Phil Plait: How to defend Earth from asteroids

148,834 views ・ 2011-11-21

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Translator: Klavdija Cernilogar Reviewer: Matej Divjak
00:16
I want to talk to you about something
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Rad bi vam pripovedoval o nečem
00:18
kind of big.
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dokaj velikem.
00:21
We'll start here.
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Začnimo tukaj.
00:24
Sixty-five million years ago --
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Pred 65 milijoni let
00:26
(Laughter)
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00:27
the dinosaurs had a bad day.
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so dinozavri imeli slab dan.
00:30
(Laughter)
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(smeh)
00:33
A chunk of rock six miles across,
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Kamen s premerom devet kilometrov,
00:36
moving something like 50 times the speed of a rifle bullet,
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ki je letel kakih petdesetkrat hitreje
kot izstrelek iz puške,
00:40
slammed into the Earth.
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je treščil na Zemljo.
00:42
It released its energy all at once,
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Ob tem se je sprostila vsa njegova energija naenkrat
00:44
and it was an explosion that was mind-numbing.
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in ta eksplozija je bila
nepredstavljiva.
00:48
If you took every nuclear weapon ever built
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Če bi združili vse jedrsko orožje, ki je obstajalo
na vrhuncu hladne vojne,
00:51
at the height of the Cold War,
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00:52
lumped them together,
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ga sestavili skupaj in
00:54
and blew them up at the same time,
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naenkrat razstrelili,
00:56
that would be one one-millionth of the energy released at that moment.
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bi to predstavljalo le milijonti del
energije, ki se je sprostila v tistem trenutku.
01:02
The dinosaurs had a really bad day.
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Ja, dinozavri so imeli res slab dan.
01:05
OK?
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V redu?
01:06
Now, a six-mile-wide rock is very large.
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No, devetkilometrska skala je zelo velika.
01:09
We all live here in Boulder.
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Mi vsi živimo tule v Boulderju.
01:10
If you look out your window and see Longs Peak --
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Če pogledate skozi okno in vidite
01:13
you're probably familiar with it --
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Long's Peak, verjetno ga poznate.
01:14
now, scoop up Longs Peak and put it out in space.
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Zdaj pa vzemite Long's Peak in ga postavite
01:17
Take ... Meeker, Mt. Meeker.
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v vesolje.
Dodajte Meeker, goro Meeker
01:20
Lump that in there, and put that in space as well.
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in vse to postavite v vesolje.
01:23
And Mt. Everest. And K2.
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Pa še Mount Everest, K2
in indijske vrhove.
01:26
And the Indian peaks.
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Potem morda dobite vizijo o tem,
01:28
Then you're starting to get an idea of how much rock we're talking about, OK?
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za kako veliko skalo gre, prav?
01:31
We know it was that big
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Vemo, da je bila tako velika zaradi
01:33
because of the impact it had and the crater it left.
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vpliva, ki ga je imela, in kraterja, ki ga je napravila.
01:35
It hit in what we now know as Yucatan, the Gulf of Mexico.
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Zadela je območje, ki ga danes poznamo kot Jukatan
v mehiškem zalivu.
01:39
You can see here, there's the Yucatan Peninsula,
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Vidite, tule je
polotok Jukatan, če prepoznate Cozumel
01:42
if you recognize Cozumel off the east coast there.
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na vzhodni obali.
01:44
Here is how big of a crater was left.
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Krater, ki je ostal, je tako velik.
01:47
It was huge.
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01:48
To give you a sense of the scale ... there you go.
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Bil je ogromen. Da vam dam občutek za velikost,
vidite. Gre za
01:51
The scale here is 50 miles on top, a hundred kilometers on the bottom.
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80 km na vrhu, sto km
na dnu. Ta stvar je imela premer
01:55
This thing was 300 kilometers across -- 200 miles --
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300 km ali 200 milj,
01:58
an enormous crater that excavated out vast amounts of earth
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šlo je za neznanski krater, ki je izkopal
ogromne količine zemlje, ki so se razpršile
02:02
that splashed around the globe and set fires all over the planet,
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po vsem planetu in povsod zanetile požare,
02:06
threw up enough dust to block out the sun.
