How we'll fight the next deadly virus | Pardis Sabeti

86,590 views ・ 2016-02-25

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Prevoditelj: Tilen Pigac - EFZG Recezent: Ivan Stamenković
Možda nikada niste čuli za Kenemu iz Sierra Leone
00:13
You may never have heard of Kenema, Sierra Leone
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00:15
or Arua, Nigeria.
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ili Aruu iz Nigerije.
00:17
But I know them as two of the most extraordinary places on earth.
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Ali ja ih znam kao dva izvanredna mjesta na zemlji.
00:21
In hospitals there, there's a community of nurses, physicians and scientists
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U njihovim bolnicama postoji zajednica sestara, liječnika i znanstvenika
koji su vodili tihu borbu
00:27
that have been quietly battling
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00:28
one of the deadliest threats to humanity for years:
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sa jednom od najsmrtonosnijih prijetnji čovječanstvu:
00:31
Lassa virus.
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sa Lassa virusom.
Lassa virus je sličan Eboli.
00:33
Lassa virus is a lot like Ebola.
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00:35
It can cause a severe fever and can often be fatal.
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Može izazvati tešku groznicu i često je smrtonosan.
Ali ovi pojedinci svakodnevno riskiraju svoje živote
00:39
But these individuals, they risk their lives every day
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kako bi zaštitili druge iz svoje zajednice,
00:43
to protect the individuals in their communities,
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00:45
and by doing so, protect us all.
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a tako, zapravo štite i sve nas.
Ali jedna od najnevjerojatnijih stvari koje sam naučila o njima
00:49
But one of the most extraordinary things I learned about them
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na jednom od mojih prvih posjeta prije mnogo godina
00:52
on one of my first visits out there many years ago
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00:54
was that they start each morning --
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je da svako jutro započnu --
00:56
these challenging, extraordinary days on the front lines -- by singing.
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te izuzetno zahtjevne i teške dane -- pjevanjem.
01:01
They gather together, and they show their joy.
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Svi zajedno se okupe i iskazuju svoju radost.
Pokazuju svoj duh.
01:05
They show their spirit.
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01:06
And over the years,
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I s vremenom,
01:07
from year after year as I've visited them and they've visited me,
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iz godine u godinu, kako sam ih posjećivala, a i oni mene,
01:10
I get to gather with them and I sing
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i ja im se pridružim i pjevam
01:12
and we write and we love it,
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također i pišemo i volimo to,
jer nas podsjeća da se ne nalazimo tu da bi zajedno progonili zanost;
01:15
because it reminds us that we're not just there to pursue science together;
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01:18
we're bonded through a shared humanity.
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mi smo povezani kroz zajedničko čovječanstvo.
01:21
And that of course, as you can imagine, becomes extremely important,
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I naravno, kao što možete pretpostaviti, to postaje vrlo važno,
01:25
even essential, as things begin to change.
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čak i bitno, kada se stavri počinju mijenjati.
01:28
And that changed a great deal in March of 2014,
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A mnogo se promijenilo, u ožujuku 2014. godine,
01:33
when the Ebola outbreak was declared in Guinea.
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kada je u Gvinjeji proglašeno da je izbila ebola.
01:36
This is the first outbreak in West Africa,
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To je bio prvi slučaj u zapadnoj Africi,
01:38
near the border of Sierra Leone and Liberia.
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nadomak granica Sierra Leone i Liberije.
Bilo je zastrašujuće, zastrašujuće za sve nas.
01:42
And it was frightening, frightening for us all.
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01:44
We had actually suspected for some time
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Neko vrijeme smo sumnjali,
01:46
that Lassa and Ebola were more widespread than thought,
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da su Lassa i Ebola raširenije i više nego što smo očekivali
01:49
and we thought it could one day come to Kenema.
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i mislili smo da će jednog dana zaraza doći i do Keneme.
01:51
And so members of my team immediately went out
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Članovi moga tima su odmah otišli tamo
01:54
and joined Dr. Humarr Khan and his team there,
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i pridružili se dr. Humarr Khanu i njegovom timu,
01:56
and we set up diagnostics to be able to have sensitive molecular tests
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i postavili smo dijagnozu kako bi mogli provoditi molekularne testove
02:00
to pick up Ebola if it came across the border
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koji bi mogli detektirati Ebolu, ukoliko prijeđe granicu
02:02
and into Sierra Leone.
