Why Brexit happened -- and what to do next | Alexander Betts

1,868,609 views ・ 2016-08-12

TED


Dvaput kliknite na engleske titlove ispod za reprodukciju videozapisa.

Prevoditelj: Marijana Vrankić Recezent: Ivan Stamenković
00:13
I am British.
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Ja sam Britanac.
00:15
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
00:17
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
00:20
Never before has the phrase "I am British" elicited so much pity.
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Nikad prije fraza "Ja sam Britanac" nije izvlačila toliko sažaljenja.
00:24
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
00:26
I come from an island where many of us like to believe
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Dolazim s otoka na kojemu mnogi od nas vole vjerovati
00:29
there's been a lot of continuity over the last thousand years.
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da postoji kontinuitet u posljednjih nekoliko tisuća godina.
00:33
We tend to have historically imposed change on others
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U povijesti smo nametali promjene drugima,
00:36
but done much less of it ourselves.
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ali malo smo ih učinili za sebe.
00:39
So it came as an immense shock to me
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Zbog toga sam doživio golem šok
00:41
when I woke up on the morning of June 24
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kad sam se probudio 24. lipnja
00:44
to discover that my country had voted to leave the European Union,
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i otkrio da je moja zemlja izglasala izlazak iz Europske unije,
00:48
my Prime Minister had resigned,
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premijer je dao ostavku,
00:50
and Scotland was considering a referendum
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a Škotska je razmišljala o referendumu
00:53
that could bring to an end the very existence of the United Kingdom.
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koji bi mogao dovesti do samog kraja postojanja Ujedinjenog Kraljevstva.
00:58
So that was an immense shock for me,
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Dakle, to je bio veliki šok za mene
01:01
and it was an immense shock for many people,
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i veliki šok za mnoge ljude,
01:05
but it was also something that, over the following several days,
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ali i ono što je, u proteklih nekoliko dana,
01:08
created a complete political meltdown
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stvorilo potpuno političko stapanje
01:11
in my country.
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u mojoj zemlji.
01:12
There were calls for a second referendum,
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Javila se želja za drugim referendumom,
01:15
almost as if, following a sports match,
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kao da pratimo sportsku utakmicu i možemo
01:17
we could ask the opposition for a replay.
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protivničku ekipu zamoliti za ponovno odigravanje.
01:20
Everybody was blaming everybody else.
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Svi su krivili svakoga.
01:23
People blamed the Prime Minister
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Ljudi su krivili premijera
01:24
for calling the referendum in the first place.
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za pozivanje na referendum.
01:27
They blamed the leader of the opposition for not fighting it hard enough.
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Krivili su predvodnika opozicije jer se nije dovoljno usprotivio.
01:30
The young accused the old.
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Mladi su optuživali stare.
01:31
The educated blamed the less well-educated.
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Obrazovani su okrivljavali manje obrazovane.
01:35
That complete meltdown was made even worse
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To potpuno stapanje sve je učinilo još gorim
01:38
by the most tragic element of it:
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najtragičnijim elementom:
01:40
levels of xenophobia and racist abuse in the streets of Britain
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nivo ksenofobije i rasističkog zlostavljanja na ulicama Britanije
01:44
at a level that I have never seen before
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koji nikad prije nisam doživio
01:46
in my lifetime.
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u svom životu.
01:49
People are now talking about whether my country is becoming a Little England,
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Ljudi razgovaraju o tome hoće li moja zemlja postati Little England
01:54
or, as one of my colleagues put it,
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ili, kako je to sročio jedan od mojih kolega,
01:56
whether we're about to become a 1950s nostalgia theme park
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hoćemo li postati nostalgični tematski park iz 1950-ih
02:00
floating in the Atlantic Ocean.
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koji pluta u Atlantskom oceanu.
02:02
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
02:05
But my question is really,
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No moje je pravo pitanje
02:08
should we have the degree of shock that we've experienced since?
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je li stupanj šoka koji smo iskusili zapravo opravdan?
02:13
Was it something that took place overnight?
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Je li ovo nešto što se dogodilo preko noći?
02:15
Or are there deeper structural factors that have led us to where we are today?
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Ili su nas dublji strukturalni faktori doveli do ovoga gdje smo danas?
02:20
So I want to take a step back and ask two very basic questions.
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Zato se želim vratiti jedan korak unazad i zapitati se 2 ključna pitanja.
