Malcolm Gladwell: The strange tale of the Norden bombsight

1,680,745 views ・ 2011-10-26

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Prevodilac: Goran Repac Lektor: Ivana Korom
00:15
Thank you.
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Hvala vam.
00:17
It's a real pleasure to be here.
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Pravo je zadovoljstvo biti ovde.
00:19
I last did a TED Talk
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Posljednji put sam držao TED govor
00:21
I think about seven years ago or so.
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mislim, pre nekih sedam godina.
00:25
I talked about spaghetti sauce.
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Pričao sam o sosu za špagete.
00:28
And so many people, I guess, watch those videos.
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Pretpostavljam da mnogi gledaju te snimke.
00:31
People have been coming up to me ever since
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Ljudi mi od tada prilaze
00:33
to ask me questions about spaghetti sauce,
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da bi me pitali o sosu za špagete,
00:35
which is a wonderful thing in the short term --
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što je predivno, bar neko vreme
00:38
(Laughter)
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(Smeh)
00:40
but it's proven to be less than ideal
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ali se nije ispostavilo idilično
00:42
over seven years.
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tokom sedam godina.
00:44
And so I though I would come
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I tako sam pomislio da dođem
00:46
and try and put spaghetti sauce behind me.
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da probam da se rešim tog sosa za špagete.
00:49
(Laughter)
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(Smeh)
00:51
The theme of this morning's session is Things We Make.
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Tema ovog jutra su "Stvari koje pravimo"
00:54
And so I thought I would tell a story
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pa sam mislio da ispričam priču
00:56
about someone
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o nekome ko je napravio
00:58
who made one of the most precious objects
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jedan od najdragocenijih predmeta
01:00
of his era.
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svog doba.
01:02
And the man's name is Carl Norden.
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Njegovo ime je Karl Norden.
01:05
Carl Norden was born in 1880.
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Karl Norden se rodio 1880.
01:07
And he was Swiss.
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Bio je Švajcarac.
01:09
And of course, the Swiss can be divided
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I naravno, Švajcarce možemo podeliti
01:11
into two general categories:
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u dve kategorije:
01:13
those who make small, exquisite,
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na one koji prave male,
01:15
expensive objects
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izvanredne, skupe predmete
01:17
and those who handle the money
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i na one koji se bave novcem
01:19
of those who buy small, exquisite,
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onih koji kupuju male, izvanredne,
01:22
expensive objects.
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skupe predmete.
01:24
And Carl Norden is very firmly in the former camp.
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Karl Norden, nesumnjivo, spada u prvu grupu.
01:27
He's an engineer.
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On je inženjer.
01:29
He goes to the Federal Polytech in Zurich.
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On pohađa Federalni politehnički institut u Cirihu.
01:32
In fact, one of his classmates is a young man named Lenin
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Ustvari, jedan od njegovih kolega je mlad momak po imenu Lenjin
01:35
who would go on
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koji će kasnije
01:37
to break small, expensive, exquisite objects.
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razbijati male, skupe, izvanredne predmete.
01:41
And he's a Swiss engineer, Carl.
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Karl je švajcarski inženjer.
01:44
And I mean that in its fullest sense of the word.
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Mislim to u punom smislu reči.
01:47
He wears three-piece suits;
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On nosi trodelna odela,
01:49
and he has a very, very small, important mustache;
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i ima vrlo, vrlo mali, važni brk,
01:54
and he is domineering
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i arogantan je
01:56
and narcissistic
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i narcisoidan
01:58
and driven
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i motivisan
02:00
and has an extraordinary ego;
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i ima ogroman ego,
02:02
and he works 16-hour days;
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i radi 16 sati dnevno,
02:05
and he has very strong feelings about alternating current;
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i ima vrlo izražen stav o naizmeničnoj struji,
02:08
and he feels like a suntan is a sign of moral weakness;
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i misli da je preplanulost znak slabog morala,
02:12
and he drinks lots of coffee;
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i pije mnogo kafe,
02:14
and he does his best work
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i najbolje radi
02:16
sitting in his mother's kitchen in Zurich for hours
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sedeći u majčinoj kuhinji u Cirihu,
02:18
in complete silence
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satima u potpunoj tišini
02:20
with nothing but a slide rule.
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koristeći samo šiber.
