New insights on poverty | Hans Rosling

Prevoditelj: Predrag Pale Recezent: Janko Mihelić

I told you three things last year.

Prošle sam vam godine rekao tri stvari.

I told you that the statistics of the world

Rekao sam vam da statistički podaci o svijetu

have not been made properly available.

nisu na raspolaganju na pravi način.

Because of that, we still have the old mindset

Zbog toga i dalje imamo zastarjelu predodžbu

of developing in industrialized countries, which is wrong.

o visoko razvijenim zemljama i zemljama u razvoju.

And that animated graphics can make a difference.

I da animirani grafički prikazi mogu utjecati na promjenu.

Things are changing

Stvari se mijenjaju.

and today, on the United Nations Statistic Division Home Page,

Danas, na web stranici Odjela za statistiku Ujedinjenih naroda,

it says, by first of May, full access to the databases.

piše, od prvog svibnja, moguć puni pristup bazama podataka.

(Applause)

(Pljesak)

And if I could share the image with you on the screen.

I, ako vam mogu pokazati sliku na ekranu.

So three things have happened.

Dakle, tri su se stvari dogodile.

U.N. opened their statistic databases,

UN su otvorili pristup svojim podacima,

and we have a new version of the software

a mi imamo novu inačicu softvera

up working as a beta on the net,

koji radi na mreži,

so you don't have to download it any longer.

pa ga ne morate preuzimati na svoja računala.

And let me repeat what you saw last year.

I, da ponovim što ste vidjeli prošle godine.

The bubbles are the countries.

Mjehurići su zemlje.

Here you have the fertility rate -- the number of children per woman --

Ovo ovdje je plodnost – broj djece po svakoj ženi –

and there you have the length of life in years.

a ovdje je duljina života u godinama.

This is 1950 -- those were the industrialized countries,

Ovdje je 1950. – ovo su visoko razvijene zemlje,

those were developing countries.

a ovdje su zemlje u razvoju.

At that time there was a "we" and "them."

Nekad smo se dijelili na „mi“ i „oni“:

There was a huge difference in the world.

Velike su razlike vladale u svijetu.

But then it changed, and it went on quite well.

Ali odjednom se to promijenilo.

And this is what happens.

I evo što se događa.

You can see how China is the red, big bubble.

Veliki crveni mjehurić je Kina,

The blue there is India.

a plavi ovdje je Indija.

And they go over all this -- I'm going to try to be

Ove ću godine pokušati

a little more serious this year in showing you

biti malo ozbiljniji i pokazati vam

how things really changed.

kako su se stvari zaista promijenile.

And it's Africa that stands out as the problem down here, doesn't it?

Afrika se ističe kao problem ovdje dolje, zar ne?

Large families still, and the HIV epidemic

Obitelji su još velike, a HIV epidemija

brought down the countries like this.

je unazadila takve zemlje.

This is more or less what we saw last year,

To je manje-više ono što smo vidjeli prošle godine,

and this is how it will go on into the future.

a evo kako će se to razvijati ubuduće.

And I will talk on, is this possible?

I ja ću dalje govoriti, no je li to moguće?

Because you see now, I presented statistics that don't exist.

Jer, vidite, prikazujem vam statistike koje još ne postoje.

Because this is where we are.

Jer danas smo ovdje.

Will it be possible that this will happen?

Je li moguće da se to dogodi?

I cover my lifetime here, you know?

Ovdje prikazujem svoj cijeli životni vijek, znate?

I expect to live 100 years.

Očekujem da ću živjeti 100 godina.

And this is where we are today.

A ovdje smo danas.

Now could we look here instead at the economic situation in the world?

Možemo li ovdje pogledati ekonomsku situaciju u svijetu?

And I would like to show that against child survival.

I htio bih ju usporediti s preživljavanjem djece.

We'll swap the axis.

Zamijenit ćemo osi:

Here you have child mortality -- that is, survival --

ovdje je smrtnost djece – to jest, preživljavanje –

four kids dying there, 200 dying there.