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dvignilo pa se je toliko prahu, da je zatemnil sonce.
02:09
It wiped out 75 percent of all species on Earth.
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Dogodek je izbrisal 75 odstotkov vseh živih bitij
na Zemlji.
02:13
Now, not all asteroids are that big.
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No, niso vsi asteroidi tako veliki.
02:16
Some of them are smaller.
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Nekateri so manjši.
02:18
Here is one that came in
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Tale je priletel
02:21
over the United States in October of 1992.
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nad Združenimi državami Amerike
oktobra 1992.
02:25
It came in on a Friday night.
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Bilo je v petek zvečer.
02:27
Why is that important?
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Zakaj je to pomembno?
02:28
Because back then, video cameras were just starting to become popular,
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Ker so bile v tistem času videokamere
šele na začetku popularnosti in so jih ljudje
02:32
and parents would bring them to their kids' football games
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jemali s sabo, starši so jih jemali s sabo
na nogometne tekme svojih otrok, da bi jih snemali
02:36
to film their kids playing football.
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pri igri. In ker se je to zgodilo v petek,
02:38
And since this came in on a Friday,
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02:40
they were able to get this great footage of this thing breaking up
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so lahko posneli,
kako je ta stvar razpadala, ko je letela
02:44
as it came in over West Virginia, Maryland, Pennsylvania and New Jersey
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preko Zahodne Virginije, Marylanda, Pensilvanije
in New Jerseyja, dokler ni napravila
02:47
until it did that
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02:48
to a car in New York.
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tega nekemu avtomobilu v New Yorku.
02:50
(Laughter)
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(smeh)
02:52
Now, this is not a 200-mile-wide crater,
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No, to ni tristokilometrski krater,
02:55
but then again, you can see the rock, which is sitting right here,
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ampak obenem lahko vidite skalo,
tamle leži,
02:59
about the size of a football,
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v velikosti nogometne žoge, ki je zadela
03:00
that hit that car and did that damage.
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avto in napravila tako škodo.
03:02
Now, this thing was probably about the size of a school bus
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Ta stvar je bila, ko je priletela v atmosfero,
03:05
when it first came in.
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najbrž velika približno toliko kot avtobus.
03:06
It broke up through atmospheric pressure,
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Pod atmosferskim pritiskom se je razdrobila,
03:08
it crumbled, and then the pieces fell apart
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razpadla in koščki so se razleteli
03:11
and did some damage.
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ter napravili nekaj škode.
03:12
Now, you wouldn't want that falling on your foot or your head,
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Seveda nočete, da bi vam kaj takega padlo na nogo
ali na glavo, saj bi vam naredilo tole.
03:16
because it would do that to it.
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03:17
That would be bad.
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To bi bilo slabo.
03:19
But it won't wipe out, you know, all life on Earth, so that's fine.
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Ampak hkrati ne bi uničilo vsega življenja
na Zemlji, zato je v redu. Izkaže pa se,
03:23
But it turns out, you don't need something six miles across
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da ni treba, da je stvar široka devet kilometrov,
03:26
to do a lot of damage.
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da bi naredila ogromno škodo.
03:28
There is a median point between tiny rock and gigantic rock,
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Obstaja vmesna velikost med majhnim kamnom
in ogromnim kamnom; pravzaprav, če ste
03:31
and in fact, if any of you have ever been to near Winslow, Arizona,
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bili kdaj blizu Winslowa v Arizoni,
03:35
there is a crater in the desert there that is so iconic
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tam v puščavi leži krater, ki je
taka ikona, da ga kličejo meteorski krater.
03:39
that it is actually called "Meteor Crater."
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03:41
To give you a sense of scale, this is about a mile wide.
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Da bi dobili občutek za mero: tole je široko okoli kilometer in pol.
03:44
If you look up at the top, that's a parking lot,
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Na vrhu lahko vidite parkirišče
03:48
and those are recreational vehicles right there.
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in tisto tam so počitniška vozila.
03:51
So it's about a mile across, 600 feet deep.
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Torej, približno poldrugi kilometer širine, približno 180 metrov globine.
