Questions No One Knows the Answers to (Full Version)

无人知道答案的问题(完整版)

29,092,924 views ・ 2012-03-17

TED-Ed


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翻译人员: Binglin Qi 校对人员: Jing Peng
(音乐)
在学校,普通的一天里,
00:15
On a typical day at school,
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无尽的时间要花在怎么去回答问题上,
00:18
endless hours are spent learning the answers to questions,
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但是现在,我们不这么做了。
00:22
but right now, we'll do the opposite.
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我们将把目光放在那些你不能够学到答案的问题上,
00:26
We're going to focus on questions where you can't learn the answers
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因为它们是未知的。
00:29
because they're unknown.
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00:31
I used to puzzle about a lot of things as a boy, for example:
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我曾经在孩童时期对很多事情都有疑惑,
比如说,做一只狗会有什么样的生活呢?
00:36
What would it feel like to be a dog?
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鱼会感觉到疼痛么?
00:39
Do fish feel pain?
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00:41
How about insects?
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昆虫会不会呢?
00:43
Was the Big Bang just an accident?
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难道宇宙大爆炸仅仅是个意外么?
上帝真的是存在的么?
00:47
And is there a God?
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00:49
And if so, how are we so sure that it's a He and not a She?
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如果存在的话,我们怎么能够确定上帝是男的还是女的呢?
为什么世界上这么多的无辜的人和动物要遭受一些可怕的事情?
00:53
Why do so many innocent people and animals suffer terrible things?
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我的生活真的是被计划好的么?
00:57
Is there really a plan for my life?
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未来是还没被决定的呢,
01:00
Is the future yet to be written,
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01:02
or is it already written and we just can't see it?
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还是说未来是已经被写好了的,只不过我们看不见?
01:05
But then, do I have free will? I mean, who am I anyway?
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然后,我有自由的意志么?我到底是谁呢?
01:08
Am I just a biological machine?
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我仅仅是一台生物机器么?
01:11
But then, why am I conscious? What is consciousness?
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然后,我为什么会有意识呢?意识又是什么东西?
机器人以后也会有意识么?
01:15
Will robots become conscious one day?
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我是说,我稍微假设一下,在某一天
01:19
I mean, I kind of assumed that some day
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我会有这些问题的答案,
01:21
I would be told the answers to all these questions.
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那么肯定是有人知道答案的对吧?
01:25
Someone must know, right?
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你猜猜?没有人知道。
01:28
Guess what? No one knows.
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大部分这些问题带给我的困扰与日俱增。
01:32
Most of those questions puzzle me more now than ever.
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但是探索这些问题答案的过程真的很有趣
01:35
But diving into them is exciting
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因为它带你到了知识的边缘,你永远不知道你将在那里发现什么。
01:38
because it takes you to the edge of knowledge,
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01:40
and you never know what you'll find there.
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所以,这里有两个问题——
01:43
So, two questions that no one on Earth knows the answer to.
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这两个问题地球上没有人可以回答出来。
(音乐)世界上有多少的宇宙呢?
01:50
(Music)
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01:52
[How many universes are there?]
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01:57
Sometimes when I'm on a long plane flight,
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有时候, 当我坐在远途飞行的飞机上,
02:00
I gaze out at all those mountains and deserts
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我会向外俯瞰那些山川和沙漠
02:02
and try to get my head around how vast our Earth is.
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然后尝试着猜测我们的地球到底有多广袤无垠。
接着我记得我们每天都能看见一个物体的出现,
02:06
And then I remember that there's an object we see every day
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它还可以装进一百万个地球:
02:09
that would literally fit one million Earths inside it:
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太阳。它看起来真的是不可思议般的大!
02:13
the Sun.
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02:14
It seems impossibly big.
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02:15
But in the great scheme of things, it's a pinprick,
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但是在浩瀚的宇宙中,它不过一个针孔大小而已,
是银河系中四千亿星星的一员,
02:19
one of about 400 billion stars in the Milky Way galaxy,
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正如你可以在晴朗的晚上
02:23
which you can see on a clear night
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看到满天的星星好似淡淡的白雾
02:25
as a pale white mist stretched across the sky.
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然而更令人惊叹的是, 通过天文望远镜我们可以
02:28
And it gets worse.
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02:29
There are maybe 100 billion galaxies detectable by our telescopes.