četvero djece umire ovdje, 200 ondje.

And this is GDP per capita on this axis.

A ovo je BDP po stanovniku, na ovoj osi.

And this was 2007.

A ovo je 2007.

And if I go back in time, I've added some historical statistics --

Ako vratim vrijeme, dodao sam malo povijesnih statistika –

here we go, here we go, here we go -- not so much statistics 100 years ago.

evo nas - nije bilo puno statističkih podataka prije 100 godina.

Some countries still had statistics.

Neke zemlje su još i tada imale statistike.

We are looking down in the archive,

Idemo do početka arhive i

and when we are down into 1820,

dođemo do 1820. godine.

there is only Austria and Sweden that can produce numbers.

Evo, jedino Austrija i Švedska imaju tako stare statistike.

(Laughter)

(Smijeh)

But they were down here. They had 1,000 dollars per person per year.

Ali one su bile ovdje dolje. Imale su 1000 dolara po osobi godišnje.

And they lost one-fifth of their kids before their first birthday.

A umirala je petina njihove djece prije svog prvog rođendana.

So this is what happens in the world, if we play the entire world.

Evo što se dešava u svijetu, ako odvrtimo za cijeli svijet,

How they got slowly richer and richer,

kako su polagano postajali bogatiji,

and they add statistics.

dodavali su i statističke podatke.

Isn't it beautiful when they get statistics?

Nije li prekrasno kad imamo podatke?

You see the importance of that?

Vidite li koliko je to važno?

And here, children don't live longer.

A ovdje, djeca ne žive dulje.

The last century, 1870, was bad for the kids in Europe,

Prošlo je stoljeće, 1870., bilo loše za djecu u Europi,

because most of this statistics is Europe.

jer većina ovih podataka je za Europu.

It was only by the turn of the century

Tek na prijelazu stoljeća

that more than 90 percent of the children survived their first year.

je više od 90% djece doživjelo prvi rođendan.

This is India coming up, with the first data from India.

Evo Indije, s prvim njihovim podacima.

And this is the United States moving away here, earning more money.

A ovdje je SAD kako odlazi, zarađujući sve više novca.

And we will soon see China coming up in the very far end corner here.

Uskoro ćemo vidjeti Kinu kako se pojavljuje na samom rubu.

And it moves up with Mao Tse-Tung getting health,

Kreće se prema gore jer joj Mao Tse Tung daje zdravlje,

not getting so rich.

ne previše bogatstva.

There he died, then Deng Xiaoping brings money.

Ovdje je umro, a Deng Xiaoping donosi novac,

It moves this way over here.

pa se Kina kreće ovamo.

And the bubbles keep moving up there,

A mjehurići se i dalje penju,

and this is what the world looks like today.

i ovako svijet izgleda danas.

(Applause)

(Pljesak)

Let us have a look at the United States.

Pogledajmo sad SAD.

We have a function here -- I can tell the world, "Stay where you are."

Imam naredbu u programu kojom mogu reći svijetu da ostane kako jest.

And I take the United States -- we still want to see the background --

Onda uzmem SAD – jer želimo vidjeti pozadinu stvari

I put them up like this, and now we go backwards.

i krenemo natraške.

And we can see that the United States

I vidimo da se SAD pomiču

goes to the right of the mainstream.

prema desno od većine.

They are on the money side all the time.

Cijelo vrijeme imaju više novaca od ostalih.

And down in 1915, the United States was a neighbor of India --

1915. SAD su imale novaca kao Indija.

present, contemporary India.

Indija danas.

And that means United States was richer,

A to znači da su SAD bile bogatije,

but lost more kids than India is doing today, proportionally.

ali im je umiralo više djece nego Indiji danas, proporcionalno.

And look here -- compare to the Philippines of today.

A pogledajte ovdje. Usporedite ih s Filipinima danas.

The Philippines of today has almost the same economy

Filipini danas imaju skoro istu ekonomsku snagu

as the United States during the First World War.

kao SAD za prvog svjetskog rata.