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i dođe u Sierru Leone.
02:03
We'd already set up this kind of capacity for Lassa virus,
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Već smo odredili kapacitet za Lassa virus,
02:06
we knew how to do it,
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i znamo kako to napraviti,
tim je izvanredan.
02:08
the team is outstanding.
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02:09
We just had to give them the tools and place to survey for Ebola.
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Samo smo im trebali dati alate i mjesto za nadziranje Ebole.
02:13
And unfortunately, that day came.
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I nažalost, došao je taj dan.
02:14
On May 23, 2014, a woman checked into the maternity ward at the hospital,
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23. svibnja 2014. godine, žena je bila na pregledu na odjeljenju za trudnice,
02:19
and the team ran those important molecular tests
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i tim je proveo te važne molekularne testove
02:23
and they identified the first confirmed case of Ebola in Sierra Leone.
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i identificirali su prvi potvrđeni slučaj Ebole u Sierri Leone.
Odradili su fantastičan posao.
02:28
This was an exceptional work that was done.
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02:30
They were able to diagnose the case immediately,
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Mogli su odmah postaviti dijagonzu,
02:32
to safely treat the patient
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kako bi sigurno mogli liječiti pacijenticu
02:34
and to begin to do contact tracing to follow what was going on.
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i započeto je traganje kontakta, kako bi pratili što se događa.
02:37
It could've stopped something.
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Moglo je nešto zaustaviti.
02:39
But by the time that day came,
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Ali do tada,
02:42
the outbreak had already been breeding for months.
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virus se razmnožavao mjesecima.
Sa stotinama slučajeva, već je zasjenio sve prethodne epidemije
02:45
With hundreds of cases, it had already eclipsed all previous outbreaks.
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02:48
And it came into Sierra Leone not as that singular case,
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I u Sierru Leone nije stigao kao samo jedini slučaj,
02:52
but as a tidal wave.
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već kao plimni val.
Morali smo surađivati s internacionalnom zajednicom,
02:54
We had to work with the international community,
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02:56
with the Ministry of Health, with Kenema, to begin to deal with the cases,
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s Ministarstvom zdravlja, Kenemom, kako bi počeli rješavati slučajeve,
sljedeći tjedan ih je bilo 31,
03:00
as the next week brought 31,
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03:02
then 92, then 147 cases -- all coming to Kenema,
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zatim 92, nakon toga 147 slučajeva -- svi su dolazili u Kenemu
03:05
one of the only places in Sierra Leone that could deal with this.
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jedino mjesto u Sierri Leone, koje se moglo s time suočiti.
03:09
And we worked around the clock trying to do everything we could,
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Radili smo neprestano, pokušavajući sve što je u našoj moći,
pokušali smo pomoći ljudima, pokušali smo privući pažnju,
03:13
trying to help the individuals, trying to get attention,
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ali smo napravili nešto jako jednostavno.
03:16
but we also did one other simple thing.
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03:18
From that specimen that we take from a patient's blood to detect Ebola,
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Uzorak koji uzmemo iz krvi pacijenta oboljelog od Ebole,
03:22
we can discard it, obviously.
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možemo naravno odbaciti.
03:24
The other thing we can do is, actually, put in a chemical and deactivate it,
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Ali možemo učiniti i nešto drugo, ubaciti kemikaliju i deaktivirati ga,
samo ga treba spakirati u kutiju i poslati brodom preko oceana
03:28
so just place it into a box and ship it across the ocean,
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03:30
and that's what we did.
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i upravo to smo i učinili.
Poslali smo ga u Boston, gdje moj tim radi.
03:32
We sent it to Boston, where my team works.
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03:34
And we also worked around the clock doing shift work, day after day,
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Radili smo non-stop, u smjenama, dan za danom,
03:38
and we quickly generated 99 genomes of the Ebola virus.
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i ubrzo smo proizveli 99 genoma Ebola virusa.
03:42
This is the blueprint -- the genome of a virus is the blueprint.
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Ovo je nacrt -- genom virusa je nacrt.
03:45
We all have one.
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Svi posjedujemo jedan.
03:46
It says everything that makes up us,
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Govori o svemu što nas čini,
03:48
and it tells us so much information.
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i daje nam mnogo informacija.
03:50
The results of this kind of work are simple and they're powerful.
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Rezultati ovog istaživanja su jednostavni i moćni.
