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翻译人员: Gu Yu
校对人员: 易帆 余
00:12
Have you ever been asked
by your Chinese friend,
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你有没有被中国朋友问过
00:15
"What is your zodiac sign?"
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“你的生肖是什么?”
00:17
Don't think they are making small talk.
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不要以为他们只是寒暄
00:20
If you say, "I'm a Monkey,"
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如果你说:“我属猴”
00:22
they immediately know
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他们马上
00:23
you are either 24, 36, 48 or 60 years old.
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就可以知道你多大年纪。
00:27
(Laughter)
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(笑声)
00:28
Asking a zodiac sign is a polite way
of asking your age.
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问生肖是问年龄的礼貌方式
00:32
By revealing your zodiac sign,
you are also being evaluated.
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知道了你的生肖
还可以对你进行评估。
00:36
Judgments are being made
about your fortune or misfortune,
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可以预测你幸运与否
00:40
your personality, career prospects
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你的性格,职业前景
00:42
and how you will do in a given year.
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接下来一年的运势走向。
00:45
If you share you and your
partner's animal signs,
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如果你分享了你和爱人的生肖
00:48
they will paint a picture in their mind
about your private life.
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甚至可以想象你的私人生活。
00:52
Maybe you don't believe
in the Chinese zodiac.
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也许你不相信中国的生肖,
00:55
As a quarter of the world population
is influenced by it,
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但是鉴于
全球四分之一的人受它的影响
00:59
you'd be wise to do something about that.
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你最好还是知道一些相关的知识。
01:02
So what is the Chinese zodiac, exactly?
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到底什么是中国的生肖呢?
01:05
Most Westerners think
of Greco-Roman zodiac,
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大多数西方人听说过
希腊罗马12星座
01:09
the signs divided into 12 months.
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这些星座把一年分成12个月。
01:11
The Chinese zodiac is different.
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中国生肖不同。
01:13
It's a 12-year cycle labeled with animals,
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中国生肖是以动物命名的
一个12年的循环
01:17
starting with a Rat and ending with a Pig,
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以鼠开始,以猪结尾。
01:19
and has no association
with constellations.
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它们与星座没有任何联系。
01:23
For example, if you were born
in 1975, you are a Rabbit.
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比如你出生在1975年,
你就属兔。
01:29
Can you see your zodiac sign there?
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大家可以看到自己的生肖么?
01:32
Our Chinese ancestors constructed
a very complicated theoretical framework
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中国的老祖先以阴阳,
五行和12生肖为基础
01:37
based on yin and yang, the five elements
and the 12 zodiac animals.
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建立了一套非常复杂的理论框架。
01:42
Over thousands of years,
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千百年来
01:44
this popular culture has affected
people's major decisions,
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这种流行文化
影响着人们的大部分决定
01:48
such as naming, marriage, giving birth
and attitude towards each other.
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比如起名,婚介,生产
甚至对彼此的态度。
01:54
And some of the implications
are quite amazing.
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其中一些涵义令人称奇。
01:58
The Chinese believe certain animals
get on better than the others.
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中国人相信某些生肖与
其它生肖比较好相处。
02:03
So parents choose specific years
to give birth to babies,
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所以夫妇选择特定的年份生孩子
02:07
because they believe the team effort
by the right combination of animals
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因为他们相信特定的生肖组合
02:12
can give prosperity to families.
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会让家族更加繁荣
02:15
We even refer to the zodiac
when entering into romantic relations.
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甚至谈恋爱的时候也会参考生肖。
02:20
I'm a Pig; I should have perfect romance
with Tigers, Goats and Rabbits.
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我属猪,我最好的恋爱对象是
属虎,羊和兔的人。
02:27
Chinese people believe some animals
are natural enemies.
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中国人相信有些生肖天生相克。
02:31
As a Pig, I need
to be careful with a Snake.
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对于属猪的人来说
我要小心属蛇的人。
02:35
Raise your hand if you are a Snake.
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各位属蛇的人请举手。
02:37
Let's have a chat later.
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我一会有话跟你们说。
02:39
(Laughter)
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(笑声)
02:40
We believe some animals
are luckier than the others,
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我们相信有些生肖更加好运
02:43
such as the Dragon.
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比如生肖龙。
02:45
Unlike the Western tradition,
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不同于西方传统
02:47
the Chinese Dragon is a symbol
for power, strength and wealth.
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中国龙是权力,力量和财富的象征。
02:52
It's everyone's dream
to have a Dragon baby.
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每个人都希望有一个龙宝宝。
02:55
Jack Ma's parents
must have been very proud.
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马云的父母就非常自豪。
02:58
And they are not the only ones.
