Misha Glenny investigates global crime networks

134,384 views ・ 2009-09-14

TED


Molimo dvaput kliknite na engleski titl ispod za reprodukciju videa.

Translator: Sabina Mesanovic Reviewer: Vedran Dizdarevic
00:12
These are grim economic times,
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Ovo su zabrinjavajuća ekonomska vremena
00:15
fellow TEDsters, grim economic times indeed.
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prijatelji TEDsteri, zaista nesretna ekonomska vremena.
00:18
And so, I would like to cheer you up
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I zato bih vas želio oraspoložiti
00:21
with one of the great, albeit largely unknown,
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sa jednom velikom, iako uglavnom nepoznatom
00:24
commercial success stories
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pričom o poslovnom uspjehu
00:26
of the past 20 years.
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u zadnjih 20 godina.
00:28
Comparable, in its own very peculiar way,
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Koja se na specifičan način može uporediti
00:31
to the achievements of Microsoft or Google.
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sa uspjesima Microsofta ili Googlea.
00:34
And it's an industry which has bucked the current recession
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To je industrija koja je podnijela trenutnu recesiju
00:37
with equanimity.
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vrlo ležerno.
00:39
I refer to organized crime.
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Govorim o organizovanom kriminalu.
00:42
Now organized crime has been around
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Reći ćete, organizovani kriminal
00:44
for a very long time, I hear you say,
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postoji već vrlo dugo.
00:47
and these would be wise words, indeed.
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I tu bi bili zbilja u pravu.
00:49
But in the last two decades,
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Ali u posljednje dvije decenije
00:52
it has experienced an unprecedented expansion,
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je doživio neviđen razvoj.
00:55
now accounting for roughly 15 percent
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I danas predstavlja otprilike 15%
00:59
of the world's GDP.
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svjetskog bruto nacionalnog dohodka.
01:01
I like to call it the Global Shadow Economy,
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Volim ga nazivati globalna ekonomija u sjeni
01:04
or McMafia, for short.
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ili ukratko 'McMafia'.
01:07
So what triggered this extraordinary growth
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Šta je prouzrokovalo ovaj nevjerovatan porast
01:10
in cross-border crime?
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međunarodnog kriminala?
01:12
Well, of course, there is globalization,
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Naravno, tu je globalizacija,
01:14
technology, communications, all that stuff,
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tehnologija, komunikacije i ostale stvari
01:17
which we'll talk about a little bit later.
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o kojima ćemo pričati nešto kasnije.
01:20
But first, I would like to take you back
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Prvo bih vas želio vratiti
01:23
to this event:
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ovom događaju.
01:25
the collapse of communism.
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Padu komunizma.
01:27
All across Eastern Europe, a most momentous episode
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U cijeloj istočnoj Evropi, nezaboravan momenat
01:31
in our post-war history.
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u našoj poslijeratnoj historiji.
01:33
Now it's time for full disclosure.
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Sada je vrijeme da vam kažem istinu.
01:36
This event meant a great deal to me personally.
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Ovaj događaj je meni lično mnogo predstavljao.
01:39
I had started smuggling books across the Iron Curtain
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Krijumčario sam knjige preko gvozdene zavjese
01:43
to Democratic opposition groups in Eastern Europe,
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demokratskoj opoziciji u istočnoj Evropi
01:45
like Solidarity in Poland,
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kao što je bila Solidarnost u Poljskoj
01:47
when I was in my teens.
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kada sam bio tinejdžer.
01:49
I then started writing about Eastern Europe,
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Onda sam počeo pisati o istočnoj Evropi
01:53
and eventually I became the BBC's chief correspondent for the region,
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nakon čega postadoh glavni BBC-jev dopisnik za regiju.
01:57
which is what I was doing in 1989.
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Dužnost koju sam obavljao 1989.
02:01
And so when 425 million people
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Kada je 425 miliona ljudi
02:05
finally won the right
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napokon dobilo pravo
02:07
to choose their own governments,
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da izabere svoju vladu,
02:09
I was ecstatic,
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bio sam presretan.
02:12
but I was also a touch worried
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Ali bio sam dijelom i zabrinut
02:14
about some of the nastier things
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u vezi nekih prljavih stvari
02:16
lurking behind the wall.
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koje vrebaju iza ugla.
02:18
It wasn't long, for example,
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Na primjer, nije potrajalo dugo,
02:20
before ethnic nationalism
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prije nego će etnički nacionalizam
02:22
reared its bloody head
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pokazati svoje krvavo lice
02:24
in Yugoslavia.
