What will future jobs look like? | Andrew McAfee

Translator: Joseph Geni Reviewer: Morton Bast

Prevodilac: Jasna Andjelkovic Lektor: Ivana Korom

The writer George Eliot cautioned us that,

Spisateljica Džordž Eliot upozorila nas je,

among all forms of mistake,

da je među svim greškama,

prophesy is the most gratuitous.

predviđanje najbespotrebnija.

The person that we would all acknowledge

Osoba za koju bismo se složili

as her 20th-century counterpart, Yogi Berra, agreed.

da je njen istomišljenik iz XX veka, Jogi Bera, složio se.

He said, "It's tough to make predictions,

On kaže: "Teško je predviđati,

especially about the future."

naročito u vezi sa budućnošću."

I'm going to ignore their cautions

Ja ću ignorisati njihova upozorenja

and make one very specific forecast.

i predvideću nešto veoma specifično.

In the world that we are creating very quickly,

U svetu gde stvaramo novine veoma brzo,

we're going to see more and more things

videćemo sve više i više stvari

that look like science fiction,

kao iz naučne fantastike,

and fewer and fewer things that look like jobs.

a sve manje stvari koje izgledaju kao posao.

Our cars are very quickly going to start driving themselves,

Naša kola će uskoro početi sama da se voze,

which means we're going to need fewer truck drivers.

što znači da će nam trebati sve manje vozača kamiona.

We're going to hook Siri up to Watson

Povezaćemo Siri i Votsona

and use that to automate a lot of the work

i koristitćemo ih za automatizaciju posla

that's currently done by customer service reps

koji trenutno obavlja služba za rad sa strankama

and troubleshooters and diagnosers,

i kontrolori i predviđači,

and we're already taking R2D2,

a već upotrebljavamo robota "Artu-Ditu" (iz "Ratova zvezda"),

painting him orange, and putting him to work

narandžaste boje, kog uključujemo u poslove

carrying shelves around warehouses,

nošenja delova u skladištima,

which means we need a lot fewer people

što znači da nam je potrebno manje ljudi

to be walking up and down those aisles.

da šeta ovim prolazima.

Now, for about 200 years,

Već oko 200 godina,

people have been saying exactly what I'm telling you --

ljudi govore upravo ovo što pričam,

the age of technological unemployment is at hand —

doba tehnološke nezaposlenosti je nadomak ruke -

starting with the Luddites smashing looms in Britain

počevši od Ladovog pokreta uništavanja mašina u Velikoj Britaniji

just about two centuries ago,

od pre dva veka,

and they have been wrong.

što se pokazalo pogrešnim.

Our economies in the developed world have coasted along

Ekonomija našeg razvijenog sveta razvijala se

on something pretty close to full employment.

na skoro potpunoj zaposlenosti.

Which brings up a critical question:

Što nas dovodi do ključnog pitanja:

Why is this time different, if it really is?

zašto je ovo vreme drugačije, ako zaista jeste?

The reason it's different is that, just in the past few years,

Različito je jedino zato što su u proteklih nekoliko godina,

our machines have started demonstrating skills

mašine demonstrirale veštine

they have never, ever had before:

koje ranije nisu imale, a to su:

understanding, speaking, hearing, seeing,

razumevanje, pričanje, slušanje, gledanje,

answering, writing, and they're still acquiring new skills.

odgovaranje, pisanje, a još uvek stiču i nove veštine.

For example, mobile humanoid robots

Na primer, mobilni humaidni roboti

are still incredibly primitive,

još uvek su veoma nerazvijeni,

but the research arm of the Defense Department

ali odeljenje za istraživanja Ministarstva odbrane

just launched a competition

upravo je pokrenulo nadmetanje

to have them do things like this,

za robote koji bi radili ovakve stvari

and if the track record is any guide,

i ako je ostvaren učinak nekakav pokazatelj,

this competition is going to be successful.

ovo takmičenje biće uspešno.

