Kirk Citron: And now, the real news

45,529 views ・ 2010-03-31

TED


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譯者: Jason Lee 審譯者: 張新永 Davidchang
00:16
We are drowning in news.
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我們淹沒在新聞中
00:19
Reuters alone puts out
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單是路透社一家
00:21
three and a half million news stories a year.
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一年就發佈350萬則新聞
00:23
That's just one source.
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注意這只是一家通信社啊
00:26
My question is: How many of those stories
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我的問題是: 這些新聞會有幾則
00:28
are actually going to matter in the long run?
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用長期的角度來看哪些真正是重要的
00:31
That's the idea behind The Long News.
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這正是「長遠新聞」想要傳達的理念
00:34
It's a project by The Long Now Foundation,
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為「長遠當代基金會」執行的計劃
00:36
which was founded by TEDsters including
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由數名TEDsters所
00:38
Kevin Kelly and Stewart Brand.
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包括凱文凱立和史都華布蘭德
00:40
And what we're looking for is news stories that might still matter
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我們想要找出那些在50、100 或10,000年後
00:42
50 or 100 or 10,000 years from now.
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仍然會有深遠影響的新聞故事
00:46
And when you look at the news through that filter,
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經過前述的標準篩選後
00:49
a lot falls by the wayside.
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許多現在的新聞就會會被丟在一邊
00:52
To take the top stories from the A.P. this last year,
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拿去年美聯社的頭條新聞來說
00:55
is this going to matter in a decade?
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這個在十年後會有人在乎嗎?
00:58
Or this?
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這個呢?
01:00
Or this?
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還是這個?
01:03
Really?
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真的重要嗎?
01:05
Is this going to matter in 50 or 100 years?
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這在50或100年後還影響深遠嗎?
01:09
Okay, that was kind of cool.
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好吧,剛剛那則還滿酷的
01:11
(Laughter)
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(笑聲)
01:13
But the top story of this past year was the economy,
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去年的頭條是全球經濟問題
01:15
and I'm just betting that, sooner or later,
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但我敢打賭過遲早♪
01:18
this particular recession is going to be old news.
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這波經濟衰退新聞就會變成陳年往事
01:21
So, what kind of stories might
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所以,到底什麼樣的新聞
01:23
make a difference for the future?
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可能對未來造成影響?
01:26
Well, let's take science.
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我們看醫學新聞好了®
01:29
Someday, little robots will go
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有朝一日,迷你機器人能夠
01:31
through our bloodstreams fixing things.
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穿梭我們血液管道中進行身體器官修復
01:33
That someday is already here if you're a mouse.
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對於老鼠,這個有朝一日早就到了
01:35
Some recent stories:
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最近新聞報導
01:37
nanobees zap tumors with real bee venom;
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奈米蜜蜂用真蜂毒液殺死腫瘤©©™
01:40
they're sending genes into the brain;
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科學家把基因送到腦部
01:43
a robot they built that can crawl through the human body.
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人們已經造了一個可以在人體爬行的機器人
01:47
What about resources? How are we going to feed nine billion people?
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資源方面呢?我們要如何養活90億人,
01:50
We're having trouble feeding six billion today.
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我們現在連填飽60億人的肚子都有困難。
01:53
As we heard yesterday, there's over a billion people hungry.
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就如我們在昨天演講中所聽到,有超過10億人正處於饑餓中。
01:56
Britain will starve without genetically modified crops.
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我們也聽到,如果沒有轉基因作物,英國人早就餓死了。
02:00
Bill Gates, fortunately, has bet a billion on [agricultural] research.
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還好比爾蓋茲投入了十億美元在農業研究上
02:05
What about global politics?
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那麼國際政治方面呢?
02:07
The world's going to be very different when and if China sets the agenda,
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這個世界會重視的議題將會很不一樣,如果讓中國來設置議程的話,
02:10
and they may.
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而中國真的有能力做到的
02:12
They've overtaken the U.S. as the world's biggest car market,
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因為中國已經超過美國成為世界上最大的汽車市場,
02:15
they've overtaken Germany as the largest exporter,
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中國也已超過德國成為最大的出口國,
02:19
and they've started doing DNA tests on kids
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他們甚至已經開始在兒童身上做DNA測試,
02:21
to choose their careers.
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來給他們選擇職業。
02:24
We're finding all kinds of ways to push back the limits of what we know.
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我們尋找各種途徑,突破知識的極限
02:27
Some recent discoveries:
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以下是一些新發現
02:29
There's an ant colony from Argentina that has now
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阿根廷有一個蟻群現已
02:31
spread to every continent but Antarctica;
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傳播到每一個大陸 除了南極洲例外
02:35
there's a self-directed robot scientist that's made a discovery --
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另外科學家機器人已經可以自我引導的作出科學上的新發現,所以很快的
02:38
soon, science may no longer need us,
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所以很快的,科學研究可能不再需要人類了,
02:41
and life may no longer need us either;
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說不定連生命都不需要人類了
02:43
a microbe wakes up after 120,000 years.
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一種微生物在120,000年在沉睡12萬年之後復活
02:46
It seems that with or without us,
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似乎有沒有人類,
02:48
life will go on.
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生命都會延續下去
02:50
But my pick for the top Long News story of this past year
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我由去年的“長遠新聞”選出的第一名
02:52
was this one: water found on the moon.
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是這一個 月亮上找到了水的蹤跡
02:55
Makes it a lot easier to put a colony up there.
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如此一來人類要移居月球就容易多了
02:58
And if NASA doesn't do it, China might,
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如果NASA不願在月亮上建立殖民地,也許中國會作。
03:00
or somebody in this room might write a big check.
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也或許在座的某些人就會提供資金將其實現。
03:03
My point is this:
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我今天演講的重點就是
03:05
In the long run, some news stories
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長遠來看,某些新聞故事
03:07
are more important than others.
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就硬是比其他新聞重要的♫
03:09
(Applause)
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(掌聲)
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