3 reasons why we can win the fight against poverty | Andrew Youn

166,016 views ・ 2016-07-06

TED


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譯者: Regina Chu 審譯者: Marssi Draw
00:13
I've been living in rural East Africa for about 10 years,
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我在東非鄉下住了大約十年,
00:16
and I want to share a field perspective with you on global poverty.
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我想跟大家從農作的實務觀點 來談全球貧窮問題。
00:19
I believe that the greatest failure of the human race
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我相信人類最大的失敗,
00:22
is the fact that we've left more than one billion of our members behind.
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就是把超過十億的同類 拋諸在後這個事實。
00:26
Hungry, extreme poverty:
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飢餓、赤貧:
00:28
these often seem like gigantic, insurmountable problems,
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這些常常被視為巨大、 難以克服的問題,
00:32
too big to solve.
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大到無法可解。
00:34
But as a field practitioner,
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但是身為農作實務工作者,
00:35
I believe these are actually very solvable problems
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我相信這些都是 可以實際解決的問題,
00:38
if we just take the right strategies.
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只要我們用對策略。
00:42
Archimedes was an ancient Greek thinker,
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阿基米德是古希臘思想家,
00:44
and he taught us that if we lean on the right levers,
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他教導我們,要是用對槓桿,
00:47
we can move the world.
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我們就能舉起地球。
00:48
In the fight against extreme poverty, I believe there are three powerful levers
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要對抗赤貧,我相信我們可以用
三個有力的槓桿。
00:52
that we can lean on.
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00:54
This talk is all about those levers, and why they make poverty
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這場演講就是要談這三個槓桿, 以及為什麼這些方法
00:57
a winnable fight in our lifetimes.
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能讓我們在有生之年打贏貧窮之戰。
00:59
What is extreme poverty?
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什麼是赤貧?
01:02
When I first moved to rural East Africa,
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我第一次搬到東非鄉下時,
01:04
I stayed overnight with a farm family.
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我在某戶農家度過一晚。
01:06
They were wonderful people.
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他們都是很好的人。
01:08
They invited me into their home. We sang songs together
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他們邀我到家裡。 我們一起唱了幾首歌,
01:11
and ate a simple dinner.
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吃了一頓簡便的晚餐。
01:12
They gave me a blanket to sleep on the floor.
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他們給了我一條毯子, 讓我睡在地上。
01:15
In the morning, however, there was nothing to eat.
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但是到了早上,沒有東西可吃。
01:18
And then at lunchtime, I watched with an increasingly sick feeling
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然後到了午餐時間, 我目睹了一場愈看愈難過的景象,
01:22
as the eldest girl in the family cooked porridge as a substitute for lunch.
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這戶人家的大女兒 煮了一鍋粥充當午餐。
01:26
For that meal, every child drank one cup to survive.
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每個孩子都喝一碗粥熬過那天。
01:31
And I cannot tell you how ashamed I felt
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他們分我一碗時, 我真的無法用言語形容
01:33
when they handed one of those cups to me,
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我那時有多羞愧,
01:35
and I knew I had to accept their hospitality.
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而且我知道我必須接受他們的款待。
01:38
Children need food not only to survive but also to grow physically and mentally.
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孩童需要食物不僅是為了生存, 還為了能讓身心都能成長。
01:43
Every day they fail to eat, they lose a little bit of their future.
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不夠吃的每一天, 都在蠶食他們的未來。
01:47
Amongst the extreme poor, one in three children
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在赤貧人口中,三分之一的孩子
01:50
are permanently stunted from a lifetime of not eating enough.
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因為一輩子都吃得太少 而永久發育不良。
01:54
When that's combined with poor access to health care,
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再加上沒有醫療保健,
01:56
one in 10 extremely poor children die before they reach age five.
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十分之一的赤貧孩童 會在五歲前死亡。
02:01
And only one quarter of children complete high school
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只有四分之一的孩童能念完中學,
02:04
because they lack school fees.
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因為他們沒錢繳學費。
02:05
Hunger and extreme poverty curb human potential in every possible way.
