Why does the universe exist? | Jim Holt | TED

Translator: Zlata Hadzimuratovic Reviewer: Ivan Stamenkovic

Why does the universe exist?

Zašto postoji univerzum?

Why is there — Okay. Okay. (Laughter)

Zašto je tu -- Dobro. Dobro. (Smijeh)

This is a cosmic mystery. Be solemn.

Ovo je kosmička misterija. Uozbiljite se.

Why is there a world, why are we in it,

Zašto postoji svijet, zašto smo mi u njemu,

and why is there something rather than nothing at all?

i zašto postoji nešto umjesto ničega?

I mean, this is the super ultimate "why" question?

Mislim, ovo je najvažnije pitanje "zašto"?

So I'm going to talk about the mystery of existence,

Zato ću govoriti o misteriji postojanja,

the puzzle of existence,

zagonetki postojanja,

where we are now in addressing it,

kako stojimo u njenom rješavanju,

and why you should care,

i zašto bi trebalo da vas se tiče,

and I hope you do care.

i nadam se da vas se tiče.

The philosopher Arthur Schopenhauer said that

Filozof Artur Schopenhauer je rekao

those who don't wonder about the contingency of their existence,

da su oni koji ne razmišljaju o slučaju svog postojanja,

of the contingency of the world's existence,

o slučaju postojanja svijeta,

are mentally deficient.

mentalno zaostali.

That's a little harsh, but still. (Laughter)

Ovo je malo grubo, ali ipak. (Smijeh)

So this has been called the most sublime

Ovo se smatra najuzvišenijom

and awesome mystery,

i najimpresivnijom misterijom,

the deepest and most far-reaching question

najdubljim i najdalekosežnijim pitanjem

man can pose.

koje čovjek postavlja.

It's obsessed great thinkers.

Opsjedalo je velike mislioce.

Ludwig Wittgenstein, perhaps the greatest

Ludwig Wittgenstein,možda najveći

philosopher of the 20th century,

filozof dvadesetog vijeka,

was astonished that there should be a world at all.

bio je zapanjen time da svijet uopšte postoji.

He wrote in his "Tractatus," Proposition 4.66,

U svom "Traktatu", prijedlogu 4.66 napisao je

"It is not how things are in the world

"Nije misterija u tome

that is the mystical,

kako je svijet ustrojen,

it's that the world exists."

već u samom postojanju svijeta."

And if you don't like taking your epigrams

I ako vam se ne sviđaju mudre misli

from a philosopher, try a scientist.

filozofa, pokušajte sa naučnicima.

John Archibald Wheeler, one of the great physicists

John Archibald Wheeler, jedan od velikih fizičara

of the 20th century,

dvadesetog vijeka,

the teacher of Richard Feynman,

učitelj Richarda Feynmana,

the coiner of the term "black hole,"

tvorac pojma "crna rupa",

he said, "I want to know

rekao je, "Želim da znam

how come the quantum,

odakle kvantno,

how come the universe, how come existence?"

odakle univerzum, odakle postojanje?"

And my friend Martin Amis —

I moj prijatelj Martin Amis --

sorry that I'll be doing a lot of name-dropping in this talk,

oprostite što ću spominjati mnoga imena tokom predavanja,

so get used to it —

naviknite se na to --

my dear friend Martin Amis once said

moj dragi prijatelj Martin Amis jednom je rekao

that we're about five Einsteins away from answering

da nam fali otprilike pet Einsteina da bismo riješili

the mystery of where the universe came from.

misteriju porijekla univerzuma.

And I've no doubt there are five Einsteins

I ne sumnjam da imamo pet Einsteina

in the audience tonight.

u publici večeras.

Any Einsteins? Show of hands? No? No? No?

Ima li Einsteina? Javi se. Ne?

No Einsteins? Okay.

Nema Einsteina? Dobro.

So this question, why is there something rather than nothing,

Dakle, ovo pitanje, zašto postoji nešto umjesto ničega,

this sublime question, was posed rather late

ovo uzvišeno pitanje, postavljeno je

in intellectual history.

dosta kasno u istoriji ljudske misli.