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探测到大约一千亿个的星系。
02:33
So if each star was the size of a single grain of sand,
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所以如果每个星星都是沙子中的一粒的话,
仅仅银河系就有足够的星星让
02:38
just the Milky Way has enough stars
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02:40
to fill a 30-foot by 30-foot stretch of beach
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一个30英尺长30英尺宽的沙滩
02:42
three feet deep with sand.
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盖上3英尺厚。
02:45
And the entire Earth doesn't have enough beaches
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整个地球上的沙滩甚至还不能
02:48
to represent the stars in the overall universe.
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代表宇宙中所有的星星。
这样的一个沙滩会大约绵延几亿英里长。
02:51
Such a beach would continue for literally hundreds of millions of miles.
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天啊,史蒂芬 霍金,这可是超级多的星星啊!
02:55
Holy Stephen Hawking, that is a lot of stars.
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02:59
But he and other physicists now believe in a reality
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但是他还有其他物理学家现在相信事实上
03:02
that is unimaginably bigger still.
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还会比现在的大不知道多少,完全没法想象。
我的意思是,首先,这些我们可以观测到的一千亿星系
03:06
I mean, first of all, the 100 billion galaxies
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03:08
within range of our telescopes
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03:09
are probably a minuscule fraction of the total.
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可能不过是总数的很小一部分。
03:12
Space itself is expanding at an accelerating pace.
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空间现在仍在在加速拓展。
绝大部分的星系
03:16
The vast majority of the galaxies
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03:18
are separating from us so fast that light from them may never reach us.
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正在以一个比光还要快的速度离我们而去,他们的光都不可能到达地球。
但是,事实上我们地球上的物理现象
03:23
Still, our physical reality here on Earth
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是和那些遥远的看不见的星系有着很密切的关系。
03:26
is intimately connected to those distant, invisible galaxies.
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03:29
We can think of them as part of our universe.
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我们可以把它们看作宇宙中的一部分。
03:32
They make up a single, giant edifice
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它们组成了一个巨大的宏伟建筑物
03:35
obeying the same physical laws and all made from the same types of atoms,
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所有的建筑物里的物质都遵循相同的物理定律,由相同的微粒组成, 原子, 电子,质子,
03:38
electrons, protons, quarks, neutrinos, that make up you and me.
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夸克,中微子——那些形成了我们的微粒。
然而,物理学最近的理论显示,包括弦理论,
03:42
However, recent theories in physics, including one called string theory,
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03:46
are now telling us there could be countless other universes
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告诉我们世界上可能会有数不完的其他宇宙
03:50
built on different types of particles,
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由不同于我们的宇宙的微粒组成,
03:52
with different properties, obeying different laws.
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有不同的性质,遵循不同的规律。
03:54
Most of these universes could never support life,
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大部分的宇宙可能永远不能产生生命,
03:57
and might flash in and out of existence in a nanosecond.
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或者生命在一纳秒内存在然后消失了。
但是,无论如何,它们组成了巨大的多元宇宙,
04:01
But nonetheless, combined, they make up a vast multiverse
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可能一共有11维,
04:04
of possible universes in up to 11 dimensions,
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04:07
featuring wonders beyond our wildest imagination.
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在我们的想象力之外创造着奇迹。
领先的弦理论预测一个多元宇宙
04:12
The leading version of string theory predicts a multiverse
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可以组成10的500次方个不同的宇宙。
04:15
made up of 10 to the 500 universes.
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04:17
That's a one followed by 500 zeros,
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就是1后面跟著500个0,
04:20
a number so vast that if every atom
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这个数字是如此之大以至于我们观测宇宙中的
04:23
in our observable universe had its own universe,
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每个原子都有自己的宇宙,
所有的宇宙中的所有原子都有
04:27
and all of the atoms in all those universes each had
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04:29
their own universe,
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自己的宇宙。你再重复
04:32
and you repeated that for two more cycles,
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两次同样的循环,你得到的仍然是
04:34
you'd still be at a tiny fraction of the total,
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总数的一小部分,
04:37
namely, one trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion
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也就是大约10的180次方分之一。
04:41
trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillionth.
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04:46
(Laughter)
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即便是这个数字,
04:47
But even that number is minuscule compared to another number:
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相比另一个数字也是小数目:
无限。
04:53
infinity.