So when I look around, I think the day is not too far off at all

Kada pogledam oko sebe, mislim da taj dan kada ćemo

when we're going to have androids

imati androide nije uopšte daleko,

doing a lot of the work that we are doing right now.

oni će obavljati mnoge poslove koje danas mi radimo.

And we're creating a world where there is going to be

Stvaramo svet u kome će biti

more and more technology and fewer and fewer jobs.

sve više tehnologije, a sve manje angažovanja ljudske radne snage.

It's a world that Erik Brynjolfsson and I are calling

To je svet koji Erik Brinjolfson i ja zovemo

"the new machine age."

"novo mašinsko doba".

The thing to keep in mind is that

Ono što treba imati na umu jeste

this is absolutely great news.

da je to odlična vest.

This is the best economic news on the planet these days.

To je najbolja vest na svetu za našu privredu.

Not that there's a lot of competition, right?

Nije da postoji mnogo konkurencije, zar ne?

This is the best economic news we have these days

Ovo je najbolja vest u privredi ovih dana

for two main reasons.

iz dva glavna razloga.

The first is, technological progress is what allows us

Prvi je, tehnološki napredak nam dozvoljava

to continue this amazing recent run that we're on

da nastavimo ovaj neverovatni napredak,

where output goes up over time,

gde proizvodnja sve više raste vremenom,

while at the same time, prices go down,

dok u isto vreme, cene padaju,

and volume and quality just continue to explode.

a količina i kvalitet samo nastavljaju s ekspanzijom.

Now, some people look at this and talk about

Neki ljudi gledaju ovo i govore

shallow materialism,

o površnom materijalizmu,

but that's absolutely the wrong way to look at it.

ali to je pogrešan način gledanja.

This is abundance, which is exactly

Ovo je izobilje, koje je tačno

what we want our economic system to provide.

ono što želimo da naša privreda obezbeđuje.

The second reason that the new machine age

Drugi razlog zašto je novo mašinsko doba

is such great news is that, once the androids

tako dobra vest, jeste i to što kada jednom androidi

start doing jobs, we don't have to do them anymore,

počnu s obavljanjem poslova, mi nećemo morati da ih radimo,

and we get freed up from drudgery and toil.

bićemo oslobođeni od napora i truda.

Now, when I talk about this with my friends

Kada o ovome pričam s prijateljima

in Cambridge and Silicon Valley, they say,

u Kembridžu i Silicijumskoj dolini, kažu:

"Fantastic. No more drudgery, no more toil.

"Fantastično. Nema više napora, nema više truda.

This gives us the chance to imagine

Ovo nam pruža šansu da maštamo

an entirely different kind of society,

o potpuno drugom društvu,

a society where the creators and the discoverers

društvu gde kreativci i pronalazači,

and the performers and the innovators

kao i izvođači i inovatori

come together with their patrons and their financiers

mogu da sednu sa svojim sponzorima ili finansijerima,

to talk about issues, entertain, enlighten,

i da raspravljaju o raznim stvarima, zabavljaju se, obrazuju

provoke each other."

ili izazivaju jedni druge."

It's a society really, that looks a lot like the TED Conference.

To je zapravo društvo koje liči na TED konferenciju.

And there's actually a huge amount of truth here.

Ovde zaista leži dosta istine.

We are seeing an amazing flourishing taking place.

Gledamo kako nastaje neverovatan napredak.

In a world where it is just about as easy

U svetu gde je jednako jdnostavno stvoriti

to generate an object as it is to print a document,

objekat kao što je jednostavno odštampati dokument,

we have amazing new possibilities.

imamo neverovatne mogućnosti.

The people who used to be craftsmen and hobbyists

Zanatlije i ljubitelji hobija

are now makers, and they're responsible

su sada stvaraoci, odgovorni

for massive amounts of innovation.

za mnoštvo inovacija.