03:54
The object that formed this was probably about 30 to 50 yards across,
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Predmet, ki je naredil tak odtis, je bil verjetno
širok od 25 do 45 metrov, torej približno toliko
03:59
so roughly the size of Macky Auditorium here.
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kot Mackey Auditorium tule.
04:03
It came in at speeds that were tremendous,
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Priletel je z neverjetno hitrostjo,
04:06
slammed into the ground, blew up,
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zadel ob površje, se razletel
04:08
and exploded with the energy of roughly a 20-megaton nuclear bomb --
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in eksplodiral približno z energijo
dvajset-megatonske jedrske bombe...
04:12
a very hefty bomb.
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zelo izjemne bombe.
04:13
This was 50,000 years ago,
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To je bilo pred petdeset tisoč leti, tako da je mogoče
04:15
so it may have wiped out a few buffalo or antelope,
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ubilo kakega bizona ali antilopo
04:18
or something like that out in the desert,
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ali kaj podobnega živečega v puščavi,
04:21
but it probably would not have caused global devastation.
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a verjetno ne bi povzročilo
globalnega uničenja.
04:25
It turns out that these things don't have to hit the ground
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Izkaže se, da tem stvarem ni treba
zadeti ob površje, da bi napravile veliko škodo.
04:28
to do a lot of damage.
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04:30
Now, in 1908, over Siberia, near the Tunguska region --
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Poglejmo v leto 1908 v Sibirijo,
blizu regije Tunguska... tisti, ki ste oboževalci
04:34
for those of you who are Dan Aykroyd fans and saw "Ghostbusters,"
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Dana Aykroyda in ste videli film "Ghostbusters",
kjer govori o največjem dimenzionalnem prelomu
04:37
when he talked about the greatest cross-dimensional rift
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od eksplozije v Sibiriji leta 1909: tam se je zmotil
04:40
since the Siberia blast of 1909,
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04:42
where he got the date wrong, but that's OK.
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v datumu, ampak ni problema. (smeh)
04:44
(Laughter)
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Bilo je leta 1908. To je v redu. Lahko živim s tem.
04:45
It was 1908. That's fine. I can live with that.
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(smeh)
04:48
(Laughter)
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04:50
Another rock came into the Earth's atmosphere
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Še ena skala je priletela v Zemljino atmosfero,
04:53
and this one blew up above the ground,
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a ta se je razletela nad površjem, več kilometrov
04:55
several miles up above the surface of the Earth.
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nad površjem Zemlje.
04:57
The heat from the explosion set fire to the forest below it,
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Vročina, ki je pri tem nastala, je zažgala
gozd spodaj in temu je sledil val,
05:02
and then the shock wave came down and knocked down trees
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ki je dosegel Zemljo in podrl drevesa
05:06
for hundreds of square miles.
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v območju več sto kvadratnih kilometrov, v redu?
05:08
This did a huge amount of damage.
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To je naredilo ogromno škode.
05:10
And again, this was a rock probably roughly the size
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In spet, ta skala je bila verjetno približno
05:13
of this auditorium that we're sitting in.
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take velikosti kot avditorij, kjer sedimo.
05:15
In Meteor Crater, it was made of metal,
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Tista v meteorskem kraterju je bila sestavljena iz kovin
05:17
and metal is much tougher, so it made it to the ground.
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in kovine so veliko trdnejše, zato je
dosegla tla.
05:20
The one over Tunguska was probably made of rock,
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Tista nad Tungusko je bila verjetno
05:22
and that's much more crumbly, so it blew up in the air.
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iz kamnin, ki so bolj drobljive, zato
05:25
Either way, these are tremendous explosions -- 20 megatons.
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jo je razneslo v zraku. Kakorkoli že, šlo je za
ogromne eksplozije, dvajset megaton.
05:30
Now, when these things blow up,
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Ko take stvari eksplodirajo, ne bodo
05:32
they're not going to do global ecological damage.
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naredile globalne ekološke škode.
05:35
They're not going to do something like the dinosaur killer did.
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Ne bodo povzročile nečesa takega kot
je storil morilec dinozavrov.
05:39
They're just not big enough.
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Enostavno niso dovolj velike.
