The state of the climate crisis | Climate Action Tracker

Transcriber: Joseph Geni Reviewer: Joanna Pietrulewicz

Prevodilac: Marija Krsmanovic Lektor: Jasmina Sevo

In November 2015, 197 countries came together in Paris

U novembru 2015, predstavnici 197 zemalja su se sastali u Parizu

and agreed to pursue efforts

i dogovorili se da preduzmu korake

to limit the temperature increase on our planet to 1.5 degrees Celsius.

da ograniče povećanje temperature na našoj planeti na 1,5 stepeni celzijusa.

The Climate Action Tracker monitors the climate commitments

CAT, sistem za praćenje klimatskih aktivnosti, prati klimatsko zalaganje

and actions of 36 countries,

i akcije 36 zemalja,

totalling roughly 80 percent of today's global greenhouse gas emissions.

koje učestvuju sa oko 80 posto ukupnih današnjih emisija gasova staklene bašte.

Here's the bad news: those emissions are still rising

Evo loših vesti: ove emisije još uvek rastu

and have already warmed the globe by 1.1 degrees Celsius.

i već su zagrejale zemljinu kuglu za 1,1 stepen celzijusa.

The tracker makes two problems clear.

CAT jasno pokazuje da postoje dva problema.

First, countries have not set emissions targets

Prvo, države nisu postavile ciljne emisije

ambitious enough to reach the goals of the Paris Agreement.

dovoljno ambiciozno da bi dostigle ciljeve Pariskog sporazuma.

Even if every country hit their targets, the temperature would still increase

Čak i da svaka država dostigne svoj cilj, temperatura bi se ipak povećavala

by more than two degrees Celsius over the next 70 years,

za više od 2 stepena celzijusa tokom narednih 70 godina

and continue to rise into the 22nd century and beyond.

i nastavila bi da raste tokom 22. veka i kasnije.

Second, governments are simply not delivering

Drugo, vlade jednostavno ne postižu

even on their unambitious targets.

čak ni svoje neambiciozne ciljeve.

Everything these 36 countries have done so far,

Sve što je ovih 36 država uradilo do sada

and everything they are currently planning,

i sve što sad planiraju

will only slow the growth in emissions.

će samo usporiti emisiju gasova.

We need to do more than that.

Moramo da uradimo više od toga.

To have a hope of limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees,

Da bi ostala nada ograničenja globalnog zagrevanja na 1,5 stepeni,

we need to cut global emissions in half by 2030 and get to net zero by 2050.

moramo prepoloviti globalnu emisiju do 2030. i dovesti do nule do 2050.

Let's go through the numbers.

Hajde da analiziramo brojeve.

Of the 36 countries analyzed,

Od 36 analiziranih država,

only two are taking enough action to restrain global warming to 1.5 degrees.

samo dve preduzimaju dovoljno koraka

da ograniče globano zagrevanje na 1,5 stepeni.

The Gambia has pledged to reduce its emissions,

Gambija je obećala da će smanjiti svoju emisiju

despite being one of the developing countries

iako je jedna od zemalja u razvoju

that has contributed least to the problem.

koja je najmanje doprinela nastanku problema.

And Morocco is building more and more solar power.

A Maroko koristi sve više i više solarne energije.

Every other country is failing.

Svaka druga država ne uspeva.

2020 is the year national governments were supposed to come together

2020. je godina kada je trebalo da se vlade sastanu

and strengthen their targets.

i osnaže svoje ciljeve.

So far, only a few have done so while others have announced

Do sada, samo je nekoliko njih to uradilo dok su ostale najavile

they're sticking with their existing insufficient targets.

da će se držati dosadašnjih nedovoljnih ciljeva.

Now, some countries aren't too far behind The Gambia and Morocco,

Sada, neke države ne zaostaju mnogo za Gambijom i Marokom,

such as India and Kenya.

kao što su Indija i Kenija.

But the countries with the most advanced economies,

Ali države sa najrazvijenijim ekonomijama,

those with the greatest capacity to innovate and help others,

one koje imaju najveću mogućnost za inovacije i pomoć drugima

are shirking their responsibilities to lead.

izbegavaju svoju odgovornost da vode.

The United States is currently withdrawing from the Paris Agreement.

Sjedinjene Države se sada povlače iz Pariskog sporazuma.

Kina pokazuje obećavajuće znake:

China shows promise;

its pledge to balance out its carbon emissions by 2060

njeno obećanje da će izbalansirati svoje emisije ugljenika do 2060.

could save the world as much as 0.3 degrees Celsius of global warming.

bi moglo da spasi svetu oko 0,3 stepena globalnog zagrevanja.

