Gene editing can now change an entire species -- forever | Jennifer Kahn

505,354 views ・ 2016-06-02

TED


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Translator: Leah Ligate Reviewer: Joachim Mangilima
00:12
So this is a talk about gene drives,
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Haya ni mazungumzo ya ubadilishaji jeni,
00:15
but I'm going to start by telling you a brief story.
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ila nitaanza kwa kuwaelezea hadithi fupi
00:18
20 years ago, a biologist named Anthony James
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miaka 20 iliyopita, mwanabiolojia aliyeitwa Anthony James
00:21
got obsessed with the idea of making mosquitos
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alijawa na wazo la kutengeneza mbu
00:24
that didn't transmit malaria.
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ambao hawaambukizi malaria.
00:27
It was a great idea, and pretty much a complete failure.
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lilikuwa wazo zuri, na lilishindikana kabisa.
00:32
For one thing, it turned out to be really hard
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Kwani, ilikuja kuwa vigumu sana
00:35
to make a malaria-resistant mosquito.
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kutengeneza mbu asiyestahimili malaria.
00:38
James managed it, finally, just a few years ago,
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James hatimaye aliweza, miaka michache iliyopita,
00:41
by adding some genes that make it impossible
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kwa kuongeza jeni zinazofanya isiwezekane
00:44
for the malaria parasite to survive inside the mosquito.
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kwa vimelea vya malaria kushindwa kuishi ndani ya mbu.
00:47
But that just created another problem.
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lakini hiyo ilileta tatizo lingine.
00:50
Now that you've got a malaria-resistant mosquito,
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Sasa umeshapata mbu asiyestahimili malaria,
00:52
how do you get it to replace all the malaria-carrying mosquitos?
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utamfanyaje aweze kubadilisha mbu wote wanaobeba malaria?
00:58
There are a couple options,
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Kuna chaguzi kadhaa,
00:59
but plan A was basically to breed up
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lakini mpango A ulikuwa wa uzalishaji
01:01
a bunch of the new genetically-engineered mosquitos
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kiasi cha mbu wapya waliotengenezwa kijenetiki
01:04
release them into the wild
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waachilie mwituni
01:06
and hope that they pass on their genes.
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na utegemee kwamba wataeneza jeni zao.
01:08
The problem was that you'd have to release
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Tatizo lilikuwa kwamba ulitakiwa uachilie
01:10
literally 10 times the number of native mosquitos to work.
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kiasi cha mara 10 ya namba ya mbu wenyeji kufanyakazi
01:15
So in a village with 10,000 mosquitos,
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Hivyo katika kijiji chenye mbu 10,000.
01:17
you release an extra 100,000.
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unaachilia 100,000 wa ziada.
01:20
As you might guess,
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Kama unavyoweza kuhisi,
01:21
this was not a very popular strategy with the villagers.
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mkakati huu haukukubalika kwa wanakijiji.
01:24
(Laughter)
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(Kicheko)
01:26
Then, last January, Anthony James got an email
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Kisha, Januari iliyopita, Anthony James akapata barua pepe
01:30
from a biologist named Ethan Bier.
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kutoka kwa mbiolojia aitwaye Ethan Bier.
01:33
Bier said that he and his grad student Valentino Gantz
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Bier akasema kwamba yeye na mwanafunzi wake Valentino Gantz
01:36
had stumbled on a tool that could not only guarantee
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walikutana na kifaa ambacho kiweza sio tu kuhakikisha
01:39
that a particular genetic trait would be inherited,
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kwamba kibainisho cha jenetiki fulani kitarithiwa
01:41
but that it would spread incredibly quickly.
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lakini hiyo itaeneza kwa haraka mno.
01:44
If they were right, it would basically solve the problem
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kama wangekuwa sahihi, ingeweza kutatua tatizo
01:47
that he and James had been working on for 20 years.
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yeye na James walilolifanyia kazi kwa miaka 20.
01:50
As a test, they engineered two mosquitos to carry the anti-malaria gene
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kama majaribio, walitengeneza mbu wawili kubeba jeni isiyo na malaria
01:55
and also this new tool, a gene drive,
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na pia kifaa kipya cha ubadilishaji jeni,
01:57
which I'll explain in a minute.