05:40
But they will do global economic damage,
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A povzročile bodo globalno ekonomsko škodo,
05:43
because they don't have to hit, necessarily,
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saj jim za kaj takega
05:45
to do this kind of damage.
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sploh ni treba zadeti Zemlje.
05:47
They don't have to do global devastation.
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Ni treba, da so uničujoče na globalni ravni.
05:49
If one of these things were to hit pretty much anywhere,
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Če bi ena od njih zadela
katerikoli del Zemlje, bi povzročila paniko.
05:52
it would cause a panic.
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05:53
But if it came over a city, an important city --
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A če bi zadela mesto, pomembno mesto...
in ne pravim, da so nekatera mesta pomembnejša od drugih,
05:56
not that any city is more important than others,
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a od nekaterih smo bolj odvisni,
05:58
but some of them we depend on more on the global economic basis --
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ekonomsko odvisni... bi to lahko
06:01
that could do a huge amount of damage to us as a civilization.
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povzročilo veliko škodo
civilizaciji.
06:07
So, now that I've scared the crap out of you --
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No, zdaj ko sem vas do kraja prestrašil...
06:10
(Laughter)
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(smeh)
06:11
what can we do about this?
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kaj lahko storimo? V redu?
06:13
This is a potential threat.
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To je potencialna grožnja.
06:15
Let me note that we have not had a giant impact like the dinosaur killer
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Naj omenim, da tako velikega udarca,
kot je bil morilec dinozavrov, nismo imeli
06:20
for 65 million years.
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že 65 milijonov let. Zelo redki so.
06:21
They're very rare.
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06:23
The smaller ones happen more often,
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Manjši se zgodijo pogosteje, vendar
06:25
but probably on the order of a millennium,
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ne več kot na tisočletje,
06:27
every few centuries or every few thousand years.
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vsakih nekaj stoletij ali vsakih nekaj tisoč let,
a vseeno se tega moramo zavedati.
06:31
But it's still something to be aware of.
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06:33
Well, what do we do about them?
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In kaj lahko naredimo?
06:34
The first thing we have to do is find them.
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Najprej jih moramo najti.
06:36
This is an image of an asteroid that passed us in 2009.
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Tole je podoba asteroida, ki je letel mimo nas
leta 2009.
06:41
It's right here.
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Tule je.
06:42
But you can see that it's extremely faint.
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Lahko vidite, da je zelo medel.
06:45
I don't know if you can see that in the back row.
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Ne vem, če ga sploh lahko vidite,
06:47
These are just stars.
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če ste v zadnji vrsti. To so samo zvezde.
06:49
This is a rock that was about 30 yards across,
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Tale skala je bila široka slabih trideset metrov,
06:51
so roughly the size of the ones that blew up over Tunguska
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torej približno toliko kot tisti
nad Tungusko in Arizono pred 50.000 leti.
06:54
and hit Arizona 50,000 years ago.
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06:56
These things are faint.
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Te stvari so medle.
06:57
They're hard to see, and the sky is really big.
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Težko jih je videti in nebo je res veliko.
07:00
We have to find these things first.
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Najprej jih moramo najti.
07:02
Well, the good news is, we're looking for them.
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Dobra vest je, da jih iščemo.
07:04
NASA has devoted money to this;
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NASA namenja sredstva za to.
07:06
the National Science Foundation and other countries
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Nacionalna znanstvena fundacija pa tudi druge
države se zelo zanimajo za to.
07:09
are interested in doing this.
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07:10
We're building telescopes that are looking for the threat.
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Gradimo teleskope, ki iščejo
grožnjo. To je pomemben prvi korak,
07:13
That's a great first step. But what's the second step?
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a kateri je naslednji? Drugi korak je,
07:16
The second step is if we see one heading toward us, we have to stop it.
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da če vidimo kakšnega, ki se nam bliža,
ga moramo ustaviti. Kaj storiti?
07:19
What do we do?
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07:20
You've probably heard about the asteroid Apophis.
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Verjetno ste slišali za asteroid
Apophis. Če niste, pa še boste.
07:23
If you haven't yet, you will.
