Fahad Al-Attiya: A country with no water

150,436 views ・ 2013-01-31

TED


Molimo dvaput kliknite na engleski titl ispod za reprodukciju videa.

00:00
Translator: Timothy Covell Reviewer: Morton Bast
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Translator: Berina Basic Reviewer: Adisa Ejubovic
00:15
Salaam alaikum.
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Salaam aleikum (Dobar dan- arp.)
00:18
Welcome to Doha.
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Dobro došli u Dohu.
00:20
I am in charge of making this country's food secure.
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Zadužen sam da ova zemlja ima dovoljno hrane.
00:23
That is my job for the next two years,
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To je moj posao naredne dvije godine,
00:25
to design an entire master plan,
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da kreiram cjelokupni master plan,
00:28
and then for the next 10 years to implement it --
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i u narednih 10 godina ga sprovedemo--
00:31
of course, with so many other people.
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s velikim brojem ljudi, naravno.
00:33
But first, I need to talk to you about a story, which is my story,
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Ali prvo, moram da vam ispričam priču, koja je moja priča,
00:38
about the story of this country that you're all here in today.
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priču o zemlji u kojoj ste vi svi danas.
00:42
And of course, most of you have had three meals today,
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I naravno, većina vas imala je tri obroka danas,
00:45
and probably will continue to have after this event.
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i najvjerovatnije ćete nastaviti da ih imate i poslije ovog događaja.
00:50
So going in, what was Qatar in the 1940s?
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Tako da nastavim, šta je Qatar bio 40- tih godina?
00:54
We were about 11,000 people living here.
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Imali smo oko 11.000 ljudi koji su živjeli ovdje.
00:59
There was no water. There was no energy, no oil, no cars, none of that.
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Nije bilo vode, električne energije, nafte, automobila, ništa od toga.
Većina ljudi koja je živjela ovdje
01:06
Most of the people who lived here
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01:07
either lived in coastal villages, fishing,
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živjela je ili u priobalnim selima, ribareći,
01:10
or were nomads who roamed around with the environment trying to find water.
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ili nomadski, lutajući uokolo u potrazi za vodom.
01:15
None of the glamour that you see today existed.
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Nije postojao glamur kakav vidite danas.
01:19
No cities like you see today in Doha or Dubai or Abu Dhabi or Kuwait or Riyadh.
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Nije bilo gradova poput Dohe, Dubaija, Abu Dhabija, Kuwaita ili Riyadha.
01:24
It wasn't that they couldn't develop cities.
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Nije da se gradovi nisu mogli razviti.
01:27
Resources weren't there to develop them.
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Nije bilo potrebnih izvora da ih razviju.
01:29
And you can see that life expectancy was also short.
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Možete vidjeti da je životni vijek bio također kratak.
01:32
Most people died around the age of 50.
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Većina ljudi umirala je oko 50 godine.
01:33
So let's move to chapter two: the oil era.
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Nastavimo ka drugom poglavlju: era nafte.
01:37
1939, that's when they discovered oil.
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1939. otkrivena je nafta.
01:40
But unfortunately, it wasn't really fully exploited commercially
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Ali nažalost, otkriće nije u potpunosti komercijalno iskorišteno
01:45
until after the Second World War.
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sve do svršetka Drugog svjetskog rata.
01:48
What did it do?
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Čemu je to doprinijelo?
01:50
It changed the face of this country, as you can see today and witness.
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Promijenilo je lice ove zemlje, kao što možete to vidjeti danas.
01:53
It also made all those people who roamed around the desert --
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Također je pomoglo ljudima koji su lutali pustinjom-
01:57
looking for water, looking for food,
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u potrazi za vodom, u potrazi za hranom,
02:00
trying to take care of their livestock -- urbanize.
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koji su pokušavali voditi brigu o svojoj stoci- da se urbaniziraju.
02:04
You might find this strange,
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Možda će vam ovo biti čudno,
02:06
but in my family we have different accents.
