How germs travel on planes -- and how we can stop them | Raymond Wang

489,179 views ・ 2016-01-11

TED


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00:13
Can I get a show of hands --
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how many of you in this room have been on a plane in this past year?
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That's pretty good.
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Well, it turns out that you share that experience
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with more than three billion people every year.
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And when we put so many people in all these metal tubes
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that fly all over the world,
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sometimes, things like this can happen
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and you get a disease epidemic.
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I first actually got into this topic
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when I heard about the Ebola outbreak last year.
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And it turns out that,
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although Ebola spreads through these more range-limited,
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large-droplet routes,
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there's all these other sorts of diseases
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that can be spread in the airplane cabin.
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The worst part is, when we take a look at some of the numbers,
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it's pretty scary.
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So with H1N1,
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there was this guy that decided to go on the plane
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and in the matter of a single flight
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actually spread the disease to 17 other people.
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And then there was this other guy with SARS,
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who managed to go on a three-hour flight
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and spread the disease to 22 other people.
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That's not exactly my idea of a great superpower.
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When we take a look at this, what we also find
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is that it's very difficult to pre-screen for these diseases.
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So when someone actually goes on a plane,
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they could be sick
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and they could actually be in this latency period
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in which they could actually have the disease
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but not exhibit any symptoms,
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and they could, in turn, spread the disease
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to many other people in the cabin.
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How that actually works is that right now
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we've got air coming in from the top of the cabin
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and from the side of the cabin, as you see in blue.
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And then also, that air goes out through these very efficient filters
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that eliminate 99.97 percent of pathogens near the outlets.
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What happens right now, though,
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is that we have this mixing airflow pattern.
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So if someone were to actually sneeze,
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that air would get swirled around multiple times
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before it even has a chance to go out through the filter.
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So I thought: clearly, this is a pretty serious problem.
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I didn't have the money to go out and buy a plane,
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so I decided to build a computer instead.
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It actually turns out that with computational fluid dynamics,
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what we're able to do is create these simulations
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that give us higher resolutions
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than actually physically going in and taking readings in the plane.
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And so how, essentially, this works is you would start out
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with these 2D drawings --
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these are floating around in technical papers around the Internet.
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I take that and then I put it into this 3D-modeling software,
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really building that 3D model.
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And then I divide that model that I just built into these tiny pieces,
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essentially meshing it so that the computer can better understand it.
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And then I tell the computer where the air goes in and out of the cabin,
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throw in a bunch of physics
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and basically sit there and wait until the computer calculates the simulation.
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So what we get, actually, with the conventional cabin is this:
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you'll notice the middle person sneezing,
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and we go "Splat!" -- it goes right into people's faces.
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It's pretty disgusting.
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From the front, you'll notice those two passengers
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sitting next to the central passenger
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not exactly having a great time.
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And when we take a look at that from the side,
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you'll also notice those pathogens spreading across the length of the cabin.
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The first thing I thought was, "This is no good."
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So I actually conducted more than 32 different simulations
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and ultimately, I came up with this solution right here.
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This is what I call a -- patent pending -- Global Inlet Director.
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With this, we're able to reduce pathogen transmission
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by about 55 times,
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and increase fresh-air inhalation by about 190 percent.
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So how this actually works
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is we would install this piece of composite material
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into these existing spots that are already in the plane.
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So it's very cost-effective to install
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and we can do this directly overnight.
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All we have to do is put a couple of screws in there and you're good to go.
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And the results that we get are absolutely amazing.
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Instead of having those problematic swirling airflow patterns,
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we can create these walls of air
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that come down in-between the passengers
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to create personalized breathing zones.
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So you'll notice the middle passenger here is sneezing again,
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but this time, we're able to effectively push that down
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to the filters for elimination.
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And same thing from the side,
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you'll notice we're able to directly push those pathogens down.
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So if you take a look again now at the same scenario
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but with this innovation installed,
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you'll notice the middle passenger sneezes,
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and this time, we're pushing that straight down into the outlet
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before it gets a chance to infect any other people.
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So you'll notice the two passengers sitting next to the middle guy
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are breathing virtually no pathogens at all.
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Take a look at that from the side as well,
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you see a very efficient system.
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And in short, with this system, we win.
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When we take a look at what this means,
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what we see is that this not only works if the middle passenger sneezes,
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but also if the window-seat passenger sneezes
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or if the aisle-seat passenger sneezes.
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And so with this solution, what does this mean for the world?
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Well, when we take a look at this
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from the computer simulation into real life,
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we can see with this 3D model that I built over here,
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essentially using 3D printing,
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we can see those same airflow patterns coming down,
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right to the passengers.
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In the past, the SARS epidemic actually cost the world
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about 40 billion dollars.
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And in the future,
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a big disease outbreak could actually cost the world
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in excess of three trillion dollars.
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So before, it used to be that you had to take an airplane out of service
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for one to two months,
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spend tens of thousands of man hours and several million dollars
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to try to change something.
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But now, we're able to install something essentially overnight
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and see results right away.
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So it's really now a matter of taking this through to certification,
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flight testing,
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and going through all of these regulatory approvals processes.
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But it just really goes to show that sometimes the best solutions
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are the simplest solutions.
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And two years ago, even,
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this project would not have happened,
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just because the technology then wouldn't have supported it.
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But now with advanced computing
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and how developed our Internet is,
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it's really the golden era for innovation.
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And so the question I ask all of you today is: why wait?
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Together, we can build the future today.
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Thanks.
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(Applause)
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