Capitalism will eat democracy -- unless we speak up | Yanis Varoufakis

1,260,554 views ・ 2016-02-15

TED


Please double-click on the English subtitles below to play the video.

Translator: Bob Wang Reviewer: Alan Watson
00:13
Democracy.
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民主
00:14
In the West,
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活喺西方社會嘅我哋犯咗個好大嘅錯
00:16
we make a colossal mistake taking it for granted.
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就係視民主理所當然
00:20
We see democracy
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雖然民主係一朵最脆弱嘅花
00:21
not as the most fragile of flowers that it really is,
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但我哋冇將民主視為一朵最脆弱嘅花
我哋反而視佢為社會嘅擺設品
00:26
but we see it as part of our society's furniture.
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00:29
We tend to think of it as an intransigent given.
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我哋往往覺得佢係必然嘅
00:34
We mistakenly believe that capitalism begets inevitably democracy.
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我哋以為資本主義會帶嚟民主
00:39
It doesn't.
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但唔係
00:41
Singapore's Lee Kuan Yew and his great imitators in Beijing
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新加坡前總理李光耀 同埋北京一班好似佢咁嘅人
00:45
have demonstrated beyond reasonable doubt
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說服到人
繁華嘅資本市場同顯著嘅增長
00:48
that it is perfectly possible to have a flourishing capitalism,
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00:52
spectacular growth,
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係絕對可以出現喺極權政體裏面
00:54
while politics remains democracy-free.
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00:58
Indeed, democracy is receding in our neck of the woods,
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事實上,民主喺歐洲一帶倒退緊
01:02
here in Europe.
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01:04
Earlier this year, while I was representing Greece --
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今年初,我代表希臘
01:07
the newly elected Greek government --
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代表當時啱啱新選出嘅希臘政府
01:10
in the Eurogroup as its Finance Minister,
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以財長身份出席歐元集團會議
01:12
I was told in no uncertain terms that our nation's democratic process --
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我被清楚告知
希臘嘅民主進程、我哋嘅選舉
01:17
our elections --
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01:19
could not be allowed to interfere
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唔可以干預
01:21
with economic policies that were being implemented in Greece.
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希臘即將被落實嘅經濟政策
01:25
At that moment,
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當時我覺得李光耀或者中國共產黨
01:26
I felt that there could be no greater vindication of Lee Kuan Yew,
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都唔會有更加好嘅辯護藉口
01:30
or the Chinese Communist Party,
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01:32
indeed of some recalcitrant friends of mine who kept telling me
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而且有幾個固執嘅朋友不斷同我講
如果民主真係可以改變任何嘢
01:36
that democracy would be banned if it ever threatened to change anything.
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民主就會被打壓
01:41
Tonight, here, I want to present to you
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今晚喺度,我想同你哋講
01:44
an economic case for an authentic democracy.
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一個真正民主社會底下嘅經濟情況
01:48
I want to ask you to join me in believing again
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我想請大家同我一齊再次睇清楚
01:53
that Lee Kuan Yew,
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李光耀、中國共產黨同埋歐元集團
01:56
the Chinese Communist Party
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01:57
and indeed the Eurogroup
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01:59
are wrong in believing that we can dispense with democracy --
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以為我哋可以分配民主
02:03
that we need an authentic, boisterous democracy.
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但我哋真正要嘅
係一個真正、多人參與嘅民主
02:07
And without democracy,
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冇咗民主,我哋社會會唔掂
02:10
our societies will be nastier,
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02:13
our future bleak
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未來會暗淡,新科技亦都會浪費
02:15
and our great, new technologies wasted.
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02:18
Speaking of waste,
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講起浪費
02:19
allow me to point out an interesting paradox
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等我指出一個好有趣 會要脅我哋經濟嘅悖論
02:22
that is threatening our economies as we speak.
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02:25
I call it the twin peaks paradox.
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我叫佢做「雙峰悖論」
02:27
One peak you understand --
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第一個峰你哋知道嘅
02:28
you know it, you recognize it --
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02:30
is the mountain of debts that has been casting a long shadow
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就係喺美國,歐洲,以至全球
債台高築構成長期陰霾
02:35
over the United States, Europe, the whole world.
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02:38
We all recognize the mountain of debts.
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我哋知道有好多債務
02:40
But few people discern its twin.
