Jared Diamond: How societies can grow old better

125,102 views ・ 2013-11-25

TED


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Prevodilac: Aniko Kovac Lektor: Mile Živković
00:12
To give me an idea of how many of you here
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Kako bih stekao utisak kolikom broju vas ovde
00:14
may find what I'm about to tell you
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ovo što ću vam reći
00:17
of practical value,
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može biti od praktičnog značaja,
00:18
let me ask you please to raise your hands:
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molim vas da podignete ruke:
00:21
Who here is either over 65 years old
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oni ovde koji su stariji od 65 godina
00:24
or hopes to live past age 65
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ili se nadaju da će živeti duže od 65 godina
00:28
or has parents or grandparents who did live
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ili imaju roditelje ili babu i dedu koji su
00:31
or have lived past 65,
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preživeli duže od 65. godine?
00:33
raise your hands please. (Laughter)
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Molim vas da podignete ruke. (Smeh)
00:36
Okay. You are the people to whom my talk
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U redu. Vi ste oni kojima će moj govor
00:38
will be of practical value. (Laughter)
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biti od praktičnog značaja. (Smeh)
00:40
The rest of you
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Ostalima
00:42
won't find my talk personally relevant,
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moj govor neće biti lično značajan,
00:44
but I think that you will still find the subject
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ali mislim da će vam tema ipak biti
00:46
fascinating.
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zapanjujuća.
00:47
I'm going to talk about growing older
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Govoriću vam o starenju
00:49
in traditional societies.
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u tradicionalnim društvima.
00:51
This subject constitutes just one chapter
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Ovo čini samo jedno poglavlje
00:54
of my latest book, which compares
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u mojoj poslednjoj knjizi, koja poredi
00:57
traditional, small, tribal societies
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mala, tradicionalna, plemenska društva
01:00
with our large, modern societies,
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sa našim velikim, modernim društvima
01:02
with respect to many topics
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po pitanju mnogih tema
01:04
such as bringing up children,
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kao što su podizanje dece,
01:06
growing older, health, dealing with danger,
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starenje, zdravlje, nošenje sa opasnošću,
01:10
settling disputes, religion
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rešavanje konflikata, religija
01:12
and speaking more than one language.
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i znanje više od jednog jezika.
01:15
Those tribal societies, which constituted
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Plemenska društva koja su činila
01:18
all human societies for most of human history,
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celokupno ljudsko drušvo u većem delu ljudske istorije
01:21
are far more diverse than are our modern,
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su mnogo raznolikija od naših modernih,
01:24
recent, big societies.
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savremenih, velikih društava.
01:26
All big societies that have governments,
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Sva velika društva koja imaju vladu
01:28
and where most people are strangers to each other,
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i gde su većina ljudi stranci jedni drugima
01:31
are inevitably similar to each other
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su neizbežno slična jedna drugima
01:33
and different from tribal societies.
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i različita od plemenskih zajednica.
01:36
Tribes constitute thousands of natural experiments
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Plemena čine hiljade prirodnih eksperimenata
01:39
in how to run a human society.
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o tome kako upravljati ljudskim društvom.
01:42
They constitute experiments from which we ourselves
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Ona čine eksperimente iz kojih mi
01:45
may be able to learn.
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možemo da učimo.
01:47
Tribal societies shouldn't be scorned
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Plemenska društva ne treba nipodaštavati
01:49
as primitive and miserable,
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kao primitivne i bedne,
01:51
but also they shouldn't be romanticized
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ali ih ne treba ni romantizovati
01:53
as happy and peaceful.
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kao srećne i miroljubive.
01:55
When we learn of tribal practices,
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Kada otkrivamo plemenske običaje
01:58
some of them will horrify us,
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neka od njih nas prestrave,
01:59
but there are other tribal practices which,
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ali postoje i drugi plemenski običaji
02:02
when we hear about them,
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kojima, kada čujemo za njih,
02:03
we may admire and envy
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možemo da se divimo i zavidimo na njima
02:05
and wonder whether we could adopt those practices
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i da se zapitamo da li treba i mi
02:07
ourselves.
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da ih usvojimo.
02:10
Most old people in the U.S. end up living
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Većina starijih ljudi u SAD živi
02:13
separately from their children
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odvojeno od svoje dece
02:15
and from most of their friends
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i većine svojih prijatelja
02:17
of their earlier years,
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iz ranijih godina
02:18
and often they live in separate retirements homes for the elderly,
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i često žive odvojeno, u staračkim domovima,
02:22
whereas in traditional societies,
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dok u tradicionalnim društvima
02:24
older people instead live out their lives
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umesto toga, stariji ljudi proživljavaju svoj život
02:27
among their children, their other relatives,
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među svojom decom, ostalom rodbinom
02:29
and their lifelong friends.