02:22
In any case,
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Uglavnom,
02:24
Carl Norden emigrates to the United States
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Karl Norden emigrira u SAD
02:27
just before the First World War
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taman pred Prvi svetski rat
02:29
and sets up shop on Lafayette Street
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i bazira se u ulici Lafajet
02:31
in downtown Manhattan.
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u centru Menhetna.
02:33
And he becomes obsessed with the question
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I postaje opsednut pitanjem
02:35
of how to drop bombs from an airplane.
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kako bacati bombe iz aviona.
02:38
Now if you think about it,
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E sad, ako razmislite o tome,
02:40
in the age before GPS and radar,
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u doba pre GPS-a i radara,
02:43
that was obviously a really difficult problem.
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to je, očigledno, bio težak problem.
02:45
It's a complicated physics problem.
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To je komplikovan fizički problem.
02:47
You've got a plane that's thousands of feet up in the air,
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Imate avion na velikoj visini
02:50
going at hundreds of miles an hour,
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koji juri stotine kilometara na sat,
02:52
and you're trying to drop an object, a bomb,
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i pokušavate da ispustite predmet, bombu,
02:55
towards some stationary target
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usmerenu ka statičnoj meti
02:57
in the face of all kinds of winds and cloud cover
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uprkos raznim vetrovima i oblačnosti
03:00
and all kinds of other impediments.
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i kojekakvim drugim smetnjama.
03:02
And all sorts of people,
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I mnogi su,
03:04
moving up to the First World War and between the wars,
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pred Prvi svetski i između ratova,
03:06
tried to solve this problem,
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pokušavali da reše ovaj problem,
03:08
and nearly everybody came up short.
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i malo ko je uspeo.
03:10
The bombsights that were available
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Tadašnje nišanske sprave
03:12
were incredibly crude.
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su bile veoma primitivne.
03:14
But Carl Norden is really the one who cracks the code.
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Ali Karl Norden je zapravo taj koji rešava zagonetku.
03:17
And he comes up with this incredibly complicated device.
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On pravi veoma komplikovanu napravu.
03:20
It weighs about 50 lbs.
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Tešku oko 25 kg.
03:22
It's called the Norden Mark 15 bombsight.
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Zove se Norden Mark 15 nišanska sprava.
03:26
And it has all kinds of levers and ball-bearings
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I ima svakakve poluge i ležajeve
03:28
and gadgets and gauges.
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i kuke i kvake.
03:31
And he makes this complicated thing.
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I on konstruiše
03:34
And what he allows people to do
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tu komplikovanu stvar
03:36
is he makes the bombardier take this particular object,
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koja omogućava nišandžiji da odabere objekat,
03:40
visually sight the target,
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vizuelno izdvajajući metu,
03:42
because they're in the Plexiglas cone of the bomber,
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jer se nalazi u nosu bombardera koji je napravljen od pleksiglasa,
03:46
and then they plug in the altitude of the plane,
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i onda unosi visinu
03:49
the speed of the plane, the speed of the wind
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brzinu aviona i brzinu vetra
03:52
and the coordinates
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i koordinate
03:54
of the target.
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mete.
03:56
And the bombsight will tell him when to drop the bomb.
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I nišanska sprava će mu kazati kad da baci bombu.
04:00
And as Norden famously says,
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I kao što je Norden poznato izjavio,
04:03
"Before that bombsight came along,
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"Pre pronalaska nišanske sprave,
04:05
bombs would routinely miss their target
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bombe su uobičajeno promašivale metu
04:07
by a mile or more."
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za kilometar ili i više."
04:09
But he said, with the Mark 15 Norden bombsight,
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Ali, reče on, sa Mark 15 Norden nišanom,
04:12
he could drop a bomb into a pickle barrel
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moguće je ubaciti bombu u odžak
04:14
at 20,000 ft.
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sa 6000 metara.
04:16
Now I cannot tell you
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E sad, ne mogu da vam predstavim
04:18
how incredibly excited
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kakvo oduševljenje
04:20
the U.S. military was
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je u američkoj vojsci
04:22
by the news of the Norden bombsight.
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izazvala vest o Nordenovoj nišanskoj spravi.
04:25
It was like manna from heaven.
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Kao mana sa nebesa.
