Benoit Mandelbrot: Fractals and the art of roughness

454,117 views ・ 2010-07-06

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Prevoditelj: Sanja Srbljnović Čuček Recezent: Neda Vrkic
Puno vam hvala.
Oprostite što sjedim; vrlo sam star.
(Smijeh)
Dakle, tema o kojoj ću govoriti je u određenom smislu, vrlo neobična
00:15
Thank you very much.
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jer je vrlo stara.
00:17
Please excuse me for sitting; I'm very old.
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Hrapavost je od pamtivijeka dio ljudskog života
00:20
(Laughter)
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00:22
Well, the topic I'm going to discuss
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i drevni su pisci pisali o njoj.
00:24
is one which is, in a certain sense, very peculiar
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Nije ju bilo moguće kontrolirati,
00:27
because it's very old.
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i na neki način,
00:29
Roughness is part of human life
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čini se krajnje složena, zbrkana i zbrčkana.
00:32
forever and forever,
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00:34
and ancient authors have written about it.
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Mnogo je vrsta zbrkanosti.
Zapravo, pukim slučajem,
00:37
It was very much uncontrollable,
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00:39
and in a certain sense,
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pred mnogo godina, bio sam uključen
00:41
it seemed to be the extreme of complexity,
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u studiju tog oblika kompleksnosti,
00:44
just a mess, a mess and a mess.
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00:46
There are many different kinds of mess.
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i na moje veliko iznenađenje,
00:48
Now, in fact,
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našao sam tragove --
00:50
by a complete fluke,
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vrlo jasne tragove, moram reći --
00:52
I got involved many years ago
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reda u toj hrapavosti.
00:55
in a study of this form of complexity,
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Tako vam danas želim dati
nekoliko primjera onog što to predstavlja.
00:58
and to my utter amazement,
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01:00
I found traces --
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Draža mi je riječ hrapavost
01:02
very strong traces, I must say --
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nego riječ nepravilnost
01:04
of order in that roughness.
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jer nepravilnost --
01:07
And so today, I would like to present to you
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nekome tko je imao latinski
01:09
a few examples
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u svojoj dalekoj mladosti --
01:11
of what this represents.
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znači suprotno od pravilnosti.
01:13
I prefer the word roughness
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Ali to nije tako.
01:15
to the word irregularity
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Pravilnost je suprotna hrapavosti
01:17
because irregularity --
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01:19
to someone who had Latin
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jer je osnovni aspekt svijeta vrlo hrapav.
01:21
in my long-past youth --
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01:23
means the contrary of regularity.
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Da vam pokažem nekoliko predmeta.
01:25
But it is not so.
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Neki od njih su umjetni.
01:27
Regularity is the contrary of roughness
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Drugi od njih su vrlo stvarni, u nekom smislu.
01:30
because the basic aspect of the world
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Ovo je stvarno. To je šenon.
01:32
is very rough.
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A zašto vam pokazujem šenon,
01:34
So let me show you a few objects.
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tako obično i drevno povrće?
01:37
Some of them are artificial.
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01:39
Others of them are very real, in a certain sense.
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Jer, koliko god da bilo staro i drevno,
01:42
Now this is the real. It's a cauliflower.
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vrlo je komplicirano
i vrlo jednostavno,
01:45
Now why do I show a cauliflower,
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sve u isti mah.
Važete li ga -- naravno, lako ga je izvagati,
01:48
a very ordinary and ancient vegetable?
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a kad ga jedete, težina je važna --
01:51
Because old and ancient as it may be,
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no pretpostavimo da pokušate izmjeriti njegovu površinu.
01:54
it's very complicated and it's very simple,
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01:57
both at the same time.
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01:59
If you try to weigh it -- of course it's very easy to weigh it,
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Dakle, vrlo je zanimljivo.
Odrežete li oštrim nožem
02:02
and when you eat it, the weight matters --
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jednu od cvjetnih grana šenona
02:05
but suppose you try to
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i pogledate je zasebno,
mislit ćete na cijeli šenon, ali manji.
02:08
measure its surface.
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02:10
Well, it's very interesting.
