Abundance is our future | Peter Diamandis

497,202 views ・ 2012-03-01

TED


Please double-click on the English subtitles below to play the video.

Prevodilac: Branislav Ivkovic Lektor: Mateja Nenadovic
00:15
(Applause)
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(Aplauz)
00:18
(Video) Announcer: Threats, in the wake of Bin Laden's death, have spiked.
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(Snimak) Pretnje, uoči smrti Bin Ladena, povećane.
00:21
Announcer Two: Famine in Somalia. Announcer Three: Police pepper spray.
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Glad u Somaliji. Policija koristila suzavac.
00:23
Announcer Four: Vicious cartels. Announcer Five: Caustic cruise lines.
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Zlokobni karteli. Kaustična krstarenja.
00:25
Announcer Six: Societal decay. Announcer Seven: 65 dead.
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Propadanje društva. 65 osoba poginulo.
00:28
Announcer Eight: Tsunami warning. Announcer Nine: Cyberattacks.
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Opasnost od cunamija. Sajber-napadi.
00:30
Multiple Announcers: Drug war. Mass destruction. Tornado.
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Ratovi zbog droge. Masovno uništenje. Tornado.
00:32
Recession. Default. Doomsday. Egypt. Syria.
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Recesija. Sudnji dan. Egipat. Sirija.
00:34
Crisis. Death. Disaster.
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Kriza. Smrt. Nesreća.
00:36
Oh, my God.
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O, Bože.
00:39
Peter Diamandis: So those are just a few of the clips
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Ovo je samo nekoliko snimaka,
00:41
I collected over the last six months --
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koje sam prikupio u proteklih 6 meseci -
00:43
could have easily been the last six days
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Moglo je to da bude poslednjih 6 dana
00:45
or the last six years.
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ili 6 godina.
00:47
The point is that the news media
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Poenta je da novinarski mediji
00:49
preferentially feeds us negative stories
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daju prednost širenju negativnih priča
00:52
because that's what our minds pay attention to.
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zato što je to ono na šta naši umovi obraćaju pažnju.
00:55
And there's a very good reason for that.
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A postoji i veoma dobar razlog za to.
00:57
Every second of every day,
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Svake sekunde, svakog dana,
00:59
our senses bring in way too much data
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naša čula primaju previše podataka
01:01
than we can possibly process in our brains.
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koje možemo da obradimo u mozgu.
01:04
And because nothing is more important to us
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A obzirom da nam je
01:06
than survival,
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najvažniji naš opstanak,
01:08
the first stop of all of that data
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prvo zaustavljanje tih podataka
01:10
is an ancient sliver of the temporal lobe
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je u prastarom komadu
01:12
called the amygdala.
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temporalnog režnja koji se zove amigdala.
01:14
Now the amygdala is our early warning detector,
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Amigdala je naš rani detektor upozorenja
01:17
our danger detector.
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naš detektor opasnosti.
01:19
It sorts and scours through all of the information
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Ona razvrstava i prečišćava sve informacije
01:22
looking for anything in the environment that might harm us.
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tražeći bilo šta u okruženju što bi nam moglo naškoditi.
01:25
So given a dozen news stories,
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Tako da u slučaju 12 priča
01:27
we will preferentially look
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mi ćemo pridati značaj
01:29
at the negative news.
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negativnim vestima.
01:31
And that old newspaper saying,
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A ona stara novinska izreka,
01:33
"If it bleeds it leads,"
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"Ako krvari, tu su vesti,"
01:35
is very true.
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je potpuno tačna.
01:37
So given all of our digital devices
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Uzimajući u obzir sve digitalne uređaje
01:40
that are bringing all the negative news to us
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koji nam dopremaju sve negativne vesti
01:42
seven days a week, 24 hours a day,
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7 dana u nedelji, 24 časa dnevno,
01:45
it's no wonder that we're pessimistic.
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nije ni čudo što smo pesimistični.
01:47
It's no wonder that people think
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Nije ni čudo što ljudi misle
01:49
that the world is getting worse.
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da je svet sve gori.
01:53
But perhaps that's not the case.
