What will future jobs look like? | Andrew McAfee

1,260,788 views ・ 2013-06-20

TED


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00:00
Translator: Joseph Geni Reviewer: Morton Bast
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Translator: Alisa Xholi Reviewer: Helena Bedalli
00:12
The writer George Eliot cautioned us that,
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Shkrimtarja George Eliot na terhoqi vemendjen se,
00:15
among all forms of mistake,
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nga te gjitha format e gabimit
00:17
prophesy is the most gratuitous.
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profesia eshte me e lira.
00:19
The person that we would all acknowledge
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Personi qe te gjithe do njihnim
00:21
as her 20th-century counterpart, Yogi Berra, agreed.
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si homologu i saj i shekullit te 20-te, Yogi Berra, ra dakort me te.
00:25
He said, "It's tough to make predictions,
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Ai tha, "Eshte e veshtire te parashikosh,
00:27
especially about the future."
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sidomos mbi te ardhmen."
00:30
I'm going to ignore their cautions
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Une do anashkaloj paralajmerimet e tyre
00:32
and make one very specific forecast.
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dhe do bej nje parashikim shume specifik.
00:34
In the world that we are creating very quickly,
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Ne boten qe ne po krijojme shume shpejt,
00:36
we're going to see more and more things
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do shohim gjithnje e me shume gjera
00:38
that look like science fiction,
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qe ngjajne me fantashkence,
00:40
and fewer and fewer things that look like jobs.
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dhe shume pak gjera qe ngjajne me pune.
00:43
Our cars are very quickly going to start driving themselves,
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Makinat tona shume shpejt do drejtohen vete
00:46
which means we're going to need fewer truck drivers.
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qe do te thote se do na duhen me pak shofera kamioni.
00:48
We're going to hook Siri up to Watson
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Do lidhim Siri me Watson
00:51
and use that to automate a lot of the work
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dhe ta perdorim ate per te automatizuar shume pune
00:53
that's currently done by customer service reps
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qe momentalisht behen nga perfaqesues te sherbimit te klientit
00:55
and troubleshooters and diagnosers,
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dhe ekspert dhe diagnostikues,
00:58
and we're already taking R2D2,
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dhe tashme po marim R2D2,
01:00
painting him orange, and putting him to work
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te lyer portokalli, dhe e veme ne pune
01:04
carrying shelves around warehouses,
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per te mbajtur rafte ne magazina,
01:06
which means we need a lot fewer people
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qe do te thote se na duhen me pak njerez
01:08
to be walking up and down those aisles.
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per te ecur larte e poshte neper ato korridore.
01:10
Now, for about 200 years,
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Per rreth 200 vjet,
01:14
people have been saying exactly what I'm telling you --
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njerezit kane thene ekzaktesisht ate cka po ju them une--
01:16
the age of technological unemployment is at hand —
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mosha e papunesise teknologjike eshte afer--
01:19
starting with the Luddites smashing looms in Britain
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duke filluar me Ludditet qe shkaterruan tezgjahet ne Britani
01:22
just about two centuries ago,
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rreth dy shekuj me pare,
01:23
and they have been wrong.
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dhe eshte e gabuar.
01:25
Our economies in the developed world have coasted along
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Ekonomite tona ne boten e zhvilliuar kane arritur
01:28
on something pretty close to full employment.
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ne dicka qe ngjason me punesim te plote.
01:30
Which brings up a critical question:
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E cila sjell nje pyetje kritike:
01:32
Why is this time different, if it really is?
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Pse eshte ndryshe kete radhe, nese eshte vertet?
01:35
The reason it's different is that, just in the past few years,
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Arsyeja pse eshte ndryshe eshte sepse vitet e fundit
01:38
our machines have started demonstrating skills
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makinerite tona kane filluar te demostrojne aftesi
01:40
they have never, ever had before:
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qe nuk i kane pasur kurre me pare:
01:43
understanding, speaking, hearing, seeing,
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per te kuptuar, te folur, te degjuar, te shikuar,
01:46
answering, writing, and they're still acquiring new skills.
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per tu pergjigjur, te shkruar, dhe jane ne kerkim te aftesive te reja.