And artists who were formerly constrained

A umetnici koji su ranije bili ograničeni

can now do things that were never, ever possible

sada mogu raditi stvari koje nikad nisu bile moguće

for them before.

za njih ranije.

So this is a time of great flourishing,

Tako da je u pitanju vreme velikog procvata

and the more I look around, the more convinced I become

i što više posmatram, uvereniji sam

that this quote, from the physicist Freeman Dyson,

da sledeći citat fizičara Frimena Dajsona,

is not hyperbole at all.

nije više preterivanje.

This is just a plain statement of the facts.

To je samo obična izjava činjenica.

We are in the middle of an astonishing period.

Nalazimo se usred zapanjujućeg perioda.

["Technology is a gift of God. After the gift of life it is perhaps the greatest of God's gifts. It is the mother of civilizations, of arts and of sciences." — Freeman Dyson]

["Tehnologija je poklon od boga. Nakon života, ovo je možda najveći božiji dar. Ona je rodila civilizacije, umetnosti i nauke" - Frimen Dajson]

Which brings up another great question:

Što nas dovodi do sledećeg pitanja:

What could possibly go wrong in this new machine age?

šta bi moglo poći naopako u novoj mašinskoj eri?

Right? Great, hang up, flourish, go home.

Zar ne? Super, spusti slušalicu, napreduj, idi kući.

We're going to face two really thorny sets of challenges

Suočićemo se s dve bodljikave skupine izazova,

as we head deeper into the future that we're creating.

što se više udubljujemo u budućnost koju stvaramo.

The first are economic, and they're really nicely summarized

Prvo je privreda, vrlo je lepo sumirana

in an apocryphal story about a back-and-forth

u sumnjivoj priči o razgovoru

between Henry Ford II and Walter Reuther,

između Henrija Forda II i Valtera Rutera,

who was the head of the auto workers union.

koji je bio predsedavajući udruženja auto majstora.

They were touring one of the new modern factories,

Oni su obilazili jednu od novih modernih fabrika

and Ford playfully turns to Reuther and says,

i Ford se veselo okrenuo Ruteru i pitao:

"Hey Walter, how are you going to get these robots

"Hej Voltere, kako ćeš naterati te robote

to pay union dues?"

da plaćaju sindikalne članarine?"

And Reuther shoots back, "Hey Henry,

A Ruter je uzviknuo zauzvrat: "Henri,

how are you going to get them to buy cars?"

kako ćeš ih naterati da kupuju automobile?"

Reuther's problem in that anecdote

Ruterov problem u anegdoti je taj

is that it is tough to offer your labor to an economy

što je teško nuditi vaš rad privredi

that's full of machines,

koja je puna mašina,

and we see this very clearly in the statistics.

a što možemo videti iz statistika.

If you look over the past couple decades

Ako pogeldate, prethodnih par decenija,

at the returns to capital -- in other words, corporate profits --

zarada - drugim rečima, korporativni profit -

we see them going up,

raste,

and we see that they're now at an all-time high.

a vidimo da je trenutno najviša u istoriji.

If we look at the returns to labor, in other words

Ukoliko pogledamo zaradu za rad, drugim rečima

total wages paid out in the economy,

ukupne zarade isplaćene u privredi,

we see them at an all-time low

najniže su do sada,

and heading very quickly in the opposite direction.

a ubrzano počinju da se kreću u suprotnom pravcu.

So this is clearly bad news for Reuther.

Ovo je očito loša vest za Rutera.

It looks like it might be great news for Ford,

Izgleda da bi mogla biti dobra vest za Forda,

but it's actually not. If you want to sell

ali zapravo nije. Ako želite prodati

huge volumes of somewhat expensive goods to people,

velike količine skupog dobra kupcima,

you really want a large, stable, prosperous middle class.

trebaće vam brojna, stabilna, srednja klasa.

We have had one of those in America

To smo imali u Americi

for just about the entire postwar period.

u posleratnom periodu.

But the middle class is clearly under huge threat right now.

