What I learned from 2,000 obituaries | Lux Narayan

166,218 views ・ 2017-03-23

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Prevoditelj: Tilen Pigac - EFZG Recezent: Ivan Stamenković
00:12
Joseph Keller used to jog around the Stanford campus,
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Joseph Keller je običavao trčati po Stanford sveučilištu,
00:16
and he was struck by all the women jogging there as well.
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i bio je zaprepašten svim ženama koje su isto trčale tamo.
00:21
Why did their ponytails swing from side to side like that?
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Zašto im se repovi ljuljaju od strane na stranu ovako?
00:25
Being a mathematician, he set out to understand why.
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Budući da je matematičar, krenuo je razumjeti zašto.
00:28
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
00:30
Professor Keller was curious about many things:
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Profesor Keller je bio znatiželjan o mnogo stvari:
00:32
why teapots dribble
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zašto čajnici kapaju
00:34
or how earthworms wriggle.
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ili kako se crvi migolje.
00:36
Until a few months ago, I hadn't heard of Joseph Keller.
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Do prije nekoliko mjeseci, nisam čuo za Josepha Kellera.
00:40
I read about him in the New York Times,
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Čitao sam o njemu u New York Timesu,
00:43
in the obituaries.
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u osmrtnicama.
00:44
The Times had half a page of editorial dedicated to him,
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The Times je imao pola stranice uvodnika posvećenog njemu,
00:48
which you can imagine is premium space for a newspaper of their stature.
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što možete zamisliti je premijski prostor za novine njihovog stasa.
00:53
I read the obituaries almost every day.
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Čitam osmrtnice gotovo svaki dan.
00:56
My wife understandably thinks I'm rather morbid
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Moja supruga razumljivo misli kako sam prilično morbidan
00:59
to begin my day with scrambled eggs and a "Let's see who died today."
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što počinjem dan sa kajganom i "Da vidimo tko je umro danas."
01:03
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
01:05
But if you think about it,
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Ali ako razmislite o tome,
01:07
the front page of the newspaper is usually bad news,
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naslovnice novina obično nose loše vijesti,
01:10
and cues man's failures.
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i niže čovjekove neuspjehe.
01:12
An instance where bad news cues accomplishment
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Instanca gdje loše vijesti nižu postignuća
01:15
is at the end of the paper, in the obituaries.
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je na kraju novina, u osmrtnicama.
01:19
In my day job,
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U svom normalnom poslu,
01:20
I run a company that focuses on future insights
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vodim tvrtku koja se fokusira na buduće uvide
01:23
that marketers can derive from past data --
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koje marketingaši mogu izvući iz prošlih podataka --
01:25
a kind of rearview-mirror analysis.
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nešto poput "retrovizor" analize.
01:28
And we began to think:
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I počeli smo razmišljati:
01:30
What if we held a rearview mirror to obituaries from the New York Times?
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Što kada bismo držali retrovizor osmrtnicama iz New York Times-a?
01:36
Were there lessons on how you could get your obituary featured --
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Je li bilo lekcije o tome kako bi mogli imati vašu osmrtnicu u novinama --
01:39
even if you aren't around to enjoy it?
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čak i ako niste prisutni da uživate ​​u njoj?
01:41
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
01:43
Would this go better with scrambled eggs?
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Bi li to bolje išlo sa kajganom?
01:45
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
01:47
And so, we looked at the data.
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I tako smo gledali u podatke.
01:51
2,000 editorial, non-paid obituaries
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2.000 neplaćenih osmrtnica u uvodniku
01:56
over a 20-month period between 2015 and 2016.
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kroz period od 20 mjeseci između 2015. i 2016. godine.
01:59
What did these 2,000 deaths -- rather, lives -- teach us?
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Što nas je tih 2.000 smrtnih slučajeva -- odnosno, života - naučilo?
02:04
Well, first we looked at words.
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Pa, prvo smo gledali u riječi.
02:06
This here is an obituary headline.
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Ovo ovdje je naslov osmrtnice.
02:08
This one is of the amazing Lee Kuan Yew.
