Bastian Schaefer: A 3D-printed jumbo jet?

125,922 views ・ 2013-07-29

TED


請雙擊下方英文字幕播放視頻。

譯者: Willy Feng 審譯者: Jessie Lee
00:12
What do we know about the future?
0
12381
1978
我們對於未來瞭解多少呢?
00:14
Difficult question, simple answer: nothing.
1
14383
3041
這問題很難,但答案很簡單︰「一無所知」
00:17
We cannot predict the future.
2
17448
2467
我們無法預知未來
00:19
We only can create a vision of the future, how it might be,
3
19939
4615
我們只能給未來一個願景,去想像未來的樣子
00:24
a vision which reveals disruptive ideas, which is inspiring,
4
24578
3309
富有破壞性創新的願景能激發靈感
00:27
and this is the most important reason
5
27911
2262
這就是打破一連串平凡無奇思維的重要原因
00:30
which breaks the chains of common thinking.
6
30197
3024
這就是打破一連串平凡無奇思維的重要原因
00:33
There are a lot of people
7
33245
1304
有許多人
00:34
who created their own vision about the future,
8
34573
2191
創造出他們自己心中未來的樣貌
00:36
for instance, this vision here from the early 20th century.
9
36788
3167
例如,這是廿世紀初期的願景
00:39
It says here that this is the ocean plane of the future.
10
39979
4036
在未來有種越洋的飛機
00:44
It takes only one and a half days to cross the Atlantic Ocean.
11
44039
3589
只需要一天半就能橫越大西洋
00:47
Today, we know that this future vision didn't come true.
12
47652
3477
今天我們知道這種想像並沒有成真
00:51
So this is our largest airplane which we have,
13
51153
2908
而這是現今最大的飛機
00:54
the Airbus A380, and it's quite huge,
14
54085
2775
空中巴士 A380,非常龐大
00:56
so a lot of people fit in there
15
56884
1524
能夠乘載許多人
00:58
and it's technically completely different
16
58432
2497
而在技術上完全不同於
01:00
than the vision I've shown to you.
17
60953
2187
剛剛給你們看過的想像圖
01:03
I'm working in a team with Airbus,
18
63164
1946
我在空中巴士裡的一個團隊
01:05
and we have created our vision
19
65134
1555
創造一個我們的願景
01:06
about a more sustainable future of aviation.
20
66713
2908
能永續經營的航空事業
01:09
So sustainability is quite important for us,
21
69645
2461
永續對我們很重要
這不僅應與社會價值聯結
01:12
which should incorporate social
22
72130
1750
01:13
but as well as environmental and economic values.
23
73904
3066
亦應與環保和經濟價值聯結
01:16
So we have created a very disruptive structure
24
76994
2882
所以我們創造了一種顛覆性的結構
01:19
which mimics the design of bone, or a skeleton,
25
79900
3584
這仿效了大自然中
骨頭或骨骼的設計
01:23
which occurs in nature.
26
83508
1701
01:25
So that's why it looks maybe a little bit weird,
27
85233
2286
因此這個可能看起來有點奇怪
01:27
especially to the people who deal with structures in general.
28
87543
3744
尤其對於那些了解結構的人
01:31
But at least it's just a kind of artwork
29
91311
2439
但至少這像是一件藝術品
01:33
to explore our ideas about a different future.
30
93774
5166
是對於不同未來的一種探索
01:38
What are the main customers of the future?
31
98964
2128
未來的乘客會是什麼樣子的?
01:41
So, we have the old, we have the young,
32
101116
1858
有年邁的、有年輕的、
01:42
we have the uprising power of women,
33
102998
2674
我們有日益升高的女性勢力
01:45
and there's one mega-trend which affects all of us.
34
105696
3979
還有一個影響所有人的重大趨勢
01:49
These are the future anthropometrics.
35
109699
2401
這是未來的人體體態
01:52
So our children are getting larger, but at the same time
36
112124
3468
小孩的身形愈來愈大,但同時
01:55
we are growing into different directions.
37
115616
2478
我們也向不同的方向成長
01:58
So what we need is space inside the aircraft,
38
118118
5660
所以我們需要在非常擁擠的機艙裡
02:03
inside a very dense area.
39
123802
2101
有更大的空間
02:05
These people have different needs.
40
125927
1714
這些人們有不同的需求
02:07