01:50
For example, mobile humanoid robots
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Per shembull, robotet humanoid te levizshem
01:53
are still incredibly primitive,
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jane akoma teper primitiv,
01:55
but the research arm of the Defense Department
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por sektori i kerkimit ne Departamentin e Mbrojtjes
01:57
just launched a competition
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sapo hapi nje konkurs
01:58
to have them do things like this,
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per te arritur qe ata te bejne gjera si keto,
02:00
and if the track record is any guide,
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dhe nese gjykojme nga publikimet e meparshme,
02:02
this competition is going to be successful.
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ky konkurs do jete i suksesshem.
02:05
So when I look around, I think the day is not too far off at all
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Kur shikoj perreth, mendoj se nuk eshte aspak e larget dita
02:08
when we're going to have androids
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kur androidet
02:10
doing a lot of the work that we are doing right now.
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do te bejne shumicen e punes qe ne bejme tani.
02:13
And we're creating a world where there is going to be
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Ne po ndertojme nje bote ku do te kete
02:17
more and more technology and fewer and fewer jobs.
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shume e me shume teknologji dhe pak e me pak pune.
02:21
It's a world that Erik Brynjolfsson and I are calling
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Eshte nje bote qe Erik Brynjolfsson dhe une e quajme
02:23
"the new machine age."
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"Epoka e re e makines."
02:24
The thing to keep in mind is that
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Dicka per tu mbajtur ne mendje eshte se
02:27
this is absolutely great news.
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keto jane absolutisht lajme te mira.
02:29
This is the best economic news on the planet these days.
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Keto jane lajmet me te mira ekonomike ne planet ne kete moment.
02:32
Not that there's a lot of competition, right?
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Jo se ka shume kompeticion, apo jo?
02:36
This is the best economic news we have these days
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Keto jane lajmet me te mira ekonomike keto dite
02:38
for two main reasons.
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per dy arsye kryesore.
02:39
The first is, technological progress is what allows us
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E para, eshte progresi teknologjik ai qe na lejon ne
02:42
to continue this amazing recent run that we're on
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te vazhdojme kete vrap mahnites ne te cilen ndodhemi
02:46
where output goes up over time,
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aty ku prodhimi rritet gjate kohes,
02:49
while at the same time, prices go down,
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ndersa cmimet bien,
02:52
and volume and quality just continue to explode.
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dhe sasia dhe cilesia thjesht vazhdojne te shperthejne.
02:56
Now, some people look at this and talk about
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Disa njerez e shohin kete si
02:58
shallow materialism,
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materialismin e ceket,
03:00
but that's absolutely the wrong way to look at it.
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por kjo eshte absolutisht menyra e gabuar per ta pare ate.
03:02
This is abundance, which is exactly
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Ky eshte bollek, qe eshte saktesisht
03:05
what we want our economic system to provide.
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ajo qe duam qe te siguroje sistemi ekonomik.
03:08
The second reason that the new machine age
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Arsyeja e dyte, qe epoka e re makines
03:11
is such great news is that, once the androids
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eshte kaq lajm i mire eshte sepse, sapo androidet
03:14
start doing jobs, we don't have to do them anymore,
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te fillojne te kryejne pune, nuk do na duhet me ti bejme ne
03:17
and we get freed up from drudgery and toil.
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dhe do te lirohemi nga angaria dhe punet e rendomta.
03:21
Now, when I talk about this with my friends
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Kur e diskutoj kete me miqte e mi
03:23
in Cambridge and Silicon Valley, they say,
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ne Cambridge dhe ne Silicon Valley, ata thone,
03:25
"Fantastic. No more drudgery, no more toil.
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"Fantastike. Nuk ka me angari, nuk ka me pune te rendomta.
03:27
This gives us the chance to imagine
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Kjo na jep mundesine te imagjinojme
03:29
an entirely different kind of society,
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nje shoqeri komplet ndryshe,
03:32
a society where the creators and the discoverers
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nje shoqeri ku krijuesit dhe zbuluesit
03:35
and the performers and the innovators
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dhe performuesit dhe novatoret
03:36
come together with their patrons and their financiers
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bashkohen me klientet dhe financuesit e tyre
03:40
to talk about issues, entertain, enlighten,
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per te diskutuar mbi subjekte te ndryshme,
03:43
provoke each other."
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frymezojne dhe konfrontojne njeri tjetrin."