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但好少人意識到佢有個孖生兄弟
02:45
A mountain of idle cash
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一座由有錢人同大機構嘅閑置資金 砌出嚟嘅山峰
02:48
belonging to rich savers and to corporations,
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佢哋唔夠膽投資佢哋嘅存款 去一啲製造營利嘅生產活動度
02:53
too terrified to invest it
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02:55
into the productive activities that can generate the incomes
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02:59
from which you can extinguish the mountain of debts
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呢啲生產活動其實可以償還債務
03:02
and which can produce all those things that humanity desperately needs,
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仲可以製造人類急需要用嘅嘢
例如可再生能源
03:06
like green energy.
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03:07
Now let me give you two numbers.
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依家,我想講兩個數字
03:10
Over the last three months,
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喺過去三個月入面
03:11
in the United States, in Britain and in the Eurozone,
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我哋喺美國,英國同歐元區 各種可以製造財富嘅商品
03:14
we have invested, collectively, 3.4 trillion dollars
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03:18
on all the wealth-producing goods --
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總共投資咗 3.4 萬億美元
03:21
things like industrial plants, machinery,
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好似有工廠、機械廠、寫字樓
03:24
office blocks, schools,
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學校、道路、鐵路、機械等
03:26
roads, railways, machinery, and so on and so forth.
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03:29
$3.4 trillion sounds like a lot of money
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3.4 萬億美元聽落好似好多錢
03:32
until you compare it to the $5.1 trillion
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直至你攞佢同 5.1 萬億美元比較
03:36
that has been slushing around in the same countries,
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呢一筆 5.1 萬億嘅資金
喺同一批國家嘅金融機構裏面
03:39
in our financial institutions,
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03:41
doing absolutely nothing during the same period
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除咗加劇股票市場通脹
令房價上升之外
03:45
except inflating stock exchanges and bidding up house prices.
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喺同一期間就再冇發揮過任何作用
03:50
So a mountain of debt and a mountain of idle cash
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所以呢,一座債務嘅山 同一座閑置現金嘅山
03:55
form twin peaks, failing to cancel each other out
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形成兩座山峰
兩者都冇通過正常市場運作抵消對方
03:59
through the normal operation of the markets.
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04:02
The result is stagnant wages,
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結果造成薪酬停滯
04:05
more than a quarter of 25- to 54-year-olds in America, in Japan and in Europe
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喺美國,日本同歐洲
就有超過四分之一 介乎 25 至 54 歲嘅人冇工做
04:11
out of work.
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04:12
And consequently, low aggregate demand,
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跟住,經濟總需求就會 進入永無止境嘅減退周期
04:14
which in a never-ending cycle,
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04:17
reinforces the pessimism of the investors,
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令投資者對前景更悲觀
04:20
who, fearing low demand, reproduce it by not investing --
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投資者怕咗低需求量 於是唔再投資
04:24
exactly like Oedipus' father,
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就好似伊底帕斯王嘅老竇
04:27
who, terrified by the prophecy of the oracle
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被神預言佢個仔大個之後會殺死佢
04:29
that his son would grow up to kill him,
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佢好驚
04:32
unwittingly engineered the conditions
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但佢亦無意中營造咗被殺嘅條件出嚟
04:34
that ensured that Oedipus, his son, would kill him.
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令佢個仔伊底帕斯王真係殺咗佢
04:38
This is my quarrel with capitalism.
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呢個就係我對資本主義嘅爭論
04:41
Its gross wastefulness,
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資本主義造成浪費
04:43
all this idle cash,
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資本主義之下閑置嘅錢早就應該
04:44
should be energized to improve lives,
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用嚟提高人類生活水平、發展人才
04:49
to develop human talents,
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04:50
and indeed to finance all these technologies,
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同埋資助開發可再生能源科技
04:53
green technologies,
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04:54
which are absolutely essential for saving planet Earth.
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呢啲科技對保護地球好重要
04:58
Am I right in believing that democracy might be the answer?
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咁民主可唔可以扭轉呢一切?
05:01
I believe so,
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我相信得
05:02
but before we move on,
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但行動之前,我哋要知究竟咩係民主
05:04
what do we mean by democracy?
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05:06
Aristotle defined democracy
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亞里士多德定義民主做︰
05:08
as the constitution in which the free and the poor,
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當自由嘅人同窮人 佔體制大多數控制政府
05:13
being in the majority, control government.