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ali u mojoj porodici imali smo više različitih naglasaka.
02:10
My mother has an accent that is so different to my father,
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Moja majka imala je naglasak koji je bio drugačiji od očevog,
02:14
and we're all a population of about 300,000 people in the same country.
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a mi smo populacija koja broji 300,000 ljudi u istoj zemlji.
02:19
There are about five or six accents in this country as I speak.
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Postoji oko pet ili šest naglasaka u ovoj zemlji.
02:23
Someone says, "How so? How could this happen?"
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Neko se može upitati, "Kako to? Kako se to dogodilo?"
02:26
Because we lived scattered.
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To je zato što živimo raštrkano.
02:28
We couldn't live in a concentrated way simply because there was no resources.
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Nismo mogli živjeti koncentrirani na jednom mjestu zbog jer nije bilo resursa.
02:33
And when the resources came, be it oil,
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I kad su se pojavili resursi, bilo da je to nafta,
02:37
we started building these fancy technologies
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počeli smo s izgradnjom tih modernih tehnologija
02:40
and bringing people together because we needed the concentration.
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skupljajući ljude zato što smo trebali tu koncentriranost.
02:44
People started to get to know each other.
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Ljudi su započeli s upoznavanjem jedni drugih.
02:46
And we realized that there are some differences in accents.
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I shvatili smo da postoje razlike u naglascima.
02:50
So that is the chapter two: the oil era.
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To je drugo poglavlje: era nafte.
02:53
Let's look at today.
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Pogledajmo šta se dešava danas.
02:55
This is probably the skyline that most of you know about Doha.
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Ovo je najvjerovatnije linija horizonta za koju većina vas zna o Dohi.
03:00
So what's the population today?
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Kolika je populacija danas?
03:01
It's 1.7 million people.
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1,7 miliona ljudi.
03:04
That is in less than 60 years.
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To je u manje od 60 godina.
03:06
The average growth of our economy is about 15 percent for the past five years.
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Prosječni rast naše ekonomije je 15 posto u posljednjih 5 godina.
03:12
Lifespan has increased to 78.
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Životni vijek je porastao na 78.
03:15
Water consumption has increased to 430 liters.
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Potrošnja vode povećana je na 430 litara.
03:20
And this is amongst the highest worldwide.
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A to je među najvišim u svijetu.
03:23
From having no water whatsoever
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Od nemanja vode nikako
03:26
to consuming water to the highest degree, higher than any other nation.
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do konzumiranja vode do najvišeg stepena, višeg od bilo koje druge nacije.
03:31
I don't know if this was a reaction to lack of water.
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Ne znam je li to reakcija na nedostatak vode.
03:35
But what is interesting about the story that I've just said?
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Ali šta je zanimljivo u priči koju sam upravo ispričao?
03:41
The interesting part is that we continue to grow
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Zanimljiv dio je da smo nastavili rasti
03:44
15 percent every year for the past five years without water.
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15 posto svake godine u posljednjih pet godina bez vode.
03:51
Now that is historic. It's never happened before in history.
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Sada je to istorija. Nikad se ništa slično nije desilo u istoriji.
03:56
Cities were totally wiped out because of the lack of water.
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Gradovi su bili potpuno izbrisani zbog nedostatka vode.
04:00
This is history being made in this region.
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Istorija se stvarala na ovom području.
04:02
Not only cities that we're building,
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Ne samo gradovi koje smo gradili,
04:04
but cities with dreams and people who are wishing to be scientists, doctors.
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već gradovi sa snovima i ljudima koji su željeli biti naučnici, doktori.
04:09
Build a nice home, bring the architect, design my house.
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Izgraditi lijep dom, dovesti arhitektu, dizajnirati moju kuću.
04:12
These people are adamant that this is a livable space when it wasn't.
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Ovi su ljudi tvrdili da je moguće živjeti na prostoru na kojem to nije bilo moguće.
04:19
But of course, with the use of technology.
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Ali naravno, uz pomoć tehnologije.