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Ova je od nevjerojatnog Lee Kuan Yew-a.
02:10
If you remove the beginning and the end,
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Ako uklonite početak i kraj,
02:13
you're left with a beautifully worded descriptor
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ostanete s lijepom oblikovanim opisom
02:16
that tries to, in just a few words, capture an achievement or a lifetime.
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koji pokušava, u samo nekoliko riječi, uhvatiti postignuća ili cijeli život.
02:21
Just looking at these is fascinating.
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Samo posmatranje toga je fascinantno.
02:24
Here are a few famous ones, people who died in the last two years.
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Evo nekoliko poznatih, ljudi koji su umrli u posljednje dvije godine.
02:27
Try and guess who they are.
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Pokušajte i pogodite tko su oni.
02:28
[An Artist who Defied Genre]
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[Umjetnik koji je Prkosio Žanru]
02:30
That's Prince.
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To je Prince.
02:32
[Titan of Boxing and the 20th Century]
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[Titan boksa i 20. stoljeća]
02:34
Oh, yes.
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Oh, da.
02:35
[Muhammad Ali]
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[Muhammad Ali]
02:36
[Groundbreaking Architect]
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[Revolucionarna Arhitektica]
02:38
Zaha Hadid.
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Zaha Hadid.
02:40
So we took these descriptors
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Uzeli smo te opise
02:42
and did what's called natural language processing,
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i učinili ono što se zove obrada prirodnog jezika,
02:44
where you feed these into a program,
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gdje ubacite ove u program,
02:46
it throws out the superfluous words --
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on izbaci suvišne riječi --
02:48
"the," "and," -- the kind of words you can mime easily in "Charades," --
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"je," "i," -- one riječi koje možete lako oponašati u "igri pantomime," --
02:52
and leaves you with the most significant words.
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i ostavlja vas s najznačajnijim riječima.
02:55
And we did it not just for these four,
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I to smo učinili ne samo za ova četiri,
02:56
but for all 2,000 descriptors.
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već za svih 2.000 opisa.
02:59
And this is what it looks like.
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I ovako to izgleda.
03:02
Film, theatre, music, dance and of course, art, are huge.
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Film, kazalište, glazba, ples i naravno, umjetnost, su ogromne.
03:08
Over 40 percent.
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Preko 40 posto.
03:10
You have to wonder why in so many societies
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Morate se zapitati zašto u svim tim društvima
03:12
we insist that our kids pursue engineering or medicine or business or law
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inzistiramo da naša djeca nastave sa inženjerstvom ili medicinom ili pravom
03:17
to be construed as successful.
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kako bi ih oslovili kao uspješne.
03:19
And while we're talking profession,
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I dok govorimo o profesiji,
03:21
let's look at age --
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pogledajmo dob --
03:22
the average age at which they achieved things.
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prosječna dob u kojoj su postigli stvari.
03:25
That number is 37.
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Ta brojka je 37.
03:28
What that means is, you've got to wait 37 years ...
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Što to znači je da morate čekati 37 godina ...
03:31
before your first significant achievement that you're remembered for --
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prije prvog značajnog postignuća po kojem ćete biti zapamćeni --
03:35
on average --
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u prosjeku --
03:36
44 years later, when you die at the age of 81 --
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44 godine kasnije, kada umrete u dobi od 81 godine --
03:38
on average.
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u prosjeku.
03:40
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
03:41
Talk about having to be patient.
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To je strpljivost.
03:42
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
03:43
Of course, it varies by profession.
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Naravno, varira od profesije do profesije.
03:46
If you're a sports star,
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Ako ste sportaš,
03:47
you'll probably hit your stride in your 20s.
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vjerojatno ćete ostvariti postignuća u svojim 20-ima.
03:49
And if you're in your 40s like me,
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A ako ste u svojim 40-ima poput mene,
03:52
you can join the fun world of politics.
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možete se pridružiti zabavnom svijetu politike.
03:54
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
03:55
Politicians do their first and sometimes only commendable act in their mid-40s.
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Političari postignu svoje prvo, a nekad i jedino pohvalno djelo u srednjim 40-ima.