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A onda opet odrežete i opet i opet i opet i opet i opet
02:12
If you cut, with a sharp knife,
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i još uvijek dobivate male šenone.
02:15
one of the florets of a cauliflower
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02:17
and look at it separately,
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Ljudskom je iskustvu dakle oduvijek poznato
02:19
you think of a whole cauliflower, but smaller.
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da postoje neki oblici s tim posebnim svojstvom,
02:22
And then you cut again,
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02:24
again, again, again, again, again, again, again, again,
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da je svaki dio poput cjeline,
02:27
and you still get small cauliflowers.
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ali manji.
02:29
So the experience of humanity
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A što je čovječanstvo s time napravilo?
02:31
has always been that there are some shapes
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Vrlo, vrlo malo.
02:34
which have this peculiar property,
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(Smijeh)
02:36
that each part is like the whole,
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I što sam zapravo učinio -
02:39
but smaller.
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proučavao sam ovaj problem
02:41
Now, what did humanity do with that?
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02:44
Very, very little.
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i otkrio nešto prilično iznenađujuće.
02:47
(Laughter)
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Da se hrapavost može mjeriti nekim brojem,
02:50
So what I did actually is to
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02:53
study this problem,
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2,3; 1,2 a katkad i nekim većim.
02:56
and I found something quite surprising.
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Jednom mi je neki prijatelj, da me zagnjavi,
02:59
That one can measure roughness
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donio neku sliku i pitao,
“Kolika je hrapavost ove krivulje?”
03:02
by a number, a number,
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Rekao sam, “Nešto manja od 1,5.”
03:05
2.3, 1.2 and sometimes much more.
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Bila je 1,48.
03:08
One day, a friend of mine,
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Dakle, nije mi trebalo puno vremena.
03:10
to bug me,
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Dugo sam proučavao te stvari.
03:12
brought a picture and said,
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To su dakle brojevi koji mogu opisati hrapavost tih površina.
03:14
"What is the roughness of this curve?"
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03:16
I said, "Well, just short of 1.5."
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03:19
It was 1.48.
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Moram vam reći da su te površine potpuno umjetne.
03:21
Now, it didn't take me any time.
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Napravljene su računalom,
03:23
I've been looking at these things for so long.
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a jedini je unos bio broj,
03:25
So these numbers are the numbers
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a taj je broj hrapavost.
03:27
which denote the roughness of these surfaces.
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Tako sam na lijevoj slici
03:30
I hasten to say that these surfaces
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uzeo hrapavost kopiranu s mnogih pejzaža.
03:32
are completely artificial.
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03:34
They were done on a computer,
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Na desnoj sam uzeo veću hrapavost.
03:36
and the only input is a number,
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Tako oko, nakon nekog vremena
03:38
and that number is roughness.
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može dobro razlikovati jednu od druge.
03:41
So on the left,
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Čovječanstvo je moralo učiti mjeriti hrapavost.
03:43
I took the roughness copied from many landscapes.
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Ovo je vrlo hrapavo, ovo donekle glatko, a ovo je savršeno glatko.
03:46
To the right, I took a higher roughness.
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Vrlo je malo stvari vrlo glatko.
03:49
So the eye, after a while,
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Pa ako pokušate s pitanjima:
03:51
can distinguish these two very well.
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03:54
Humanity had to learn about measuring roughness.
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“Kolika je površina šenona?”
03:56
This is very rough, and this is sort of smooth, and this perfectly smooth.
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Mjerit ćete i mjeriti i mjeriti.
03:59
Very few things are very smooth.
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Kad god se približite, postaje veća,
sve do vrlo, vrlo malih razmaka.
04:03
So then if you try to ask questions:
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Kolika je duljina obalne crte ovih jezera?
04:06
"What's the surface of a cauliflower?"
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04:08
Well, you measure and measure and measure.
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Što bliže mjerite, to je dulja.
04:11
Each time you're closer, it gets bigger,
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Koncept duljine obalne crte,
koji se čini tako prirodan, jer se navodi na mnogo mjesta,
04:14
down to very, very small distances.
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04:16
What's the length of the coastline
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je zapravo zabluda; tako nešto ne postoji.
04:18
of these lakes?