03:45
It's a society really, that looks a lot like the TED Conference.
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Eshte nje shoqeri, e cila ngjason shume me Konferencen TED.
03:49
And there's actually a huge amount of truth here.
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Dhe ka nje te vertete te madhe ketu.
03:52
We are seeing an amazing flourishing taking place.
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Po shohim nje lulezim te mahnitshem.
03:55
In a world where it is just about as easy
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Ne nje bote ku eshte po aq e thjeshte
03:57
to generate an object as it is to print a document,
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te prodhosh nje objekt apo te printosh nje dokument,
04:00
we have amazing new possibilities.
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kemi mundesi te reja te mahnitshme.
04:02
The people who used to be craftsmen and hobbyists
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Njerezit te cilet kane qene mjeshter dhe amatore
04:06
are now makers, and they're responsible
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tashme jane krijues, dhe jane pergjegjes
04:08
for massive amounts of innovation.
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per nje numer te madh risish.
04:10
And artists who were formerly constrained
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Artiste qe me pare kane qene te limituar
04:13
can now do things that were never, ever possible
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tashme mund te bejne gjera qe nuk kane qene kurre te mundshme
04:16
for them before.
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me pare per ata.
04:18
So this is a time of great flourishing,
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Pra kjo eshte nje kohe lulezimi
04:20
and the more I look around, the more convinced I become
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dhe sa me shume shoh perreth, me shume bindem
04:23
that this quote, from the physicist Freeman Dyson,
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qe citati i fizikantit Freeman Dyson,
04:26
is not hyperbole at all.
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nuk eshte aspak hiperbolik.
04:28
This is just a plain statement of the facts.
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Kjo eshte thjesht nje deklarate e qarte mbi fakte.
04:31
We are in the middle of an astonishing period.
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Jemi ne mes te nje periudhe mahnitese.
04:32
["Technology is a gift of God. After the gift of life it is perhaps the greatest of God's gifts. It is the mother of civilizations, of arts and of sciences." — Freeman Dyson]
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("Teknologjia eshte nje dhurate nga Zoti. Pas dhurates se jetes eshte dhurata me e bukur nga te gjitha dhuratat e Zotit. Eshte nena e civilizimit, e artit dhe shkences." Freeman Dyson)
04:33
Which brings up another great question:
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Qe sjell nje tjeter pyetje te madhe:
04:36
What could possibly go wrong in this new machine age?
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Cfare mund te shkoje keq ne kete epoke e re te makines?
04:39
Right? Great, hang up, flourish, go home.
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Apo jo? Mire, mjaft, perparon, shko ne shtepi.
04:42
We're going to face two really thorny sets of challenges
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Do perballemi me dy seri sfidash te veshtira
04:45
as we head deeper into the future that we're creating.
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ndersa futemi me thelle ne te ardhmen qe po krijojme.
04:48
The first are economic, and they're really nicely summarized
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Te parat jane ekonomite, dhe qe permblidhen shume mire
04:51
in an apocryphal story about a back-and-forth
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ne nje histori fiktive rreth komunikimit
04:54
between Henry Ford II and Walter Reuther,
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ndermjet Henry Ford II dhe Walter Reuther,
04:57
who was the head of the auto workers union.
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i cili ishte kryetar i sindikates se punetoreve te automobilave.
05:00
They were touring one of the new modern factories,
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Po vizitonin nje nga fabrikat e reja moderne
05:02
and Ford playfully turns to Reuther and says,
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dhe Ford me shaka kthehet nga Reuther dhe i thote,
05:05
"Hey Walter, how are you going to get these robots
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"Hej Walter, si do ti besh keta robote
05:07
to pay union dues?"
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te paguajne detyrimet e sindikates?"
05:09
And Reuther shoots back, "Hey Henry,
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Dhe Reuther ja kthen, "Hej Henry,
05:11
how are you going to get them to buy cars?"
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si do ti besh ata te blejne makina?"
05:15
Reuther's problem in that anecdote
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Problemi i Reuther ne ate anektode
05:18
is that it is tough to offer your labor to an economy
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ishte se eshte e veshtire te ofrosh punen tende ne nje ekonomi
05:22
that's full of machines,
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e cila eshte e mbushur me makineri,
05:24
and we see this very clearly in the statistics.
