How to stay calm when you know you'll be stressed | Daniel Levitin | TED

17,651,724 views ・ 2015-11-23

TED


Videoni ijro etish uchun quyidagi inglizcha subtitrlarga ikki marta bosing.

Translator: Dilnoza Nishanova Reviewer: Nazarbek Nazarov
Bir necha yil oldin, o’z uyimga yugurib kirdim.
Endi uyga kelgandim,
chamasi yarim tunda jonsiz Monreal qishida,
shahar narigi chekkasidagi, do’stim Jeffnikiga
00:13
A few years ago, I broke into my own house.
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borardim va old ayvondagi termometr minus 40 darajani ko’rsatayotgan edi --
00:16
I had just driven home,
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00:18
it was around midnight in the dead of Montreal winter,
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Selsiy yoki Farangeytdaligini so’rab ovora bo’lmang,
00:20
I had been visiting my friend, Jeff, across town,
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minus 40 bu ikki shkala uchrashadigan joy --
00:23
and the thermometer on the front porch read minus 40 degrees --
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juda sovuq edi.
Old ayvonda cho’ntagimga qo’limni solib turar ekanman,
00:27
and don't bother asking if that's Celsius or Fahrenheit,
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men kalitim yo’qligini bildim.
00:30
minus 40 is where the two scales meet --
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Aslida, ularni oynadan ko’ra olgan edim,
00:33
it was very cold.
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ular qoldirib ketgan ovqat yeydigan xonadagi stol ustida edi.
00:34
And as I stood on the front porch fumbling in my pockets,
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Men tez yugurib, hamma tarafdan eshik va oynalarni tortib ko’rdim,
00:37
I found I didn't have my keys.
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00:40
In fact, I could see them through the window,
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ular mahkam yopilgan edi.
Chilangar chaqirishni o’yladim -- telefonim bor edi,
00:42
lying on the dining room table where I had left them.
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lekin yarim tunda, chilangar kelishi ko’p vaqt olar edi,
00:45
So I quickly ran around and tried all the other doors and windows,
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00:48
and they were locked tight.
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va sovuq edi.
00:50
I thought about calling a locksmith -- at least I had my cellphone,
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Men do’stim Jeffning uyiga tunga bora olmas edim, chunki
00:53
but at midnight, it could take a while for a locksmith to show up,
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kelasi tong ertalab Yevropaga uchib ketishim kerak edi,
00:56
and it was cold.
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men passport va chamadonimni olishim kerak edi.
Shunday qilib, umidsiz, izg’irin sovuqda,
01:00
I couldn't go back to my friend Jeff's house for the night
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men ulkan tosh topdim va oynani sindirdim,
01:03
because I had an early flight to Europe the next morning,
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01:05
and I needed to get my passport and my suitcase.
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oyna parchalarini tozaladim,
01:08
So, desperate and freezing cold,
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sudralib bordim,
parcha karta topib, ochilishiga tirab qo’ydim,
01:10
I found a large rock and I broke through the basement window,
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ertalab aeroportga ketishda uy egasiga qo’ng’iroq qilib
01:14
cleared out the shards of glass,
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mendan tuzatishni so’rashini angladim.
01:16
I crawled through,
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01:17
I found a piece of cardboard and taped it up over the opening,
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Bu qimmatga tushadi,
lekin ehtimol yarim tunda chilangar chaqirishdan arzonroqdir,
01:21
figuring that in the morning, on the way to the airport,
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shunda anglab yetdimki, bunday vaziyatdan quruq chiqayotgan ekanman.
01:24
I could call my contractor and ask him to fix it.
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01:26
This was going to be expensive,
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01:28
but probably no more expensive than a middle-of-the-night locksmith,
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Hozir, men amaliyotchi nevrologman
va men stress ostida miya qanday ishlashini biroz bilaman.
01:31
so I figured, under the circumstances, I was coming out even.
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U yurak urishiningizni tezlashtiradigan kortizol ishlab chiqaradi,
01:36
Now, I'm a neuroscientist by training
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adrenalin darajangizni o’zgartiradi, fikr-
01:39
and I know a little bit about how the brain performs under stress.
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lashingizni qorong’ulashtiradi.