04:27
Here was an army
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Imamo jednu vojsku
04:29
that had just had experience in the First World War,
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koja samo što je iskusila Prvi svetski rat,
04:31
where millions of men
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gde su se milioni vojnika
04:33
fought each other in the trenches,
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međusobno borili po rovovima,
04:35
getting nowhere, making no progress,
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zakucani u mestu, ne napredujući,
04:37
and here someone had come up with a device
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i onda neko pronalazi napravu
04:41
that allowed them to fly up in the skies
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koja im omogućava da se vinu u nebo
04:43
high above enemy territory
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visoko iznad neprijateljske teritorije
04:45
and destroy whatever they wanted
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i da razore šta god žele
04:47
with pinpoint accuracy.
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neviđenom preciznošću.
04:49
And the U.S. military
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I američka vojska
04:51
spends 1.5 billion dollars --
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troši 1,5 milijardi dolara --
04:53
billion dollars in 1940 dollars --
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milijarda dolara po kursu iz 1940. --
04:56
developing the Norden bombsight.
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razvijajući Nordenovu nišansku spravu.
04:58
And to put that in perspective,
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I da stavimo stvari u perspektivu,
05:01
the total cost of the Manhattan project
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ukupna cena projekta Menhetn
05:03
was three billion dollars.
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je bila 3 milijarde dolara.
05:05
Half as much money was spent on this Norden bombsight
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Upola je potrošeno na Nordenov nišan
05:08
as was spent on the most famous military-industrial project
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od onoga što je potrošeno na najpoznatiji vojno-industrijski poduhvat
05:12
of the modern era.
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savremenog doba.
05:14
And there were people, strategists, within the U.S. military
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I bilo je ljudi, stratega, u američkoj vojsci
05:17
who genuinely thought that this single device
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koji su iskreno verovali da će
05:19
was going to spell the difference
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baš ta naprava učiniti prevagu
05:21
between defeat and victory
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između poraza i pobede
05:23
when it came to the battle against the Nazis
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u borbi protiv nacista
05:25
and against the Japanese.
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i protiv Japanaca.
05:27
And for Norden as well,
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I za Nordena je takođe,
05:29
this device had incredible moral importance,
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ova naprava imala neverovatnu moralnu težinu,
05:32
because Norden was a committed Christian.
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jer Norden je bio posvećeni hrišćanin.
05:34
In fact, he would always get upset
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U stvari, uvek bi se uzbudio
05:36
when people referred to the bombsight as his invention,
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kada su ljudi govorili o nišanu kao o njegovom izumu,
05:39
because in his eyes,
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jer u njegovim očima,
05:41
only God could invent things.
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samo bog je mogao da stvara.
05:43
He was simply the instrument of God's will.
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On je jednostavno bio instrument božije volje.
05:45
And what was God's will?
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A šta je to bog želeo?
05:47
Well God's will was that the amount of suffering in any kind of war
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Pa božija volja beše da količina patnje u bilo kakvom ratu
05:50
be reduced to as small an amount as possible.
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bude smanjena na najmanju moguću meru.
05:53
And what did the Norden bombsight do?
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I šta je Nordenova nišanska sprava činila?
05:55
Well it allowed you to do that.
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Pa omogućavala vam je baš to.
05:57
It allowed you to bomb only those things
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Omogućavala vam je da bombardujete samo ono
05:59
that you absolutely needed and wanted to bomb.
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što vam je bilo apsolutno nephodno i što ste želeli.
06:03
So in the years leading up to the Second World War,
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I tako, u godinama pred Drugi svetski rat,
06:06
the U.S. military buys 90,000
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američka vojska kupuje 90 hiljada
06:09
of these Norden bombsights
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tih Nordenovih nišana
06:11
at a cost of $14,000 each --
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po ceni od 14 hiljada dolara svaki --
06:13
again, in 1940 dollars, that's a lot of money.
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opet, po kursu iz 1940., to je mnogo para.
06:16
And they trained 50,000 bombardiers on how to use them --
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I obučili su 50 hiljada nišandžija da ih koriste --
06:19
long extensive, months-long training sessions --
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to su obimni, višemesečni treninzi --
06:23
because these things are essentially analog computers;
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jer to su u suštini analogni kompjuteri;
06:25
they're not easy to use.
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nisu prosti za upotrebu.
06:27
And they make every one of those bombardiers take an oath,
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I svaki od tih nišandžija se zakleo,
06:30
to swear that if they're ever captured,
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da u slučaju da bude zarobljen,
06:33
they will not divulge a single detail
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neće neprijatelju odati
06:35
of this particular device to the enemy,
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ni najmanju sitnicu o toj spravi,
06:37
because it's imperative the enemy not get their hands
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jer imperativ je da se neprijatelj ne dokopa
06:40
on this absolutely essential piece of technology.
