Soon We'll Cure Diseases With a Cell, Not a Pill | Siddhartha Mukherjee | TED Talks

298,393 views ・ 2015-10-28

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翻译人员: 可风 郁 校对人员: 易帆 余
00:12
I want to talk to you about the future of medicine.
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我想跟各位聊聊未来的药物。
00:16
But before I do that, I want to talk a little bit about the past.
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在聊未来之前, 我想稍稍回顾一下过去。
00:21
Now, throughout much of the recent history of medicine,
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纵观医疗药物的历史,
00:24
we've thought about illness and treatment
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我们对于疾病和药物治疗的观念
00:28
in terms of a profoundly simple model.
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还停留在一个非常简单的模型上。
00:31
In fact, the model is so simple
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事实上这个模型简单到
00:34
that you could summarize it in six words:
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可以用六个英语单词概括:
00:37
have disease, take pill, kill something.
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生病,吃药,杀死一些东西。
00:43
Now, the reason for the dominance of this model
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这个简单的模型占据主导地位
00:47
is of course the antibiotic revolution.
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原因显然是由于抗生素革命带来的。
00:50
Many of you might not know this, but we happen to be celebrating
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可能很少有人知道, 我们前不久
00:53
the hundredth year of the introduction of antibiotics into the United States.
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刚刚庆祝了抗生素 进入美国一百周年。
00:57
But what you do know
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但你们一定知道,
00:59
is that that introduction was nothing short of transformative.
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抗生素的引入简直是个重大变革。
01:04
Here you had a chemical, either from the natural world
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你拿到的化学制剂, 不管是从自然提取的
01:08
or artificially synthesized in the laboratory,
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还是从实验室人工合成的,
01:11
and it would course through your body,
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服用之后它会遍布至你的全身
01:14
it would find its target,
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找到它的目标
01:17
lock into its target --
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然后锁定目标——
01:19
a microbe or some part of a microbe --
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一种微生物或者它的一部分——
01:21
and then turn off a lock and a key
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通过非常精巧和特别的手段
01:25
with exquisite deftness, exquisite specificity.
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关闭目标的某一个功能。
01:29
And you would end up taking a previously fatal, lethal disease --
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结果就是当你感染了 过去的不治之症——
01:33
a pneumonia, syphilis, tuberculosis --
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例如肺炎,梅毒,肺结核——
01:37
and transforming that into a curable, or treatable illness.
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变成可以治愈的疾病。
如果你感染了肺炎,
01:42
You have a pneumonia,
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01:44
you take penicillin,
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你可以服用盘尼西林,
01:45
you kill the microbe
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你杀死了微生物,
01:47
and you cure the disease.
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你治好了疾病。
01:49
So seductive was this idea,
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多么美妙的想法,
01:52
so potent the metaphor of lock and key
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钥匙、锁的比喻多么贴切
01:56
and killing something,
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还有杀死一些东西的归纳,
01:58
that it really swept through biology.
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横扫了生物医学。
02:00
It was a transformation like no other.
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这种转变是史无前例的。
而过去100年间
02:04
And we've really spent the last 100 years
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02:07
trying to replicate that model over and over again
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我们一直不停的尝试复制这个模型
02:10
in noninfectious diseases,
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想要用到非感染导致的疾病上,
02:12
in chronic diseases like diabetes and hypertension and heart disease.
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像是糖尿病、高血压、 心脏病之类的慢性病。
02:17
And it's worked, but it's only worked partly.
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有些管用,有些不行。
让我来详细说明。
02:21
Let me show you.
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02:22
You know, if you take the entire universe
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现在如果把你体内
02:25
of all chemical reactions in the human body,
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所有可能的化学反应
02:29
every chemical reaction that your body is capable of,
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都列举出来组成一个大集合
02:32
most people think that that number is on the order of a million.
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大部分人都会觉得至少得上百万种反应。
02:35
Let's call it a million.
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我们假设是100万种。
02:36
And now you ask the question,
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现在你会问,
02:38
what number or fraction of reactions
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在所有药物的医学化学反应中
02:41
can actually be targeted
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有多少部分是真正能够有效锁定的?