02:24
First, what does Brexit represent,
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Prvo, što Brexit predstavlja,
02:27
not just for my country,
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ne samo za moju zemlju,
02:29
but for all of us around the world?
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već za sve nas u svijetu?
02:32
And second, what can we do about it?
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I drugo, što možemo učiniti?
02:35
How should we all respond?
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Kako bismo svi trebali odgovoriti?
02:37
So first, what does Brexit represent?
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Dakle, prvo. Što Brexit predstavlja?
02:40
Hindsight is a wonderful thing.
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Prekasno uviđanje predivna je stvar.
02:43
Brexit teaches us many things about our society
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Brexit nas uči mnogim stvarima o našem društvu
02:47
and about societies around the world.
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i o društvima u svijetu.
02:51
It highlights in ways that we seem embarrassingly unaware of
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Na neobične načine naglašava, ono čega smo sramotno nesvjesni,
02:54
how divided our societies are.
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koliko su podijeljena naša društva.
02:56
The vote split along lines of age, education, class and geography.
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Podjela po glasovanju duž godina, obrazovanja, klase i geografije.
03:03
Young people didn't turn out to vote in great numbers,
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Mladi nisu glasali u velikim brojevima,
03:06
but those that did wanted to remain.
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ali oni koji jesu, htjeli su ostati.
03:08
Older people really wanted to leave the European Union.
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Stariji su ljudi zbilja htjeli napustiti Europsku uniju.
03:12
Geographically, it was London and Scotland that most strongly committed
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Geografski, London i Škotska najstrože su se obvezali
03:15
to being part of the European Union,
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ostati dijelom Europske unije,
03:17
while in other parts of the country there was very strong ambivalence.
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dok je u ostalim dijelovima zemlje postojala snažna ambivalencija.
03:23
Those divisions are things we really need to recognize and take seriously.
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Takve podjele ono su što moramo prepoznati i shvatiti ozbiljno.
03:27
But more profoundly, the vote teaches us something
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I još dublje, glasanje nas poučava
03:30
about the nature of politics today.
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o prirodi politike u današnjici.
03:32
Contemporary politics is no longer just about right and left.
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Suvremena politika nije više o podjeli na ljevicu i desnicu.
03:36
It's no longer just about tax and spend.
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Nije više o porezima i troškovima.
03:39
It's about globalization.
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Već o globalizaciji.
03:41
The fault line of contemporary politics is between those that embrace globalization
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Linija kvara u suvremenoj politici je između onih koji zagovaraju globalizaciju
03:46
and those that fear globalization.
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i onih koji se globalizacije boje.
03:50
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
03:55
If we look at why those who wanted to leave --
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Ako pogledamo zašto oni koji su htjeli otići --
03:58
we call them "Leavers," as opposed to "Remainers" --
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zovemo ih "odlazitelji", nasuprot onih koji žele ostati --
04:00
we see two factors in the opinion polls
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vidimo dva faktora u istraživanju javnog mnijenja
04:03
that really mattered.
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koji su uistinu značajni.
04:04
The first was immigration, and the second sovereignty,
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Prvi je imigracija, a drugi suverenost,
04:07
and these represent a desire for people to take back control of their own lives
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oni predstavljaju želju ljudi da vrate kontrolu nad svojim životima
04:13
and the feeling that they are unrepresented by politicians.
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i osjećaj da ih političari ne predstavljaju uistinu.
04:18
But those ideas are ones that signify fear and alienation.
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Te ideje predstavljaju strah i otuđenje.
04:23
They represent a retreat back towards nationalism and borders
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Predstavljaju povlačenje prema nacionalizmu i granicama
04:29
in ways that many of us would reject.
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na način koji mnogi od nas odbijaju.
04:31
What I want to suggest is the picture is more complicated than that,
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Ono što želim predložiti jest puno kompliciranija slika,
04:34
that liberal internationalists,
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kako liberalni internacionalisti
04:36
like myself, and I firmly include myself in that picture,
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poput mene, a čvrsto se ubrajam u tu sliku,
04:39
need to write ourselves back into the picture
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moraju sebe ponovno staviti u sliku
04:42
in order to understand how we've got to where we are today.
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kako bismo razumjeli kako smo stigli tu gdje jesmo danas.
04:47
When we look at the voting patterns across the United Kingdom,
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Kada pogledamo uzorke glasača diljem Ujedinjenog Kraljevstva,
04:50
we can visibly see the divisions.