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05:17
Now, of course Athenian democracy excluded too many.
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當然,雅典時代嘅民主 將太多人排除在外
05:20
Women, migrants and, of course, the slaves.
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當中包括女人、移民、奴隸
但係,如果因為呢啲被排除嘅人
05:24
But it would be a mistake
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05:25
to dismiss the significance of ancient Athenian democracy
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而忽視古雅典民主嘅成功之處
05:28
on the basis of whom it excluded.
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咁係錯嘅
05:31
What was more pertinent,
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雅典民主裏邊更值得肯定嘅係
05:32
and continues to be so about ancient Athenian democracy,
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而且就算時至今日仍然值得肯定嘅係
05:36
was the inclusion of the working poor,
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佢囊括埋勞動階級
05:40
who not only acquired the right to free speech,
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令佢哋唔單止有言論自由嘅權利
05:45
but more importantly, crucially,
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更重要、更重要嘅係 佢哋有權批評政治
05:47
they acquired the rights to political judgments
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05:50
that were afforded equal weight
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而且佢哋嘅意見 對國家決策係同等重要
05:52
in the decision-making concerning matters of state.
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05:56
Now, of course, Athenian democracy didn't last long.
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古雅典民主持續咗唔係好耐
05:59
Like a candle that burns brightly, it burned out quickly.
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就好似一枝好光嘅蠟燭好快就燒完
06:03
And indeed,
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的而且確
06:04
our liberal democracies today do not have their roots in ancient Athens.
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現今嘅自由民主唔係嚟自古雅典
06:09
They have their roots in the Magna Carta,
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佢哋源自 1688 年 光榮革命時期嘅美國憲法
06:11
in the 1688 Glorious Revolution,
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06:14
indeed in the American constitution.
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或者嚟自大憲章
06:17
Whereas Athenian democracy was focusing on the masterless citizen
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而雅典民主關注嘅係普通平民
授權予貧苦勞動階級
06:22
and empowering the working poor,
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06:25
our liberal democracies are founded on the Magna Carta tradition,
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我哋嘅自由民主 建立喺大憲章嘅傳統上面
06:29
which was, after all, a charter for masters.
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但點都好,大憲章都係有錢人嘅憲章
06:32
And indeed, liberal democracy only surfaced when it was possible
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當政治領域同經濟領域分開
06:36
to separate fully the political sphere from the economic sphere,
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而民主進程受制於政治領域裏面時
06:40
so as to confine the democratic process fully in the political sphere,
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經濟領域,或者商業世界
就會變成一個冇民主成份嘅地方
06:45
leaving the economic sphere --
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06:47
the corporate world, if you want --
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06:49
as a democracy-free zone.
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咁樣,自由民主先會出現
06:53
Now, in our democracies today,
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我哋今時今日嘅民主 將經濟由政治領域分出嚟
06:56
this separation of the economic from the political sphere,
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07:00
the moment it started happening,
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呢一切開始發生嘅時候
07:02
it gave rise to an inexorable, epic struggle between the two,
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亦同時引發兩者之間 無可避免嘅長期戰爭
07:06
with the economic sphere colonizing the political sphere,
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經濟領域殖民統治政治領域
07:10
eating into its power.
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經濟領域將政治領域嘅權利吞噬
07:12
Have you wondered why politicians are not what they used to be?
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你哋有冇諗過點解
宜家嘅政治家同以前嘅佢哋唔同?
07:16
It's not because their DNA has degenerated.
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唔係因為佢哋 DNA 變咗
(笑聲)
07:19
(Laughter)
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07:20
It is rather because one can be in government today and not in power,
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而係因為依家 喺政府做嘢嘅人已經冇權力
07:25
because power has migrated from the political to the economic sphere,
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因為權力已經從政治領域轉移到
同政治領域無關嘅經濟領域
07:28
which is separate.
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07:31
Indeed,
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講真,以上就係我憎資本主義嘅地方
07:32
I spoke about my quarrel with capitalism.
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07:35
If you think about it,
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你諗下,好似一班肉食動物
07:36
it is a little bit like a population of predators,
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07:41
that are so successful in decimating the prey that they must feed on,
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殺死咗大量佢哋懶以生存嘅獵物
07:46
that in the end they starve.
