Sheena Iyengar: How to make choosing easier

555,172 views ・ 2012-01-19

TED


Dvaput kliknite na engleske titlove ispod za reprodukciju videozapisa.

Prevoditelj: Sanja Subotic Recezent: Suzana Baric
00:15
Do you know how many choices you make
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Znate li koliko izbora učinite
00:17
in a typical day?
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u jednom prosječnom danu?
00:20
Do you know how many choices you make
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Znate li koliko izbora učinite
00:22
in typical week?
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u jednom prosječnom tjednu?
00:24
I recently did a survey
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Nedavno sam provela istraživanje
00:26
with over 2,000 Americans,
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na preko 2000 Amerikanaca
00:28
and the average number of choices
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i prosječan broj izbora
00:30
that the typical American reports making
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koje učini prosječan Amerikanac
00:32
is about 70 in a typical day.
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je oko 70 u prosječnom danu.
00:35
There was also recently a study done with CEOs
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Nedavno je provedena studija u kojoj su sudjelovali izvršni direktori
00:39
in which they followed CEOs around for a whole week.
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u kojoj su ih pratili cijeli tjedan.
00:42
And these scientists simply documented all the various tasks
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Ti su znanstvenici jednostavno dokumentirali sve različite zadatke
00:45
that these CEOs engaged in
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u kojima su ti izvršni direktori sudjelovali
00:47
and how much time they spent engaging
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i koliko su vremena proveli uključeni
00:49
in making decisions related to these tasks.
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u donošenje odluka vezanih uz te zadatke.
00:51
And they found that the average CEO
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I otkriveno je da je prosječan izvršni direktor
00:54
engaged in about 139 tasks in a week.
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uključen u otprilike 139 zadataka kroz tjedan.
00:57
Each task was made up of many, many, many sub-choices of course.
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Svaki zadatak, naravno, sastojao se od puno, puno, puno podizbora.
01:01
50 percent of their decisions
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50 % njihovih izbora
01:03
were made in nine minutes or less.
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donešeno je u 9 minuta ili manje.
01:06
Only about 12 percent of the decisions
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Samo oko 12% izbora
01:09
did they make an hour or more of their time.
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činili su u sat ili više svog vremena.
01:13
Think about your own choices.
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Razmislite o svojim izborima.
01:15
Do you know how many choices
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Znate li koliko izbora
01:17
make it into your nine minute category
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dospije u vašu kategoriju od devet minuta
01:19
versus your one hour category?
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u odnosu na vašu kategoriju od jednog sata?
01:21
How well do you think you're doing
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Što mislite koliko ste dobri
01:23
at managing those choices?
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u donošenju tih odluka?
01:26
Today I want to talk
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Danas želim govoriti
01:28
about one of the biggest modern day choosing problems that we have,
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o jednom od najvećih problema koje imamo u vezi izbora danas,
01:31
which is the choice overload problem.
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a to je problem preopterećenosti izborima.
01:33
I want to talk about the problem
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Želim govoriti o problemu
01:35
and some potential solutions.
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i nekim mogućim rješenjima.
01:37
Now as I talk about this problem,
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Sada, dok govorim o ovom problemu,
01:39
I'm going to have some questions for you
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imat ću za vas neka pitanja
01:41
and I'm going to want to know your answers.
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i htjet ću znati vaše odgovore.
01:44
So when I ask you a question,
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Pa kada vam postavim pitanje,
01:46
since I'm blind,
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kako sam slijepa
01:48
only raise your hand if you want to burn off some calories.
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dignite ruku samo ako želite potrošiti par kalorija.
01:51
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
01:54
Otherwise, when I ask you a question,
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U protivnom, kada vam postavim pitanje
01:56
and if your answer is yes,
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i ako je odgovor da,
01:58
I'd like you to clap your hands.
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voljela bih da zaplješćete.
02:00
So for my first question for you today:
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Moje je prvo pitanje za vas danas:
02:03
Are you guys ready to hear about the choice overload problem?
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Ljudi, jeste li spremni čuti nešto o problemu preopterećenosti izborima?
02:06
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
02:08
Thank you.
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Hvala.