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07:25
If you've heard about the Mayan 2012 apocalypse,
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Če ste slišali za majevsko napoved
07:27
you're going to hear about Apophis,
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apokalipse leta 2012, boste spoznali tudi Apophis,
07:29
because you're keyed in to all the doomsday networks, anyway.
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saj kaže, da ste seznanjeni z vsemi omrežji,
povezanimi s koncem sveta.
07:33
(Laughter)
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07:34
Apophis is an asteroid that was discovered in 2004.
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Apophis je asteroid, ki so ga odkrili leta 2004.
07:37
It's roughly 250 [meters] across, so it's pretty big --
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Ima okoli 230 metrov premera, torej
je precej velik - velik je, veste,
07:41
bigger than a football stadium.
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večji od nogometnega stadiona - in mimo Zemlje
07:43
And it's going to pass by the Earth in April of 2029.
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bo potoval aprila 2029.
07:47
And it's going to pass us so close
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Prišel bo tako blizu, da bo
07:49
that it's actually going to come underneath our weather satellites.
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pravzaprav letel pod
našimi vremenskimi sateliti.
07:52
The Earth's gravity is going to bend the orbit of this thing so much
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Zemljina gravitacija bo ukrivila orbito
te zadeve do te mere, da če bo vse po sreči,
07:56
that if it's just right,
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07:58
if it passes through this region of space,
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če bo letel skozi to območje v vesolju,
08:00
this kidney-bean-shaped region called the keyhole,
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skozi tole regijo v obliki ledvice, ki ji pravimo
08:03
the Earth's gravity will bend it just enough that seven years later,
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ključavnica, bo Zemljina gravitacija ukrivila orbito
ravno toliko, da bo sedem let kasneje,
08:07
on April 13 -- which is a Friday, I'll note -- in the year 2036 --
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13. aprila, ki je, naj povem, petek,
leta 2036 ... (smeh)
08:11
(Laughter)
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08:12
you can't plan that kind of stuff --
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... takih stvari ne morete načrtovati...
08:14
(Laughter)
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08:15
Apophis is going to hit us.
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takrat nas bo Apophis zadel. In ker meri
08:16
And it's 250 meters across, so it would do unbelievable damage.
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250 metrov, bo naredil
neverjetno škodo.
08:21
The good news is that the odds of it actually passing through this keyhole
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Dobra novica je, da je verjetnost, da bi
dejansko potoval skozi to ključavnico in nas zadel
08:24
and hitting us next go-around are one in a million, roughly --
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ob naslednjem prihodu, ena proti milijon,
08:27
very, very low odds.
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približno toliko ... to je zelo zelo majhna verjetnost, zato jaz
08:29
So I personally am not lying awake at night worrying about this at all.
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zaradi tega ne izgubljam spanca od skrbi.
Mislim, da Apophis ni problem.
08:32
I don't think Apophis is a problem.
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Pravzaprav je Apophis sreča v nesreči,
08:34
In fact, Apophis is a blessing in disguise,
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saj nas opozarja na nevarnost
08:36
because it woke us up to the dangers of these things.
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takih stvari.
08:39
This thing was discovered just a few years ago
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Tole so odkrili pred nekaj leti
08:41
and could hit us a few years from now.
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in lahko bi nas zadelo čez nekaj let.
08:43
It won't, but it gives us a chance to study these kinds of asteroids.
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Ne bo nas, a omogoča nam, da preučujemo
tovrstne asteroide. Prej nismo zares
08:46
We didn't really necessarily understand these keyholes, and now we do,
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razumeli teh ključavnic, zdaj pa jih
in izkaže se,
08:50
and it turns out that's really important,
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da je to zelo pomembno, kajti kako
08:52
because how do you stop an asteroid like this?
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ustaviti takšen asteroid?
08:55
Well, let me ask you:
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Naj vas vprašam, kaj se zgodi,
08:56
What happens if you're standing in the road and a car's headed for you?
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če stojite sredi ceste in se vam približuje avto?
Kaj storite? Tole.
09:00
What do you do?
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09:01
You do this. Right? Move, and the car goes past you.
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Je res? Premaknete se. Avto pelje mimo.
09:03
But we can't move the Earth, at least not easily,
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A Zemlje ne moremo premakniti, vsaj
ne zelo lahko, lahko pa premaknemo majhen asteroid.
