Bastian Schaefer: A 3D-printed jumbo jet?

Prevodilac: Mile Živković Lektor: Miloš Milosavljević

What do we know about the future?

Šta znamo o budućnosti?

Difficult question, simple answer: nothing.

Teško pitanje, a jednostavan odgovor: ništa.

We cannot predict the future.

Ne možemo da predvidimo budućnost.

We only can create a vision of the future, how it might be,

Možemo samo da stvorimo viziju budućnosti, kako bi ona izgledala,

a vision which reveals disruptive ideas, which is inspiring,

viziju koja otkriva remetilačke ideje, koja inspiriše,

and this is the most important reason

i najbitniji je razlog

which breaks the chains of common thinking.

koji lomi lanac tradicionalnog razmišljanja.

There are a lot of people

Postoji puno ljudi

who created their own vision about the future,

koji su stvorili svoju viziju budućnosti,

for instance, this vision here from the early 20th century.

na primer ova vizija sa početka dvadesetog veka.

It says here that this is the ocean plane of the future.

Ovde piše da je to okeanski brod budućnosti.

It takes only one and a half days to cross the Atlantic Ocean.

Potrebno je samo jedan i po dan da se pređe Atlantski okean.

Today, we know that this future vision didn't come true.

Danas znamo da se ova vizija budućnosti nije obistinila.

So this is our largest airplane which we have,

Ovo je najveći avion koji postoji,

the Airbus A380, and it's quite huge,

Erbas A380, i prilično je velik,

so a lot of people fit in there

tako da tu stane dosta ljudi

and it's technically completely different

i tehnički je potpuno drugačiji

than the vision I've shown to you.

od vizije koju sam vam pokazao.

I'm working in a team with Airbus,

Radim u timu sa Erbasom

and we have created our vision

i stvorili smo našu viziju

about a more sustainable future of aviation.

o održivijoj budućnosti aerotransporta.

So sustainability is quite important for us,

Održivost je za nas veoma bitna,

which should incorporate social

i treba da uključuje društvene

but as well as environmental and economic values.

ali i ekološke i ekonomske vrednosti.

So we have created a very disruptive structure

Stvorili smo veoma remetilačku strukturu

which mimics the design of bone, or a skeleton,

koja imitira izgled kosti ili skeleta

which occurs in nature.

koji se javlja u prirodi.

So that's why it looks maybe a little bit weird,

Zbog toga možda izgleda pomalo čudno,

especially to the people who deal with structures in general.

naročito ljudima koji se bave strukturama u globalu.

But at least it's just a kind of artwork

Ali u najmanju ruku je vrsta umetničkog dela

to explore our ideas about a different future.

gde istražujemo naše ideje o drugačijoj budućnosti.

What are the main customers of the future?

Ko su glavne mušterije budućnosti?

So, we have the old, we have the young,

Imamo stare, imamo mlade,

we have the uprising power of women,

imamo rastuću moć žena,

and there's one mega-trend which affects all of us.

i tu je jedan veliki trend koji nas sve pogađa.

These are the future anthropometrics.

Ovo je antropometrija budućnosti.

So our children are getting larger, but at the same time

Naša deca postaju sve veća, ali u isto vreme

we are growing into different directions.

mi rastemo u raznim pravcima.

So what we need is space inside the aircraft,

Potreban nam je prostor unutar letelice,

inside a very dense area.

unutar veoma zbijenog prostora.

These people have different needs.

Ovi ljudi imaju drugačije potrebe.

So we see a clear need of active health promotion,

Vidimo jasnu potrebu za aktivnim promovisanjem zdravlja,

especially in the case of the old people.

naročito kod starijih ljudi.

We want to be treated as individuals.

Želimo da nas tretiraju kao pojedince.

We like to be productive throughout the entire travel chain,

Želimo da budemo produktivni tokom celog lanca putovanja,

and what we are doing in the future is

a u budućnosti će se desiti to

we want to use the latest man-machine interface,

da ćemo hteti da koristimo najnoviji interfejs između ljudi i mašina

and we want to integrate this and show this in one product.

i želimo da ovo integrišemo i pokažemo na jednom proizvodu.

So we combined these needs with technology's themes.

Ove potrebe smo kombinovali sa temama ove tehnologije.

So for instance, we are asking ourselves,

Na primer, zapitali smo se,

how can we create more light?

kako stvoriti više svetla?

How can we bring more natural light into the airplane?

Kako da u avion dovedemo više prirodnog svetla?

So this airplane has no windows anymore, for example.

Na primer, ovaj avion više nema prozore.

What about the data and communication software

A šta sa softverom za podatke i komunikaciju

which we need in the future?

koji će nam biti potrebni u budućnosti?

My belief is that the airplane of the future

Verujem da će avion budućnosti

will get its own consciousness.

imati sopstvenu svest.

It will be more like a living organism

Biće više kao živo biće

than just a collection of very complex technology.

nego kao skup veoma komplikovanih tehnologija.

This will be very different in the future.

Ovo će biti veoma drugačije u budućnosti.

It will communicate directly

Komuniciraće direktno

with the passenger in its environment.

sa putnikom u svom okruženju.