But we have to bring United States forward quite a while

Ali SAD moramo pomaknuti prilično u budućnost

to find the same health of the United States

da postignu istu razinu kvalitete zdravstvenog sustava

as we have in the Philippines.

kao što ga imaju Filipini danas.

About 1957 here, the health of the United States

Tek oko 1957. je zdravstvo u SADu

is the same as the Philippines.

na istoj razini kao na Filipinima danas.

And this is the drama of this world which many call globalized,

I to je ona drama svijeta kojeg mnogi zovu globalnim:

is that Asia, Arabic countries, Latin America,

Azija, Arapske zemlje, Latinska Amerika

are much more ahead in being healthy, educated,

su daleko naprednije u zdravstvenom sustavu, obrazovanju

having human resources than they are economically.

obrazovanju i ljudskim resursima nego što su ekonomski.

There's a discrepancy in what's happening today

Postoji raskorak u onome što se danas dešava

in the emerging economies.

u novim „ekonomijama“.

There now, social benefits, social progress,

U njima društvene beneficije, društveni napredak

are going ahead of economical progress.

predvode pred ekonomskim napretkom.

And 1957 -- the United States had the same economy as Chile has today.

A 1957. SAD je imala istu ekonomsku moć kao Čile danas.

And how long do we have to bring United States

I koliko daleko moramo pomaknuti SAD

to get the same health as Chile has today?

da bi imali istu razinu zdravlja kao Čile danas?

I think we have to go, there -- we have 2001, or 2002 --

Mislim da moramo ići do .. evo 2001. ili 2002.

the United States has the same health as Chile.

SAD su zdrave kao Čile danas.

Chile's catching up!

Čile brzo hvata korak!

Within some years Chile may have better child survival

Za nekoliko godina možda će Čile

than the United States.

imati manju smrtnost novorođenčadi nego SAD.

This is really a change, that you have this lag

To je stvarno promjena,

of more or less 30, 40 years' difference on the health.

da postoji 30 do 40 godina raskoraka u kvaliteti zdravlja.

And behind the health is the educational level.

A nakon zdravlja dolazi razina obrazovanosti.

And there's a lot of infrastructure things,

A ima i puno infrastrukturnih stvari

and general human resources are there.

i ljudskih resursa.

Now we can take away this --

Sad to možemo maknuti.

and I would like to show you the rate of speed,

Htio bih vam pokazati brzinu promjene,

the rate of change, how fast they have gone.

kako se brzo sve događa.

And we go back to 1920, and I want to look at Japan.

Idemo natrag u 1920. i želim pogledati Japan.

And I want to look at Sweden and the United States.

I Švedsku i SAD.

And I'm going to stage a race here

Organizirat ću utrku

between this sort of yellowish Ford here

između žućkastog Forda

and the red Toyota down there,

i crvene Toyote

and the brownish Volvo.

i smeđkastog Volva.

(Laughter)

(Smijeh)

And here we go. Here we go.

I evo idemo, krećemo.

The Toyota has a very bad start down here, you can see,

Toyota ima loš start ovdje dolje, vidite

and the United States Ford is going off-road there.

a SAD idu ovdje po terenu izvan ceste.

And the Volvo is doing quite fine.

A Volvu ide sasvim fino.

This is the war. The Toyota got off track, and now

Ovdje je rat. Toyota je malo sletjela s ceste,

the Toyota is coming on the healthier side of Sweden --

ali se sad vraća i postaje zdravija od Švedske –

can you see that?

vidite li to?

And they are taking over Sweden,

Pretječu Švedsku

and they are now healthier than Sweden.

i sad su zdraviji od Švedske.

That's the part where I sold the Volvo and bought the Toyota.

To je trenutak u kome sam prodao svoj Volvo i kupio Toyotu.

(Laughter)

(Smijeh)

And now we can see that the rate of change was enormous in Japan.

Sad jasno vidimo da je brzina promjene u Japanu bila enormna.

They really caught up.

Stvarno su nas dostigli.

And this changes gradually.

To se mijenja postupno.