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i svojim dugogodišnjim prijateljima.
02:32
Nevertheless, the treatment of the elderly
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Ipak, odnos prema starijima
02:34
varies enormously among traditional societies,
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se ogromno razlikuje među tradicionalnim društvima
02:37
from much worse to much better
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od mnogo gorih do mnogo boljih
02:39
than in our modern societies.
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nego u našim modernim društvima.
02:42
At the worst extreme, many traditional societies
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U najgorem slučaju, mnoga tradicionalna društva
02:45
get rid of their elderly
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se ratosiljaju starijih
02:47
in one of four increasingly direct ways:
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na jedan od četiri rastući neposrednih načina:
02:50
by neglecting their elderly
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zapostavljanjem starijih
02:52
and not feeding or cleaning them until they die,
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i ukidanjem hrane ili higijene dok ne umru,
02:56
or by abandoning them when the group moves,
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ili njihovim napuštanjem kada grupa krene dalje,
02:59
or by encouraging older people to commit suicide,
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ili ohrabrivanjem starijih da izvrše samoubistvo,
03:02
or by killing older people.
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ili ubijanjem starijih ljudi.
03:05
In which tribal societies do children
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U kojim plemenskim zajednicama deca
03:07
abandon or kill their parents?
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napuštaju ili ubijaju roditelje?
03:10
It happens mainly under two conditions.
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Uglavnom se to dešava u dve okolnosti.
03:13
One is in nomadic, hunter-gather societies
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Jedna su nomadske zajednice, lovci i sakupljači,
03:16
that often shift camp
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koje često menjaju mesto
03:18
and that are physically incapable
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i koje su fizički sprečene
03:20
of transporting old people who can't walk
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da prenose starije koji ne mogu da hodaju,
03:23
when the able-bodied younger people already
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jer sposobni mladi
03:25
have to carry their young children
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moraju da nose svoju malu decu
03:27
and all their physical possessions.
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i sva njihova posedstva.
03:30
The other condition is in societies
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Druga okolnost je u društvima
03:32
living in marginal or fluctuating environments,
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koja žive u marginalnim ili promenljivim uslovima
03:36
such as the Arctic or deserts,
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kao što su Arktik ili pustinje,
03:38
where there are periodic food shortages,
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gde se javljaju periodi nestašice hrane
03:41
and occasionally there just isn't enough food
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i povremeno nema dovoljno hrane
03:43
to keep everyone alive.
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kako bi svi preživeli.
03:45
Whatever food is available has to be reserved
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Hrana koja je dostupna mora da se sačuva
03:47
for able-bodied adults and for children.
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za fizički sposobne odrasle i za decu.
03:52
To us Americans, it sounds horrible
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Nama ovo zvuči užasno,
03:55
to think of abandoning or killing
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zamisliti da napustimo ili ubijemo
03:57
your own sick wife or husband
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našu bolesnu suprugu ili muža
03:59
or elderly mother or father,
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ili ostarelu majku ili oca,
04:01
but what could those traditional societies
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ali šta bi te tradicionalne zajednice
04:05
do differently?
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mogle da urade drugačije?
04:07
They face a cruel situation of no choice.
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Susreću se sa okrutnim situacijama, bez izbora.
04:10
Their old people had to do it to their own parents,
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Stariji su morali to da urade svojim roditeljima
04:13
and the old people know
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i oni znaju
04:15
what now is going to happen to them.
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da će se to sada njima dogoditi.
04:18
At the opposite extreme
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Suprotna krajnost
04:20
in treatment of the elderly, the happy extreme,
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u odnosu prema starijima, srećna krajnost,
04:22
are the New Guinea farming societies
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su poljoprivredna društva Nove Gvineje,
04:24
where I've been doing my fieldwork for the past 50 years,
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u kojima sam proteklih 50 godina radio na terenu,
04:27
and most other sedentary traditional societies
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kao i većina drugih sedelačkih tradicionalnih društava
04:31
around the world.
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širom sveta.
04:33
In those societies, older people are cared for.
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U tim društvima se brinu o starijima.
04:36
They are fed. They remain valuable.
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Hrane ih. Oni ostaju bitni.
04:38
And they continue to live in the same hut
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Oni nastavljaju da žive u istoj kolibi sa
04:40
or else in a nearby hut near their children,
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ili u nekoj kolibi u blizini svoje dece,
04:43
relatives and lifelong friends.
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rodbine i starih prijatelja.
04:47
There are two main sets of reasons for this variation
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Postoje dve velike grupe uzroka ovih razlika
04:49
among societies in their treatment
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između društava u njihovom odnosu
04:52
of old people.
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prema starijima.
04:53
The variation depends especially
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Razlika se uglavnom zasniva
04:55
on the usefulness of old people
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na korisnosti starijih
04:57
and on the society's values.