Kelasi tong,
01:43
It releases cortisol that raises your heart rate,
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biroz uxlab turganimda,
01:46
it modulates adrenaline levels
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oynadagi teshik va uy egasiga qo’ng’iroq qilishni
01:49
and it clouds your thinking.
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o’ylab, izg’irinda
01:51
So the next morning,
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temperatura va Yevropada
01:53
when I woke up on too little sleep,
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kelayotgan uchrashuvlar haqida qayg’urib,
01:55
worrying about the hole in the window,
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bilasizmi, miyamdagi barcha kortizol bilan
01:58
and a mental note that I had to call my contractor,
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fikrlashim qiyin edi,
02:01
and the freezing temperatures,
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lekin buning qiyinligini bilmasdim, chunki bu haqda o’ylolmasdimam.
02:02
and the meetings I had upcoming in Europe,
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02:05
and, you know, with all the cortisol in my brain,
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(Kulgi)
Aeroportdagi tekshiruv markaziga bormagunimcha passport
02:08
my thinking was cloudy,
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02:10
but I didn't know it was cloudy because my thinking was cloudy.
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yo’qligini bilmadim.
(Kulgi)
02:13
(Laughter)
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Shunda qor va muzda uyga chopdim, 40 minutda,
02:15
And it wasn't until I got to the airport check-in counter,
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passportimni oldim, aeroportga yana chopdim,
02:18
that I realized I didn't have my passport.
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02:20
(Laughter)
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vaqtida bordim, lekin
02:22
So I raced home in the snow and ice, 40 minutes,
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o’rnimni boshqa odamga berib bo’lishgan edi,
men samolyot orqasi, hojatxonalar oldida turib qoldim,
02:26
got my passport, raced back to the airport,
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8 soatlik yo’lda qimirlamaydigan o’rindiqda.
02:28
I made it just in time,
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02:30
but they had given away my seat to someone else,
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Xo’sh, o’sha 8 soat va uyqusizlikda o’ylashga ko’p vaqtim bor edi.
02:32
so I got stuck in the back of the plane, next to the bathrooms,
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(Kulgi)
02:35
in a seat that wouldn't recline, on an eight-hour flight.
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Va men o’ylanishni boshladim, yomon narsalarni sodir
bo’lishini oldin olishga qilishim mumkin
02:39
Well, I had a lot of time to think during those eight hours and no sleep.
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bo’lgan qandaydir sistema bormi?
02:43
(Laughter)
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Yoki kamida yomon narsa sodir bo’lsa,
02:44
And I started wondering, are there things that I can do,
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uning butunlay katastrofa bo’lishining ehtimolligini kamaytiradigan.
02:47
systems that I can put into place,
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02:49
that will prevent bad things from happening?
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Shu haqida o’ylashni boshladim,
02:51
Or at least if bad things happen,
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lekin fikrlarim taxminan bir oydan keyingacha tiniqlashmadi.
02:53
will minimize the likelihood of it being a total catastrophe.
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Men kasbdoshim, Nobel mukofoti sovrindori, Danny Kahneman bilan kechki
02:59
So I started thinking about that,
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ovqat qilayotgan edim va negadiram uyalib oynamni sindirganimni aytdim,
03:00
but my thoughts didn't crystallize until about a month later.
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va, bilasizmi, passportimni esdan chiqarganimni,
03:03
I was having dinner with my colleague, Danny Kahneman, the Nobel Prize winner,
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va Danny menga
istiqbolli o’tmishga nazar tashlashni mashq qilayotganini aytdi.
03:07
and I somewhat embarrassedly told him about having broken my window,
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03:10
and, you know, forgotten my passport,
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(Kulgi)
U buni bir necha yil oldin psixolog Gary Klein
03:13
and Danny shared with me
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03:14
that he'd been practicing something called prospective hindsight.
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yozganidan olganini aytdi, u
o’limdan oldin deb nomlanardi.
03:19
(Laughter)
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O’limdan oldin nima ekanligini bilasiz.
03:20
It's something that he had gotten from the psychologist Gary Klein,
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Qachonki falokat bo’lsa,
mutaxassislar kelib nima xato ketganini topishga harakat qilishadi, to’g’rimi?
03:24
who had written about it a few years before,
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03:26
also called the pre-mortem.
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Xo’sh, o’limdan oldingida, Danny tushuntirdi,
03:28
Now, you all know what the postmortem is.