02:11
So when I was a graduate student at Stanford University,
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Kada sam bila apsolvent na Sveučilištu Stanford,
02:13
I used to go to this very, very upscale grocery store;
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imala sam običaj ići u ovu vrlo, vrlo elitnu trgovinu namirnicama;
02:16
at least at that time it was truly upscale.
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bar je u to vrijeme bila istinski elitna.
02:18
It was a store called Draeger's.
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Bila je to trgovina zvana Draeger's.
02:21
Now this store, it was almost like going to an amusement park.
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Sad, ta trgovina, bila je gotovo kao da idete u zabavni park.
02:24
They had 250 different kinds of mustards and vinegars
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Imali su 250 različitih vrsta senfa i octa
02:27
and over 500 different kinds
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i preko 500 različitih vrsta
02:29
of fruits and vegetables
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voća i povrća
02:31
and more than two dozen different kinds of bottled water --
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i više od dvadeset različitih vrsta vode u bocama --
02:34
and this was during a time when we actually used to drink tap water.
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a to je bilo u vrijeme kad smo zapravo imali običaj piti vodu iz slavine.
02:38
I used to love going to this store,
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Voljela sam ići u tu trgovinu,
02:41
but on one occasion I asked myself,
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ali jednom prilikom zapitala sam se
02:43
well how come you never buy anything?
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kako to da nikada ništa ne kupim?
02:45
Here's their olive oil aisle.
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Evo njihove police s maslinovim uljima.
02:47
They had over 75 different kinds of olive oil,
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Imali su preko 75 različitih vrsta maslinovog ulja,
02:49
including those that were in a locked case
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uključujući i ona koja su bila u zaključanim kutijama,
02:51
that came from thousand-year-old olive trees.
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jer su napravljena od maslina s tisuću godina starih stabala.
02:55
So I one day decided to pay a visit to the manager,
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Jednog sam dana odlučila posjetiti voditelja
02:57
and I asked the manager,
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i pitala sam ga
02:59
"Is this model of offering people all this choice really working?"
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"Da li ovaj model pružanja ljudima svih ovih izbora stvarno uspijeva?"
03:02
And he pointed to the busloads of tourists
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On je pokazao u autobuse prepune turista
03:04
that would show up everyday,
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koji će se pojaviti svaki dan,
03:06
with cameras ready usually.
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obično sa spremnim kamerama.
03:08
We decided to do a little experiment,
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Odlučili smo napraviti mali pokus
03:11
and we picked jam for our experiment.
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i uzeli smo marmeladu za naš eksperiment.
03:13
Here's their jam aisle.
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Ovo je njihova polica marmelade.
03:15
They had 348 different kinds of jam.
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Imali su 348 različitih vrsta marmelade.
03:17
We set up a little tasting booth
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Postavili smo mali prostor za kušanje
03:19
right near the entrance of the store.
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odmah pokraj ulaza u trgovinu.
03:21
We there put out six different flavors of jam
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Tamo smo izložili šest različitih okusa marmelade
03:23
or 24 different flavors of jam,
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ili 24 različita okusa marmelade
03:26
and we looked at two things:
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i promatrali smo dvije stvari:
03:28
First, in which case
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Prvo, u kom slučaju
03:30
were people more likely to stop, sample some jam?
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su ljudi češće zastajali kušati uzorke marmelade?
03:33
More people stopped when there were 24, about 60 percent,
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Više se ljudi zaustavilo kada je bilo 24 vrste, oko 60%
03:36
than when there were six,
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a kad je bilo šest
03:38
about 40 percent.
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oko 40 %.
03:40
The next thing we looked at
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Sljedeća stvar koju smo promatrali
03:42
is in which case were people more likely
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bila je u kom su slučaju ljudi češće
03:44
to buy a jar of jam.
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kupovali staklenku marmelade.
03:46
Now we see the opposite effect.
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Sada smo uočili suprotan efekt.
03:48
Of the people who stopped when there were 24,
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Od ljudi koji su stali kada je bilo izloženo 24,
03:50
only three percent of them actually bought a jar of jam.
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samo je 3% njih kupilo staklenku marmelade.
03:53
Of the people who stopped when there were six,
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Od ljudi koji su se zaustavili kada je bilo šest,
03:56
well now we saw that 30 percent of them
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pa, tu smo vidjeli da ih je 30%
03:58
actually bought a jar of jam.
