The history of our world in 18 minutes | David Christian | TED

8,196,821 views ・ 2011-04-11

TED


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Translator: Rok Vidmar Reviewer: Nika Kotnik
00:16
First, a video.
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Najprej video.
00:24
Yes, it is a scrambled egg.
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Da, to so umešana jajca.
00:29
But as you look at it,
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Ampak ko to gledate,
00:30
I hope you'll begin to feel just slightly uneasy.
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upam, da boste začutili rahlo nelagodje.
00:36
Because you may notice that what's actually happening
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Kajti morda ste opazili, da video v resnici prikazuje,
00:40
is that the egg is unscrambling itself.
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da se jajce samo od-mešava.
00:42
And you'll now see the yolk and the white have separated.
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In zdaj vidite, da so se rumenjaki in beljaki ločili.
00:44
And now they're going to be poured back into the egg.
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In zdaj se bodo zlili nazaj v lupino.
00:48
And we all know in our heart of hearts
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In vsi globoko v našem srcu vemo,
00:50
that this is not the way the universe works.
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da vesolje ne deluje tako.
00:54
A scrambled egg is mush -- tasty mush -- but it's mush.
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Umešano jajce je zmešnjava – sicer okusna – ampak je zmešnjava.
00:57
An egg is a beautiful, sophisticated thing
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Jajce je lepa, prefinjena stvar,
01:00
that can create even more sophisticated things,
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ki lahko ustvari še bolj zapletene stvari,
01:02
such as chickens.
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denimo piščance.
01:04
And we know in our heart of hearts
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In globoko v našem srcu vemo,
01:06
that the universe does not travel from mush to complexity.
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da vesolje ne potuje od zmešnjave k zapletenemu.
01:10
In fact, this gut instinct
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V resnici se ta instinkt
01:12
is reflected in one of the most fundamental laws of physics,
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odraža v enem izmed najbolj temeljnih zakonov fizike,
01:15
the second law of thermodynamics, or the law of entropy.
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v drugem zakonu termodinamike, ali zakonu o entropiji.
01:19
What that says basically
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Kar pravi, je v bistvu,
01:20
is that the general tendency of the universe
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da je splošna težnja v vesolju
01:24
is to move from order and structure
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prehajanje iz reda in strukture
01:27
to lack of order, lack of structure --
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v pomanjkanje reda, v pomanjkanje strukture
01:30
in fact, to mush.
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– v resnici, v zmešnjavo.
01:31
And that's why that video feels a bit strange.
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In to daje videu malce čuden občutek.
01:35
And yet, look around us.
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Pa vendar, poglejmo okrog sebe.
01:39
What we see around us is staggering complexity.
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Kar vidimo okoli nas, je neverjetna zapletenost.
01:43
Eric Beinhocker estimates that in New York City alone,
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Eric Beinhocker ocenjuje, da se samo v New Yorku
01:46
there are some 10 billion SKUs, or distinct commodities, being traded.
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trguje s približno 10 milijardami vrst različnega blaga.
01:50
That's hundreds of times as many species as there are on Earth.
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To je skoraj stokrat več, kot je vrst živih organizmov na Zemlji.
01:55
And they're being traded by a species of almost seven billion individuals,
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Trgovanje poteka zaradi vrste skoraj sedem milijard posameznikov,
01:59
who are linked by trade, travel, and the Internet
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ki so povezani s trgovino, potovanjem in internetom
02:02
into a global system of stupendous complexity.
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v globalen sistem gromozanske zapletenosti.
02:07
So here's a great puzzle:
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No, tukaj je velika uganka:
02:10
in a universe ruled by the second law of thermodynamics,
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v vesolju, kjer vlada drugi zakon termodinamike,
kako je mogoče
02:14
how is it possible
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02:16
to generate the sort of complexity I've described,
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porajati zapletenost take vrste, kot sem jo opisal,
02:19
the sort of complexity represented by you and me
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zapletenost, ki jo predstavljava ti in jaz
02:23
and the convention center?
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in kongresni center?
02:26
Well, the answer seems to be,
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No, zdi se, da je odgovor,
02:28
the universe can create complexity,
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da vesolje lahko ustvari zapletenost,
02:31
but with great difficulty.