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04:20
The closer you measure, the longer it is.
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Morate tome drugačije pristupiti.
04:23
The concept of length of coastline,
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Što će vam to znanje?
04:25
which seems to be so natural
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Pa, nećete vjerovati,
04:27
because it's given in many cases,
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korisno je na mnogo načina.
04:29
is, in fact, complete fallacy; there's no such thing.
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Za početak, umjetni pejzaži, koje sam na neki način smislio,
04:32
You must do it differently.
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koriste se u kinematografiji sve vrijeme.
04:35
What good is that, to know these things?
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Vidimo planine u daljini.
04:37
Well, surprisingly enough,
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To mogu biti planine, a mogu biti i samo pokrenute formule.
04:39
it's good in many ways.
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04:41
To begin with, artificial landscapes,
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Sad je to vrlo lako učiniti.
04:43
which I invented sort of,
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Nekad je to bilo vrlo dugotrajno, sad to nije ništa.
04:45
are used in cinema all the time.
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Pogledajte ovo. To su prava pluća.
04:48
We see mountains in the distance.
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Pluća su nešto vrlo čudnovato.
04:50
They may be mountains, but they may be just formulae, just cranked on.
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Uzmete li ih u ruke, znat ćete da vrlo malo teže.
04:53
Now it's very easy to do.
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04:55
It used to be very time-consuming, but now it's nothing.
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Volumen pluća je vrlo malen,
04:58
Now look at that. That's a real lung.
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no što je s površinom pluća?
05:01
Now a lung is something very strange.
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Anatomi su o tome puno raspravljali.
05:03
If you take this thing,
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Neki kažu da normalna muška pluća
05:05
you know very well it weighs very little.
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05:08
The volume of a lung is very small,
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imaju površinu unutrašnjeg košarkaškog igrališta.
05:10
but what about the area of the lung?
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A drugi kažu, ne, pet takvih igrališta.
05:13
Anatomists were arguing very much about that.
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Poprilično neslaganje.
05:16
Some say that a normal male's lung
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A zašto?
Zato što je površina pluća
05:19
has an area of the inside
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nešto što je vrlo loše definirano.
05:21
of a basketball [court].
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05:23
And the others say, no, five basketball [courts].
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Bronhiji se granaju, granaju, granaju
i prestaju se granati, ne zbog nekog principa,
05:27
Enormous disagreements.
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05:29
Why so? Because, in fact, the area of the lung
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05:32
is something very ill-defined.
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već iz fizičkog razloga: zbog sluzi koja je u plućima.
05:35
The bronchi branch, branch, branch
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05:38
and they stop branching,
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Pa se događa da možete imati
i daleko veća pluća,
05:41
not because of any matter of principle,
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no ona će se granati i granati do otprilike istih distanci
05:44
but because of physical considerations:
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i kod kita i kod čovjeka, kao i kod sitnog glodavca.
05:47
the mucus, which is in the lung.
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A kakve koristi od toga?
05:50
So what happens is that in a way
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05:52
you have a much bigger lung,
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Pa začudo, nećete vjerovati,
05:54
but it branches and branches
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05:56
down to distances about the same for a whale, for a man
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anatomi su imali vrlo slabu predodžbu strukture pluća, sve donedavno.
05:59
and for a little rodent.
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I mislim da je moja matematika,
06:02
Now, what good is it to have that?
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za divno čudo,
06:05
Well, surprisingly enough, amazingly enough,
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bila od velike pomoći kirurzima
06:07
the anatomists had a very poor idea
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koji su proučavali plućne bolesti
06:10
of the structure of the lung until very recently.
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kao i bolesti bubrega
06:13
And I think that my mathematics,
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i svih sustava koji se granaju,
06:15
surprisingly enough,
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a za koje nije bilo geometrije.
06:17
has been of great help
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Tako sam se takoreći našao u konstruiranju geometrije,
06:19
to the surgeons
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06:21
studying lung illnesses
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geometrije stvari koje nisu imale geometriju.
06:23
and also kidney illnesses,
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06:25
all these branching systems,
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Tu je začuđujuće da su vrlo često
06:27
for which there was no geometry.