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i na društvenim vrednostima.
05:00
First, as regards usefulness,
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Što se tiče korisnosti,
05:02
older people continue to perform useful services.
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stariji ljudi nastavljaju da obavljaju korisne radnje.
05:05
One use of older people in traditional societies
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Jedna od stvari u kojima su stariji korisni u tradicionalnim društvima
05:08
is that they often are still effective
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je to što su oni i dalje efikasni
05:10
at producing food.
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u stvaranju hrane.
05:12
Another traditional usefulness of older people
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Druga tradicionalna korist od starijih
05:15
is that they are capable of babysitting
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je njihova sposobnost da čuvaju decu,
05:18
their grandchildren,
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njihove unuke,
05:20
thereby freeing up their own adult children,
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čime oslobađaju svoju odraslu decu,
05:23
the parents of those grandchildren,
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roditelje tih unuka,
05:24
to go hunting and gathering food for the grandchildren.
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i oni mogu da love i sakupljaju hranu za te unuke.
05:28
Still another traditional value of older people
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Još jedna tradicionalna vrednost starijih
05:30
is in making tools, weapons, baskets,
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je pravljenje alata, oružja, korpi,
05:33
pots and textiles.
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posuđa i tekstila.
05:35
In fact, they're usually the people who are best at it.
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U stvari, oni su uglavnom ti koji su najbolji u tome.
05:38
Older people usually are the leaders
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Stariji ljudi su uglavnom vođe
05:41
of traditional societies,
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tradicionalnih društava
05:43
and the people most knowledgeable about politics,
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i oni znaju najviše o politici,
05:46
medicine, religion, songs and dances.
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medicini, religiji, pesmama i plesovima.
05:50
Finally, older people in traditional societies
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Stariji ljudi u tradicionalnim društvima
05:53
have a huge significance that would never occur
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imaju ogromnu važnost koju mi,
05:56
to us in our modern, literate societies,
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u modernim, pismenim društvima nikada ne bismo uvideli.
06:00
where our sources of information are books
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Naši izvori informacija su knjige
06:03
and the Internet.
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i internet.
06:04
In contrast, in traditional societies without writing,
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Suprotno tome, u tradicionalnim društvima bez pisma,
06:08
older people are the repositories of information.
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stariji ljudi su skladište informacija.
06:11
It's their knowledge that spells the difference
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Njihovo znanje određuje razliku
06:14
between survival and death for their whole society
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između preživljavanja i smrti njihovog čitavog društva
06:18
in a time of crisis caused by rare events
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u vremenima krize prouzrokovane retkim događajima
06:21
for which only the oldest people alive
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koje su samo najstariji živi ljudi
06:23
have had experience.
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već iskusili.
06:26
Those, then, are the ways in which older people
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To su načini na koje su stariji ljudi
06:28
are useful in traditional societies.
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korisni u tradicionalnim društvima.
06:31
Their usefulness varies and contributes
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Njihova korisnost se razlikuje i doprinosi
06:34
to variation in the society's treatment
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razlikama u društvenom odnosu
06:36
of the elderly.
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prema starijima.
06:38
The other set of reasons for variation
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Druga grupa uzroka razlika
06:40
in the treatment of the elderly is
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u odnosu prema starijima
06:42
the society's cultural values.
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su kulturne vrednosti društva.
06:45
For example, there's particular emphasis
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Na primer, u Istočnoj Aziji
06:47
on respect for the elderly in East Asia,
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poseban naglasak je na poštovanju starijih
06:50
associated with Confucius' doctrine
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što se povezuje sa Konfučijevom doktrinom
06:53
of filial piety, which means obedience,
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privrženosti dece, koja podrazumeva poslušnost,
06:57
respect and support for elderly parents.
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poštovanje i podršku starijim roditeljima.
07:01
Cultural values that emphasize respect for older people
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Kulturne vrednosti koje naglašavaju poštovanje starijih
07:05
contrast with the low status of the elderly
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su u kontrastu sa niskim statusom starijih
07:08
in the U.S.
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u SAD.
07:10
Older Americans are at a big disadvantage
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Stariji Amerikanci su podređeniji
07:12
in job applications.
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pri prijavi za posao.
07:14
They're at a big disadvantage in hospitals.
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Manje su prioritetni u bolnicama.
07:17
Our hospitals have an explicit policy
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Američke bolnice imaju eksplicitnu politiku
07:20
called age-based allocation of healthcare resources.
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nazvanu "raspodela zdravstvenih resursa na osnovu godina".
