Adam Ostrow: After your final status update

62,550 views ・ 2011-08-01

TED


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Prevoditelj: Tilen Pigac - EFZG Recezent: Senzos Osijek
00:15
By the end of this year,
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Do kraja ove godine,
00:17
there'll be nearly a billion people on this planet
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na ovom će planetu biti približno milijarda ljudi
00:20
that actively use social networking sites.
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koji aktivno koriste stranice društvenih mreža.
00:22
The one thing that all of them have in common
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Jedna stvar koju svi oni imaju zajedničko
00:24
is that they're going to die.
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je da će umrijeti.
00:27
While that might be a somewhat morbid thought,
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Dok to može biti nekako morbidna pomisao,
00:30
I think it has some really profound implications
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mislim kako ima doista duboke implikacije
00:32
that are worth exploring.
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koje je vrijedno istražiti.
00:34
What first got me thinking about this
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Ono što me prvo natjeralo na razmišljanje o tome
00:37
was a blog post authored earlier this year by Derek K. Miller,
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je bio blog članak objavljen ranije ove godine od Dereka K. Millera,
00:40
who was a science and technology journalist
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koji je bio novinar o znanosti i tehnologiji
00:43
who died of cancer.
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koji je umro od raka.
00:45
And what Miller did was have his family and friends write a post
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I ono što je Miller učinio je da je ostavio svojoj obitelji i prijateljima da napišu članak
00:48
that went out shortly after he died.
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koji je izašao brzo nakon što je umro.
00:50
Here's what he wrote in starting that out.
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Evo što je napisao u početku.
00:52
He said, "Here it is. I'm dead,
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Rekao je, "Evo ga. Ja sam mrtav
00:54
and this is my last post to my blog.
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a ovo je zadnji članak na mom blogu.
00:56
In advance, I asked that once my body finally shut down
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Unaprijed, zamolio sam da kad se moje tijelo napokon isključi
00:59
from the punishments of my cancer,
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od kazne raka,
01:01
then my family and friends publish this prepared message I wrote --
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da moja obitelj i prijatelji objave ovu pripremljenu poruku koju sam napisao --
01:04
the first part of the process
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prvi dio procesa
01:06
of turning this from an active website to an archive."
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prelaska s aktivne stranice na arhiv."
01:09
Now, while as a journalist,
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Sada, s obzirom da je bio novinar,
01:11
Miller's archive may have been better written
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Millerov arhiv je mogao biti bolje napisan
01:13
and more carefully curated than most,
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i bolje održavan od većine,
01:15
the fact of the matter is that all of us today
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činjenica je kako svi mi danas
01:17
are creating an archive
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stvaramo arhiv
01:19
that's something completely different
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koji je nekako potpuno drugačiji
01:21
than anything that's been created
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nego išta što je stvorila
01:23
by any previous generation.
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bilo koja prethodna generacija.
01:25
Consider a few stats for a moment.
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Razmislite o par statistika na trenutak.
01:27
Right now there are 48 hours of video
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Upravo sada se 48 sati videa
01:29
being uploaded to YouTube every single minute.
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uploada na YouTube svake minute.
01:32
There are 200 million Tweets being posted every day.
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200 milijuna tweetova se objavi svaki dan.
01:36
And the average Facebook user
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A prosječni korisnik Facebooka
01:39
is creating 90 pieces of content each month.
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stvara 90 komada sadržaja svaki mjesec.
01:43
So when you think about your parents or your grandparents,
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Dakle, kada razmislite o svojim roditeljima ili bakama i djedovima,
01:46
at best they may have created
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u najbolju ruku oni su možda kreirali
01:48
some photos or home videos,
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neke fotografije ili kućne videe,
01:50
or a diary that lives in a box somewhere.
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ili dnevnik koji živi u nekoj kutiji.
01:53
But today we're all creating this incredibly rich digital archive
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Ali danas svi mi stvaramo taj nevjerojatno bogat digitalni arhiv
01:56
that's going to live in the cloud indefinitely,
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koji će beskonačno živjeti u oblaku,
01:58
years after we're gone.