It was towards the end of the 17th century,

Krajem 17. vijeka, prvi ga je postavio

the philosopher Leibniz who asked it,

filozof Leibniz,

a very smart guy, Leibniz,

veoma pametan čovjek, taj Leibniz,

who invented the calculus

izumio je diferencijalni račun

independently of Isaac Newton, at about the same time,

nezavisno od Isaaca Newtona, skoro u isto vrijeme,

but for Leibniz, who asked why is there something rather than nothing,

ali za Leibniza, to što postoji nešto a ne ništa,

this was not a great mystery.

nije bila velika misterija.

He either was or pretended to be

On je u svom viđenju metafizike bio

an Orthodox Christian in his metaphysical outlook,

ili se pretvarao da jeste, Pravoslavni hrišćanin,

and he said it's obvious why the world exists:

i njemu je bilo očigledno zašto svijet postoji:

because God created it.

zato što ga je Bog stvorio.

And God created, indeed, out of nothing at all.

Bog ga je, zaista, stvorio iz ničega.

That's how powerful God is.

Toliko je moćan Bog.

He doesn't need any preexisting materials to fashion a world out of.

Njemu nije prethodno potreban materijal kako bi skrojio svijet.

He can make it out of sheer nothingness,

Može ga sazdati iz apsolutno ničega,

creation ex nihilo.

stvaranje ex nihilo.

And by the way, this is what

Usput, u ovo danas

most Americans today believe.

vjeruje većina Amerikanaca.

There is no mystery of existence for them.

Za njih nema misterije postojanja.

God made it.

Bog je sve stvorio.

So let's put this in an equation.

Stavimo ovo u jednačinu.

I don't have any slides so I'm going to mime my visuals,

Nemam slajdova, pokazaću pantomimom,

so use your imaginations.

pa upotrijebite maštu.

So it's God + nothing = the world.

Znači, Bog + ništa = svijet.

Okay? Now that's the equation.

U redu? E to je jednačina.

And so maybe you don't believe in God.

I možda ne vjerujete u Boga.

Maybe you're a scientific atheist

Možda ste naučni ateist,

or an unscientific atheist, and you don't believe in God,

ili ste nenaučni ateist, i ne vjerujete u Boga,

and you're not happy with it.

i niste sretni s tim.

By the way, even if we have this equation,

Usput, čak ako imamo ovu jednačinu,

God + nothing = the world,

Bog + ništa = svijet,

there's already a problem:

već imamo problem:

Why does God exist?

Zašto Bog postoji?

God doesn't exist by logic alone

Bog ne postoji samo po logici stvari

unless you believe the ontological argument,

sem ako ne vjerujete u ontološki dokaz

and I hope you don't, because it's not a good argument.

a nadam se da nije tako jer to nije dobar dokaz.

So it's conceivable, if God were to exist,

Tako da je razumljivo, ako Bog postoji,

he might wonder, I'm eternal, I'm all-powerful,

da se pita, "ja sam vječan, ja sam svemoćan,

but where did I come from?

ali iz čega sam nastao?"

(Laughter)

(Smijeh)

Whence then am I?

Otkud bijah stvoren?

God speaks in a more formal English.

Bog priča formalnijim jezikom.

(Laughter)

(Smijeh)

And so one theory is that God was so bored with

Tako, postoji jedna teorija da je Bogu toliko dosadilo

pondering the puzzle of His own existence

odgonetanje sopstvenog postojanja

that He created the world just to distract himself.

da je stvorio svijet, samo kako bi se malo zabavio.

But anyway, let's forget about God.

Ali, zaboravimo sad na Boga.

Take God out of the equation: We have

Izuzmimo Boga iz jednačine:

________ + nothing = the world.

Imamo: _________ + ništa = svijet.

Now, if you're a Buddhist,

E sad, ako ste Budist,

you might want to stop right there,

možda se želite ovdje zaustaviti,

because essentially what you've got is

jer, u suštini, dobijate

nothing = the world,

da je ništa=svijet,

and by symmetry of identity, that means

i po simetriji identiteta,

the world = nothing. Okay?

ovo znači da je svijet =ništa. U redu?