And then we are talking also about materials,

Tu je i priča o materijalima,

synthetic biology, for example.

na primer sintetička biologija.

And my belief is that we will get more and more

Verujem da ćemo dobijati sve više i više

new materials which we can put into structure later on,

novih materijala koje kasnije možemo da ugradimo u strukturu

because structure is one of the key issues in aircraft design.

jer struktura je jedno od ključnih pitanja u dizajnu letelica.

So let's compare the old world with the new world.

Uporedimo stari svet sa novim.

I just want to show you here what we are doing today.

Želim da vam pokažem šta radimo danas.

So this is a bracket of an A380 crew rest compartment.

Ovo je podupirač odeljka za naslon za posadu A380.

It takes a lot of weight,

On podnosi dosta težine

and it follows the classical design rules.

i prati pravila klasičnog dizajna.

This here is an equal bracket for the same purpose.

Ovo je jednak podupirač za istu upotrebu.

It follows the design of bone.

On prati formu kosti.

The design process is completely different.

Proces dizajniranja je potpuno drugačiji.

At the one hand, we have 1.2 kilos,

Sa jedne strane imamo 1,2 kilograma,

and at the other hand 0.6 kilos.

a sa druge 0,6 kilograma.

So this technology, 3D printing, and new design rules

Tako da ova tehnologija 3D štampe i nova pravila dizajna

really help us to reduce the weight,

nam zaista pomažu da smanjimo težinu,

which is the biggest issue in aircraft design,

što je najveći problem u dizajniranju letelica

because it's directly linked to greenhouse gas emissions.

jer je direktno povezan sa emisijom gasova staklene bašte.

Push this idea a little bit forward.

Odvedimo ovu ideju malo dalje.

So how does nature build its components and structures?

Kako priroda pravi svoje komponente i strukture?

So nature is very clever. It puts all the information

Priroda je veoma pametna. Sve informacije stavlja

into these small building blocks, which we call DNA.

u ove male gradivne blokove koje nazivamo DNK.

And nature builds large skeletons out of it.

Priroda od njih pravi velike skelete.

So we see a bottom-up approach here,

Ovde vidimo pristup odozdo nagore

because all the information, as I said, are inside the DNA.

jer je sva informacija unutar DNK, kao što sam rekao.

And this is combined with a top-down approach,

Ovo se kombinuje sa pristupom odozgo nadole,

because what we are doing in our daily life

jer u svom svakodnevnom životu

is we train our muscles, we train our skeleton,

treniramo svoje mišiće i svoj skelet

and it's getting stronger.

i oni postaju jači.

And the same approach can be applied to technology as well.

Isti pristup se može primeniti i na tehnologiju.

So our building block is carbon nanotubes, for example,

Naš gradivni materijal su, na primer, nanocevi ugljenika,

to create a large, rivet-less skeleton at the end of the day.

kako bi na kraju dana napravili veliki skelet bez nitni.

How this looks in particular, you can show it here.

Kako ovo tačno izgleda, možete videti ovde.

So imagine you have carbon nanotubes growing

Zamislite da imate nanocevi ugljenika koje rastu

inside a 3D printer,

unutar 3D štampača

and they are embedded inside a matrix of plastic,

i koje su ugrađene unutar plastične mreže

and follow the forces which occur in your component.

i prate sile koje se dešavaju u vašoj komponenti.

And you've got trillions of them.

I imate ih na bilione.

So you really align them to wood,

Poravnate ih sa drvetom

and you take this wood and make morphological optimization,

i uzmete to drvo i napravite morfološku optimizaciju

so you make structures, sub-structures,

i pravite strukture, podstrukture

which allows you to transmit electrical energy or data.

što vam omogućava da prenosite električnu energiju ili podatke.

And now we take this material, combine this

I sada uzimamo ovaj materijal, kombinujemo ovo

with a top-down approach,

sa pristupom odozgo nadole

and build bigger and bigger components.

i pravimo sve veće komponente.

So how might the airplane of the future look?

Kako bi mogao da izgleda avion budućnosti?

So we have very different seats which adapt

Imamo veoma drugačija sedišta koja se prilagođavaju

to the shape of the future passenger,

obliku putnika budućnosti,

with the different anthropometrics.

sa različitom antropometrijom.

We have social areas inside the aircraft

Imamo društvene zone unutar letelice

which might turn into a place

koje bi mogle da se pretvore u mesto

where you can play virtual golf.

gde možete igrati virtualni golf.

And finally, this bionic structure,

Konačno, ova bionička struktura

which is covered by a transparent

koja je pokrivrena providnom

biopolymer membrane, will really change radically

membranom od biopolimera, drastično će promeniti to

how we look at aircrafts in the future.

kako ćemo u budućnosti gledati na letelice.

So as Jason Silva said,

Kako je rekao Džejson Silva,

if we can imagine it, why not make it so?

ako nešto možemo da zamislimo, zašto ga ne bi i ostvarili?

See you in the future. Thank you.

Vidimo se u budućnosti. Hvala vam.

(Applause)

(Aplauz)