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Ali možda to i nije tačno.
01:56
Perhaps instead,
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Možda su zapravo,
01:58
it's the distortions brought to us
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to iskrivljene slike
02:00
of what's really going on.
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onoga što se zapravo dešava.
02:03
Perhaps the tremendous progress we've made
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Možda se ogromni napredak koji smo
02:05
over the last century
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napravili tokom prošlog veka
02:07
by a series of forces
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koristeći se serijom sila
02:09
are, in fact, accelerating to a point
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zapravo ubrzava do tačke
02:12
that we have the potential in the next three decades
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da imamo potencijal da u naredne 3 decenije
02:15
to create a world of abundance.
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stvorimo svet izobilja.
02:18
Now I'm not saying
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Ne kažem ja
02:20
we don't have our set of problems --
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da nemamo svoj paket problema,
02:22
climate crisis, species extinction,
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klimatske krize, izumiranje vrsta,
02:24
water and energy shortage -- we surely do.
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manjak vode i energije - svakako da imamo.
02:27
And as humans, we are far better
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A pošto smo ljudi, dobro nam
02:29
at seeing the problems way in advance,
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ide predviđanje problema
02:32
but ultimately we knock them down.
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ali ih na kraju, prebrodimo.
02:36
So let's look
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Pogledajmo stoga
02:38
at what this last century has been
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o čemu je protekli vek bio,
02:40
to see where we're going.
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kako bismo videli kuda idemo.
02:42
Over the last hundred years,
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U proteklih 100 godina
02:44
the average human lifespan has more than doubled,
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prosečna dužina života se više od dva puta uvećala
02:47
average per capita income adjusted for inflation
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prosečna primanja po glavi prilagođena inflaciji
02:50
around the world has tripled.
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širom sveta su se utrostručila.
02:52
Childhood mortality
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Mortalitet kod dece
02:54
has come down a factor of 10.
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se smanjio za faktor od 10.
02:56
Add to that the cost of food, electricity,
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Dodajte na to cenu hrane, struje,
02:58
transportation, communication
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prevoza, komunikacije
03:00
have dropped 10 to 1,000-fold.
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koje su pale od 10 do 1000 puta.
03:04
Steve Pinker has showed us
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Stiv Pinker nam je pokazao
03:06
that, in fact, we're living during the most peaceful time ever
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da, zapravo, mi živimo u najmirnijem dobu ikada
03:09
in human history.
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u istoriji čovečanstva.
03:11
And Charles Kenny
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A Čarls Keni, da je svetska pismenost
03:13
that global literacy has gone from 25 percent to over 80 percent
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povećana sa 25% na preko 80%
03:16
in the last 130 years.
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u proteklih 130 godina.
03:19
We truly are living in an extraordinary time.
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Mi zaista živimo u izuzetnom vremenu.
03:23
And many people forget this.
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A mnogo ljudi to zaboravlja.
03:25
And we keep setting our expectations higher and higher.
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I postavljamo sve veća i veća očekivanja.
03:28
In fact, we redefine what poverty means.
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Mi ponovo definišemo značenje siromaštva.
03:31
Think of this, in America today,
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Posmatrajte ovako, danas u Americi,
03:33
the majority of people under the poverty line
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većina ljudi koja živi ispod granice siromaštva
03:36
still have electricity, water, toilets, refrigerators,
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ima struju, vodu, toalete, frižidere,
03:39
television, mobile phones,
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televiziju, mobilne telefone,
03:41
air conditioning and cars.
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klima uređaje i automobile.
03:44
The wealthiest robber barons of the last century, the emperors on this planet,
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Najbogatiji baroni prošlog veka, vladari na ovoj planeti
03:47
could have never dreamed of such luxuries.
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nisu mogli ni da sanjaju o takvom luksuzu.
03:53
Underpinning much of this
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Ono što je temelj većine toga
03:56
is technology,
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je tehnologija,
03:58
and of late,
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i u skorije vreme,
04:00
exponentially growing technologies.
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tehnologije koje eksponencijalno rastu.