07:25
That sinister expression means that
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Ovaj grešni izraz znači da
07:27
if hospital resources are limited,
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ako su bolnički resursi ograničeni,
07:30
for example if only one donor heart
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na primer, ako se javi samo jedno donorsko srce
07:32
becomes available for transplant,
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za transplantaciju,
07:34
or if a surgeon has time to operate
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ili ako hirurg ima vremena da operiše
07:36
on only a certain number of patients,
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samo određeni broj pacijenata,
07:38
American hospitals have an explicit policy
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američke bolnice imaju eksplicitnu politiku
07:41
of giving preference to younger patients
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davanja prednosti mlađim
07:44
over older patients
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naspram starijim pacijentima
07:45
on the grounds that younger patients are considered
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na osnovu toga što se mlađi pacijenti smatraju
07:48
more valuable to society
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vrednijim društvu,
07:50
because they have more years of life ahead of them,
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jer imaju više godina života pred sobom,
07:53
even though the younger patients have fewer years
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iako mlađi pacijenti imaju manje godina
07:56
of valuable life experience behind them.
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vrednog životnog iskustva za sobom.
08:00
There are several reasons for this low status
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Postoji nekoliko razloga ovako niskog statusa
08:02
of the elderly in the U.S.
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starijih u SAD.
08:04
One is our Protestant work ethic
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Jedna je protestantska radna etika,
08:07
which places high value on work,
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koja visoko vrednuje rad,
08:10
so older people who are no longer working
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tako da stariji ljudi koji više ne rade
08:12
aren't respected.
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ne dobijaju poštovanje.
08:14
Another reason is our American emphasis
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Još jedan razlog je američki naglasak
08:17
on the virtues of self-reliance and independence,
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na vrline oslanjanja na sopstvene snage i nezavisnosti,
08:20
so we instinctively look down on older people
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tako da mi automatski podređujemo starije ljude,
08:23
who are no longer self-reliant and independent.
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koji postaju zavisni i nisu više samostalni.
08:27
Still a third reason is our American cult of youth,
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Treći razlog je američki kult mladosti
08:31
which shows up even in our advertisements.
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koji se javlja čak i u reklamama.
08:34
Ads for Coca-Cola and beer always depict
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Reklame za Koka-kolu i pivo uvek prikazuju
08:37
smiling young people,
194
517423
1555
nasmejane mlade ljude,
08:38
even though old as well as young people
195
518978
1970
iako stariji, isto kao i mladi,
08:40
buy and drink Coca-Cola and beer.
196
520948
2322
kupuju i piju Koka-kolu i pivo.
08:43
Just think, what's the last time you saw
197
523270
2003
Razmislite samo. Kada ste poslednji put videli
08:45
a Coke or beer ad depicting smiling people
198
525273
2677
reklamu za Kolu ili pivo koja prikazuje nasmejane ljude
08:47
85 years old? Never.
199
527950
2949
u 85. godini? Nikad.
08:50
Instead, the only American ads
200
530899
1806
Umesto toga, jedine američke reklame
08:52
featuring white-haired old people
201
532705
2006
koje prikazuju sede starije ljude
08:54
are ads for retirement homes and pension planning.
202
534711
3865
su reklame za staračke domove i penzioni plan.
08:58
Well, what has changed in the status
203
538576
2050
Šta je ono što se promenilo u statusu
09:00
of the elderly today
204
540626
1983
starijih danas
09:02
compared to their status in traditional societies?
205
542609
3389
u odnosu na njihov status u tradicionalnim društvima?
09:05
There have been a few changes for the better
206
545998
1870
Desilo se nekoliko promena na bolje
09:07
and more changes for the worse.
207
547868
2205
i mnogo promena na gore.
09:10
Big changes for the better
208
550073
1601
Velike promene na bolje
09:11
include the fact that today we enjoy
209
551674
2151
uključuju činjenicu da danas uživamo
09:13
much longer lives,
210
553825
1984
u mnogo dužim životima,
09:15
much better health in our old age,
211
555809
2294
mnogo boljem zdravlju u poznom dobu
09:18
and much better recreational opportunities.
212
558103
3638
i mnogo boljim mogućnostima za rekreaciju.
09:21
Another change for the better is that we now have
213
561741
2270
Još jedna promena na bolje je da sada imamo
09:24
specialized retirement facilities
214
564011
2840
specijalizovane ustanove za starije
09:26
and programs to take care of old people.
215
566851
3351
i programe koji se brinu za starije ljude.
09:30
Changes for the worse begin with the cruel reality
216
570202
2868
Promene na gore počinju sa surovom stvarnošću
09:33
that we now have
217
573070
1689
sa kojom se sada suočavamo -
09:34
more old people and fewer young people
218
574759
2574
više starijih i manje mladih
09:37
than at any time in the past.
219
577333
2684
nego u bilo kom trenutku u prošlosti.
09:40
That means that all those old people
220
580017
1751
To znači da su svi ti stariji ljudi
09:41
are more of a burden on the few young people,
221
581768
2425
veći teret manjem broju mladih ljudi
09:44
and that each old person has less individual value.