03:54
We could actually take these 99 different viruses,
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Mogli bi zapravo uzeti 99 različitih virusa,
03:56
look at them and compare them,
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pogledati ih i usporediti,
03:58
and we could see, actually, compared to three genomes
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i ono što bi vidjeli, je to, da ta tri genoma
04:01
that had been previously published from Guinea,
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koja su prethodno bila objavljena u Gvineji,
mogli smo pokazati da epidemija, koja je izbila u Gvineji mjesecima ranije
04:04
we could show that the outbreak emerged in Guinea months before,
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04:07
once into the human population,
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kada jednom dospije u ljudsku populaciju,
04:09
and from there had been transmitting from human to human.
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prenosi se s čovjeka na čovjeka.
04:12
Now, that's incredibly important
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Dakle, to je veoma važno,
04:13
when you're trying to figure out how to intervene,
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kada pokušavate shvatiti kako intervenirati,
04:16
but the important thing is contact tracing.
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ali ono što je važno, je kontakno praćenje.
04:18
We also could see that as the virus was moving between humans,
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Također smo mogli vidjeti, kako se virus kretao među ljudima,
04:21
it was mutating.
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mutirao je.
I svaka ta mutacija, je jako važna,
04:23
And each of those mutations are so important,
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04:25
because the diagnostics, the vaccines,
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jer dijagnoze, cijepiva,
04:27
the therapies that we're using,
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terapije koje koristimo,
sve se temelje na nizu genoma, u suštini --
04:29
are all based on that genome sequence, fundamentally --
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04:32
that's what drives it.
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to je ono što ga pokreće.
04:33
And so global health experts would need to respond,
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I tako bi globalni zadravstveni stručnjaci trebali odgovoriti,
04:36
would have to develop,
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razviti,
04:37
to recalibrate everything that they were doing.
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ponovo rekalibrirati sve na čemu su radili.
Ali način na koji znanost funkcionira, i pozicija na kojoj sam tada bila,
04:41
But the way that science works, the position I was in at that point
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04:44
is, I had the data,
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je da sam imala podatke,
04:45
and I could have worked in a silo for many, many months,
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i mogla sam raditi u silosu, mnogo, mnogo mjeseci,
analizirala sam podatke pažljivo i polako,
04:48
analyzed the data carefully, slowly,
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04:50
submitted the paper for publication, gone through a few back-and-forths,
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predala sam članak za objavu, koji je još nekoliko puta pregledan,
04:53
and then finally when the paper came out, might release that data.
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i kada je napokon bio objavljen, možda se objave i podaci.
04:56
That's the way the status quo works.
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Na taj način funkcionira satus quo.
04:59
Well, that was not going to work at this point, right?
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Ali u tom trenutntku, to tako nije moglo funkcionirati, jesam li u pravu?
05:01
We had friends on the front lines
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Imali smo prijatelje,
05:03
and to us it was just obvious that what we needed is help,
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i bilo je više nego očito, da nam je potrebna pomoć,
05:06
lots of help.
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velika pomoć.
05:07
So the first thing we did is,
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Prva stvar što smo učinili je,
05:09
as soon as the sequences came off the machines,
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čim su analize bile gotove,
objavili smo ih na internetu.
05:12
we published it to the web.
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05:13
We just released it to the whole world and said, "Help us."
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Objavili smo ih, da ih cijeli svijet vidi i rekli: "Pomozite nam."
05:16
And help came.
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I pomoć je stigla.
05:17
Before we knew it,
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Prije nego što smo znali,
05:18
we were being contacted from people all over,
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kontaktirali su nas ljudi iz cijeloga svijeta,
05:21
surprised to see the data out there and released.
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koji su bili iznenađeni što su podaci objavljeni.
05:23
Some of the greatest viral trackers in the world
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Neki od najvećih istraživača virusa na svijetu
05:25
were suddenly part of our community.
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odjednom su postali dio naše zajednice.
Radili smo zajedno na virtualan način,
05:28
We were working together in this virtual way,
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05:30
sharing, regular calls, communications,
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razmjenjivali pozive, komunicirali,
05:33
trying to follow the virus minute by minute,
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pokušavajući pratiti virus iz minute u minutu,
05:36
to see ways that we could stop it.
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kako bi pronašli načine, da ga zaustavimo.
Ima toliko načina kako stvoriti takve zajednice.
05:39
And there are so many ways that we can form communities like that.