We have to look over generations to understand it.

Moramo gledati kroz generacije da bismo to shvatili.

And let me show you my own sort of family history --

Dozvolite da vam pokažem povijest moje vlastite obitelji –

we made these graphs here.

napravili smo grafikon.

And this is the same thing, money down there, and health, you know?

To je ista stvar, novac dolje, a ovdje zdravlje.

And this is my family.

To je moja obitelj.

This is Sweden, 1830, when my great-great-grandma was born.

Ovo je Švedska, 1830., kad je moja pra-pra-baka rođena.

Sweden was like Sierra Leone today.

Švedska je bila poput Siera Leonea danas.

And this is when great-grandma was born, 1863.

Ovdje je pra-baka rođena, 1863.

And Sweden was like Mozambique.

A Švedska je bila poput Mozambika.

And this is when my grandma was born, 1891.

A ovdje je rođena moja baka, 1891.

She took care of me as a child,

Brinula se za mene kad sam bio mali,

so I'm not talking about statistic now --

dakle više ne govorim o statistici

now it's oral history in my family.

već o povijesti u mojoj obitelji.

That's when I believe statistics,

To je ono kad ja vjerujem statistici,

when it's grandma-verified statistics.

tek kad ju potvrdi moja baka.

(Laughter)

(Smijeh)

I think it's the best way of verifying historical statistics.

Mislim da je to najbolji način provjere povijesne statistike.

Sweden was like Ghana.

Švedska je bila poput Gane.

It's interesting to see the enormous diversity

Zanimljivo je pogledati golemu raznolikost

within sub-Saharan Africa.

u Subsaharskoj Africi.

I told you last year, I'll tell you again,

Prošle sam vam godine rekao, i reći ću vam opet,

my mother was born in Egypt, and I -- who am I?

moja je majka rođena u Egiptu, a … tko sam ja ?

I'm the Mexican in the family.

Ja sam Meksikanac u našoj obitelji.

And my daughter, she was born in Chile,

A moja kćer je rođena u Čileu,

and the grand-daughter was born in Singapore,

a unuka u Singapuru,

now the healthiest country on this Earth.

danas najzdravijoj zemlji na svijetu.

It bypassed Sweden about two to three years ago,

Pretekla je Švedsku prije dvije-tri godine,

with better child survival.

s manjom smrtnosti djece.

But they're very small, you know?

Ali oni su jako maleni, znate.

They're so close to the hospital we can never

Svi su tako blizu bolnici da ih nikad

beat them out in these forests.

u tome ne možemo preteći.

(Laughter)

(Smijeh)

But homage to Singapore.

Omaž Singapuru.

Singapore is the best one.

Singapur je danas najbolji.

Now this looks also like a very good story.

Ovo izgleda kao dobra priča.

But it's not really that easy, that it's all a good story.

No u stvarnosti nije to sve tako lako, da sve bude dobra priča.

Because I have to show you one of the other facilities.

Moram vam pokazati još jednu mogućnost alata.

We can also make the color here represent the variable --

Možemo također napraviti da boja predstavlja varijablu.

and what am I choosing here?

Što ću odabrati ovdje?

Carbon-dioxide emission, metric ton per capita.

Emisiju ugljičnog dioksida, metričke tone po stanovniku.

This is 1962, and United States was emitting 16 tons per person.

Ovo je 1962. kad su SAD emitirale 16 tona po osobi.

And China was emitting 0.6,

Kina je emitirala 0.6

and India was emitting 0.32 tons per capita.

a Indija 0.32 po stanovniku.

And what happens when we moved on?

A što se dešava kad krenemo naprijed?

Well, you see the nice story of getting richer

Evo, vidite lijepu priču kako se postaje bogatiji

and getting healthier --

i zdraviji.

everyone did it at the cost of emission of carbon dioxide.

Svi su to postigli na račun emisije ugljičnog dioksida.

There is no one who has done it so far.

Nitko to još nije uspio postići drugačije.

And we don't have all the updated data

Nemamo svježe podatke

any longer, because this is really hot data today.

jer su to danas „vrući“ podaci.