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zaista kupilo staklenku marmelade.
04:00
Now if you do the math,
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Ako to izračunate,
04:02
people were at least six times more likely to buy a jar of jam
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ljudi su šest puta češće kupovali staklenku marmelade
04:05
if they encountered six
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kada im je ponuđeno šest,
04:07
than if they encountered 24.
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nego kada su im ponuđene 24 vrste.
04:09
Now choosing not to buy a jar of jam
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Sada, odabrati ne kupiti staklenku marmelade
04:11
is probably good for us --
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vjerojatno je dobro za nas --
04:13
at least it's good for our waistlines --
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ako ništa drugo, dobro je za našu liniju --
04:15
but it turns out that this choice overload problem affects us
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ali čini se da ovaj problem preopterećenosti izborima utječe na nas
04:18
even in very consequential decisions.
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čak i kod vrlo važnih odluka.
04:21
We choose not to choose,
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Mi odabiremo ne odabrati,
04:23
even when it goes against our best self-interests.
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čak i kad to ide protiv našeg dobrog interesa.
04:26
So now for the topic of today: financial savings.
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Pa zato, za današnju temu: financijske uštede.
04:29
Now I'm going to describe to you a study I did
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Sada ću vam prepričati istraživanje koje sam provela
04:33
with Gur Huberman, Emir Kamenica, Wei Jang
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s Gurom Hubermanom, Emirom Kamenicom, Wei Jangom
04:36
where we looked at the retirement savings decisions
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u kojem smo proučavali odluke vezane za mirovinsku štednju
04:40
of nearly a million Americans
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približno 1 000 000 Amerikanaca
04:43
from about 650 plans
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od oko 650 planova,
04:46
all in the U.S.
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svih u U.S.
04:48
And what we looked at
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I ono što smo proučavali
04:50
was whether the number of fund offerings
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bilo je da li broj ponuda
04:52
available in a retirement savings plan,
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dostupnih u planu mirovinske štednje,
04:54
the 401(k) plan,
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401(k) plan,
04:56
does that affect people's likelihood
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utječe na vjerojatnost da ljudi
04:58
to save more for tomorrow.
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štede više za budućnost.
05:00
And what we found
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I otkrili smo da
05:02
was that indeed there was a correlation.
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je uistinu postojala povezanost.
05:05
So in these plans, we had about 657 plans
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U tim planovima, imali smo 657 planova
05:08
that ranged from offering people
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koji su ljudima nudili različito,
05:10
anywhere from two to 59 different fund offerings.
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sve od dvije pa do 59 ponuda različitih fondova.
05:13
And what we found was that,
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I ono što smo otkrili bilo je da
05:15
the more funds offered,
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što je bilo više ponuđenih fondova,
05:17
indeed, there was less participation rate.
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bio je uistinu manji postotak sudjelovanja.
05:20
So if you look at the extremes,
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Pa ako pogledate ekstreme,
05:22
those plans that offered you two funds,
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oni planovi koji vam nude 2 fonda,
05:24
participation rates were around in the mid-70s --
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udio sudjelovanja bio je oko sredine 70-og (percentila) --
05:27
still not as high as we want it to be.
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i dalje ne tako visok kao što bismo željeli da bude.
05:29
In those plans that offered nearly 60 funds,
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U onim planovima koji su nudili gotovo 60 fondova,
05:32
participation rates have now dropped
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postotak sudjelovanja pao je
05:35
to about the 60th percentile.
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do oko 60-og percentila.
05:38
Now it turns out
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Ispada da,
05:40
that even if you do choose to participate
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čak i ako odlučite sudjelovati
05:43
when there are more choices present,
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kada ima više mogućnosti izbora,
05:45
even then, it has negative consequences.
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čak i tada, postoje negativne posljedice.
05:48
So for those people who did choose to participate,
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Dakle, za one ljude koji su odlučili sudjelovati,
05:51
the more choices available,
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što je više dostupnih izbora,
05:53
the more likely people were
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veća je vjerojatnost da će ljudi
05:55
to completely avoid stocks or equity funds.
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u potpunosti izbjegavati dionice ili dioničke fondove.