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u Jugoslaviji.
02:26
And amongst the chaos,
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I u svom tom haosu
02:28
amidst the euphoria,
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usred euforije,
02:30
it took me a little while to understand
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trebalo mi je malo da shvatim
02:32
that some of the people who had wielded power
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da su neki od ljudi koji su posjedovali moć
02:35
before 1989, in Eastern Europe,
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u istočnoj Evropi prije 1989.
02:39
continued to do so after the revolutions there.
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i dalje činili isto nakon tamošnje revolucije.
02:43
Obviously there were characters like this.
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Očigledno je bilo takvih likova.
02:47
But there were also some more unexpected people
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Ali tu je bilo i nekih neočekivanih ljudi
02:51
who played a critical role in what was going on in Eastern Europe.
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koji su igrali ključnu ulogu u događajima u istočnoj Evropi.
02:55
Like this character. Remember these guys?
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Kao ovaj recimo. Sjećate li se njih?
02:58
They used to win the gold medals in weightlifting
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Nekad su osvajali zlatne medalje u dizanju tegova
03:00
and wrestling, every four years in the Olympics,
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i hrvanju, svake četiri godine na Olimpijskim igrama.
03:03
and they were the great celebrities of communism,
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Bili su prave zvijezde za komunizam,
03:06
with a fabulous lifestyle to go with it.
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sa dobrim načinom života koji ide uz to.
03:09
They used to get great apartments in the center of town,
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Dobivali su odlične stanove u centru grada.
03:11
casual sex on tap,
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Povremeno i seksualne usluge.
03:13
and they could travel to the West very freely,
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I mogli su slobodno putovati na zapad,
03:16
which was a great luxury at the time.
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što je bilo veliki luksuz u to vrijeme.
03:19
It may come as a surprise, but they played a critical role
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Iznenađujuće, ali oni su igrali kritičnu ulogu
03:23
in the emergence of the market economy
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za vrijeme tranzicije
03:25
in Eastern Europe.
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u istočnoj Evropi.
03:27
Or as I like to call them, they are
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Ili kao što ih ja volim nazivati, oni su
03:29
the midwives of capitalism.
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babice kapitalizma.
03:31
Here are some of those same weightlifters
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Evo nekih od tih istih dizača tegova
03:34
after their 1989 makeover.
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poslije tretmana iz 1989.
03:37
Now in Bulgaria --
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U Bugarskoj,
03:40
this photograph was taken in Bulgaria --
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ova fotografija je snimljena u Bugarskoj,
03:42
when communism collapsed all over Eastern Europe,
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kada se komunizam raspao u istočnoj Evropi
03:45
it wasn't just communism;
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nije se raspao samo komunizam,
03:47
it was the state that collapsed as well.
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već i cijeli državni poredak.
03:49
That means your police force wasn't working.
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Što znači da policijski organi nisu radili.
03:51
The court system wasn't functioning properly.
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Sud nije funkcionisao kako treba.
03:54
So what was a business man in the brave new world
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Dakle, šta je poslovni čovjek u novom hrabrom svijetu
03:59
of East European capitalism going to do
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kapitalizma istočne Evrope mogao učiniti
04:01
to make sure that his contracts would be honored?
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kako bi osigurao da se ugovori poštuju?
04:05
Well, he would turn to people who were called, rather prosaically
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Pa, on bi se obratio ljudima koje su sociolozi prozaično nazivali
04:08
by sociologists, privatized law enforcement agencies.
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privatizovane agencije za sprovođenje zakona.
04:12
We prefer to know them as the mafia.
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Mi ih poznajemo pod imenom mafija.
04:16
And in Bulgaria, the mafia was soon joined
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I u Bugarskoj mafiji će se uskoro pridružiti
04:19
with 14,000 people
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14 hiljada ljudi
04:21
who were sacked from their jobs in the security services
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otpuštenih sa poslova u sigurnosnim agencijama
04:25
between 1989 and 1991.
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između 1989. i 1991.
04:27
Now, when your state is collapsing,
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Sada, kada vam je država u kolapsu,
04:31
your economy is heading south at a rate of knots,
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ekonomija velikom brzinom propada,
04:34
the last people you want coming on to the labor market
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posljednji ljudi koje želite vidjeti na tržištu rada
04:37
are 14,000 men and women whose chief skills
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su 14 hiljada žena i muškaraca čije su osnovne vještine
04:40
are surveillance,
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nagledanje i prisluškivanje,
04:42
are smuggling, building underground networks
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krijumčarenje, organizovanje struktura u podzemlju
04:45
and killing people.