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04:54
Some physicists think the space-time continuum is literally infinite
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部分物理学家认为时空连续到几乎是无限的
04:57
and that it contains an infinite number of so-called pocket universes
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它包括了无限的所谓的子宇宙
和所有的可能。
05:01
with varying properties.
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你的大脑现在怎么样了?
05:03
How's your brain doing?
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量子理论给了我们一个全新的视野。
05:05
Quantum theory adds a whole new wrinkle.
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05:07
I mean, the theory's been proven true beyond all doubt,
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我的意思是,这个理论证明了所有的疑惑,
05:09
but interpreting it is baffling,
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但是证明和解释起来却非常的困难,
05:11
and some physicists think you can only un-baffle it
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有些物理学家认为要解释疑惑就
必须要你想象世界上有无数的平行宇宙
05:15
if you imagine that huge numbers of parallel universes
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05:17
are being spawned every moment,
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在每个瞬间都在像产卵一样分化,
这些宇宙中有许多会跟我们所在的世界很相似,
05:20
and many of these universes would actually be very like the world we're in,
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05:23
would include multiple copies of you.
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并且会有多个你这个人的副本。
05:25
In one such universe, you'd graduate with honors
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在这些宇宙中,你会以荣誉学位毕业
05:28
and marry the person of your dreams, and in another, not so much.
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并且嫁给一位梦中情人,
而在另一个宇宙中的你,活的不那么好。
05:33
Well, there are still some scientists who would say, hogwash.
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好吧,仍然会有一些科学家会说,这是废话。
05:36
The only meaningful answer to the question of how many universes there are is one.
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这里唯一有意义的回答:世界上有多少宇宙的答案是一个。
仅仅一个宇宙。
05:40
Only one universe.
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05:42
And a few philosophers and mystics might argue
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有少部分哲学家和神学家
05:45
that even our own universe is an illusion.
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会说即便我们的宇宙也是幻觉, 不真实存在的。
所以,你可以看到,现在
05:49
So, as you can see, right now
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05:51
there is no agreement on this question, not even close.
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世界上没有对于这个问题的统一回答,甚至还没有可以回答的迹象
05:54
All we know is the answer is somewhere between zero and infinity.
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我们只知道这个答案介于0到无穷大之间。
让我们来说一下另一件事。
05:59
Well, I guess we know one other thing.
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06:01
This is a pretty cool time to be studying physics.
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这是一个非常有趣的学习物理的机会。
06:05
We just might be undergoing the biggest paradigm shift in knowledge
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我们可能正在经历人类史上
06:08
that humanity has ever seen.
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最大的知识范例变动。
06:10
(Music)
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(音乐)为什么我们看不到外星人的迹象?
06:14
[Why can't we see evidence of alien life?]
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06:17
Somewhere out there in that vast universe
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在浩瀚宇宙的某一处,
06:20
there must surely be countless other planets teeming with life.
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肯定会有个地方会有无数的星球在大量的孕育出生命。
06:23
But why don't we see any evidence of it?
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但是为什么我们就看不到那些迹象呢?
这个著名问题在1950年由Enrico Fermi提出:
06:27
Well, this is the famous question asked by Enrico Fermi in 1950:
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其他生命到底在哪里?
06:30
Where is everybody?
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阴谋论的理论家认为不明飞行物经常飞到地球来
06:33
Conspiracy theorists claim that UFOs are visiting all the time
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06:36
and the reports are just being covered up,
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并且有关的报告被隐藏了,但是说实话,这个并不能令人信服。
06:39
but honestly, they aren't very convincing.
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06:41
But that leaves a real riddle.
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但这就留下了一个谜。
在过去的时间里,开普勒空间瞭望台
06:44
In the past year, the Kepler space observatory
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发现了几百颗行星在恒星附近环绕。
06:47
has found hundreds of planets just around nearby stars.
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如果外推一下这个数据,
06:50
And if you extrapolate that data,
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06:52
it looks like there could be half a trillion planets
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这好像是有5000亿个行星
06:55
just in our own galaxy.
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在银河系中。
如果有万分之一的行星有条件
06:58
If any one in 10,000 has conditions
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07:00
that might support a form of life,
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孕育生命,这依然有
07:03
that's still 50 million possible life-harboring planets
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五千万适合生命的行星。
07:06
right here in the Milky Way.