09:06
but we can move a small asteroid.
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09:07
And it turns out, we've even done it.
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In kot se izkaže, smo to celo storili.
Leta 2005 je NASA lansirala sondo
09:10
In the year 2005, NASA launched a probe called Deep Impact,
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z imenom Deep Impact, ki je treščila v...
09:14
which slammed a piece of itself into the nucleus of a comet.
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treščila v jedro kometa.
09:18
Comets are very much like asteroids.
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Kometi so zelo podobni asteroidom.
09:20
The purpose wasn't to push it out of the way;
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Namen pa ni bil iztiriti komet.
09:22
the purpose was to make a crater to excavate the material
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Namen je bil napraviti krater in izkopati
material, da bi videli, kaj je pod
09:25
and see what was underneath the surface of this comet,
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površino kometa, o čemer smo dobili
09:28
which we learned quite a bit about.
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kar nekaj informacij.
09:29
We did move the comet a little tiny bit --
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Komet smo rahlo premaknili,
09:32
not very much, but that wasn't the point.
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ne zelo, a to niti ni bil namen.
09:34
However, think about this:
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Ampak premislite.
09:36
This thing is orbiting the Sun at 10, 20 miles per second.
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Tale stvar kroži okoli sonca s hitrostjo
15 km ali 30 km na sekundo.
09:40
We shot a space probe at it and hit it, OK?
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Vanjo izstrelimo sondo in jo zadenemo. Prav?
Predstavljajte si, kako težko mora to biti, a uspelo je.
09:43
Imagine how hard that must be, and we did it.
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09:45
That means we can do it again.
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To pomeni, da nam lahko spet uspe.
09:47
If we see an asteroid that's coming toward us, headed right for us,
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Če bi bilo treba, če bi videli, da se nam bliža asteroid,
da gre naravnost proti nam
09:51
and we have two years to go?
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in da imamo dve leti časa, bum! Zadeli bi ga.
09:53
Boom! We hit it.
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09:54
You know, if you watch the movies --
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Lahko poskusite... saj veste, če gledate filme,
09:57
(Laughter)
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bi lahko prišli na idejo,
09:58
you might think:
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09:59
Why don't we use a nuclear weapon?
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čemu ne uporabiti jedrskega orožja?
10:01
Well, you can try that, but the problem is timing.
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No, lahko poskusite, ampak problem je v časovni usklajenosti.
10:03
Shoot a nuclear weapon at this thing,
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Če v to stvar izstrelite jedrsko orožje,
10:05
you have to blow it up within a few milliseconds of tolerance,
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jo morate razstreliti v nekaj milisekundah,
sicer jo boste zgrešili.
10:08
or else you'll miss it.
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10:09
And there are a lot of other problems with that; it's very hard to do.
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Obstaja pa še kup drugih težav s tem.
To bi bilo zelo težko izvesti.
10:13
But just hitting something? That's pretty easy.
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A samo zadeti nekaj? To je dokaj enostavno.
10:15
I think even NASA can do that, and proved that they can.
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Mislim, da celo NASA to zmore,
in dokazali so, da lahko. (smeh)
10:18
(Laughter)
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10:19
The problem is, if you hit this asteroid, you've changed the orbit,
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Problem je v tem, kaj se zgodi, če zadenemo
asteroid, mu spremenimo orbito,
10:22
you measure the orbit,
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10:23
then you find out, oh yeah, we just pushed it into a keyhole,
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jo izmerimo in ugotovimo,
da smo ga tako potisnili v ključavnico
10:26
and now it's going to hit us in three years.
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in da nas bo zadel čez tri leta.
10:28
Well, my opinion is: fine!
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No, po moje je to v redu. Okej?
10:30
It's not hitting us in six months --
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Ne bo nas zadel čez šest mesecev. To je dobro.
10:32
that's good.
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10:33
Now we have three years to do something else.
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Zdaj imamo tri leta časa, da naredimo nekaj drugega.
10:36
And you can hit it again.