But actions on the ground remain divided.

Ali koraci preduzeti u stvarnosti ostaju podeljeni.

China is the largest market for wind and solar power,

Kina je najveće tržište za vetar i solarnu energiju,

but also for new coal-fired power plants.

ali i za nove fabrike na ugalj.

And the EU is taking steps in the right direction

A EU preduzima korake u pravom smeru

with its green deal to make member countries more sustainable.

svojim zelenim dogovorom da bi zemlje članice bile održivije.

But this deal is still not enough for 1.5 degrees.

Ali ovaj dogovor i dalje nije dovoljan za 1,5 stepen.

So are there any signs of hope?

Da li ima znakova nade?

One key measure is a country's willingness to clean up electricity.

Jedna ključna mera je voljnost države da koristi čistu energiju.

Clean power can enable other sectors to reduce or eliminate emissions.

Čista energija može da omogući drugim sektorima da smanje ili eliminišu emisije.

More than 50 countries, 30 regions, 160 cities and 200 businesses

Više od 50 država, 30 regiona, 160 gradova i 200 firmi

have committed to 100 percent clean electricity.

su se obavezale da koriste 100 posto čistu energiju.

Denmark, Scotland and the state of South Australia

Danska, Škotska i Južna Australija

are almost there already,

su to skoro postigle,

but much of the world still needs to commit to, and accelerate,

ali veliki deo sveta još uvek treba da se posveti tome i ubrza

this energy transition.

ovaj prelazak na čistu energiju.

There's more good news in the transportation sector.

Ima još dobrih vesti u saobraćajnom sektoru.

More than 20 countries, five regions, 50 cities and 60 businesses

Više od 20 država, 5 regiona, 50 gradova i 60 firmi

have already committed to 100 percent emission-free cars,

su se već obavezale da koriste automobile koji su 100 posto bez emisija,

kao i motocikle i autobuse.

motorcycles and buses.

Norway is mandating the end of all sales of fossil fuel cars by 2025.

Norveška nalaže kraj prodaje automobila na fosilna goriva do 2025.

Meanwhile, the US is allowing companies

Istovremeno, SAD dozvoljavaju kompanijama

to make cars that don't travel as far on a gallon of gas,

proizvodnju auta koji ne voze sa više od četiri litre benzina,

rolling back fuel efficiency standards.

čime se vraćaju standardi efikasnosti goriva unatrag.

Drugi sektori, kao što je proizvodnja čelika i cementa

Other sectors, such as steel and cement-making

or aviation and shipping,

ili vazduhoplovstvo i pomorstvo,

are even further behind and trickier to clean up.

još više zaostaju i teže je poboljšati situaciju.

But some steel and cement companies are developing carbon-free production,

Ali neke firme za čelik i cement razvijaju proizvodnju bez ugljenika,

and Norway and Scotland are targeting carbon-free short-haul flights.

a Norveška i Škotska se usmeravaju na letove kratkih relacija bez ugljenika.

In November 2015, 197 countries came together in Paris

U novembru 2015. su se predstavnici 197 država sastali u Parizu

and set targets to fight climate change.

i postavili ciljeve za borbu protiv klimatskih promena.

These targets were already insufficient to reach the stated goal

Ti ciljevi su već bili nedovoljni da se dostigne ono što je zacrtano,

of limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius,

ograničavanje globalnog zagrevanja na 1,5 stepena celzijusa

and most are not on track to achieve even their own inadequate targets.

a većina njih nije na putu da ostvari čak ni te svoje neadekvatne ciljeve.

We need more ambitious targets and much more ambitious actions.

Trebaju nam ambiciozniji ciljevi i mnogo ambicioznije akcije.

In the next decade, we need to transform key sectors of the global economy

U narednoj deceniji treba da promenimo ključne sektore u globalnoj ekonomiji

in order to reduce emissions.

da bismo smanjili emisije.

These changes will be difficult but not impossible,

Ove promene će biti teške, ali ne i nemoguće,

because they will also bring enormous opportunities

zato što će, takođe, doneti ogromne prilike

like creating millions of jobs.

kao što je stvaranje miliona poslova.

And don't lose track of this key point:

I imajte na umu ovu ključnu stvar:

such a transformation will also mean cleaner air

takva promena takođe znači da će vazduh biti čistiji

and a safer, more stable climate for all.

i klima će biti bezbednija i stabilnija za sve.