222
584193
4486
i da svaka starija osoba nosi manju ličnu vrednost.
09:48
Another big change for the worse in the status of the elderly
223
588679
3184
Još jedna velika promena na gore u statusu starijih
09:51
is the breaking of social ties with age,
224
591863
2677
je prekidanje društvenih veza s godinama,
09:54
because older people, their children,
225
594540
1844
jer se stariji ljudi, njihova deca
09:56
and their friends,
226
596384
1316
i njihovi prijatelji
09:57
all move and scatter independently of each other
227
597700
2850
svi sele i raspršuju nezavisno jedni od drugih
10:00
many times during their lives.
228
600550
2254
mnogo puta tokom njihovih života.
10:02
We Americans move on the average
229
602804
1813
Amerikanci se sele prosečno
10:04
every five years.
230
604617
1953
svakih pet godina.
10:06
Hence our older people are likely
231
606570
2031
Zbog toga će naši stariji sa velikom verovatnoćom
10:08
to end up living distant from their children
232
608601
2307
završiti živeći daleko od svoje dece
10:10
and the friends of their youth.
233
610908
2803
i prijatelja iz mladosti.
10:13
Yet another change for the worse in the status of the elderly
234
613711
3162
Još jedna promena na gore u statusu starijih
10:16
is formal retirement from the workforce,
235
616873
3730
je zakonom određeno penzionisanje
10:20
carrying with it a loss of work friendships
236
620603
2750
koje sa sobom nosi gubitak prijateljstava
10:23
and a loss of the self-esteem associated with work.
237
623353
4140
i gubitak samopouzdanja vezanog za rad.
10:27
Perhaps the biggest change for the worse
238
627493
2485
Možda najveća promena na gore
10:29
is that our elderly are objectively
239
629978
2873
je to što su naši stariji objektivno
10:32
less useful than in traditional societies.
240
632851
3162
manje korisni nego u tradicionalnim društvima.
10:36
Widespread literacy means that they are no longer
241
636013
2963
Široko rasprostranjena pismenost znači da oni više nisu
10:38
useful as repositories of knowledge.
242
638976
2631
korisni kao skladišta znanja.
10:41
When we want some information,
243
641607
1943
Kada želimo neku informaciju,
10:43
we look it up in a book or we Google it
244
643550
2261
potražićemo je u knjizi ili na Guglu
10:45
instead of finding some old person to ask.
245
645811
3470
umesto da potražimo neku stariju osobu i pitamo je.
10:49
The slow pace of technological change
246
649281
2087
Spori napredak tehnološkog razvoja
10:51
in traditional societies
247
651368
1822
u tradicionalnim društvima
10:53
means that what someone learns there as a child
248
653190
2850
znači da je ono što neko nauči kao dete
10:56
is still useful when that person is old,
249
656040
2659
i dalje korisno kada ta osoba ostari,
10:58
but the rapid pace of technological change today
250
658699
3603
a brzi tok tehnološkog razvoja danas
11:02
means that what we learn as children
251
662302
2067
znači da ono što naučimo kao deca
11:04
is no longer useful 60 years later.
252
664369
2890
postaje beskorisno 60 godina kasnije.
11:07
And conversely, we older people are not fluent
253
667259
2379
Kao posledica toga mi, stariji ljudi, ne poznajemo
11:09
in the technologies essential for surviving
254
669638
3034
tehnologije neophodne za preživljavanje
11:12
in modern society.
255
672672
1971
u modernom društvu.
11:14
For example, as a 15-year-old,
256
674643
2173
Na primer, kao petnaestogodišnjak
11:16
I was considered outstandingly good at multiplying numbers
257
676816
3590
bio sam izvanredno dobar u množenju,
11:20
because I had memorized the multiplication tables
258
680406
3195
jer sam zapamtio tablice množenja
11:23
and I know how to use logarithms
259
683601
2145
i znam kako da koristim logaritme
11:25
and I'm quick at manipulating a slide rule.
260
685746
2863
i brz sam u upotrebi logaritmara.
11:28
Today, though, those skills are utterly useless
261
688609
3086
Danas su, pak, te veštine potpuno nepotrebne,
11:31
because any idiot
262
691695
2371
jer bilo koji idiot
11:34
can now multiply eight-digit numbers
263
694066
2358
može da množi osmocifrene brojeve
11:36
accurately and instantly with a pocket calculator.
264
696424
3187
tačno i trenutno uz pomoć džepnog digitrona.
11:39
Conversely, I at age 75
265
699611
2170
Kao posledica toga, ja sa 75
11:41
am incompetent at skills
266
701781
2664
sam nekompetentan u veštinama
11:44
essential for everyday life.
267
704445
2454
potrebnim za svakodnevni život.
11:46
My family's first TV set in 1948
268
706899
2784
Prvi TV moje porodice 1948.