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te apsolutno ključne tehnologije.
06:42
And whenever the Norden bombsight is taken onto a plane,
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I kadgod je Nordenova nišanska sprava unošena u avion,
06:45
it's escorted there by a series of armed guards.
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praćena je odredima naoružane straže.
06:48
And it's carried in a box with a canvas shroud over it.
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Nošena je u kutiji prekrivenoj platnenim pokrovom.
06:51
And the box is handcuffed to one of the guards.
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I kutija je bila lisicama vezana za jednog od stražara.
06:54
It's never allowed to be photographed.
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Nikada nije dozvoljeno da se fotografiše.
06:56
And there's a little incendiary device inside of it,
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I postojala je mala zapaljiva naprava unutar nje,
06:59
so that, if the plane ever crashes, it will be destroyed
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tako da se, ukoliko bi avion pao, uništi
07:02
and there's no way the enemy can ever get their hands on it.
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i ni u kom slučaju ne padne neprijatelju u ruke.
07:05
The Norden bombsight
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Nordenov nišan
07:07
is the Holy Grail.
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je Sveti Gral.
07:10
So what happens during the Second World War?
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I šta se dešava tokom Drugog svetskog rata?
07:13
Well, it turns out it's not the Holy Grail.
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Pa, ispostavlja se da to i nije Sveti Gral.
07:16
In practice, the Norden bombsight
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U praksi, Nordenov nišan
07:18
can drop a bomb into a pickle barrel at 20,000 ft.,
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može da ubaci bombu u odžak sa 6000 metara,
07:21
but that's under perfect conditions.
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ali samo u savršenim uslovima.
07:23
And of course, in wartime,
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I naravno, u ratu,
07:25
conditions aren't perfect.
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uslovi nisu savršeni.
07:27
First of all, it's really hard to use -- really hard to use.
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Prvo, stvarno ga je teško koristiti -- stvarno teško.
07:30
And not all of the people
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I nisu baš svi
07:32
who are of those 50,000 men who are bombardiers
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od tih 50 hiljada nišandžija
07:34
have the ability to properly program an analog computer.
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talentovani da pravilno programiraju analogni kompjuter.
07:38
Secondly, it breaks down a lot.
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Drugo, mnogo se kvari.
07:40
It's full of all kinds of gyroscopes and pulleys
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Prepun je raznih žiroskopa i čekrka
07:42
and gadgets and ball-bearings,
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i tih kuka i kvaka,
07:44
and they don't work as well as they ought to
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i ne funkcionišu baš tako dobro
07:46
in the heat of battle.
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kao što bi trebale u žaru borbe.
07:48
Thirdly, when Norden was making his calculations,
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Treće, kad je Norden pravio svoje proračune,
07:51
he assumed that a plane would be flying
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predviđao je da će avion leteti
07:53
at a relatively slow speed at low altitudes.
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relativno sporo i na maloj visini.
07:56
Well in a real war, you can't do that;
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Pa u ratu to ne možete,
07:58
you'll get shot down.
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oboriće vas.
08:00
So they started flying them at high altitudes at incredibly high speeds.
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I tako su počeli da lete jako visoko i jako brzo.
08:03
And the Norden bombsight doesn't work as well
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A Nordenova nišanska sprava
08:05
under those conditions.
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ne radi dobro u tim uslovima.
08:07
But most of all,
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Ali najbitnije,
08:09
the Norden bombsight required the bombardier
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Nordenova sprava je tražila od nišandžije
08:11
to make visual contact with the target.
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da vizuelno locira metu.
08:14
But of course, what happens in real life?
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Ali naravno, šta se dešava u stvarnom životu?
08:16
There are clouds, right.
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Tu su oblaci, da.
08:19
It needs cloudless sky to be really accurate.
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Za stvarnu preciznost je potrebno vedro nebo.
08:22
Well how many cloudless skies
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Pa koliko vedrog neba
08:24
do you think there were above Central Europe
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mislite da je bilo iznad centralne Evrope
08:26
between 1940 and 1945?
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između 1940. i 1945.?
08:29
Not a lot.
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Ne mnogo.
08:31
And then to give you a sense
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I da vam približim koliko je
08:33
of just how inaccurate the Norden bombsight was,
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neprecizan bio Nordenov nišan,
08:35
there was a famous case in 1944
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postoji poznat slučaj iz 1944.
