The state of the climate crisis | Climate Action Tracker

Transcriber: Joseph Geni Reviewer: Joanna Pietrulewicz

翻译人员: TED Translators Admin 校对人员: Yanyan Hong

2015 年 11 月， 197 个国家齐聚巴黎 ，

一致同意继续努力

将全球升温控制在 1.5 摄氏度以内。

气候行动追踪系统 （Climate Action Tracker）监控着

In November 2015, 197 countries came together in Paris

36 个国家的气候承诺和行动。

这些国家的温室气体排放量

and agreed to pursue efforts

约占当今全球的 80% 。

to limit the temperature increase on our planet to 1.5 degrees Celsius.

这里有个坏消息： 那些排放量仍在增加，

The Climate Action Tracker monitors the climate commitments

并已使全球变暖了 1.1 摄氏度。

and actions of 36 countries,

追踪系统明确了两个问题。

totalling roughly 80 percent of today's global greenhouse gas emissions.

首先，各国设定的排放目标还不够远大，

Here's the bad news: those emissions are still rising

以至于无法实现《巴黎协定》 的目标。

and have already warmed the globe by 1.1 degrees Celsius.

即使每个国家都达到了目标，

气温在接下来的 70 年里

The tracker makes two problems clear.

仍将上升 2 摄氏度以上，

First, countries have not set emissions targets

并持续上升到 22 世纪及以后。

ambitious enough to reach the goals of the Paris Agreement.

Even if every country hit their targets, the temperature would still increase

其次，各国政府甚至根本没有兑现

它们自己雄心勃勃的目标。

by more than two degrees Celsius over the next 70 years,

这 36 个国家到目前为止所做的一切，

and continue to rise into the 22nd century and beyond.

以及它们目前正在计划的一切

只能减缓排放的增长。

Second, governments are simply not delivering

我们需要做的不止这些，

希望能将全球变暖控制在 1.5 摄氏度，

even on their unambitious targets.

Everything these 36 countries have done so far,

我们需要在 2030 年前 将全球排放量减少一半，

and everything they are currently planning,

并在 2050 年前实现零排放。

will only slow the growth in emissions.

让我们来看看这些数字。

We need to do more than that.

在分析的 36 个国家中，

To have a hope of limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees,

只有两个国家采取了足够的行动

we need to cut global emissions in half by 2030 and get to net zero by 2050.

将全球变暖控制在 1.5 摄氏度。

尽管冈比亚是要为加剧该问题

Let's go through the numbers.

承担最少责任的发展中国家之一，

Of the 36 countries analyzed,

它已承诺减少其排放量。

only two are taking enough action to restrain global warming to 1.5 degrees.

摩洛哥正在建造更多的太阳能，

其他国家都没有达到目标。

The Gambia has pledged to reduce its emissions,

2020 年各国政府应该 团结起来、强化目标的一年。

despite being one of the developing countries

that has contributed least to the problem.

And Morocco is building more and more solar power.

到目前为止，只有少数国家做到了，

而其他国家则宣布保持目前局限的目标。

Every other country is failing.

2020 is the year national governments were supposed to come together

现在，一些国家并不比 冈比亚和摩洛哥差太多，

比如印度和肯尼亚 。

and strengthen their targets.

但是那些经济最发达的国家，

So far, only a few have done so while others have announced

具有最顶尖创新能力 和帮助他人能力的国家，

they're sticking with their existing insufficient targets.

Now, some countries aren't too far behind The Gambia and Morocco,

却在逃避领导责任。

美国目前正在退出《巴黎协定》 。

such as India and Kenya.

中国承诺：要在 2060 年前， 平衡其碳排放量，

But the countries with the most advanced economies,

those with the greatest capacity to innovate and help others,

are shirking their responsibilities to lead.

这将挽救全球 0.3 摄氏度的升温。

The United States is currently withdrawing from the Paris Agreement.