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lako uočavamo podjele.
04:53
The blue areas show Remain
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Plava područja označavaju ostanak,
04:55
and the red areas Leave.
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a crvena izlazak.
04:57
When I looked at this,
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Kad sam ovo pogledao,
04:59
what personally struck me was the very little time in my life
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ono što me osobno pogodilo jest mala količina vremena u životu
05:02
I've actually spent in many of the red areas.
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koju sam zbilja proveo u crvenim područjima.
05:06
I suddenly realized that, looking at the top 50 areas in the UK
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Iznenada sam shvatio, gledajući top 50 područja u UK
05:11
that have the strongest Leave vote,
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koja imaju najviše glasova za izlazak,
05:13
I've spent a combined total of four days of my life in those areas.
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ukupno sam proveo 4 dana svog života u tim područjima.
05:19
In some of those places,
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U nekim tim mjestima
05:21
I didn't even know the names of the voting districts.
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nisam čak znao ni imena glasačkih okruga.
05:24
It was a real shock to me,
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Bio je to pravi šok za mene,
05:26
and it suggested that people like me
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a značilo je da ljudi poput mene
05:28
who think of ourselves as inclusive, open and tolerant,
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koji se smatraju inkluzivnima, otvorenima i tolerantnima,
05:32
perhaps don't know our own countries and societies
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možda ni ne poznaju vlastitu zemlju i društvo
05:35
nearly as well as we like to believe.
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onoliko koliko volimo vjerovati da je tako.
05:38
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
05:48
And the challenge that comes from that is we need to find a new way
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Izazov koji nam se javlja jest u pronalasku novog načina
05:52
to narrate globalization to those people,
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prenošenja globalizacije tim ljudima,
05:55
to recognize that for those people who have not necessarily been to university,
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prepoznavanju da ti ljudi koji nisu nužno pohađali sveučilište,
05:59
who haven't necessarily grown up with the Internet,
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koji nisu nužno odrasli uz internet,
06:01
that don't get opportunities to travel,
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koji nemaju mnogo prilika za putovanja,
06:04
they may be unpersuaded by the narrative that we find persuasive
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njih možda nije uvjerilo ono što mi smatramo uvjerljivim
06:07
in our often liberal bubbles.
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u našim često liberalnim mjehurićima.
06:10
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
06:15
It means that we need to reach out more broadly and understand.
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To samo znači da moramo dohvatiti šire područje i razumjeti.
06:19
In the Leave vote, a minority have peddled the politics of fear and hatred,
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U glasovima za izlazak, manjina je prčkala s politikom straha i mržnje
06:25
creating lies and mistrust
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stvarajući laži i nepovjerenje
06:28
around, for instance, the idea that the vote on Europe
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poput ideje da bi glas za Europu
06:31
could reduce the number of refugees and asylum-seekers coming to Europe,
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mogao smanjiti broj izbjeglica i tražitelja skloništa u Europi
06:35
when the vote on leaving had nothing to do with immigration
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dok glas za izlazak nije imao ništa sa samom imigracijom
06:38
from outside the European Union.
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izvan Europske unije.
06:41
But for a significant majority of the Leave voters
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No, za značajnu većinu glasača za izlazak iz EU
06:44
the concern was disillusionment with the political establishment.
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najveća je briga bilo razočaranje političkog kadra.
06:48
This was a protest vote for many,
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To je bio glas protesta za mnoge,
06:50
a sense that nobody represented them,
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osjećaj da ih nitko ne predstavlja,
06:53
that they couldn't find a political party that spoke for them,
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da ne mogu pronaći političku stranku koja će govoriti u njihovo ime,
06:56
and so they rejected that political establishment.
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zbog toga su i odbili taj politički kadar.
07:01
This replicates around Europe and much of the liberal democratic world.
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Ovo se javlja diljem Europe, pa i u liberalnom demokratskom svijetu.
07:06
We see it with the rise in popularity of Donald Trump in the United States,
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Vidimo to u rastu popularnosti Donalda Trumpa u SAD-u,
07:11
with the growing nationalism of Viktor Orbán in Hungary,
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u rastućem nacionalizmu Viktora Orbána u Mađarskoj,
07:15
with the increase in popularity of Marine Le Pen in France.
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u porastu popularnosti Marine Le Pen u Francuskoj.
07:20
The specter of Brexit is in all of our societies.
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Spektar Brexita je u svim našim društvima.