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pravila te geometrije izuzetno kratka.
06:30
So I found myself, in other words,
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06:32
constructing a geometry,
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Imate ovoliko duge formule.
06:34
a geometry of things which had no geometry.
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Zavrtite ih nekoliko puta.
Ponekad ponavljano: opet, opet i opet isto ponavljanje.
06:37
And a surprising aspect of it
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06:39
is that very often, the rules of this geometry
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Na kraju, dobijete nešto poput ovog.
06:42
are extremely short.
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Ovaj oblak je u potpunosti, sto posto umjetan.
06:44
You have formulas that long.
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06:46
And you crank it several times.
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Dobro, 99,9.
06:48
Sometimes repeatedly: again, again, again,
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A jedini prirodni dio je broj,
06:50
the same repetition.
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06:52
And at the end, you get things like that.
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hrapavost tog oblaka, koji je uzet iz prirode.
06:54
This cloud is completely,
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06:56
100 percent artificial.
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Nešto toliko komplicirano kao oblak,
tako nestabilno, tako varirajuće,
06:59
Well, 99.9.
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treba nositi u sebi jednostavno pravilo.
07:01
And the only part which is natural
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07:03
is a number, the roughness of the cloud,
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A to jednostavno pravilo
07:05
which is taken from nature.
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nije objašnjenje oblaka.
07:07
Something so complicated like a cloud,
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Promatrač oblaka mora to uzeti u obzir.
07:09
so unstable, so varying,
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07:11
should have a simple rule behind it.
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Ne znam koliko su napredne ove slike -- stare su.
07:14
Now this simple rule
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07:17
is not an explanation of clouds.
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Prilično sam se bavio time,
a onda pažnju posvetio drugim fenomenima.
07:20
The seer of clouds had to
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07:22
take account of it.
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A ima još jedna prilično interesantna stvar.
07:24
I don't know how much advanced
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07:27
these pictures are. They're old.
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Jedan od dramatičnih događaja u povijesti matematike,
07:29
I was very much involved in it,
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07:31
but then turned my attention to other phenomena.
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kojeg mnogo ljudi ne razumije,
07:34
Now, here is another thing
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dogodio se prije oko 130, 145 godina.
07:36
which is rather interesting.
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Matematičari su počeli kreirati oblike koji nisu postojali.
07:39
One of the shattering events
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07:41
in the history of mathematics,
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Matematičari su bili puni samohvale
07:43
which is not appreciated by many people,
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do mjere koja je bila zapanjujuća,
07:46
occurred about 130 years ago,
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da čovjek može smisliti stvari koje priroda nije poznavala.
07:48
145 years ago.
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07:50
Mathematicians began to create
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Točnije, mogao je smisliti nešto poput krivulje koja ispunjava ravninu.
07:52
shapes that didn't exist.
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07:54
Mathematicians got into self-praise
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Krivulja je krivulja, a ravnina ravnina,
07:57
to an extent which was absolutely amazing,
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i to dvoje se ne želi miješati.
07:59
that man can invent things
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A ipak se miješaju.
08:01
that nature did not know.
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Čovjek po imenu Peano definirao je takve krivulje,
08:03
In particular, it could invent
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08:05
things like a curve which fills the plane.
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što je postalo predmetom nevjerojatnog zanimanja.
08:08
A curve's a curve, a plane's a plane,
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08:10
and the two won't mix.
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Bilo je to vrlo važno, no uglavnom zanimljivo
08:12
Well, they do mix.
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zbog svojevrsnog raskola,
08:14
A man named Peano
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razdvajanja matematike koja dolazi iz stvarnosti,
08:16
did define such curves,
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08:18
and it became an object of extraordinary interest.
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i nove matematike koja dolazi iz čistog ljudskog uma.
08:21
It was very important, but mostly interesting
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Nažalost sam pokazao
08:24
because a kind of break,
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da je čisti ljudski um ustvari konačno uvidio
08:26
a separation between
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08:28
the mathematics coming from reality, on the one hand,
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08:31
and new mathematics coming from pure man's mind.
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ono što je već odavno bilo viđeno.