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03:30
Whenever there's a disaster,
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kelajakka qarab, nima xato ketishi mumkin- ligini topishga harakat qilasiz, keyin
03:31
a team of experts come in and they try to figure out what went wrong, right?
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bu narsa sodir bo’lishini oldini olish yo zararini
03:36
Well, in the pre-mortem, Danny explained,
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kamaytirishga nima qilish mumkin- ligini topishga harakat qilasiz.
03:38
you look ahead and you try to figure out all the things that could go wrong,
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Bugun siz bilan gaplashmoqchi bo’lgan narsam
03:42
and then you try to figure out what you can do
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o’limdan oldingi shaklda qilish mumkin narsalardir.
03:45
to prevent those things from happening, or to minimize the damage.
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Ba’zilari aniq, ba’zilari esa unchalik aniq emas.
03:48
So what I want to talk to you about today
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Men aniqlaridan boshlayman.
03:51
are some of the things we can do in the form of a pre-mortem.
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Uy atrofida, oson yo’qoladigan narsalar uchun joy yasang.
03:55
Some of them are obvious, some of them are not so obvious.
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Hozir, bu odatiy narsadek eshitilishi mumkin va aslida shunday,
03:58
I'll start with the obvious ones.
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03:59
Around the home, designate a place for things that are easily lost.
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fazoviy xotiramiz ishlashiga asoslangan
buni qo’llab quvvatlaydigan ko’p fan, ilm mavjud.
04:05
Now, this sounds like common sense, and it is,
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Miyada gippokamp degan o’n ming yillardan beri
04:09
but there's a lot of science to back this up,
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shakllanib kelayotgan, muhim narsalarning
04:12
based on the way our spatial memory works.
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joylashuvini kuzatib boradigan struktura bor --
04:15
There's a structure in the brain called the hippocampus,
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quduq qayerda, qayerdan baliq topish mumkinligi,
04:18
that evolved over tens of thousands of years,
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mevali daraxtlarning o’sha shoxi,
04:21
to keep track of the locations of important things --
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qayerda do’stona va dushman qabilalarning yashashi.
Gippokamp bu Londondagi
04:25
where the well is, where fish can be found,
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taksi haydovchilari kengayadigan miyamiz qismidir.
04:27
that stand of fruit trees,
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Bu olmaxonlarga yong’oqlarni topishga yordam beradigan miya qismi.
04:30
where the friendly and enemy tribes live.
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04:32
The hippocampus is the part of the brain
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Hayratga tushayotgan bo’lsangiz, aslida tajriba qilgan,
04:34
that in London taxicab drivers becomes enlarged.
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olmaxonlarning hid sezish tizimini olib tashlagan va ular
04:38
It's the part of the brain that allows squirrels to find their nuts.
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yong’oqlarini hamon topisha olgan.
Ular hidni emas, gippokampni ishlatishayotgan edi,
04:41
And if you're wondering, somebody actually did the experiment
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bu nozik ravishda miyadagi narsalarni topish qismida rivojlangan.
04:44
where they cut off the olfactory sense of the squirrels,
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04:47
and they could still find their nuts.
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Lekin bu ko’p qimirlamaydigan narsalar uchun juda yaxshi,
04:49
They weren't using smell, they were using the hippocampus,
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04:52
this exquisitely evolved mechanism in the brain for finding things.
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siljiydigan narsalar uchun uncha yaxshi emas.
Shuning uchun mashina kalitlar, ko’zoynak va passportlarimizni yo’qotib qo’yamiz.
04:57
But it's really good for things that don't move around much,
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Shuning uchun uyda, kalitlar uchun joy yasang --
05:01
not so good for things that move around.
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eshik oldida ilgich, balki dekorativ kosa.
05:03
So this is why we lose car keys and reading glasses and passports.
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Passportingiz uchun, ma’lum bir tortma.
Ko’zoynaklaringiz uchun, ma’lum bir stol.
05:07
So in the home, designate a spot for your keys --
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Agarda joy yasab, ehtiyotkor bo’lsangiz,
05:10
a hook by the door, maybe a decorative bowl.
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05:13
For your passport, a particular drawer.
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narsalaringizni qidirayotganingizda yaxshiroq bo’ladi.
05:15
For your reading glasses, a particular table.
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Sayohatdachi?