04:02
My good friend Ray Kurzweil
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Moj dobar prijatelj Rej Kurcvel
04:04
showed that any tool that becomes an information technology
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pokazao je da bilo koje sredstvo koje postane informaciona tehnologija
04:07
jumps on this curve, on Moore's Law,
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skače na ovoj skali, Murovom zakonu,
04:10
and experiences price performance doubling
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i doživljava dupliranje odnosa
04:12
every 12 to 24 months.
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cene i performansi na svakih 12 do 24 meseci.
04:15
That's why the cellphone in your pocket
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Zato je moblini telefon u vašem džepu
04:17
is literally a million times cheaper and a thousand times faster
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bukvalno milion puta jeftiniji
04:19
than a supercomputer of the '70s.
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i hiljadu puta brži od superkompjutera iz kasnih 70ih.
04:21
Now look at this curve.
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Pogledajte ovu skalu.
04:23
This is Moore's Law over the last hundred years.
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Ovo je Murov zakon u proteklih 100 godina.
04:25
I want you to notice two things from this curve.
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Želim da uočite dve stvari na ovoj skali.
04:27
Number one, how smooth it is --
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Prvo, koliko je blaga,
04:31
through good time and bad time, war time and peace time,
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kroz dobra i loša vremena, ratove i mir,
04:34
recession, depression and boom time.
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recesiju, depresiju i tokom procvata.
04:37
This is the result of faster computers
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Ovo je rezultat bržih kompjutera
04:39
being used to build faster computers.
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koji se koririste kako bi se napravili brži kompjuteri.
04:42
It doesn't slow for any of our grand challenges.
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Ne usporava se ni zbog kojih velikih izazova.
04:46
And also, even though it's plotted
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Takođe, iako je je izdeljena
04:48
on a log curve on the left,
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na skali sa leve strane,
04:50
it's curving upwards.
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penje se.
04:52
The rate at which the technology is getting faster
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Brzina kojom se tehnologija ubrzava
04:54
is itself getting faster.
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se sama po sebi povećava.
04:57
And on this curve, riding on Moore's Law,
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A na ovoj skali koja prati Murov zakon
05:00
are a set of extraordinarily powerful technologies
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se nalaze izuzetno moćne tehnologije
05:03
available to all of us.
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koje su nam svima dostupne.
05:05
Cloud computing,
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Klaud kompjuting
05:07
what my friends at Autodesk call infinite computing;
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ono što moji prijatelji u Autodesku nazivaju kompjuting
05:09
sensors and networks; robotics;
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bez granica, senzori i mreže, robotika
05:12
3D printing, which is the ability to democratize and distribute
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3D štampa, što je mogućnost da se demokratizuje i raširi
05:15
personalized production around the planet;
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lična proizvodnja širom planete,
05:17
synthetic biology;
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sintetička biologija,
05:19
fuels, vaccines and foods;
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goriva, vakcine i hrana,
05:22
digital medicine; nanomaterials; and A.I.
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digitalna medicina, nanomaterijali i veštačka inteligencija.
05:25
I mean, how many of you saw the winning of Jeopardy
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Koliko vas je gledalo kako IBM-ov robot
05:28
by IBM's Watson?
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Votson pobeđuje u kvizu "Opasnost"?
05:30
I mean, that was epic.
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To je bilo sjajno.
05:33
In fact, I scoured the headlines
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Zapravo, pretraživao sam naslove,
05:35
looking for the best headline in a newspaper I could.
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tražeći najbolji naslov u novinama
05:37
And I love this: "Watson Vanquishes Human Opponents."
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i ovaj mi se dopao "Votson uništio ljudske protivnike."
05:42
Jeopardy's not an easy game.
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"Opasnost" nije laka igra.
05:44
It's about the nuance of human language.
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U pitanju su nijanse u ljudskom jeziku.
05:47
And imagine if you would
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I zamislite, molim vas,
05:49
A.I.'s like this on the cloud
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veštačku inteligenciju "u oblaku"
05:51
available to every person with a cellphone.
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koja je dostupna svakom ko ima moblini telefon.