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05:43
Everybody, particularly when the outbreak started to expand globally,
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Svi, osobito kada se epidemija počela širiti globalno,
05:47
was reaching out to learn, to participate, to engage.
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svi su htjeli naučiti, učestvovati i angažirati se.
05:51
Everybody wants to play a part.
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Svi su htjeli biti dio toga.
05:53
The amount of human capacity out there is just amazing,
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Nevjerojatno je koliko ima ljudi,
05:56
and the Internet connects us all.
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a Internet nas sve spaja.
05:57
And could you imagine that instead of being frightened of each other,
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Umjesto da se bojimo jedni drugih,
06:01
that we all just said, "Let's do this.
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mi smo samo rekli: "Ajmo to napraviti.
Ajmo raditi zajedno, i pokušajmo ovo ostvariti."
06:03
Let's work together, and let's make this happen."
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06:05
But the problem is that the data that all of us are using,
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Ali problem su podaci s kojima se svi mi koristimo,
06:08
Googling on the web, is just too limited to do what we need to do.
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googlajući webom, podaci su limitirani, i ne omogućuju nam da napravimo to što trebamo.
06:12
And so many opportunities get missed when that happens.
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A kada se to dogodi, propuste se mnoge prilike.
U ranome dijelu epidemije iz Keneme,
06:15
So in the early part of the epidemic from Kenema,
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06:17
we'd had 106 clinical records from patients,
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imali smo 106 kliničkih podataka pacijenata,
06:20
and we once again made that publicly available to the world.
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i još jednom smo i to uspjeli objaviti svijetu.
06:23
And in our own lab, we could show that you could take those 106 records,
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A u našem laboratoriju, smo dokazali da možete uzeti tih 106 podataka,
06:26
we could train computers to predict the prognosis for Ebola patients
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i da možemo osposobiti računala da predvide koje su prognoze za pacijente koji boluju od Ebole,
06:30
to near 100 percent accuracy.
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i to skoro do točnosti od 100%.
06:32
And we made an app that could release that,
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Izradili smo i aplikaciju,
06:34
to make that available to health-care workers in the field.
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koja bi bila dostupna i zdravstvenim djelatnicima na terenu.
06:37
But 106 is just not enough to make it powerful,
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Ali 106 jednostavno nije dovoljano snažan,
06:40
to validate it.
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da to potvrdi.
06:41
So we were waiting for more data to release that.
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Stoga smo čekali na još podataka, kako bi objavili tu aplikaciju,
06:44
and the data has still not come.
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ali podaci još nisu stigli.
06:46
We are still waiting, tweaking away,
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Još uvijek čekamo, podešavamo,
u silosima, umjesto da radimo zajedno.
06:49
in silos rather than working together.
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06:51
And this just -- we can't accept that.
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A to -- ne možemo prihvatiti.
06:54
Right? You, all of you, cannot accept that.
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Je li tako? Vi, svi vi, to ne možete prihvatiti.
Naši životi su na kocki.
06:58
It's our lives on the line.
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06:59
And in fact, actually,
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A zapravo,
07:01
many lives were lost, many health-care workers,
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mnogo je života izgubljeno, mnogi zdaravstveni radnici,
uključujući i moje voljene kolege,
07:04
including beloved colleagues of mine,
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07:05
five colleagues: Mbalu Fonnie, Alex Moigboi,
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pet kolega: Mbalu Fonnie, Alex Moigboi,
07:09
Dr. Humarr Khan, Alice Kovoma and Mohamed Fullah.
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dr. Humarr Khan, Alice Kovoma i Mohamed Fullah.
07:13
These are just five of many health-care workers
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To je samo pet, od mnogih drugih zdravstvenih radnika
07:16
at Kenema and beyond
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u Kenemi i drugdje
koji su umrli kada je svijet čekao, a mi smo radili,
07:18
that died while the world waited and while we all worked,
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tiho i odvojeno.
07:21
quietly and separately.
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Vidite, Ebola, kao i sve druge prjetnje čovječanstvu,
07:23
See, Ebola, like all threats to humanity,
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je prepuna nepovjerenja, odvlačenja pažnje i podjele.
07:25
it's fueled by mistrust and distraction and division.
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Kada među sobom izgradimo zid, i borimo se jedni protiv drugih,
07:29
When we build barriers amongst ourselves and we fight amongst ourselves,
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07:32
the virus thrives.
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virus uspjeva.
