Richard Resnick: Welcome to the genomic revolution

225,112 views ・ 2011-09-15

TED


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Ladies and gentlemen,
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I present to you the human genome.
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(Applause)
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Chromosome one -- top left, bottom right -- are the sex chromosomes.
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Women have two copies of that big X chromosome;
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men have the X and, of course, that small copy of the Y.
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Sorry boys, but it's just a tiny little thing that makes you different.
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So if you zoom in on this genome,
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then what you see, of course, is this double-helix structure --
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the code of life spelled out with these four biochemical letters,
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or we call them bases: A, C, G and T.
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How many are there in the human genome? Three billion.
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Is that a big number?
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Well, everybody can throw around big numbers.
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But in fact, if I were to place one base
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on each pixel of this 1280x800-resolution screen,
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we would need 3,000 screens to take a look at the genome.
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So it's really quite big.
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And perhaps because of its size,
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a group of people -- all, by the way, with Y chromosomes --
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decided they would want to sequence it.
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(Laughter)
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And so 15 years, actually, and about four billion dollars later,
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the genome was sequenced and published.
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In 2003, the final version was published, and they keep working on it.
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That was all done on a machine like this.
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It costs about a dollar for each base -- a very slow way of doing it.
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Well, folks, I'm here to tell you
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that the world has completely changed,
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and none of you know about it.
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So now what we do is take a genome,
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we make maybe 50 copies of it,
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we cut all those copies up into little 50-base reads,
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and then we sequence them, massively parallel.
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Then we bring that into software and reassemble it,
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and tell you what the story is.
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So to give you a picture of what this looks like,
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the Human Genome Project: 3 gigabases, right?
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One run on one of these modern machines: 200 gigabases in a week.
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And that 200 is going to change to 600 this summer,
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and there's no sign of this pace slowing.
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The price of a base, to sequence a base,
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has fallen 100 million times.
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That's the equivalent of you filling up your car with gas in 1998,
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waiting until 2011,
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and now you can drive to Jupiter and back twice.
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(Laughter)
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World population,
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PC placements,
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the archive of all of medical literature,
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Moore's law,
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the old way of sequencing,
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and here's all the new stuff.
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Guys, this is a long scale;
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you don't typically see lines that go up like that.
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So the worldwide capacity to sequence human genomes
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is something like 50,000 to 100,000 human genomes this year.
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We know this based on the machines that are being placed.
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This is expected to double, triple or maybe quadruple
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year over year for the foreseeable future.
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In fact, there's one lab in particular
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that represents 20 percent of all that capacity:
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It's called the Beijing Genomics Institute.
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The Chinese are absolutely winning this race to the new Moon, by the way.
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What does this mean for medicine?
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So a woman, age 37,
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presents with stage 2 estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer.
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She is treated with surgery, chemotherapy and radiation.
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She goes home.
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Two years later,
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she comes back with stage 3C ovarian cancer, unfortunately;
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treated again with surgery and chemotherapy.
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She comes back three years later at age 42
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with more ovarian cancer, more chemotherapy.
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Six months later,
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she comes back with acute myeloid leukemia.
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She goes into respiratory failure and dies eight days later.
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So first: the way in which this woman was treated,
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in as little as 10 years, will look like bloodletting.
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And it's because of people like my colleague, Rick Wilson,
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at the Genome Institute at Washington University,
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who decided to take a look at this woman postmortem.
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And he took skin cells, healthy skin
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and cancerous bone marrow,
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and sequenced the whole genomes of both of them
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in a couple of weeks, no big deal.
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Then he compared those two genomes in software,
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and what he found, among other things,
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was a deletion -- a 2,000-base deletion across three billion bases
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in a particular gene called TP53.
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If you have this deleterious mutation in this gene,
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you're 90 percent likely to get cancer in your life.
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So unfortunately, this doesn't help this woman,
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but it does have severe -- profound, if you will --
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implications to her family.
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I mean, if they have the same mutation,
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and they get this genetic test and they understand it,
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then they can get regular screens and can catch cancer early,
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and potentially live a significantly longer life.
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Let me introduce you to the Beery twins,
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diagnosed with cerebral palsy at the age of two.
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Their mom is a very brave woman who didn't believe it;
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the symptoms weren't matching up.
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And through some heroic efforts and a lot of Internet searching,
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she was able to convince the medical community
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that, in fact, they had something else.
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They had dopa-responsive dystonia.
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And so they were given L-Dopa,
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and their symptoms did improve,
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but they weren't totally asymptomatic.
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Significant problems remained.
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Turns out the gentleman in this picture is a guy named Joe Beery,
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who was lucky enough to be the CIO
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of a company called Life Technologies.
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They're one of two companies
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that makes these massive whole-genome sequencing tools.
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And so he got his kids sequenced.
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What they found was a series of mutations in a gene called SPR,
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which is responsible for producing serotonin, among other things.
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So on top of L-Dopa, they gave these kids a serotonin precursor drug,
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and they're effectively normal now.
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Guys, this would never have happened without whole-genome sequencing.
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At the time -- this was a few years ago -- it cost $100,000.
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Today it's $10,000, next year, $1,000,
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the year after, $100, give or take a year.
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That's how fast this is moving.
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So here's little Nick --
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likes Batman and squirt guns.