And to a Buddhist, the world is just a whole lot of nothing.

Za Budistu je svijet jedno veliko ništa.

It's just a big cosmic vacuity.

Svijet je jedna velika kosmička praznina.

And we think there's a lot of something out there

I mi mislimo da tamo ima dosta toga,

but that's because we're enslaved by our desires.

ali to je samo zato što smo zarobljenici svojih želja.

If we let our desires melt away,

Ukoliko pustimo naše želje da se istope,

we'll see the world for what it truly is,

vidjećemo svijet onakvog kakav jeste,

a vacuity, nothingness,

praznina, ništavilo,

and we'll slip into this happy state of nirvana

i zapašćemo u to sretno stanje nirvane,

which has been defined as having

koje je definisano kao

just enough life to enjoy being dead. (Laughter)

taman toliko života da bismo uživali u smrti. (Smijeh)

So that's the Buddhist thinking.

To je Budističko stanovište.

But I'm a Westerner, and I'm still concerned

Ali, ja sam zapadnjak, i još uvijek sam zaokupljen

with the puzzle of existence, so I've got

zagonetkom postojanja, tako da imam

________ + —

_________+ —

this is going to get serious in a minute, so —

ovo će se uskoro uozbiljiti, tako da

________ + nothing = the world.

_________ + ništa = svijet.

What are we going to put in that blank?

Kako ćemo ovo popuniti?

Well, how about science?

Šta mislte da pokušamo s naukom?

Science is our best guide to the nature of reality,

Nauka je naš najbolji vodič za poznavanje prirode stvarnosti,

and the most fundamental science is physics.

a fizika je najosnovnija nauka.

That tells us what naked reality really is,

Koja nas uči kakva je zaista ogoljena stvarnost

that reveals what I call TAUFOTU,

koja nam otkriva ono što sam nazvao PUNS

the True And Ultimate Furniture Of The Universe.

Pravi I Ultimativni Namještaj Svemira

So maybe physics can fill this blank,

Zato možda fizika može popuniti ovu prazninu,

and indeed, since about the late 1960s or around 1970,

i zaista su, još kasnih 60-tih ili oko 1970-te

physicists have purported to give

fizičari tvrdili da imaju

a purely scientific explanation of how

čisto naučno objašnjenje o tome kako je

a universe like ours could have popped into existence

univerzum poput našeg mogao nastati

out of sheer nothingness,

iz potpuno ničega,

a quantum fluctuation out of the void.

kvantna fluktuacija iz praznine.

Stephen Hawking is one of these physicists,

Stephen Hawking je jedan od ovih fizičara,

more recently Alex Vilenkin,

u novije vrijeme to je Alex Vilenkin,

and the whole thing has been popularized

a cijelu stvar je popularizovao

by another very fine physicist and friend of mine,

jedan vrlo dobar fizičar i moj prijatelj,

Lawrence Krauss, who wrote a book called

Lawrence Krauss, koji je napisao knjigu

"A Universe from Nothing,"

"Univerzum iz ničega",

and Lawrence thinks that he's given —

i Lawrence smatra da je uspio -

he's a militant atheist, by the way,

a on je militantni ateist, usput,

so he's gotten God out of the picture.

da je uklonio Boga iz priče.

The laws of quantum field theory,

Zakoni teorije kvantnog polja,

the state-of-the-art physics, can show how

najmodernije fizike, mogu pokazati kako

out of sheer nothingness,

iz potpunog ništavila,

no space, no time, no matter, nothing,

bez prostora, vremena, materije, ičega,

a little nugget of false vacuum

mali grumen vještačkog vakuma

can fluctuate into existence,

može preći u postojanje,

and then, by the miracle of inflation,

i tada, čudom inflacije,

blow up into this huge and variegated cosmos

eksplodirati u ovaj ogromni i šaroliki kosmos

we see around us.

oko nas.

Okay, this is a really ingenious scenario.