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vendar z velikimi težavami.
02:33
In pockets,
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V žepih
02:34
there appear what my colleague, Fred Spier,
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se pojavijo, kar moj kolega Fred Spier
02:37
calls "Goldilocks conditions" --
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imenuje "Zlatolaskini pogoji" –
02:39
not too hot, not too cold,
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ne prevroče, ne premrzlo,
02:41
just right for the creation of complexity.
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ravno prav za ustvarjanje zapletenosti.
02:44
And slightly more complex things appear.
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In pojavijo se nekoliko bolj zapletene stvari.
02:46
And where you have slightly more complex things,
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In kjer so nekoliko bolj zapletene stvari,
02:48
you can get slightly more complex things.
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lahko dobiš nekoliko bolj zapletene stvari.
02:51
And in this way, complexity builds stage by stage.
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In na ta način se zapletenost gradi stopnja za stopnjo.
02:56
Each stage is magical
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Vsaka stopnja je čarobna,
02:58
because it creates the impression of something utterly new
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ker naredi vtis nečesa popolnoma novega,
03:02
appearing almost out of nowhere in the universe.
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ki se v vesolju pojavi skoraj od nikoder.
03:04
We refer in big history to these moments as threshold moments.
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V veliki zgodovini tem trenutkom pravimo trenutki prehoda praga.
03:09
And at each threshold, the going gets tougher.
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In pri vsakem pragu postane prehod težji.
03:12
The complex things get more fragile,
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Zapletene stvari postanejo bolj krhke,
03:15
more vulnerable;
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bolj ranljive;
03:17
the Goldilocks conditions get more stringent,
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Zlatolaskini pogoji postanejo bolj strogi,
03:20
and it's more difficult to create complexity.
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in težje je narediti zapletenost.
03:24
Now, we, as extremely complex creatures,
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Mi, kot skrajno zapletena bitja,
03:28
desperately need to know this story
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obupno potrebujemo poznati zgodbo
03:30
of how the universe creates complexity despite the second law,
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o tem, kako vesolje ustvarja zapletenost kljub drugemu zakonu,
03:34
and why complexity means vulnerability and fragility.
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in zakaj zapletenost pomeni ranljivost in krhkost.
03:40
And that's the story that we tell in big history.
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In to zgodbo povemo v veliki zgodovini.
03:43
But to do it, you have do something
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A zato je treba narediti nekaj,
03:45
that may, at first sight, seem completely impossible.
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kar lahko na prvi pogled izgleda popolnoma nemogoče.
03:48
You have to survey the whole history of the universe.
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Treba je pregledati vso zgodovino vesolja.
03:52
So let's do it.
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Pa dajmo.
03:54
(Laughter)
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(Smeh)
03:56
Let's begin by winding the timeline back
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Previjmo časovnico nazaj
03:59
13.7 billion years,
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za 13,7 milijard let,
04:02
to the beginning of time.
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na začetek časa.
04:12
Around us, there's nothing.
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Okoli nas ni nič.
04:14
There's not even time or space.
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Ni niti časa niti prostora.
04:18
Imagine the darkest, emptiest thing you can
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Predstavljajte si najtemnejšo, najbolj prazno reč, ki si jo morete,
04:22
and cube it a gazillion times and that's where we are.
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in jo dvignite na tretjo potenco gazilijon krat in natanko tam smo.
04:25
And then suddenly,
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In tedaj kar naenkrat
04:28
bang!
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pok!
04:29
A universe appears, an entire universe.
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Pojavi se vesolje, vse vesolje.
04:31
And we've crossed our first threshold.
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In prešli smo prvi prag.
04:33
The universe is tiny; it's smaller than an atom.
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Vesolje je majceno; manjše kot atom.
04:35
It's incredibly hot.
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Neverjetno vroče je.
04:37
It contains everything that's in today's universe,
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Vsebuje vse, kar je v vesolju danes,
04:39
so you can imagine, it's busting.
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lahko si predstavljate, da kipi.
04:41
And it's expanding at incredible speed.
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In veča se z neverjetno hitrostjo.
04:44
And at first, it's just a blur,
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In spočetka je vse nejasno,
04:46
but very quickly distinct things begin to appear in that blur.