No, srednja klasa je očigledno vrlo ugrožena danas.

We all know a lot of the statistics,

Svi znamo mnogo staistika,

but just to repeat one of them,

ali čisto da ponovim jednu od njih,

median income in America has actually gone down

srednji prihodi u Americi su u stvari opali

over the past 15 years,

u zadnjih 15 godina

and we're in danger of getting trapped

i možemo upasti u zamku

in some vicious cycle where inequality and polarization

nekog začaranog kruga, gde nejednakost i polarizacija

continue to go up over time.

nastavljaju da se produbljuju vremenom.

The societal challenges that come along

Društveni izazovi koji dolaze

with that kind of inequality deserve some attention.

sa ovakvim nejednakostima zaslužuju pažnju.

There are a set of societal challenges

Javlja se niz društvenih izazova

that I'm actually not that worried about,

oko kojih nisam toliko zabrinut,

and they're captured by images like this.

a oni su prikazani u ovakvim prizorima.

This is not the kind of societal problem

Ja nisam zabrinut

that I am concerned about.

za ovu vrstu društvenih problema.

There is no shortage of dystopian visions

Ne postoji nestašica distopijske vizije,

about what happens when our machines become self-aware,

u vezi s tim šta se dešava kad mašine postanu svesne,

and they decide to rise up and coordinate attacks against us.

pa odluče da ustanu da se pobune protiv nas.

I'm going to start worrying about those

O ovim stvarima počeću da brinem

the day my computer becomes aware of my printer.

dana kad moj kompjuter postane svestan štampača.

(Laughter) (Applause)

(Smeh) (Aplauz)

So this is not the set of challenges we really need to worry about.

Dakle, to nije problem koji zabrinjava.

To tell you the kinds of societal challenges

Da bih vam rekao kakvi društveni problemi

that are going to come up in the new machine age,

dolaze sa novom mašinskom erom,

I want to tell a story about two stereotypical American workers.

želim prvo da ispričam jednu priču o dva tipična američka radnika.

And to make them really stereotypical,

A da bih mogao da ih prikažem kao stereotipe,

let's make them both white guys.

recimo da su u pitanju dva belca.

And the first one is a college-educated

Prvi je završio fakultet,

professional, creative type, manager,

profesionalac, kreativan tip, menadžer,

engineer, doctor, lawyer, that kind of worker.

inženjer, doktor, advokat, ta vrsta radnika.

We're going to call him "Ted."

Zvaćemo ga "Ted."

He's at the top of the American middle class.

On je sa vrha američke srednje klase.

His counterpart is not college-educated

Njegov kolega nije fakultetski obrazovan

and works as a laborer, works as a clerk,

i radi kao običan radnik, službenik,

does low-level white collar or blue collar work in the economy.

radi kao niži administrativac ili radi u privredi.

We're going to call that guy "Bill."

Zvaćemo ga "Bil."

And if you go back about 50 years,

Ako se vratite za oko 50 godina unazad,

Bill and Ted were leading remarkably similar lives.

Bil i Ted su živeli dosta sličnim životom.

For example, in 1960 they were both very likely

Na primer, 1960-ih, obojica su vrlo verovatno imali

to have full-time jobs, working at least 40 hours a week.

stalan posao, radeći najmanje 40 sati nedeljno.

But as the social researcher Charles Murray has documented,

Ali kao što je istraživač sociolog Čarls Mari zabeležio,

as we started to automate the economy,

što smo više automatizovali privredu,

and 1960 is just about when computers started to be used by businesses,

a 1960-te su godine kad kompjuteri ulaze u poslovanje,

as we started to progressively inject technology

kako smo počeli da ubrzano implementiramo tehnologiju

and automation and digital stuff into the economy,

i automatizaciju i digitalni svet u privredu,

the fortunes of Bill and Ted diverged a lot.

sudbine Bila i Teda su se razišle.