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i ubijanje ljudi.
04:48
But that's what happened all over Eastern Europe.
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I to je što se dogodilo širom istočne Evrope.
04:51
Now, when I was working in the 1990s,
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Dok sam radio devedesetih godina
04:56
I spent most of the time covering
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najviše sam vremena proveo pokrivajući
04:59
the appalling conflict in Yugoslavia.
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užasan sukob u Jugoslaviji.
05:02
And I couldn't help notice
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I nisam mogao da ne primjetim
05:04
that the people who were perpetrating the appalling atrocities,
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da su ljudi koji su činili užasna nedjela,
05:08
the paramilitary organizations,
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paravojne organizacije,
05:11
were actually the same people running
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bili zapravo isti oni koji su upravljali
05:13
the organized criminal syndicates.
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organizovanim kriminalnim mrežama.
05:16
And I came to think that behind the violence
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Tada sam počeo shvatati kako iza nasilja
05:20
lay a sinister criminal enterprise.
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stoji mračni kriminalni poduhvat.
05:23
And so I resolved to travel around the world
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I tako sam odlučio putovati oko svijeta
05:27
examining this global criminal underworld
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posmatrajući ovo globalno krminalno podzemlje
05:30
by talking to policemen,
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razgovarajući sa policajcima,
05:32
by talking to victims, by talking to consumers
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razgovarajući sa žrtvama, sa potrošačima
05:35
of illicit goods and services.
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nedopuštenih roba i usluga.
05:37
But above all else, by talking to the gangsters themselves.
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Ali prije svega, razgovarajući sa samim mafijašima.
05:42
And the Balkans was a fabulous place to start.
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I naravno, Balkan je bio odlično mjesto za početi.
05:45
Why? Well of course
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Zašto? Pa, prije svega
05:47
there was the issue of law and order collapsing,
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jer su se tamo red i zakon urušili.
05:49
but also, as they say in the retail trade,
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Ali isto tako, kao što tvrde u trgovinama,
05:51
it's location, location, location.
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da je sve do lokacije, lokacije, lokacije.
05:55
And what I noticed at the beginning of my research
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I ono što sam primjetio na početku svog traganja
05:57
that the Balkans had turned into a vast transit zone
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da je Balkan postao ogromna tranzitna zona
06:02
for illicit goods and services coming from all over the world.
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za nezakonite robe i usluge koje dolaze iz cijeloga svijeta.
06:05
Heroin, cocaine,
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Heroin, kokain,
06:07
women being trafficked into prostitution
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trgovina ženama radi prostitucije
06:10
and precious minerals.
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i plemeniti minerali.
06:12
And where were they heading?
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I kuda je sve to bilo usmjereno?
06:14
The European Union, which by now
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Ka Evropskoj uniji, koja je već
06:16
was beginning to reap the benefits of globalization,
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bila počela ubirati prednosti globalizacije.
06:20
transforming it into
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Pretvarajući se u
06:22
the most affluent consumer market in history,
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najbogatije potrošačko tržište u historiji
06:25
eventually comprising some 500 million people.
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koje obuhvata oko 500 miliona ljudi.
06:28
And a significant minority
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I značajna manjina
06:31
of those 500 million people
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od ovih 500 miliona ljudi
06:33
like to spend some of their leisure time and spare cash
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svoj novac i slobodno vrijeme voli trošiti
06:36
sleeping with prostitutes,
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na prostitutke,
06:38
sticking 50 Euro notes up their nose
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gurajući novčanice od 50 eura
06:41
and employing illegal migrant laborers.
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i ilegalno zapošljavajući radnike iz inostranstva.
06:44
Now, organized crime in a globalizing world
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Organizovani kriminal u globalizovanom svijetu
06:48
operates in the same way as any other business.
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funkcioniše na isti način kao i svaki drugi biznis.
06:50
It has zones of production,
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Ima svoje produkcijske zone
06:53
like Afghanistan and Columbia.
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kao što su Afganistan i Kolumbija.
06:56
It has zones of distribution,
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Zone distribucije
06:58
like Mexico and the Balkans.
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poput Meksika i Balkana.
07:01
And then, of course, it has zones of consumption,
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I naravno, zone konzumacije
07:05
like the European Union, Japan
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kao što je Evropska unija, Japan
07:07
and of course, the United States.
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i naravno Sjedinjene Države.