Tako ovdje uvodim nešto,
08:34
Well, I was very sorry to point out
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niz rijeka krivulje koja ispunjava ravninu.
08:37
that the pure man's mind
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08:39
has, in fact,
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No dobro, to je priča za sebe.
08:41
seen at long last
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08:43
what had been seen for a long time.
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Bilo je to od 1875. do 1925.,
08:45
And so here I introduce something,
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u fascinantnom razdoblju
08:47
the set of rivers of a plane-filling curve.
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u kojem se matematika pripremala za odvajanje od svijeta.
08:50
And well,
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A predmeti korišteni dok sam bio đak i student
08:52
it's a story unto itself.
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08:54
So it was in 1875 to 1925,
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kao primjeri raskola matematike i vidljive realnosti --
08:57
an extraordinary period
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08:59
in which mathematics prepared itself to break out from the world.
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te predmete, potpuno sam ih obrnuo.
09:02
And the objects which were used
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09:04
as examples, when I was
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Koristio sam ih za opisivanje nekih aspekata kompleksnosti prirode.
09:06
a child and a student, as examples
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09:08
of the break between mathematics
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09:11
and visible reality --
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1919., čovjek imenom Hausdorff
09:13
those objects,
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uveo je broj koji je smatran samo matematičkom šalom,
09:15
I turned them completely around.
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09:17
I used them for describing
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a ja sam otkrio da je taj broj dobra mjera za hrapavost.
09:19
some of the aspects of the complexity of nature.
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Kad su to moji matematičari čuli, rekli su,
09:22
Well, a man named Hausdorff in 1919
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“Ne budi blesav, to je samo...”
09:25
introduced a number which was just a mathematical joke,
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Pa zapravo, nisam bio blesav.
09:28
and I found that this number
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Slavni slikar Hokusai to je dobro znao.
09:30
was a good measurement of roughness.
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Ono na tlu su alge.
09:32
When I first told it to my friends in mathematics
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09:34
they said, "Don't be silly. It's just something [silly]."
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On nije poznavao tu matematiku; toga još nije bilo.
A on je bio Japanac koji nije imao kontakta sa Zapadom.
09:37
Well actually, I was not silly.
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No slikarstvo je odavna imalo fraktalnu stranu.
09:40
The great painter Hokusai knew it very well.
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O tome bih mogao dugo pričati.
09:43
The things on the ground are algae.
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Eiffelov toranj ima fraktalni aspekt.
09:45
He did not know the mathematics; it didn't yet exist.
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Pročitao sam knjigu g. Eiffela o njegovom tornju,
09:48
And he was Japanese who had no contact with the West.
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i zaista je fascinantno koliko je toga shvaćao.
09:51
But painting for a long time had a fractal side.
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09:54
I could speak of that for a long time.
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To je zbrka, Brownova petlja. [Brownov klaster]
09:56
The Eiffel Tower has a fractal aspect.
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Jednog dana sam odlučio --
negdje na polovici svoje karijere.
09:59
I read the book that Mr. Eiffel wrote about his tower,
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Bio sam ograničen s puno stvari u poslu --
10:02
and indeed it was astonishing how much he understood.
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odlučio sam se iskušati.
10:05
This is a mess, mess, mess, Brownian loop.
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Bi li mogao samo gledati nešto
što su već svi dugo vremena promatrali
10:08
One day I decided --
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10:10
halfway through my career,
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i pronaći nešto geometrijski novo?
10:12
I was held by so many things in my work --
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Tako sam promatrao ove stvari
10:15
I decided to test myself.
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10:18
Could I just look at something
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nazvane Brownovo gibanje -- samo ide uokolo.
10:20
which everybody had been looking at for a long time
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Neko sam se vrijeme igrao njime,
10:23
and find something dramatically new?
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i natjerao ga da se vrati na početak.
Onda bih rekao svom asistentu,
10:26
Well, so I looked at these
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“Ne vidim ništa; možeš li to nacrtati?”
10:29
things called Brownian motion -- just goes around.
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I on je to nacrtao, sve je stavio unutra.
10:32
I played with it for a while,
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Rekao je: “Pa ispalo je ovo...”
10:34
and I made it return to the origin.