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ambayo nitaielezea hivi punde.
01:59
Finally, they set it up so that any mosquitos
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wakakiandaa ili mbu yeyote
02:01
that had inherited the anti-malaria gene
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ambaye alirithi jeni isiyo na malaria
02:03
wouldn't have the usual white eyes, but would instead have red eyes.
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asiwe na macho meupe, awe na macho mekundu.
02:08
That was pretty much just for convenience
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Hiyo ilikuwa tu kwa ajili ya urahisi
02:10
so they could tell just at a glance which was which.
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ili waweze kujua kwa kuangalia yupi ni yupi.
02:14
So they took their two anti-malarial, red-eyed mosquitos
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Hivyo walichukua mbu 2 wasio na malaria wenye macho mekundu
02:16
and put them in a box with 30 ordinary white-eyed ones,
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na kuwaweka ndani ya boksi na mbu 30 wenye macho meupe,
02:19
and let them breed.
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na kuwaacha wazaliane.
02:21
In two generations, those had produced 3,800 grandchildren.
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Ndani ya vizazi viwili, hao walizalisha wajukuu 3,800.
02:26
That is not the surprising part.
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Hiyo sio sehemu ya kushangaza.
02:28
This is the surprising part:
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Hii ndio sehemu ya kushangaza:
02:30
given that you started with just two red-eyed mosquitos
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kutokana na kwamba ulianza na mbu 2 tu wenye macho mekundu
02:33
and 30 white-eyed ones,
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na 30 wenye macho meupe,
02:34
you expect mostly white-eyed descendants.
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unategemea wenye macho meupe kuzaana zaidi
02:38
Instead, when James opened the box,
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Badala yake, wakati James akifungua boksi,
02:41
all 3,800 mosquitos had red eyes.
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mbu wote 3,800 walikuwa na macho mekundu.
02:45
When I asked Ethan Bier about this moment,
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Nilipo muuliza Ethan Bier kuhusu hili,
02:47
he became so excited that he was literally shouting into the phone.
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alipatwa msisimko mkubwa sana kiasi kwamba alipiga makelele kwenye simu.
02:51
That's because getting only red-eyed mosquitos
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Ni kwasababu kupata mbu wenye macho mekundu tu
02:54
violates a rule that is the absolute cornerstone of biology,
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inakiuka kanuni ambayo ni msingi thabiti wa biolojia,
02:57
Mendelian genetics.
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Jenetiki za Mendelia.
02:58
I'll keep this quick,
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Nitaieleza hii haraka,
03:00
but Mendelian genetics says when a male and a female mate,
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jenetiki za Mendelia zadai mwanamke na mwanaume wakipandana
03:02
their baby inherits half of its DNA from each parent.
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mtoto wao hurithi nusu ya DNA kutoka kwa kila mzazi.
03:05
So if our original mosquito was aa and our new mosquito is aB,
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ikiwa mbu wetu asilia alikuwa aa na mbu wetu mpya ni aB,
03:09
where B is the anti-malarial gene,
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na B ni jeni isiyostahimili malaria,
03:11
the babies should come out in four permutations:
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watoto wanatakiwa watoke katika hitari nne:
03:13
aa, aB, aa, Ba.
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aa, aB, aa, Ba.
03:16
Instead, with the new gene drive,
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Badala yake katika ubadilishaji jeni,
03:19
they all came out aB.
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wote walitokea aB.
03:21
Biologically, that shouldn't even be possible.
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Kibiolojia, hiyo haitakiwi hata kuwezekana.
03:24
So what happened?
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Sasa nini kilichotokea?
03:26
The first thing that happened
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Kitu cha kwanza kilichotokea
03:28
was the arrival of a gene-editing tool known as CRISPR in 2012.
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ni kuwasili kifaa cha kuhakiki jeni kilichoitwa CRISPR mwaka 2012.
03:32
Many of you have probably heard about CRISPR,
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wengi wenu pengine mmesikia kuhusu CRISPR,
03:34
so I'll just say briefly that CRISPR is a tool that allows researchers
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hivyo kwa kifupi hiyo CRISPR ni kifaa kinachoruhusu watafiti
03:38
to edit genes very precisely, easily and quickly.
