Jon Gosier: The problem with "trickle-down techonomics"

74,245 views ・ 2015-03-02

TED


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譯者: Melody Tang 審譯者: Sherry Chen
00:13
As a software developer and technologist,
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身為一個軟體開發者和科技者,
00:16
I've worked on a number of civic technology projects
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在過去多年來, 我曾參與許多公民科技計畫。
00:19
over the years.
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00:20
Civic tech is sometimes referred to as tech for good,
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公民科技有時又被稱為有益科技,
00:24
using technology to solve humanitarian problems.
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運用科技解決有關人道主義的問題。
00:27
This is in 2010 in Uganda,
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這是我 2010 年在烏干達,
00:29
working on a solution that allowed local populations
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參與解決一個讓當地的人
00:32
to avoid government surveillance on their mobile phones
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避免被政府監聽他們用手機 表達不滿的方案。
00:36
for expressing dissent.
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00:38
That same technology was deployed later in North Africa
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同樣的科技後來被應用到北非,
00:41
for similar purposes to help activists stay connected
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為了同樣的目的,也被用於 幫助異議活動者保持聯繫。
00:44
when governments were deliberately shutting off connectivity
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那時政府故意切斷 人民相互連結的途徑,
00:48
as a means of population control.
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以便控制全民。
00:51
But over the years, as I have thought about these technologies
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過去幾年來,我在思維這些科技
以及我所參與的工作時,
00:54
and the things that I work on,
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有一個問題一直困擾著我。
00:56
a question kind of nags in the back of my mind, which is,
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那就是,如果我們對於科技 有益之處的看法是錯誤的,
00:59
what if we're wrong about the virtues of technology,
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01:02
and if it sometimes actively hurts
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或許它有時反而傷害了
01:04
the communities that we're intending to help?
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我們立意要幫助的社群呢?
01:07
The tech industry around the world tends to operate under similar assumptions
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世界上的科技行業往往基於 類似以下的假設而運作:
01:11
that if we build great things,
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他們認為如果我們創造了好的東西,
01:13
it will positively affect everyone.
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就一定會正面的影響所有人。
01:16
Eventually, these innovations will get out and find everyone.
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最終,這些創新的產品都會找到途徑 讓所有人使用。
01:19
But that's not always the case.
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但是,事實並非如此。
我稱之為科技「下滲科技經濟」的 盲目擁護,
01:22
I like to call this blind championing of technology "trickle-down techonomics,"
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01:27
to borrow a phrase. (Laughter)
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借用一下這個短詞。(笑聲)
01:30
We tend to think that if we design things for the select few,
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我們認為如果我們原先為了 特定的少數人而設計的東西,
01:33
eventually those technologies will reach everyone,
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最後這些科技還是為所有人所用。
01:35
and that's not always the case.
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但是事實並非全然如此。
01:37
Technology and innovation behaves a lot like wealth and capital.
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科技和創新就像財富和資本,
01:42
They tend to consolidate in the hands of the few,
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大多時候他們被掌握在少數人手中,
01:44
and sometimes they find their way out into the hands of the many.
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偶而也會落入多數人手上。
01:48
And so most of you aren't tackling oppressive regimes on the weekends,
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你們大多數不會在週末忙著 應付暴虐的政權,
01:53
so I wanted to think of a few examples that might be a little bit more relatable.
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所以我要用一些你們 比較容易聯想的例子。
01:57
In the world of wearables and smartphones and apps,
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在可以穿戴產品、智慧手機 和應用程序的世界裡,
02:02
there's a big movement to track people's personal health
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有一個可以追蹤 人體健康狀態的大躍進。
02:05
with applications that track the number of calories that you burn
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透過手機軟體, 它可追蹤你所燃燒的熱量,
02:08
or whether you're sitting too much or walking enough.
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或計算你是否坐太久, 或者做足夠的走動。
02:13
These technologies make patient intake in medical facilities much more efficient,
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這些科技讓醫療機構更有效率地 獲取病人的狀況,
02:19
and in turn, these medical facilities
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反過來,這些醫療機構
開始期待這種形式的效率。
02:23
are starting to expect these types of efficiencies.
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當這些電子工具進入到醫療診療室,
02:26
As these digital tools find their way into medical rooms,
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02:28
and they become digitally ready,
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它們就為數位化做好了萬全準備。
02:30
what happens to the digitally invisible?
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但那些不能實現數位化的病人呢?
02:33
What does the medical experience look like
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那些沒有 400 元美金的手機和手錶
02:35
for someone who doesn't have the $400 phone or watch
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02:38
tracking their every movement?
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來追蹤他們的日常生活的人, 他們的醫療經驗是如何呢?
02:40
Do they now become a burden on the medical system?
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他們現在是否成為醫療體系的負擔呢?
02:43
Is their experience changed?
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他們的醫療經驗是否改變了?
02:46
In the world of finance, Bitcoin and crypto-currencies
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在金融的世界,比特幣和加密貨幣
02:49
are revolutionizing the way we move money around the world,
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革新了錢在全世界流通的方式。
02:52
but the challenge with these technologies
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但是這些科技的挑戰是
02:54
is the barrier to entry is incredibly high, right?
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它們的門檻非常高,對嗎?
你需要有同樣的手機、設備、網路連結,
02:57
You need access to the same phones, devices, connectivity,
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03:01
and even where you don't, where you can find a proxy agent,