07:10
The zones of production and distribution
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Zone produkcije i distribucije
07:13
tend to lie in the developing world,
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se obično nalaze u zemljama u razvoju.
07:16
and they are often threatened by appalling violence
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I često su izložene užasnom nasilju
07:20
and bloodshed.
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i krvoproliću.
07:22
Take Mexico, for example.
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Uzmimo na primjer Meksiko.
07:24
Six thousand people killed there in the last 18 months
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Tamo je u posljednjih 18 mjeseci, ubijeno 6 hiljada ljudi
07:28
as a direct consequence of the cocaine trade.
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što je direktna posljedica trgovine kokainom.
07:32
But what about the Democratic Republic of Congo?
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A šta je sa Demokratskom Republikom Kongo?
07:36
Since 1998, five million people have died there.
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Od 1998. tamo je umrlo 5 miliona ljudi.
07:42
It's not a conflict you read about much in the newspapers,
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To nije konflikt o kojem mnogo čitate u novinama.
07:44
but it's the biggest conflict on this planet
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Ali je najveći konflikt na planeti
07:47
since the Second World War.
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nakon Drugog svjetskog rata.
07:49
And why is it? Because mafias from all around the world
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A zašto? Jer mafija iz cijeloga svijeta
07:52
cooperate with local paramilitaries
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sarađuje sa lokalnim paravojskama
07:55
in order to seize the supplies
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kako bi osigurala zalihe
07:58
of the rich mineral resources
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bogatih mineralnih resursa
08:00
of the region.
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iz regije.
08:02
In the year 2000, 80 percent of the world's coltan
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Godine 2000. 80% svjetskih zaliha koltana
08:06
was sourced to the killing fields
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je dobiveno na poljima smrti
08:08
of the eastern Democratic Republic of Congo.
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sa područja istočne Demokratske Republike Kongo.
08:12
Now, coltan you will find in almost every mobile phone,
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Koltan će te danas naći u skoro svakom mobilnom telefonu,
08:16
in almost every laptop
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svakom laptopu
08:18
and games console.
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i konzolama za igranje.
08:20
The Congolese war lords were selling this stuff to the mafia
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Gospodari rata u Kongu su takve stvari prodavali mafiji
08:23
in exchange for weapons,
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u zamjenu za oružje.
08:25
and the mafia would then sell it on to Western markets.
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A mafija bi to onda prodavala po zapadnim tržištima.
08:29
And it is this Western desire
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I tako je ta zapadna potreba
08:31
to consume
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da konzumira
08:33
that is the primary driver
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primarna pogonska snaga
08:36
of international organized crime.
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organizovanog internacionalnog kriminala.
08:39
Now, let me show you some of my friends in action,
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Dozvolite mi da vam pokažem neke od svojih prijatelja u akciji,
08:43
caught conveniently on film by the Italian police,
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snimljene od Italijanske policije
08:46
and smuggling duty-not-paid cigarettes.
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krijumčareći neoporezovane cigarete.
08:49
Now, cigarettes out the factory gate are very cheap.
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Fabričke cigarete su veoma jeftine.
08:52
The European Union then imposes the highest taxes on them in the world.
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Evropska unija ih onda oporezuje najvećim porezom na svijetu.
08:56
So if you can smuggle them into the E.U.,
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Tako, ako ih uspijete prokrijumčariti do E.U.
08:59
there are very handsome profits to be made,
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možete ostvariti veoma unosan profit.
09:02
and I want to show you this to demonstrate
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I želim vam pokazati ovo kako bih demonstrirao
09:04
the type of resources available to these groups.
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tip resursa dostupnih ovim grupama.
09:07
This boat is worth one million Euros when it's new.
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Kada je nov, ovakav gliser vrijedi milion eura.
09:11
And it's the fastest thing on European waters.
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I nešto je najbrže što se može naći na evropskim vodama.
09:15
From 1994, for seven years,
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Od 1994. dobrih sedam godina,
09:18
20 of these boats
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20 ovakvih čamaca
09:20
made the trip across the Adriatic,
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je preplovljavalo Jadransko more,
09:23
from Montenegro to Italy, every single night.
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od Crne Gore do Italije, svaku noć.
09:26
And as a consequence of this trade,
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I kao posljedicu ovakvog trgovanja
09:28
Britain alone lost eight billion dollars in revenue.
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imamo samo Veliku Britaniju koja je izgubila 8 milijardi dolara poreznih prihoda.
09:33
And instead that money went to underwrite the wars in Yugoslavia
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I taj novac biva preusmjeren na ratna događanja u Jugoslaviji
09:37
and line the pockets of unscrupulous individuals.