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Povikao sam, “Stani, stani, stani!
Vidim, to je otok.”
10:37
Then I was telling my assistant,
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10:39
"I don't see anything. Can you paint it?"
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Upravo nevjerojatno.
10:41
So he painted it, which means
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Dakle, Brownovo gibanje,
koje ima hrapavost broja dva, ide uokolo.
10:43
he put inside everything. He said:
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10:45
"Well, this thing came out ..." And I said, "Stop! Stop! Stop!
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Izmjerio sam ga, 1,33.
10:48
I see; it's an island."
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Opet, i opet, i opet.
Duga mjerenja, velika Brownova gibanja, 1,33.
10:51
And amazing.
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10:53
So Brownian motion, which happens to have
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Matematički problem: kako to dokazati?
10:55
a roughness number of two, goes around.
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Mojim je prijateljima trebalo 20 godina.
10:58
I measured it, 1.33.
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11:00
Again, again, again.
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Trojica su imala nepotpune dokaze.
11:02
Long measurements, big Brownian motions,
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Sastali su se i zajedno našli dokaz.
11:04
1.33.
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11:06
Mathematical problem: how to prove it?
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Pa su dobili veliku [Fieldsovu] medalju u matematici,
11:09
It took my friends 20 years.
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jednu od tri medalje koju su drugi dobili
11:12
Three of them were having incomplete proofs.
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jer su dokazali stvari koje sam vidio
11:15
They got together, and together they had the proof.
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ali ih nisam mogao dokazati.
Svi me prije ili kasnije pitaju,
11:19
So they got the big [Fields] medal in mathematics,
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“Kako je to sve započelo?
11:22
one of the three medals that people have received
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Što vas je dovelo u te neobične vode?
11:24
for proving things which I've seen
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11:27
without being able to prove them.
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Što sve morate istovremeno biti -
strojarski inženjer, geograf, matematičar i fizičar?”
11:30
Now everybody asks me at one point or another,
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11:33
"How did it all start?
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11:35
What got you in that strange business?"
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Zapravo sam počeo, nećete vjerovati, proučavajući cijene na burzi.
11:38
What got you to be,
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I tako sam tu razvio ovu teoriju i o njoj pisao knjige --
11:40
at the same time, a mechanical engineer,
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11:42
a geographer
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11:44
and a mathematician and so on, a physicist?
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11:46
Well actually I started, oddly enough,
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rast financijskih cijena.
Lijevo su podaci prikupljani dugo vremena.
11:49
studying stock market prices.
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11:51
And so here
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Na vrhu zdesna,
vidite teoriju koja je vrlo, vrlo moderna.
11:53
I had this theory,
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Jednostavna je i možete o njoj vrlo brzo napisati puno knjiga.
11:56
and I wrote books about it --
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11:58
financial prices increments.
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(Smijeh)
12:00
To the left you see data over a long period.
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Na tisuće je knjiga napisano o tome.
12:02
To the right, on top,
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Sad to usporedite sa stvarnim pomacima cijena.
12:04
you see a theory which is very, very fashionable.
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12:07
It was very easy, and you can write many books very fast about it.
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Gdje su stvarni pomaci cijena?
Dakle, ove druge linije uključuju neke stvarne pomake cijena
12:10
(Laughter)
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12:12
There are thousands of books on that.
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i neke lažne koje sam ja kreirao.
Tako je tu ideja bila da se mora moći --
12:15
Now compare that with real price increments.
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12:18
Where are real price increments?
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kako bi to rekli? -- dati model varijacije cijena.
12:20
Well, these other lines
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I to je stvarno dobro išlo pred 50 godina.
12:22
include some real price increments
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12:24
and some forgery which I did.
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Čitavih 50 godina su me pomalo omalovažavali
12:26
So the idea there was
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jer se to moglo puno lakše izvesti.
12:28
that one must be able to -- how do you say? --
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Ali kažem vam, tada su me ljudi slušali.
12:30
model price variation.
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12:33
And it went really well 50 years ago.
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(Smijeh)
Ove dvije krivulje su prosječne vrijednosti:
12:36
For 50 years, people were sort of pooh-poohing me
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[indeks agencije] S&P, plava,
12:39
because they could do it much, much easier.