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以及甚至在你沒有的地方, 你必須能找到替代的工具。
03:04
usually they require a certain amount of capital to participate.
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通常這些需要有一些錢才能參與。
03:09
And so the question that I ask myself is, what happens to the last community
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所以我自問,那些僅存的 還在用紙幣的社群怎麼辦,
03:14
using paper notes when the rest of the world moves to digital currency?
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當全世界都轉而使用數字貨幣時?
03:20
Another example from my hometown in Philadelphia:
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另一個例子是我的家鄉-費城:
03:23
I recently went to the public library there,
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我最近去那裡的一個公立圖書館,
03:25
and they are facing an existential crisis.
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他們也正在面對生存危機。
03:27
Public funding is dwindling,
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公共資金在萎縮,
03:29
they have to reduce their footprint to stay open and stay relevant,
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為了能繼續開放和提供相關服務, 他們只能盡量減少所佔的面積.
03:34
and so one of the ways they're going about this
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他們的解決的方法之一是
03:37
is digitizing a number of the books and moving them to the cloud.
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將許多書數位化後,送到網路雲端。
03:40
This is great for most kids. Right?
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這對大多數的小孩是很好的,對嗎?
03:42
You can check out books from home,
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你可以在家裡就可以閱讀這些書。
03:44
you can research on the way to school or from school,
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你可以在去學教的路上 或在學校裡做研究。
03:47
but these are really two big assumptions,
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但是有兩個大前提,
03:49
that one, you have access at home,
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第一,你的家裡必須有網路;
03:51
and two, that you have access to a mobile phone,
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第二,你必須有手機可使用。
03:53
and in Philadelphia, many kids do not.
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在費城,許多小孩沒有這些。
03:56
So what does their education experience look like
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所以他們的教育經驗
03:59
in the wake of a completely cloud-based library,
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在圖書館完全成為雲端化以後 會變成如何呢?
04:03
what used to be considered such a basic part of education?
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實體圖書館以前是教育裡 最基本的部分。
04:06
How do they stay competitive?
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這些孩子們如何維持競爭力呢?
04:09
A final example from across the world in East Africa:
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最後的一個例子, 是在世界另一邊的東非。
04:13
there's been a huge movement to digitize land ownership rights,
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那裡曾大力推動將土地所有權數位化,
04:18
for a number of reasons.
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理由如下:
04:20
Migrant communities, older generations dying off,
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在移民的社區裡,老一代的逐漸死去。
04:23
and ultimately poor record-keeping
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最後由於保存紀錄不佳,
04:25
have led to conflicts over who owns what.
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導致許多土地所有權的爭議。
04:29
And so there was a big movement to put all this information online,
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所以他們大張旗鼓地 將這些資料放在網路上,
04:33
to track all the ownership of these plots of land,
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以追蹤個別土地的所有權紀錄。
04:37
put them in the cloud, and give them to the communities.
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他們將這些資料放在網上的雲端, 讓有關社群可以使用。
04:40
But actually, the unintended consequence of this
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但是實際上,出乎意料的是,
04:43
has been that venture capitalists, investors, real estate developers,
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風險投資家、投資者、房地產開發商人
04:47
have swooped in and they've begun buying up these plots of land
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開始猛撲進來, 從這些社群買入這些土地。
04:50
right out from under these communities,
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04:52
because they have access to the technologies
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因為他們能夠運用科技 和網路連結來達到這些目的。
04:54
and the connectivity that makes that possible.
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04:58
So that's the common thread that connects these examples,
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這些例子的共同點是,
05:01
the unintended consequences of the tools and the technologies that we make.
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這些不是我們在創造科技 和工具時所意想的結果。
05:04
As engineers, as technologists,
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身為工程師、技術專家,
有時我們偏重效率多於效用。
05:07
we sometimes prefer efficiency over efficacy.
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05:11
We think more about doing things than the outcomes of what we are doing.
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我們較多想到去做一些事情, 而不是我們做這些事情的結果。
05:15
This needs to change.
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這需要改變。
05:17
We have a responsibility to think about the outcomes of the technologies we build,
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我們有責任要考量我們所創造的 這些科技所造成的後果,
05:21
especially as they increasingly control the world in which we live.
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特別是當這些科技逐漸 在控制我們所生存的世界。
05:24
In the late '90s,
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在 1990 年代末期,
05:26
there was a big push for ethics in the world of investment and banking.
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在投資和銀行界,有一場很大型的 有關道德的推動。
05:30
I think in 2014, we're long overdue for a similar movement
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在 2014 年,在高科技領域, 我們也早該有類似的推動。
05:34
in the area of tech and technology.
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05:38
So, I just encourage you, as you are all thinking about the next big thing,
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所以,我要鼓勵大家, 當你在想下一件大發明時,
05:42
as entrepreneurs, as CEOs, as engineers, as makers,
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作為企業家、公司總裁、 工程師、製造業者,
05:47
that you think about the unintended consequences
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也考量一下你們創造的東西 會不會產生意外的後果。
05:51
of the things that you're building,
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05:53
because the real innovation is in finding ways to include everyone.
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因為真正的創新要找到 能夠利及所有人的途徑。
謝謝!
05:57
Thank you.
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(掌聲)
05:59
(Applause)
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