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kuhakiki jeni kwa uhakika, kirahisi na haraka.
03:41
It does this by harnessing a mechanism that already existed in bacteria.
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Inafanya hivi kwa kuunganisha utaratibu ambao ulikuwepo ndani ya bakteria.
03:45
Basically, there's a protein that acts like a scissors
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Kimsingi,kuna protini ambayo hutumika kama mkasi
03:47
and cuts the DNA,
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na kukata DNA,
03:49
and there's an RNA molecule that directs the scissors
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na kuna molekuli ya RNA ambayo huelekeza mkasi
03:51
to any point on the genome you want.
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upande wowote kwenye jenome.
03:53
The result is basically a word processor for genes.
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Matokeo kimsingi ni uchakataji neno kwa ajili ya jeni.
03:56
You can take an entire gene out, put one in,
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Unaweza kutoa jeni yote nje, na kuweka nyingine ndani,
03:58
or even edit just a single letter within a gene.
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au hata kuhakiki herufi moja ndani ya jeni.
04:01
And you can do it in nearly any species.
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unaweza kufanya hivyo kwa spishi yoyote.
04:05
OK, remember how I said that gene drives originally had two problems?
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OK, kumbuka nilivyosema ubadilishaji jeni mwanzo ulikuwa na matatizo mawili?
04:09
The first was that it was hard to engineer a mosquito
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La kwanza ilikuwa ni vigumu kutengeneza mbu
04:12
to be malaria-resistant.
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aweze kutostahimili malaria.
04:14
That's basically gone now, thanks to CRISPR.
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Hiyo imeondoka sasa, shukrani kwa CRISPR.
04:17
But the other problem was logistical.
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Ila tatizo lingine ni la kiutaratibu.
04:19
How do you get your trait to spread?
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Unawezaje kufanya kibainisho kienee?
04:22
This is where it gets clever.
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Hapa ndipo panpoleta usumbufu.
04:24
A couple years ago, a biologist at Harvard named Kevin Esvelt
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Miaka michache iliyopita, mwanabiolojia wa Harvard Kevin Esvelt
04:28
wondered what would happen
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alifikiria itatokea nini
04:29
if you made it so that CRISPR inserted not only your new gene
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Ikiwa utaifanya ili kwamba CRISPR iingizwe sio tu kwenye jeni mpya
04:33
but also the machinery that does the cutting and pasting.
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ila pia kwenye mashine ambayo hukata na kubandika.
04:37
In other words, what if CRISPR also copied and pasted itself.
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Kwa maneno mengine itakuwaje CRISPR ikijinakili na kujibandika yenyewe.
04:42
You'd end up with a perpetual motion machine for gene editing.
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Utaishia kuwa na mashine inayozunguka kuhakiki jeni.
04:46
And that's exactly what happened.
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Na hicho ndicho kilichotokea
04:49
This CRISPR gene drive that Esvelt created
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Hii CRISPR ya ubadilishaji jeni iliyoundwa na Esvelt
04:51
not only guarantees that a trait will get passed on,
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sio tu inakuhakikishia kwamba kibainisho kitarithishwa,
04:55
but if it's used in the germline cells,
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ikitumika kwenye seli za vijidudu vinavyobadilika,
04:58
it will automatically copy and paste your new gene
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itanakili na kubandika moja kwa moja jeni yako mpya
05:00
into both chromosomes of every single individual.
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kuwa kromosomu zote za kila kiumbe pekee.
05:03
It's like a global search and replace,
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Ni kama utafutaji duniani na ubadilishaji,
05:06
or in science terms, it makes a heterozygous trait homozygous.
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au kisayansi, hufanya kibainisho heterezaigosi kuwa homozaigosi.
05:11
So, what does this mean?
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Hivyo, hii inamaanisha nini?
05:13
For one thing, it means we have a very powerful,
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kwa namna moja, inamaanisha tuna chombo chenye nguvu sana,
05:16
but also somewhat alarming new tool.
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lakini pia chombo kipya chakutia hofu.