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i za punjenje džepova beskrupuloznih pojedinaca.
09:41
Now Italian police, when this trade started,
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Kada je počela ovakva trgovina, italijanska policija je
09:44
had just two boats which could go at the same speed.
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imala svega dva glisera koja su mogla ići dovoljno brzo.
09:48
And this is very important, because the only way you can catch these guys
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I to je važno, jer je inače jedini način da uhvatite te ljude
09:50
is if they run out of gas.
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da ostanu bez benzina.
09:53
Sometimes the gangsters would bring with them
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Ponekad bi ti kriminalci sa sobom vozili
09:55
women being trafficked into prostitution,
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žene radi odvođenja u prostituciju.
09:58
and if the police intervened, they would hurl
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I ako bi se policija pojavila, oni bi bacili
10:00
the women into the sea
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žene u more,
10:03
so that the police had to go and save them from drowning,
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da bi se policija pozabavila spašavanjem žena
10:05
rather than chasing the bad guys.
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prije nego bi nastavljala hvatati loše momke.
10:09
So I have shown you this to demonstrate
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Pokazao sam vam ovo da bih demonstrirao
10:12
how many boats, how many vessels it takes
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koliko glisera, koliko plovila treba
10:14
to catch one of these guys.
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da bi se uhvatio samo jedan.
10:16
And the answer is six vessels.
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I odgovor je, šest plovila.
10:18
And remember, 20 of these speed boats
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Upamtite, 20 ovakvih brzih čamaca
10:21
were coming across the Adriatic
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se kretalo Jadranskim morem
10:23
every single night.
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svaku noć.
10:25
So what were these guys doing with all the money they were making?
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Dakle, šta su ovi ljudi radili sa zarađenim novcem?
10:29
Well, this is where we come to globalization,
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I tu dolazimo do globalizacije
10:33
because that was not just the deregulation of global trade.
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jer to nije samo deregulacija globalne trgovine.
10:36
It was the liberalization of international financial markets.
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Već i liberalizacija međunarodnog finansijskog tržišta.
10:39
And boy, did that make it easy
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I znate, to je olakšalo stvari
10:42
for the money launderers.
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peračima novca.
10:44
The last two decades have been the champagne era
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Posljednje dvije decenije su bile era procvata
10:47
for dirty lucre.
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prljavog novca.
10:49
In the 1990s, we saw financial centers around the world
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Devedesetih smo vidjeli finansijske centre širom svijeta
10:53
competing for their business,
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kako se takmiče za posao.
10:56
and there was simply no effective mechanism
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I jednostavno nije postojao efikasan mehanizam
10:58
to prevent money laundering.
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za spriječavanje pranja novca.
11:00
And a lot of licit banks were also happy
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I mnogo legealnih banaka je bilo sretno
11:03
to accept deposits
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da prihvati depozite
11:06
from very dubious sources
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iz veoma sumnjivih izvora
11:08
without questions being asked.
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bez postavljanja ikakvih pitanja.
11:11
But at the heart of this, is the offshore banking network.
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A u biti svega, je mreža banaka koja je izvan finansijskih centara.
11:15
Now these things
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Danas su takve banke
11:18
are an essential part of the money laundering parade,
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neizostavan dio procesa pranja novca.
11:21
and if you want to do something about illegal tax evasion
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I ako želite učiniti nešto po pitanju nezakonite utaje poreza
11:25
and transnational organized crime, money laundering,
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transnacionalnog organizovanog kriminala i pranja novca,
11:29
you have to get rid of them.
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morate ih se riješiti.
11:31
On a positive note, we at last have someone in the White House
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Pozitivno je što konačno imamo nekoga u Bijeloj kući
11:34
who has consistently spoken out
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ko se konzistentno oglašavao
11:37
against these corrosive entities.
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protiv ovakvih razarajučih institucija.
11:40
And if anyone is concerned about what I believe
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I ako je iko zainteresovan za moje mišljenje
11:44
is the necessity for
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potrebni su
11:47
new legislation, regulation, effective regulation,
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novi zakoni, propisi i učinkovita regulacija.
11:50
I say, let's take a look at Bernie Madoff,
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Pogledajmo naprimjer Bernieja Madoffa,
11:54
who is now going to be spending the rest of his life in jail.
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koji će ostatak svog života provesti u zatvoru.
11:58
Bernie Madoff stole 65 billion dollars.
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Bernie Madoff je ukrao 65 milijardi dolara.