Over this time frame, Ted has continued

Tokom ovog vremenskog okvira, Ted i dalje

to hold a full-time job. Bill hasn't.

ima stalan posao. Bil nema.

In many cases, Bill has left the economy entirely,

U mnogo slučajeva, Bil je potpuno napustio privredu,

and Ted very rarely has.

dok je to Ted retko činio.

Over time, Ted's marriage has stayed quite happy.

Kroz vreme, Todov brak ostao je prilično srećan,

Bill's hasn't.

Bilov nije.

And Ted's kids have grown up in a two-parent home,

Tedova deca su odrasla u domu sa oba svoja roditelja,

while Bill's absolutely have not over time.

dok Bilova deca nisu.

Other ways that Bill is dropping out of society?

Još neki dokaz da Bil ispada iz društva?

He's decreased his voting in presidential elections,

Sve ređe izlazi na izbore

and he's started to go to prison a lot more often.

i sve češće ide u zatvor.

So I cannot tell a happy story about these social trends,

Nemam priču sa srećnim krajem u vezi sa ovim društvenim tendencijama,

and they don't show any signs of reversing themselves.

a takođe ni one ne pokazuju suprotne težnje.

They're also true no matter which ethnic group

Tačne su bez obzira na etničku pripadnost

or demographic group we look at,

ili demografsku grupu koju gledamo,

and they're actually getting so severe

i postaju tako ozbiljne

that they're in danger of overwhelming

da postoji teškoća u njihovom prevazilaženju

even the amazing progress we made with the Civil Rights Movement.

čak i uz napredak koji smo učinili sa pokretom za Građanska prava.

And what my friends in Silicon Valley

I ono što moji prijatelji iz Silicijumske doline

and Cambridge are overlooking is that they're Ted.

i Kembridža previđaju, jeste da su oni Ted.

They're living these amazingly busy, productive lives,

Žive te svoje potpuno okupirane, produktivne živote,

and they've got all the benefits to show from that,

i imaju sve predosti toga,

while Bill is leading a very different life.

dok Bil vodi drugačiji život.

They're actually both proof of how right Voltaire was

Oni su zapravo dokaz da je Volter bio u pravu

when he talked about the benefits of work,

kada je pričao o prednostima posla,

and the fact that it saves us from not one but three great evils.

i činjenici da nas on spašava ne jednog, već od tri zla.

["Work saves a man from three great evils: boredom, vice and need." — Voltaire]

["Posao spašava čoveka od tri velika zla: dosade, poroka i potreba." - Volter]

So with these challenges, what do we do about them?

Šta ćemo uraditi sa ovim izazovima?

The economic playbook is surprisingly clear,

Privredna pravila su iznenađujuće jasna,

surprisingly straightforward, in the short term especially.

i iznenađujuće jednostavna, posebno u kraćem roku.

The robots are not going to take all of our jobs in the next year or two,

Roboti neće preuzeti sve naše poslove u narednih godinu-dve,

so the classic Econ 101 playbook is going to work just fine:

te će klasični udžbenik osnova ekonomije funkcionisati sasvim dobro:

Encourage entrepreneurship,

podsticati preduzetništvo,

double down on infrastructure,

udvostručiti infrastrukturu,

and make sure we're turning out people

i postarati se da proizvodimo ljude

from our educational system with the appropriate skills.

koji su adekvatno osposobljeni obrazovanjem.

But over the longer term, if we are moving into an economy

Ali na duge staze, ako uđemo u privredu,

that's heavy on technology and light on labor,

koja ima mnogo tehnologije i malo ljudskog rada,

and we are, then we have to consider

a to je neminovno, onda moramo razmotriti

some more radical interventions,

i neke radikalnije poteze,

for example, something like a guaranteed minimum income.

na primer, nešto kao garantovani minimalac.