02:43
by the entire pharmacopoeia, all of medicinal chemistry?
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02:48
That number is 250.
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答案是250个。
02:51
The rest is chemical darkness.
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其他是未知的化学领域。
02:54
In other words, 0.025 percent of all chemical reactions in your body
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换句话说
你体内只有 0.025% 的化学反应
03:00
are actually targetable by this lock and key mechanism.
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适用于现在的钥匙和锁的机制。
如果你将人体生理学
03:05
You know, if you think about human physiology
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03:08
as a vast global telephone network
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看成是一个巨大的全球的电话网络,
03:12
with interacting nodes and interacting pieces,
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有着相互作用的节点和部分,
03:16
then all of our medicinal chemistry
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那么我们所有的化学药物加起来
03:19
is operating on one tiny corner
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也只是占据了
03:22
at the edge, the outer edge, of that network.
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这个巨大网络的一个小小边角。
03:24
It's like all of our pharmaceutical chemistry
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我们现有的药物加起来就像是
03:28
is a pole operator in Wichita, Kansas
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堪萨斯州州威奇托市的一个小小接线员
03:32
who is tinkering with about 10 or 15 telephone lines.
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在笨拙地处理10条或15条电话线。
03:36
So what do we do about this idea?
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所以现在我们应该怎么办?
03:40
What if we reorganized this approach?
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我们是否能够重新组织现有的方式?
03:44
In fact, it turns out that the natural world
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事实上,我们发现自然界
03:47
gives us a sense of how one might think about illness
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为我们提供了一个完全不一样的视角
03:52
in a radically different way,
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去看待疾病。
03:54
rather than disease, medicine, target.
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跟“疾病,药物,目标”模式不同。
自然界是自下向上的 一层一层发展起来的,
03:59
In fact, the natural world is organized hierarchically upwards,
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04:02
not downwards, but upwards,
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不是自上向下,而是自下而上。
04:04
and we begin with a self-regulating, semi-autonomous unit called a cell.
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我们首先有了一些能够自我控制、 半自主的单位,称为细胞。
04:11
These self-regulating, semi-autonomous units
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这些基本的单元
04:14
give rise to self-regulating, semi-autonomous units called organs,
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结合在一起组成了器官,
04:19
and these organs coalesce to form things called humans,
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这些器官有机地组合在一起,构成了人
04:23
and these organisms ultimately live in environments,
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这最终构造了这个丰富的生态系统。
04:27
which are partly self-regulating and partly semi-autonomous.
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这个系统也是能够自我约束, 是半自主的。
04:32
What's nice about this scheme, this hierarchical scheme
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这种层次化的模式的好处在于,
04:35
building upwards rather than downwards,
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相对于自上向下的模式而言,
04:38
is that it allows us to think about illness as well
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它带给了我们一个完全不同的视角
04:41
in a somewhat different way.
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去看待疾病。
04:44
Take a disease like cancer.
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拿癌症作为例子。
自从1950年代以来,
04:48
Since the 1950s,
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04:49
we've tried rather desperately to apply this lock and key model to cancer.
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我们竭尽全力用锁和钥匙的模型去攻克癌症。
04:54
We've tried to kill cells
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我们用了大量的靶向疗法
04:57
using a variety of chemotherapies or targeted therapies,
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和放化疗手段去杀死细胞,
05:02
and as most of us know, that's worked.
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我们都知道这取得了一些效果。
05:04
It's worked for diseases like leukemia.
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对于白血病这样的疾病有效。
05:06
It's worked for some forms of breast cancer,
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对于某些类型的乳腺癌有效,
05:09
but eventually you run to the ceiling of that approach.
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但是最终你走到了这条路的尽头。
05:12
And it's only in the last 10 years or so
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直到近10年前左右
05:15
that we've begun to think about using the immune system,
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我们开始考虑利用自身的免疫系统,
05:18
remembering that in fact the cancer cell doesn't grow in a vacuum.