04:21
So Brazil has 1,782 millimeters per year of precipitation of rain.
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Brazil ima 1.782 milimetara padavina godišnje.
04:27
Qatar has 74, and we have that growth rate.
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Qatar ima 74, a imamo veću stopu rasta.
04:30
The question is how.
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Pitanje je kako.
04:32
How could we survive that?
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Kako možemo preživjeti to?
04:35
We have no water whatsoever.
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Nemamo vode nikako.
04:37
Simply because of this gigantic, mammoth machine called desalination.
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Jednostavno zbog ove ogromne, mamutske mašine koja se zove desalinizacija.
04:44
Energy is the key factor here. It changed everything.
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Energija je ovdje ključni faktor. Ona je sve promijenila.
04:48
It is that thing that we pump out of the ground, we burn tons of,
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To je ona stvar koju pumpamo iz zemlje, palimo tonu toga,
04:52
probably most of you used it coming to Doha.
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većina vas to koristi dolaskom u Dohu.
04:55
So that is our lake, if you can see it.
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To je naše jezero, kako možete vidjeti.
04:58
That is our river.
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To je naša rijeka.
05:00
That is how you all happen to use and enjoy water.
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Eto kako se dogodilo da je svi koriste i uživaju u vodi.
05:05
This is the best technology that this region could ever have: desalination.
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Ovo je najbolja tehnologija koju je ova regija ima: desalinizaciju.
05:12
So what are the risks?
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Koji su rizici?
05:14
Do you worry much?
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Da li se brinete mnogo?
05:16
I would say, perhaps if you look at the global facts,
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Ja bih rekao, možda ak gledate na globalne činjenice,
05:20
you will realize, of course I have to worry.
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shvatit ćete, naravno moram brinuti.
05:22
There is growing demand, growing population.
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Postoji rastuća potražnja, rastuća populacija.
05:25
We've turned seven billion only a few months ago.
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Okrenuli smo sedam milijardi prije samo nekoliko mjeseci.
05:28
And so that number also demands food.
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Zato ta brojka također zahtjeva hranu.
05:32
And there's predictions that we'll be nine billion by 2050.
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Tu su pretpostavke da će nas biti devet milijardi do 2050.
05:35
So a country that has no water
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Zato zemlju koja nema vode
05:38
has to worry about what happens beyond its borders.
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mora brinuti ono što se dešava van granica.
05:41
There's also changing diets.
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Također se mijenja i način ishrane.
05:44
By elevating to a higher socio-economic level,
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Do podizanja na višu društveno- ekonomsku razinu,
05:48
they also change their diet.
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promjenit će njihovu ishranu.
05:50
They start eating more meat and so on and so forth.
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Poćet će jesti puno više mesa i tako dalje i tako dalje.
05:53
On the other hand, there is declining yields
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S druge strane, tu je pad prinosa
05:55
because of climate change and because of other factors.
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zbog klimatskih uslova i ostalih faktora.
05:58
And so someone has to really realize when the crisis is going to happen.
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I neko stvarno mora shvatiti kada će se desiti kriza.
06:03
This is the situation in Qatar, for those who don't know.
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Ovo je situacija u Qataru, za one koji ne znaju.
06:07
We only have two days of water reserve.
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Rezervi vode imamo samo za dva dana.
06:10
We import 90 percent of our food,
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Uvozimo 90 posto hrane,
06:12
and we only cultivate less than one percent of our land.
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a obrađujemo manje od jedan posto svoje zemlje.
06:16
The limited number of farmers that we have
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Ograničeni broj poljoprivrednika koje imamo
06:19
have been pushed out of their farming practices
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istisnut je iz svoje poljoprivredne prakse
06:22
as a result of open market policy and bringing the big competitions, etc., etc.
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kao rezultat politike otvorenog tržišta i dolaskom veće konkurencije...
06:28
So we also face risks.
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Suočavamo se s rizicima.
06:31
These risks directly affect the sustainability of this nation and its continuity.