Ok, ovo je zaista genijalan scenarij.

It's very speculative. It's fascinating.

Veoma spekulativan. Fascinantan.

But I've got a big problem with it,

Ali, ja imam ogroman problem s njim,

and the problem is this:

a problem je u ovome:

It's a pseudo-religious point of view.

To je pseudo-religiozni stav.

Now, Lawrence thinks he's an atheist,

E sada, Lawrence misli da je ateist,

but he's still in thrall to a religious worldview.

ali je još uvijek zarobljen u religijskom svjetonazoru.

He sees physical laws as being like divine commands.

On zakone fizike vidi kao božanske zapovijesti.

The laws of quantum field theory for him

Za njega su zakoni teorije kvantnog polja

are like fiat lux, "Let there be light."

poput fiat lux-a, "Neka bude svjetlost".

The laws have some sort of ontological power or clout

Ovi zakoni imaju svojevrsnu ontološku moć ili snagu

that they can form the abyss,

da mogu stvoriti bezdan,

that it's pregnant with being.

koji urodi postojanjem.

They can call a world into existence out of nothing.

Oni mogu stvoriti svijet iz ničega.

But that's a very primitive view of what

Ali ovo je veoma primitivan pogled na to

a physical law is, right?

što je zakon fizike, zar ne?

We know that physical laws are actually

Znamo da su zakoni fizike zapravo

generalized descriptions of patterns and regularities

uopštena objašnjenja obrazaca i pravilnosti

in the world.

u svijetu.

They don't exist outside the world.

Ona ne postoje van ovog svijeta.

They don't have any ontic cloud of their own.

Ona nemaju sopstveni ontički oblak .

They can't call a world into existence

Ona ne mogu stvoriti svijet

out of nothingness.

iz ničega.

That's a very primitive view

To je vrlo primitivan pogled

of what a scientific law is.

na ono što je naučni zakon.

And if you don't believe me on this,

I ako ne vjerujete meni,

listen to Stephen Hawking,

poslušajte Stephena Hawkinga,

who himself put forward a model of the cosmos

koji je predstavio model kosmosa

that was self-contained,

koji je samodovoljan,

didn't require any outside cause, any creator,

i nije mu potreban nikakav spoljni uzrok, nikakav tvorac,

and after proposing this,

i nakon što je ovo predložio,

Hawking admitted that he was still puzzled.

Hawking je priznao da je i dalje zbunjen.

He said, this model is just equations.

Rekao je, ovaj model su samo jednačine.

What breathes fire into the equations

Šta udiše život jednačinama

and creates a world for them to describe?

i stvara svijet koji one opisuju?

He was puzzled by this,

Bio je zbunjen ovim,

so equations themselves can't do the magic,

jer same jednačine nisu magične,

can't resolve the puzzle of existence.

ne mogu razriješiti zagonetku postojanja.

And besides, even if the laws could do that,

Pa čak i kad bi ovi zakoni to mogli,

why this set of laws?

zašto baš ovaj set zakona?

Why quantum field theory that describes

Zašto je baš teorija kvantnog polja ta koja opisuje

a universe with a certain number of forces

Univerzum određenim brojem sila

and particles and so forth?

i čestica, itd?

Why not a completely different set of laws?

Zašto ne potpuno drugačiji set zakona?

There are many, many mathematically consistent sets of laws.

Postoji veoma mnogo matematički konzistentnih setova zakona.

Why not no laws at all? Why not sheer nothingness?

Zašto uopšte imamo ove zakone? Zašto nemamo čisto ništavilo?

So this is a problem, believe it or not,

Vjerovali ili ne, ovo je problem

that reflective physicists really think a lot about,

o kojem teoretski fizičari mnogo razmišljaju,

and at this point they tend to go metaphysical,

i sada su skloni metafizici,

say, well, maybe the set of laws

kažu, pa, možda je set zakona

that describes our universe,

koji opisuje naš univerzum

it's just one set of laws

samo jedan set zakona

and it describes one part of reality,

koji opisuje tek jedan djelić stvarnosti,

but maybe every consistent set of laws

a možda svaki konzistentni set zakona

describes another part of reality,

opisuje druge dijelove stvarnosti,

and in fact all possible physical worlds

i možda zapravo svi mogući fizički svjetovi

really exist, they're all out there.

zaista postoje, svi su tu negdje.