Now, that's probably making some folk in this room uncomfortable,

Nekima će ovo biti neprijatno,

because that idea is associated with the extreme left wing

zbog toga što je sama ova ideja povezana sa ekstremnom levicom

and with fairly radical schemes for redistributing wealth.

i prilično drastičnim planom za preraspodelu dobara.

I did a little bit of research on this notion,

Malo sam istraživao,

and it might calm some folk down to know that

i može nas umiriti to što znamo da je

the idea of a net guaranteed minimum income

ideja o neto garantovanom minimalnom prihodu,

has been championed by those frothing-at-the-mouth socialists

povezana sa zapenjenim socijalistima,

Friedrich Hayek, Richard Nixon and Milton Friedman.

Fridrihom Hajekom, Ričardom Niksonom, Miltonom Fridmenom.

And if you find yourself worried

I ako se brinete

that something like a guaranteed income

da će nešto kao garantovani minalni prihod

is going to stifle our drive to succeed

ugušiti težnju za uspehom,

and make us kind of complacent,

i učiniti nas na neki način zadovoljnim,

you might be interested to know that social mobility,

možda ćete biti zainteresovani za činjenicu da je društvena pokretljivost,

one of the things we really pride ourselves on in the United States,

jedna od stvari kojom se zaista ponosimo u SAD-u,

is now lower than it is in the northern European countries

sada manja nego u zemljama severne Evrope

that have these very generous social safety nets.

koje imaju vrlo velikodušnu socijalnu zaštitu.

So the economic playbook is actually pretty straightforward.

Privredna pravila su prilično jednostavna.

The societal one is a lot more challenging.

Društvena su mnogo izazovnija.

I don't know what the playbook is

Ne znam šta su pravila

for getting Bill to engage and stay engaged throughout life.

za omogućavanje Bilu da se uključi i ostane takav kroz život.

I do know that education is a huge part of it.

Ali znam da obrazovanje igra veliku ulogu.

I witnessed this firsthand.

Svedok sam toga iz prve ruke.

I was a Montessori kid for the first few years of my education,

Bio sam u Montesori programu prvih godina svog obrazovanja,

and what that education taught me

i ono čemu me je to obrazovanje naučilo,

is that the world is an interesting place

je da je svet interesantno mesto,

and my job is to go explore it.

a moja svrha je da ga istražim.

The school stopped in third grade,

Takva škola prestaje u trećem razredu,

so then I entered the public school system,

kada upisujem državnu školu,

and it felt like I had been sent to the Gulag.

a osećam se kao da sam poslat u Gulag.

With the benefit of hindsight, I now know the job

Sa sadašnjim iskustvom, znam da je

was to prepare me for life as a clerk or a laborer,

to trebalo da me pripremi za život radnika,

but at the time it felt like the job was to kind of

ali sam tad mislio da će me

bore me into some submission with what was going on around me.

ubiti od dosade i pokoriti.

We have to do better than this.

Moramo uraditi nešto bolje.

We cannot keep turning out Bills.

Ne možemo da stvaramo samo radnike.

So we see some green shoots that things are getting better.

A vidimo neke izdanke ka boljitku.

We see technology deeply impacting education

Tehnologija duboko utiče na obrazovanje,

and engaging people, from our youngest learners

a koriste je ljudi od najmlađih učeničkih dana

up to our oldest ones.

do najstarijih.

We see very prominent business voices telling us

Vidimo da ugledni poslovni ljudi govore

we need to rethink some of the things that we've been holding dear for a while.

da treba ponovo razmislimo o stvarima koje volimo već dugo.

And we see very serious and sustained

I vidimo vrlo ozbiljne i konstantne

and data-driven efforts to understand

napore podržane podacima, za razumevanje

how to intervene in some of the most troubled communities that we have.

načina intervenisanja u nekim najkritičnijim zajednicama.

So the green shoots are out there.

Dakle, počeci postoje.

I don't want to pretend for a minute

Ja ne želim ni malo da se pretvaram

that what we have is going to be enough.

da je ovo što imamo dovoljno.

