What if every satellite suddenly disappeared? - Moriba Jah

Translator: Гульноза Одилова Reviewer: Nazarbek Nazarov

One day, without warning or apparent cause,

Bir kuni, sababsiz yoki ogohlantirishsiz,

all of humanity’s artificial satellites suddenly disappear.

insoniyatnig barcha sun’iy yo’ldoshlari yo’q bo’lib ketdi.

The first to understand the situation

Vaziyatni birinchi bo’lib

are a handful of government and commercial operators.

bir nechta davlat va tijorat operatorlari tushunadi.

But well before they have time to process what’s happened,

Ammo sodir bo’lgan voqealarni o’rganishga vaqtlari bo’lmasdanoq,

millions sitting on their couches become aware that something is amiss.

millionlab odamlar o’tirgan hollarida nimadir noto’g’ri ekanligini bilishadi.

TV that’s broadcast from or routed through satellites dominate the market

Sun’iy yo’ldoshga asoslangan yoki sun’iy yo’ldoshga yo’naltirilgan televidenie

for international programming as well as some local channels,

xalqaro dasturlash bozorida va ba’zi mahalliy kanallarda ishlatilib

so the disappearance causes immediate disruptions, worldwide.

yo’qolishi butun dunyo bo’ylab nosozliklarga olib keladi

The next people affected are those traveling by air, sea, or land,

Keying esa havo, dengiz yoki quruqlik orqali sayohat qiluvchilardir,

as global positioning, navigation and timing services, have entirely ceased.

chunki navigatsiya va vaqtni aniqlash xizmatlari butunlay to’xtaydi.

Pilots, captains, and drivers have to determine their locations

Uchuvchilar, kapitanlar va haydovchilar analog asboblar va

using analog instruments and maps.

xaritalar yordamida o’z joylarini aniqlashlari kerak bo’ladi.

Aircraft, ships, and ground vehicles get stopped, grounded, or returned to port.

Samolyotlar, kemalar va boshqalar to’xtatiladi.

In the meantime, air traffic controllers have a difficult task on their hands

Shu paytda aviadispetcherlarning zimmasiga samolyot halokatining

to prevent plane crashes.

oldini olish qiyin vazifa turibdi.

Within hours, most of the planet’s traffic grinds to a halt.

Bir necha soat ichida dunyo transportining katta qismi to’xtab qoladi.

The effects aren’t limited to entertainment and travel.

Salbiy ta’siri o’yin-kulgi va sayohat bilan cheklanmaydi.

All sorts of machines, from heating and cooling systems to assembly lines,

Isitish va sovutishdan tortib yiguv uskunalari bo’lgan barchasi

rely on super-accurate satellite-based timing systems,

sun’iy yo’ldoshga asoslangan o’ta aniq vaqtni hisoblash tizimlariga tayanadi va

and many have little-to-no backup options.

ularning ko’pchiligida zaxira variantlari deyarli yo’q.

Stoplights and other traffic control systems stop synchronizing,

Svetoforlar va boshqa yo’lni boshqarish tizimlari sinxronlashni to’xtatadi,

so police and good Samaritans step in to direct the remaining cars

shuning uchun politsiya va volontyorlar qolgan mashinalarni yo’naltirish va

and prevent as many accidents as possible.

imkon qadar baxtsiz hodisalarga yo’l qo’ymaydilar.

The most catastrophic impact is yet to come.

Eng halokatli ta’sir hali oldinda.

Because in the next few hours, the world economy shuts down.

Chunki, bir necha soatlar ichida dunyo iqtisodi to’xtab qoladi.

Satellite-based timestamps play a critical part in everything

Sun’iy yo’ldosh vaqt aniqlovchilari kredit karta aniqlash va

from credit card readers and stock exchanges

fond birjalaridan tortib tranzaktsiyalarni kuzatib boruvchi

to the systems that keep track of transactions.

tizimlargacha bo’lgan hamma narsada muhim rol o’ynaydi.

People are unable to withdraw cash or make electronic payments.

Odamlar pul yecha olishmidi va online pul o’tkiza olishmidi.

Logistics and supply chains for crucial goods like food and medicine fragment,

Oziq-ovqat va dori-darmon muhum narsalari uchun logistika va ta’minot zanjirlari

leaving people to survive on whatever is locally available.

odamlarga mahalliy mavjud bo’lgan narsalar bilan omon qolish imkonini beradi.

Most countries declare a state of emergency

Aksariyat davlatlar favqulodda holat e’lon qiladi va

and call on the military to restore order.

harbiylarni tartibni tiklashga chaqiradi.

That may take quite a while.

Bu ancha vaqt talab qilishi mumkin.

Most navigation and communication systems are no longer operational,

Ko’pgina navigatsiya va aloqa tizimlari endi ishlamaganlik tufayli,

so military chains of command may be in disarray.

harbiy qo’mondonlik qismi tartibsiz bo’lishi mumkin.