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a zelo hitro se v tej megli začenjajo pojavljati različne stvari.
04:49
Within the first second,
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V prvi sekundi
04:51
energy itself shatters into distinct forces
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se energija sama razbije na različne sile,
04:54
including electromagnetism and gravity.
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tudi na elektromagnetno in gravitacijsko.
04:57
And energy does something else quite magical:
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In energija naredi nekaj drugega, kar je čisto čarobno:
04:59
it congeals to form matter --
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strdi se, da naredi snov –
05:03
quarks that will create protons
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kvarke, ki bodo naredili protone
05:05
and leptons that include electrons.
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in leptone, ki vključujejo elektrone.
05:07
And all of that happens in the first second.
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Vse to se zgodi v prvi sekundi.
05:09
Now we move forward 380,000 years.
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Gremo naprej 380.000 let.
05:14
That's twice as long as humans have been on this planet.
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To je dvakrat toliko, kot smo ljudje bili na tem planetu.
05:17
And now simple atoms appear of hydrogen and helium.
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In zdaj se pojavijo preprosti atomi vodika in helija.
05:23
Now I want to pause for a moment,
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Rad bi se ustavil za hip,
05:25
380,000 years after the origins of the universe,
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380.000 let po začetku vesolja,
05:28
because we actually know quite a lot about the universe at this stage.
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ker o vesolju na tej stopnji vemo kar precej.
05:32
We know above all that it was extremely simple.
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Predvsem vemo, da je bilo skrajno preprosto.
05:35
It consisted of huge clouds of hydrogen and helium atoms,
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Sestavljali so ga orjaški oblaki vodikovih in helijevih atomov,
05:39
and they have no structure.
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in so brez zgradbe.
05:41
They're really a sort of cosmic mush.
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V resnici so nekakšna kozmična zmešnjava.
05:44
But that's not completely true.
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Vendar to ni popolnoma res.
05:46
Recent studies
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Nedavne študije
05:48
by satellites such as the WMAP satellite
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s sateliti, kot je satelit WMAP
05:51
have shown that, in fact,
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so pokazale, da so v resnici
05:52
there are just tiny differences in that background.
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v tem ozadju majcene razlike.
05:55
What you see here,
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To vidite tu,
05:57
the blue areas are about a thousandth of a degree cooler
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modra področja so kakšno tisočinko stopinje bolj hladna
06:01
than the red areas.
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od rdečih področij.
06:03
These are tiny differences,
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Te razlike so majcene,
06:04
but it was enough for the universe to move on
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a so dovolj, da je vesolje napredovalo
06:06
to the next stage of building complexity.
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k naslednji stopnji gradnje zapletenosti.
06:08
And this is how it works.
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In tako to gre.
06:10
Gravity is more powerful where there's more stuff.
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Gravitacija je močnejša, kjer je več snovi.
06:15
So where you get slightly denser areas,
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V nekoliko gostejših področjih
06:18
gravity starts compacting clouds of hydrogen and helium atoms.
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začne gravitacija zgoščati oblake vodikovih in helijevih atomov.
06:22
So we can imagine the early universe breaking up into a billion clouds.
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Lahko si predstavljamo, da se je rano vesolje razbilo na milijardo oblakov.
06:25
And each cloud is compacted,
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Vsak oblak se zgošča,
06:27
gravity gets more powerful as density increases,
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gravitacija postane močnejša in ko gostota narašča,
06:30
the temperature begins to rise at the center of each cloud,
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narašča temperatura v središču vsakega oblaka
06:33
and then, at the center,
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in potem, v središču,
06:34
the temperature crosses the threshold temperature
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temperatura preseže toplotni prag
06:37
of 10 million degrees,
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10 milijonov stopinj,
06:39
protons start to fuse,
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protoni se začnejo zlivati,
06:41
there's a huge release of energy,
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sprošča se ogromno energije
06:44
and --
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in –
06:45
bam!
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bum!
06:46
We have our first stars.
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Imamo prve zvezde.
06:48
From about 200 million years after the Big Bang,
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Nekako 200 milijonov let po Velikem poku
06:52
stars begin to appear all through the universe,
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se začnejo zvezde pojavljati po vsem vesolju,
06:56
billions of them.
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na milijarde.