07:25
So the question I think we need to ask is my second question,
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Pitanje koje moramo postaviti je sljedeće,
07:28
which is how should we collectively respond?
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kako kolektivno odgovoriti na to?
07:31
For all of us who care about creating liberal, open, tolerant societies,
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Za sve nas koji želimo stvoriti liberalna, otvorena i tolerantna društva,
07:37
we urgently need a new vision,
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hitno trebamo novu viziju,
07:39
a vision of a more tolerant, inclusive globalization,
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viziju tolerantnije i inkluzivnije globalizacije
07:43
one that brings people with us rather than leaving them behind.
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koja zbližava ljude s nama, umjesto da ih ostavlja.
07:48
That vision of globalization
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Takva vizija globalizacije
07:50
is one that has to start by a recognition of the positive benefits of globalization.
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je ona koja mora započeti prepoznavanjem pozitivnih značajki globalizacije.
07:55
The consensus amongst economists
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Dogovor između ekonomista
07:58
is that free trade, the movement of capital,
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jest da slobodna razmjena, kretanje kapitala,
08:00
the movement of people across borders
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kretanje ljudi preko granica,
08:02
benefit everyone on aggregate.
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doprinosi svima.
08:05
The consensus amongst international relations scholars
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Slaganje međunarodnih stipendista
08:08
is that globalization brings interdependence,
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jest da globalizacija donosi međuovisnost
08:10
which brings cooperation and peace.
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koja dovodi do suradnje i mira.
08:13
But globalization also has redistributive effects.
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Ali globalizacija ima i redistributivne efekte.
08:18
It creates winners and losers.
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Stvara pobjednike i gubitnike.
08:21
To take the example of migration,
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Na primjeru migracije,
08:23
we know that immigration is a net positive for the economy as a whole
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znamo da je imigracija neto pozitivna za ekonomiju u cjelinu
08:26
under almost all circumstances.
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u skoro svim okolnostima.
08:30
But we also have to be very aware
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Ali također moramo biti svjesni
08:33
that there are redistributive consequences,
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da postoje redistributivne posljedice,
08:36
that importantly, low-skilled immigration
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da najvažnije, loše izvedena imigracija
08:39
can lead to a reduction in wages for the most impoverished in our societies
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može dovesti do smanjenja plaća za najviše osiromašene u našem društvu
08:44
and also put pressure on house prices.
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te dovesti do pritiska na cijenama kuća.
08:46
That doesn't detract from the fact that it's positive,
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To ne umanjuje činjenicu da je ona pozitivna,
08:48
but it means more people have to share in those benefits
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ali znači da više ljudi mora dijeliti koristi
08:51
and recognize them.
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te ih ujedno prepoznavati.
08:55
In 2002, the former Secretary-General of the United Nations, Kofi Annan,
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U 2002. godini, prijašnji glavni tajnik Ujedinjenih Naroda, Kofi Annan,
09:00
gave a speech at Yale University,
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održao je govor na Sveučilištu Yale
09:03
and that speech was on the topic of inclusive globalization.
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i taj je govor bio o inkluzivnoj globalizaciji.
09:07
That was the speech in which he coined that term.
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U tom je govoru i skovao taj termin.
09:10
And he said, and I paraphrase,
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Rekao je, parafraziram,
09:12
"The glass house of globalization has to be open to all
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"Staklena kuća globalizacije mora biti otvorena za sve
09:18
if it is to remain secure.
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ako želi ostati sigurna.
09:21
Bigotry and ignorance
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Netrpeljivost i neznanje
09:24
are the ugly face of exclusionary and antagonistic globalization."
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ružno su lice ekskluzivne i antagonističke globalizacije."
09:31
That idea of inclusive globalization was briefly revived in 2008
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Ideja inkluzivne globalizacije sažeto je revidirana 2008. godine
09:36
in a conference on progressive governance
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na konferenciji o naprednoj vladavini
09:38
involving many of the leaders of European countries.
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uključujući mnoge čelnike europskih zemalja.
09:43
But amid austerity and the financial crisis of 2008,
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Međutim, zbog štednje i financijske krize u 2008. g.
09:47
the concept disappeared almost without a trace.
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cijeli je koncept nestao gotovo bez traga.
09:50
Globalization has been taken to support a neoliberal agenda.
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Globalizacija sada podržava neoliberalni dnevni red.