Many troops, including those actively deployed, are left to their own devices.

Ko’pgina qo’shinlar, shuningdek jangavor holattagilar ham o’z holicha bo’ladi.

Commanders of nuclear submarines and missile control centers

Yadroviy suv osti kemalari va raketa boshqarish markazlari qo’mondonlari

wonder if the disruption is the result of a hostile attack.

buzilishlar dushman hujumining natijasimi, deb o’ylashadi.

What sorts of decisions do they make with partial information?

Qisman ma’lumot bilan ular qanday qarorlar qabul qilishadi?

Even in the best-case scenario,

Hatto eng yaxshi variantta ham

our civilization gets set back by decades at the very least.

tsivilizatsiyamiz hech bo’lmaganda o’nlab yillar orqaga chekinadi.

That’s because, despite being a relatively new phenomenon,

Buning sababi, nisbatan yangi hodisa bo’lishiga qaramay,

satellites have quickly replaced more traditional long range technologies.

sun’iy yo’ldoshlar uzoq masofali texnologiyalarni o’rnini egallagi.

The combination of global positioning and internet

Navigatsiya va Internetning kombinatsiyasi

has allowed for near-instant signals that can be synchronized worldwide.

dunyo bo’ylab sinxronlashtirilishi mumkin bo’lgan signallarni olish imkonini berdi.

Many systems we use daily have been built upon this foundation.

Har kuni foydalanadigan ko’plab tizimlar ushbu poydevorga qurilgan.

Going back to the communication systems of the mid-20th century

20-asr o’rtalaridagi aloqa tizimlariga qaytish

would not be a simple matter.

oson bo’lmaydi.

In many cases, they’d have to be rebuilt from the ground up.

Ko’p hollarda ular boshidan tiklanishi kerak bo’ladi.

While the sudden disappearance in this thought experiment is unlikely,

Ushbu fikrlash misolida to’satdan g’oyib bo’lish ehtimoli kam bo’lsa-da,

there are two very real scenarios that could lead to the same results.

bir xil natijalarga olib kelishi mumkin bo’lgan ikkita juda real stsenariy mavjud.

The first is a solar flare so strong it fries satellite circuitry–

Birinchisi, quyosh nurlari juda issiq-ki, u sun’iy yo’ldosh sxemalarini, shuningdek,

as well as many other devices and power grids around the world.

dunyodagi boshqa ko’plab qurilmalar va elektr tarmoqlarini kuduradi.

And the second is an orbital chain reaction of collisions.

Va ikkinchisi - to’qnashuvlarning orbital zanjirli reaktsiyasi.

With about 7,500 metric tons of defunct spacecraft, spent boosters,

Taxminan 7500 metrik tonna ishlamay qolgan kosmik kemalar,

and discarded equipment orbiting our planet

kuchaytirgichlar va tashlandiq uskunalar sayyoramiz atrofida

at relative speeds up to 56,000 kilometers per hour,

soatiga 56 000 kilometrgacha nisbiy tezlikda aylanib yuradi,

even small objects can be highly destructive.

hatto kichik ob’ektlar ham juda halokatli bo’lishi mumkin.

A single collision in space could create thousands of new pieces of debris,

Kosmosdagi bitta to’qnashuv zanjirli reaktsiyaga olib keladigan minglab yangi

leading to a chain reaction.

vayronalarni yaratishi mumkin.

Space is huge, but many of the thousands of satellites currently in orbit

Kosmos juda katta, ammo hozirda orbitada bo’lgan minglab sun’iy yo’ldoshlarning

share the same orbital highways for their specific purposes.

ko’pchiligi o’zlarining maxsus maqsadlari uchun bir xil orbital magistrallarga ega.

And since most objects sent to space are not designed with disposal in mind,

Kosmosga yuborilganlarning ko’pchiligi utilizatsiya qilinmaslik sababli,

these highways only become more congested over time.

bu magistrallar vaqt o’tishi bilan yanada tirband bo’lib qoladi.

The good news is, we can protect ourselves by studying our solar system,

Yaxshi xabar shundaki, biz quyosh sistemamizni o’rganish,

creating backup options for our satellite networks,

sun’iy yo’ldosh tarmoqlarimiz uchun zaxira variantlarini yaratish va

and cooperating to avoid an orbital tragedy of the commons.

umumiy orbital fojiadan qochish uchun hamkorlik orqali himoya qila olamiz.

The space kilometers above our heads is like our forests,

Boshimiz ustidagi kosmik kilometrlar bizning o’rmonlarimiz,

the ocean’s biodiversity and clean air:

okeanning biologik xilma-xilligi va toza havoga o’xshaydi:

If we don't treat it as a finite resource,

Agar uni cheklangan manba deb hisoblamasak,

we may wake up one day to find we no longer have it at all.

vaqtlar o’tganda, bizda umuman yo’q bo’lib qolganini ko’rishimiz mumkin.