The paradox of value - Akshita Agarwal

2,414,026 views ・ 2016-08-29

TED-Ed


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譯者: Aaron Shoo 審譯者: SF Huang
00:06
Imagine you're on a game show, and you can choose between two prizes:
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想像你在節目上玩遊戲,
有兩樣獎品給你選:
00:10
a diamond
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一顆鑽石,
00:12
or a bottle of water.
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或是一瓶水。
00:14
It's an easy choice.
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太好選了。
00:15
The diamonds are clearly more valuable.
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鑽石顯然比較有價值。
假設相同的選項,再選一次,
00:18
Now imagine being given the same choice again,
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00:20
only this time, you're not on a game show,
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但這次不是在遊戲節目中,
00:22
but dehydrated in the desert after wandering for days.
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而是在沙漠遊蕩數天後, 身體呈現脫水狀態時。
00:26
Do you choose differently?
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你的選擇會不同嗎?
00:28
Why? Aren't diamonds still more valuable?
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為什麼?
鑽石的價值不是更高嗎?
00:31
This is the paradox of value,
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這就是「價值悖論」,
00:34
famously described by pioneering economist Adam Smith.
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由知名的經濟學家 亞當‧史斯密提出。
00:38
And what it tells us is that defining value is not as simple as it seems.
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他說,定義價值, 並不像表面上看起來這麼簡單。
00:43
On the game show, you were thinking about each item's exchange value,
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在節目上,你想到的是「交換價值」,
00:47
what you could obtain for them at a later time,
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也就是之後可以換到多少錢,
00:50
but in an emergency, like the desert scenario,
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但像在沙漠缺水的緊急情況下,
00:52
what matters far more is their use value,
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「實用價值」更重要,
00:56
how helpful they are in your current situation.
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也就是在當下對你有沒有用。
00:59
And because we only get to choose one of the options,
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因為只能選一種,
01:01
we also have to consider its opportunity cost,
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我們也要考慮「機會成本」,
01:05
or what we lose by giving up the other choice.
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也就是放棄另一個選項的代價。
01:08
After all, it doesn't matter how much you could get from selling the diamond
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畢竟,鑽石能換多少錢並不重要,
01:11
if you never make it out of the desert.
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如果無法活著走出沙漠, 一切都是枉然。
01:14
Most modern economists deal with the paradox of value
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當代經濟學家處理「價值悖論」,
01:17
by attempting to unify these considerations
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會將這些情況納入考量,
整合成「效用」的概念,
01:20
under the concept of utility,
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01:22
how well something satisfies a person's wants or needs.
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意即滿足需求的程度。
01:25
Utility can apply to anything from the basic need for food
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效用可以套用在基本的食物需求,
01:28
to the pleasure of hearing a favorite song,
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到聽音樂的喜悅程度,
01:30
and will naturally vary for different people and circumstances.
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而且會因人或情況有所差異。
市場經濟讓我們能輕鬆地衡量效用。
01:35
A market economy provides us with an easy way to track utility.
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01:38
Put simply, the utility something has to you
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簡單地說,某個東西對你的效用,
01:41
is reflected by how much you'd be willing to pay for it.
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反映在你願意付出的金錢。
01:44
Now, imagine yourself back in the desert,
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現在,想像你再度回到沙漠,
01:46
only this time, you get offered a new diamond or a fresh bottle of water
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但這次每隔 5 分鐘
就可以選一次鑽石或水。
01:50
every five minutes.
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01:52
If you're like most people, you'll first choose enough water to last the trip,
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如果你跟大部分的人一樣, 就會先選擇足夠旅程所需的水,
01:55
and then as many diamonds as you can carry.
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然後再帶走能力所及範圍內 所能帶走的鑽石。
01:58
This is because of something called marginal utility,
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這就是所謂的「邊際效用」,
02:01
and it means that when you choose between diamonds and water,
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當你在鑽石和水之間做抉擇,
02:04
you compare utility obtained from every additional bottle of water
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會比較每多一瓶水的效用,
02:07
to every additional diamond.
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和每多一顆鑽石的效用。
02:09
And you do this each time an offer is made.
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每做一次抉擇你都會比較。
02:12
The first bottle of water is worth more to you than any amount of diamonds,
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第一瓶水,再多的鑽石都比不上,
02:16
but eventually, you have all the water you need.
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但水的需求,最終會被滿足。
02:19
After a while, every additional bottle becomes a burden.
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之後,每多一瓶水都是負擔。
02:22
That's when you begin to choose diamonds over water.
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這時候你就會開始選擇鑽石。
02:25
And it's not just necessities like water.
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不只是水這樣的生活必需。
02:27
When it comes to most things, the more of it you acquire,
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大部分的東西當你擁有越多,
02:30
the less useful or enjoyable every additional bit becomes.
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對你的用處和樂趣就越少。
02:34
This is the law of diminishing marginal utility.
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這是「邊際效用遞減」的法則。
02:37
You might gladly buy two or three helpings of your favorite food,
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你可能會買兩、三份愛吃的食物,
02:40
but the fourth would make you nauseated,
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但第四份會開始覺得膩,
02:42
and the hundredth would spoil before you could even get to it.
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到了第一百份你連碰都不想碰。
02:45
Or you could pay to see the same movie over and over until you got bored of it
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或是你可以重複看同一部電影,
直到你看膩或是沒錢。
02:49
or spent all of your money.
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02:50
Either way, you'd eventually reach a point
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無論如何,最後會演變成
02:52
where the marginal utility for buying another movie ticket became zero.
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多買一張電影票的邊際效用為零。
02:57
Utility applies not just to buying things, but to all our decisions.
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效用的概念不只應用在買賣, 也包括所有決策過程。
03:01
And the intuitive way to maximize it and avoid diminishing returns
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要最大化效用並避免產生遞減效應,
03:05
is to vary the way we spend our time and resources.
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就要改變分配時間和資源的方式。
03:08
After our basic needs are met,
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當基本需求被滿足後,
03:10
we'd theoretically decide to invest in choices
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理論上,我們對不同選項的投資,
03:13
only to the point they're useful or enjoyable.
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會維持在實用或樂趣的均衡點上。
03:15
Of course, how effectively any of us manage to maximize utility in real life
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當然,在現實生活中要如何 有效最大化每個人的效用,
03:19
is another matter.
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又是另一回事了。
03:21
But it helps to remember that the ultimate source of value comes from us,
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但至少我們知道, 價值的根源來自我們,
03:25
the needs we share,
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來自我們共享的需求、
03:26
the things we enjoy,
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我們喜愛的事物
03:28
and the choices we make.
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和我們所做的選擇。
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