05:20
Up until now, the fact that gene drives didn't work very well
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Hadi sasa, kwakuwa ubadilishaji jeni haukufanya kazi vizuri
05:23
was actually kind of a relief.
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ilikuwa na uahueni kidogo.
05:25
Normally when we mess around with an organism's genes,
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Kawaida tunapovuruga jeni za viumbe,
05:28
we make that thing less evolutionarily fit.
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tunafanya kile kitu kisifae kinadharia ya mageuko
05:30
So biologists can make all the mutant fruit flies they want
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wanabiolojia wanaweza kutengeneza nzi wa matunda wanaotaka
05:33
without worrying about it.
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bila kuhofia lolote
05:34
If some escape, natural selection just takes care of them.
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kama baadhi watatoroka, uchaguzi asilia utawashughulikia.
05:38
What's remarkable and powerful and frightening about gene drives
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Kinachosifika na chenye nguvu na kutisha kuhusu ubadilishaji jeni
05:41
is that that will no longer be true.
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ni kwamba haitakuwa tena kweli.
05:45
Assuming that your trait does not have a big evolutionary handicap,
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Chukulia kibainisho chako hakina ulemavu mkubwa wa nadharia ya mageuko,
05:48
like a mosquito that can't fly,
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kama vile mbu ambao hawawezi kuruka
05:50
the CRISPR-based gene drive will spread the change relentlessly
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CRISPR-yenye ubadilishaji jeni itaeneza mabadiliko kwa kasi kubwa mno
05:54
until it is in every single individual in the population.
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hadi itakapokuwa ndani ya kila kitu katika kundi tafiti.
05:59
Now, it isn't easy to make a gene drive that works that well,
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Si rahisi kuunda ubadilishaji jeni ufanye kazi vizuri hivyo,
06:02
but James and Esvelt think that we can.
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lakini James na Esvelt wanadhani tunaweza.
06:05
The good news is that this opens the door to some remarkable things.
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Habari njema ni kuwa hii inafungua mlango kwa mambo yasiyo ya kawaida.
06:09
If you put an anti-malarial gene drive
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Ukitia ubadilishaji jeni usio na malaria
06:11
in just 1 percent of Anopheles mosquitoes,
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katika asilimia 1 ya mbu wa Anofelesi,
06:13
the species that transmits malaria,
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spishi inayoambukiza malaria,
06:15
researchers estimate that it would spread to the entire population in a year.
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watafiti wanakadiria kwamba utaenea kwa mbu wote kwa muda wa mwaka mmoja.
06:20
So in a year, you could virtually eliminate malaria.
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Hivyo kwa mwaka, unaweza kukaribia kuitokomeza malaria.
06:23
In practice, we're still a few years out from being able to do that,
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Kiutendaji tupo bado miaka michache kuweza kufanikisha hilo,
06:27
but still, a 1,000 children a day die of malaria.
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lakini bado watoto 1,000 hufa kwa malaria kwa siku.
06:30
In a year, that number could be almost zero.
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Kwa mwaka, namba hiyo yaweza kukaribia sifuri.
06:32
The same goes for dengue fever, chikungunya, yellow fever.
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hivyo pia kwa homa ya dengue, chikungunya na homa ya manjano.
06:37
And it gets better.
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Na inazidi kuwa bora.
06:39
Say you want to get rid of an invasive species,
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Ikiwa unataka kuondoa spishi zinazoenea kwa kasi,
06:41
like get Asian carp out of the Great Lakes.
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kama Kamongo wa Asia kwenye Maziwa Makuu.
06:44
All you have to do is release a gene drive
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Unatakiwa kuachilia ubadilishaji jeni
06:46
that makes the fish produce only male offspring.
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ambao utafanya samaki wazaliane madume tu.
06:49
In a few generations, there'll be no females left, no more carp.
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kwa vizazi vijavyo hakutakuwa na majike na kamongo wataisha.
06:53
In theory, this means we could restore hundreds of native species
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kinadharia, inamaanisha tunaweza rudisha mamia ya spishi asilia
06:56
that have been pushed to the brink.
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zilikuwa zimesukumwa ukingoni.
06:59
OK, that's the good news,
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OK, hiyo ni habari njema,
07:02
this is the bad news.
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hii ni habari mbaya.