06:57
And the universe is now significantly more interesting
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Vesolje je zdaj občutno bolj zanimivo
07:00
and more complex.
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in bolj zapleteno.
07:03
Stars will create the Goldilocks conditions
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Zvezde bodo ustvarile Zlatolaskine pogoje
07:06
for crossing two new thresholds.
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za prehod dveh novih pragov.
07:08
When very large stars die,
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Ko velike zvezde umrejo,
07:11
they create temperatures so high
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dvignejo temperature tako visoko,
07:13
that protons begin to fuse in all sorts of exotic combinations,
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da se protoni začnejo zlivati v vse vrste nenavadnih kombinacij,
07:17
to form all the elements of the periodic table.
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in tvorijo vse elemente periodnega sistema.
07:20
If, like me, you're wearing a gold ring,
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Če tako kot jaz nosite zlat prstan,
07:22
it was forged in a supernova explosion.
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je bil skovan v eksploziji supernove.
07:25
So now the universe is chemically more complex.
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Zdaj je vesolje kemično bolj zapleteno.
07:29
And in a chemically more complex universe,
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In v kemično bolj zapletenem vesolju
07:31
it's possible to make more things.
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se da narediti več reči.
07:33
And what starts happening is that, around young suns,
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Kar se začne dogajati je, da se okoli mladih sonc,
07:37
young stars,
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mladih zvezd,
začnejo ti elementi združevati, vrtijo se okoli,
07:39
all these elements combine, they swirl around,
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07:41
the energy of the star stirs them around,
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energija zvezde jih meša,
07:44
they form particles, they form snowflakes, they form little dust motes,
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tvorijo delce, tvorijo snežinke, tvorijo prašne drobce,
07:49
they form rocks, they form asteroids,
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tvorijo kamne, tvorijo asteroide
07:51
and eventually, they form planets and moons.
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in na koncu tvorijo planete in lune.
07:53
And that is how our solar system was formed,
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Tako se je oblikovalo naše osončje
07:56
four and a half billion years ago.
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pred štirimi milijardami in pol let.
08:00
Rocky planets like our Earth are significantly more complex than stars
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Kamniti planeti, kot je naša Zemlja, so bistveno bolj zapleteni kot zvezde,
08:05
because they contain a much greater diversity of materials.
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ker vsebujejo bistveno večjo raznolikost gradiva.
08:08
So we've crossed a fourth threshold of complexity.
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Tako smo prešli četrti prag zapletenosti.
08:12
Now, the going gets tougher.
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Napredovanje postane zdaj težavnejše.
08:16
The next stage introduces entities that are significantly more fragile,
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Naslednja stopnja uvede stvari, ki so bistveno bolj krhke,
08:20
significantly more vulnerable,
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bistveno bolj ranljive,
08:22
but they're also much more creative
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a so tudi veliko bolj ustvarjalne
08:25
and much more capable of generating further complexity.
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in veliko bolj sposobne porajati nadaljnjo zapletenost.
08:28
I'm talking, of course, about living organisms.
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Govorim seveda o živih organizmih.
08:32
Living organisms are created by chemistry.
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Žive organizme ustvarja kemija.
08:34
We are huge packages of chemicals.
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Smo ogromni svežnji kemikalij.
08:38
So, chemistry is dominated by the electromagnetic force.
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Kemijo obvladuje elektromagnetna sila.
08:41
That operates over smaller scales than gravity,
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Deluje na manjšem obsegu kot gravitacija,
08:43
which explains why you and I are smaller than stars or planets.
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kar razloži, zakaj sva ti in jaz manjša od zvezd in planetov.
08:48
Now, what are the ideal conditions for chemistry?
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Kaj pa so popolni pogoji za kemijo?
08:50
What are the Goldilocks conditions?
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Kaj so Zlatolaskini pogoji?
08:52
Well, first, you need energy,
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Najprej potrebuješ energijo,
08:55
but not too much.
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a ne preveč.
08:56
In the center of a star, there's so much energy
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V središču zvezde je toliko energije,
08:58
that any atoms that combine will just get busted apart again.
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da so atomi, ki se združijo, spet takoj raztrgani narazen.
09:02
But not too little.
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Pa tudi ne premalo.
