How equal do we want the world to be? You'd be surprised | Dan Ariely

265,952 views ・ 2015-04-08

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Translator: Nana Ginnerup Reviewer: Aviaja Josenius
00:12
It would be nice to be objective in life,
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Det ville på mange måder være dejligt at være objektiv i livet
00:15
in many ways.
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00:17
The problem is that we have these color-tinted glasses
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Problemet er, at vi bærer de her tonede briller
00:20
as we look at all kinds of situations.
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i alle slags situationer.
00:25
For example, think about something as simple as beer.
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Tænk for eksempel på noget så simpelt som øl.
00:29
If I gave you a few beers to taste
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Gav jeg dig nogle forskellige øl at smage
00:31
and I asked you to rate them on intensity and bitterness,
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og bad jer vurdere dem på intensitet og bitterhed,
00:35
different beers would occupy different space.
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ville forskellige øl optage forskellige pladser.
00:39
But what if we tried to be objective about it?
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Men hvad hvis vi forsøgte at være objektive omkring det?
00:41
In the case of beer, it would be very simple.
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I tilfældet med øl ville det være ret simpelt.
00:43
What if we did a blind taste?
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Men hvad hvis vi lavede en blindsmagning?
00:46
Well, if we did the same thing, you tasted the same beer,
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Gjorde vi det samme, og I smagte den samme øl,
00:48
now in the blind taste, things would look slightly different.
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men nu i en blindsmagning, så ville det se noget anderledes ud.
00:52
Most of the beers will go into one place.
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De fleste af øllene ville placere sig ens.
00:55
You will basically not be able to distinguish them,
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I ville faktisk ikke kunne skelne mellem dem,
00:57
and the exception, of course, will be Guinness.
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med undtagelsen af Guinness, selvfølgelig.
01:00
(Laughter)
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(Latter)
01:02
Similarly, we can think about physiology.
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Ligeledes med fysiologi.
01:05
What happens when people expect something from their physiology?
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Hvad sker der, når folk forventer noget af deres fysiologi?
01:08
For example, we sold people pain medications.
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For eksempel solgte vi smertestillende til folk.
01:11
Some people, we told them the medications were expensive.
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Til nogen fortalte vi, at medicinen var dyr.
01:13
Some people, we told them it was cheap.
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Til nogen fortalte vi, den var billig.
01:15
And the expensive pain medication worked better.
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Og det dyre smertestillende virkede bedre.
01:18
It relieved more pain from people,
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Den lettede smerten bedre hos folk,
01:21
because expectations do change our physiology.
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fordi forventninger laver forandringer i vores fysiologi.
01:24
And of course, we all know that in sports,
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Og selvfølgelig, ved vi alle, at i sport,
01:26
if you are a fan of a particular team,
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hvis man er fan af et bestemt hold,
01:28
you can't help but see the game
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kan man ikke undgå at se spillet
01:31
develop from the perspective of your team.
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udfolde sig fra det holds perspektiv.
01:34
So all of those are cases in which our preconceived notions
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Alle disse er eksempler, hvor der er forudbestemte meninger,
01:38
and our expectations color our world.
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og vore forventninger farver vores verden.
01:42
But what happened in more important questions?
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Men hvad skete der med vigtigere spørgsmål?
01:45
What happened with questions that had to do with social justice?
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Hvad med spørgsmål, der omhandlede social retfærdighed?
01:49
So we wanted to think about what is the blind tasting version
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Vi havde lyst til at tænke over, hvordan blindsmagningsversionen
01:52
for thinking about inequality?
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for ulighed er.
01:55
So we started looking at inequality,
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Så vi startede med at kigge på ulighed
01:57
and we did some large-scale surveys
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og foretog nogle omfattende undersøgelser
01:59
around the U.S. and other countries.
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rundt omkring i USA og andre lande.
02:02
So we asked two questions:
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Vi spurgte om to ting:
02:04
Do people know what kind of level of inequality we have?
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Ved folk hvilket niveau af ulighed, vi har?
02:07
And then, what level of inequality do we want to have?
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Og så; hvilket niveau af ulighed ønsker vi?
02:11
So let's think about the first question.
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Lad os overveje det første spørgsmål.
02:14
Imagine I took all the people in the U.S.
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Forestil jer, at jeg tog alle folk i USA
02:16
and I sorted them from the poorest on the right
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og sorterede dem fra de fattigste til højre
02:19
to the richest on the left,
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til de rigeste til venstre
02:21
and then I divided them into five buckets:
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og så delte dem op i fem grupper:
02:24
the poorest 20 percent, the next 20 percent,
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De fattigste 20 %, de næste 20 %,
02:26
the next, the next, and the richest 20 percent.