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飢餓與赤貧會百般抑制人類的潛能。
02:12
We see ourselves as a thinking, feeling and moral human race,
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我們視自己為會思考、 會感覺、有道德的人類,
02:17
but until we solve these problems for all of our members,
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但是在我們為自己的同類 解決這些問題之前,
02:20
we fail that standard,
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我們愧對於那個標準,
02:22
because every person on this planet matters.
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因為世上的每一個人都很重要。
02:24
This child matters.
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這個孩子很重要。
02:27
These children matter.
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這些孩童很重要。
02:29
This girl matters.
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這個女孩很重要。
02:32
You know, we see things like this,
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你知道嗎,我們看到像這樣的事,
02:33
and we're upset by them,
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我們會很生氣,
02:35
but they seem like such big problems.
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但是問題好像太大了。
02:37
We don't know how to take effective action.
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我們不知道該如何採取有效的行動。
02:40
But remember our friend Archimedes.
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但是請記得我們的朋友阿基米德。
02:43
Global poverty has powerful levers.
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解決全球貧窮的有力槓桿,
02:45
It's a problem like any other.
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就像其他的問題一樣。
02:48
I live and work in the field, and as a practitioner,
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我在田間生活、工作, 身為實務工作者,
02:50
I believe these are very solvable problems.
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我相信這些是有辦法解決的問題。
02:53
So for the next 10 minutes,
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所以接下來十分鐘,
02:54
let's not be sad about the state of the world.
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我們不要為這世界的狀態難過。
02:57
Let's engage our brains.
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讓我們動動大腦。
02:58
Let's engage our collective passion for problem-solving
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讓我們集思廣益, 用解決問題的熱情,
03:01
and figure out what those levers are.
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一同找出可用的槓桿。
03:04
Lever number one: most of the world's poor are farmers.
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槓桿一號:這世界最窮的人 絕大多數是農夫。
03:08
Think about how extraordinary this is.
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想想這有多不尋常。
03:10
If this picture represents the world's poor,
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如果這張照片代表世界的窮人,
03:12
then more than half engage in farming as a major source of income.
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那麼有一半以上 是以農耕當他們的主要收入。
03:16
This gets me really excited.
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這讓我非常興奮。
03:18
All of these people, one profession.
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這麼多人,一種職業。
03:21
Think how powerful this is.
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想想這力量有多大。
03:22
When farmers become more productive, then more than half the world's poor
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只要農夫能更有生產力, 那麼全世界半數以上的窮人
03:26
earn more money and climb out of poverty.
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就能賺更多錢,爬出貧窮的深淵。
03:28
And it gets better.
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更好的還在後面。
03:29
The product of farming is, of course, food.
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農耕的產物當然是食物。
03:32
So when farmers become more productive, they earn more food,
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農夫的生產力更好, 代表他們會賺更多的食物,
03:35
and they don't just help themselves,
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這樣不只是自助,
03:37
but they help to feed healthy communities and thriving economies.
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還能幫忙養活健康的社區, 讓經濟繁榮。
03:41
And when farmers become more productive, they reduce environmental pressure.
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農夫的生產力更好, 就能減少對環境的壓力。
03:45
We only have two ways we can feed the world:
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我們只有兩種方法可以餵飽世界:
03:47
we can either make our existing farmland a lot more productive,
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要不是讓現有的農地大幅增產,
03:51
or we can clear cut forest and savannah to make more farmland,
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就是繼續皆伐森林及疏林莽原 轉變成更多農地,
03:54
which would be environmentally disastrous.
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對環境產生衝擊災難。
03:57
Farmers are basically a really important leverage point.
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農夫基本上 是非常重要的槓桿作用點。
04:01
When farmers become more productive,
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農夫的生產力更高,
04:03
they earn more income, they climb out of poverty,
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就能賺更多收入,爬出貧窮深淵,
04:06
they feed their communities and they reduce environmental land pressure.
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餵飽他們的社區, 減少對土地環境的壓力。
04:10
Farmers stand at the center of the world.
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農夫站在世界的中心。
04:14
And not a farmer like this one,
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農夫都不像這樣,
04:16
but rather this lady.
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反而比較像這位女士。
04:18
Most of the farmers I know are actually women.
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大部分我認識的農夫都是婦女。
04:20
Look at the strength and the will radiating from this woman.