07:05
Gene drives are so effective
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Ubadilishaji jeni hufanyakazi kwa ufanisi
07:07
that even an accidental release could change an entire species,
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hata ukiachiwa kwa bahati mbaya unaweza kubadili spishi nzima,
07:10
and often very quickly.
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mara zote kwa haraka mno
07:13
Anthony James took good precautions.
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Anthony James alichukua tahadhari vizuri.
07:15
He bred his mosquitos in a bio-containment lab
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Alizalisha mbu wake kwenye maabara madhubuti
07:17
and he also used a species that's not native to the US
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na pia alitumia spishi zisizo asilia kwa Marekani
07:20
so that even if some did escape,
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ili hata baadhi zikiponyoka,
07:21
they'd just die off, there'd be nothing for them to mate with.
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zitakufa tu, kutakuwa hakuna spishi za kuzaliana nao.
07:24
But it's also true that if a dozen Asian carp with the all-male gene drive
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Lakini pia ni kweli ikiwa dazeni ya Kamongo wa Asia wenye jeni za kiume tu
07:28
accidentally got carried from the Great Lakes back to Asia,
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bahati mbaya wakachukuliwa kutoka Maziwa Makuu na kurudishwa Asia,
07:32
they could potentially wipe out the native Asian carp population.
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wanaweza kufuta idadi yote ya Kamongo wa Asia asilia.
07:37
And that's not so unlikely, given how connected our world is.
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Nahiyo inawezekana, kwa jinsi dunia yetu ilivyounganika.
07:40
In fact, it's why we have an invasive species problem.
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ndio maana tuna tatizo la spishi zinazoenea kwa kasi.
07:43
And that's fish.
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Na hiyo ni samaki.
07:45
Things like mosquitos and fruit flies,
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Vitu kama mbu na nzi wa matunda,
07:48
there's literally no way to contain them.
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Hakuna kabisa njia ya kuwadhibiti.
07:50
They cross borders and oceans all the time.
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Wanavuka mipaka na bahari wakati wote.
07:53
OK, the other piece of bad news
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OK, kipande kingine cha habari mbaya
07:55
is that a gene drive might not stay confined
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ubadilishaji jeni hauwezi kufungwa sehemu moja
07:58
to what we call the target species.
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kwa kile tunachokiita spishi lengwa.
08:00
That's because of gene flow,
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Husababishwa na kuhama kwa jeni
08:02
which is a fancy way of saying that neighboring species
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ambayo tunaweza kusema pia ni spishi jirani
08:04
sometimes interbreed.
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wakati mwingine huzaliana.
08:05
If that happens, it's possible a gene drive could cross over,
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kama itatokea,inawezekana ubadilishaji jeni kwenda upande mwingine,
08:09
like Asian carp could infect some other kind of carp.
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kama Kamongo wa Asia wataambukiza Kamongo wengine.
08:11
That's not so bad if your drive just promotes a trait, like eye color.
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Si vibaya ubadilishaji wako ukisaidia kibainisho kama rangi ya macho.
08:15
In fact, there's a decent chance that we'll see
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Kwa kweli,kuna nafasi kubwa kwa tutaona
08:17
a wave of very weird fruit flies in the near future.
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wimbi la nzi wa matunda wasio kawaida kwa siku zijazo
08:21
But it could be a disaster
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Lakini inaweza kuwa janga
08:22
if your drive is deigned to eliminate the species entirely.
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Ikiwa ubadilishaji wake umetengenezwa kutokomeza spishi yote.
08:26
The last worrisome thing is that the technology to do this,
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Kitu cha mwisho cha kutia hofu ni kwamba teknolojia ya kufanya hivi,
08:29
to genetically engineer an organism and include a gene drive,
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kutengeneza viumbe kijenetiki na kutumia ubadilishaji jeni,
08:33
is something that basically any lab in the world can do.
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ni kitu ambacho maabara yoyote duniani inaweza kufanya.
08:36
An undergraduate can do it.
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Mhitimu wa chuo ataweza.
08:39
A talented high schooler with some equipment can do it.
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Mwanafunzi wa sekondari mwenye kipaji na vifaa anaweza kufanya.