11:49
had only three knobs that I quickly mastered:
269
709683
3053
imao je samo tri dugmeta
11:52
an on-off switch, a volume knob,
270
712736
2750
za uključivanje i isključivanje, jačinu
11:55
and a channel selector knob.
271
715486
2221
i odabir kanala.
11:57
Today, just to watch a program
272
717707
2088
Danas, samo da bih odgledao program
11:59
on the TV set in my own house,
273
719795
2456
na televizoru u mojoj kući
12:02
I have to operate a 41-button TV remote
274
722251
3717
moram da rukujem daljinskim sa 41 dugmetom
12:05
that utterly defeats me.
275
725968
1982
što me potpuno poražava.
12:07
I have to telephone my 25-year-old sons
276
727950
3014
Moram da nazovem svoje 25-ogodišnje sinove
12:10
and ask them to talk me through it
277
730964
2197
i zamolim ih mi da mi pomognu
12:13
while I try to push those wretched 41 buttons.
278
733161
4997
dok pokušavam da ispritiskam tih 41 mizernih dugmića.
12:18
What can we do to improve the lives of the elderly
279
738158
2647
Šta možemo da učinimo da poboljšamo živote starijih
12:20
in the U.S., and to make better use of their value?
280
740805
3454
u SAD i bolje iskoristimo njihove vrednosti?
12:24
That's a huge problem.
281
744259
1774
To je ogroman problem.
12:26
In my remaining four minutes today,
282
746033
2471
U svoja preostala četiri minuta danas
12:28
I can offer just a few suggestions.
283
748504
2577
mogu da vam ponudim samo neke predloge.
12:31
One value of older people is that they are
284
751081
1922
Jedna od vrednosti starijih je
12:33
increasingly useful as grandparents
285
753003
3444
da su sve više i više korisni kao babe i dede
12:36
for offering high-quality childcare
286
756447
2507
nudeći visoko kvalitetnu brigu o deci
12:38
to their grandchildren, if they choose to do it,
287
758954
2653
svojim unucima, ako odaberu to da rade,
12:41
as more young women enter the workforce
288
761607
2849
pošto sve više mladih žena počinje da radi
12:44
and as fewer young parents of either gender
289
764456
2334
i sve manje mladih roditelja oba pola
12:46
stay home as full-time caretakers of their children.
290
766790
3660
ostaje kod kuće da se stara o svojoj deci tokom čitavog dana.
12:50
Compared to the usual alternatives
291
770450
2036
Poređeno sa uobičajenim alternativama
12:52
of paid babysitters and day care centers,
292
772486
3598
plaćanja bejbi-sitera i obdaništa,
12:56
grandparents offer superior, motivated,
293
776084
3127
babe i dede nude bolju, motivisanu
12:59
experienced child care.
294
779211
2688
brigu o deci, sa iskustvom.
13:01
They've already gained experience from raising their own children.
295
781899
3266
Oni su već stekli iskustvo odgajanjem sopstvene dece.
13:05
They usually love their grandchildren,
296
785165
2344
U većini slučajeva oni vole svoje unuke
13:07
and are eager to spend time with them.
297
787509
2665
i željni su da provode vreme s njima.
13:10
Unlike other caregivers,
298
790174
1901
Za razliku od drugih staratelja,
13:12
grandparents don't quit their job
299
792075
2897
babe i dede ne napuštaju svoj posao,
13:14
because they found another job with higher pay
300
794972
2436
jer su našli bolji, sa većom platom
13:17
looking after another baby.
301
797408
3513
čuvajući neko drugo dete.
13:20
A second value of older people is paradoxically
302
800921
2404
Druga vrednost starijih je, paradoksalno,
13:23
related to their loss of value
303
803325
2661
povezana sa gubitkom njihove vrednosti
13:25
as a result of changing world conditions and technology.
304
805986
4073
kao posledica promena u svetskim uslovima i tehnologiji.
13:30
At the same time, older people have gained
305
810059
2036
Istovremeno, stariji ljudi su dobili
13:32
in value today precisely because
306
812095
2311
na vrednosti danas upravo
13:34
of their unique experience of living conditions
307
814406
3109
zbog njihovog jedinstvenog iskustva u životnim uslovima
13:37
that have now become rare
308
817515
1719
koji su sada postali retki
13:39
because of rapid change, but that could come back.
309
819234
3310
zbog brzine promena, ali koji bi se mogli vratiti.
13:42
For example, only Americans now in their 70s
310
822544
2954
Na primer, samo Amerikanci koji su sada u svojim 70-im
13:45
or older today can remember
311
825498
2260
ili su stariji se danas sećaju
13:47
the experience of living through a great depression,
312
827758
3328
iskustva življenja tokom velike depresije,
13:51
the experience of living through a world war,
313
831086
2638
iskustva života tokom svetskog rata,
13:53
and agonizing whether or not
314
833724
2546
brige da li će ili neće
13:56
dropping atomic bombs would be more horrible
315
836270
3037
atomska bomba biti gora
13:59
than the likely consequences of not dropping atomic bombs.