We just see a little tiny part of reality

Mi samo vidimo mali djelić stvarnosti

that's described by the laws of quantum field theory,

kojeg opisuje teorija kvantnog polja,

but there are many, many other worlds,

ali postoji mnogo drugih svjetova,

parts of reality that are described

dijelova stvarnosti opisanih

by vastly different theories

mnoštvom različitih teorija

that are different from ours in ways we can't imagine,

koje su toliko različite od naših da ih je teško i zamisliti,

that are inconceivably exotic.

koje su nezamislivo egzotične.

Steven Weinberg, the father

Steven Weinberg, otac

of the standard model of particle physics,

standardnog modela fizike elementarnih čestica

has actually flirted with this idea himself,

je i sam flertovao sa ovom idejom,

that all possible realities actually exist.

da sve moguće stvarnosti zapravo postoje.

Also, a younger physicist, Max Tegmark,

Takođe, mlađi fizičar, Max Tegmark,

who believes that all mathematical structures exist,

vjeruje da sve matematičke strukture postoje,

and mathematical existence is the same thing

kao i da je matematička egzistencija isto

as physical existence,

što i fizička egzistencija,

so we have this vastly rich multiverse

pa tako imamo ovaj nepregledno bogat Multiverzum

that encompasses every logical possibility.

kojim su obuhvaćene sve logičke mogućnosti.

Now, in taking this metaphysical way out,

Prihvatanjem ovog metafizičkog pristupa,

these physicists and also philosophers are actually

ovi fizičari, kao i filozofi, ustvari

reaching back to a very old idea

posežu za veoma starom idejom,

that goes back to Plato.

koja potiče od Platona.

It's the principle of plenitude or fecundity,

To je princip punoće, ili plodnosti,

or the great chain of being,

odnosno velikog lanca postojanja,

that reality is actually as full as possible.

da je stvarnost zapravo potpuno ispunjena.

It's as far removed from nothingness

Udaljena je od pojma ništavila

as it could possibly be.

u najvećoj mogućoj mjeri.

So we have these two extremes now.

Tako sada imamo ova dva ekstrema.

We have sheer nothingness on one side,

Na jednoj strani imamo potpuno ništavilo,

and we have this vision of a reality

i imamo ovu viziju stvarnosti

that encompasses every conceivable world

koja obuhvata svaki od mogućih svjetova

at the other extreme: the fullest possible reality,

na drugom kraju ekstrema: najpotpuniju moguću stvarnost,

nothingness, the simplest possible reality.

ništavilo, najjednostavnija moguća stvarnost.

Now what's in between these two extremes?

I sad, šta se nalazi između ove dvije krajnosti?

There are all kinds of intermediate realities

Postoje razne vrste srednjih stvarnosti

that include some things and leave out others.

koje uključuju jedne a isključuju druge stvari.

So one of these intermediate realities

Jedna od ovih srednjih stvarnosti

is, say, the most mathematically elegant reality,

je, recimo, matematički najelegantnija stvarnost,

that leaves out the inelegant bits,

koja isključuje neelegantne djeliće,

the ugly asymmetries and so forth.

ružne asimetrije, itd.

Now, there are some physicists who will tell you

E sada, neki fizičari će vam reći

that we're actually living in the most elegant reality.

da mi zapravo živimo u najelegantnijoj stvarnosti.

I think that Brian Greene is in the audience,

Mislim da je Brian Greene u publici,

and he has written a book called "The Elegant Universe."

a on je napisao knjigu "Elegantni Univerzum".

He claims that the universe we live in mathematically

On tvrdi da univerzum u kojem živimo matematički

is very elegant.

je veoma elegantan.