05:58
The more choices available,
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Što je više izbora dostupno,
06:00
the more likely they were
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veća je vjerojatnost da će
06:02
to put all their money in pure money market accounts.
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uložiti sav svoj novac na obične račune.
06:04
Now neither of these extreme decisions
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Sada, ni jedna od ovih ekstremnih odluka
06:06
are the kinds of decisions
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nije vrsta odluke
06:08
that any of us would recommend for people
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koju bi itko od nas preporučio ljudima
06:10
when you're considering their future financial well-being.
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ako uzimate u obzir njihovu financijsku dobrobit u budućnosti.
06:13
Well, over the past decade,
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Pa, tijekom proteklog desetljeća,
06:15
we have observed three main negative consequences
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opazili smo tri glavne negativne posljedice
06:18
to offering people more and more choices.
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kod nuđenja ljudima sve više i više izbora.
06:21
They're more likely to delay choosing --
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Veća je vjerojatnost da će odgađati biranje --
06:23
procrastinate even when it goes against their best self-interest.
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odlagati čak i kada to ide protiv njihova najboljeg interesa.
06:26
They're more likely to make worse choices --
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Veća je vjerojatnost da će donijeti lošije odluke --
06:28
worse financial choices, medical choices.
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gore financijske odluke, zdravstvene odluke.
06:31
They're more likely to choose things that make them less satisfied,
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Oni su vjerojatnije birali stvari koje su ih činile manje zadovoljnima
06:34
even when they do objectively better.
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čak i kad su objektivno činili bolje.
06:37
The main reason for this
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Glavni razlog ovoga
06:39
is because, we might enjoy gazing at those giant walls
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je zato što mi možda i volimo gledati u te ogromne police
06:43
of mayonnaises, mustards, vinegars, jams,
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majoneze, senfa, octa, marmelade,
06:45
but we can't actually do the math of comparing and contrasting
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no mi zapravo ne možemo izvesti uspoređivanje
06:48
and actually picking from that stunning display.
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i, zapravo, izabrati iz te zapanjujuće ponude.
06:52
So what I want to propose to you today
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Dakle, što vam danas želim predložiti
06:54
are four simple techniques --
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četiri su jednostavne tehnike --
06:57
techniques that we have tested in one way or another
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tehnike koje smo testirali na ovaj ili onaj način
07:00
in different research venues --
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u različitim istraživačkim nišama --
07:02
that you can easily apply
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koje možete jednostavno upotrijebiti
07:04
in your businesses.
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u svom poslovanju.
07:06
The first: Cut.
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Prva: Rezati.
07:08
You've heard it said before,
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Čuli ste da se o ovom govorilo ranije,
07:10
but it's never been more true than today,
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ali nikada nije bilo istinitije nego što je danas
07:12
that less is more.
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da je manje više.
07:14
People are always upset when I say, "Cut."
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Ljudi se uvijek uznemire kad kažem: "Rezati."
07:17
They're always worried they're going to lose shelf space.
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Uvijek su zabrinuti da će izgubiti prodajni prostor.
07:19
But in fact, what we're seeing more and more
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No, ustvari, ono što viđamo sve više i više
07:22
is that if you are willing to cut,
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je da ako ste spremni rezati,
07:24
get rid of those extraneous redundant options,
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riješiti se onih suvišnih nevažnih opcija
07:26
well there's an increase in sales,
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pa, doći će do porasta u prodaji,
07:28
there's a lowering of costs,
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smanjenja troškova,
07:30
there is an improvement of the choosing experience.
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doći će do poboljšanja iskustva odabira.
07:34
When Proctor & Gamble
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Kada je Proctor & Gamble
07:36
went from 26 different kinds of Head & Shoulders to 15,
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prešao s 26 različitih vrsta Head & Shoulders-a (šampona) na 15,
07:38
they saw an increase in sales by 10 percent.
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doživjeli su porast u prodaji za 10%.
07:41
When the Golden Cat Corporation
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Kada se Golden Cat Corporation
07:43
got rid of their 10 worst-selling cat litter products,
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riješila 10 najslabije prodavanih prostirki za mačke,
07:45
they saw an increase in profits
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doživjeli su povećanje profita
07:47
by 87 percent --
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od 87% --
07:49
a function of both increase in sales
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što je odraz i porasta u prodaji
07:51
and lowering of costs.