但是在实际行动上仍存在分歧。

China shows promise;

中国是风电和太阳能发电的最大市场，

its pledge to balance out its carbon emissions by 2060

也是新建燃煤电厂的最大市场。

could save the world as much as 0.3 degrees Celsius of global warming.

欧盟正在朝着正确的方向采取措施

But actions on the ground remain divided.

通过其《绿色协议》 ，

以使成员国的可持续发展程度更高，

China is the largest market for wind and solar power,

但这一协议仍不足以 实现 1.5 摄氏度的目标。

but also for new coal-fired power plants.

那么，还有没有希望呢?

And the EU is taking steps in the right direction

关键的措施之一是 一个国家是否愿意清洁电力。

with its green deal to make member countries more sustainable.

清洁能源可以使其他产业 减少或消除排放。

But this deal is still not enough for 1.5 degrees.

超过 50 个国家、30 个地区，

So are there any signs of hope?

以及 160 个城市和 200 个企业

One key measure is a country's willingness to clean up electricity.

已承诺实现 100% 的清洁电力。

Clean power can enable other sectors to reduce or eliminate emissions.

丹麦 、苏格兰和南澳大利亚地区

More than 50 countries, 30 regions, 160 cities and 200 businesses

几乎已经达到了这一水平，

但世界上许多国家仍需致力于

并加快这种能源转型。

have committed to 100 percent clean electricity.

在交通领域有更多的好消息。

20 多个国家、5 个地区、

Denmark, Scotland and the state of South Australia

are almost there already,

50 个城市和 60 家企业已经承诺

but much of the world still needs to commit to, and accelerate,

实现汽车、摩托车 和公共汽车 100% 零排放。

this energy transition.

There's more good news in the transportation sector.

挪威规定到 2025 年

More than 20 countries, five regions, 50 cities and 60 businesses

结束所有化石燃料汽车的销售。

与此同时，美国允许企业

have already committed to 100 percent emission-free cars,

以制造出一加仑油 也跑不了多远的汽车，

motorcycles and buses.

降低了燃油效率标准。

Norway is mandating the end of all sales of fossil fuel cars by 2025.

其他行业诸如钢铁和水泥制造

或者航空和航运则更加滞后，

Meanwhile, the US is allowing companies

清理起来也更加棘手。

to make cars that don't travel as far on a gallon of gas,

但一些钢铁和水泥公司 正在开发无碳生产。

rolling back fuel efficiency standards.

挪威和苏格兰正瞄准无碳短途航线。

Other sectors, such as steel and cement-making

or aviation and shipping,

2015 年 11 月， 197 个国家齐聚巴黎，

are even further behind and trickier to clean up.

But some steel and cement companies are developing carbon-free production,

并制定了应对气候变化的目标。

这些目标已不足以把全球变暖

and Norway and Scotland are targeting carbon-free short-haul flights.

In November 2015, 197 countries came together in Paris

控制在 1.5 摄氏度的既定目标， 而且大多数国家甚至都没能

去实现它们自身的目标。

and set targets to fight climate change.

These targets were already insufficient to reach the stated goal

我们需要更雄心勃勃的目标，

以及更加雄心勃勃的行动。

of limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius,

在未来十年，我们需要对全球经济的

and most are not on track to achieve even their own inadequate targets.

关键领域进行转型以减少碳排放。

这些改变将是困难的，但并非难以实现，

We need more ambitious targets and much more ambitious actions.

因为它们也会带来巨大的机会，

比如创造数百万个就业机会，

In the next decade, we need to transform key sectors of the global economy

并且不要忘记：

in order to reduce emissions.

这种转变还将意味着 在一个更安全、更稳定的气候中

These changes will be difficult but not impossible,

让我们所有人拥有更清洁的空气。

because they will also bring enormous opportunities

like creating millions of jobs.

And don't lose track of this key point:

such a transformation will also mean cleaner air

and a safer, more stable climate for all.