07:34
But unlike all threats to humanity,
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Ali za razliku od drugih prijetnji čovječanstvu,
07:36
Ebola is one where we're actually all the same.
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Ebola, je ta, gdje smo svi isti.
Svi smo u toj borbi zajedno.
07:39
We're all in this fight together.
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Kada Ebola pokuca na vrata jedne osobe, uskoro može i na naša.
07:41
Ebola on one person's doorstep could soon be on ours.
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I tako na ovome mjestu s istim slabostima,
07:44
And so in this place with the same vulnerabilities,
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snagom, istim stahovima i istim snovima,
07:47
the same strengths, the same fears, the same hopes,
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07:49
I hope that we work together with joy.
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nadam se da ćemo raditi skupa s radošću.
07:54
A graduate student of mine was reading a book about Sierra Leone,
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Moja apsolventica je čitala knjigu o Sierri Leone,
07:57
and she discovered that the word "Kenema,"
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i otkrila je da riječ "Kenema"
07:59
the hospital that we work at and the city where we work in Sierra Leone,
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znači bolnica u kojoj radimo i grad u Sierri Leone u kojem radimo,
08:03
is named after the Mende word for "clear like a river, translucent
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nosi ime po riječi iz Mende jezika "jasan poput rijeke, proziran
08:07
and open to the public gaze."
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i otvoren za javnost."
08:09
That was really profound for us,
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To je bilo jako bitno za nas,
jer ako to ne bi znali, uvijek bi se osjećali,
08:11
because without knowing it, we'd always felt
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kako bi odali čast pojednicima u Kenemi, gdje smo radili,
08:13
that in order to honor the individuals in Kenema where we worked,
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08:16
we had to work openly, we had to share and we had to work together.
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da moramo raditi otvoreno i dijeliti i raditi zajedno.
A to smo trebali i napraviti.
08:21
And we have to do that.
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08:22
We all have to demand that of ourselves and others --
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Svi to trebamo zahtjevati od nas samih i od drugih --
biti otvoreni jedni prema drugima, kada epidemija izbije,
08:26
to be open to each other when an outbreak happens,
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08:28
to fight in this fight together.
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boriti se u toj borbi zajedno.
08:30
Because this is not the first outbreak of Ebola,
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Zato što to nije prvo izbijanje Ebole,
08:33
it will not be the last,
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a neće biti ni posljednje,
a postoje i mnogi drugi mikrobi, koji čekaju,
08:35
and there are many other microbes out there that are lying in wait,
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08:38
like Lassa virus and others.
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poput Lassa virusa i drugih.
08:39
And the next time this happens,
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A sljedeći put kada se to dogodi,
08:41
it could happen in a city of millions, it could start there.
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moglo bi se dogoditi u gradu, gdje žive milijuni ljudi, moglo bi početi tamo.
08:44
It could be something that's transmitted through the air.
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Moglo bi se pojaviti nešto, što se prenosi zrakom.
Također bi se moglo i diseminirati namjerno.
08:47
It could even be disseminated intentionally.
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08:49
And I know that that is frightening, I understand that,
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I znam da je to zastrašujuće, razumijem,
08:52
but I know also, and this experience shows us,
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ali znam i da nam je iskustvo pokazalo,
08:54
that we have the technology and we have the capacity
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da imamo tehnologiju i sposobnost
08:58
to win this thing,
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da to pobijedimo,
08:59
to win this and have the upper hand over viruses.
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da to pobijedimo i imamo prednost spram virusa.
09:02
But we can only do it if we do it together
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Ali to možemo učiniti, samo ako radimo zajedno
i s radošću.
09:05
and we do it with joy.
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09:06
So for Dr. Khan
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Za dr. Khana
09:08
and for all of those who sacrificed their lives on the front lines
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i za sve koji su žrtvovali svoje živote
09:12
in this fight with us always,
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u ovoj su borbi s nama uvijek,
i budimo u ovoj borbi s njima uvijek.
09:15
let us be in this fight with them always.
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09:17
And let us not let the world be defined
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I nemojmo dopustiti da nas svijet definira,
09:19
by the destruction wrought by one virus,
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po destrukciji koja je izazvana jednim virusom,
09:21
but illuminated by billions of hearts and minds
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već po prosvjetljenju milijardi duša i umova,
09:24
working in unity.
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koji rade u jedinstvu.
09:25
Thank you.
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Hvala vam.
09:27
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
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