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a crvena [indeks agencije] S&P bez pet najvećih diskontinuiteta.
12:41
But I tell you, at this point, people listened to me.
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12:44
(Laughter)
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Diskontinuiteti su gnjavaža
12:46
These two curves are averages:
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12:48
Standard & Poor, the blue one;
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pa se u mnogim analizama cijena oni izostavljaju.
12:50
and the red one is Standard & Poor's
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12:52
from which the five biggest discontinuities
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“Dakle, viša sila.”
A ono što ostaje je malo besmisleno.
12:55
are taken out.
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12:57
Now discontinuities are a nuisance,
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Na ovoj je slici pet viših sila važno koliko i sve ostalo.
12:59
so in many studies of prices,
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13:02
one puts them aside.
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13:04
"Well, acts of God.
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Drugim riječima, višu silu ne bi trebali držati po strani.
13:06
And you have the little nonsense which is left.
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To je srž, to je problem.
13:09
Acts of God." In this picture,
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Ovladate li time, ovladat ćete cijenom,
13:12
five acts of God are as important as everything else.
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a ne ovladate li time,
možete se do mile volje uspješno baviti šumom,
13:15
In other words,
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13:17
it is not acts of God that we should put aside.
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ali to nije važno.
13:19
That is the meat, the problem.
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Dakle, tu su krivulje za to.
Sad stižem do konačne stvari,
13:22
If you master these, you master price,
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a to je set koji nosi moje ime.
13:25
and if you don't master these, you can master
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Na neki način, moja životna priča.
13:27
the little noise as well as you can,
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Bio sam adolescent za njemačke okupacije Francuske.
13:29
but it's not important.
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13:31
Well, here are the curves for it.
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Budući da sam mislio da bih mogao nestati za koji dan ili tjedan,
13:33
Now, I get to the final thing, which is the set
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13:35
of which my name is attached.
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13:37
In a way, it's the story of my life.
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imao sam vrlo velike snove.
13:39
My adolescence was spent
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A nakon rata,
13:41
during the German occupation of France.
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ponovno sam vidio ujaka.
13:43
Since I thought that I might
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Moj mi je ujak, čuveni matematičar, rekao,
13:46
vanish within a day or a week,
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“Gle, postoji problem koji nisam uspio riješiti prije 25 godina
13:49
I had very big dreams.
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i nitko ga ne može riješiti.
13:52
And after the war,
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To je konstrukcija matematičara [Gaston] Julia i [Pierre] Fatou.
13:54
I saw an uncle again.
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13:56
My uncle was a very prominent mathematician, and he told me,
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Kad bi mogao otkriti nešto novo, bilo što,
13:58
"Look, there's a problem
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14:00
which I could not solve 25 years ago,
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napravio bi si karijeru.”
14:02
and which nobody can solve.
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Vrlo jednostavno.
14:04
This is a construction of a man named [Gaston] Julia
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Proučavao sam to, i poput tisuća njih prije mene,
14:06
and [Pierre] Fatou.
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14:08
If you could
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nisam našao ništa.
14:10
find something new, anything,
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A onda se pojavilo računalo
14:12
you will get your career made."
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pa sam odlučio primijeniti računalo,
14:14
Very simple.
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14:16
So I looked,
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ne za nove probleme u matematici --
14:18
and like the thousands of people that had tried before,
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kao ovo miganje, to je novi problem --
14:20
I found nothing.
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već za stare probleme.
I pošao sam od onog što se naziva realni brojevi, što su točke na pravcu,
14:23
But then the computer came,
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14:25
and I decided to apply the computer,
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prema imaginarnim, kompleksnim brojevima, što su točke u ravnini,
14:27
not to new problems in mathematics --
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14:30
like this wiggle wiggle, that's a new problem --
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a to je ono što bi se trebalo raditi,
14:32
but to old problems.
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i pojavio se ovaj oblik.
14:34
And I went from what's called
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Ovaj je oblik izuzetno složen.
14:36
real numbers, which are points on a line,
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14:38
to imaginary, complex numbers,
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Jednadžba koja se tu skriva je z prelazi u z na kvadrat, plus c.