09:03
In intergalactic space,
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V prostoru med galaksijami
09:04
there's so little energy that atoms can't combine.
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je energije tako malo, da se atomi ne morejo združevati.
09:08
What you want is just the right amount,
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Potrebna je ravno prava količina
09:10
and planets, it turns out, are just right,
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in izkaže se, da so planeti ravno pravšnji,
09:12
because they're close to stars, but not too close.
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ker so blizu zvezd, a ne preblizu.
09:15
You also need a great diversity of chemical elements,
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Potrebna je velika raznolikost kemičnih elementov
09:19
and you need liquids, such as water.
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in potrebne so tekočine, denimo voda.
09:22
Why?
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Zakaj?
09:23
Well, in gases, atoms move past each other so fast
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No, v plinih se atomi tako hitro gibljejo drug mimo drugega,
09:27
that they can't hitch up.
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da se ne morejo zaplesti.
09:28
In solids,
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V trdnih snoveh
09:30
atoms are stuck together, they can't move.
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so atomi ujeti skupaj,
ne morejo se premikati.
09:33
In liquids,
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V tekočinah
09:35
they can cruise and cuddle
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lahko križarijo in se stiskajo
09:38
and link up to form molecules.
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in se zvežejo v molekule.
09:41
Now, where do you find such Goldilocks conditions?
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Kje najdeš take Zlatolaskine pogoje?
09:43
Well, planets are great,
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No, planeti so imenitni
09:45
and our early Earth was almost perfect.
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in naša zgodnja Zemlja je bila skoraj popolna.
09:50
It was just the right distance from its star
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Ravno prav daleč od svoje zvezde,
09:52
to contain huge oceans of liquid water.
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da je imela velikanske oceane tekoče vode.
09:54
And deep beneath those oceans,
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In globoko pod temi oceani,
09:56
at cracks in the Earth's crust,
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pri razpokah v Zemljini skorji,
09:58
you've got heat seeping up from inside the Earth,
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je toplota uhajala iz notranjosti Zemlje,
10:01
and you've got a great diversity of elements.
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in raznolikost elementov je bila velika.
10:03
So at those deep oceanic vents,
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Ob teh oddušnikih globoko v oceanu
10:05
fantastic chemistry began to happen,
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se je začela dogajati fantastična kemija
10:08
and atoms combined in all sorts of exotic combinations.
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in atomi so se začeli združevati v nenavadne kombinacije vseh vrst.
10:12
But of course, life is more than just exotic chemistry.
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Vendar pa je življenje več, kot le nenavadna kemija.
10:17
How do you stabilize those huge molecules
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Kako ustališ te velike molekule,
10:20
that seem to be viable?
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ki, kot je videti, uspešno delujejo?
10:22
Well, it's here that life introduces an entirely new trick.
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Tu življenje vpelje čisto novo zvijačo.
10:28
You don't stabilize the individual;
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Ne ustališ posameznika;
10:30
you stabilize the template,
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ustališ vzorec,
10:32
the thing that carries information,
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tisto, kar nosi informacijo
10:35
and you allow the template to copy itself.
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in dovoliš, da se vzorec kopira sam.
10:37
And DNA, of course, is the beautiful molecule
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Seveda je DNK čudovita molekula,
10:40
that contains that information.
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ki vsebuje to informacijo.
10:42
You'll be familiar with the double helix of DNA.
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Saj poznaš dvojno vijačnico DNK.
10:45
Each rung contains information.
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Vsaka prečka vsebuje informacijo.
10:48
So, DNA contains information about how to make living organisms.
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Torej DNK vsebuje informacijo o tem, kako narediti živ organizem.
10:53
And DNA also copies itself.
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In DNK se kopira,
10:55
So, it copies itself
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1206
dela svoje kopije
10:56
and scatters the templates through the ocean.
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in sipa vzorce preko oceana.
10:59
So the information spreads.
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Tako se informacija širi.
11:01
Notice that information has become part of our story.
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Pazi, informacija je postala del naše zgodbe.
11:04
The real beauty of DNA though is in its imperfections.
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Resnična lepota DNK pa je v njenih nepopolnostih.
11:07
As it copies itself, once in every billion rungs,
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Ko se kopira,
se na vsako milijardo prečk rada zgodi napaka.