316
839307
4113
nego posledica nebacanja atomskih bombi.
14:03
Most of our current voters and politicians
317
843420
2276
Većina sadašnjih glasača i političara
14:05
have no personal experience of any of those things,
318
845696
2732
nemaju lično iskustvo u tim stvarima,
14:08
but millions of older Americans do.
319
848428
2695
ali milioni starijih Amerikanaca ga imaju.
14:11
Unfortunately, all of those terrible situations
320
851123
2651
Nažalost, sve te užasne situacije
14:13
could come back.
321
853774
1387
bi mogle da se ponove.
14:15
Even if they don't come back,
322
855161
1306
A čak i da se ne ponove,
14:16
we have to be able to plan for them
323
856467
2192
moramo da budemo sposobni da planiramo za njih
14:18
on the basis of the experience of what they were like.
324
858659
2811
na osnovu iskustva kakve su nekada bile.
14:21
Older people have that experience.
325
861470
1834
Stariji ljudi imaju to iskustvo.
14:23
Younger people don't.
326
863304
2053
Mlađi ljudi nemaju.
14:25
The remaining value of older people
327
865357
1520
Vrednost starijih
14:26
that I'll mention involves recognizing that
328
866877
2443
koju ću još spomenuti uključuje prepoznavanje da
14:29
while there are many things that older people
329
869320
2580
iako postoji mnogo stvari koje stariji
14:31
can no longer do,
330
871900
1606
više ne mogu da rade,
14:33
there are other things that they can do
331
873506
1489
postoje druge stvari koje mogu da rade
14:34
better than younger people.
332
874995
2095
bolje od mladih ljudi.
14:37
A challenge for society is to make use of those things
333
877090
2896
Izazov za društvo je da iskoristi te stvari
14:39
that older people are better at doing.
334
879986
2472
koje stariji bolje rade.
14:42
Some abilities, of course, decrease with age.
335
882458
3249
Neke sposobnosti, naravno, nestaju godinama.
14:45
Those include abilities at tasks
336
885707
2638
One uključuju sposobnosti u zadacima
14:48
requiring physical strength and stamina,
337
888345
3571
koji zahtevaju fizičku snagu i izdržljivost,
14:51
ambition, and the power of novel reasoning
338
891916
3124
ambiciju i moć inovativnog razmišljanja
14:55
in a circumscribed situation,
339
895040
2425
u specifičnim situacijama,
14:57
such as figuring out the structure of DNA,
340
897465
2588
kao što je pronalaženje strukture DNK,
15:00
best left to scientists under the age of 30.
341
900053
3901
što je najbolje prepustiti naučnicima ispod 30.
15:03
Conversely, valuable attributes
342
903954
1649
Kao posledica toga, vredne osobine
15:05
that increase with age include experience,
343
905603
3546
koje rastu sa godinama uključuju iskustvo,
15:09
understanding of people and human relationships,
344
909149
3013
razumevanje ljudi i međuljudskih odnosa,
15:12
ability to help other people
345
912162
2291
sposobnost za pomaganje drugima
15:14
without your own ego getting in the way,
346
914453
2428
bez uplitanja sopstvenog ega
15:16
and interdisciplinary thinking about large databases,
347
916881
3525
i interdisciplinarno razmišljanje o velikim bazama podataka
15:20
such as economics and comparative history,
348
920406
2825
kao što su ekonomija i komparativna istorija,
15:23
best left to scholars over the age of 60.
349
923231
3214
što je bolje ostaviti stručnjacima preko 60.
15:26
Hence older people are much better than younger people
350
926445
2472
Zbog toga su stariji ljudi mnogo bolji od mlađih
15:28
at supervising, administering, advising,
351
928917
3971
u nadgledanju, administraciji, savetovanju,
15:32
strategizing, teaching, synthesizing,
352
932888
3482
osmišljanju strategija, podučavanju, sintezi
15:36
and devising long-term plans.
353
936370
2706
i razvoju dugoročnih planova.
15:39
I've seen this value of older people
354
939076
2020
Video sam ovu vrednost starijih ljudi
15:41
with so many of my friends in their 60s,
355
941096
2572
u velikom broju svojih prijatelja u njihovim 60-im
15:43
70s, 80s and 90s,
356
943668
1990
70-im, 80-im i 90-im
15:45
who are still active as investment managers,
357
945658
3285
koji su i dalje aktivni kao investicioni menadžeri,
15:48
farmers, lawyers and doctors.
358
948943
3013
poljoprivrednici, advokati i lekari.