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i smanjenja troškova.
07:53
You know, the average grocery store today
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Znate, prosječna prodavaonica namirnica danas
07:55
offers you 45,000 products.
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vam nudi 45 000 proizvoda.
07:57
The typical Walmart today offers you 100,000 products.
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Tipičan Walmart danas vam nudi 100 000 proizvoda.
08:00
But the ninth largest retailer,
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Ali deveti najveći prodavač,
08:05
the ninth biggest retailer in the world today
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deveti najveći prodavač u svijetu danas
08:07
is Aldi,
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je Aldi
08:09
and it offers you only 1,400 products --
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i on vam nudi samo 1 400 proizvoda --
08:12
one kind of canned tomato sauce.
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jednu vrstu konzerviranog sosa od rajčice.
08:15
Now in the financial savings world,
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Sada, u financijskom svijetu štednje,
08:17
I think one of the best examples that has recently come out
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mislim da je najbolji primjer koji se nedavno pojavio
08:20
on how to best manage the choice offerings
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o tome kako se najbolje snaći u izboru ponuda
08:23
has actually been something that David Laibson was heavily involved in designing,
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zapravo nešto u čije stvaranje je bio jako upleten David Laibson.
08:26
which was the program that they have at Harvard.
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To je bio program koji imaju na Harvardu.
08:28
Every single Harvard employee
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Baš svaki zaposlenik na Harvardu
08:30
is now automatically enrolled
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sada je automatski uključen
08:32
in a lifecycle fund.
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u fond životnog ciklusa.
08:34
For those people who actually want to choose,
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Onim ljudima koji doista žele izabrati
08:36
they're given 20 funds,
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dano je 20 fondova,
08:38
not 300 or more funds.
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ne 300 ili više fondova.
08:40
You know, often, people say,
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Znate, ljudi često kažu
08:42
"I don't know how to cut.
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"Ne znam kako rezati.
08:44
They're all important choices."
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Sve su to važni izbori."
08:46
And the first thing I do is I ask the employees,
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I prva stvar koju učinim je da pitam zaposlenike:
08:49
"Tell me how these choices are different from one another.
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"Recite mi kako su ti izbori različiti jedan od drugog.
08:51
And if your employees can't tell them apart,
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I ako ih vaši zaposlenici ne mogu razlikovati,
08:53
neither can your consumers."
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ne mogu niti vaši potrošači."
08:56
Now before we started our session this afternoon,
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Prije nego što smo započeli naše predavanje ovog poslijepodneva,
08:59
I had a chat with Gary.
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razgovarala sam s Garyem.
09:01
And Gary said that he would be willing
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I Gary je rekao da bi pristao
09:04
to offer people in this audience
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ponuditi ljudima u publici
09:06
an all-expenses-paid free vacation
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besplatno putovanje sa svim plaćenim troškovima
09:09
to the most beautiful road in the world.
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najljepšom cestom na svijetu.
09:13
Here's a description of the road.
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Evo opisa puta.
09:16
And I'd like you to read it.
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I voljela bih da ga pročitate.
09:18
And now I'll give you a few seconds to read it
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Sad ću vam dati nekoliko trenutaka da ga pročitate
09:20
and then I want you to clap your hands
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i onda želim da zaplješćete
09:22
if you're ready to take Gary up on his offer.
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ako ste spremni prihvatiti Garyevu ponudu.
09:24
(Light clapping)
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(Lagan pljesak)
09:26
Okay. Anybody who's ready to take him up on his offer.
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Dobro. Bilo tko tko želi pristati na njegovu ponudu.
09:29
Is that all?
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Je li to sve?
09:31
All right, let me show you some more about this.
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Dobro, dopustite da vam pokažem malo više o ovome.
09:34
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
09:37
You guys knew there was a trick, didn't you.
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Znali ste da postoji trik, zar ne?
09:44
(Honk)
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(Truba)
09:46
Now who's ready to go on this trip.
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A tko je spreman ići na ovo putovanje?
09:49
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
09:51
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
09:53
I think I might have actually heard more hands.
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Mislim da sam zapravo čula više ruku.
09:56
All right.