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看看這位女士散發出的力量及意志。
04:23
She is physically strong, mentally tough,
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她的身體強壯,心志剛強,
04:26
and she will do whatever it takes to earn a better life for her children.
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她會不惜一切給孩子更好的生活。
04:29
If we're going to put the future of humanity in one person's hands,
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如果我們要將人類的未來 交在某人的手中,
04:32
then I'm really glad it's her.
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那我真的很高興是交給她。
04:34
(Applause)
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(掌聲)
04:40
There's just one problem:
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只有一個問題:
04:41
many smallholder farmers lack access to basic tools and knowledge.
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許多小農得不到基本的工具及知識。
04:46
Currently, they take a little bit of saved food grain from the prior year,
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目前,他們把一點 去年留下來的食物種子
04:50
they plant it in the ground and they till it with a manual hand hoe.
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種在土裡,而且用鋤頭犁地。
04:53
These are tools and techniques that date to the Bronze Age,
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這是青銅時代留下來的農作法,
04:56
and it's why many farmers are still very poor.
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這也是為什麼許多農夫 仍然非常貧窮。
05:00
But good news, again.
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但是再說一次,這是好消息。
05:02
Lever number two:
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槓桿二號:
05:03
humanity actually solved the problem of agricultural poverty a century ago.
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人類其實在一個世紀前 就解決了務農貧困的問題。
05:08
Let me walk you through the three most basic factors in farming.
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讓我帶大家看一下 三個最基本的農事因子。
05:11
First, hybrid seed is created when you cross two seeds together.
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第一,你將兩種種子雜交 就會產生雜交種子。
05:16
If you naturally pollinate a high-yielding variety
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如果你讓高產量的品種
05:19
together with a drought-resistant variety,
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與抗旱品種自然授粉,
05:21
you get a hybrid that inherits positive traits from both of its parents.
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你就會得到從雙方遺傳到 好性狀的雜交種。
05:25
Next, conventional fertilizer, if used responsibly,
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第二,負責地使用慣行肥料,
05:29
is environmentally sustainable.
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就是對環境的永續經營。
05:31
If you micro-dose just a pinch of fertilizer
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只要施與微劑量的肥料,
05:34
to a plant that's taller than I am,
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比我還高的植物
05:36
you unlock enormous yield gain.
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也能有龐大的產量。
05:39
These are known as farm inputs.
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這些被稱為「農場投入(資源)」。
05:41
Farm inputs need to be combined with good practice.
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農場投入資源要與好的農作法結合。
05:43
When you space your seeds and plant with massive amounts of compost,
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如果你撒種時留一定的間隔, 並且施與大量堆肥,
05:47
farmers multiply their harvests.
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農夫就能倍增收穫。
05:50
These proven tools and practices have more than tripled
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這些證實有效的工具及方法
05:53
agricultural productivity in every major region of the world,
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已使世界各主要地區 農業產量增加三倍,
05:56
moving mass numbers of people out of poverty.
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使眾多百姓脫離貧窮。
05:59
We just haven't finished delivering these things to everybody just yet,
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我們只是還沒把這些方法 提供給所有人而已,
06:03
particularly in Sub-Saharan Africa.
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特別是下撒哈拉非洲的居民。
06:05
So overall, this is amazing news.
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所以總體而言,這是非常好的消息。
06:07
Humanity actually solved agricultural poverty a century ago,
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理論上,人類早在一世紀前 就解決了務農貧困的問題,
06:11
in theory.
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06:12
We just haven't delivered these things to everybody just yet.
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我們只是還沒把這些方法 提供給所有人而已。
06:16
In this century, the reason that people remain poor
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這個世紀還有人貧窮的原因,
06:18
is because maybe they live in remote places.
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是因為他們可能住在偏遠地區,
06:20
They lack access to these things.
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他們拿不到這些東西。
06:24
Therefore, ending poverty is simply a matter
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因此,終結貧窮只要
06:26
of delivering proven goods and services to people.
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把這些可靠的貨品及服務 送到他們手上就好。
06:30
We don't need more genius types right now.
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我們現在不需要更多天才。
06:32
The humble delivery guy is going to end global poverty in our lifetime.