Don't believe him. (Laughter)

Ne vjerujte mu. (Smijeh)

It's a pious hope, I wish it were true,

To je pobožna nada, želio bih da je istina,

but I think the other day he admitted to me

ali mislim da mi je neki dan priznao

it's really an ugly universe.

da je ovo ustvari ružan Univerzum.

It's stupidly constructed,

Glupo je sagrađen,

it's got way too many arbitrary coupling constants

sačinjen od previše proizvoljno spojenih konstanti,

and mass ratios

i omjera masa

and superfluous families of elementary particles,

I od izlišnih grupa elementarnih čestica,

and what the hell is dark energy?

i šta je, do đavola, tamna energija?

It's a stick and bubble gum contraption.

To je navrat-nanos sklepana tvorevina.

It's not an elegant universe. (Laughter)

To nije elegantan Univerzum. (Smijeh)

And then there's the best of all possible worlds

I onda imamo najbolji od svih mogućih svjetova

in an ethical sense.

u etičkom smislu.

You should get solemn now,

Osjetite ovu svečanost,

because a world in which sentient beings

u svijetu u kojem živa bića

don't suffer needlessly,

ne pate bez potrebe,

in which there aren't things like

u kojem nema stvari poput

childhood cancer or the Holocaust.

dječijeg raka ili Holokausta.

This is an ethical conception.

Ovo je etički koncept.

Anyway, so between nothingness

Bilo kako bilo, između ništavila

and the fullest possible reality,

i najpotpunije moguće stvarnosti,

various special realities.

različite posebne stvarnosti.

Nothingness is special. It's the simplest.

Ništavilo je posebno. Ono je najjednostavnije.

Then there's the most elegant possible reality.

Pa onda, tu je najelegantnija moguća stvarnost.

That's special.

To je posebno.

The fullest possible reality, that's special.

Najpotpunija moguća stvarnost, to je posebno.

But what are we leaving out here?

Ali, šta ovdje izostavljamo?

There's also just the crummy,

Postoje takođe i bijedne,

generic realities

generičke stvarnosti

that aren't special in any way,

koje ni po čemu nisu posebne,

that are sort of random.

koje su na neki način nasumične.

They're infinitely removed from nothingness,

One su beskrajno udaljene od ništavila,

but they fall infinitely short of complete fullness.

ali i od kompletne punoće.

They're a mixture of chaos and order,

One su mješavina haosa i reda,

of mathematical elegance and ugliness.

matematičke elegancije i ružnoće.

So I would describe these realities

Tako da bih ove stvarnosti opisao

as an infinite, mediocre, incomplete mess,

kao beskrajan, osrednji, nepotpun nered,

a generic reality, a kind of cosmic junk shot.

generičku stvarnost, svojevrsno kosmičko smeće.

And these realities,

A ove stvarnosti,

is there a deity in any of these realities?

postoji li božanstvo i u jednoj od njih?

Maybe, but the deity isn't perfect

Možda, ali ovo božanstvo nije savršeno

like the Judeo-Christian deity.

kao što je judeo-hrišćansko božanstvo.

The deity isn't all-good and all-powerful.

Ovo božanstvo nije dobrostivo i svemoguće.

It might be instead 100 percent malevolent

Moglo bi ustvari biti stopostotno zlonamjerno

but only 80 percent effective,

ali samo 80 posto efikasno,

which pretty much describes the world we see around us, I think. (Laughter)

što umnogome opisuje svijet u kojem živimo, mislim. (Smijeh)

So I would like to propose that the resolution

Moj prijedlog razrješenja

to the mystery of existence

misterije postojanja

is that the reality we exist in

je u tome da je stvarnost u kojoj živimo

is one of these generic realities.

jedna od ovih generičkih stvarnosti.

Reality has to turn out some way.

Stvarnost mora biti nekakva.

It can either turn out to be nothing

Može biti ili ništa

or everything or something in between.

ili sve ili nešto između.

So if it has some special feature,

Pa ako ima neku posebnu odliku,

like being really elegant or really full

da je veoma elegantna ili veoma ispunjena, ili

or really simple, like nothingness,

vrlo jednostavna, kao ništavilo

that would require an explanation.

to zahtijeva objašnjenje.