11:11
there tends to be an error.
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11:13
And what that means is that DNA is, in effect, learning.
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In to pravzaprav pomeni, da se DNK uči.
11:18
It's accumulating new ways of making living organisms
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Zbira nove načine, kako delati žive organizme,
kajti nekatere od teh napak se obnesejo.
11:21
because some of those errors work.
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11:23
So DNA's learning
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Ko se DNK uči,
11:24
and it's building greater diversity and greater complexity.
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gradi večjo raznolikost in večjo zapletenost.
11:27
And we can see this happening over the last four billion years.
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In to dogajanje lahko vidimo, v zadnjih štirih milijardah let.
11:30
For most of that time of life on Earth,
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Večino tega časa je bilo življenje na Zemlji,
11:33
living organisms have been relatively simple --
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so bili živi organizmi razmeroma preprosti –
11:35
single cells.
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posamezne celice.
11:36
But they had great diversity, and, inside, great complexity.
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A bili so zelo raznoliki, in v sebi, zelo zapleteni.
11:40
Then from about 600 to 800 million years ago,
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Potem, pred nekako 600 do 800 milijoni let,
11:43
multi-celled organisms appear.
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so se pojavili mnogocelični organizmi.
11:45
You get fungi, you get fish,
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Imamo gobe, imamo ribe,
11:48
you get plants,
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imamo rastline,
11:49
you get amphibia, you get reptiles,
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imamo dvoživke, imamo plazilce,
11:52
and then, of course, you get the dinosaurs.
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in potem, seveda, imamo dinozavre.
11:55
And occasionally, there are disasters.
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In včasih se zgodijo katastrofe.
11:59
Sixty-five million years ago,
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Pred petinšestdesetimi milijoni let
12:01
an asteroid landed on Earth
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je na zemljo padel asteroid
12:03
near the Yucatan Peninsula,
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blizu polotoka Jukatan,
12:05
creating conditions equivalent to those of a nuclear war,
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kar je ustvarilo pogoje, enake tistim v jedrski vojni,
12:08
and the dinosaurs were wiped out.
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in dinozavri so bili izbrisani.
12:11
Terrible news for the dinosaurs,
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Strašna novica za dinozavre,
12:14
but great news for our mammalian ancestors,
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a dobra za naše sesalske prednike,
12:18
who flourished
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ki so uspevali
12:19
in the niches left empty by the dinosaurs.
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v nišah, ki so ostale prazne po dinozavrih.
12:22
And we human beings are part of that creative evolutionary pulse
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In mi, ljudje, smo del tega ustvarjalnega impulza evolucije,
12:28
that began 65 million years ago
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ki se je začel pred 65 milijoni let
12:30
with the landing of an asteroid.
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s padcem asteroida.
12:33
Humans appeared about 200,000 years ago.
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Ljudje smo se pojavili pred približno 200.000 leti.
12:36
And I believe we count as a threshold in this great story.
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In verjamem, da veljamo kot prag v tej veliki zgodbi.
12:40
Let me explain why.
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Naj razložim, zakaj.
12:42
We've seen that DNA learns in a sense,
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Videli smo, da se DNK na nek način uči,
12:45
it accumulates information.
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ko zbira informacijo.
12:47
But it is so slow.
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A to je tako počasno.
12:50
DNA accumulates information through random errors,
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DNK zbira informacijo z naključnimi napakami,
12:53
some of which just happen to work.
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od katerih so samo nekatere dobre.
12:56
But DNA had actually generated a faster way of learning:
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A DNK je dejansko porodila hitrejši način za učenje:
12:59
it had produced organisms with brains,
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naredila je organizme z možgani,
13:01
and those organisms can learn in real time.
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in ti organizmi se lahko učijo v realnem času.
13:05
They accumulate information, they learn.
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Nabirajo informacije, se učijo.
13:07
The sad thing is, when they die,
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Žalostno je, da ko umrejo,
13:10
the information dies with them.
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informacija umre z njimi.
13:12
Now what makes humans different is human language.
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To, kar naredi ljudi drugačne, je človeški jezik.