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最後唯有自己挨餓
07:48
Similarly,
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同樣道理
07:49
the economic sphere has been colonizing and cannibalizing the political sphere
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經濟領域殖民同吞食咗政治領域
07:53
to such an extent that it is undermining itself,
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喺呢種情況下佢其實削弱嘅係自己
令自己面臨經濟危機
07:57
causing economic crisis.
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07:58
Corporate power is increasing,
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企業勢力崛起緊,但政治勢力減緊
08:00
political goods are devaluing,
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08:03
inequality is rising,
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唔平等嘅問題加劇緊
08:05
aggregate demand is falling
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總需求又下跌梗
08:06
and CEOs of corporations are too scared to invest the cash of their corporations.
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企業總裁怕投資自己公司啲錢去第度
08:13
So the more capitalism succeeds in taking the demos out of democracy,
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資本主義越係將人從民主裏面剔除
08:20
the taller the twin peaks
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兩座負債同閑錢嘅山峰就會越嚟越高
08:21
and the greater the waste of human resources
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人力資源同人類財富亦會越嚟越浪費
08:25
and humanity's wealth.
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08:27
Clearly, if this is right,
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好明顯,如果咁樣嘅推測係啱嘅話
08:30
we must reunite the political and economic spheres
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我哋就必須要合返埋政治同經濟領域
08:33
and better do it with a demos being in control,
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最好可以畀人民控制大局
08:37
like in ancient Athens except without the slaves
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就好似古雅典一樣
但奴隸、女人同移民唔包括在內
08:40
or the exclusion of women and migrants.
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08:44
Now, this is not an original idea.
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呢樣嘢並唔係咩新概念
08:45
The Marxist left had that idea 100 years ago
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馬克思主義者一百年前就有咁嘅諗法
08:48
and it didn't go very well, did it?
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但佢哋嘅諗法唔係發展得好好
08:50
The lesson that we learned from the Soviet debacle
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我哋從蘇聯解體學到
08:54
is that only by a miracle will the working poor be reempowered,
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只有奇蹟先可以 令勞動階層重新獲得權力
09:00
as they were in ancient Athens,
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就好似古代雅典冇帶嚟 新形式嘅暴行同浪費咁
09:02
without creating new forms of brutality and waste.
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09:06
But there is a solution:
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但有一個解决辦法:消滅勞動階層
09:08
eliminate the working poor.
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09:11
Capitalism's doing it
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資本主義正係做緊呢樣嘢
09:12
by replacing low-wage workers with automata, androids, robots.
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佢通過自動程式、安卓系統、機械人
取代低薪嘅勞動力
09:19
The problem is
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問題係只要經濟同政治領域一直分離
09:20
that as long as the economic and the political spheres are separate,
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09:23
automation makes the twin peaks taller,
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自動化過程會令 兩座負債同閑錢嘅山峰更加高
09:28
the waste loftier
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加劇浪費,同埋加深社會矛盾
09:30
and the social conflicts deeper,
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09:32
including --
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我相信中國呢類地方會好快發生咁嘅事
09:34
soon, I believe --
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09:35
in places like China.
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09:38
So we need to reconfigure,
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因此我哋要改造
09:41
we need to reunite the economic and the political spheres,
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我哋要將經濟領域同政治領域拉返埋
09:44
but we'd better do it by democratizing the reunified sphere,
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方法就係將兩個領域民主化
09:50
lest we end up with a surveillance-mad hyperautocracy
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以免我哋最終生活喺 一個監控狂、超專制嘅制度下
09:55
that makes The Matrix, the movie, look like a documentary.
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如果唔係《駭客任務》電影 就好容易變成紀錄片
(笑聲)
10:00
(Laughter)
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10:01
So the question is not whether capitalism will survive
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問題唔係資本主義可以承受 自己帶嚟嘅科技創新
10:05
the technological innovations it is spawning.
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10:07
The more interesting question
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最令我感興趣嘅係
10:09
is whether capitalism will be succeeded by something resembling a Matrix dystopia
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資本主義會唔會畀《駭客任務》 入面嘅敵托邦取代
10:15
or something much closer to a Star Trek-like society,
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又或者好似《星際迷航》嘅社會取代
10:19
where machines serve the humans
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《星際迷航》裏面,機械服務人類
10:22
and the humans expend their energies exploring the universe
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而人類就擴張能量,探索星際
10:26
and indulging in long debates about the meaning of life
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同埋喺一啲類似 古雅典嘅高科技集會度
10:30
in some ancient, Athenian-like, high tech agora.