And there we are, 2001.

Evo nas u 2001.

And in the discussion I attended with global leaders, you know,

U razgovorima sa svjetskim vođama, znate,

many say now the problem is that the emerging economies,

mnogi kažu da je problem u novim ekonomijama

they are getting out too much carbon dioxide.

koje emitiraju previše ugljičnog dioksida.

The Minister of the Environment of India said,

Ministar okoliša Indije je rekao

"Well, you were the one who caused the problem."

„Vi ste ti koji su prouzročili problem.

The OECD countries -- the high-income countries --

Zemlje OECD-a -- bogate zemlje –

they were the ones who caused the climate change.

one su izazvale klimatske promjene.

"But we forgive you, because you didn't know it.

Ali, mi vam to opraštamo, jer niste znali.

But from now on, we count per capita.

Ali od sada, računamo po stanovniku.

From now on we count per capita.

Od sada, računamo po stanovniku.

And everyone is responsible for the per capita emission."

I svatko je odgovoran za emisiju po stanovniku."

This really shows you, we have not seen good economic

Ovo vam stvarno pokazuje da nismo nigdje vidjeli ekonomski

and health progress anywhere in the world

i zdravstveni napredak

without destroying the climate.

bez uništavanja okoliša.

And this is really what has to be changed.

A to se zaista mora promijeniti.

I've been criticized for showing you a too positive image of the world,

Kritizirali su me da pokazujem previše pozitivnu sliku svijeta,

but I don't think it's like this.

ali ja ne mislim da je to tako.

The world is quite a messy place.

Svijet je prilično neuredno mjesto.

This we can call Dollar Street.

Ovo možemo zvati Dolarskom ulicom.

Everyone lives on this street here.

Svi žive u ovoj ulici ulici.

What they earn here -- what number they live on --

Kućni broj na kojem žive odgovara

is how much they earn per day.

količini dolara koju zarade na dan.

This family earns about one dollar per day.

Ova obitelj zarađuje oko jednog dolara na dan.

We drive up the street here,

Vozimo se ulicom

we find a family here which earns about two to three dollars a day.

i dođemo do obitelji koja zarađuje dva do tri dolara na dan.

And we drive away here -- we find the first garden in the street,

Vozimo se dalje i pojavljuje se prvi vrt u ulici.

and they earn 10 to 50 dollars a day.

Oni zarađuju 10 do 50 dolara na dan.

And how do they live?

A kako oni žive?

If we look at the bed here, we can see

Ako pogledamo krevet, vidimo

that they sleep on a rug on the floor.

da spavaju na prostirci na podu.

This is what poverty line is --

Evo što je granica siromaštva –

80 percent of the family income is just to cover the energy needs,

80% obiteljskog prihoda služi za pokrivanje energetskih potreba,

the food for the day.

hrana za taj dan.

This is two to five dollars. You have a bed.

Ovdje je dva do pet dolara, imate krevet.

And here it's a much nicer bedroom, you can see.

A ovdje je puno ljepša spavaća soba.

I lectured on this for Ikea, and they wanted to see

Držao sam ovo predavanje za Ikeu

the sofa immediately here.

i oni su odmah htjeli vidjeti ovdje sofu.

(Laughter)

(Smijeh)

And this is the sofa, how it will emerge from there.

A evo ovdje sofe, kako se pojavi odavde.

And the interesting thing, when you go around here in the photo panorama,

A zanimljivo je, kad pogledate uokolo u panoramskoj snimci,

you see the family still sitting on the floor there.

vidite da obitelj i dalje sjedi na podu,

Although there is a sofa,

iako je ovdje sofa.

if you watch in the kitchen, you can see that

Ako pogledate u kuhinju, vidjet ćete

the great difference for women does not come between one to 10 dollars.

da nema velike razlike za žene između jednog i deset dolara.

It comes beyond here, when you really can get

To se dešava tek ovdje,

good working conditions in the family.

kad postoje dobri radni uvjeti u obitelji.