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Dobro.
09:58
Now in fact,
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Sada, zapravo,
10:00
you had objectively more information
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objektivno ate imali više informacija
10:02
the first time around than the second time around,
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prvi put nego drugi put,
10:04
but I would venture to guess
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ali ja bih se usudila nagađati
10:06
that you felt that it was more real the second time around.
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da ste osjećali da je drugi put bilo realnije.
10:10
Because the pictures made it feel
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Zato što su slike dale
10:12
more real to you.
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realniju predodžbu.
10:14
Which brings me to the second technique
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Što me dovodi do druge tehnike
10:16
for handling the choice overload problem,
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za nošenje s problemom preopterećenosti izborima,
10:18
which is concretization.
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a to je konkretizacija.
10:20
That in order for people to understand
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Kako bi ljudi razumjeli
10:22
the differences between the choices,
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razlike između izbora,
10:24
they have to be able to understand
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moraju moći razumjeti
10:26
the consequences associated with each choice,
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posljedice povezane sa svakim izborom
10:29
and that the consequences need to be felt
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i da posljedice trebaju biti doživljene
10:32
in a vivid sort of way, in a very concrete way.
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vrlo živopisno, na vrlo konkretan način.
10:36
Why do people spend an average of 15 to 30 percent more
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Zašto ljudi prosječno troše 15 -30% više
10:39
when they use an ATM card or a credit card
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kada koriste karticu za bankomat ili kreditnu karticu
10:41
as opposed to cash?
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u odnosu na gotovinu?
10:43
Because it doesn't feel like real money.
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Zato što ih ne doživljavaju kao stvaran novac.
10:45
And it turns out
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I ispada da
10:47
that making it feel more concrete
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čineći da doživljavaju konkretnije
10:49
can actually be a very positive tool
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može zapravo biti vrlo pozitivan alat
10:51
to use in getting people to save more.
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koji se može iskoristiti kako bi ljudi više štedjeli.
10:53
So a study that I did with Shlomo Benartzi
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Tako istraživanje koje sam provela sa Shlomom Benartzijem
10:55
and Alessandro Previtero,
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i Alessandrom Previterom,
10:57
we did a study with people at ING --
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proveli smo istraživanje s ljudima u ING-u --
11:01
employees that are all working at ING --
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zaposlenicima koji svi rade u ING-u --
11:04
and now these people were all in a session
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i svi ti ljudi bili su u programu
11:06
where they're doing enrollment for their 401(k) plan.
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u kojem su se trebali upisati za svoj plan mirovinske štednje.
11:09
And during that session,
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Tijekom tog programa
11:11
we kept the session exactly the way it used to be,
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ostavili smo sve točno kako je i bilo,
11:13
but we added one little thing.
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osim što smo dodali jednu sitnicu.
11:16
The one little thing we added
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Ta sitnica koju smo dodali
11:19
was we asked people
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bila je da smo pitali ljude
11:21
to just think about all the positive things that would happen in your life
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jednostavno da razmisle o svim dobrim stvarima koje će se dogoditi u životu
11:24
if you saved more.
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ako više uštediš.
11:26
By doing that simple thing,
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Čineći tu jednostavnu stvar,
11:29
there was an increase in enrollment by 20 percent
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dogodilo se povećanje u upisu od 20%
11:32
and there was an increase in the amount of people willing to save
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i došlo je do povećanja u broju ljudi spremnih na štednu
11:35
or the amount that they were willing to put down into their savings account
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ili količine koju su bili spremi uložiti na svoje štedne račune
11:38
by four percent.
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za 4%.
11:40
The third technique: Categorization.
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Treća tehnika: Kategorizacija.
11:43
We can handle more categories
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Mi možemo baratati s većim brojem kategorija
11:46
than we can handle choices.
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nego brojem izbora.
11:48
So for example,
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Na primjer,
11:50
here's a study we did in a magazine aisle.
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evo istraživanja koje smo proveli na odjelu časopisa.
11:52
It turns out that in Wegmans grocery stores
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Pokazalo se da u Wegmans trgovinama namirnicama
11:54
up and down the northeast corridor,
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uzduž sjeveroistočnog hodnika,
11:56
the magazine aisles range anywhere
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police s novinama sadrže
11:58
from 331 different kinds of magazines
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od 331 različitih vrsta časopisa
12:00
all the way up to 664.