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喋喋不休咁討論人生意義
10:36
I think we can afford to be optimistic.
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我覺得我哋可以樂觀啲睇
10:41
But what would it take,
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但要擁有《星際迷航》嘅烏托邦 或者《駭客任務》嘅敵托邦
10:42
what would it look like
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10:44
to have this Star Trek-like utopia, instead of the Matrix-like dystopia?
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我哋要做啲咩呢?
10:50
In practical terms,
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等我略略講下幾個例子
10:51
allow me to share just briefly,
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10:53
a couple of examples.
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10:55
At the level of the enterprise,
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企業層面上,你可以想像一個資金市場
10:56
imagine a capital market,
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10:59
where you earn capital as you work,
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喺嗰度,你只要工作就可以賺取資金
11:02
and where your capital follows you from one job to another,
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即使你轉工、轉公司
你賺嘅資金都會跟住你
11:08
from one company to another,
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11:09
and the company --
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而每間公司都係由嗰度做嘢嘅人持有
11:11
whichever one you happen to work at at that time --
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11:14
is solely owned by those who happen to work in it at that moment.
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11:19
Then all income stems from capital, from profits,
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所有收入嚟自資本同利潤
11:24
and the very concept of wage labor becomes obsolete.
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僱傭概念最後會過時
11:28
No more separation between those who own but do not work in the company
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唔會再有人擁有但冇為公司工作
11:35
and those who work but do not own the company;
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或者冇擁有公司但為公司工作
11:38
no more tug-of-war between capital and labor;
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唔會再有資本階級 同勞動階級之間嘅鬥爭
11:42
no great gap between investment and saving;
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投資、儲蓄之間再唔會有大嘅差距
11:46
indeed, no towering twin peaks.
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亦再冇兩座高聳入雲嘅賃務同閑錢嘅山
11:50
At the level of the global political economy,
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至於全球政治型經濟層面
可以想像一下
11:53
imagine for a moment
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11:54
that our national currencies have a free-floating exchange rate,
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我哋國家貨幣同一個
由國際貨幣基金組織同 G20 峰會 代表全人類發行嘅全球性數碼貨幣
11:59
with a universal, global, digital currency,
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12:03
one that is issued by the International Monetary Fund,
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有自由浮動匯率
12:07
the G-20,
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12:09
on behalf of all humanity.
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12:11
And imagine further
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再想像下
12:12
that all international trade is denominated in this currency --
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所有國際貿易都用呢隻貨幣進行
12:17
let's call it "the cosmos,"
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我哋就稱佢為「宇宙幣」
12:19
in units of cosmos --
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12:21
with every government agreeing to be paying into a common fund
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每個政府都會根據自己國家 貿易逆差或者順差
12:26
a sum of cosmos units proportional to the country's trade deficit,
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向一個共同基金按比例投入宇宙幣
12:31
or indeed to a country's trade surplus.
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12:35
And imagine that that fund is utilized to invest in green technologies,
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想像呢個基金用嚟投資 全世界可再生能源科技
12:40
especially in parts of the world where investment funding is scarce.
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尤其投資到世界上資金唔到嘅地方
12:46
This is not a new idea.
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呢個唔係新構思
12:48
It's what, effectively, John Maynard Keynes proposed
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實際上,佢係由凱恩斯 1944 年
12:51
in 1944 at the Bretton Woods Conference.
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喺布列敦森林會議上提出嘅
12:56
The problem is
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問題係當時佢哋冇科技實現呢個理念
12:57
that back then, they didn't have the technology to implement it.
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13:00
Now we do,
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但依家我哋有啦
13:01
especially in the context of a reunified political-economic sphere.
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尤其當政治同經濟領域重新走埋一齊
13:08
The world that I am describing to you
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我描述梗嘅呢個世界同時係自由嘅
13:11
is simultaneously libertarian,
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13:13
in that it prioritizes empowered individuals,
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佢將被賜權力嘅人 同馬克思主義者擺喺首位
13:18
Marxist,
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13:19
since it will have confined to the dustbin of history
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因為咁樣
資本同勞動階層之間嘅分別 同埋凱恩斯主義
13:22
the division between capital and labor,
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13:25
and Keynesian,
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會消失喺歷史長河裏面
13:27
global Keynesian.