08:44
Now, I'm guessing that this sounds terrifying.
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Sasa naona kwamba inaonekana inatisha sana.
08:47
(Laughter)
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(Kicheko)
08:49
Interestingly though, nearly every scientist I talk to
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Chakufurahisha, karibia kila mwanasayansi ninayeongea naye
08:52
seemed to think that gene drives were not actually that frightening or dangerous.
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anafikiria kwamba ubadilishaji jeni sio wa kutisha au hatari kiasi hicho.
08:56
Partly because they believe that scientists will be
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Upande mmoja kwasababu wanaamini wanasayansi watakuwa
08:59
very cautious and responsible about using them.
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makini sana na kuwajibika kuhusu kuzitumia.
09:01
(Laughter)
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(Kicheko)
09:02
So far, that's been true.
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Kwa hapo, hilo ni kweli.
09:04
But gene drives also have some actual limitations.
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Ila ubadilishaji jeni pia una kikomo kilichopo.
09:07
So for one thing, they work only in sexually reproducing species.
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Kitu kimoja, unafanya kazi kwa spishi zinazozaliana kwa kupandana.
09:10
So thank goodness, they can't be used to engineer viruses or bacteria.
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Hivyo tushukuru, hauwezi kutumika kutengeneza virusi au bakteria.
09:14
Also, the trait spreads only with each successive generation.
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Pia, vibainisho huenea kwa kizazi kinachofuatia tu.
09:17
So changing or eliminating a population
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Kubadilisha au kutokomeza kundi tafiti
09:19
is practical only if that species has a fast reproductive cycle,
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inawezekana tu ikiwa spishi hiyo ina mzunguko wa haraka wa kuzaliana,
09:22
like insects or maybe small vertebrates like mice or fish.
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kama wadudu au labda wanyama wadogo kama panya au samaki.
09:26
In elephants or people, it would take centuries
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Kwa tembo au binadamu, itachukua karne kadhaa
09:28
for a trait to spread widely enough to matter.
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kibainishi kuenea kwa kiasi kikubwa kuleta maana.
09:32
Also, even with CRISPR, it's not that easy to engineer a truly devastating trait.
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Pia hata kwa CRISPR, sio rahisi kutengeneza kibainishi kiharibifu.
09:38
Say you wanted to make a fruit fly
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Sema ulitaka kutengeneza nzi matunda
09:39
that feeds on ordinary fruit instead of rotting fruit,
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ambao hula matunda ya kawaida badala ya kuyaozesha,
09:42
with the aim of sabotaging American agriculture.
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kwa nia ya kuhujumu kilimo cha Marekani.
09:45
First, you'd have to figure out
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Kwanza, unatakiwa ujue
09:46
which genes control what the fly wants to eat,
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ni jeni zipi zinaongoza kitu gani nzi wanataka kula,
09:49
which is already a very long and complicated project.
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ambayo tayari ni mpango mrefu sana na mgumu.
09:52
Then you'd have to alter those genes to change the fly's behavior
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Kisha urekebishe hizo jeni kubadilisha tabia ya nzi
09:55
to whatever you'd want it to be,
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kuwa chochote unachotaka kiwe
09:57
which is an even longer and more complicated project.
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ambayo ni mpango mrefu zaidi na mgumu zaidi.
10:00
And it might not even work,
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Na inaweza isifanye kazi,
10:01
because the genes that control behavior are complex.
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kwasababu jeni zinazoongoza tabia ni changamani
10:04
So if you're a terrorist and have to choose
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Kama wewe ni gaidi na unatakiwa uchague
10:06
between starting a grueling basic research program
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kati ya kuanza programu ya utafiti yenye kuchosha
10:08
that will require years of meticulous lab work and still might not pan out,
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itakayohitaji miaka mingi maabara na bado isitokee vizuri,
10:12
or just blowing stuff up?
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au ulipue tu vitu?
10:13
You'll probably choose the later.
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Pengine utachagua cha pili.
10:15
This is especially true because at least in theory,
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Hii haswa ni kweli kwasababu angalau kinadharia
10:17
it should be pretty easy to build what's called a reversal drive.
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inatakiwa iwe rahisi kujenga ubadilishaji kinyume.