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de næste, de næste, og de rigeste 20 %.
02:29
And then I asked you to tell me how much wealth do you think
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Og så bad jeg jer om at vise mig, hvor meget velstand,
02:32
is concentrated in each of those buckets.
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der er koncentreret i hver af disse grupper.
02:35
So to make it simpler, imagine I ask you to tell me,
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For at gøre det nemmere, forestil jer, at det var
02:37
how much wealth do you think is concentrated
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hvor meget velstand, der er koncentreret
02:40
in the bottom two buckets,
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i de to nederste grupper;
02:42
the bottom 40 percent?
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De nederste 40 %.
02:44
Take a second. Think about it and have a number.
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Tænk et øjeblik. Tænk over det, og vælg et tal.
02:47
Usually we don't think.
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Normalt tænker vi ikke.
02:49
Think for a second, have a real number in your mind.
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Tænk et øjeblik og hav et rigtigt tal klar.
02:51
You have it?
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Har I det?
02:53
Okay, here's what lots of Americans tell us.
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Okay, her er hvad, mange amerikanere siger til os.
02:56
They think that the bottom 20 percent
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De tror, at de nederste 20 %
02:58
has about 2.9 percent of the wealth,
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har omkring 2,9 % af velstande,
03:00
the next group has 6.4,
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den næste gruppe har 6,4 %,
03:02
so together it's slightly more than nine.
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altså tilsammen lidt mere end ni.
03:05
The next group, they say, has 12 percent,
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Den næste gruppe, siger de, har 12 %,
03:08
20 percent,
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20 %,
03:10
and the richest 20 percent, people think has 58 percent of the wealth.
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og de rigeste 20 %, tror folk, har omkring 58 % af velstanden.
03:15
You can see how this relates to what you thought.
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I kan se hvordan det relaterer til det, I troede.
03:18
Now, what's reality?
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Hvad er realiteten så?
03:19
Reality is slightly different.
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Virkeligheden er en smule anderledes.
03:21
The bottom 20 percent has 0.1 percent of the wealth.
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De nederste 20 % har 0,1 % af velstanden.
03:25
The next 20 percent has 0.2 percent of the wealth.
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De næste 20 % har 0,2 % af velstanden.
03:28
Together, it's 0.3.
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Tilsammen er det 0,3.
03:30
The next group has 3.9,
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Den næste gruppe har 3,9.
03:34
11.3,
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11,3.
03:36
and the richest group has 84-85 percent of the wealth.
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Og den rigeste gruppe har 84-85 % af velstanden.
03:42
So what we actually have and what we think we have
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Så hvad vi rent faktisk har, og hvad, vi tror, vi har,
03:45
are very different.
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er meget forskellige.
03:47
What about what we want?
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Hvad er det så, vi ønsker?
03:49
How do we even figure this out?
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Hvordan fandt vi overhovedet ud af det?
03:51
So to look at this,
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Så for at finde ud af dette,
03:52
to look at what we really want,
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af hvad vi virkelig ønsker,
03:54
we thought about the philosopher John Rawls.
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tænkte vi på filosoffen John Rawls.
03:57
If you remember John Rawls,
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Hvis I husker John Rawls,
03:59
he had this notion of what's a just society.
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så havde han den her idé om, hvad et retfærdigt samfund er.
04:02
He said a just society
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Han sagde, et retfærdigt samfund
04:04
is a society that if you knew everything about it,
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er et samfund hvor, hvis man vidste alt omkring det,
04:06
you would be willing to enter it in a random place.
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så ville man være villig til at komme ind i det et vilkårligt sted.
04:09
And it's a beautiful definition,
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Og det er en smuk definition,
04:10
because if you're wealthy, you might want the wealthy
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for hvis man er rig vil man måske have de rige
04:13
to have more money, the poor to have less.
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til at have flere penge; de fattige færre.
04:15
If you're poor, you might want more equality.
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Er man fattig, ønsker man måske mere lighed.
04:17
But if you're going to go into that society
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Men hvis man kan komme ind i det samfund
04:19
in every possible situation, and you don't know,
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i hver en mulig situation, og man ikke ved hvilken,
04:22
you have to consider all the aspects.
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så tvinges man til at overveje alle aspekter.
04:24
It's a little bit like blind tasting in which you don't know
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Det er lidt ligesom blindsmagning, hvor man ikke ved,
04:27
what the outcome will be when you make a decision,
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hvad udfaldet vil være, når man tager en beslutning,
04:30
and Rawls called this the "veil of ignorance."