09:54
It's perceived to be part of an elite agenda
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Percipira se kao dio elitnoga,
09:57
rather than something that benefits all.
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a ne kao nešto što doprinosi svima.
10:00
And it needs to be reclaimed on a far more inclusive basis
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Potrebno ju je povratiti na puno inkluzivnijoj osnovi
10:03
than it is today.
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od one na kojoj je danas.
10:05
So the question is, how can we achieve that goal?
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Dakle, pitanje je kako možemo postići taj cilj.
10:09
How can we balance on the one hand addressing fear and alienation
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Kako možemo uravnotežiti s jedne strane strah i otuđenje,
10:14
while on the other hand refusing vehemently
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a s druge ljuto odbijanje
10:17
to give in to xenophobia and nationalism?
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ksenofobije i nacionalizma?
10:21
That is the question for all of us.
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To je pitanje za sve nas.
10:23
And I think, as a social scientist,
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A ja, kao sociolog, mislim
10:25
that social science offers some places to start.
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da je sociologija mjesto za dobar početak.
10:29
Our transformation has to be about both ideas and about material change,
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Naša promjena mora obuhvatiti ideje, ali i materijalne promjene,
10:34
and I want to give you four ideas as a starting point.
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a želim vam dati 4 ideje kao početnu točku.
10:37
The first relates to the idea of civic education.
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Prva je vezana za ideju građanskog obrazovanja.
10:42
What stands out from Brexit
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Ono što nastaje od Brexita
10:44
is the gap between public perception and empirical reality.
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jest praznina između javnog mnijenja i empirijske stvarnosti.
10:48
It's been suggested that we've moved to a postfactual society,
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Spominje se da smo napredovali do posliječinjeničnog društva,
10:52
where evidence and truth no longer matter,
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gdje iznenada dokazi i istina nisu važni,
10:54
and lies have equal status to the clarity of evidence.
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a laži imaju jednak status kao i jasnoća dokaza.
10:58
So how can we --
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Dakle, kako možemo --
11:00
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
11:02
How can we rebuild respect for truth and evidence into our liberal democracies?
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Kako možemo izgraditi poštivanje istine i dokaza u liberalnoj demokraciji?
11:08
It has to begin with education,
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Moramo započeti s obrazovanjem,
11:10
but it has to start with the recognition that there are huge gaps.
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s prepoznavanjem da postoje velike praznine.
11:14
In 2014, the pollster Ipsos MORI
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U 2014. pollster Ipsos MORI
11:18
published a survey on attitudes to immigration,
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objavio je pregled mišljenja o imigraciji
11:21
and it showed that as numbers of immigrants increase,
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te pokazao da s rastućim brojem imigranata
11:26
so public concern with immigration also increases,
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raste i interes javnosti za imigraciju,
11:29
although it obviously didn't unpack causality,
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iako to očito ne dokazuje uzročnost,
11:31
because this could equally be to do not so much with numbers
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jer ovo nema toliko veze sa samim brojevima,
11:34
but the political and media narrative around it.
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već s političkom i medijskom pričom.
11:37
But the same survey also revealed
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Međutim, isti je pregled otkrio
11:41
huge public misinformation
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veliko dezinformiranje javnosti
11:43
and misunderstanding about the nature of immigration.
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i nerazumijevanje prirode imigracije.
11:47
For example, in these attitudes in the United Kingdom,
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Na primjer, u Ujedinjenom Kraljevstvu,
11:50
the public believed that levels of asylum
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javnost je vjerovala da je broj utočišta
11:53
were a greater proportion of immigration than they were,
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veći od broja imigranata,
11:56
but they also believed the levels of educational migration
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a vjerovali su i da je broj migracija povezanih s obrazovanjem
12:00
were far lower as a proportion of overall migration
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puno niži u cjelokupnoj migraciji
12:03
than they actually are.
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nego što je to uistinu.
12:05
So we have to address this misinformation,
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Dakle, moramo otkriti dezinformacije,
12:07
the gap between perception and reality on key aspects of globalization.
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prazninu između percepcije i stvarnosti kao ključni aspekt globalizacije.
12:12
And that can't just be something that's left to our schools,
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I to ne može biti nešto što će se odnositi samo na škole,
12:15
although that's important to begin at an early age.
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iako je važno započeti s tim u ranoj dobi.
12:17
It has to be about lifelong civic participation
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Naglasak treba biti na životnom građanskom sudjelovanju
12:20
and public engagement that we all encourage as societies.