So we see a clear need of active health promotion,
41
127665
3534
所以我們看到積極推廣健康的明確需求
02:11
especially in the case of the old people.
42
131223
2648
尤其是老年人
02:13
We want to be treated as individuals.
43
133895
1846
我們希望有量身訂做的特別禮遇
02:15
We like to be productive throughout the entire travel chain,
44
135765
5469
我們希望整個旅程是富有成效的
02:21
and what we are doing in the future is
45
141258
2273
而我們正在做的就是
02:23
we want to use the latest man-machine interface,
46
143555
3156
在未來應用最新的人機介面
02:26
and we want to integrate this and show this in one product.
47
146735
4347
而且把這些全部整合在單一產品中
02:31
So we combined these needs with technology's themes.
48
151106
3418
所以我們以科技的題材結合所有的需求
02:34
So for instance, we are asking ourselves,
49
154548
2504
例如,我們自問要如何產生更多的光?
02:37
how can we create more light?
50
157076
2189
例如,我們自問要如何產生更多的光?
02:39
How can we bring more natural light into the airplane?
51
159289
2572
如何在機艙內有更多的自然光?
02:41
So this airplane has no windows anymore, for example.
52
161885
3350
以這飛機為例,它不再有窗戶的設計
02:45
What about the data and communication software
53
165259
2709
在未來我們需要哪些資訊和通訊軟體呢?
02:47
which we need in the future?
54
167992
1649
在未來我們需要哪些資訊和通訊軟體呢?
02:49
My belief is that the airplane of the future
55
169665
2877
我相信未來的飛機
02:52
will get its own consciousness.
56
172566
2109
會有自己的意識
02:54
It will be more like a living organism
57
174699
2455
它會更像是一個生命有機體
02:57
than just a collection of very complex technology.
58
177178
4398
而不是只是複雜工程的集合體
03:01
This will be very different in the future.
59
181600
2098
這在將來是非常大的改變
03:03
It will communicate directly
60
183722
1545
它會直接與機上的乘客交流
03:05
with the passenger in its environment.
61
185291
2856
它會直接與機上的乘客交流
03:08
And then we are talking also about materials,
62
188171
2143
再談到材枓
03:10
synthetic biology, for example.
63
190338
1896
像是合成生物學
03:12
And my belief is that we will get more and more
64
192258
3691
我相信接下來我們會有愈來愈多
03:15
new materials which we can put into structure later on,
65
195973
3678
應用在結構上的新材料
03:19
because structure is one of the key issues in aircraft design.
66
199675
4122
因為結構是飛機最關鍵的設計之一
03:23
So let's compare the old world with the new world.
67
203821
3248
讓我們比較一下新舊兩種世界
03:27
I just want to show you here what we are doing today.
68
207093
2524
讓你們看看我們的作法
03:29
So this is a bracket of an A380 crew rest compartment.
69
209641
3675
這是 A380 機組員休息艙的框架
03:33
It takes a lot of weight,
70
213340
1673
以傳統銑床方式設計,重量很重
03:35
and it follows the classical design rules.
71
215037
3127
以傳統銑床方式設計,重量很重
03:38
This here is an equal bracket for the same purpose.
72
218188
3627
而這裡是同樣功能的框架
03:41
It follows the design of bone.
73
221839
2125
但利用骨骼的設計方式
03:43
The design process is completely different.
74
223988
2496
設計過程是完全的不同
03:46
At the one hand, we have 1.2 kilos,
75
226508
2697
一個是 1.2 公斤
03:49
and at the other hand 0.6 kilos.
76
229229
1919
而另一個僅有 0.6 公斤
03:51
So this technology, 3D printing, and new design rules
77
231172
3243
這 3D 列印技術和新的設計方式
03:54
really help us to reduce the weight,
78
234439
1715
確實幫助我們減輕了重量
03:56
which is the biggest issue in aircraft design,
79
236178
2424
重量是設計飛機時最重要的議題
03:58
because it's directly linked to greenhouse gas emissions.
80
238626
2715
因為這和溫室氣體排放量有直接關係
04:01
Push this idea a little bit forward.
81
241365
1796
將這個想法加以延伸
04:03
So how does nature build its components and structures?