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謙卑的送貨員就能在 我們有生之年終結全球貧窮。
06:38
So these are the three levers,
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所以這就是我說的三個槓桿,
06:39
and the most powerful lever is simply delivery.
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而最有力的槓桿就是遞送。
06:43
Wherever the world's companies, governments and nonprofits
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無論公司、政府或非營利團體
06:46
set up delivery networks for life-improving goods,
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在哪裡建立遞送網絡, 分發改善生活的貨品,
06:49
we eliminate poverty.
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我們都能消滅貧窮。
06:52
OK, so that sounds really nice in theory,
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好,所以這在理論上聽起來很不錯,
06:54
but what about in practice?
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但是要如何實施?
06:55
What do these delivery networks look like?
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遞送網絡長什麼樣子?
06:58
I want to share the concrete example that I know best,
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我想跟大家分享我最了解的實例,
07:00
my organization, One Acre Fund.
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就是我的組織, One Acre Fund(一畝金)。
07:03
We only serve the farmer,
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我們只為農夫服務,
07:04
and our job is to provide her with the tools that she needs to succeed.
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我們的工作是提供 她所需的工具及種子。
07:08
We start off by delivering farm inputs to really rural places.
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我們從遞送農場投入資源 到極偏僻的農村開始。
07:11
Now, this may appear initially very challenging,
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乍看這很具挑戰性,
07:13
but it's pretty possible. Let me show you.
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但這真的可行,我來說明一下。
07:15
We buy farm inputs with the combined power of our farmer network,
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我們向網絡內的農夫集資, 買進農場投入資源
07:18
and store it in 20 warehouses like this.
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貯存在 20 間像這樣的倉庫裡。
07:21
Then, during input delivery, we rent hundreds of 10-ton trucks
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然後,在遞送投入資源的期間, 我們會租幾百輛 10 噸大貨車,
07:25
and send them out to where farmers are waiting in the field.
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派去農夫等待的田間。
07:28
They then get their individual orders and walk it home to their farms.
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然後他們會取自己所訂的貨物, 帶回家拿到田裡。
07:32
It's kind of like Amazon for rural farmers.
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這有點像給農民用的亞馬遜。
07:35
Importantly, realistic delivery also includes finance, a way to pay.
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很重要的是,實際可行的遞送服務 也包括財務,即付款的方式。
07:40
Farmers pay us little by little over time, covering most of our expenses.
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農夫可以分期付款, 盡量打平我們絕大部分的支出。
07:45
And then we surround all that with training.
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然後我們提供訓練。
07:48
Our rural field officers deliver practical, hands-on training
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我們的農村外勤人員, 提供實際的操作訓練
07:51
to farmers in the field
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給在田間工作的農夫,
07:53
every two weeks.
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每兩星期一次。
07:55
Wherever we deliver our services, farmers use these tools
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我們遞送服務可達的地方, 農夫都用這些工具
07:59
to climb out of poverty.
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脫離貧窮。
08:01
This is a farmer in our program, Consolata.
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這位是參與我們計畫的農民, 康莎拉塔。
08:04
Look at the pride on her face.
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看看她得意的樣子!
08:06
She has achieved a modest prosperity that I believe is the human right
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她現在家境小康,已達到我認為
08:09
of every hardworking person on the planet.
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世界上每一位勤奮工作的人 都應該得到的人權。
08:13
Today, I'm proud to say that we're serving about 400,000 farmers like Consolata.
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今天,我可以很自豪地說我們服務了 約四十萬位像她這樣的農民。
08:18
(Applause)
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(掌聲)
08:23
The key to doing this is scalable delivery.
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做這件事的重點是可擴充式遞送。
08:26
In any given area, we hire a rural field officer
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我們在每一個服務地區 都僱用農村外勤人員,
08:29
who delivers our services to 200 farmers, on average,
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他們將我們的服務 提供給平均二百位農夫,
08:32
with more than 1,000 people living in those families.
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超過一千人生活在這些家庭裡。
08:35
Today, we have 2,000 of these rural field officers
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今天,我們有二千名農村外勤人員,
08:39
growing very quickly.