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dhe kete e shohim shume qarte neper stastistika.
05:26
If you look over the past couple decades
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Nese do kthehesh te shohesh disa dekada perpara
05:29
at the returns to capital -- in other words, corporate profits --
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ne kthimet e kapitalit -- e thene ndryshe, perfitimet e korporatave --
05:32
we see them going up,
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i shohim ne ngritje,
05:34
and we see that they're now at an all-time high.
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dhe shohim qe tani ato jane me te larta se ne te gjitha koherat.
05:36
If we look at the returns to labor, in other words
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Nese shohim ne kthimet mbi punen, ose ndryshe
05:39
total wages paid out in the economy,
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paga totale te paguara ne ekonomi,
05:41
we see them at an all-time low
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i shohim si me te ultat e te gjithe koherave
05:43
and heading very quickly in the opposite direction.
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dhe i jane drejtuar shume shpejt drejtimit te kundert.
05:46
So this is clearly bad news for Reuther.
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Pra keto jane lajme te keqija per Reuther.
05:48
It looks like it might be great news for Ford,
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Duket sikur mund te jene lajme te mira per Ford,
05:52
but it's actually not. If you want to sell
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por realisht nuk jane. Nese doni te shisni
05:54
huge volumes of somewhat expensive goods to people,
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sasi te medha te mirash materiale te shtrenjta tek njerezit,
05:57
you really want a large, stable, prosperous middle class.
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realisht ju doni nje klase te mesme te madhe, stabel dhe te suksesshme.
06:01
We have had one of those in America
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E kemi pasur nje te tille ne Amerike
06:03
for just about the entire postwar period.
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per gjithe periudhen pas lufte.
06:06
But the middle class is clearly under huge threat right now.
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Por klasa e mesme eshte qartazi ne rrezik te larte tashme.
06:10
We all know a lot of the statistics,
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Dihen shume statistika,
06:12
but just to repeat one of them,
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por po perseris nje nga ato,
06:14
median income in America has actually gone down
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e ardhura mesatare ne Amerike eshte ulur
06:17
over the past 15 years,
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per 15 vitet e kaluara
06:18
and we're in danger of getting trapped
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dhe jemi ne rrezik te zihemi ne kurth
06:20
in some vicious cycle where inequality and polarization
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ne nje cikel vicioz ku pabarazia dhe polarizimi
06:24
continue to go up over time.
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vazhdojne te ngrihen ne lidhje me kohen.
06:27
The societal challenges that come along
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Sfidat shoqerore qe vine
06:30
with that kind of inequality deserve some attention.
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me ate lloj pabarazie meritojne vemendje.
06:32
There are a set of societal challenges
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Ka nje grup sfidash shoqerore
06:34
that I'm actually not that worried about,
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per te cilat nuk shqetesohem shume,
06:36
and they're captured by images like this.
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te cilat tregohen ne keto imazhe.
06:38
This is not the kind of societal problem
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Ky nuk eshte lloji i problemit shoqeror
06:40
that I am concerned about.
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per te cilin shqetesohem.
06:42
There is no shortage of dystopian visions
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Nuk na mungojne vizionet anti-utopike
06:45
about what happens when our machines become self-aware,
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per ate cka ndodh kur makinerite tona behet te vetedijshme,
06:48
and they decide to rise up and coordinate attacks against us.
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dhe vendosin te ngrihen dhe te kordinojne sulme ndaj nesh.
06:51
I'm going to start worrying about those
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Do filloj te shqetesohem per ato
06:53
the day my computer becomes aware of my printer.
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diten qe kompjuteri im do te njohe printerin tim.
06:56
(Laughter) (Applause)
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(Te qeshura) (Duartrokitje)
07:00
So this is not the set of challenges we really need to worry about.
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Pra ky nuk eshte grupi i sfidave per te cilat ne duhet te shqetesohemi.
07:03
To tell you the kinds of societal challenges
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Per t'ju treguar llojet e sfidave shoqerore
07:06
that are going to come up in the new machine age,
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qe do shfaqen ne epoken e re te makines,
07:08
I want to tell a story about two stereotypical American workers.
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dua t'ju tregoj nje histori per dy punetore tipik Amerikane.
07:12
And to make them really stereotypical,
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Dhe per ti bere ata tipik te vertete,
07:13
let's make them both white guys.