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13:30
But above all else,
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但總言之
13:31
it is a world in which we will be able to imagine an authentic democracy.
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呢個係一個我哋能夠 想像到真正民主嘅世界
13:37
Will such a world dawn?
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咁嘅世界會唔會出現呢?
13:40
Or shall we descend into a Matrix-like dystopia?
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或者我哋會淪落到好似 《黑客帝國》咁嘅反烏德邦?
13:44
The answer lies in the political choice that we shall be making collectively.
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答案就喺我哋大家 要做嘅政治決擇入面
13:49
It is our choice,
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呢個係我哋嘅選擇
13:51
and we'd better make it democratically.
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而我哋最好用民主方式決定
13:54
Thank you.
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多謝
13:55
(Applause)
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(掌聲)
14:01
Bruno Giussani: Yanis ...
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主持︰瓦魯法基斯⋯
14:03
It was you who described yourself in your bios as a libertarian Marxist.
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你喺自我介紹入面叫自己做 自由派馬克思主義者
14:10
What is the relevance of Marx's analysis today?
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咁分析馬克思主義 同現今世界有咩關係呢?
講者:如果我投先講嘅内容 有相關嘅地方
14:14
Yanis Varoufakis: Well, if there was any relevance in what I just said,
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咁馬克思主義就係有參考價值
14:17
then Marx is relevant.
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14:18
Because the whole point of reunifying the political and economic is --
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因為重新連起政治 同經濟領域嘅重點係
14:22
if we don't do it,
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如果我哋唔做
14:23
then technological innovation is going to create
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咁科技創新就會導致總需求大幅下跌
14:25
such a massive fall in aggregate demand,
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14:27
what Larry Summers refers to as secular stagnation.
272
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亦即係 Larry Summers 所講嘅經濟長期停滯
14:32
With this crisis migrating from one part of the world,
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隨住危機由世界某一度向外擴散
14:35
as it is now,
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就好似而家咁
14:37
it will destabilize not only our democracies,
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佢唔單止令我哋嘅民主制度唔穩定
14:39
but even the emerging world that is not that keen on liberal democracy.
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仲會沖擊唔係特别歡迎 自由民主嘅發展中國家
14:44
So if this analysis holds water, then Marx is absolutely relevant.
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如果呢個論述成立嘅話 咁馬克思主義絕對係相關嘅
而哈耶克論述都係
14:48
But so is Hayek,
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14:49
that's why I'm a libertarian Marxist,
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呢樣就係點解我係 自由派馬克思主義者
14:51
and so is Keynes,
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凱恩斯都係
14:52
so that's why I'm totally confused.
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所以我自己都係矇查查
14:54
(Laughter)
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(笑聲)
主持:確實係
14:56
BG: Indeed, and possibly we are too, now.
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但可能我哋依家都係咁添
14:58
(Laughter)
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(笑聲)
14:59
(Applause)
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1976
(掌聲)
15:01
YV: If you are not confused, you are not thinking, OK?
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講者︰如果你冇覺得困惑嘅話 即係代表你冇喺度思考。得唔得?
15:04
BG: That's a very, very Greek philosopher kind of thing to say --
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主持︰真係好希臘哲學家嘅講法
講者:應該係愛因斯坦至真
15:07
YV: That was Einstein, actually --
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主持:你提到新加坡同中國
15:09
BG: During your talk you mentioned Singapore and China,
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仲有琴晚喺演講嘉賓晚宴
15:11
and last night at the speaker dinner,
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15:13
you expressed a pretty strong opinion about how the West looks at China.
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你對西方點樣看待中國一事上 表達咗強烈嘅觀點
15:18
Would you like to share that?
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你想唔想同我哋講下?
15:20
YV: Well, there's a great degree of hypocrisy.
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講者:嗯,偽善嘅面孔有好多
15:23
In our liberal democracies, we have a semblance of democracy.
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而喺我哋自由民主制度之下
我哋有虛有其表嘅民主
15:27
It's because we have confined, as I was saying in my talk,
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因為正如我剛才所講
我哋框死咗民主喺政治領域裏面
15:30
democracy to the political sphere,
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15:32
while leaving the one sphere where all the action is --
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以致當去到經濟領域時
15:35
the economic sphere --
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所有動作都係唔民主嘅
15:36
a completely democracy-free zone.