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这仅仅是在银河系。
07:08
So here's the riddle:
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所以这个谜就是:我们地球的存在
07:10
our Earth didn't form
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07:11
until about nine billion years after the Big Bang.
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是在大爆炸的九十亿年之后。
无数的银河系内其他行星会在地球之前形成
07:15
Countless other planets in our galaxy should have formed earlier,
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并且让生命可以进化。
07:19
and given life a chance to get underway
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07:21
billions, or certainly many millions of years earlier than happened on Earth.
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它们要比地球早几十亿年,或者最起码早几百万年
就已经出现了。
07:27
If just a few of them had spawned intelligent life
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如果只有一少部分生命进化出了有智慧的
07:30
and started creating technologies,
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和可以创造科技的生命,
07:32
those technologies would have had millions of years
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那些科技将会有几百万年的时间
07:35
to grow in complexity and power.
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去发展出对应的复杂度和能力。
在地球上,
07:39
On Earth,
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07:40
we've seen how dramatically technology can accelerate
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我们见证了科技在仅仅100年内
07:43
in just 100 years.
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是怎样急剧发展的。
07:46
In millions of years, an intelligent alien civilization
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在数百万年内,一个有智慧的外星文明
肯定可以轻易地发展到银河系的每一个角落,
07:50
could easily have spread out across the galaxy,
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07:52
perhaps creating giant energy-harvesting artifacts
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或许发明了巨型能源捕获机这样的东西。
或者是殖民飞行舰队
07:56
or fleets of colonizing spaceships
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或者是充满了夜晚天空的辉煌艺术作品。
07:59
or glorious works of art that fill the night sky.
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至少你想它们也会
08:03
At the very least, you'd think they'd be revealing their presence,
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把它们的存在,有意或无意的,
08:06
deliberately or otherwise,
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08:07
through electromagnetic signals of one kind or another.
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通过一种或其他的电磁信号告诉我们。
但是现在没有充分证据显示有任何一种文明。
08:11
And yet we see no convincing evidence of any of it.
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08:13
Why?
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为什么呢?
08:16
Well, there are numerous possible answers, some of them quite dark.
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这里会有很多可能的答案,
其中有些相当消极。
08:21
Maybe a single, superintelligent civilization
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可能一个非常有智能的文明
08:24
has indeed taken over the galaxy
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已经占领了整个银河系并且故意把辐射波屏蔽了,
08:27
and has imposed strict radio silence
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08:29
because it's paranoid of any potential competitors.
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因为它们害怕潜在的竞争对手。
08:32
It's just sitting there ready to obliterate
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他们可能就坐等去消灭
08:35
anything that becomes a threat.
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任何可能成为隐患的东西。
或者它们还不够聪明,
08:39
Or maybe they're not that intelligent,
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或者可能在进化出一个
08:42
or perhaps the evolution of an intelligence
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08:44
capable of creating sophisticated technology
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能够创造复杂科技的智能生物
08:47
is far rarer than we've assumed.
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是远比我们想象的要难。总而言之,
08:49
After all, it's only happened once on Earth in four billion years.
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在40亿年智能生物至此只在地球发生过一次。
08:53
Maybe even that was incredibly lucky.
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或许这是巧合的巧合。
08:56
Maybe we are the first such civilization in our galaxy.
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或许我们是银河系内第一个有如此程度文明的。
或者,可能
09:01
Or, perhaps civilization carries with it the seeds of its own destruction
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文明携带毁灭自己文化的种子
这些种子通过以不能控制自己科技进步的方式衍生着。
09:06
through the inability to control the technologies it creates.
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但这里有更多充满希望的答案。
09:11
But there are numerous more hopeful answers.
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09:13
For a start, we're not looking that hard,
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作为开始,我们没有努力去搜索它们,我们只是花了很少一部分钱而已。
09:15
and we're spending a pitiful amount of money on it.
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仅仅是银河系中的很小一部分行星
09:18
Only a tiny fraction of the stars in our galaxy
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09:21
have really been looked at closely for signs of interesting signals.
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被我们仔细研究了它们的使我们感兴趣的信号。
或许我们没有找对方向。
09:26
And perhaps we're not looking the right way.
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可能一个文明发展得
09:29
Maybe as civilizations develop,
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09:31
they quickly discover communication technologies
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太快以致于它们使用一些
09:33
far more sophisticated and useful than electromagnetic waves.