10:21
That's one that basically overwrites the change made by the first gene drive.
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Hii ndio ile inayofunika mabadiliko ya ubadilishaji jeni wa kwanza
10:24
So if you don't like the effects of a change,
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Hivyo kama hupendi athari za mabadiliko,
10:27
you can just release a second drive that will cancel it out,
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unaweza kutoa tu ubadilishaji wapili ambao utaifuta,
10:29
at least in theory.
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angalau kinadharia.
10:33
OK, so where does this leave us?
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OK,hii inatuacha wapi?
10:36
We now have the ability to change entire species at will.
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Sasa tunao uwezo wa kubadilisha spishi yoyote kwa hiari.
10:41
Should we?
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Tufanye hivyo?
10:42
Are we gods now?
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Tumekuwa miungu sasa?
10:45
I'm not sure I'd say that.
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Sijui kama ningesema hivyo.
10:48
But I would say this:
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Ila ningesema hivi:
10:50
first, some very smart people
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kwanza, baadhi ya watu wenye akili sana
10:52
are even now debating how to regulate gene drives.
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sasa hivi wanajadili jinsi ya kudhibiti ubadilishaji jeni.
10:55
At the same time, some other very smart people
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Wakati huo huo watu wengine wenye akili sana
10:58
are working hard to create safeguards,
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wanafanyakazi kwa bidii kuunda uhifadhi,
11:00
like gene drives that self-regulate or peter out after a few generations.
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ikiwa uendeshaji jeni utajiendesha au kupotea baada ya vizazi vichache.
11:04
That's great.
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Hivyo ni vizuri
11:06
But this technology still requires a conversation.
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Lakini teknolojia hii bado inahitaji mazungunzo.
11:10
And given the nature of gene drives,
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Kutokana ubadilishaji jeni ulivyo
11:11
that conversation has to be global.
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mazungumzo hayo yawe ya kimataifa.
11:14
What if Kenya wants to use a drive but Tanzania doesn't?
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Itakuwaje Kenya ikitaka kutumia ila Tanzania inakataa?
11:17
Who decides whether to release a gene drive that can fly?
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Nani anayeamua iwe kuachia ubadilishaji jeni utakaopaa?
11:22
I don't have the answer to that question.
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Sina majibu kwa swali hilo.
11:25
All we can do going forward, I think,
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Tunachoweza kufanya mbeleni, nadhani,
11:27
is talk honestly about the risks and benefits
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ni kuongea kwa uwazi kuhusu hatari na faida
11:30
and take responsibility for our choices.
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na kuwajibika kwa uchaguzi wetu.
11:33
By that I mean, not just the choice to use a gene drive,
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kwa hilo, namaanisha si uchaguzi tu wa kutumia ubadilishaji jeni,
11:37
but also the choice not to use one.
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bali pia uchaguzi wa kutotumia.
11:41
Humans have a tendency to assume that the safest option
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Binadamu wanatabia ya kudhania uchaguzi salama kuliko wote
11:44
is to preserve the status quo.
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ni kutunza hali kama ilivyo.
11:46
But that's not always the case.
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Lakini haiko hivyo siku zote.
11:49
Gene drives have risks, and those need to be discussed,
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Ubadilishaji jeni una hatari na hizo zinahitaji kujadiliwa,
11:53
but malaria exists now and kills 1,000 people a day.
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lakini malaria ipo sasa na inaua watu 1,000 kila siku.
11:56
To combat it, we spray pesticides that do grave damage to other species,
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kupambana nayo, tunapuliza dawa ambazo huharibu spishi nyingine,
12:00
including amphibians and birds.
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ikijumuisha amfibia na ndege.
12:03
So when you hear about gene drives in the coming months,
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Hivyo utakaposikia ubadilishaji jeni miezi inayokuja,
12:06
and trust me, you will be hearing about them,
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na niamini utasikia habari zake
12:08
remember that.
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ila kutofanya kitu ni mbaya zaidi.
kumbuka kwamba.
12:10
It can be frightening to act,
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inaweza kutia hofu kuchukua hatua,
12:12
but sometimes, not acting is worse.
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12:16
(Applause)
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(Makofi)
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