And if you really want to see the difference,

A ako zaista želite vidjeti razliku,

you look at the toilet over here.

pogledajte zahod.

This can change. This can change.

Ovo se može poboljšati, i ovo.

These are all pictures and images from Africa,

Ovo sve fotografije iz Afrike

and it can become much better.

i sve se to može puno poboljšati.

We can get out of poverty.

Možemo se riješiti siromaštva.

My own research has not been in IT or anything like this.

Moje istraživanje nije bilo u informacijskoj tehnologiji, ili takvom nečem.

I spent 20 years in interviews with African farmers

Proveo sam 20 godina razgovarajući s afričkim seljacima

who were on the verge of famine.

koji su bili na rubu izgladnjelosti.

And this is the result of the farmers-needs research.

A ovo su rezultati istraživanja o potrebama seljaka.

The nice thing here is that you can't see

Dobro je što ne možete vidjeti

who are the researchers in this picture.

tko su istraživači na ovoj slici.

That's when research functions in poor societies --

Istraživanje u nekom društvu daje prave rezultate

you must really live with the people.

samo ako stvarno živite s ljudima.

When you're in poverty, everything is about survival.

Ako živite u siromaštvu, jedino je bitno preživjeti.

It's about having food.

Jedino je važno imati dovoljno hrane.

And these two young farmers, they are girls now --

A ovi mladi farmeri, to su djevojke –

because the parents are dead from HIV and AIDS --

jer su njihovi roditelji umrli od HIVa i AIDSa –

they discuss with a trained agronomist.

one razgovaraju s obrazovanim agronomom.

This is one of the best agronomists in Malawi, Junatambe Kumbira,

Ovo je jedan od najboljih agronoma u Malawiju, Junatambe Kumbira,

and he's discussing what sort of cassava they will plant --

I on razgovara koju vrstu cassava one trebaju uzgajati –

the best converter of sunshine to food that man has found.

to je najbolji pretvarač sunčeve energije u hranu koji je čovjek otkrio.

And they are very, very eagerly interested to get advice,

A one su vrlo, vrlo željne savjeta

and that's to survive in poverty.

kako bi preživjele u siromaštvu.

That's one context.

To je jedan kontekst.

Getting out of poverty.

Izaći iz siromaštva.

The women told us one thing. "Get us technology.

Te žene su nam rekle: „Dajte nam tehnologiju.

We hate this mortar, to stand hours and hours.

Mrzimo ove motike, kopanje satima.

Get us a mill so that we can mill our flour,

Dajte nam mlin, da možemo sami mljeti naše žito.

then we will be able to pay for the rest ourselves."

Dalje ćemo moći sami platiti ostalo.“

Technology will bring you out of poverty,

Tehnologija vas može izvući iz siromaštva,

but there's a need for a market to get away from poverty.

ali potrebno je i tržište kako bi se izašlo iz siromaštva.

And this woman is very happy now, bringing her products to the market.

Ova je žena presretna dok vozi svoje proizvode na tržnicu.

But she's very thankful for the public investment in schooling

I ona je vrlo zahvalna za javna ulaganja u obrazovanje,

so she can count, and won't be cheated when she reaches the market.

jer zna računati i neće ju prevariti na tržnici.

She wants her kid to be healthy, so she can go to the market

Želi da njeno dijete bude zdravo kako bi mogla ići na tržnicu,

and doesn't have to stay home.

a ne da mora ostati kod kuće.

And she wants the infrastructure -- it is nice with a paved road.

A treba joj i infrastruktura – puno je lakše s asfaltnom cestom.

It's also good with credit.

I krediti pomažu.

Micro-credits gave her the bicycle, you know.

Mikro krediti su joj omogućili bicikl, znate.

And information will tell her when to go to market with which product.

A pristup informacijama će joj pomoći da zna kad i s kojom robom ići na tržnicu.

You can do this.

To se može postići.

I find my experience from 20 years of Africa is that

Moje dvadesetogodišnje iskustvo u Africi govori

the seemingly impossible is possible.

da su naizgled nemoguće stvari ipak moguće.