Kredit karta, haydovchilik guvohnoma,
05:18
If you designate a spot and you're scrupulous about it,
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passportingizni telefonga rasmga oling, cloudda
05:21
your things will always be there when you look for them.
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turishi uchun pochtadan o’zingizga yuboring.
05:24
What about travel?
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Bu narsalar yo’qotilsa yoki og’irlansa, siz o’rniga narsani qila olasiz.
05:25
Take a cell phone picture of your credit cards,
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05:28
your driver's license, your passport,
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Xo’sh bular nisbatan ancha aniq narsalar.
05:30
mail it to yourself so it's in the cloud.
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Esingizda bo’lsa, stress ostida miyangiz kortizol ishlab chiqaradi.
05:32
If these things are lost or stolen, you can facilitate replacement.
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Kortizol zaharli va u fikrlashni qorong’ulashtiradi.
05:37
Now these are some rather obvious things.
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O’limdan oldin mashqining bir qismi
05:39
Remember, when you're under stress, the brain releases cortisol.
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stress ostida eng yaxshi holatda emas- ligingizni anglashdir va siz sistemalarni
05:43
Cortisol is toxic, and it causes cloudy thinking.
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o’rniga qo’yishingiz kerak.
05:46
So part of the practice of the pre-mortem
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Balkim tibbiy qaror qilishga yuzlanishdan
05:49
is to recognize that under stress you're not going to be at your best,
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ko’ra qiyinroq vaziyat yo’qdir.
05:53
and you should put systems in place.
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Qachondir, hammamiz o’sha holatda bo’lamiz,
05:55
And there's perhaps no more stressful a situation
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qachonki biz o’z kelajagimizdagi tibbiy holat
05:58
than when you're confronted with a medical decision to make.
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haqida qaror qilishimiz yoki yaqinlarimizga qaror qilishda
06:02
And at some point, all of us are going to be in that position,
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yordam berishimiz kerak bo’ladi.
Men o’sha haqida gapirmoqchiman.
06:05
where we have to make a very important decision
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Men ma’lum bir tibbiy holat haqida gapirmoqchiman.
06:07
about the future of our medical care or that of a loved one,
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Lekin bu har qanday tibbiy qaror qilish uchub model sifatida xizmat qiladi,
06:11
to help them with a decision.
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06:12
And so I want to talk about that.
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va albatta moliyaviy qaror qilish, ijtimoiy qaror qilish jarayonlarida ham --
06:14
And I'm going to talk about a very particular medical condition.
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har qanday faktlarning to’g’ri
06:17
But this stands as a proxy for all kinds of medical decision-making,
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baholashdan foyda keltiradigan qarorda.
06:21
and indeed for financial decision-making, and social decision-making --
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Tasavvur qiling siz shifokorga bordingiz va shifokor aytdi:
06:25
any kind of decision you have to make
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“Labaratoriyadan natijalaringizni oldim, xolestrin darajangiz ozgina yuqori ekan”.
06:27
that would benefit from a rational assessment of the facts.
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Xo’sh, hammangiz bilasiz, yuqori xolestrin
06:31
So suppose you go to your doctor and the doctor says,
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kardiologik kasalliklar, yuruk xuruji, falajning ehtimolligini
06:34
"I just got your lab work back, your cholesterol's a little high."
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ko’taradi.
06:39
Now, you all know that high cholesterol
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O’ylayotgan bo’lishingiz
yuqori xolestrin bo’lishi yaxshi narsa emas,
06:42
is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease,
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va shifokor aytadi: “Sizga xolesterinningizni kamaytiradigan
dori - statin bermoqchiman”.
06:46
heart attack, stroke.
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06:47
And so you're thinking
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Ehtimol siz statin haqida eshitgansiz,
06:49
having high cholesterol isn't the best thing,
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bilasizki bugungi kunda ko’p yozib berilayotgan dorilar
06:51
and so the doctor says, "You know, I'd like to give you a drug
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orasida, balki
06:54
that will help you lower your cholesterol, a statin."
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siz buni olayotgan insonlarni ham bilasiz.
Siz o’ylayapsiz, “Ha! Menga statin bering”.
06:57
And you've probably heard of statins,
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06:59
you know that they're among the most widely prescribed drugs
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Lekin shu vaqtda siz savol berishingiz kerak,
07:01
in the world today,
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ko’pchilik shifokorlar gapirishni
07:03
you probably even know people who take them.