05:54
Four years ago here at TED,
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Pre 4 godine, ovde na TEDu,
05:56
Ray Kurzweil and I started a new university
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Rej Kurcvel i ja osnovali smo novi
05:58
called Singularity University.
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univerzitet - Univerzitet jednistvenosti.
06:00
And we teach our students all of these technologies,
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Učimo studente o svim ovim tehnologijama,
06:03
and particularly how they can be used
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a naročito o tome kako se mogu koristiti
06:05
to solve humanity's grand challenges.
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u rešavanju najvećih izazova čovečanstva.
06:08
And every year we ask them
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I svake godine im tražimo
06:10
to start a company or a product or a service
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da osnuju kompaniju ili naprave proizvod ili uslugu
06:13
that can affect positively the lives of a billion people
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koji mogu da pozitivno utiču na živote
06:16
within a decade.
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milijardu ljudi u toku decenije.
06:18
Think about that, the fact that, literally, a group of students
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Razmislite o tome, činjenici da, bukvalno, grupa studenata
06:21
can touch the lives of a billion people today.
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danas, može da utiče na živote milijardu ljudi.
06:24
30 years ago that would have sounded ludicrous.
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Pre 30 godina to bi zvučalo suludo.
06:26
Today we can point at dozens of companies
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Danas možemo da navedemo desetine kompanija
06:29
that have done just that.
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koje su upravo to uradile.
06:31
When I think about creating abundance,
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Kada kažem - stvaranje izobilja - ne govorim o stvaranju
06:37
it's not about creating a life of luxury for everybody on this planet;
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luksuznog života za svakog na ovoj planeti
06:40
it's about creating a life of possibility.
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već o stvaranju života punog mogućnosti.
06:43
It is about taking that which was scarce
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Govorim o tome da od onoga čega ima
06:46
and making it abundant.
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malo napravimo izobilje.
06:48
You see, scarcity is contextual,
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Pojam nestašice zavisi od konteksta,
06:51
and technology is a resource-liberating force.
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a tehnologija je sila koja oslobađa od potrebe za resursima.
06:56
Let me give you an example.
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Daću vam primer.
06:59
So this is a story of Napoleon III
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Ovo je priča o Napoleonu III
07:01
in the mid-1800s.
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srednjih 1800-ih.
07:03
He's the dude on the left.
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On je dečko sa leve strane.
07:06
He invited over to dinner
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Pozvao je na večeru
07:08
the king of Siam.
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kralja Sijama.
07:10
All of Napoleon's troops
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Sve Napoleonove čete
07:12
were fed with silver utensils,
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jele su srebrnim priborom,
07:15
Napoleon himself with gold utensils.
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Napoleon je jeo zlatnim priborom.
07:17
But the King of Siam,
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Ali kralj Sijama -
07:19
he was fed with aluminum utensils.
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on je jeo priborom od alumunijuma.
07:21
You see, aluminum
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Aluminijum
07:23
was the most valuable metal on the planet,
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je bio najdragoceniji metal na planeti,
07:26
worth more than gold and platinum.
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vredniji od zlata i platine.
07:29
It's the reason that the tip of the Washington Monument
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To je razlog zbog kojeg je vrh Vašington spomenika
07:32
is made of aluminum.
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napravljen od aluminijuma.
07:34
You see, even though aluminum
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Iako aluminijum čini
07:36
is 8.3 percent of the Earth by mass,
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8.3% Zemljine mase,
07:39
it doesn't come as a pure metal.
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ne spada u čiste metale.
07:41
It's all bound by oxygen and silicates.
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Vezan je kiseonikom i silikatima.
07:44
But then the technology of electrolysis came along
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Ali onda se pojavila tehnologija elektrolize
07:47
and literally made aluminum so cheap
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i dovela do toga da aluminijum bude toliko jeftin,
07:50
that we use it with throw-away mentality.
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da ga koristimo kao nešto što se baca svakodnevno.
07:53
So let's project this analogy going forward.
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Hajde da projektujemo ovu analogiju unapred.
07:57
We think about energy scarcity.
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Pomislimo na nestašicu energije.
