Why Can't We See Evidence of Alien Life?

为什么我们没有发现外星生命的痕迹?

3,416,808 views ・ 2012-03-12

TED-Ed


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翻译人员: Hom Liu 校对人员: Tracie Chen
(音乐)
在我们这个广阔无边的宇宙中
00:16
Somewhere out there in that vast universe,
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一定有无数行星存在着生命
00:19
there must surely be countless other planets teeming with life,
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但为什么我们没有找到任何证据呢?
00:22
but why don't we see any evidence of it?
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这是恩里科·费米在1950年提出的一个著名问题
00:25
Well, this is the famous question asked by Enrico Fermi in 1950:
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00:28
"Where is everybody?"
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“大家都到哪去了?”
00:31
Conspiracy theorists claim that UFOs are visiting all the time
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阴谋论专家们宣称不明飞行物常常光顾地球
00:35
and the reports are just being covered up,
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但所有报道都被屏蔽了
00:37
but honestly, they aren't very convincing.
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老实地说,他们不是很可信
00:40
But that leaves a real riddle.
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不过这留给我们一个真正的谜团
00:42
In the past year, the Kepler space observatory
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去年,开普勒太空天文台已经发现
00:45
has found hundreds of planets just around nearby stars,
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在附近的星星中有上百个行星
如果更进一步你推测一下这个数据
00:49
and if you extrapolate that data,
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00:50
it looks like there could be half a trillion planets
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那看起来有上万亿颗行星
在我们的银河系里面
00:54
just in our own galaxy.
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00:56
If any one in 10,000 has conditions that might support a form of life,
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如果一万颗中有一个
有条件来形成生命
01:01
that's still 50 million possible life-harboring planets
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那也有5千万个有生命的星球
01:04
right here in the Milky Way.
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就在我们的银河系中
谜团就在这里
01:07
So here's the riddle.
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01:08
Our Earth didn't form
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我们的地球直到宇宙大爆炸90亿年之后才形成
01:10
until about 9 billion years after the Big Bang.
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我们银河系中有无数其他行星
01:14
Countless other planets in our galaxy should have formed earlier
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都有可能在之前形成,并且有机会产生生命
01:17
and given life a chance to get underway
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十几亿年,或至少是几百万年
01:20
billions or certainly many millions of years
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01:23
earlier than happened on Earth.
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早于地球的形成
01:25
If just a few of them had spawned intelligent life
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即使它们只有少数产生了智能生命
01:28
and started creating technologies,
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并且产生了科技
这些科技将会有几百万年的时间
01:31
those technologies would have had millions of years
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来发展到很复杂,很强大的水平
01:34
to grow in complexity and power.
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在地球上
01:37
On Earth,
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我们看到了
01:39
we've seen how dramatically technology can accelerate
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科技仅在100年里面就大幅发展
01:42
in just 100 years.
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在几百年的时间里,一个智能生命的文明
01:45
In millions of years, an intelligent alien civilization
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01:48
could easily have spread out across the galaxy,
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能够很容易地扩展到整个银河系
01:51
perhaps creating giant energy-harvesting artifacts,
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或者创造出巨大的能吸收能量的东西
01:54
or fleets of colonizing spaceships,
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或者是一直殖民星际舰队
01:57
or glorious works of art that fill the night sky.
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或者是在夜空中做出让人惊叹的艺术品
至少,他们会透露他们的存在
02:01
At the very least, you'd think they'd be revealing their presence,
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主动地告诉我们,或者是
02:04
deliberately or otherwise,
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通过某种磁场信号
02:06
through electromagnetic signals of one kind or another.
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但我们没看到任何这种证据
02:09
And yet we see no convincing evidence of any of it.
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为什么呢?
02:12
Why?
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02:14
Well, there are numerous possible answers,
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我们现在有很多可能的答案
02:17
some of them quite dark.
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有些听起来比较黑暗
02:19
Maybe a single, superintelligent civilization
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或许有一个超级智能的文明
已经控制了银河系
02:23
has indeed taken over the galaxy,
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02:25
and has imposed strict radio silence
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并且强行屏蔽了所有广播信号
02:28
because it's paranoid of any potential competitors.
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因为他们对一切可能的竞争者过于敏感
02:31
It's just sitting there ready to obliterate
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他们时刻准备着干扰
02:34
anything that becomes a threat.
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一切有威胁的东西
02:37
Or maybe they're not that intelligent.
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另有可能是,他们不是很智能
02:40
Or perhaps, the evolution of an intelligence
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或者智能生命的进化
02:43
capable of creating sophisticated technology
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到能够到产生复杂科技的过程
02:45
is far rarer than we've assumed.
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比我们想象的要少见很多
02:47
After all,
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毕竟,这在地球上40亿年也就发生了一次
02:49
it's only happened once on Earth
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02:50
in 4 billion years.
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02:52
Maybe even that was incredibly lucky.
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也许那已经很幸运了
02:55
Maybe we are the first such civilization in our galaxy.
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或许我们是银河系里第一个文明
或者那些外星文明自己
02:59
Or, perhaps, civilization carries with it
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03:02
the seeds of its own destruction
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携带着可以摧毁自己的祸根
03:04
through the inability to control the technologies it creates.