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og Rawls kaldte det "uvidenhedens slør".
04:34
So, we took another group, a large group of Americans,
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Så vi tog en anden gruppe, en stor gruppe af amerikanere,
04:37
and we asked them the question in the veil of ignorance.
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og vi spurgte dem et spørgsmål om uvidenhedens slør:
04:40
What are the characteristics of a country that would make you want to join it,
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Hvad er karakteristikaene for et land, der ville få dig til at tilslutte dig det,
04:44
knowing that you could end randomly at any place?
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velvidende om at du kunne ende op hvilket som helst sted i det?
04:47
And here is what we got.
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Her er hvad, vi endte op med.
04:49
What did people want to give to the first group,
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Hvad ville folk give til den første gruppe,
04:51
the bottom 20 percent?
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de nederste 20 %?
04:53
They wanted to give them about 10 percent of the wealth.
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De havde lyst til at give dem ca. 10 % af velstanden.
04:56
The next group, 14 percent of the wealth,
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Den næste gruppe 14 % af velstanden,
04:59
21, 22 and 32.
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21, 22 og 32.
05:04
Now, nobody in our sample wanted full equality.
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Ingen i vores stikprøve ønskede fuld ligestilling.
05:07
Nobody thought that socialism is a fantastic idea in our sample.
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Ingen i vores stikprøve mente, at socialisme er en fantastisk ide.
05:12
But what does it mean?
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Men hvad betyder det?
05:13
It means that we have this knowledge gap
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Det betyder, at vi har en videnskløft
05:15
between what we have and what we think we have,
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mellem hvad vi har, og hvad vi tror vi har,
05:18
but we have at least as big a gap between what we think is right
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men vi har et mindst lige så stort hul mellem hvad vi mener er rigtigt,
05:22
to what we think we have.
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og hvad vi tror vi har.
05:24
Now, we can ask these questions, by the way, not just about wealth.
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Vi kan ikke kun stille disse spørgsmål omkring økonomisk velstand.
05:28
We can ask it about other things as well.
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Vi kan også stille dem omkring andre ting.
05:30
So for example, we asked people from different parts of the world
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For eksempel spurgte vi folk fra forskellige dele af verden
05:34
about this question,
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om dette -
05:36
people who are liberals and conservatives,
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Liberale og konservative -
05:38
and they gave us basically the same answer.
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og de gav os stort set det samme svar.
05:40
We asked rich and poor, they gave us the same answer,
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Vi spurgte rig og fattig, de gav os det samme svar.
05:43
men and women,
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Mænd og kvinder,
05:44
NPR listeners and Forbes readers.
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NPR-lyttere og læsere af Forbes.
05:47
We asked people in England, Australia, the U.S. --
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Vi spurgte folk i England, Australien, USA -
05:50
very similar answers.
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meget ens svar.
05:52
We even asked different departments of a university.
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Vi spurgte endda forskellige afdelinger på et universitet.
05:54
We went to Harvard and we checked almost every department,
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Vi tog til Harvard og tjekkede næsten hver eneste afdeling,
05:57
and in fact, from Harvard Business School,
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og faktisk på Harvard Business School,
05:59
where a few people wanted the wealthy to have more and the [poor] to have less,
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hvor nogle få ønskede at de velhavende skulle have mere og de rigeste mindre,
06:03
the similarity was astonishing.
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var ligheden forbløffende.
06:05
I know some of you went to Harvard Business School.
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Jeg ved, at nogen af jer gik på Harvard Business School.
06:08
We also asked this question about something else.
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Vi spurgte også spørgsmålet omkring noget andet.
06:12
We asked, what about the ratio of CEO pay to unskilled workers?
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Vi spurgte omkring forholdet mellem direk- tørers løn og de ufaglærte arbejderes.
06:17
So you can see what people think is the ratio,
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Så I kan se, hvad folk troede forholdet var.
06:20
and then we can ask the question, what do they think should be the ratio?
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Vi spurgte dem som, hvad de mente forholdet burde være.
06:24
And then we can ask, what is reality?
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Og så om hvad realiteten var.
06:26
What is reality? And you could say, well, it's not that bad, right?
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Hvad er realiteten? Og man kan sige, at det er da ikke så slemt, vel?
06:30
The red and the yellow are not that different.
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De røde og gule er ikke så forskellige.
06:32
But the fact is, it's because I didn't draw them on the same scale.
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Men faktum er, at det er fordi, jeg ikke har tegnet dem på den samme skala.