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Lahko ga spet zadenemo. To je malo
10:38
That's kind of ham-fisted;
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nerodno. S tem bi ga lahko potisnili v tretjo
10:39
you might just push it into a third keyhole or whatever,
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ključavnico ali kaj takega, torej ne delajte tega.
10:42
so you don't do that.
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Tole pa je del, ki ga naravnost ljubim.
10:43
And this is the part --
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10:45
it's the part I just love.
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10:46
(Laughter)
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(smeh)
10:48
After the big macho "Grr ... bam! We're gonna hit this thing in the face,"
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Po velikem mačističnem "Rrrrr BAM! Tole stvar
bomo treščili v obraz,"
si nataknemo žametne rokavice.
10:53
then we bring in the velvet gloves.
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(smeh)
10:56
(Laughter)
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10:58
There's a group of scientists and engineers and astronauts,
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Obstaja skupina znanstvenikov in inženirjev
in astronavtov in imenujejo se
11:01
and they call themselves The B612 Foundation.
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Fundacija B612. Za tiste med vami,
11:03
For those of you who've read "The Little Prince,"
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ki ste prebrali Malega princa,
11:05
you understand that reference, I hope --
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665900
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je referenca razumljiva, vsaj upam. Mali princ
11:07
the little prince lived on an asteroid called B612.
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je živel na asteroidu, ki se je imenoval B612.
11:10
These are smart guys -- men and women -- astronauts, like I said, engineers.
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To so pametni moški in ženske,
astronavti, kot pravim, inženirji.
11:14
Rusty Schweickart, who was an Apollo 9 astronaut, is on this.
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Rusty Schweickart, ki je bil astronavt na Apollu 9,
je del skupine. Dan Durda, moj prijatelj,
11:17
Dan Durda, my friend who made this image,
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ki je napravil tole podobo, dela tule na
11:19
works here at Southwest Research Institute in Boulder, on Walnut Street.
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Southwest Research Institutu v Boulderju,
na Walnut Street. Tole sliko je naredil za to priložnost
11:23
He created this image for this.
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in je v bistvu eden od astronomov,
11:25
He's actually one of the astronomers who works for them.
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ki dela zanje. Če vidimo asteroid,
11:27
If we see an asteroid that's going to hit the Earth
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ki naj bi zadel Zemljo, in če imamo
11:30
and we have enough time,
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dovolj časa, ga lahko zadenemo in premaknemo
11:32
we can hit it to move it into a better orbit.
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v boljšo orbito. Potem pa sprožimo
11:34
But then what we do is launch a probe that has to weigh a ton or two.
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sondo, ki mora tehtati tono ali dve.
Ni treba, da je ogromna... nekaj ton,
11:39
It doesn't have to be huge -- a couple of tons, not that big --
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ne prav velika... in jo parkiramo blizu asteroida.
11:42
and you park it near the asteroid.
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11:44
You don't land on it, because these things are tumbling end over end.
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Ne pristanemo na njem, ker se te zadeve
kar naprej prevračajo. Zelo težko je pristati na njih.
11:47
It's very hard to land on them.
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11:48
Instead you get near it.
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Namesto tega se mu približamo.
11:50
The gravity of the asteroid pulls on the probe,
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Gravitacija asteroida privlači sondo
11:52
and the probe has a couple of tons of mass.
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in sonda ima nekaj ton mase.
11:54
It has a little tiny bit of gravity,
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Ima majceno gravitacijo, a dovolj,
11:56
but it's enough that it can pull the asteroid,
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da povleče asteroid, mi pa imamo
11:59
and you have your rocket set up --
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pripravljene rakete, da lahko ... oh, tule se komaj kaj vidi,
12:01
you can barely see it here, but there's rocket plumes --
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ampak tole so raketna krila...in
v bistvu sta ti dve zadevi povezani
12:04
and these guys are connected by their own gravity,
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z njuno lastno gravitacijo, in če sondo zelo
12:07
and if you move the probe very slowly -- very, very gently,
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počasi, zelo zelo nežno premaknete, lahko brez težav
12:10
you can very easily finesse that rock into a safe orbit.
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potisnete skalo v varno orbito.
Lahko bi jo celo postavili v orbito okoli Zemlje,
12:16
You can even put in orbit around the Earth where we could mine it,
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kjer bi lahko na njej rudarili, ampak to je
12:19
although that's a whole other thing; I won't go into that.