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i javnom uključivanju koje svi potičemo u našem društvu.
12:26
The second thing that I think is an opportunity
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Sljedeća stvar za koju vjerujem da je prilika za nas
12:28
is the idea to encourage more interaction across diverse communities.
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jest ideja ohrabrivanja interakcije između raznih zajednica.
12:33
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
12:37
One of the things that stands out for me very strikingly,
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Jedna od stvari koja je veoma upadljiva,
12:40
looking at immigration attitudes in the United Kingdom,
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promatrajući stvavove o imigraciji u Ujedinjenom Kraljevstvu,
12:43
is that ironically, the regions of my country
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jest, ironično, da regije u mojoj zemlji
12:46
that are the most tolerant of immigrants
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koje su najtolerantnije prema imigrantima
12:48
have the highest numbers of immigrants.
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imaju najveći broj imigranata.
12:51
So for instance, London and the Southeast have the highest numbers of immigrants,
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Na primjer, London i Jugoistok imaju najveći broj imigranata,
12:55
and they are also by far the most tolerant areas.
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a ujedno su i najtolerantnija područja.
12:58
It's those areas of the country that have the lowest levels of immigration
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Ona područja u zemlji koja imaju najniže nivoe imigracije
13:02
that actually are the most exclusionary and intolerant towards migrants.
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zapravo su najviše isključujuća i netolerantna prema migrantima.
13:07
So we need to encourage exchange programs.
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Dakle, treba poticati programe razmjene.
13:09
We need to ensure that older generations who maybe can't travel
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Potrebno je starijim generacijama koje možda ne mogu putovati
13:13
get access to the Internet.
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osigurati pristup internetu.
13:15
We need to encourage, even on a local and national level,
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Potrebno je osigurati, barem na lokalnom i nacionalnom nivou,
13:18
more movement, more participation,
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više kretanja, više uključivanja,
13:20
more interaction with people who we don't know
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više interakcije s ljudima koje ne poznajemo
13:22
and whose views we might not necessarily agree with.
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i s čijim se pogledima možda nećemo nužno slagati.
13:26
The third thing that I think is crucial, though,
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Treća je stvar presudna,
13:29
and this is really fundamental,
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i najtemeljitija,
13:31
is we have to ensure that everybody shares
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potrebno je osigurati svima mogućnost da dijele
13:33
in the benefits of globalization.
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koristi globalizacije.
13:36
This illustration from the Financial Times post-Brexit is really striking.
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Ilustracije iz Financial Timesa o post-Brexitu su veoma upadljive.
13:41
It shows tragically that those people who voted to leave the European Union
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Pokazuju da su oni koji su glasali za izlazak iz EU, tragično
13:45
were those who actually benefited the most materially
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oni koji su najviše profitirali materijalno
13:47
from trade with the European Union.
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iz razmjene s Europskom unijom.
13:51
But the problem is that those people in those areas
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Problem je u tome što ljudi u tim područjima
13:53
didn't perceive themselves to be beneficiaries.
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sebe ne percipiraju kao one koji imaju koristi.
13:56
They didn't believe that they were actually getting access
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Nisu vjerovali da su imali pristup
13:59
to material benefits of increased trade and increased mobility around the world.
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materijalnoj koristi i povećanoj razmjeni te povećanoj mobilnosti diljem svijeta.
14:05
I work on questions predominantly to do with refugees,
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Uglavnom se bavim pitanjima vezanim uz izbjeglice
14:09
and one of the ideas I spent a lot of my time preaching,
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i jedna od ideja o kojoj sam mnogo govorio,
14:12
mainly to developing countries around the world,
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uglavnom diljem svijeta u zemljama u razvoju,
14:15
is that in order to encourage the integration of refugees,
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jest da, kako bismo ohrabrili integraciju izbjeglica,
14:18
we can't just benefit the refugee populations,
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ne možemo doprinositi samo populaciji izbjeglica,
14:21
we also have to address the concerns of the host communities in local areas.
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već imati na umu i brige domaćih zajednica u lokalnim područjima.
14:27
But in looking at that,
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Gledajući na to,
14:28
one of the policy prescriptions is that we have to provide
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jedan od političkih recepata jest osigurati
14:31
disproportionately better education facilities, health facilities,
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disproporcionalno bolje obrazovne ustanove, zdravstvene ustanove,
14:35
access to social services
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pristup socijalnim službama,
14:37
in those regions of high immigration
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u regijama imigracije
14:39
to address the concerns of those local populations.