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le t'i supozojme te dy te bardhe.
07:15
And the first one is a college-educated
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I pari eshte nje i edukuar ne universitet
07:19
professional, creative type, manager,
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profesionist, tip krijues, drejtues,
07:22
engineer, doctor, lawyer, that kind of worker.
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inxhinier, doktor, avokat, ky lloj punonjesi.
07:25
We're going to call him "Ted."
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Do ta quajme "Ted."
07:28
He's at the top of the American middle class.
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Ai eshte ne maje te klases se mesme Amerikane.
07:30
His counterpart is not college-educated
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Homologu i tij nuk eshte i edukuar ne universitet
07:33
and works as a laborer, works as a clerk,
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dhe punon si nje punetor, punon si nje nepunes,
07:36
does low-level white collar or blue collar work in the economy.
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ben pune te nivelit te ulet ne zyra ose te klases punetore qe kryen pune manuale.
07:39
We're going to call that guy "Bill."
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Do ta quajme ate person "Bill."
07:41
And if you go back about 50 years,
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Dhe nese kthehesh pas rreth 50 vjet,
07:44
Bill and Ted were leading remarkably similar lives.
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Bill dhe Ted benin jete shume te ngjashme.
07:47
For example, in 1960 they were both very likely
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Per shembull, ne 1960 kishte shume mundesi qe te dy
07:50
to have full-time jobs, working at least 40 hours a week.
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te kishin pune me orar te plote, nga 40 ore ne jave.
07:53
But as the social researcher Charles Murray has documented,
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Por sic ka dokumentuar edhe studiuesi social Charles Murray,
07:57
as we started to automate the economy,
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nderkohe qe filluam te automatizojme ekonomine,
07:59
and 1960 is just about when computers started to be used by businesses,
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dhe ne 1960 sapo kishte filluar qe bizneset te perdornin kompjutera,
08:04
as we started to progressively inject technology
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nderkohe qe filluam progresivisht te injektojme teknologjine
08:07
and automation and digital stuff into the economy,
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dhe automatizimin dhe dixhitalizimin ne ekonomi,
08:09
the fortunes of Bill and Ted diverged a lot.
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pasurite e Bill dhe Ted ndryshuan shume.
08:12
Over this time frame, Ted has continued
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Gjate kesaj kornize kohe, Ted ka vazhduar
08:14
to hold a full-time job. Bill hasn't.
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te mbaje nje pune me orar te plote. Por jo Bill.
08:17
In many cases, Bill has left the economy entirely,
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Ne shume raste, Billi ka qene pa pune fare,
08:21
and Ted very rarely has.
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kurse Ted shume rralle.
08:24
Over time, Ted's marriage has stayed quite happy.
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Gjate kohes, martesa e Ted ka qene plotesisht e lumtur.
08:27
Bill's hasn't.
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Por jo ajo e Billit.
08:29
And Ted's kids have grown up in a two-parent home,
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Femijet e Ted jane rritur ne nje shtepi me dy prinder,
08:32
while Bill's absolutely have not over time.
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gje qe s'ndodhi me ata te Billit.
08:35
Other ways that Bill is dropping out of society?
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Menyra te tjera si Bill po mbetet jashte shoqerise?
08:38
He's decreased his voting in presidential elections,
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S'merr pjese ne votimin per zgjedhjet presidenciale,
08:41
and he's started to go to prison a lot more often.
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dhe ka filluar te hyje me shpesh ne burg.
08:45
So I cannot tell a happy story about these social trends,
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Pra nuk mund te them nje histori te gezuar per keto prirje shoqerore,
08:49
and they don't show any signs of reversing themselves.
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dhe te cilet nuk tregojne asnje shenje per te rikthyer veten.
08:52
They're also true no matter which ethnic group
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Jane gjithashtu te verteta, pavaresisht te kujt grupi etnik
08:55
or demographic group we look at,
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apo demografik qe shohim,
08:57
and they're actually getting so severe
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dhe realisht po rendesohen me shume
08:59
that they're in danger of overwhelming
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saqe jane ne rrezik per derrmim
09:00
even the amazing progress we made with the Civil Rights Movement.
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edhe pas progresit te mahnitshem qe beme me Levizjen e te Drejtave Civile.