Africa has not done bad.

Afrika ne radi loše.

In 50 years they've gone from a pre-Medieval situation

U 50 godina oni su s razine pred srednjovjekovne Europe

to a very decent 100-year-ago Europe,

došli na razinu Europe od prije 100 godina,

with a functioning nation and state.

s nacionalnim državama koje funkcioniraju.

I would say that sub-Saharan Africa has done best in the world

Rekao bih da je Subsaharska Afrika imala najveći napredak u cijelom svijetu.

during the last 50 years.

u posljednjih 50 godina.

Because we don't consider where they came from.

Jer mi zaboravljamo od kud su oni krenuli.

It's this stupid concept of developing countries

Glupa je ideja koja uspoređuje napredak

that puts us, Argentina and Mozambique together 50 years ago,

nas, Argentine i Mozambika u proteklih 50 godina

and says that Mozambique did worse.

i kaže da se Mozambik razvija loše.

We have to know a little more about the world.

Moramo naučiti malo više o svijetu.

I have a neighbor who knows 200 types of wine.

Imam susjeda koji poznaje 200 vrsti vina.

He knows everything.

On zna sve.

He knows the name of the grape, the temperature and everything.

Zna naziv grožđa, temperaturu i sve.

I only know two types of wine -- red and white.

Ja poznajem sam odvije vrste vina – crno i bijelo.

(Laughter)

(Smijeh)

But my neighbor only knows two types of countries --

Ali moj susjed poznaje samo dvije vrste zemalja –

industrialized and developing.

industrijalizirane i one u razvoju.

And I know 200, I know about the small data.

A ja ih poznajem 200.

But you can do that.

Ali to se može.

(Applause)

(Pljesak)

But I have to get serious. And how do you get serious?

No, moram se uozbiljiti. A kako biti ozbiljan?

You make a PowerPoint, you know?

Napravite PowerPoint prezentaciju.

(Laughter)

(Smijeh)

Homage to the Office package, no?

Omaž Office paketu, zar ne?

What is this, what is this, what am I telling?

Što je ovo, što je to, što vam govorim?

I'm telling you that there are many dimensions of development.

Govorim vam da postoji mnogo dimenzija razvoja.

Everyone wants your pet thing.

Svi vole svoje projekte ljubimce.

If you are in the corporate sector, you love micro-credit.

Ako ste u velikim korporacijama, obožavate mikro kredite.

If you are fighting in a non-governmental organization,

Ako se borite kao nevladina organizacija,

you love equity between gender.

volite ravnopravnost spolova.

Or if you are a teacher, you'll love UNESCO, and so on.

Ili ako ste učitelj, volite UNESCO, i tako dalje.

On the global level, we have to have more than our own thing.

Na globalnoj razini nam treba više od naših mjerila.

We need everything.

Treba nam sve.

All these things are important for development,

Sve ove stvari su bitne za razvoj,

especially when you just get out of poverty

posebno ako ste upravo izašli iz siromaštva

and you should go towards welfare.

i trebate stvoriti blagostanje.

Now, what we need to think about

Ono o čemu trebamo misliti

is, what is a goal for development,

je koji su ciljevi razvoja

and what are the means for development?

i koja su sredstva razvoja.

Let me first grade what are the most important means.

Prvo ću ocijeniti koja su najvažnija sredstva.

Economic growth to me, as a public-health professor,

Gospodarski rast je meni, kao profesoru javnog zdravstva,

is the most important thing for development

najvažnija stvar za razvoj,

because it explains 80 percent of survival.

jer on objašnjava 80% preživljavanja.

Governance. To have a government which functions --

Uprava. Imati upravu koja funkcionira –

that's what brought California out of the misery of 1850.

to je ono što je izvuklo Kaliforniju iz bijede 1850.

It was the government that made law function finally.

Vlada je ta koja je konačno učinila da zakon profunkcionira.

Education, human resources are important.

Obrazovanje, ljudski resursi su važni.