13:16
We are blessed with a language, a system of communication,
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Blagoslovljeni smo z jezikom, sistemom za komuniciranje,
13:19
so powerful and so precise
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ki je tako močan in tako natančen,
13:21
that we can share what we've learned with such precision
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da lahko tisto, kar smo se naučili, delimo s tako natančnostjo,
13:25
that it can accumulate in the collective memory.
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da se lahko zbere v kolektivnem spominu.
13:28
And that means
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In to pomeni,
13:29
it can outlast the individuals who learned that information,
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da lahko preživi posameznike, ki so prišli do te informacije,
13:33
and it can accumulate from generation to generation.
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in se zbira iz generacije v generacijo.
13:36
And that's why, as a species, we're so creative and so powerful,
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In zato smo, kot vrsta, tako ustvarjalni in tako močni,
13:40
and that's why we have a history.
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in zato imamo zgodovino.
13:43
We seem to be the only species in four billion years
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Zdi se, da smo edina vrsta v štirih milijardah let,
13:46
to have this gift.
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ki imamo ta dar.
13:48
I call this ability collective learning.
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Tej sposobnosti pravim kolektivno učenje.
13:51
It's what makes us different.
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To nas naredi drugačne.
13:53
We can see it at work in the earliest stages of human history.
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To lahko opazimo pri delu v najbolj zgodnjih stopnjah človeške zgodovine.
13:57
We evolved as a species in the savanna lands of Africa,
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3287
Kot vrsta smo se razvili v savanskih površinah Afrike,
14:01
but then you see humans migrating into new environments,
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potem pa opažamo, da se ljudje selijo v nova okolja,
14:04
into desert lands, into jungles,
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2150
v puščave, v džungle,
14:06
into the Ice Age tundra of Siberia --
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2436
v ledenodobno tundro v Sibiriji –
14:09
tough, tough environment --
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1445
ostro, neizprosno okolje –
14:10
into the Americas, into Australasia.
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2333
v obe Ameriki, v Avstralijo in Azijo.
14:13
Each migration involved learning --
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2037
Vsaka selitev je zahtevala učenje –
14:15
learning new ways of exploiting the environment,
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učenje, kako na nove načine izkoriščati okolje,
14:17
new ways of dealing with their surroundings.
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nove načine, kako se spoprijemati z okoljem.
14:19
Then 10,000 years ago,
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Potem, pred 10.000 leti,
14:21
exploiting a sudden change in global climate
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2995
ko so izkoristili nenadno spremembo v globalnem podnebju
14:24
with the end of the last ice age,
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1572
ob koncu zadnje ledene dobe,
14:26
humans learned to farm.
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1581
so se ljudje naučili kmetovanja.
14:28
Farming was an energy bonanza.
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2436
Kmetovanje je bila energijska zlata jama.
14:31
And exploiting that energy, human populations multiplied.
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3827
Ko so izkoristili to energijo, so se človeške populacije namnožile.
14:34
Human societies got larger, denser, more interconnected.
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3587
Človeške družbe so postale večje, gostejše, bolj med seboj povezane.
14:39
And then from about 500 years ago,
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3351
Potem so se pred približno 500 leti
14:42
humans began to link up globally
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2039
ljudje začeli povezovati globalno
14:44
through shipping, through trains,
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2381
s plovbo, z vlaki,
14:46
through telegraph, through the Internet,
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2292
s telegrafom, z internetom,
14:49
until now we seem to form a single global brain
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dokler zdaj ne vidimo, da so ustvarili enotne globalne možgane
14:54
of almost seven billion individuals.
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2132
iz skoraj sedem milijard posameznikov.
14:56
And that brain is learning at warp speed.
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3162
In ti možgani se učijo z nadsvetlobno hitrostjo.
15:00
And in the last 200 years, something else has happened.
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2572
In v zadnjih 200 letih se je zgodilo še nekaj.
15:03
We've stumbled on another energy bonanza
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Naleteli smo na še eno energijsko zlato jamo,
15:05
in fossil fuels.
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fosilna goriva.
15:07
So fossil fuels and collective learning together
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2703
Tako fosilna goriva in kolektivno učenje skupaj razložita
15:09
explain the staggering complexity we see around us.
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3524
neverjetno zapletenost, ki jo vidimo okoli sebe.