09:04
And what my friends in Silicon Valley
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Dhe ajo cka miqte e mi ne Silicon Valley
09:07
and Cambridge are overlooking is that they're Ted.
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dhe Cambridge po vene re, eshte se ata jane Ted.
09:12
They're living these amazingly busy, productive lives,
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Po jetojne keto jete shume te angazhuara, produktive,
09:15
and they've got all the benefits to show from that,
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dhe i kane te gjitha perfitimet lidhur me to,
09:18
while Bill is leading a very different life.
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ndersa Bill po jeton nje jete shume ndryshe.
09:20
They're actually both proof of how right Voltaire was
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Jane te dy deshmi te saktesise se Voltaire
09:22
when he talked about the benefits of work,
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kur fliste per perfitimet e punes,
09:25
and the fact that it saves us from not one but three great evils.
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dhe per faktin qe na shpeton ne nga jo nje por tre te keqija te medha.
09:28
["Work saves a man from three great evils: boredom, vice and need." — Voltaire]
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("Puna e shpeton njeriun nga tre te keqija te medha: merzitja, vesi dhe nevoja." - Voltaire)
09:29
So with these challenges, what do we do about them?
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Pra me keto sfida, cfare bejme ndaj tyre?
09:32
The economic playbook is surprisingly clear,
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Skenari ekonomik eshte cuditerisht i qarte,
09:35
surprisingly straightforward, in the short term especially.
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cuditerisht i hapur, sidomos ne terma afatshkurter.
09:38
The robots are not going to take all of our jobs in the next year or two,
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Robotet nuk do na marin te gjithe punet per nja dy vjet,
09:41
so the classic Econ 101 playbook is going to work just fine:
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pra skenari klasik Econ 101 do funksionoje shume mire:
09:46
Encourage entrepreneurship,
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Inkurajoni siperrmarresin,
09:48
double down on infrastructure,
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investoni ne infrastrukture,
09:50
and make sure we're turning out people
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dhe sigurohuni qe sistemi i edukimit
09:52
from our educational system with the appropriate skills.
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te nxjerre njerez me aftesite e duhura.
09:55
But over the longer term, if we are moving into an economy
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Por ne afagjate, nese po shkojme drejt nje ekonomie
09:58
that's heavy on technology and light on labor,
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qe eshte e rende ne teknologji dhe e lehte ne fuqi punetore,
10:01
and we are, then we have to consider
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qe eshte e vertete, atehere duhet te marim parasysh
10:04
some more radical interventions,
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disa nderhyrje me radikale,
10:05
for example, something like a guaranteed minimum income.
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per shembull, dicka si garantimin e te ardhurave minimale.
10:09
Now, that's probably making some folk in this room uncomfortable,
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Kjo ndoshta do te merzise disa nga ju,
10:12
because that idea is associated with the extreme left wing
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sepse idea shoqerizohet me krahun ekstrem te se majtes
10:16
and with fairly radical schemes for redistributing wealth.
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dhe me skema radikale per rishperndarjen e pasurise.
10:19
I did a little bit of research on this notion,
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Kam bere nje studim te vogel mbi kete nocion,
10:21
and it might calm some folk down to know that
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dhe mund te qetesoje disa njerez duke ditur se
10:24
the idea of a net guaranteed minimum income
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idea e nje garancie mbi te ardhurat minimale neto
10:26
has been championed by those frothing-at-the-mouth socialists
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eshte mbrojtur nga ajo mase shkumuese socialiste
10:30
Friedrich Hayek, Richard Nixon and Milton Friedman.
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Friedrich Hayek, Richard Nixon dhe Milton Friedman.
10:35
And if you find yourself worried
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Dhe nese e gjeni veten duke u shqetesuar
10:37
that something like a guaranteed income
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se dicka si te ardhurat e garantuara
10:40
is going to stifle our drive to succeed
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do mbyse udhen tone drejt suksesit
10:42
and make us kind of complacent,
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dhe te na beje te vetekenaqur,
10:44
you might be interested to know that social mobility,
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mund te jeni te interesuar te dini se levizshmeria sociale,
10:47
one of the things we really pride ourselves on in the United States,
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nje nga gjerat mbi te cilet ne krenohemi ne Shtetet e Bashkuara,
10:50
is now lower than it is in the northern European countries
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eshte tani me e ulet se sa ne shtetet veriore Europiane
10:53
that have these very generous social safety nets.