But if it's just one of these random, generic realities,

Ali, ako je samo jedna od nasumičnih, generičkih stvarnosti,

there's no further explanation for it.

onda za to nema objašnjenja.

And indeed, I would say

I svakako, rekao bih

that's the reality we live in.

da je to stvarnost u kojoj živimo.

That's what science is telling us.

Nauka nam ovo govori.

At the beginning of the week,

Početkom sedmice,

we got the exciting information that

primili smo uzbudljivu vijest

the theory of inflation, which predicts a big,

da je teorija inflacije, koja predviđa veliku, beskrajnu,

infinite, messy, arbitrary, pointless reality,

neurednu, proizvoljnu, besmislenu stvarnost,

it's like a big frothing champagne

to je poput velikog zapjenjenog šampanjca

coming out of a bottle endlessly,

koji beskrajno teče iz boce,

a vast universe, mostly a wasteland

nepregledni Univerzum, uglavnom pustoš

with little pockets of charm and order and peace,

sa malim džepovima šarma, reda i mira,

this has been confirmed,

ovo je potvrđeno,

this inflationary scenario, by the observations

ovaj inflacioni scenarij, opservacijama

made by radio telescopes in Antarctica

putem radio teleskopa na Antarktiku

that looked at the signature of the gravitational waves

kojima su posmatrani otisci gravitacijskih talasa

from just before the Big Bang.

neposredno prije Velikog praska.

I'm sure you all know about this.

Siguran sam da svi znate za to.

So anyway, I think there's some evidence

U svakom slučaju, mislim da postoje neki dokazi

that this really is the reality that we're stuck with.

da je ovo zaista stvarnost na koju smo osuđeni.

Now, why should you care?

E sad, zašto bi vas bilo briga?

Well — (Laughter) —

Pa - (Smijeh) -

the question, "Why does the world exist?"

pitanje, "Zašto postoji svijet?"

that's the cosmic question, it sort of rhymes

to je kosmičko pitanje, i rimuje se

with a more intimate question:

sa još intimnijim pitanjem:

Why do I exist? Why do you exist?

Zašto ja postojim? Zašto ti postojiš?

you know, our existence would seem to be amazingly improbable,

znate, naše postojanje se čini zadivljujuće nevjerovatnim,

because there's an enormous number of genetically possible humans,

jer postoji ogroman broj genetski mogućih ljudi,

if you can compute it by looking at

ako to možete izračunati

the number of the genes and the number of alleles and so forth,

gledajući broj gena, alela itd,

and a back-of-the-envelope calculation will tell you

gruba kalkulacija će vam pokazati

there are about 10 to the 10,000th

da postoji otprilike 10 do na 10 hiljaditu

possible humans, genetically.

broj genetski mogućih ljudi.

That's between a googol and a googolplex.

To je između googola i googolplexa.

And the number of the actual humans that have existed

A broj ljudi koji su postojali

is 100 billion, maybe 50 billion,

je 100 milijardi, možda 50 milijardi

an infinitesimal fraction, so all of us,

što je beskrajno mali dio, tako da smo svi

we've won this amazing cosmic lottery.

dobitnici nevjerovatne kosmičke lutrije.

We're here. Okay.

Mi smo ovdje. Ok.

So what kind of reality do we want to live in?

Pa u kakvoj onda stvarnosti želimo da živimo?

Do we want to live in a special reality?

Da li želimo da živimo u posebnoj stvarnosti?

What if we were living in the most elegant possible reality?

Šta ako živimo u najelegantnijoj mogućoj stvarnosti?

Imagine the existential pressure on us

Zamislite egzistencijalni pritisak na nas

to live up to that, to be elegant,

da budemo dorasli tome, elegantni,

not to pull down the tone of it.

da tako kažem.

Or, what if we were living in the fullest possible reality?

Ili, šta ako živimo u najispunjenijoj mogućoj stvarnosti?