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因为没有能力控制自己所产生的科技
但也有很多更有让人感到有希望的答案
03:09
But there are numerous more hopeful answers.
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03:12
For a start, we're not looking that hard,
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我觉得,我们并没有太花心思去寻找。我们只投入了一丁点钱
03:13
and we're spending a pitiful amount of money on it.
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我们银河系里面至少有少部分
03:17
Only a tiny fraction of the stars in our galaxy
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03:20
have really been looked at closely for signs of interesting signals.
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已经被仔细观测过
又或者,我们寻找的方式错了
03:24
And perhaps, we're not looking the right way.
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也许随着文明的发展
03:27
Maybe as civilizations develop,
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03:29
they quickly discover communication technologies
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他们迅速发现了其他通信手段
03:32
far more sophisticated and useful than electromagnetic waves.
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比起电磁波更加复杂并且有用
或许这些东西
03:36
Maybe all the action takes place
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03:38
inside the mysterious recently discovered dark matter,
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都发生在最近发现的暗物质里面
03:42
or dark energy,
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或是暗能量,它看起来占据了宇宙的大部分质量
03:43
that appear to account for most of the universe's mass.
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或者我们的比例错了
03:47
Or maybe we're looking at the wrong scale.
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可能是智能文明发现
03:51
Perhaps intelligent civilizations come to realize
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03:53
that life is ultimately just complex patterns of information
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生命最终是复杂的模式和信息
03:56
interacting with each other in a beautiful way,
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以一种美妙的方式相互交互
03:58
and that can happen more efficiently at a small scale.
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并且发现缩小比例之后效率更高
04:01
So just as on Earth, clunky stereo systems have shrunk to beautiful, tiny iPods,
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就像地球上笨重的立体音响
缩小到小巧的iPod随身听,或者说智能生命
04:06
maybe intelligent life itself,
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为了减少自己对环境的影响
04:08
in order to reduce its footprint on the environment,
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04:10
has turned itself microscopic,
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便把自己变成微生物
04:12
so the Solar System might be teeming with aliens,
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所以太阳系可能已经到处存在外星生命,只不过我们没察觉
04:14
and we're just not noticing them.
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也可能我们脑子里的想法就是一种外来生命的形式
04:16
Maybe the very ideas in our heads are a form of alien life.
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04:19
Well, okay, that's a crazy thought.
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好吧,这有点夸张
04:22
The aliens made me say it.
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是外星人让我说的
04:24
But it is cool that ideas do seem to have a life all of their own,
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但这很有趣,脑子里的想法好像自己有生命
并且活得比创造者还久
04:28
and that they outlive their creators.
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或许生物的生命只不过是一个短暂的阶段
04:32
Maybe biological life is just a passing phase.
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在接下来的15年里
04:36
Well, within the next 15 years,
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04:39
we could start seeing real spectroscopic information
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我们将能够看到真正的光谱信息
04:42
from promising nearby planets
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它们来自周边的行星,并且会告诉我们那里的生命状况
04:44
that will reveal just how life-friendly they might be.
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与此同时,SETI(寻找外星智能)组织
04:47
And meanwhile SETI,
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04:48
the Search for Extra-Terrestrial Intelligence,
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已经向公众发布它的数据
04:50
is now releasing its data to the public
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04:52
so that millions of citizen scientists, maybe including you,
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可以让几百万市民科学家,说不定你也在其中
04:55
can bring the power of the crowd to join the search.
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一起参与这个搜寻行动
在地球上,让人惊讶的实验已经完成
04:59
And here on Earth, amazing experiments are being done
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实验尝试从零开始制作生命
05:02
to try to create life from scratch,
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05:04
life that might be very different from the DNA forms we know.
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一种跟我们知道的DNA形式有很大差别的生命
05:07
All of this will help us understand
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所有这些都会帮助我们
去了解这个宇宙到底是不是充斥着生命
05:10
whether the universe is teeming with life
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05:12
or, whether indeed,
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还是确实只有我们存在
05:15
it's just us.
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不管怎样,
05:18
Either answer, in its own way,
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05:20
is awe-inspiring,
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那都让人敬畏
05:23
because even if we are alone,
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因为即使我们这么孤独
05:25
the fact that we think and dream,
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那我们现在所想所问的这些问题
05:28
and ask these questions
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可能是这个宇宙中最重要的事情
05:30
might yet turn out to be one of the most important facts
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05:32
about the universe.
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我还有一个好消息要告诉你
05:34
And I have one more piece of good news for you.
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05:37
The quest for knowledge and understanding never gets dull.
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对知识和理解的探求永远不会枯燥
05:40
It doesn't. It's actually the opposite.
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不会的。而且正好相反,你知道的越多
05:42
The more you know,
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05:43
the more amazing the world seems.
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这个世界就越让人惊讶
05:46
And it's the crazy possibilities, the unanswered questions,
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正是这些疯狂大胆的可能性,和没有被回答的问题
05:49
that pull us forward.
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推动我们前进。所以,要保持好奇的心态
05:51
So, stay curious.
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