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yaxshi ko’rmaydigan va farmastevtik kompaniyalar
07:05
And so you're thinking, "Yeah! Give me the statin."
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undan kam gapirishni istaydigan statistikani. so’rashingiz kerak.
07:07
But there's a question you should ask at this point,
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07:10
a statistic you should ask for
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Bu davolash uchun ketadigan son.
07:11
that most doctors don't like talking about,
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Hop, DUKS, nima bu?
07:14
and pharmaceutical companies like talking about even less.
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Bu son bir insonga yordam berilishidan oldin dori ichish,
jarrohligi qilinadigan yoki qandaydir
07:18
It's for the number needed to treat.
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tibbiy muolaja oladigan insonlardir.
07:21
Now, what is this, the NNT?
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07:23
It's the number of people that need to take a drug
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O’ylashingiz mumkin, bu qanday axmoqona statistika?
Son 1 bo’lishi kerak edi.
07:26
or undergo a surgery or any medical procedure
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Shifokorim menga yordam bermaydigan narsani
07:29
before one person is helped.
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yozib bermaydi.
Lekin aslida, tibbiy jarayon bunday ishlamaydi.
07:31
And you're thinking, what kind of crazy statistic is that?
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Bu shifokor aybi emas,
07:34
The number should be one.
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kimning aybi bo’lsa ham, bu menga o’xshash olimlarning aybi.
07:35
My doctor wouldn't prescribe something to me
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07:37
if it's not going to help.
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Buning ostida mexanizmlarni hali to’liq o’rganib chiqmadik.
07:39
But actually, medical practice doesn't work that way.
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Lekin GlaxoSmithKline baholashicha,
07:41
And it's not the doctor's fault,
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90% dorilar faqat 30%dan 50% gacha odamlarga ta’sir qiladi.
07:43
if it's anybody's fault, it's the fault of scientists like me.
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07:46
We haven't figured out the underlying mechanisms well enough.
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Xo’sh davolanish uchun ketgan son keng yozib beriladigan statin uchun
07:48
But GlaxoSmithKline estimates
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07:51
that 90 percent of the drugs work in only 30 to 50 percent of the people.
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necha deb o’ylaysiz?
Bittaga yordam berishidan oldin nechta odam olishi kerak?
07:56
So the number needed to treat for the most widely prescribed statin,
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300.
Bu Bloomberg.com tomonidan
mustaqil ravishda tasdiqlangan amaliyotchi izlanuvchilar jerome
08:00
what do you suppose it is?
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08:02
How many people have to take it before one person is helped?
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Groopman va Pamela Hartzbandning izlanishlariga ko’ra.
08:05
300.
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Men buni o’zim ko’rib chiqdim.
08:07
This is according to research
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08:08
by research practitioners Jerome Groopman and Pamela Hartzband,
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Yiliga 300 ta odam bitta yurak xuruji,
falaj yoki boshqa o’xshash falokatni oldini olishi uchun ichishi kerak.
08:12
independently confirmed by Bloomberg.com.
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08:14
I ran through the numbers myself.
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Hozir o’ylashingiz mumkin:
08:17
300 people have to take the drug for a year
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“Hop, xolestrinni kamaytirish ehtimolligi 300dan bir.
08:20
before one heart attack, stroke or other adverse event is prevented.
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Nima qilibdi? Menga beravering shifokor”.
Lekin shu vaqtda yana bir statistikani so’rashingiz kerak,
08:24
Now you're probably thinking,
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08:25
"Well, OK, one in 300 chance of lowering my cholesterol.
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va u: “Undan keyingi alomatlarini ayting”. To’g’rimi?
Xo’sh bu ma’lum dorida
08:28
Why not, doc? Give me the prescription anyway."
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alomatlar besh foiz bemorlarda kuzatilar ekan.
08:30
But you should ask at this point for another statistic,
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08:33
and that is, "Tell me about the side effects." Right?
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Bunga qo’rqinchli narsalar kiradi -
muskullarni zaiflashtirish va bo’g’im og’rig’i, ichak stressi --
08:36
So for this particular drug,
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08:37
the side effects occur in five percent of the patients.
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lekin o’ylayotgan bo’lishingiz mumkin,
08:41
And they include terrible things --
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“Besh foiz, dori ichsam men bilan sodir
08:43
debilitating muscle and joint pain, gastrointestinal distress --
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bo’lish ehtimoli kam”.