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这种现象非常普遍。
03:00
In 2012, the Year of the Dragon,
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2012年是龙年,
03:03
the birthrate in China,
Hong Kong and Taiwan
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中国香港和台湾的婴儿出生率
03:05
increased by five percent.
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提高了5%。
03:07
That means another
one million more babies.
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比正常多出了一百万新生儿。
03:12
With a traditional
preference to baby boys,
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加之生男孩的倾向明显,
03:15
the boy-girl ratio that year
was 120 to 100.
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那年的男女比例为120:100。
03:20
When those Dragon boys grow up,
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当属龙的男孩长大,
03:22
they will face much more severe
competition in love and job markets.
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他们会面临更加激烈的
婚姻和职场挑战。
03:27
According to the BBC and the Chinese
government's press release,
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根据BBC和中国政府的官方消息
03:31
January 2015 saw a peak
of Cesarean sections.
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2015年1月迎来了剖腹产的高潮
03:36
Why?
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为什么?
03:38
That was the last month
for the Year of the Horse.
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因为这是马年的最后一个月。
03:42
It's not because they like horses so much,
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并不是大家喜欢生肖马
03:44
it's because they try to avoid
having unlucky Goat babies.
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而是大家尽量避免
不祥的属羊的孩子。
03:48
(Laughter)
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(笑声)
03:49
If you are a Goat, please don't feel bad.
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如果你属羊,也不要伤心
03:52
Those are Goat babies.
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这些都是属羊的人。
03:53
They don't look like losers to me.
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我可不觉得他们是失败者。
03:56
(Laughter)
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(笑声)
03:57
Tiger is another undesirable animal,
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还有一个不受欢迎的生肖是虎
04:00
due to its volatile temperament.
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也许和它的喜怒无常有关。
04:02
Many Chinese regions
saw a sharp decline of birthrate
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在不受欢迎生肖的年份
中国很多地区的婴儿出生率
04:06
during those years.
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都有明显下降。
04:08
Perhaps one should consider
zodiac in reverse,
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也许对于生肖我们应该逆向思维
04:11
as those Tiger and Goat babies
will face much less competition.
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因为虎宝宝和羊宝宝
将会面临最少的竞争
04:16
Maybe they are the lucky ones.
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也许他们才是最幸运的。
04:20
I went through the Forbes
top 300 richest people in the world,
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我调查了世界福布斯财富榜
前300位的生肖
04:24
and it's interesting to see
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有趣的是
04:26
the most undesirable two animals,
the Goat and Tiger,
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属最不受欢迎的羊和虎的人数
04:30
are at the top of the chart,
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反而排在前两位
04:32
even higher than the Dragon.
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甚至高于龙。
04:34
So maybe we should consider,
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也许我们应该考虑
04:36
maybe it's much better
to have less competition.
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减轻竞争压力才是更好的选择。
04:40
One last but interesting point:
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最后一个有趣的事情是
04:42
many Chinese people make
their investment decisions
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很多中国人依据生肖图作为索引
04:45
based on the zodiac sign index.
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进行投资。
04:48
Although the belief and tradition
of the zodiac sign
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尽管生肖的信仰和传统
04:52
has been over thousands of years,
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由来已久,
04:55
the trend of using it
in making major decisions
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使用生肖作重大决定的风潮
04:58
did not really happen
until the past few decades.
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近几十年才开始出现。
05:01
Our ancestors were very busy
surviving poverty, drought,
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我们的祖先忙于战胜贫穷,干旱
05:06
famine, riot, disease and civil war.
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饥荒,动乱,疾病甚至国内战争。
05:10
And finally, Chinese people
have the time, wealth and technology
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终于中国人有时间,有财富和科技
05:15
to create an ideal life
they've always wanted.
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可以过上他们梦想中的生活。
05:19
The collective decision
made by 1.3 billion people
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13亿人做出的集体决定
05:23
has caused the fluctuation in economics
and demand on everything,
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足以在经济上掀起巨大的波澜
足以改变很多事情的走向
05:27
from health care and education
to property and consumer goods.
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无论是医疗还是教育领域
无论是财产还是消费品方面。
05:33
As China plays such an important role
in the global economy and geopolitics,
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随着中国在全球经济和地域政治中
扮演越来越重要的角色,
05:38
the decisions made based on the zodiac
and other Chinese traditions
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基于生肖
和其他中国传统而作出的决定
05:42
end up impacting everyone
around the world.
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将会最终影响世界上的每一个人。
05:47
Are there any Monkeys here?
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在座的有属猴的吗?
05:50
2016 is the Year of the Monkey.
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2016年是猴年
05:53
Monkeys are clever, curious,
creative and mischievous.
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猴意味着聪明,好奇
创造力和顽皮。
05:58
Thank you.
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谢谢。
06:00
(Applause)
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(掌声)
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