15:51
In short, many traditional societies
359
951956
2130
Ukratko, mnoga tradicionalna društva
15:54
make better use of their elderly
360
954086
2113
bolje iskorišćavaju starije
15:56
and give their elderly more satisfying lives
361
956199
3110
i pružaju im ispunjenije živote
15:59
than we do in modern, big societies.
362
959309
2850
nego što to mi činimo u modernim, velikim društvima.
16:02
Paradoxically nowadays,
363
962159
1865
Paradoksalno, danas
16:04
when we have more elderly people than ever before,
364
964024
2926
kada imamo više starijih nego ikada pre
16:06
living healthier lives and with better medical care
365
966950
2721
koji žive zdravije živote sa boljom zdravstvenom negom
16:09
than ever before,
366
969671
1486
nego ikada pre
16:11
old age is in some respects more miserable
367
971157
2707
starost je u nekim pogledima bednija
16:13
than ever before.
368
973864
1767
nego ikada pre.
16:15
The lives of the elderly are widely recognized
369
975631
2422
Životi starijih su naširoko prepoznati
16:18
as constituting a disaster area
370
978053
2767
kao područja katastrofe
16:20
of modern American society.
371
980820
2533
u modernom američkom društvu.
16:23
We can surely do better by learning
372
983353
1681
Sigurno možemo biti bolji ako učimo
16:25
from the lives of the elderly
373
985034
1875
iz života starijih
16:26
in traditional societies.
374
986909
2012
u tradicionalnim društvima.
16:28
But what's true of the lives of the elderly
375
988921
1942
Ali ono što je istinito za živote starijih
16:30
in traditional societies
376
990863
1464
u tradicionalnim društvima
16:32
is true of many other features
377
992327
1695
je istinito i za druge osobine
16:34
of traditional societies as well.
378
994022
2594
tradicionalnih društava.
16:36
Of course, I'm not advocating that we all give up
379
996616
2589
Naravno, nisam zagovornik napuštanja
16:39
agriculture and metal tools
380
999205
2115
poljoprivrede i metalnih oruđa
16:41
and return to a hunter-gatherer lifestyle.
381
1001320
3084
i vraćanja lovu i sakupljanju.
16:44
There are many obvious respects
382
1004404
1544
Postoji mnogo očiglednih aspekata
16:45
in which our lives today are far happier
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zbog kojih su naši životi danas daleko srećniji
16:48
than those in small, traditional societies.
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od onih u malim, tradicionalnim društvima.
16:51
To mention just a few examples,
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Napomenuo bih samo neke primere,
16:53
our lives are longer, materially much richer,
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naši životi su duži, materijalno znatno bogatiji
16:56
and less plagued by violence
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i manje mučeni nasiljem
16:58
than are the lives of people in traditional societies.
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nego životi ljudi u tradicionalnim društvima.
17:01
But there are also things to be admired
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Ali postoje i stvari kojima se treba diviti
17:04
about people in traditional societies,
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kod ljudi u tradicionalnim društvima
17:06
and perhaps to be learned from them.
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i možda učiti iz njih.
17:08
Their lives are usually socially much richer
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Njihovi životi su uglavnom značajno društveno bogatiji
17:11
than our lives,
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nego naši životi,
17:12
although materially poorer.
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iako materijalno siromašniji.
17:15
Their children are more self-confident,
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Njihova deca imaju više samopouzdanja,
17:18
more independent, and more socially skilled
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nezavisnija su i imaju više socijalnih veština
17:20
than are our children.
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nego naša deca.
17:23
They think more realistically about dangers than we do.
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Razmišljaju realističnije o opasnostima nego mi.
17:26
They almost never die of diabetes, heart disease,
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Skoro nikada ne umiru od dijabetesa, srčanih oboljenja,
17:30
stroke, and the other noncommunicable diseases
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šloga ili drugih nezaraznih bolesti,
17:33
that will be the causes of death of almost
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koje će biti uzrok smrti
17:36
all of us in this room today.
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skoro svih nas u ovoj prostoriji danas.
17:39
Features of the modern lifestyle predispose us to those diseases,
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Osobine savremenog života nas predodređuju tim bolestima,
17:43
and features of the traditional lifestyle
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a osobine tradicionalnih društava
17:45
protect us against them.
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nas štite od njih.
17:47
Those are just some examples of what we can learn
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To su samo neki primeri toga šta možemo da naučimo
17:50
from traditional societies.
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od tradicionalnih društava.
17:52
I hope that you will find it as fascinating
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Nadam se da vam biti isto toliko zapanjujuće
17:54
to read about traditional societies
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da čitate o tradicionalnim društvima
17:56
as I found it to live in those societies.
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kao što je meni bilo da živim među njima.
17:59
Thank you.
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Hvala vam.
18:01
(Applause)
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(Aplauz)
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