08:37
where the Allies bombed a chemical plant in Leuna, Germany.
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kada su saveznici bombardovali hemijsku fabriku u Lojnu u Nemačkoj.
08:41
And the chemical plant comprised
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Ta fabrika je zauzimala
08:43
757 acres.
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307 hektara.
08:45
And over the course of 22 bombing missions,
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I tokom 22 bombarderske misije,
08:48
the Allies dropped 85,000 bombs
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saveznici su bacili 85 hiljada bombi
08:53
on this 757 acre chemical plant,
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na tih 307 hektara hemijske fabrike,
08:57
using the Norden bombsight.
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koristeći Nordenovu nišansku spravu.
09:00
Well what percentage of those bombs
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Pa šta mislite koliki procenat tih bombi
09:02
do you think actually landed
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je stvarno pao
09:04
inside the 700-acre perimeter of the plant?
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u tih 300 fabričkih hektara?
09:07
10 percent. 10 percent.
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10 posto. 10 procenata.
09:10
And of those 10 percent that landed,
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I od tih 10 procenata koji su pogodili,
09:12
16 percent didn't even go off; they were duds.
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16 posto se nije aktiviralo, bili su ćorci.
09:15
The Leuna chemical plant,
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Fabrika u Lojni je,
09:17
after one of the most extensive bombings in the history of the war,
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posle jednog od najvećih bombardovanja u istoriji rata,
09:20
was up and running within weeks.
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proradila u roku od nekoliko nedelja.
09:23
And by the way, all those precautions
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I usput, sva ona predostrožnost
09:25
to keep the Norden bombsight out of the hands of the Nazis?
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da Nordenov nišan ne dopadne nacistima?
09:28
Well it turns out
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Ispostavilo se da je,
09:30
that Carl Norden, as a proper Swiss,
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Karl kao pravi Švajcarac,
09:32
was very enamored of German engineers.
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bio opčinjen nemačkim inženjerima.
09:35
So in the 1930s, he hired a whole bunch of them,
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Pa je tako tokom 1930-ih, zaposlio gomilu,
09:37
including a man named Hermann Long
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uključujući i Hermana Longa
09:39
who, in 1938,
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koji je 1938.,
09:41
gave a complete set of the plans for the Norden bombsight to the Nazis.
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predao komplet planova za Nordenov nišan nacistima.
09:44
So they had their own Norden bombsight throughout the entire war --
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Tako da su i oni imali svoj Nordenov nišan kroz ceo rat--
09:47
which also, by the way, didn't work very well.
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koji takođe, usput, nije dobro radio.
09:50
(Laughter)
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(Smeh)
09:52
So why do we talk about the Norden bombsight?
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Pa zašto onda govorimo o Nordenovoj nišanskoj spravi?
09:55
Well because we live in an age
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Zato što živimo u dobu
09:57
where there are lots and lots
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sa mnogo, mnogo
09:59
of Norden bombsights.
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Nordenovih nišana.
10:01
We live in a time where there are all kinds
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Živimo u vreme gde ima svih fela
10:03
of really, really smart people
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stvarno, stvarno pametnih ljudi
10:05
running around, saying that they've invented gadgets
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koji jure, pričajući da su izumeli sprave
10:07
that will forever change our world.
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koje će zauvek promeniti naš svet.
10:09
They've invented websites that will allow people to be free.
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Izmislili su veb strane koje će ljudima doneti oslobođenje.
10:12
They've invented some kind of this thing, or this thing, or this thing
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Izmislili su nešto ovakvo ili onakvo ili ovakvo
10:16
that will make our world forever better.
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što će učiniti naš svet zauvek boljim.
10:19
If you go into the military,
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Ako se obratite vojsci,
10:21
you'll find lots of Carl Nordens as well.
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naći ćete takođe mnogo Karla Nordena.
10:23
If you go to the Pentagon, they will say,
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Ako se uputite u Pentagon, reći će vam,
10:25
"You know what, now we really can
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"Znate šta, sada stvarno možemo
10:27
put a bomb inside a pickle barrel
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da ubacimo bombu kroz odžak
10:29
at 20,000 ft."
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sa 6000 metara."
10:31
And you know what, it's true; they actually can do that now.
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I da znate, tačno je; stvarno to sad mogu da urade.
10:34
But we need to be very clear
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Ali mora da nam bude jasno
10:36
about how little that means.