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比电磁波更加复杂有用的信号。
可能所有的活动都是在谜一般的
09:38
Maybe all the action takes place inside the mysterious
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09:41
recently discovered dark matter,
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最近发现的暗物质里发生的。
09:43
or dark energy, that appear to account for most of the universe's mass.
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或者是揭示了宇宙大部分质量的暗能量,
或者
09:49
Or, maybe we're looking at the wrong scale.
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可能我们找错了大小范围。
09:52
Perhaps intelligent civilizations come to realize
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可能智能文明意识到了
09:55
that life is ultimately just complex patterns of information
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生命最终不过是复杂的信息模式
09:57
interacting with each other in a beautiful way,
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互相以一种美丽的方式作用于其他个体,
10:00
and that that can happen more efficiently at a small scale.
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它们可能在更小的情况下表现的更加有效率。
10:03
So, just as on Earth, clunky stereo systems have shrunk
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所以,就像笨重的音响系统变小了,
10:06
to beautiful, tiny iPods, maybe intelligent life itself,
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变成精致小巧的ipods;或者是智能生物本身变小,
10:09
in order to reduce its footprint on the environment,
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这样可以减少在环境中留下的足迹,让他们变成微观物体。
10:11
has turned itself microscopic.
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10:13
So the Solar System might be teeming with aliens,
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所以,在太阳系可能充满了外星人,只不过我们没发现而已。
10:16
and we're just not noticing them.
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10:17
Maybe the very ideas in our heads are a form of alien life.
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可能我们脑中的那个想法就是一种外星生命的形式。
好吧,真是一个疯狂的想法。
10:21
Well, okay, that's a crazy thought.
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外星人让我说的。
10:24
The aliens made me say it.
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10:26
But it is cool that ideas do seem to have a life all of their own
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但这个好想法的确有自己的一套生命的解释
而且它们比它们的创造者活得更久。
10:30
and that they outlive their creators.
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可能生命体只是一个转瞬即逝的阶段。
10:33
Maybe biological life is just a passing phase.
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好吧,在未来的15年内,
10:39
Well, within the next 15 years,
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10:41
we could start seeing real spectroscopic information
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我们可以开始看到真正的光谱学信息
10:44
from promising nearby planets
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从附近有希望的行星开始去揭示一个星球有多适合居住。
10:45
that will reveal just how life-friendly they might be.
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另一方面,有个叫做"搜寻外星智能生物"的组织,也叫SETI,
10:48
And meanwhile, SETI, the Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence,
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10:52
is now releasing its data to the public
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现在把自己的数据公之于众,
10:54
so that millions of citizen scientists, maybe including you,
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这样成百万计的科学家,可能也包括你,
10:57
can bring the power of the crowd to join the search.
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可以发动群众的力量去加入这个搜索。
并且在地球,人们在做一种神奇的实验
11:00
And here on Earth, amazing experiments
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11:02
are being done to try to create life from scratch,
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去寻找随机创造出生命,
11:05
life that might be very different from the DNA forms we know.
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而且它们的DNA会跟我们有很大不同。
所有的这些会让我们了解
11:09
All of this will help us understand whether the universe is teeming with life
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这个宇宙是不是充满了生命
11:14
or whether, indeed, it's just us.
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或者,真的,只有我们。
任何一个答案,就它们本身而言,
11:19
Either answer, in its own way,
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都是令人惊讶的,
11:22
is awe-inspiring,
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因为即便只有我们存在,
11:25
because even if we are alone,
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11:27
the fact that we think and dream and ask these questions
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这些思考与梦想,这些疑问本身,
可能会变成宇宙中最重要的事实之一。
11:31
might yet turn out to be
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11:33
one of the most important facts about the universe.
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我还有一个好消息给你。
11:36
And I have one more piece of good news for you.
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对知识的渴望不会让你生活乏味,
11:39
The quest for knowledge and understanding never gets dull.
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11:41
It doesn't. It's actually the opposite.
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不但不会,还会反过来。
11:44
The more you know, the more amazing the world seems.
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你知道的越多,对你来说这个世界就越神奇。
11:47
And it's the crazy possibilities, the unanswered questions,
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还有这些疯狂的可能性还有没回答的问题,
它们使我们向前。
11:51
that pull us forward.
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11:52
So stay curious.
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