To’xtab turing.
Esingizda tursin stressda aniq fikrlamayapsiz.
08:47
but now you're thinking, "Five percent,
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O’sha vaqtning o’zida mulohaza yuritmaslik uchun oldindan
08:49
not very likely it's going to happen to me,
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08:51
I'll still take the drug."
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nima qilishning ustida ishlab boring.
08:52
But wait a minute.
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08:54
Remember under stress you're not thinking clearly.
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300 ta odam dori ichdi, to’g’rimi? Bittasiga yordam
08:56
So think about how you're going to work through this ahead of time,
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beradi, 300 taning 5%ida alomatlar kuzatiladi,
08:59
so you don't have to manufacture the chain of reasoning on the spot.
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bu 15 ta odam.
Siz doridan zarar topishingiz ehtimolligi yordam olishingizdan
09:02
300 people take the drug, right? One person's helped,
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09:05
five percent of those 300 have side effects,
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15 marta balandroq.
09:07
that's 15 people.
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Men sizga statinni olish yoki olmaslikni aytmyapman.
09:09
You're 15 times more likely to be harmed by the drug
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Shunchaki shifokor bilan maslahatlashingiz kerakligini aytyapman.
09:13
than you are to be helped by the drug.
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Tibbiy etika buni talab
etadi, xabardor rozilik prinsipi bir qismidir.
09:16
Now, I'm not saying whether you should take the statin or not.
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Sizning bunday ma’lumot olishga, tavakkal qilishni xohlashingiz yoki
09:19
I'm just saying you should have this conversation with your doctor.
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yo’qligi haqidagi suhbatni boshlashga haqqingiz bor.
09:22
Medical ethics requires it,
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09:24
it's part of the principle of informed consent.
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Hozir siz hayratga solish
09:26
You have the right to have access to this kind of information
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uchun bu sonni osmondan oldim deb o’ylashingiz mumkin,
lekin aslida bu juda odatiy, bu davolanishi kerak bo’lgan son.
09:29
to begin the conversation about whether you want to take the risks or not.
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50 yoshdan katta erkak kishilarga qilinadigan eng keng jarrohliklik
09:33
Now you might be thinking
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09:34
I've pulled this number out of the air for shock value,
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saraton uchun prostatani olib tashlashga
09:37
but in fact it's rather typical, this number needed to treat.
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davolanish uchun kerak bo’lgan son 49.
09:40
For the most widely performed surgery on men over the age of 50,
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To’g’ri, bitta odamga yordam berilishiga 49 ta jarrohlik amalga oshiriilishi kerak.
09:45
removal of the prostate for cancer,
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Alomatlar bemorlarning 50%ida kuzatiladi.
09:47
the number needed to treat is 49.
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09:50
That's right, 49 surgeries are done for every one person who's helped.
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Bu o’z ichiga holsizlik, bo’g’imlarning ishdan chiqishi,
tutib turolmaslik, rektal terlash, najas tutib
09:54
And the side effects in that case occur in 50 percent of the patients.
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turolmaslikni oladi.
Agar omadli bo’lsangiz va bular borlarning 50% idan biri bo’lsangiz,
09:59
They include impotence, erectile dysfunction,
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10:01
urinary incontinence, rectal tearing,
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ular uzog’i bir yoki ikki yil bo’ladi.
10:04
fecal incontinence.
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O’limdan oldinning asosiy g’oyasi suhbatni rivojlantiradigan
10:06
And if you're lucky, and you're one of the 50 percent who has these,
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so’rashingiz mumkin bo’lgan savollarni
10:09
they'll only last for a year or two.
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vaqtdan oldin o’ylashdir.
10:12
So the idea of the pre-mortem is to think ahead of time
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Siz hammasini o’z vaqtida o’ylashni xohlamaysiz. Shuningdek,
10:16
to the questions that you might be able to ask
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hayot sifati kabi narsalar haqida ham o’ylashni xohlaysiz.
10:19
that will push the conversation forward.
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Chunki ba’zida sizda tanlov bo’ladi,
siz kamroq lekin og’riqsiz hayotni xohlaysizmi,
10:21
You don't want to have to manufacture all of this on the spot.