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koliko to malo znači.
10:39
In the Iraq War, at the beginning of the first Iraq War,
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U Iračkom ratu, na početku prvog rata,
10:42
the U.S. military, the air force,
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američka vojska, vazduhoplovstvo,
10:44
sent two squadrons of F-15E Fighter Eagles
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je poslalo dve eskadrile F-15 bombardera
10:47
to the Iraqi desert
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u iračku pustinju
10:49
equipped with these five million dollar cameras
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opremljene kamerama od 5 miliona dolara
10:51
that allowed them to see the entire desert floor.
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koje su im omogućavale da vide celu pustinju.
10:54
And their mission was to find and to destroy --
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Njihova misija je bila da nađu i unište --
10:57
remember the Scud missile launchers,
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sećate se Skad raketa,
10:59
those surface-to-air missiles
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onih zemlja-vazduh projektila
11:01
that the Iraqis were launching at the Israelis?
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što su Iračani lansirali na Izraelce?
11:03
The mission of the two squadrons
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Misija te dve eskadrile
11:05
was to get rid of all the Scud missile launchers.
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je bila da se reše tih Skadovih lansera.
11:08
And so they flew missions day and night,
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I tako su leteli misije danonoćno,
11:10
and they dropped thousands of bombs,
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i bacili su hiljade bombi,
11:12
and they fired thousands of missiles
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i ispalili su hiljade raketa
11:15
in an attempt to get rid of this particular scourge.
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u pokušaju da se reše baš te određene napasti.
11:18
And after the war was over, there was an audit done --
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I posle rata, urađena je revizija --
11:20
as the army always does, the air force always does --
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kao što vojska uvek radi, vazduhoplovstvo uvek radi --
11:22
and they asked the question:
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i postavili su pitanje:
11:24
how many Scuds did we actually destroy?
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koliko smo Skadova stvarno uništili?
11:26
You know what the answer was?
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Znate li šta je bio odgovor?
11:28
Zero, not a single one.
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Nula, baš ni jedan.
11:30
Now why is that?
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A zašto to?
11:32
Is it because their weapons weren't accurate?
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Da li zato što su im oružja bila neprecizna?
11:34
Oh no, they were brilliantly accurate.
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O ne, bila su briljantno precizna.
11:37
They could have destroyed this little thing right here
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Mogli su da unište ovu malu stvar ovde
11:39
from 25,000 ft.
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sa 7000 metara.
11:41
The issue was they didn't know where the Scud launchers were.
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Problem je u tome što nisu znali gde su Skadovi.
11:45
The problem with bombs and pickle barrels
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Problem sa bombama i odžacima
11:48
is not getting the bomb inside the pickle barrel,
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nije u ubacivanju bombe u odžak
11:50
it's knowing how to find the pickle barrel.
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već u pronalaženju tog odžaka.
11:53
That's always been the harder problem
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To je uvek bio teži problem
11:55
when it comes to fighting wars.
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kad se ratuje.
11:57
Or take the battle in Afghanistan.
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Ili uzmimo bitku u Avganistanu.
12:00
What is the signature weapon
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Koje je oružje simbol
12:02
of the CIA's war in Northwest Pakistan?
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obaveštajnog rata u severozapadnom Pakistanu?
12:04
It's the drone. What is the drone?
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To je bespilotna letelica. A šta je to?
12:07
Well it is the grandson of the Norden Mark 15 bombsight.
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Pa to je unuk Norden Mark 15 nišanske sprave.
12:11
It is this weapon of devastating accuracy and precision.
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To je oružje razorne tačnosti i preciznosti.
12:15
And over the course of the last six years
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I tokom poslednjih 6 godina
12:17
in Northwest Pakistan,
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u severozapadnom Pakistanu,
12:20
the CIA has flown hundreds of drone missiles,
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CIA je koristila stotine bespilotnih letelica,
12:23
and it's used those drones
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i koristila ih je
12:25
to kill 2,000 suspected
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da ubije 2 hiljade sumnjivih
12:27
Pakistani and Taliban militants.
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pakistanskih i talibanskih boraca.
12:31
Now what is the accuracy of those drones?
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I kakva je preciznost tih bespilotnih letelica?
12:34
Well it's extraordinary.
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Izvanredna.
12:36
We think we're now at 95 percent accuracy
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Procenjujemo da smo sad na 95 posto tačnosti
12:39
when it comes to drone strikes.