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godinama nakon što nas ne bude.
02:00
And I think that's going to create some incredibly intriguing opportunities
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I mislim kako će to stvoriti neke nevjerojatno intrigantne prilike
02:03
for technologists.
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za tehnologe.
02:05
Now to be clear, I'm a journalist and not a technologist,
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Sada da se razumijemo, ja sam novinar i nisam tehnolog,
02:07
so what I'd like to do briefly
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stoga bih volio ukratko
02:09
is paint a picture
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naslikati sliku
02:11
of what the present and the future are going to look like.
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kako će sadašnjost i budućnost izgledati.
02:14
Now we're already seeing some services
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Već sada uočavamo neke usluge
02:16
that are designed to let us decide
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koje su dizajnirane kako bi nam omogućile da odlučimo
02:18
what happens to our online profile and our social media accounts
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što će se dogoditi s našim online profilom i našim računima na društvenim mrežama
02:21
after we die.
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nakon što umremo.
02:23
One of them actually, fittingly enough,
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Jedna od njih, dosta prikladno,
02:25
found me when I checked into a deli
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me pronašla kada sam se prijavio u zalogajnici
02:27
at a restaurant in New York
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u restoranu u New Yorku
02:29
on foursquare.
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preko foursquarea.
02:32
(Recording) Adam Ostrow: Hello.
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(Snimka) Adam Ostrow: Bok.
02:34
Death: Adam?
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Smrt: Adam?
02:36
AO: Yeah.
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AO: Da.
02:38
Death: Death can catch you anywhere, anytime,
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Smrt: Smrt te može uhvatiti bilogdje, bilokada,
02:41
even at the Organic.
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čak i u organskim restoranima.
02:44
AO: Who is this?
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AO: Tko je to?
02:46
Death: Go to ifidie.net
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Smrt: Idi na ifidie.net
02:49
before it's too late.
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prije nego bude prekasno.
02:51
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
02:53
Adam Ostrow: Kind of creepy, right?
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Adam Ostrow: Prilično jezivo, zar ne?
02:55
So what that service does, quite simply,
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Dakle, ono što ta usluga pruža, prilično jednostavno,
02:57
is let you create a message or a video
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je da vam dopušta da snimite poruku ili video
02:59
that can be posted to Facebook after you die.
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koji će se objaviti na Facebooku nakon što umrete.
03:02
Another service right now
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Druga usluga
03:04
is called 1,000 Memories.
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se zove 1.000 sjećanja.
03:06
And what this lets you do is create an online tribute to your loved ones,
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I ono što ona pruža je da stvorite online počast vašim voljenim osobama,
03:08
complete with photos and videos and stories
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zajedno s fotografijama i videima i pričama
03:11
that they can post after you die.
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koje mogu objaviti nakon što umrete.
03:14
But what I think comes next is far more interesting.
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Ali ono što sljedeće dolazi je puno zanimljivije.
03:17
Now a lot of you are probably familiar with Deb Roy
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Sada, puno vas je vjerojatno upoznato s Debom Royem
03:20
who, back in March,
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koji je, u ožujku,
03:22
demonstrated how he was able to analyze more than 90,000 hours of home video.
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pokazao kako je analizirao više od 90.000 sati kućnog videa.
03:26
I think as machines' ability
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Mislim kako se mogućnost strojeva
03:28
to understand human language and process vast amounts of data
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da razumiju ljudski jezik i procesuiraju ogromne količine podataka
03:30
continues to improve,
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nastavljaju poboljšavati,
03:32
it's going to become possible
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to će više biti nemoguće
03:34
to analyze an entire life's worth of content --
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analizirati sadržaj cijelog života --
03:36
the Tweets, the photos, the videos, the blog posts --
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Tweetovi, fotografije, videi, postovi na blogu --
03:39
that we're producing in such massive numbers.
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koje proizvodimo u toliko masivnim brojkama.