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成長非常快速。
08:40
This is our delivery army,
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這就是我們的遞送大軍,
08:42
and we're just one organization.
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而我們只是一個組織。
08:44
There are many companies, governments and nonprofits
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還有很多公司、政府及非營利組織
08:47
that have delivery armies just like this.
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有像這樣的遞送大軍。
08:50
And I believe we stand at a moment in time
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我相信我們正站在一個重要時刻,
08:52
where collectively, we are capable of delivering farm services to all farmers.
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我們能一起遞送農村服務 給所有的農夫。
08:57
Let me show you how possible this is.
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讓我跟大家說明這要如何達成。
08:59
This is a map of Sub-Saharan Africa,
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這是下撒哈拉非洲地圖,
09:01
with a map of the United States for scale.
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旁邊是美國地圖做比例對照。
09:03
I chose Sub-Saharan Africa because this is a huge delivery territory.
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我選擇下撒哈拉非洲 因為這是非常廣大的遞送區。
09:07
It's very challenging.
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非常具挑戰性。
09:09
But we analyzed every 50-mile by 50-mile block on the continent,
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但是我們把非陸畫成 50 平方哩的區塊來分析,
09:13
and we found that half of farmers live in just these shaded regions.
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我們發現一半的農夫 都住在這幾塊陰影區裡。
09:19
That's a remarkably small area overall.
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整體來看這是非常小的一塊區域。
09:22
If you were to lay these boxes next to each other
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如果你把這幾個區塊
09:24
within a map of the United States,
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在美國地圖內一個接一個排起來,
09:26
they would only cover the Eastern United States.
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只會蓋住美東地區。
09:29
You can order pizza anywhere in this territory
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在這片區域的任何地方, 你都能叫比薩外送,
09:32
and it'll arrive to your house hot, fresh and delicious.
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然後香噴噴熱騰騰的 現做比薩就會送到你家。
09:36
If America can deliver pizza to an area of this size,
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如果美國能做到 在這樣大小的地區送比薩,
09:39
then Africa's companies, governments and non-profits
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那非洲的公司、政府及非營利組織
09:42
can deliver farm services to all of her farmers.
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也能做農村遞送服務給所有的農夫。
09:45
This is possible.
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這是可行的。
09:48
I'm going to wrap up by generalizing beyond just farming.
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我要擴大到農業之外的面向來總結。
09:52
In every field of human development,
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在人類發展的各個領域上,
09:54
humanity has already invented effective tools to end poverty.
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人類都已經發明了 有用的工具以終結貧窮。
09:58
We just need to deliver them.
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我們只需要遞送工具。
10:00
So again, in every area of human development,
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所以讓我再說一次, 在各個人類發展領域,
10:02
super-smart people a long time ago invented inexpensive,
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都有超聰明的人在很久以前 發明了便宜、
10:06
highly effective tools.
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超有用的工具。
10:07
Humanity is armed to the teeth
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人類早就準備好
10:09
with simple, effective solutions to poverty.
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以簡單有效的方案解決貧窮問題。
10:13
We just need to deliver these to a pretty small area.
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我們只需要把這些遞送到 很小的區域就可以了。
10:17
Again using the map of Sub-Saharan Africa as an example,
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再拿下撒哈拉與美國地圖為例,
10:20
remember that rural poverty is concentrated in these blue shaded areas.
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記得農村貧窮 都集中在這幾塊藍色區域。
10:24
Urban poverty is even more concentrated, in these green little dots.
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都市貧困更集中, 就在這幾個綠色小點上。
10:29
Again, using a map of the United States for scale,
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再用美國地圖做比例,
10:32
this is what I would call a highly achievable delivery zone.
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這就是我稱為極可能到達的遞送區。
10:36
In fact, for the first time in human history,
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事實上,這是有史以來
10:38
we have a vast amount of delivery infrastructure available to us.
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人類有如此大的遞送基礎建設可用。
10:42
The world's companies, governments and non-profits
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全世界的公司、政府及非營利組織
10:44
have delivery armies that are fully capable
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都有遞送大軍能完全
10:47
of covering this relatively small area.
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涵蓋這塊相對小的區域。
10:49
We just lack the will.
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我們只欠意願。
10:52
If we are willing,
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如果我們願意,
10:54
every one of us has a role to play.