Well then our existence would be guaranteed,

Tada bi naša egzistencija bila garantovana,

because every possible thing

jer svaka moguća stvar

exists in that reality,

postoji u toj stvarnosti,

but our choices would be meaningless.

ali bi naši izbor bili beznačajni.

If I really struggle morally and agonize

Ako zaista vodim moralnu bitku i mučim se

and I decide to do the right thing,

i onda odlučim da postupim ispravno,

what difference does it make,

kakve veze to ima,

because there are an infinite number

kad postoji beskonačan broj

of versions of me

verzija mene

also doing the right thing

koje takođe rade ispravno

and an infinite number doing the wrong thing.

i beskonačan broj koji rade loše.

So my choices are meaningless.

Tako da su moji izbori beznačajni.

So we don't want to live in that special reality.

Zato mi ne želimo živjeti u takvoj stvarnosti.

And as for the special reality of nothingness,

A što se tiče posebne stvarnosti ništavila,

we wouldn't be having this conversation.

tada ne bismo imali ovaj razgovor.

So I think living in a generic reality that's mediocre,

Zato mislim da je život u generičkoj stvarnosti koja je osrednja,

there are nasty bits and nice bits

sačinjena od ružnih i lijepih dijelova

and we could make the nice bits bigger

možemo lijepe dijelove povećati

and the nasty bits smaller

i ružne dijelove smanjiti

and that gives us a kind of purpose in life.

i to nam daje svojevrsnu svrhu u životu.

The universe is absurd,

Univerzum je apsurdan,

but we can still construct a purpose,

ali mi ipak možemo načiniti svrhu,

and that's a pretty good one,

prilično dobru,

and the overall mediocrity of reality

i sveukupna osrednjost stvarnosti

kind of resonates nicely with the mediocrity

na neki način odgovara osrednjosti

we all feel in the core of our being.

koju svi osjećamo u srži našeg bića.

And I know you feel it.

I znam da ovo i sami osjećate.

I know you're all special,

Znam da ste posebni,

but you're still kind of secretly mediocre,

ali ste ipak nekako potajno osrednji,

don't you think?

ne mislite li tako?

(Laughter) (Applause)

(Smijeh) (Aplauz)

So anyway, you may say, this puzzle, the mystery of existence,

U svakom slučaju, možete reći, da je ova zagonetka, ova misterija postojanja,

it's just silly mystery-mongering.

puko misteriozno huškanje.

You're not astonished at the existence of the universe

Niste zadivljeni postojanjem Univerzuma

and you're in good company.

i u dobrom ste društvu.

Bertrand Russell said,

Bertnard Russell je rekao,

"I should say the universe is just there, and that's all."

"Trebao bih reći da je univerzum samo tu, i to je sve"

Just a brute fact.

Prosta činjenica.

And my professor at Columbia, Sidney Morgenbesser,

I moj profesor s Columbije, Sidney Morgenbesser,

a great philosophical wag,

veliki filozofski nestaško,

when I said to him, "Professor Morgenbesser,

kad sam ga pitao, "Profesore Morgenbesser,

why is there something rather than nothing?"

zašto postoji nešto a ne ništa?"

And he said, "Oh, even if there was nothing,

I on reče "Ah, čak i kada ne bi bilo ničega

you still wouldn't be satisfied."

ti i dalje ne bi bio zadovoljan".

So — (Laughter) — okay.

Tako da - (Smijeh) - OK.

So you're not astonished. I don't care.

Niste zadivljeni. Nije me briga.

But I will tell you something to conclude

Ali reći ću vam nešto na kraju

that I guarantee you will astonish you,

što će vas garantovano zadiviti,

because it's astonished all of the brilliant,

jer je zadivilo sve sjajne, predivne

wonderful people I've met at this TED conference,

ljude koje sam sreo na ovoj TED konferenciji

when I've told them, and it's this:

kada sam im ovo rekao:

Never in my life have I had a cell phone.

Nikada u svom životu nisam imao mobitel.

Thank you.

Hvala vam.

(Laughter) (Applause)

(Smijeh) (Aplauz)