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čisto nekaj drugega. Ne bom šel v podrobnosti.
(smeh)
12:22
(Laughter)
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12:23
But we'd be rich!
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Ampak postali bi bogati!
12:24
(Laughter)
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(smeh)
12:30
So think about this, right?
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Razmislite o tem, prav?
Tam zunaj okoli nas letajo ogromne skale
12:33
There are these giant rocks flying out there, and they're hitting us,
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in nas zadevajo in nam povzročajo
12:36
and they're doing damage to us.
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škodo, ampak ugotovili smo, kako se s tem soočiti
12:37
But we've figured out how to do this,
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in vsi koščki, ki jih potrebujemo, so na svojem mestu.
12:39
and all the pieces are in place to do this.
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12:41
We have astronomers with telescopes, looking for them.
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Imamo astronome s teleskopi,
ki jih iščejo. Imamo pametne ljudi,
12:45
We have very, very smart people,
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zelo zelo pametne ljudi, ki jih to skrbi
12:47
who are concerned about this and figuring out how to fix the problem,
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in ugotavljajo, kako urediti težavo,
imamo pa tudi tehnologijo.
12:50
and we have the technology to do this.
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12:52
This probe actually can't use chemical rockets.
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Tale sonda ne more uporabljati kemičnih raket.
12:54
Chemical rockets provide too much thrust, too much push.
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Kemične rakete povzročijo prevelik sunek, preveč
potiska. Sonda bi enostavno odletela stran.
12:57
The probe would just shoot away.
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Izumili smo nekaj, kar se imenuje ionski pogon,
12:59
We invented something called an ion drive,
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kar je motor z zelo zelo nizkim sunkom.
13:01
which is a very, very, very low-thrust engine.
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13:03
It generates the force a piece of paper would have on your hand --
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Ustvarja silo, kakršno bi imel košček papirja
na vaši dlani, neverjetno lahko,
13:07
incredibly light, but it can run for months and years,
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a lahko teče mesece in leta
in zagotavlja ta nežen potisk.
13:11
providing that very gentle push.
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13:13
If anybody here is a fan of the original "Star Trek,"
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Če je kdo med vami ljubitelj originalnega Star Treka,
oni so naleteli na vesoljsko ladjo, ki je imela
13:16
they ran across an alien ship that had an ion drive,
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ionski pogon, in Spock je dejal:
13:18
and Spock said, "They're very technically sophisticated.
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"Tehnično so zelo razviti.
13:21
They're a hundred years ahead of us with this drive."
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S tem pogonom so sto let pred nami."
Ja, zdaj pa imamo ionski pogon. (smeh)
13:24
Yeah, we have an ion drive now.
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13:25
We don't have the Enterprise, but we've got an ion drive now.
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Nimamo ladje Enterprise, ampak
imamo pa ionski pogon.
13:28
(Laughter)
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1946
(aplavz)
13:30
(Applause)
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13:32
Spock.
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Spock.
13:34
(Laughter)
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(smeh)
13:36
So ...
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Torej...
13:39
That's the difference --
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to je razlika, to je razlika
13:40
that's the difference between us and the dinosaurs.
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med nami in dinozavri.
13:43
This happened to them.
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Njim se je to zgodilo.
13:45
It doesn't have to happen to us.
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Ni treba, da se tudi nam.
13:47
The difference between the dinosaurs and us
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Razlika med dinozavri in nami
13:50
is that we have a space program
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je v tem, da imamo vesoljski program
in volilno pravico,
13:53
and we can vote,
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13:54
and so we can change our future.
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tako da lahko spremenimo prihodnost.
13:57
(Laughter)
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(smeh)
13:58
We have the ability to change our future.
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Imamo sposobnost spreminjati svojo prihodnost.
14:00
Sixty-five million years from now,
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Čez 65 milijonov let
14:02
we don't have to have our bones collecting dust in a museum.
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ni treba, da bi naše kosti
zaprašene sedele v kakem muzeju.
14:06
Thank you very much.
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Hvala lepa.
14:08
(Applause)
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(aplavz)
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