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pa sve do 664.
12:03
But you know what?
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Ali znate što?
12:05
If I show you 600 magazines
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Ako vam pokažem 600 časopisa
12:07
and I divide them up into 10 categories,
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i podijelim ih u 10 kategorija,
12:10
versus I show you 400 magazines
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u odnosu na to da vam pokažem 400 časopisa
12:12
and divide them up into 20 categories,
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i podijelim ih u 20 kategorija,
12:15
you believe that I have given you
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vjerovat ćete da sam vam dala
12:17
more choice and a better choosing experience
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više izbora i bolju mogućnost izbora
12:19
if I gave you the 400
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ako vam dam 400,
12:21
than if I gave you the 600.
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nego ako vam ih dam 600.
12:23
Because the categories tell me how to tell them apart.
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Zato što mi kategorije kažu kako da ih razlikujem.
12:28
Here are two different jewelry displays.
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Tu sa dva različita pulta s nakitom.
12:31
One is called "Jazz" and the other one is called "Swing."
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Jedan se zove "Jazz", a drugi je nazvan "Swing".
12:34
If you think the display on the left is Swing
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Ako mislite da je pult s lijeva Swing,
12:37
and the display on the right is Jazz,
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a pult s desna Jazz,
12:40
clap your hands.
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zaplješćite.
12:42
(Light Clapping)
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(Lagani pljesak)
12:44
Okay, there's some.
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Ok, evo malo.
12:46
If you think the one on the left is Jazz and the one on the right is Swing,
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Ako mislite da je ovaj s lijeva Jazz, a ovaj s desna Swing
12:48
clap your hands.
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zaplješćite.
12:50
Okay, a bit more.
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Ok, malo bolje.
12:52
Now it turns out you're right.
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Ispada da ste u pravu.
12:54
The one on the left is Jazz and the one on the right is Swing,
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Onaj s lijeva je Jazz, a onaj s desna je Swing,
12:56
but you know what?
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ali što zapravo znate?
12:58
This is a highly useless categorization scheme.
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Ovo je krajnje neupotrebljiva shema kategorizacije.
13:01
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
13:03
The categories need to say something
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Kategorije nešto trebaju reći
13:06
to the chooser, not the choice-maker.
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onome tko bira, a ne biti razlog izbora.
13:09
And you often see that problem
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A često vidite taj problem
13:11
when it comes down to those long lists of all these funds.
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kada dođe do onih dugih lista tih fondova.
13:14
Who are they actually supposed to be informing?
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Koga bi oni zapravo trebali informirati?
13:18
My fourth technique: Condition for complexity.
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Moja četvrta tehnika: Uvjet za složenost.
13:21
It turns out we can actually
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Ispada da zapravo možemo
13:23
handle a lot more information than we think we can,
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baratati s puno više informacija nego što mislimo da možemo,
13:25
we've just got to take it a little easier.
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samo moramo sve malo pojednostaviti.
13:27
We have to gradually increase the complexity.
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Trebamo postepeno povećavati složenost.
13:30
I'm going to show you one example of what I'm talking about.
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Pokazat ću vam jedan primjer onoga o čemu govorim.
13:33
Let's take a very, very complicated decision:
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Uzmimo jednu vrlo, vrlo složenu odluku:
13:35
buying a car.
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kupovina auta.
13:37
Here's a German car manufacturer
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Imamo Njemačkog proizvođača auta
13:39
that gives you the opportunity to completely custom make your car.
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koji vam daje priliku da u potpunosti odaberete svojstva svog auta.
13:42
You've got to make 60 different decisions,
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Trebate donijeti 60 različitih odluka
13:44
completely make up your car.
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kako biste do kraja "sastavili" svoj auto.
13:46
Now these decisions vary
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Ove odluke variraju
13:48
in the number of choices that they offer per decision.
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u broju mogućih izbora koje oni nude po jednoj odluci.
13:51
Car colors, exterior car colors --
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Boja auta, vanjska boja auta --
13:53
I've got 56 choices.
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imam 56 izbora.
13:55
Engines, gearshift -- four choices.