We're facing very tough challenges.

Suočeni smo s teškim izazovima.

To give just one example, there are about five million Americans

Da dam samo jedan primer, postoji oko pet miliona

who have been unemployed for at least six months.

Amerikanaca koji su nezaposleni bar šest meseci.

We're not going to fix things for them

Nećemo popraviti njihovu situaciju

by sending them back to Montessori.

tako što ćemo ih poslati nazad u Montesori.

And my biggest worry is that we're creating a world

A moja najveća briga je to što mi stvaramo svet

where we're going to have glittering technologies

gde ćemo imati sjajne tehnologije

embedded in kind of a shabby society

ugrađene u zastarelo društvo

and supported by an economy that generates inequality

koje podržava privreda koja protežira nejednakost

instead of opportunity.

umesto prilika.

But I actually don't think that's what we're going to do.

Ali svakako da ne mislim da je to ono što ćemo i učiniti.

I think we're going to do something a lot better

Mislim da ćemo uraditi nešto mnogo bolje,

for one very straightforward reason:

iz jednog jednostavnog razloga:

The facts are getting out there.

činjenice postaju poznate.

The realities of this new machine age

Realnost ovog modernog doba mašina

and the change in the economy are becoming more widely known.

i promene u privredi postaju široko prepoznate.

If we wanted to accelerate that process, we could do things

Ako želimo da ubrzamo taj proces, možemo

like have our best economists and policymakers

pustiti najbolje ekonomiste i zakonodavce

play "Jeopardy!" against Watson.

da igraju kviz protiv Votsona.

We could send Congress on an autonomous car road trip.

Možemo poslati Kongres na putovanje kolima bez vozača.

And if we do enough of these kinds of things,

Ako uradimo dovoljno ovakvih stvari,

the awareness is going to sink in that things are going to be different.

razviće se svest da će stvari biti drugačije.

And then we're off to the races,

I onda idemo na takmičenje,

because I don't believe for a second

jer ne verujem ni trenutka

that we have forgotten how to solve tough challenges

da smo zaboravili da rešavamo teške izazove

or that we have become too apathetic or hard-hearted to even try.

ili da smo postali apatični ili tvrdog srca da bismo i pokušali.

I started my talk with quotes from wordsmiths

Počeo sam svoj govor rečima mudraca,

who were separated by an ocean and a century.

koje su razdvajali okean i vek.

Let me end it with words from politicians

Završiću rečima političara

who were similarly distant.

koji su bili slično udaljeni.

Winston Churchill came to my home of MIT in 1949,

Vinston Čerčil je došao na Tehnološki Institut Masačusetsa 1949.,

and he said, "If we are to bring the broad masses

i rekao: "Da treba da dovedemo izobilje

of the people in every land to the table of abundance,

širokim narodnim masama svih zemalja,

it can only be by the tireless improvement

to možemo učiniti samo konstantnim napretkom

of all of our means of technical production."

naše tehničke proizvodnje."

Abraham Lincoln realized there was one other ingredient.

Abraham Linkoln je shvatio da postoji jedan drugi sastojak.

He said, "I am a firm believer in the people.

Rekao je: "Ja čvrsto verujem u ljude.

If given the truth, they can be depended upon

Ako im se da istina, možemo se osloniti

to meet any national crisis.

da će prevazići svaku nacionalnu krizu.

The great point is to give them the plain facts."

Suština je dati im činjenice."

So the optimistic note, great point that I want to leave you with

Optimistička poruka sa kojom bih vas ostavio

is that the plain facts of the machine age are becoming clear,

je to da su činjenice o mašinskom vremenu jasne,

and I have every confidence that we're going to use them

a ja verujem da će nam koristiti

to chart a good course into the challenging,

u odabiru dobrog puta u izazovnu

abundant economy that we're creating.

i bogatu privredu koju stvaramo.

Thank you very much.

Hvala vam na pažnji.

(Applause)

(Aplauz)