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每一個人都有角色能參與。
10:57
We first need more people to pursue careers in human development,
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首先我們需要更多人 追求人類發展這塊事業,
11:01
especially if you live in a developing nation.
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尤其是在發展中國家的人。
11:03
We need more front line health workers, teachers, farmer trainers,
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我們需要更多的一線醫療人員、 教師、農村訓練人員,
11:06
sales agents for life-improving goods.
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及代理改善生活品質貨物的業務員。
11:09
These are the delivery people that dedicate their careers
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這些都是「遞送員」,
奉獻自己的事業來改善別人的生活。
11:12
to improving the lives of others.
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11:14
But we also need a lot of support roles.
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但是我們也需要很多支援的角色。
11:17
These are roles available at just my organization alone,
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單單在我的組織裡就有這樣的需求,
11:20
and we're just one out of many.
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而我們只是組織之一。
11:22
This may surprise you, but no matter what your technical specialty,
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這可能會讓你大吃一驚, 但是無論你的技術專長為何,
11:26
there is a role for you in this fight.
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在這場戰役中 總有你可以扮演的角色。
11:29
And no matter how logistically possible it is to end poverty,
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不管物流如何終結貧窮,
11:32
we need a lot more resources.
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我們還是需要更多資源。
11:34
This is our number one constraint.
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這是我們的頭號限制。
11:36
For private investors, we need a big expansion of venture capital,
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對於民間投資人, 我們需要創投業者、
11:40
private equity, working capital, available in emerging markets.
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私募股權及流動資本 擴大投資在這個新興市場上。
11:44
But there are also limits to what private business can accomplish.
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但是民營企業 能達成的使命還是有限。
11:47
Private businesses often struggle to profitably serve the extreme poor,
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民營企業常常苦苦掙扎 如何服務赤貧還能賺錢。
11:51
so philanthropy still has a major role to play.
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所以慈善事業仍然發揮主要功能。
11:54
Anybody can give, but we need more leadership.
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任何人都可以施與, 但是我們需要更多領導角色。
11:58
We need more visionary philanthropists
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我們需要有遠見的慈善家,
12:00
and global leaders who will take problems in human development
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以及世界領袖, 能正視人類發展問題,
12:04
and lead humanity to wipe them off the face of the planet.
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進而率領人類消滅全世界的貧窮。
12:08
If you're interested in these ideas, check out this website.
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如果你對這方面有興趣, 請看這個網頁。
12:11
We need more leaders.
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我們需要更多領袖。
12:14
Humanity has put people on the moon.
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人類已經登月。
12:16
We've invented supercomputers that fit into our pockets
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我們也發明了超級電腦, 既能塞進口袋,
12:18
and connect us with anybody on the planet.
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還能讓我們與世上任何人連結。
12:20
We've run marathons at a five-minute mile pace.
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我們能以五分鐘 一哩的速度跑馬拉松。
12:24
We are an exceptional people.
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我們是卓越的人。
12:27
But we've left more than one billion of our members behind.
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我們卻把超過十億的同類 遠遠拋在後頭。
12:31
Until every girl like this one has an opportunity
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直到每個像這樣的女孩 都有機會
12:33
to earn her full human potential,
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贏得她全部的潛力之前,
12:36
we have failed to become a truly moral and just human race.
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我們都稱不上是 有道德和有正義的人類。
12:40
Logistically speaking, it's incredibly possible
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從物流管理來看,真的極有可能
12:43
to end extreme poverty.
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終結赤貧。
12:45
We just need to deliver proven goods and services
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我們只需要遞送可靠的貨品及服務
12:48
to everybody.
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給每一個人。
12:49
If we have the will, every one of us has a role to play.
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只要我們有意願, 我們每個人都能參與其中。
12:54
Let's deploy our time, our careers,
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讓我們充分利用 我們的時間、我們的事業
12:56
our collective wealth.
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及我們的集體財富。
12:58
Let us deliver an end to extreme poverty
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讓我們遞送赤貧終結書,
13:01
in this lifetime.
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在此生之中。
13:03
Thank you.
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謝謝。
13:05
(Applause)
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(掌聲)
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