07:59
Ladies and gentlemen,
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Dame i gospodo, živimo
08:01
we are on a planet
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na planeti
08:03
that is bathed with 5,000 times more energy
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koja se zapljuskuje sa 5000 puta više energije
08:06
than we use in a year.
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nego što mi potrošimo za godinu dana.
08:09
16 terawatts of energy hits the Earth's surface
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16 teravati energije stiže
08:11
every 88 minutes.
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do Zemljine površine svakih 88 minuta.
08:15
It's not about being scarce,
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Dakle nije u pitanju nestašica,
08:17
it's about accessibility.
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već pristupačnost.
08:19
And there's good news here.
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A ima i dobrih vesti.
08:21
For the first time, this year
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Po prvi put, ove godine
08:23
the cost of solar-generated electricity
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cena struje dobijena solarnim putem
08:26
is 50 percent that of diesel-generated electricity in India --
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je 50% jeftinija od one dobijene dizelom u Indiji -
08:30
8.8 rupees versus 17 rupees.
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8.8 rupija naspram 17 rupija.
08:33
The cost of solar dropped 50 percent last year.
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Cena solarne energije pala je za 50% prošle godine.
08:35
Last month, MIT put out a study
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Prošlog meseca, Univerzitet u Masačusetsu
08:37
showing that by the end of this decade,
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uradio je studiju koja pokazuje da će do kraja
08:39
in the sunny parts of the United States,
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ove decenije u sunčanim krajevima SADa
08:41
solar electricity will be six cents a kilowatt hour
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solarna struja koštati 6 centi
08:43
compared to 15 cents
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po kilovat satu u poređenju sa 15 centi
08:45
as a national average.
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što je nacionalni prosek.
08:47
And if we have abundant energy,
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A ako imamo energije u izobilju,
08:50
we also have abundant water.
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imamo i vodu u izobilju.
08:53
Now we talk about water wars.
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Popričajmo o ratovima za vodu.
08:58
Do you remember
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Da li se sećate kada je
09:00
when Carl Sagan turned the Voyager spacecraft
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Karl Segan okrenuo "Vojadžer" letilicu
09:02
back towards the Earth,
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nazad ka Zemlji,
09:04
in 1990 after it just passed Saturn?
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90-ih nakon što su prošli Saturn?
09:06
He took a famous photo. What was it called?
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Napravio je poznatu fotografiju. Kako se zvala?
09:09
"A Pale Blue Dot."
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"Bleda plava tačka."
09:11
Because we live on a water planet.
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Zato što živimo na vodenoj planeti.
09:14
We live on a planet 70 percent covered by water.
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Živimo na planeti čijih je 70% pokriveno vodom.
09:17
Yes, 97.5 percent is saltwater,
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Da, 97.5% toga
09:19
two percent is ice,
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je slana voda, 2% je led,
09:21
and we fight over a half a percent of the water on this planet,
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a mi se borimo oko pola procenta vode na planeti
09:24
but here too there is hope.
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ali i tu ima nade.
09:26
And there is technology coming online,
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Postoji tehologija koja se pojavljuje javno,
09:29
not 10, 20 years from now,
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ne za 10, 20 godina od danas,
09:31
right now.
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već danas.
09:33
There's nanotechnology coming on, nanomaterials.
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Pojavljuje se nanotehnologija, nanomaterijali.
09:36
And the conversation I had with Dean Kamen this morning,
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Razgovor koji sam obavio sa Dinom Kejmenom ovog jutra
09:39
one of the great DIY innovators,
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jedanim od velikih inovatora "uradi sam",
09:41
I'd like to share with you -- he gave me permission to do so --
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želeo bih da podelim sa vama - dao mi je dozvolu da to uradim -
09:44
his technology called Slingshot
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njegova tehnologija, zvana "Slingshot" (Praćka)
09:46
that many of you may have heard of,
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o kojoj su mnogi čuli,
09:48
it is the size of a small dorm room refrigerator.
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je veličine malog, sobnog frižidera.
09:50
It's able to generate
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U stanju je da proizvede
09:52
a thousand liters of clean drinking water a day
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1000 litara čiste pijaće vode na dan
09:54
out of any source -- saltwater, polluted water, latrine --
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iz bilo kojeg izvora - slane vode, zagađene vode, vode iz toaleta
09:57
at less than two cents a liter.