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u napadima bespilotnim letelicama.
12:41
95 percent of the people we kill need to be killed, right?
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95 posto ljudi koje smo ubili, bilo je potrebno ubiti, da?
12:44
That is one of the most extraordinary records
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To je jedan od najizvanrednijih rezultata
12:46
in the history of modern warfare.
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u modernoj istoriji ratovanja.
12:48
But do you know what the crucial thing is?
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Ali da li znate šta je presudno?
12:50
In that exact same period
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U tom istom periodu
12:52
that we've been using these drones
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dok smo koristili bespilotne letelice
12:54
with devastating accuracy,
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sa razornom preciznošću,
12:56
the number of attacks, of suicide attacks and terrorist attacks,
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broj napada, samoubilačkih i terorističkih napada,
12:59
against American forces in Afghanistan
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protiv američkih snaga u Avganistanu
13:01
has increased tenfold.
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se udesetostručio.
13:04
As we have gotten more and more efficient
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Dok smo mi postajali
13:06
in killing them,
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sve efikasniji u ubijanju njih,
13:08
they have become angrier and angrier
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oni su postajali gnevniji i gnevniji
13:11
and more and more motivated to kill us.
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i sve motivisaniji da ubiju nas.
13:14
I have not described to you a success story.
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Nisam vam opisao priču o uspehu.
13:17
I've described to you
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Opisao sam vam
13:19
the opposite of a success story.
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suprotnost priče o uspehu.
13:21
And this is the problem
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I to je problem sa našom
13:23
with our infatuation with the things we make.
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opčinjenošću stvarima koje proizvodimo.
13:25
We think the things we make can solve our problems,
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Mislimo da će nam stvari rešiti probleme,
13:28
but our problems are much more complex than that.
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ali su naši problemi mnogo kompleksniji.
13:31
The issue isn't the accuracy of the bombs you have,
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U pitanju nije preciznost bombi koje imate
13:34
it's how you use the bombs you have,
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pitanje je kako koristite te bombe,
13:36
and more importantly,
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i još važnije,
13:38
whether you ought to use bombs at all.
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da li treba uopšte i da korisite bombe.
13:42
There's a postscript
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Postoji i post skriptum
13:44
to the Norden story
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toj priči
13:46
of Carl Norden and his fabulous bombsight.
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o Karlu Nordenu i njegovoj legendarnoj nišanskoj spravi.
13:49
And that is, on August 6, 1945,
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I to je, da je 6. avgusta 1945.,
13:52
a B-29 bomber called the Enola Gay
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bombarder B-29 poznat kao Enola Gej
13:55
flew over Japan
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leteo iznad Japana
13:57
and, using a Norden bombsight,
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i koristeći Nordenov nišan,
13:59
dropped a very large thermonuclear device
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ispustio veoma veliku
14:02
on the city of Hiroshima.
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termonuklearnu napravu na Hirošimu.
14:05
And as was typical with the Norden bombsight,
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I što je bilo tipično za Nordenov nišan,
14:08
the bomb actually missed its target by 800 ft.
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bomba je ustvari promašila metu za nekih 250 metara.
14:11
But of course, it didn't matter.
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Ali naravno, to nije bilo bitno.
14:14
And that's the greatest irony of all
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I to je najveća ironija od svega
14:16
when it comes to the Norden bombsight.
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u priči o Nordenovom nišanu.
14:19
the air force's 1.5 billion dollar bombsight
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Nišan ratnog vazduhoplovstva od 1,5 milijardi dolara
14:23
was used to drop its three billion dollar bomb,
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iskorišćen je da se baci bomba od 3 milijarde dolara,
14:27
which didn't need a bombsight at all.
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za šta nišan uopšte nije ni bio potreban.
14:30
Meanwhile, back in New York,
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Za to vreme, u Njujorku,
14:32
no one told Carl Norden
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niko nije rekao Karlu Nordenu
14:34
that his bombsight was used over Hiroshima.
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da je njegov nišan korišćen iznad Hirošime.
14:37
He was a committed Christian.
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On je bio posvećeni hrišćanin.
14:39
He thought he had designed something
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Mislio je da je stvorio nešto
14:41
that would reduce the toll of suffering in war.
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što će smanjiti teret patnje u ratu.
14:44
It would have broken his heart.
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To bi mu slomilo srce.
14:47
(Applause)
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(Aplauz)
About this website

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