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Motori, mjenjač -- četiri izbora.
13:58
So now what I'm going to do
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I sad ću
14:00
is I'm going to vary the order in which these decisions appear.
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varirati redoslijed kojim se ovi izbori pojavljuju.
14:03
So half of the customers
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Polovica kupaca
14:05
are going to go from high choice, 56 car colors,
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krenut će od složenijeg izbora, 56 boja za auto,
14:07
to low choice, four gearshifts.
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prema jednostavnijem izboru, četiri mjenjača.
14:10
The other half of the customers
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Druga polovica kupaca
14:12
are going to go from low choice, four gearshifts,
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ići će od jednostavnijeg izbora, četiri mjenjača
14:14
to 56 car colors, high choice.
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prema 56 boja auta, složenijem izboru.
14:17
What am I going to look at?
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Što ću ja promatrati?
14:19
How engaged you are.
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Koliko ste uključeni.
14:21
If you keep hitting the default button per decision,
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Ako nastavite pritiskati zadani gumb za odluku,
14:24
that means you're getting overwhelmed,
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to znači da postajete preplavljeni,
14:26
that means I'm losing you.
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to znači da vas gubim.
14:28
What you find
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Ono što otkrijete
14:30
is the people who go from high choice to low choice,
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jest da ljudi koji idu od složenijeg izbora prema jednostavinijem
14:32
they're hitting that default button over and over and over again.
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biraju zadani gumb opet i opet i opet iznova.
14:35
We're losing them.
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Njih gubimo.
14:37
They go from low choice to high choice,
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Oni idu od jednostavnijeg izbora ka složenijem izboru,
14:39
they're hanging in there.
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oni tamo zapnu.
14:41
It's the same information. It's the same number of choices.
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Informacija je ista. Isti je broj izbora.
14:44
The only thing that I have done
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Jedina razlika koju sam napravila
14:46
is I have varied the order
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jest da sam varirala redoslijed
14:48
in which that information is presented.
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kojim je ta informacija prikazana.
14:50
If I start you off easy,
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Ako vas polagano uvodim,
14:52
I learn how to choose.
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učite kako odabrati.
14:54
Even though choosing gearshift
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Iako odabir mjenjača
14:57
doesn't tell me anything about my preferences for interior decor,
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ne govori ništa o mojim izborima unutanjeg uređenja,
15:00
it still prepares me for how to choose.
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svejedno me priprema na to kako izabrati.
15:03
It also gets me excited about this big product that I'm putting together,
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Također me čini uzbuđenom oko tog velikog proizvoda koji sastavljam
15:06
so I'm more willing to be motivated
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pa sam više motivirana
15:08
to be engaged.
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da se uključim.
15:10
So let me recap.
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Dopustite da sažmem.
15:12
I have talked about four techniques
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Govorila sam o četiri tehnike
15:15
for mitigating the problem of choice overload --
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za olakšavanje problema preopterećenosti izborima --
15:18
cut -- get rid of the extraneous alternatives;
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rezati -- oslobodite se nevažnih alternativa;
15:21
concretize -- make it real;
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konkretizirati -- učinite stvarnim;
15:24
categorize -- we can handle more categories, less choices;
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kategorizirati -- možemo baratati s više kategorija, manje izbora;
15:28
condition for complexity.
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uvjetovanje za kompleksnost.
15:31
All of these techniques that I'm describing to you today
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Sve ove tehnike koje sam vam danas opisala
15:34
are designed to help you manage your choices --
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osmišljene su da vam pomognu upravljati izborima --
15:37
better for you, you can use them on yourself,
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bolje za vas, možete ih koristiti za sebe,
15:40
better for the people that you are serving.
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bolje za ljude s kojima radite.
15:42
Because I believe that the key
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Zato što vjerujem da je ključ
15:44
to getting the most from choice
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najveće dobiti od izbora
15:46
is to be choosy about choosing.
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u tome da budete izbirljivi kod biranja.
15:49
And the more we're able to be choosy about choosing
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Što više budemo izbirljivi kod biranja
15:51
the better we will be able
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bolje ćemo moći
15:53
to practice the art of choosing.
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prakticirati umjetnost biranja.
15:55
Thank you very much.
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Hvala vam puno.
15:57
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
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