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po ceni od manje od 2 centa po litri.
10:02
The chairman of Coca-Cola has just agreed
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Direktor Koka-kole je pristao
10:04
to do a major test
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da sprovede veliki test
10:06
of hundreds of units of this in the developing world.
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u hiljadama fabrika u zemljama u razvoju.
10:09
And if that pans out,
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I ukoliko se to proširi
10:11
which I have every confidence it will,
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a verujem da hoće,
10:13
Coca-Cola will deploy this globally
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Koka-kola će ovo postaviti
10:15
to 206 countries
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u 206 zemalja
10:17
around the planet.
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na planeti.
10:19
This is the kind of innovation, empowered by this technology,
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Ovo je vrsta izuma, podstaknuta ovakvom
10:22
that exists today.
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tehnologijom koja postoji danas.
10:26
And we've seen this in cellphones.
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A videli smo ovo i sa moblinim telefonima.
10:28
My goodness, we're going to hit 70 percent penetration
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Bože, do kraja 2013.
10:30
of cellphones in the developing world
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će proboj mobilnih telefona
10:32
by the end of 2013.
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stići 70% u zemljama u razvoju.
10:34
Think about it,
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Razmislite o sledećem -
10:36
that a Masai warrior on a cellphone in the middle of Kenya
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Masai ratnik koristeći mobilni u sred Kenije
10:39
has better mobile comm
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ima bolju pokrivenost
10:41
than President Reagan did 25 years ago.
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od predsednika Regana pre 25 godina.
10:44
And if they're on a smartphone on Google,
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A ako su putem smart telefona na Guglu,
10:46
they've got access to more knowledge and information
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imaju pristup više znanja i informacija
10:48
than President Clinton did 15 years ago.
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nego predsenik Klinton pre 15 godina.
10:50
They're living in a world of information and communication abundance
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Oni žive u svetu informacija i izobilju komunikacije
10:53
that no one could have ever predicted.
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koje niko nije mogao da predvidi.
10:57
Better than that,
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I još bolje od toga,
10:59
the things that you and I
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stvari koje smo vi i ja
11:01
spent tens and hundreds of thousands of dollars for --
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plaćali desetinama i stotinama hiljada dolara -
11:03
GPS, HD video and still images,
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Dži-Pi-Es, HD snimci i fotografije
11:06
libraries of books and music,
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biblioteke knjiga i muzike
11:09
medical diagnostic technology --
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medicinska tehnologija dijagnostikovanja -
11:11
are now literally dematerializing and demonetizing
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se sada bukvalno razgrađuju i gube cenu
11:14
into your cellphone.
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u vašem mobilnom.
11:19
Probably the best part of it
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Verovatno je najbolji deo toga
11:21
is what's coming down the pike in health.
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ono što se priprema u zdravstvu.
11:24
Last month, I had the pleasure of announcing with Qualcomm Foundation
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Prošlog meseca, imao sam zadovoljstvo da najavim sa Kvalkom fondacijom
11:28
something called the $10 million Qualcomm Tricorder X Prize.
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nešto što se naziva Kvalkom Trikorder Iks Nagrada od 10 miliona dolara.
11:32
We're challenging teams around the world
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Izazivamo timove širom sveta,
11:34
to basically combine these technologies
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da praktično iskombinuju ove tehnologije
11:36
into a mobile device
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u pokretni uređaj, kojem možete da se obratite,
11:38
that you can speak to, because it's got A.I.,
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jer ima veštačku inteligenciju
11:40
you can cough on it, you can do a finger blood prick.
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možete da kašljete u njega, može da vam uzme krv iz prsta.
11:43
And to win, it needs to be able to diagnose you better
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I da bi pobedio, mora da bude u stanju da
11:45
than a team of board-certified doctors.
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vam uspostavi dijagnozu bolje od tima doktora.