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te cilat kane ato sistemet sociale te sigurta e bujare.
10:56
So the economic playbook is actually pretty straightforward.
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Pra skenari ekonomik eshte aktualisht shume i hapur.
10:59
The societal one is a lot more challenging.
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Ai shoqeror eshte shume me sfidues.
11:02
I don't know what the playbook is
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Une nuk e di cili eshte skenari
11:04
for getting Bill to engage and stay engaged throughout life.
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per ta bere Bill te angazhohet dhe te qendroje i angazhuar gjate jetes se tij.
11:08
I do know that education is a huge part of it.
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Por di qe edukimi eshte nje pjese shume e madhe e saj.
11:11
I witnessed this firsthand.
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Jam deshmitar i kesaj.
11:12
I was a Montessori kid for the first few years of my education,
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Kam bere shkollen Montessori ne vitet e para te edukimit tim,
11:16
and what that education taught me
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dhe ajo qe mesova
11:18
is that the world is an interesting place
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eshte se bota eshte nje vend interesant
11:20
and my job is to go explore it.
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dhe puna ime eshte ta eksploroj ate.
11:22
The school stopped in third grade,
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1701
Shkolla mbaroi ne klasen e trete,
11:24
so then I entered the public school system,
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dhe une hyra ne nje shkolle publike,
11:26
and it felt like I had been sent to the Gulag.
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dhe kisha ndjesine sikur me kishin derguar ne Gulag.
11:30
With the benefit of hindsight, I now know the job
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Tani me pas kur e mendoj, e di se detyra ishte
11:33
was to prepare me for life as a clerk or a laborer,
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te me pergatisnin per jeten si nje nepunes ose nje punetor,
11:36
but at the time it felt like the job was to kind of
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por ne ate kohe dukesh sikur puna e tyre ishte
11:38
bore me into some submission with what was going on around me.
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te me merziste deri ne nenshtrim ndaj asaj qe po ndodhte rreth meje.
11:42
We have to do better than this.
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Duhet te bejme me shume se aq.
11:43
We cannot keep turning out Bills.
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Nuk mund te vazhdojme te kthehemi ne Bill.
11:47
So we see some green shoots that things are getting better.
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Po shohim disa filiza jeshile se gjerat po permiresohen.
11:49
We see technology deeply impacting education
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Shohim teknologjine e cila influencon thelle edukimin
11:52
and engaging people, from our youngest learners
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dhe angazhon njerezit, duke filluar nga nxenesit me te rinj
11:55
up to our oldest ones.
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deri tek me te vjetrit.
11:57
We see very prominent business voices telling us
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Shohim disa zera shume spikates te cilet na thone
11:59
we need to rethink some of the things that we've been holding dear for a while.
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se duhet te rimendojme disa nga gjerat qe po ruajme per ca kohe.
12:02
And we see very serious and sustained
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Dhe shohim perpjekje serioze e te qendrueshme
12:05
and data-driven efforts to understand
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te bazuara ne te dhena per te kuptuar
12:07
how to intervene in some of the most troubled communities that we have.
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si te nderhyjme ne disa nga komunitetet me shqetesuese qe kemi.
12:11
So the green shoots are out there.
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Pra filizat jeshile jane dukur tashme.
12:13
I don't want to pretend for a minute
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Nuk po pretendoj per asnje moment
12:15
that what we have is going to be enough.
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1942
se ajo cka kemi do jete mjaftueshem.
12:17
We're facing very tough challenges.
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Po perballemi me sfida shume te ashpra.
12:19
To give just one example, there are about five million Americans
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Per te dhene nje shembull, ekzistojne me perafersi pese milion Amerikane
12:22
who have been unemployed for at least six months.
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te cilet jane te papune per te pakten gjashte muaj.
12:25
We're not going to fix things for them
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Nuk do ti riparojme gjerat per ta
12:26
by sending them back to Montessori.
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duke i derguar ata mbrapsht ne shkollen Montessori.