Health is also important, but not that much as a mean.

Zdravlje je isto važno, ali ne toliko kao sredstvo.

Environment is important.

Okoliš je važan.

Human rights is also important, but it just gets one cross.

Ljudska prava su važna, ali dobivaju samo jedan plusić.

Now what about goals? Where are we going toward?

A što je s ciljevima? Čemu težimo?

We are not interested in money.

Ne zanima nas novac.

Money is not a goal.

Novac nije cilj.

It's the best mean, but I give it zero as a goal.

To je najbolje sredstvo, ali mu dajem nulu kao cilju.

Governance, well it's fun to vote in a little thing,

Uprava, no zabavno je odlučivati,

but it's not a goal.

ali to nije cilj.

And going to school, that's not a goal, it's a mean.

I ići u školu, ni to nije cilj, to je sredstvo.

Health I give two points. I mean it's nice to be healthy

Zdravlju dajem dva boda. Mislim, lijepo je biti zdrav –

-- at my age especially -- you can stand here, you're healthy.

posebno o mojoj dobi – mogu ovdje stajati, jer sam zdrav.

And that's good, it gets two plusses.

I to je dobro, dobiva dva boda.

Environment is very, very crucial.

Okoliš je vrlo, vrlo bitan.

There's nothing for the grandkid if you don't save up.

Ništa neće ostati unucima ako ga ne štitimo.

But where are the important goals?

Ali gdje su važni ciljevi?

Of course, it's human rights.

Naravno, to su ljudska prava.

Human rights is the goal,

Ljudska prava su cilj,

but it's not that strong of a mean for achieving development.

ali ne toliko važno sredstvo za ostvarenje razvoja.

And culture. Culture is the most important thing, I would say,

I kultura. Kultura je najvažnija, rekao bih,

because that's what brings joy to life.

jer to je ono što donosi radost u život.

That's the value of living.

To je vrijednost života.

So the seemingly impossible is possible.

Dakle, naizgled nemoguće je moguće.

Even African countries can achieve this.

Čak i afričke zemlje to mogu postići.

And I've shown you the shot where the seemingly impossible is possible.

I pokazao sam vam sliku gdje je naizgled nemoguće moguće.

And remember, please remember my main message,

I zapamtite, molim vas zapamtite moju glavnu poruku,

which is this: the seemingly impossible is possible.

a to je ova: naizgled nemoguće je moguće.

We can have a good world.

Možemo imati dobar svijet.

I showed you the shots, I proved it in the PowerPoint,

Pokazao sam vam slike, dokazao PowerPointom

and I think I will convince you also by culture.

i mislim da ću vas uvjeriti kulturom.

(Laughter)

(Smijeh)

(Applause)

(Pljesak)

Bring me my sword!

Donesite mi moj mač!

Sword swallowing is from ancient India.

Gutanje mača je iz pradavne Indije.

It's a cultural expression that for thousands of years

To je kulturni izričaj koji je tisućama godina

has inspired human beings to think beyond the obvious.

nadahnjivao ljude da razmišljaju izvan očitoga.

(Laughter)

(Smijeh)

And I will now prove to you that the seemingly impossible is possible

A ja ću vam sada dokazati da je naizgled nemoguće moguće

by taking this piece of steel -- solid steel --

tako što ću ovaj komad čelika – čvrstog čelika –

this is the army bayonet from the Swedish Army, 1850,

ovo je vojna bajoneta švedske vojske, 1850.,

in the last year we had war.

posljednje godine kad smo imali rat.

And it's all solid steel -- you can hear here.

I to je čvrsti čelik – možete čuti.

And I'm going to take this blade of steel,

I ja ću tu čeličnu oštricu

and push it down through my body of blood and flesh,

gurnuti kroz moje tijelo od krvi i mesa

and prove to you that the seemingly impossible is possible.

i dokazati vam da je naizgled nemoguće moguće.

Can I request a moment of absolute silence?

Mogu li vas zamoliti za trenutak apsolutne tišine?

(Applause)

(Pljesak)