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1840
15:39
In a sense,
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可以咁講
15:40
if I am allowed to be provocative,
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激進啲咁講
15:43
China today is closer to Britain in the 19th century.
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中國今時今日就好似 19 世紀嘅英國
15:48
Because remember,
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因為記得當時
15:49
we tend to associate liberalism with democracy --
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我哋將自由主義同民主唥埋一齊
15:51
that's a mistake, historically.
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但呢個係歷史上嘅錯誤
15:53
Liberalism, liberal, it's like John Stuart Mill.
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自由主義就好似 John Stuart Mill 所諗
John Stuart Mill 對民主進程特別懷疑
15:56
John Stuart Mill was particularly skeptical about the democratic process.
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16:00
So what you are seeing now in China is a very similar process
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5376
宜家你見到嘅中國 同工業革命時期嘅英國—
尤其是由第一次到第二次 工業革命過渡期嘅英國
16:06
to the one that we had in Britain during the Industrial Revolution,
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16:09
especially the transition from the first to the second.
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有一個非常相似嘅過程
16:12
And to be castigating China
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用西方社會 19 世紀 做過嘅事嚟斥責中國
16:15
for doing that which the West did in the 19th century,
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16:18
smacks of hypocrisy.
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實在太虚偽啦
16:21
BG: I am sure that many people here are wondering about your experience
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主持:我相信在座好多人都對你今年初
16:25
as the Finance Minister of Greece earlier this year.
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出任希臘財政部長嘅經歷好奇
16:27
YV: I knew this was coming.
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講者:我都知你會問呢個問題
16:29
BG: Yes.
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主持:冇錯
16:30
BG: Six months after,
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咁六個月之後,你點睇頭半年嘅經歷?
16:32
how do you look back at the first half of the year?
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2400
16:35
YV: Extremely exciting, from a personal point of view,
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講者:就我個人嚟講,係非常興奮
16:38
and very disappointing,
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亦非常失望
16:39
because we had an opportunity to reboot the Eurozone.
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因為我哋有機會重振歐元區
16:43
Not just Greece, the Eurozone.
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不單只希臘,而係歐元區
16:45
To move away from the complacency
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令成個區走出自滿
16:48
and the constant denial that there was a massive --
325
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同唔再拒絕承認…
16:51
and there is a massive architectural fault line
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宜家有一條結構性嘅裂痕 横跨成個歐元區
16:54
going through the Eurozone,
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16:56
which is threatening, massively, the whole of the European Union process.
328
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威脅到歐盟發展
17:00
We had an opportunity on the basis of the Greek program --
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我哋曾經喺希臘項目裏面 有咁嘅機會做好去
呢個希臘項目係第一個計劃 解决呢啲拒認嘅問題
17:04
which by the way,
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17:05
was the first program to manifest that denial --
331
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17:09
to put it right.
332
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不幸嘅係
17:11
And, unfortunately,
333
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1216
17:12
the powers in the Eurozone,
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歐元區嘅權勢
17:14
in the Eurogroup,
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歐元集團嘅權勢
仍然選擇繼續否認問題存在
17:16
chose to maintain denial.
336
1036079
1977
但你知道有嘢會發生
17:18
But you know what happens.
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17:19
This is the experience of the Soviet Union.
338
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蘇聯嘅經驗已經講咗畀我哋知
17:21
When you try to keep alive
339
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2495
如果你想令根本生存唔到嘅經濟系统
17:23
an economic system that architecturally cannot survive,
340
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3879
通過政治意願或者 威權主義嘅方式繼續生存
17:28
through political will and through authoritarianism,
341
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2655
你可能成功將佢延長壽命
17:31
you may succeed in prolonging it,
342
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1656
17:32
but when change happens
343
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1575
但係當改變來臨時
17:34
it happens very abruptly and catastrophically.
344
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事情就會好突然,而且災難性
主持︰你希望見到咩變化?
17:37
BG: What kind of change are you foreseeing?
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2007
講者:嗯,無容置疑
17:39
YV: Well, there's no doubt
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17:40
that if we don't change the architecture of the Eurozone,
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如果我哋唔改變歐元區嘅架構
歐元區係唔會有將來
17:43
the Eurozone has no future.