15:16
So --
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916505
1000
Tako –
15:18
Here we are,
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1317
pa smo tu,
15:20
back at the convention center.
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1524
spet v kongresnem centru.
15:21
We've been on a journey, a return journey, of 13.7 billion years.
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4706
Bili smo na potovanju, na potovanju tja in nazaj, dolgem 13,7 milijard let.
15:26
I hope you agree this is a powerful story.
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Upam, da se strinjate, da je to mogočna zgodba.
15:29
And it's a story in which humans play an astonishing and creative role.
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In je zgodba, v kateri ljudje igrajo osupljivo in ustvarjalno vlogo.
15:34
But it also contains warnings.
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2215
A vsebuje tudi opozorila.
15:37
Collective learning is a very, very powerful force,
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4333
Kolektivno učenje je zelo, zelo močna sila,
15:41
and it's not clear that we humans are in charge of it.
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in ni jasno, ali ljudje upravljamo z njo.
15:47
I remember very vividly as a child growing up in England,
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3069
Zelo živo se spominjam, ko sem kot otrok rasel v Angliji,
15:50
living through the Cuban Missile Crisis.
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2020
in preživljal kubansko krizo z raketami.
15:52
For a few days, the entire biosphere
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3611
Nekaj dni je bilo videti, da je celotna biosfera
15:56
seemed to be on the verge of destruction.
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na robu uničenja.
15:59
And the same weapons are still here,
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In ista orožja so še tu,
16:02
and they are still armed.
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in še vedno so usposobljena.
16:05
If we avoid that trap, others are waiting for us.
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Če se izognemo tej pasti, čakajo druge na nas.
16:08
We're burning fossil fuels at such a rate
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2589
Fosilna goriva kurimo tako hitro,
16:11
that we seem to be undermining the Goldilocks conditions
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3411
da zgleda, da spodkupujemo Zlatolaskine pogoje,
16:14
that made it possible for human civilizations
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2228
ki so človeškim civilizacijam omogočili,
16:16
to flourish over the last 10,000 years.
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3082
da so cvetele zadnjih 10.000 let.
16:20
So what big history can do
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2276
Kar lahko velika zgodovina naredi je,
16:22
is show us the nature of our complexity and fragility
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da nam pokaže naravo naše zapletenosti in krhkosti
16:26
and the dangers that face us,
335
986278
1924
in nevarnosti, ki nas čakajo,
16:28
but it can also show us our power with collective learning.
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3580
a nam lahko pokaže tudi našo moč s kolektivnim učenjem.
16:32
And now, finally --
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1952
In zdaj, končno –
16:35
this is what I want.
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2155
to je tisto, kar hočem.
16:39
I want my grandson, Daniel,
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3032
Hočem, da moj vnuk Daniel
16:42
and his friends and his generation,
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2757
in njegovi prijatelji in njegova generacija
16:45
throughout the world,
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1793
po vsem svetu
16:47
to know the story of big history,
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2840
poznajo zgodbo o veliki zgodovini,
16:49
and to know it so well
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2039
in jo poznajo tako dobro,
16:52
that they understand both the challenges that face us
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3666
da bodo razumeli tako izzive, ki nas čakajo,
16:55
and the opportunities that face us.
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2517
kot priložnosti, ki nas čakajo.
16:58
And that's why a group of us
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In zato naša skupina
17:00
are building a free, online syllabus
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gradi brezplačen učni načrt na spletu
17:03
in big history
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o veliki zgodovini
17:04
for high-school students throughout the world.
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za univerzitetne študente po vsem svetu.
17:07
We believe that big history
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Verjamemo, da bo velika zgodovina
17:09
will be a vital intellectual tool for them,
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važno umsko orodje zanje,
17:12
as Daniel and his generation
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2843
kajti Daniel in njegova generacija
17:15
face the huge challenges
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se soočajo z neznanskimi izzivi
17:17
and also the huge opportunities
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2055
in tudi neznanskimi priložnostmi,
17:19
ahead of them at this threshold moment
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ki jih čakajo v tem prelomnem trenutku
17:23
in the history of our beautiful planet.
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v zgodovini našega lepega planeta.
17:26
I thank you for your attention.
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Zahvaljujem se vam za pozornost.
17:28
(Applause)
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(Aplavz)
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