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yoki uzunroq lekin oxiriga kelib juda og’riqli hayotnimi?
10:24
And you also want to think about things like quality of life.
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Bular oila, yaqinlaringiz bilan hozir gaplashish,
10:27
Because you have a choice oftentimes,
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10:29
do you I want a shorter life that's pain-free,
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o’ylashingiz kerak bo’lgan narsalar.
10:31
or a longer life that might have a great deal of pain towards the end?
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Ayni qaynoq damda fikringizni o’zgartirishingiz
mumkin, lekin kamida bunday fikrlash bilan mashq qilgansiz.
10:35
These are things to talk about and think about now,
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Esingizda bo’lsa, miyamiz stress ostida kortizol ishlab chiqaradi
10:37
with your family and your loved ones.
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10:39
You might change your mind in the heat of the moment,
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va bu paytda sodir bo’ladigan narsalardan biri
10:42
but at least you're practiced with this kind of thinking.
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bir necha sistemalarning o’chishidir.
10:45
Remember, our brain under stress releases cortisol,
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Bunga evolutsion sabab bor.
Yirtqich bilan yuzma-yuz paytda, sizga hazm qilish sistema yoki
10:49
and one of the things that happens at that moment
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libido yoki immun sistemangiz kerak bo’lmaydi,
10:52
is a whole bunch on systems shut down.
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chunki tanangiz bu narsalarga metobolizm kengaytirsa va
10:54
There's an evolutionary reason for this.
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10:56
Face-to-face with a predator, you don't need your digestive system,
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tezda javob bermasangiz, sherning
tushligiga aylanishingiz mumkin, va bularning hech qaysinisi kerak bo’lmaydi.
10:59
or your libido, or your immune system,
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11:02
because if you're body is expending metabolism on those things
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Afsuski,
bunday stress vaqtlarida butunlay ishdan chiqadigan narsalardan
11:05
and you don't react quickly,
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11:07
you might become the lion's lunch, and then none of those things matter.
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Danny Kahneman va kasbdoshlari
ko’rsatganidek, to’g’ri va mantiqiy fikrlashdir.
11:11
Unfortunately,
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11:12
one of the things that goes out the window during those times of stress
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Demak biz bunday vaziyatlarga oldindan fikrlashga
11:16
is rational, logical thinking,
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o’rganishimiz kerak.
11:18
as Danny Kahneman and his colleagues have shown.
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O’ylashimcha, bu yerda hammamizning nuq- sonliligimizni bilish muhim.
11:22
So we need to train ourselves to think ahead
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11:25
to these kinds of situations.
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Hammamiz hozir yoki keyin yiqilamiz.
11:27
I think the important point here is recognizing that all of us are flawed.
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Bu yerdagu asosiy g’oya oldindan bu mag’lubiyatlarni o’ylash,
ularning zararini kamaytirishga sistemalar qo’yish yoki
11:33
We all are going to fail now and then.
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bu yomon voqealarni birinchi o’rinda sodir bo’lishidan saqlash.
11:36
The idea is to think ahead to what those failures might be,
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Qorli Montrealdagi tunga qaytsak,
11:40
to put systems in place that will help minimize the damage,
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sayohatdan qaytganimdan so’ng,
11:44
or to prevent the bad things from happening in the first place.
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Shartnomamchi menga kombinatsiyali qulfni eshik oldiga o’rnatib berdi,
11:48
Getting back to that snowy night in Montreal,
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oldingi eshikka qulf bilan, oson esda qoladigan kombinatsiya.
11:50
when I got back from my trip,
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Tan olishim kerak,
11:52
I had my contractor install a combination lock next to the door,
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Mening hali ham ko’plab saralab chiqmagan pochtalarim
11:56
with a key to the front door in it, an easy to remember combination.
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va ko’rib chiqmagan ko’plab pochtalarim bor.
Men butunlay tartibli emasman,
12:00
And I have to admit,
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tartiblilik asta-sekinlik bilan erishiladi deb bilaman,
12:01
I still have piles of mail that haven't been sorted,
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va men u tomon boryapman.
12:04
and piles of emails that I haven't gone through.
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Rahmat kattakon.
(Olqishlar)
12:07
So I'm not completely organized,
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12:09
but I see organization as a gradual process,
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12:12
and I'm getting there.
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12:13
Thank you very much.
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12:14
(Applause)
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