12:04
That puts him up there on the Olympus of gangsters
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Što ga stavlja na sami vrh kriminala
12:07
with the Colombian cartels
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skupa sa kolumbijskim kartelima
12:09
and the major Russian crime syndicates,
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i ruskim kriminalnim sindikatima.
12:12
but he did this for decades
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No, on je to činio decenijama
12:14
in the very heart of Wall Street,
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u samom srcu Wall Streeta.
12:16
and no regulator picked up on it.
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I niko se nije zabrinuo zbog toga.
12:19
So how many other Madoffs are there on Wall Street
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Koliko još ima Madoffa na Wall Streetu,
12:22
or in the city of London,
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ili u Londonu
12:24
fleecing ordinary folk
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varajući običan svijet
12:26
and money laundering?
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i perući novac?
12:28
Well I can tell you, it's quite a few of them.
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Mogu vam reći, svakako ih ima još dosta.
12:32
Let me go on to the 101 of international organized crime now.
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Dozvolite mi da vam predstavim najveći kalibar organizovanog kriminala.
12:36
And that is narcotics. Our second marijuana farm photograph for the morning.
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To su narkotici. Imamo drugu fotografiju plantaže marihuane od jutros.
12:40
This one, however, is in central British Columbia
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Ova se nalazi u centralnoj Britanskoj Kolumbiji
12:43
where I photographed it.
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gdje sam je i snimio.
12:45
It's one of the tens of thousands
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To je jedna od desetine hiljada
12:47
of mom-and-pop grow-ops in B.C.
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malih plantaža u Britanskoj Kolumbiji
12:50
which ensure that over five percent
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koje obezbjeđuju da preko 5%
12:53
of the province's GDP is accounted for by this trade.
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BND-a ove provincije, dolaze iz ove trgovine.
12:57
Now, I was taken by inspector Brian Cantera,
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Onda me inspektor Brian Cantera
13:02
of the Royal Canadian Mounted Police,
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iz kanadske kraljevske policije
13:04
to a cavernous warehouse east of Vancouver
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vodi do zavučenog skladišta istočno od Vankuvera
13:06
to see some of the goods which are regularly confiscated
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da mi pokaže neke od proizvoda koje redovno oduzima
13:10
by the RCMP
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kanadska policija
13:12
from the smugglers who are sending it,
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od krijumčara koji marihuanu šalju
13:14
of course, down south to the United States
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na jug, u Sjedinjene Američke Države,
13:17
where there is an insatiable market
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gdje postoji nezasito tržište
13:19
for B.C. Bud, as it's called,
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za travom iz Britanske Kolumbije, kako je zovu,
13:22
in part because it's marketed as organic,
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dijelom jer se reklamira kao organska,
13:24
which of course goes down very well in California.
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što naravno najviše prolazi dole u Kaliforniji.
13:28
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
13:30
(Applause)
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(Aplauz)
13:31
Now, even by the police's admission,
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Čak i po priznanju policije
13:34
this makes not a dent in the profits, really,
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ovo je mali dio profita
13:39
of the major exporters.
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koji ostvaruju glavni izvoznici.
13:41
Since the beginning of globalization,
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Otkad je počela globalizacija
13:43
the global narcotics market has expanded enormously.
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globalno tržište narkotika se veoma povećalo i razvilo.
13:47
There has, however, been no concomitant increase
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Međutim nije bilo istovremenog povećanja
13:50
in the resources available
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resursa dostupnih
13:53
to police forces.
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policijskim snagama.
13:55
This, however, may all be about to change,
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Ali to bi se moglo promijeniti.
14:00
because something very strange is going on.
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Jer se nešto čudno dešava.
14:02
The United Nations recognized
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Ujedninjene Nacije su prepoznale
14:04
earlier this -- it was last month actually --
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ovog, odnosno prošlog mjeseca
14:07
that Canada has become a key area of distribution and production
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da je Kanada postala ključna zona distribucije i produkcije
14:13
of ecstasy and other synthetic drugs.
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ekstazija i ostalih sintetičkih droga.
14:17
Interestingly, the market share
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Zanimljivo je da zastupljenost
14:19
of heroin and cocaine is going down,
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heroina i kokaina opada
14:22
because the pills are getting ever better at reproducing their highs.
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zato što tablete postaju sve bolje.
14:27
Now that is a game changer,
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To je ono što mijenja igru.
14:31
because it shifts production away from the developing world
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Jer pomjera produkciju iz Trećeg svijeta
14:35
and into the Western world.
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u zapadne zemlje.
