• ์žกํžŒ ์„ธ๊ณ„๋ฅผ ๊ฐ€์งˆ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
09:17
With green technology
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์นœํ™˜๊ฒฝ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ๊ณผ
09:19
and with investments to alleviate poverty,
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๋นˆ๊ณค์„ ์™„ํ™” ์‹œํ‚ฌ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋Š” ํˆฌ์ž,
09:21
and global governance,
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ํ›Œ๋ฅญํ•œ ์ „ ์ง€๊ตฌ์ ์ธ ๊ด€๋ฆฌ์™€ ํ•จ๊ป˜
09:23
the world can become like this.
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์„ธ๊ณ„๋Š” ์ด๋ ‡๊ฒŒ ๋  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
09:25
And look at the position of the old West.
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๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์˜ˆ์ „ ์„œ๊ตฌ์˜ ์œ„์น˜๋ฅผ ๋ณด์‹ญ์‹œ์˜ค.
09:28
Remember when this blue box was all alone,
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์ด ํŒŒ๋ž€์ƒ‰ ๋ฐ•์Šค๊ฐ€ ํ™€๋กœ ์„ธ๊ณ„๋ฅผ ์ด๋Œ๊ณ 
09:31
leading the world, living its own life.
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๊ทธ๋งŒ์˜ ์ƒ์„ ์‚ด์•„๊ฐ€๋˜ ๋•Œ๋ฅผ ๊ธฐ์–ตํ•˜์‹ญ์‹œ์˜ค.
09:34
This will not happen [again].
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์ด๊ฑด ๋‹ค์‹œ ์ผ์–ด๋‚˜์ง€ ์•Š์„ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
09:36
The role of the old West in the new world
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์ด ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ์„ธ๊ณ„์—์„œ ์˜ˆ์ „์˜ ์„œ๊ตฌ์˜ ์—ญํ• ์€
09:39
is to become the foundation
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ํ˜„๋Œ€ ์„ธ๊ณ„์˜ ๊ธฐ์ดˆ๋ฅผ ์ด๋ฃจ๋˜ ์ดˆ์„์˜
09:41
of the modern world --
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[์ผ๋ถ€๊ฐ€] ๋˜๋Š” ๊ฒ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
09:43
nothing more, nothing less.
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๊ทธ ์ด์ƒ๋„ ๊ทธ ์ดํ•˜๋„ ์•„๋‹ˆ์ง€์š”.
09:45
But it's a very important role.
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ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ๊ทธ๊ฑด ๋งค์šฐ ์ค‘์š”ํ•œ ์—ญํ• ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
09:47
Do it well and get used to it.
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์ž˜ ํ•ด๋‚ด์‹œ๊ณ  ์ต์ˆ™ํ•ด์ง€์‹ญ์‹œ์˜ค.
09:49
Thank you very much.
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๊ฐ์‚ฌํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
09:51
(Applause)
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(๋ฐ•์ˆ˜)
์ด ์›น์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ ์ •๋ณด

์ด ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ๋Š” ์˜์–ด ํ•™์Šต์— ์œ ์šฉํ•œ YouTube ๋™์˜์ƒ์„ ์†Œ๊ฐœํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ „ ์„ธ๊ณ„ ์ตœ๊ณ ์˜ ์„ ์ƒ๋‹˜๋“ค์ด ๊ฐ€๋ฅด์น˜๋Š” ์˜์–ด ์ˆ˜์—…์„ ๋ณด๊ฒŒ ๋  ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ฐ ๋™์˜์ƒ ํŽ˜์ด์ง€์— ํ‘œ์‹œ๋˜๋Š” ์˜์–ด ์ž๋ง‰์„ ๋”๋ธ” ํด๋ฆญํ•˜๋ฉด ๊ทธ๊ณณ์—์„œ ๋™์˜์ƒ์ด ์žฌ์ƒ๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋น„๋””์˜ค ์žฌ์ƒ์— ๋งž์ถฐ ์ž๋ง‰์ด ์Šคํฌ๋กค๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์˜๊ฒฌ์ด๋‚˜ ์š”์ฒญ์ด ์žˆ๋Š” ๊ฒฝ์šฐ ์ด ๋ฌธ์˜ ์–‘์‹์„ ์‚ฌ์šฉํ•˜์—ฌ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹ญ์‹œ์˜ค.

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