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And it turns out Nick shows up at the children's hospital
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with this distended belly, like a famine victim.
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And it's not that he's not eating; it's that when he eats,
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his intestine basically opens up and feces spill out into his gut.
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So a hundred surgeries later,
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he looks at his mom and says, "Mom, please pray for me.
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I'm in so much pain."
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His pediatrician happens to have a background in clinical genetics
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and he has no idea what's going on,
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but he says, "Let's get this kid's genome sequenced."
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And what they find is a single-point mutation
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in a gene responsible for controlling programmed cell death.
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So the theory is that he's having some immunological reaction
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to what's going on -- to the food, essentially.
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And that's a natural reaction, which causes some programmed cell death,
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but the gene that regulates that down is broken.
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And so this informs, among other things, of course,
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a treatment for bone marrow transplant, which he undertakes.
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And after nine months of grueling recovery,
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he's now eating steak with A1 sauce.
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(Laughter)
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The prospect of using the genome as a universal diagnostic
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is upon us today.
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Today. It's here.
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And what it means for all of us
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is that everybody in this room could live an extra 5, 10, 20 years,
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just because of this one thing.
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Which is a fantastic story,
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unless you think about humanity's footprint on the planet,
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and our ability to keep up food production.
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So it turns out
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that the very same technology is also being used to grow new lines
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of corn, wheat, soybean and other crops
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that are highly tolerant of drought, of flood,
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of pests and pesticides.
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Now, look --
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as long as we continue to increase the population,
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we'll have to continue to grow and eat genetically modified foods.
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And that's the only position I'll take today.
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Unless there's anybody in the audience
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who'd like to volunteer to stop eating?
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None, not one.
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This is a typewriter,
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a staple of every desktop for decades.
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And, in fact, the typewriter was essentially deleted by this thing.
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And then more general versions of word processors came about.
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But ultimately, it was a disruption on top of a disruption.
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It was Bob Metcalfe inventing the Ethernet,
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and the connection of all these computers
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that fundamentally changed everything.
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Suddenly we had Netscape, we had Yahoo.
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And we had, indeed, the entire dot-com bubble.
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(Laughter)
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Not to worry though,
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that was quickly rescued by the iPod, Facebook
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and, indeed, Angry Birds.
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(Laughter)
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Look, this is where we are today.
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This is the genomic revolution today. This is where we are.
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What I'd like you to consider is:
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What does it mean
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when these dots don't represent the individual bases of your genome,
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but they connect to genomes all across the planet?
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I just recently had to buy life insurance, and I was required to answer:
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A. I have never had a genetic test;
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B. I've had one, here you go;
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or C. I've had one and I'm not telling.
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Thankfully, I was able to answer A,
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and I say that honestly, in case my life insurance agent is listening.
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But what would have happened if I had said C?
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Consumer applications for genomics will flourish.
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Do you want to see if you're genetically compatible
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with your girlfriend?
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DNA sequencing on your iPhone? There's an app for that.
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(Laughter)
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Personalized genomic massage, anyone?
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There's already a lab today that tests for allele 334 of the AVPR1 gene,
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the so-called cheating gene.
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(Laughter)
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So anybody who's here today with your significant other,
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just turn over to them, swab their mouth, send it to the lab
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and you'll know for sure.
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(Laughter)
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Do you really want to elect a president
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whose genome suggests cardiomyopathy?
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Think of it -- it's 2016,
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and the leading candidate releases
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not only her four years of back-tax returns,
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but also her personal genome.
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And it looks really good.
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Then she challenges all her competitors to do the same.
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Do you think that's not going to happen?
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Do you think it would have helped John McCain?
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(Laughter)
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How many people in the audience have the last name Resnick, like me?
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Raise your hand.
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Anybody? Nobody.
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Typically, there's one or two.
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So my father's father was one of 10 Resnick brothers.
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They all hated each other, and all moved to different parts of the planet.
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So it's likely I'm related to every Resnick that I ever meet,
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but I don't know.
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So imagine if my genome were De-identified, sitting in software,
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And a third cousin's genome was also sitting there,
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and there was software that could compare the two
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and make these associations.
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Not hard to imagine. My company has software that does this right now.
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Imagine one more thing,
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that that software is able to ask both parties for mutual consent:
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"Would you be willing to meet your third cousin?"
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And if we both say yes -- voilà!
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Welcome to Chromosomally LinkedIn.
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(Laughter)
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Now this is probably a good thing, right?
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Bigger clan gatherings and so on.
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But maybe it's a bad thing as well.
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How many fathers in the room? Raise your hands.
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OK, so experts think that one to three percent of you
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are not actually the father of your child.
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(Laughter)
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Look --
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(Laughter)
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These genomes, these 23 chromosomes,
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they don't in any way represent the quality of our relationships
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or the nature of our society -- at least not yet.
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And like any new technology,
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it's really in humanity's hands
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to wield it for the betterment of mankind
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or not.
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And so I urge you all to wake up and to tune in
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and to influence the genomic revolution that's happening all around you.
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Thank you.
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(Applause)
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