14:39
When that happens, it is a trend
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Kada se to dogodi, sigurno je
14:41
which is set to overwhelm our policing capacity in the West.
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da će preopteretiti policijske kapacitete na zapadu.
14:45
The drugs policy which we've had in place for 40 years
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Zakonske regulative koje postoje oko 40 godina
14:49
is long overdue for a very serious rethink,
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su odavno zrele za ozbiljne promjene.
14:54
in my opinion.
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Tako ja mislim.
14:56
Now, the recession.
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Sada o recesiji.
14:58
Well, organized crime has already adapted
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Organizovani kriminal se već veoma dobro
15:00
very well to the recession.
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prilagodio recesiji.
15:02
Not surprising, the most opportunistic industry
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Ne iznenađujuće, najotpornija industrija
15:04
in the whole world.
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na cijelome svijetu.
15:06
And it has no rules to its regulatory system.
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I nema pravila u svom regulatornom sistemu.
15:10
Except, of course, it has two business risks:
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Izuzev naravno, što ima dva poslovna rizika
15:14
arrest by law enforcement,
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biti uhapšen od zakonskih tijela,
15:16
which is, frankly, the least of their worries,
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što je iskreno, njhova najmanja briga
15:18
and competition from other groups,
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i konkurencija drugih grupa,
15:21
i.e. a bullet in the back of the head.
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kao npr. dobiti metak u potiljak.
15:23
What they've done is they've shifted their operations.
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Ono što su napravili je da su premjestili svoje operacije.
15:26
People don't smoke as much dope, or visit prostitutes quite so frequently
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Manje se puši trava ili se ne ide prostitutkama tako često
15:30
during a recession.
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za vrijeme recesije.
15:32
And so instead, they have invaded financial
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Umjesto toga oni se u velikom stilu bave
15:34
and corporate crime in a big way,
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finansijskim i korporativnivnim kriminalom,
15:36
but above all, two sectors,
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prije svega na dva načina
15:38
and that is counterfeit goods
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falsifikovanjem robe
15:41
and cybercrime.
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i kriminalu na internetu.
15:43
And it's been terribly successful.
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I tu su nevjerovatno uspješni.
15:45
I would like to introduce you to Mr. Pringle.
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Želio bih vam predstaviti gosp. Pringleja.
15:48
Or perhaps I should say, more accurately, Señor Pringle.
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Ili bolje rečeno Señor Pringleja.
15:52
I was introduced to this bit of kit by a Brazilian cybercriminal.
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Ovu opremu mi je pokazao kompjuterski kriminalac iz Brazila.
15:56
We sat in a car on the Avenue Paulista
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Sjedili smo u autu u Aveniji Paulista
15:58
in São Paulo, together.
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u Sao Paulou.
16:00
Hooked it up to my laptop,
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Priključio je to na moj laptop,
16:02
and within about five minutes he had penetrated
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i u roku pet minuta on je ušao
16:05
the computer security system
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u kompjuterski sigurnosni sistem
16:07
of a major Brazilian bank.
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jedne od glavnih brazilskih banaka.
16:10
It's really not that difficult.
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Uopšte nije teško.
16:12
And it's actually much easier because
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U stvari je dosta jednostavno jer,
16:15
the fascinating thing about cybercrime
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fascinantna stvar u vezi virtualnog kriminala
16:17
is that it's not so much the technology.
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je da se tu ne radi puno o tehnologiji.
16:21
The key to cybercrime is what we call social engineering.
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Ključ virtualnog kriminala je ono što zovemo društveni inžinjering.
16:25
Or to use the technical term for it,
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Ili kada bi koristili tehnički izraz za to,
16:27
there's one born every minute.
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svake minute se neko rodi.
16:30
You would not believe how easy it is
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Ne bi vjerovali kako je lako
16:33
to persuade people to do things with their computers
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nagovoriti ljude da čine sa svojim kompjuterom stvari
16:36
which are objectively not in their interest.
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koje objektivno nisu u njihovom interesu.
16:39
And it was very soon
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I brzo se dogodilo
16:41
when the cybercriminals learned that the quickest way to do this,
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da su kriminalci naučili kako to da urade na najbrži način,
16:43
of course, the quickest way to a person's wallet
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naravno, najbrži način do nečijeg novčanika
16:47
is through the promise of sex and love.
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jeste obećati seks i ljubav.©
16:50
I expect some of you remember the ILOVEYOU virus,
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Vjerujem da se neki od vas sjećaju virusa zvanog I-Love-You,
16:53
one of the very great worldwide viruses that came.