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Ovi rizici direktno utiču na održivost ovog naroda i njegovog kontinuiteta.
06:38
The question is, is there a solution?
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Pitanje je, postoji li rješenje?
06:41
Is there a sustainable solution?
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Postoji li održivo rješenje?
06:43
Indeed there is.
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Naravno da postoji.
06:45
This slide sums up thousands of pages of technical documents
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Ovaj slajd sadrži na hiljade stranica tehničke dokumentacije
06:49
that we've been working on over the past two years.
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na kojoj smo radili u posljednje dvije godine.
06:52
Let's start with the water.
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Krenimo od vode.
06:53
So we know very well -- I showed you earlier -- that we need this energy.
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Znamo jako dobro- pokazao sam vam to ranije- da trebamo ovu energiju.
06:57
So if we're going to need energy, what sort of energy?
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Zato ukoliko nam treba energija, koja je to vrsta energije?
07:00
A depletable energy? Fossil fuel?
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Ograničena energija? Fosilno gorivo?
07:02
Or should we use something else?
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Ili treba da koristimo nešto drugo?
07:05
Do we have the comparative advantage to use another sort of energy?
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Da li imamo komparativne prednosti za korištenje neke druge vrste energije?
07:08
I guess most of you by now realize that we do: 300 days of sun.
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Pretpostavljam da je većina vas shvatila šta radimo: 300 dana sunca.
07:12
And so we will use that renewable energy to produce the water that we need.
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I tako ćemo koristiti taj obnovljeni izvor energije da bi proizveli neophodnu vodu.
07:17
And we will probably put 1,800 megawatts of solar systems
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I vjerovatno ćemo staviti 1.800 megavata solarnog sistema
07:23
to produce 3.5 million cubic meters of water.
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da bi se proizvello 3,5 miliona kubika vode.
07:25
And that is a lot of water.
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A to je dosta vode.
07:27
That water will go then to the farmers,
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Ta voda će ići poljoprivrednicima,
07:30
and the farmers will be able to water their plants,
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i poljoprivrednici će biti u stanju zalijevati svoje biljke,
07:32
and they will be able then to supply society with food.
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i onda će biti u stanju društvo snabdjeti hranom.
07:36
But in order to sustain the horizontal line --
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No, kako bi se održala horizontalna linija-
07:38
because these are the projects, these are the systems that we will deliver --
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zato što postoje projekti, postoje sistemi koje ćemo mi isporučiti-
07:41
we need to also develop the vertical line:
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također moramo razviti vertikalnu liniju:
07:44
system sustenance, high-level education, research and development,
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sistem hrane, visoke razine obrazovanja, istraživanja i razvoja,
07:49
industries, technologies, to produce these technologies for application, and finally markets.
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industrije, tehnologije, da bi se stvorile ove tehnologije za primjenu I tržištima.
07:54
But what gels all of it, what enables it, is legislation, policies, regulations.
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No ono što se onemogućava u razvoju jeste legalizacija, politika, propisi.
08:01
Without it we can't do anything.
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Bez njih ne možemo učiniti ništa.
08:03
So that's what we are planning to do.
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Dakle, to je ono što planiramo učiniti.
08:04
Within two years we should hopefully be done with this plan
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Unutar dvije godine nadamo se da ćemo završiti s ovim planom
08:08
and taking it to implementation.
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i sprovesti ga.
08:10
Our objective is to be a millennium city, just like many millennium cities around:
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Naš cilj je biti milenijski grad, baš kao mnogi drugi milenijski gradovi:
08:17
Istanbul, Rome, London, Paris, Damascus, Cairo.
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Istanbul, Rim, London, Paris, Damask, Kairo.
08:24
We are only 60 years old, but we want to live forever
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Imamo samo 60 godina, ali želimo zauvijek da živimo
08:28
as a city, to live in peace.
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kao grad, da živimo u miru.
08:32
Thank you very much.
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Hvala vam najljepša.
08:34
(Applause)
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(Aplauz)
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