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17:44
BG: Did you make any mistakes when you were Finance Minister?
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主持:當你做希臘財長嗰時
你有冇做過錯誤嘅决定?
17:47
YV: Every day.
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講者:日日都有
主持:例如? 講者:任何人面對過去…
17:49
BG: For example? YV: Anybody who looks back --
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17:51
(Applause)
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(掌聲)
17:56
No, but seriously.
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唔係,認真咁講
17:57
If there's any Minister of Finance, or of anything else for that matter,
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如果有一位財政部長 或者其他部長同你講
18:01
who tells you after six months in a job,
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佢哋工作咗六個月之後
18:03
especially in such a stressful situation,
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尤其喺咁大壓力嘅情況底下 佢哋冇做錯過事嘅話
18:07
that they have made no mistake, they're dangerous people.
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呢種人其實好危險
18:09
Of course I made mistakes.
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當然,我有犯過錯
我最大錯誤就係喺二月尾
18:11
The greatest mistake was to sign the application
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18:13
for the extension of a loan agreement
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簽咗申請延長債務協議嘅申請書
18:16
in the end of February.
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18:17
I was imagining
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當時我以為債權方
18:18
that there was a genuine interest on the side of the creditors
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真係有興趣去搵一個共同利益
18:21
to find common ground.
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18:23
And there wasn't.
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但事實唔係咁
18:24
They were simply interested in crushing our government,
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佢哋嘅興趣係想打壓我哋嘅政府
原因係佢哋唔想處理 歐元區嗰條結構裂痕
18:27
just because they did not want
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18:28
to have to deal with the architectural fault lines
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18:31
that were running through the Eurozone.
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2016
18:33
And because they didn't want to admit
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同埋佢哋唔想承認
18:35
that for five years they were implementing a catastrophic program in Greece.
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佢哋過去五年對希臘 實施咗惡夢嘅計劃
我哋喺失去咗三分一嘅名義 GDP
18:39
We lost one-third of our nominal GDP.
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18:42
This is worse than the Great Depression.
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情況比起大蕭條時更加差
喺嗰班實施呢啲政策嘅債權人之中
18:44
And no one has come clean
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18:45
from the troika of lenders that have been imposing this policy
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無人可以置身事外到去講 「呢個係巨大嘅錯誤」
18:48
to say, "This was a colossal mistake."
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18:51
BG: Despite all this,
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主持︰除咗上述 除咗呢啲進取嘅言論
18:52
and despite the aggressiveness of the discussion,
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你似乎都同意歐洲一體化
18:55
you seem to be remaining quite pro-European.
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18:57
YV: Absolutely.
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講者:絕對係
18:58
Look, my criticism of the European Union and the Eurozone
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我之所以對歐盟同歐元區嘅批評
19:02
comes from a person who lives and breathes Europe.
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係因為我係一個歐洲人
19:07
My greatest fear is that the Eurozone will not survive.
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我最大嘅恐懼係 歐元區無法生存落去
19:11
Because if it doesn't,
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因為如果歐元區唔可以繼續走落去
19:12
the centrifugal forces that will be unleashed
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咁離心力就會被解放出嚟
19:15
will be demonic,
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就好似魔鬼咁解放
19:17
and they will destroy the European Union.
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最終會摧毀整個歐盟
19:19
And that will be catastrophic not just for Europe
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咁嘅惡果唔只對歐洲 對全球經濟都會產生嚴重影響
19:21
but for the whole global economy.
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19:23
We are probably the largest economy in the world.
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我哋可能係世界上最大嘅經濟體
19:27
And if we allow ourselves
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如果我哋容許自己 走返 30 年代嘅舊路
19:29
to fall into a route of the postmodern 1930's,
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19:32
which seems to me to be what we are doing,
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雖然我覺得 我哋依家就行緊咁嘅路
19:34
then that will be detrimental
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咁對歐洲人嘅未來 同埋歐洲以外嘅人嘅未來
19:36
to the future of Europeans and non-Europeans alike.
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都係不利嘅
19:40
BG: We definitely hope you are wrong on that point.
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主持:我哋真係好希望 呢點上面你係錯嘅
19:42
Yanis, thank you for coming to TED.
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瓦魯法基斯,多謝你嚟到 TED
講者:多謝
19:44
YV: Thank you.
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(掌聲)
19:45
(Applause)
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