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jednog od najboljih virusa koji se bio pojavio po cijelom svijetu.
16:57
I was very fortunate when the ILOVEYOU virus came out,
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Bio sam veoma sretan kada se taj virus pojavio
17:00
because the first person I received it from
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jer prva osoba koja mi ga je poslala
17:03
was an ex-girlfriend of mine.
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bila je moja bivša djevojka.
17:05
Now, she harbored all sorts of sentiments and emotions towards me at the time,
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Prema meni je gajila razne vrste osjećaja i emocija
17:10
but love was not amongst them.
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ali ljubavi nije bilo među njima.
17:12
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
17:14
And so as soon as I saw this drop into my inbox,
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Pa čim sam vidio tako nešto u svojoj elektronskoj pošti,
17:18
I dispatched it hastily to the recycle bin
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bez razmišljanja sam to obrisao,
17:21
and spared myself a very nasty infection.
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i poštedio se vrlo gadne infekcije.
17:26
So, cybercrime, do watch out for it.
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Dakle kompjuterski kriminal, pazite ga se.
17:30
One thing that we do know that the Internet is doing
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Jedna stvar u koju smo sigurni je da internet
17:32
is the Internet is assisting these guys.
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olakšava stvari ovim bićima.
17:35
These are mosquitos who carry the malarial parasite
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To su komarci koji nose virus malarije
17:38
which infests our blood when the mosy has had a free meal
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šireći zarazu tako što bi komarčić imao besplatan obrok
17:42
at our expense.
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na naš račun.
17:44
Now, Artesunate is a very effective drug
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Artesunate je vrlo efikasan lijek
17:47
at destroying the parasite in the early days
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kod uništvanja parazita koji je u ranoj fazi
17:50
of infection.
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infekcije.
17:52
But over the past year or so,
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Ali u toku protekle godine
17:54
researchers in Cambodia have discovered
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istražitelji u Kambođi su otkrili
17:57
that what's happening is
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kako se događa da su
18:00
the malarial parasite is developing a resistance.
368
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paraziti malarije postali imuni na lijekove.
18:03
And they fear that the reason why it's developing a resistance
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I oni se plaše da je razlog tomu
18:06
is because Cambodians can't afford the drugs on the commercial market,
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što Kambođanci nemaju uslova da kupe lijekove u radnjama
18:10
and so they buy it from the Internet.
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tako da ih kupuju putem interneta.
18:13
And these pills contain only low doses
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A te tablete sadrže svega male doze
18:15
of the active ingredient.
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aktivnog sastojka protiv parazita.
18:17
Which is why
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Što je i uzrok
18:19
the parasite is beginning to develop a resistance.
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razvijanju otpora kod parazita.
18:23
The reason I say this
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Razlog zašto ovo govorim
18:25
is because we have to know
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je što mi moramo znati
18:27
that organized crime
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da organizovani kriminal
18:29
impacts all sorts of areas of our lives.
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utiče na sva moguća polja našeg života.
18:32
You don't have to sleep with prostitutes
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Ne morate spavati sa prostitutkama
18:35
or take drugs
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ili drogirati se
18:37
in order to have a relationship with organized crime.
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kako bi bili imali veze sa organizovanim kriminalom.
18:39
They affect our bank accounts.
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Oni utiču na naše bankovne račune.
18:41
They affect our communications, our pension funds.
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Oni utiču na naše komunikacije, penziona osiguranja.
18:43
They even affect the food that we eat
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Oni čak utiču na hranu koju jedemo
18:47
and our governments.
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i na naše vlade.
18:49
This is no longer an issue
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Ovo više nije stvar
18:52
of Sicilians from Palermo and New York.
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Sicilijanaca iz Palerma i New Yorka.
18:55
There is no romance involved with gangsters
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Sa ovim kriminalcima nema romantike.
18:58
in the 21st Century.
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U 21. vijeku
19:00
This is a mighty industry,
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ovo je moćna industrija
19:03
and it creates instability and violence
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koja proizvodi nestabilnost i nasilje
19:06
wherever it goes.
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gdje god se pojavi.
19:08
It is a major economic force
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Jedna je od glavnih ekonomskih sila
19:10
and we need to take it very, very seriously.
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koju moramo uzeti vrlo, vrlo ozbiljno.
19:14
It's been a privilege talking to you.
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Bila mi je čast držati vam izlaganje.
19:16
Thank you very much.
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Hvala vam mnogo.
19:18
(Applause)
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(Aplauz)
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