12:28
And my biggest worry is that we're creating a world
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Dhe shqetesimi im me i madh eshte se po krijojme nje bote
12:31
where we're going to have glittering technologies
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ku do te kemi teknologji vezelluese
12:33
embedded in kind of a shabby society
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2305
te ngulitura ne nje shoqeri te lene pas dore
12:36
and supported by an economy that generates inequality
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dhe te mbeshtetur nga ekonomi e cila gjeneron pabarazi
12:39
instead of opportunity.
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ne vend te mundesive.
12:40
But I actually don't think that's what we're going to do.
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Por realisht une nuk mendoj se ne do te bejme ate.
12:43
I think we're going to do something a lot better
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Une mendoj se do bejme dicka shume me mire
12:44
for one very straightforward reason:
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per nje arsye shume te qarte:
12:47
The facts are getting out there.
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1968
Faktet jane te dukshme.
12:49
The realities of this new machine age
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2042
Realiteti e kesaj epoke te re te makines
12:51
and the change in the economy are becoming more widely known.
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3315
dhe ndryshimi ne ekonomi po behet me i perhapur.
12:54
If we wanted to accelerate that process, we could do things
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Nese donim ta pershpejtonim ate proces, mund te benim gjera
12:57
like have our best economists and policymakers
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si p.sh. te vendosnim ekonomistet dhe politikeberesit me te mire
13:00
play "Jeopardy!" against Watson.
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te luanin "Jeopardy!" kunder Watson.
13:02
We could send Congress on an autonomous car road trip.
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Mund te dergonim Kongresin ne nje udhetim me makina robotike.
13:05
And if we do enough of these kinds of things,
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Dhe nese bejme mjaftueshem nga keto lloj gjerash,
13:07
the awareness is going to sink in that things are going to be different.
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ndergjegjesimi do mbytet ne ate qe gjerat do jene ndryshe.
13:11
And then we're off to the races,
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Dhe atehere ne jemi jashte garave,
13:12
because I don't believe for a second
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sepse nuk mendoj per asnje sekond
13:15
that we have forgotten how to solve tough challenges
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se kemi harruar te zgjidhim sfida te veshtira
13:18
or that we have become too apathetic or hard-hearted to even try.
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ose jemi bere shume apatik ose zemer-ngurte per te provuar.
13:22
I started my talk with quotes from wordsmiths
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E fillova fjalimin tim me citate nga ekspert te fjales
13:24
who were separated by an ocean and a century.
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te cilat ndaheshin nga nje oqean dhe nje shekull.
13:27
Let me end it with words from politicians
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Me lejoni ta mbyll me fjale nga politikane
13:29
who were similarly distant.
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te cilet ishin njesoj te larget.
13:31
Winston Churchill came to my home of MIT in 1949,
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Winston Churchill erdhi ne shtepine time te MIT ne 1949,
13:34
and he said, "If we are to bring the broad masses
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dhe tha, "Nese do sjellim masen e gjere
13:37
of the people in every land to the table of abundance,
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te njerezve te seciles toke ne tryezen e bollekut,
13:40
it can only be by the tireless improvement
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mund te ndodhe vetem nga permiresimi i palodhshem
13:43
of all of our means of technical production."
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2973
i te gjitha mjeteve te prodhimit teknik."
13:46
Abraham Lincoln realized there was one other ingredient.
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Abraham Lincoln zbuloi se kishte nje tjeter perberes.
13:49
He said, "I am a firm believer in the people.
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Ai tha, "Une jam nje besimtar solid i njerezve.
13:52
If given the truth, they can be depended upon
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Nese u jep te verteten, ata mund te krijojne varesi mbi te
13:54
to meet any national crisis.
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per te perballuar cdo krize nacionale.
13:57
The great point is to give them the plain facts."
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Pika kryesore eshte ti japesh atyre fakte te qarta."
13:59
So the optimistic note, great point that I want to leave you with
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Pra shenimi optimist, pika kryesore qe une dua t'ju le
14:02
is that the plain facts of the machine age are becoming clear,
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eshte se faktet e qarta te epokes se re te makines po qartesohen,
14:06
and I have every confidence that we're going to use them
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dhe une kam besim se do ti perdorim ato
14:08
to chart a good course into the challenging,
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per te hapur nje rruge te mire
14:11
abundant economy that we're creating.
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drejt ekonomise se bollekut qe po krijojme.
14:14
Thank you very much.
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Falemnderit shume.
14:15
(Applause)
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(Duartrokitje)
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