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kako bismo imenovali probleme lokalne populacije.
14:42
But while we encourage that around the developing world,
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Međutim, dok to potičemo u razvijenim zemljama,
14:45
we don't take those lessons home
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ne preuzimamo te lekcije doma
14:46
and incorporate them in our own societies.
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i ne uključujemo ih u svoje društvo.
14:50
Furthermore, if we're going to really take seriously
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Nadalje, ako ćemo uzeti za ozbiljno
14:53
the need to ensure people share in the economic benefits,
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potrebu osiguravanja ljudima dijeljenje ekonomskih dobara,
14:56
our businesses and corporations need a model of globalization
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naše tvrtke i korporacije trebaju model globalizacije
15:00
that recognizes that they, too, have to take people with them.
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koji prepoznaje da i oni moraju uključiti ljude.
15:05
The fourth and final idea I want to put forward
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Četvrta i posljednja ideja koju želim istaknuti
15:08
is an idea that we need more responsible politics.
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jest ideja da nam je potrebna odgovorna politika.
15:12
There's very little social science evidence
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Malo je socioloških dokaza
15:15
that compares attitudes on globalization.
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koji uspoređuju stavove o globalizaciji.
15:18
But from the surveys that do exist,
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Ali iz istraživanja koja postoje,
15:20
what we can see is there's huge variation across different countries
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možemo uočiti veliku razliku između različitih zemalja
15:25
and time periods in those countries
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i vremenskih perioda u tim zemljama
15:27
for attitudes and tolerance
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za stavove i toleranciju
15:29
of questions like migration and mobility on the one hand
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o pitanju migracije i mobilnosti s jedne strane
15:32
and free trade on the other.
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te slobodne razmjene s druge.
15:34
But one hypothesis that I think emerges from a cursory look at that data
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Ali jedna hipoteza koja proizlazi iz pogleda na te podatke
15:40
is the idea that polarized societies are far less tolerant of globalization.
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jest ideja da su polarizirana društva manje tolerantna prema globalizaciji.
15:46
It's the societies like Sweden in the past,
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Društva poput Švedske u prošlosti,
15:49
like Canada today,
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poput Kanade danas,
15:50
where there is a centrist politics,
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u kojima postoji centralistička politika,
15:52
where right and left work together,
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u kojima desnica i ljevica surađuju,
15:54
that we encourage supportive attitudes towards globalization.
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potiču se i stavovi potpore prema globalizaciji.
15:58
And what we see around the world today is a tragic polarization,
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Ono što danas vidimo diljem svijeta jest tragična polarizacija,
16:02
a failure to have dialogue between the extremes in politics,
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neuspjeh u uspostavljanju dijaloga između ekstrema u politici,
16:05
and a gap in terms of that liberal center ground
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i praznina u pojmovima liberalnog centra
16:08
that can encourage communication and a shared understanding.
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koji može potaknuti komunikaciju i međusobno razumijevanje.
16:12
We might not achieve that today,
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Možda to nećemo postići danas,
16:13
but at the very least we have to call upon our politicians and our media
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međutim, moramo pozvati sve političare i medije
16:17
to drop a language of fear and be far more tolerant of one another.
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da otpuste jezik straha i budu tolerantniji jedni prema drugima.
16:21
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
16:29
These ideas are very tentative,
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Ove su ideje privremene,
16:32
and that's in part because this needs to be an inclusive and shared project.
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zato što ovo dijelom mora biti inkluzivni projekt.
16:38
I am still British.
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Još sam uvijek Britanac.
16:40
I am still European.
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Još sam uvijek Europljanin.
16:43
I am still a global citizen.
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Još sam uvijek globalni građanin.
16:47
For those of us who believe
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Za one od nas koji vjeruju
16:49
that our identities are not mutually exclusive,
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da naši identiteti nisu međusobno isključivi,
16:53
we have to all work together
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moramo raditi svi zajedno
16:56
to ensure that globalization takes everyone with us
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da bismo osigurali da nas globalizacije sve povede
17:00
and doesn't leave people behind.
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i ne ostavi nikoga od nas.
17:02
Only then will we truly reconcile democracy and globalization.
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Samo ćemo tada moći pomiriti demokraciju i globalizaciju.
17:07
Thank you.
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Hvala vam.
17:09
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
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