11:49
So literally, imagine this device
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Zamislite ovu spravu usred
11:52
in the middle of the developing world where there are no doctors,
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zemalja u razvoju gde nema lekara
11:55
25 percent of the disease burden
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sa 25% svih bolesti na svetu
11:57
and 1.3 percent of the health care workers.
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i 1.3% medicinskih radnika.
12:00
When this device sequences an RNA or DNA virus
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Kada ovaj uređaj sekvencira
12:02
that it doesn't recognize,
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RNK ili DNK virus koji ne može da prepozna
12:04
it calls the CDC
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on poziva Centar za kontrolu bolesti
12:06
and prevents the pandemic from happening in the first place.
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i sprečava razvoj pandemije u samom startu.
12:11
But here, here is the biggest force
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A evo je i najjača sila
12:14
for bringing about a world of abundance.
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kojom se sve dovodi u izobilje.
12:16
I call it the rising billion.
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Ja to zovem - milijarda u usponu.
12:19
So the white lines here are population.
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Bele linije predstavljaju stanovništvo.
12:22
We just passed the seven billion mark on Earth.
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Upravo smo prešli 7 milijardi na Zemlji.
12:25
And by the way,
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I najveća zaštita protiv iznenadnog
12:27
the biggest protection against a population explosion
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rasta stanovništva
12:29
is making the world educated
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je stvaranje sveta koji je
12:31
and healthy.
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obrazovan i zdrav.
12:34
In 2010,
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2010. imali smo
12:36
we had just short of two billion people
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nešto manje od 2 milijarde ljudi
12:38
online, connected.
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na Internetu - povezanih.
12:40
By 2020,
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Do 2020.
12:42
that's going from two billion to five billion
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to će skočiti sa 2 na 5
12:44
Internet users.
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milijardi Internet korisnika.
12:46
Three billion new minds
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3 milijarde novih umova
12:48
who have never been heard from before
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koje još niko nije čuo
12:50
are connecting to the global conversation.
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pridružuje se globalnom razgovoru.
12:54
What will these people want?
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Šta će ovi ljudi želeti?
12:56
What will they consume? What will they desire?
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Šta će trošiti? Šta će želeti?
12:58
And rather than having economic shutdown,
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I umesto da imamo ekonomski pad,
13:00
we're about to have the biggest economic injection ever.
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imaćemo najveći ekonomski rast ikada.
13:03
These people represent
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Ovi ljudi predstavljaju
13:05
tens of trillions of dollars
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desetine triliona dolara
13:07
injected into the global economy.
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koji se ubacuju u globalnu ekonomiju.
13:10
And they will get healthier
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A oni će biti zdraviji
13:12
by using the Tricorder,
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korišćenjem Trikordera,
13:14
and they'll become better educated by using the Khan Academy,
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i postati obrazovaniji koristeći
13:16
and by literally being able to use
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Kan Akademiju i moći da koriste
13:19
3D printing and infinite computing
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3D štampu i kompjuting bez granica
13:22
[become] more productive than ever before.
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i postanu produktivniji nego ikada ranije.
13:25
So what could three billion rising,
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Šta bi 3 milijarde
13:28
healthy, educated, productive members of humanity
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zdravih, obrazovanih, produktivnih članova čovečanstva
13:31
bring to us?
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moglo doneti nama?
13:33
How about a set of voices that have never been heard from before.
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Možda gomilu glasova koji se ranije nisu čuli?
13:36
What about giving the oppressed,
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To je davanje glasa
13:38
wherever they might be,
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ugnjetavanima, gde god se oni nalazili
13:40
the voice to be heard and the voice to act
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- glasa koji se može čuti i pravo
13:42
for the first time ever?
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da nešto urade po prvi put.
13:45
What will these three billion people bring?
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Šta će ovih 3 milijarde ljudi doneti?
13:48
What about contributions we can't even predict?
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Kakve doprinose ne možemo ni da predvidimo?
13:51
The one thing I've learned at the X Prize
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Jedna stvar koju sam naučio na Iks nagradi,
13:53
is that small teams
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je da mali timovi,
13:55
driven by their passion with a clear focus
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vođeni strašću i jasnim ciljem
13:58
can do extraordinary things,
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mogu da postignu izuzetne stvari.