82
243185
4867
大自然如何建造它的元件和結構呢?
大自然很聰明,把所有的資訊
04:08
So nature is very clever. It puts all the information
83
248076
3017
04:11
into these small building blocks, which we call DNA.
84
251117
3173
全部放進一個小小的結構單元中,我們稱之為 DNA
04:14
And nature builds large skeletons out of it.
85
254314
2552
而大自然利用 DNA 建造大型的骨架
04:16
So we see a bottom-up approach here,
86
256890
2470
所以我們在這裡看到「由單元到總體」的模式
04:19
because all the information, as I said, are inside the DNA.
87
259384
3141
正如我說的,因為所有的訊息都在 DNA 當中
04:22
And this is combined with a top-down approach,
88
262549
2191
而這也結合了「由總體到單元」的模式
04:24
because what we are doing in our daily life
89
264764
2073
因為我們在每天的生活中
04:26
is we train our muscles, we train our skeleton,
90
266861
3081
我們鍛鍊肌肉和骨骼
04:29
and it's getting stronger.
91
269966
1976
使其愈發強壯
04:31
And the same approach can be applied to technology as well.
92
271966
2811
同樣的模式可以應用在工程中
04:34
So our building block is carbon nanotubes, for example,
93
274801
3362
例如,我們以碳奈米管為結構元件
04:38
to create a large, rivet-less skeleton at the end of the day.
94
278187
4242
用來完成建造一個無鉚釘的巨大骨架
04:42
How this looks in particular, you can show it here.
95
282453
3030
以下你可以看見這是如何辦到的
04:45
So imagine you have carbon nanotubes growing
96
285507
2110
想像碳奈米管
04:47
inside a 3D printer,
97
287641
1413
在 3D 印表機裡生成
04:49
and they are embedded inside a matrix of plastic,
98
289078
3175
嵌在一個塑膠的模型內
04:52
and follow the forces which occur in your component.
99
292277
3069
順著組件中的施力延伸
04:55
And you've got trillions of them.
100
295370
1719
數以兆計的碳奈米管
04:57
So you really align them to wood,
101
297113
2169
如森林般地聚結在一起
04:59
and you take this wood and make morphological optimization,
102
299306
3145
利用這群「森林」作形態上的最佳化
05:02
so you make structures, sub-structures,
103
302475
1935
可以用來當作傳輸
05:04
which allows you to transmit electrical energy or data.
104
304434
4009
電能或資訊的結構或次結構
05:08
And now we take this material, combine this
105
308467
2048
我們拿這個材料
05:10
with a top-down approach,
106
310539
1419
結合「由總體到單元」的模式
05:11
and build bigger and bigger components.
107
311982
3528
造出更巨大的元件
05:15
So how might the airplane of the future look?
108
315534
3021
所以,未來的飛機會是什麼樣子?
05:18
So we have very different seats which adapt
109
318579
2097
我們有非常特別的座椅
05:20
to the shape of the future passenger,
110
320700
1762
可以配合不同身形的乘客
05:22
with the different anthropometrics.
111
322486
1687
可以配合不同身形的乘客
05:24
We have social areas inside the aircraft
112
324197
2522
我們在飛機上可以有社交的空間
05:26
which might turn into a place
113
326743
2736
像是騰出一個區域
05:29
where you can play virtual golf.
114
329503
2176
打虛擬高爾夫球
05:31
And finally, this bionic structure,
115
331703
2439
最後,這個
覆蓋著一種透明生物高分子膜的仿生物結構
05:34
which is covered by a transparent
116
334166
2137
05:36
biopolymer membrane, will really change radically
117
336327
3840
將會徹底地
05:40
how we look at aircrafts in the future.
118
340191
2369
改變我們看待未來飛機的方式
05:42
So as Jason Silva said,
119
342584
2000
如 Jason Silva 所言
05:44
if we can imagine it, why not make it so?
120
344608
2499
「既然我們可以想像,那何不讓它成真?」
05:47
See you in the future. Thank you.
121
347131
1711
期待在未來與你相見,謝謝。
05:48
(Applause)
122
348866
4262
(掌聲)
關於本網站

本網站將向您介紹對學習英語有用的 YouTube 視頻。 您將看到來自世界各地的一流教師教授的英語課程。 雙擊每個視頻頁面上顯示的英文字幕,從那裡播放視頻。 字幕與視頻播放同步滾動。 如果您有任何意見或要求,請使用此聯繫表與我們聯繫。

https://forms.gle/WvT1wiN1qDtmnspy7