03:41
And I think as that happens,
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I mislim da kako se to događa,
03:43
it's going to become possible for our digital personas
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postat će moguće za naše digitalne persone
03:46
to continue to interact in the real world long after we're gone
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da nastave komunicirati u stvarnom svijetu i dugo vremena nakon što nas ne bude
03:49
thanks to the vastness of the amount of content we're creating
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zahvaljujući ogromnoj količini sadržaja koji stvaramo
03:52
and technology's ability to make sense of it all.
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i mogućnosti tehnologije koja svemu tome daje smisao.
03:55
Now we're already starting to see some experiments here.
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Sada već ovdje počinjemo uočavati neke eksperimente.
03:58
One service called My Next Tweet
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Jedna usluga zvana Moj idući Tweet
04:00
analyzes your entire Twitter stream, everything you've posted onto Twitter,
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analizira cijeli vaš Twitter slijed, sve što ste ikada objavili na Twitteru,
04:03
to make some predictions as to what you might say next.
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kako bi napravila predviđanja što biste mogli reći sljedeće.
04:06
Well right now, as you can see,
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Tako upravo sada, kao što možete vidjeti,
04:08
the results can be somewhat comical.
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rezultati mogu biti nekako komični.
04:10
You can imagine what something like this might look like
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Možete zamisliti kako bi nešto poput ovoga moglo izgledati
04:12
five, 10 or 20 years from now
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pet, 10 ili 20 godina od sada
04:14
as our technical capabilities improve.
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kako se naše tehničke mogućnosti poboljšavaju.
04:17
Taking it a step further,
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Ako idemo još korak dalje,
04:19
MIT's media lab is working on robots
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medijski laboratorij MIT-a radi na robotima
04:21
that can interact more like humans.
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koji mogu imati interakciju više nalik ljudskoj.
04:24
But what if those robots were able to interact
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Ali što kada bi ti roboti mogli imati interakciju
04:26
based on the unique characteristics of a specific person
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zasnovanu na jedinstvenim karakteristikama specifične osobe
04:29
based on the hundreds of thousands of pieces of content
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na temelju stotina tisuća dijelova sadržaja
04:31
that person produces in their lifetime?
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koje osoba proizvede u svom životnom vijeku?
04:34
Finally, think back to this famous scene
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Naposljetku, vratite se mislima unatrag na ovu poznatu scenu
04:36
from election night 2008
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iz izborne noći 2008.godine
04:38
back in the United States,
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u Sjedinjenim Državama,
04:40
where CNN beamed a live hologram
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kada je CNN teleportirao živi hologram
04:42
of hip hop artist will.i.am into their studio
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hip hop umjetnika will.i.am-a u svoj studio
04:44
for an interview with Anderson Cooper.
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za intervju s Andersonom Cooperom.
04:47
What if we were able to use that same type of technology
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Što kada bismo mogli koristiti tu istu vrstu tehnologije
04:49
to beam a representation of our loved ones into our living rooms --
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kako bismo teleportirali prikaz naših voljenih u naše dnevne boravke --
04:53
interacting in a very lifelike way
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komunicirajući na vrlo životan način
04:55
based on all the content they created while they were alive?
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na temelju svog sadržaja koji su kreirali kada su bili živi.
04:58
I think that's going to become completely possible
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Mislim kako će to postati potpuno moguće
05:01
as the amount of data we're producing
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kako se količina podataka koje koristimo
05:03
and technology's ability to understand it
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i mogućnost tehnologije da to razumije
05:05
both expand exponentially.
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zajedno povećavaju eksponencijalno.
05:08
Now in closing, I think what we all need to be thinking about
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Sada, na kraju, mislim kako bismo svi trebali razmišljati
05:10
is if we want that to become our reality --
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o tome želimo li da to postane naša stvarnost --
05:12
and if so,
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a ako da,
05:14
what it means for a definition of life and everything that comes after it.
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što to znači za definiciju života i svega što dolazi nakon njega.
05:17
Thank you very much.
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Hvala vam puno.
05:19
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
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