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毕竟癌细胞并不是长在真空里的。
05:21
It actually grows in a human organism.
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癌细胞确实是长在人体器官里的。
05:23
And could you use the organismal capacity,
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你可以用器官自身的机制来防御。
05:25
the fact that human beings have an immune system, to attack cancer?
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所以能够借用人类自身的 免疫系统去攻击癌细胞?
05:29
In fact, it's led to the some of the most spectacular new medicines in cancer.
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事实上这个思维转变诞生了 一些非常令人瞩目的新药物。
05:34
And finally there's the level of the environment, isn't there?
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最后还有环境级别的问题,不是么?
05:38
You know, we don't think of cancer as altering the environment.
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当我们改变环境的时候, 没想过癌症的问题
05:41
But let me give you an example of a profoundly carcinogenic environment.
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但是让我来给你展示一个 高度致癌物环境。
05:46
It's called a prison.
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称之为「囚禁」。
05:48
You take loneliness, you take depression, you take confinement,
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你拿来孤独,你加上沮丧, 再加上约束,
05:53
and you add to that,
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都加上,
05:55
rolled up in a little white sheet of paper,
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放在一张白纸上卷起来,
05:59
one of the most potent neurostimulants that we know, called nicotine,
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加上一种最为有效的 神经刺激物,尼古丁,
06:02
and you add to that one of the most potent addictive substances that you know,
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你把这种最容易成瘾的 致癌成分放进来,
06:07
and you have a pro-carcinogenic environment.
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你就有了一个容易 引发癌症的环境。
06:11
But you can have anti-carcinogenic environments too.
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但是你也可以拥有抗癌症环境。
06:14
There are attempts to create milieus,
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可以尝试自己创造一个小环境,
06:16
change the hormonal milieu for breast cancer, for instance.
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例如为了预防乳腺癌 而改变荷尔蒙环境。
06:20
We're trying to change the metabolic milieu for other forms of cancer.
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我们正在尝试为其它癌症 而改变新陈代谢环境。
06:23
Or take another disease, like depression.
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或者像是抑郁这样的疾病。
06:26
Again, working upwards,
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再次重申,自下向上地,
06:29
since the 1960s and 1970s, we've tried, again, desperately
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从1960和1970年代开始, 我们当时还是竭力地
06:33
to turn off molecules that operate between nerve cells --
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尝试去关闭神经细胞 之间运行的分子
06:37
serotonin, dopamine --
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如血清素、多巴胺
06:39
and tried to cure depression that way,
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尝试从这个角度治疗抑郁。
06:41
and that's worked, but then that reached the limit.
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一开始有一些进展, 但是很快就走到了尽头。
06:45
And we now know that what you really probably need to do
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现在我们知道,更好的方式
06:47
is to change the physiology of the organ, the brain,
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或许是改变组织的生理状况, 也就是大脑的结构
06:50
rewire it, remodel it,
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改变大脑的结构和连接,
06:52
and that, of course, we know study upon study has shown
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而且,理所当然的,我们注意到
06:55
that talk therapy does exactly that,
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谈话疗法能够有效的做到这一点,
06:57
and study upon study has shown that talk therapy
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并且后续的研究也表明
06:59
combined with medicines, pills,
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谈话疗法和药物质量的结合
07:02
really is much more effective than either one alone.
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要比单独使用任何一种方法 都要更加有效。
07:05
Can we imagine a more immersive environment that will change depression?
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我们能否构想出一种 能够改变抑郁的浸入式的环境?
07:09
Can you lock out the signals that elicit depression?
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你能够完全隔绝抑郁 发出的刺激信号吗?
07:13
Again, moving upwards along this hierarchical chain of organization.
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再次重申,需要顺着组织构成的 层次自下向上地考虑。
07:19
What's really at stake perhaps here
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在这里最重要的事情,
07:22
is not the medicine itself but a metaphor.