14:40
which are points on a plane,
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14:42
which is what one should do there,
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Tako jednostavno, tako suhoparno.
14:44
and this shape came out.
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Tako nezanimljivo.
14:46
This shape is of an extraordinary complication.
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Sad je izvrtite jednom, dvaput:
14:49
The equation is hidden there,
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dvaput -- čudesa nastaju.
14:51
z goes into z squared, plus c.
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14:54
It's so simple, so dry.
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Mislim, nastaje ovo.
Ne želim objašnjavati te stvari.
14:56
It's so uninteresting.
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14:58
Now you turn the crank once, twice:
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Nastaje ovo, i ovo.
Oblici tako zamršeni, a tako skladni i lijepi.
15:01
twice,
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15:04
marvels come out.
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Ovo nastaje ponavljano, opet, opet i opet.
15:06
I mean this comes out.
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15:08
I don't want to explain these things.
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A to je bilo jedno od mojih velikih otkrića
15:10
This comes out. This comes out.
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da su ti otoci bili isti kao i čitava cjelina, manje-više.
15:12
Shapes which are of such complication,
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15:14
such harmony and such beauty.
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A onda posvuda dobijete ove neobične barokne uzorke.
15:17
This comes out
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15:19
repeatedly, again, again, again.
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15:21
And that was one of my major discoveries,
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I sve to iz ove male formule,
15:23
to find that these islands were the same
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koja ima nekoliko, pet simbola, u sebi.
15:25
as the whole big thing, more or less.
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15:27
And then you get these
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A onda ovo.
Boja je dodana iz dva razloga.
15:29
extraordinary baroque decorations all over the place.
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Prvo, jer su ti oblici toliko složeni
15:32
All that from this little formula,
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15:35
which has whatever, five symbols in it.
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da se ne bi mogao uhvatiti smisao tih brojeva.
15:38
And then this one.
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A ako ih crtate ploterom, morate izabrati neki sistem.
15:40
The color was added for two reasons.
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Tako je moj princip bio
15:42
First of all, because these shapes
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15:44
are so complicated
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uvijek prikazati oblike u različitim bojama
15:47
that one couldn't make any sense of the numbers.
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jer neke boje naglašavaju ovo, a druge ono.
15:50
And if you plot them, you must choose some system.
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To je tako zamršeno.
15:53
And so my principle has been
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(Smijeh)
15:55
to always present the shapes
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1990., bio sam u Cambridgeu, U.K.
15:58
with different colorings
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i primao nagradu tog sveučilišta,
16:00
because some colorings emphasize that,
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a tri dana kasnije,
16:02
and others it is that or that.
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pilot je nadlijetao područje i našao ovo.
16:04
It's so complicated.
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16:06
(Laughter)
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Odakle je to došlo?
Očito, od izvanzemaljaca.
16:08
In 1990, I was in Cambridge, U.K.
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16:10
to receive a prize from the university,
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(Smijeh)
16:13
and three days later,
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Dakle, novine u Cambridgeu objavile su članak o tom “otkriću”
16:15
a pilot was flying over the landscape and found this thing.
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i sljedećeg dana primile 5000 pisama u kojima je pisalo
16:18
So where did this come from?
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16:20
Obviously, from extraterrestrials.
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“Ma to je samo vrlo velik Mandelbrotov set.”
16:22
(Laughter)
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16:25
Well, so the newspaper in Cambridge
404
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Dakle, da završim.
16:27
published an article about that "discovery"
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Ovaj je oblik proizašao iz vježbanja čiste matematike.
16:29
and received the next day
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16:31
5,000 letters from people saying,
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Neizmjerna čuda proizlaze iz jednostavnih pravila,
16:33
"But that's simply a Mandelbrot set very big."
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što se ponavljaju bez kraja.
16:37
Well, let me finish.
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Najljepša vam hvala.
16:39
This shape here just came
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(Pljesak)
16:41
out of an exercise in pure mathematics.
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16:43
Bottomless wonders spring from simple rules,
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16:46
which are repeated without end.
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16:49
Thank you very much.
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16:51
(Applause)
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