06:38
It's hard to see, there's yellow and blue in there.
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Det er svært at se, der er gult og blåt derinde.
06:42
So what about other outcomes of wealth?
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Så hvad med andre udfald af velstand?
06:44
Wealth is not just about wealth.
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Velstand er ikke kun om velstand.
06:46
We asked, what about things like health?
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Vi spurgte: Hvad med ting som helbred?
06:48
What about availability of prescription medication?
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Hvad med tilgængeligheden af receptpligtig medicin?
06:52
What about life expectancy?
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Hvad med forventet levealder?
06:54
What about life expectancy of infants?
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Hvad med spædbørns forventede levealder?
06:57
How do we want this to be distributed?
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Hvordan ønsker vi, at det fordeles?
06:59
What about education for young people?
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Hvad med uddannelse til unge?
07:02
And for older people?
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Og til ældre?
07:04
And across all of those things, what we learned was that people
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Og gennem alle disse ting lærte vi, at folk
07:07
don't like inequality of wealth,
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ikke kan lide ulighed i velstand,
07:10
but there's other things where inequality, which is an outcome of wealth,
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men der er andre ting, hvor ulighed, hvilket er et resultat af velstand,
07:13
is even more aversive to them:
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virker endnu mere generende for dem:
07:15
for example, inequality in health or education.
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For eksempel ulighed i helbred eller uddannelse.
07:19
We also learned that people are particularly open
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Vi lærte også, at folk især er åbne
07:22
to changes in equality when it comes to people
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for forandringer i lighed, når det kommer til folk, der
07:24
who have less agency --
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er i dårligere stand til at klare sig selv -
07:26
basically, young kids and babies,
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generelt set unge børn og babyer,
07:29
because we don't think of them as responsible for their situation.
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fordi vi ikke se dem som værende ansvarlige for deres situation.
07:34
So what are some lessons from this?
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Så hvad er lektien fra det her?
07:36
We have two gaps:
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Vi har to kløfter:
07:37
We have a knowledge gap and we have a desirability gap
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Vi har en videnskløft og en ønskekløft.
07:40
And the knowledge gap is something that we think about,
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Videnskløften er noget, vi tænker på.
07:42
how do we educate people?
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Hvordan uddanner vi folk?
07:44
How do we get people to think differently about inequality
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Hvordan får vi folk til at tænke anderledes om ulighed
07:46
and the consequences of inequality in terms of health, education,
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og konsekvenserne af ulighed i relation til helbred, uddannelse,
07:50
jealousy, crime rate, and so on?
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jalousi, kriminalitet osv.?
07:52
Then we have the desirability gap.
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Så har vi ønskekløften.
07:54
How do we get people to think differently about what we really want?
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Hvordan får vi folk til at tænke anderledes omkring, hvad de virkelig vil have?
07:58
You see, the Rawls definition, the Rawls way of looking at the world,
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Rawls måde at se verden på, ser I,
08:02
the blind tasting approach,
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blindsmagningstilgangen,
08:03
takes our selfish motivation out of the picture.
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eliminerer vores selviske motivation.
08:06
How do we implement that to a higher degree
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Hvordan implementerer vi det i højere grad
08:09
on a more extensive scale?
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på en mere omfattende skala?
08:11
And finally, we also have an action gap.
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Og til slut har vi en handlingskløft.
08:14
How do we take these things and actually do something about it?
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Hvordan får vi rent faktisk gjort noget ved de her ting?
08:17
I think part of the answer is to think about people
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Jeg tror dele af svaret, er at tænke på folk
08:20
like young kids and babies that don't have much agency,
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som unge børn og babyer, der dårligere kan klare sig selv,
08:23
because people seem to be more willing to do this.
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for det ser ud til at folk er mere villige til at gøre det.
08:27
To summarize, I would say, next time you go to drink beer or wine,
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For at opsummere vil jeg sige, næste gang I går ud og drikker øl eller vin,
08:32
first of all, think about, what is it in your experience that is real,
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skal I først og fremmest overveje, hvilken del af jeres oplevelse, der er virkelig,
08:36
and what is it in your experience that is a placebo effect
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og hvilken del, der er placeboeffekt
08:40
coming from expectations?
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stammende fra forventninger.
08:41
And then think about what it also means for other decisions in your life,
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Og overvej så, hvad det betyder for andre beslutninger i jeres liv
08:45
and hopefully also for policy questions
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og forhåbentligt også for politiske spørgsmål,
08:47
that affect all of us.
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der påvirker os alle.
08:48
Thanks a lot.
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Mange tak.
08:50
(Applause)
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