03:59
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
04:00
If you're wondering what "others" are,
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Ako se pitate kakvi su "drugi,"
04:02
here are some examples.
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evo nekoliko primjera.
04:04
Isn't it fascinating, the things people do
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Nije li fascinantno, stvari koje ljudi rade
04:06
and the things they're remembered for?
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i stvari po kojima ostaju zapamćeni?
04:08
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
04:11
Our curiosity was in overdrive,
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Naša znatiželja je prešla granicu
04:13
and we desired to analyze more than just a descriptor.
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i željeli smo analizirati više od samog opisa.
04:18
So, we ingested the entire first paragraph of all 2,000 obituaries,
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Dakle, stavili smo cijeli prvi stavak svih 2.000 osmrtnica,
04:23
but we did this separately for two groups of people:
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ali to smo napravili odvojeno za dvije skupine ljudi:
04:26
people that are famous and people that are not famous.
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ljude koji su slavni i ljude koji nisu slavni.
04:29
Famous people -- Prince, Ali, Zaha Hadid --
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Slavni ljudi -- Prince, Ali, Zaha Hadid --
04:32
people who are not famous are people like Jocelyn Cooper,
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ljudi koji nisu slavni su ljudi poput Jocelyn Cooper,
04:36
Reverend Curry
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velečasnog Currya
04:37
or Lorna Kelly.
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ili Lorne Kelly.
04:38
I'm willing to bet you haven't heard of most of their names.
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Spreman sam se kladiti kako niste čuli većinu njihovih imena.
04:41
Amazing people, fantastic achievements, but they're not famous.
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Nevjerojatni ljudi, fantastični uspjesi, ali nisu poznati.
04:46
So what if we analyze these two groups separately --
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Pa što ako analiziramo ove dvije skupine zasebno --
04:49
the famous and the non-famous?
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slavne i ne-slavne?
04:50
What might that tell us?
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Što bi nam to moglo reći?
04:52
Take a look.
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Pogledajte.
04:56
Two things leap out at me.
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Dvije stvari su iskočile.
04:58
First:
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Prva:
04:59
"John."
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"John."
05:01
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
05:03
Anyone here named John should thank your parents --
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Svatko ovdje sa imenom John bi trebao zahvaliti svojim roditeljima --
05:07
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
05:08
and remind your kids to cut out your obituary when you're gone.
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i podsjetiti svoju djecu da izrežu vašu osmrtnica kada odete.
05:12
And second:
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I druga:
05:15
"help."
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"pomoć."
05:18
We uncovered, many lessons from lives well-led,
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Otkrili smo, mnoge lekcije od života dobro proživiljenog,
05:21
and what those people immortalized in print could teach us.
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i ono što su ti ljudi ovjekovječili u tisku bi nas moglo poučiti.
05:24
The exercise was a fascinating testament to the kaleidoscope that is life,
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Vježba je bila fascinantan testament kaleidoskopu života,
05:29
and even more fascinating
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a još fascinantnija
05:32
was the fact that the overwhelming majority of obituaries
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je bila činjenica da je nadmoćna većina osmrtnicama
05:35
featured people famous and non-famous,
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sadržavala slavne i ne-slavne ljude
05:38
who did seemingly extraordinary things.
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koji su, naizgled, uradili izvanredne stvari.
05:41
They made a positive dent in the fabric of life.
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Oni su napravili pozitivan trag u tkivu života.
05:44
They helped.
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Oni su pomogli.
05:46
So ask yourselves as you go back to your daily lives:
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Dakle, zapitajte kada se vraćate svom svakodnevnom životu:
05:49
How am I using my talents to help society?
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Kako koristim svoje talente kako bi pomogao društvu?
05:52
Because the most powerful lesson here is,
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Jer najsnažnija pouka ovdje je,
05:55
if more people lived their lives trying to be famous in death,
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kada bi više ljudi živilo svoje živote pokušavajući biti slavni u smrti,
05:59
the world would be a much better place.
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svijet bi bio puno bolje mjesto.
06:02
Thank you.
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Hvala vam.
06:04
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
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