14:00
things that large corporations and governments
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Stvari koje su velike korporacije i vlade
14:02
could only do in the past.
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mogle da rade samo u prošlosti.
14:05
Let me share and close with a story
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Podeliću sa vama priču koja me je
14:07
that really got me excited.
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uzbudila i završiti.
14:10
There is a program that some of you might have heard of.
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Postoji program o kojem ste možda čuli.
14:12
It's a game called Foldit.
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Igrica sa nazivom "Foldit".
14:14
It came out of the University of Washington in Seattle.
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Napravljena je na Univerzitetu Vašington, u Sijetlu.
14:18
And this is a game
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Ovo je igrica gde pojedinci
14:20
where individuals can actually take a sequence of amino acids
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mogu da uzmu deo aminokiseline
14:24
and figure out how the protein is going to fold.
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i reše kako da slože protein.
14:28
And how it folds dictates its structure and its functionality.
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A kako se on slaže govori o njegovoj strukturi i funkciji.
14:30
And it's very important for research in medicine.
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I to je veoma važno za istraživanja u medicini.
14:33
And up until now, it's been a supercomputer problem.
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Do sada to je bio problem za superkomjutere.
14:36
And this game has been played
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Ovu igricu su igrali
14:38
by university professors and so forth.
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profesori univerziteta i ostali.
14:40
And it's literally, hundreds of thousands of people
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Stotine hiljada ljudi
14:43
came online and started playing it.
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došlo je na mrežu i počelo da igra.
14:45
And it showed that, in fact, today,
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I to je pokazalo da je, danas
14:47
the human pattern recognition machinery
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ljudski mehanizam prepoznavanja šablona
14:49
is better at folding proteins than the best computers.
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bolji u slučaju slaganja proteina od najboljih kompjutera.
14:52
And when these individuals went and looked
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I kada su ovi pojedinci pogledali
14:54
at who was the best protein folder in the world,
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ko je je najbolji slagač proteina na svetu
14:57
it wasn't an MIT professor,
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to nije bio profesor na Masačusetsu tehnološkom institutu,
14:59
it wasn't a CalTech student,
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nije bio student Kalifornijskog nstituta za tehnologiju,
15:01
it was a person from England, from Manchester,
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bila je to osoba iz Engleske, iz Mančestera,
15:04
a woman who, during the day,
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žena koja je preko dana
15:08
was an executive assistant at a rehab clinic
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izvršni asistent u klinici za rehabilitaciju,
15:11
and, at night, was the world's best protein folder.
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a preko noći najbolji slagač proteina.
15:16
Ladies and gentlemen,
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Dame i gospodo,
15:18
what gives me tremendous confidence
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ono što mi daje ogromnu veru
15:20
in the future
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u budućnost
15:24
is the fact that we are now more empowered as individuals
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je činjenica da sada imamo više moći kao pojedinci
15:28
to take on the grand challenges of this planet.
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da se izborimo sa velikim izazovima ove planete.
15:31
We have the tools with this exponential technology.
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Imamo oruđe sa ovom eksponencijalnom tehnologijom.
15:34
We have the passion of the DIY innovator.
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Imamo strast "uradi sam" inovatora.
15:37
We have the capital of the techno-philanthropist.
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Imamo kapital tehno-filantropa.
15:40
And we have three billion new minds
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I imamo 3 milijarde novih umova
15:42
coming online to work with us
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koji se povezuju kako bi radili sa nama
15:44
to solve the grand challenges,
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u rešavanju velikih izazova,
15:46
to do that which we must do.
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da uradimo ono što moramo da uradimo.
15:50
We are living into extraordinary decades ahead.
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Pred nama su sjajne decenije.
15:52
Thank you.
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Hvala vam.
15:54
(Applause)
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(Aplauz)
About this website

This site will introduce you to YouTube videos that are useful for learning English. You will see English lessons taught by top-notch teachers from around the world. Double-click on the English subtitles displayed on each video page to play the video from there. The subtitles scroll in sync with the video playback. If you have any comments or requests, please contact us using this contact form.

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