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可能不是有药物本身, 而是比喻的说法
07:25
Rather than killing something,
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相比于现在的“杀死某些东西”,
07:27
in the case of the great chronic degenerative diseases --
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对于大量的慢性退行性疾病——
07:31
kidney failure, diabetes, hypertension, osteoarthritis --
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肾衰竭、糖尿病、高血压、关节炎
07:35
maybe what we really need to do is change the metaphor to growing something.
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或许我们要做的反而 应该是“培养一些东西”。
07:38
And that's the key, perhaps,
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而这之中的关键,
07:40
to reframing our thinking about medicine.
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可能就是重塑我们的药物观。
07:43
Now, this idea of changing,
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这个想法,
07:46
of creating a perceptual shift, as it were,
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即感知认识上的转变,
07:49
came home to me to roost in a very personal manner about 10 years ago.
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来自我10年前一次个人经历。
07:52
About 10 years ago -- I've been a runner most of my life --
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大概10年前——我常年跑步——
07:55
I went for a run, a Saturday morning run,
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我在周六早上照常跑了一会儿,
07:57
I came back and woke up and I basically couldn't move.
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回来后从床上醒来时 发现腿动不了了。
07:59
My right knee was swollen up,
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我的右膝盖肿得厉害
08:01
and you could hear that ominous crunch of bone against bone.
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而且能够听见骨头跟骨头摩擦的声音。
08:06
And one of the perks of being a physician is that you get to order your own MRIs.
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做医生有一样好处, 便是可以自己预约MRI扫描。
08:11
And I had an MRI the next week, and it looked like that.
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第二周我做了MRI扫描, 结果就像展示的那样
08:15
Essentially, the meniscus of cartilage that is between bone
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简单的说, 骨头之间的半月型软骨层
08:19
had been completely torn and the bone itself had been shattered.
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已经被彻底的磨掉了, 骨头也受损了。
08:22
Now, if you're looking at me and feeling sorry,
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现在,如果你为我感到难过,
08:25
let me tell you a few facts.
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那么让我来告诉你一些信息。
08:27
If I was to take an MRI of every person in this audience,
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如果给在做的所有人都做一次MRI,
08:31
60 percent of you would show signs
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在座各位中60%以上的人
08:33
of bone degeneration and cartilage degeneration like this.
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会看到跟我一样的 骨头和软骨退化的迹象。
08:36
85 percent of all women by the age of 70
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70岁以上女性中有85%的人
08:40
would show moderate to severe cartilage degeneration.
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会出现中度或重度的软骨退化。
08:43
50 to 60 percent of the men in this audience
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在座的男性中有50%到60%
08:45
would also have such signs.
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已经出现了这种症状。
08:47
So this is a very common disease.
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所以这是非常常见的疾病。
08:48
Well, the second perk of being a physician
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作为医生的第二个好处
08:51
is that you can get to experiment on your own ailments.
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是你可以自己给自己治病。
08:54
So about 10 years ago we began,
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所以大约10年前,我们开始着手,
08:56
we brought this process into the laboratory,
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把这些方法带到实验室。
08:58
and we began to do simple experiments,
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并且开始做一些简单的实验,
09:00
mechanically trying to fix this degeneration.
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呆板地想解决退化的问题。
09:03
We tried to inject chemicals into the knee spaces of animals
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我们尝试了将一些化学成分 注入动物的关节囊
09:08
to try to reverse cartilage degeneration,
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尝试反转退化现象,
09:10
and to put a short summary on a very long and painful process,
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经过了痛苦而漫长的尝试, 结果简单概括就是,
09:15
essentially it came to naught.
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基本上没有任何效果。
09:17
Nothing happened.
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一点用都没有,什么都没发生。
09:18
And then about seven years ago, we had a research student from Australia.
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直到大概7年前, 我们来了个澳大利亚研究生。
09:23
The nice thing about Australians
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澳洲人的优点
09:25
is that they're habitually used to looking at the world upside down.
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就是他们习惯把世界倒转来看。
09:28
(Laughter)
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(笑声)
09:29
And so Dan suggested to me, "You know, maybe it isn't a mechanical problem.
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这个名叫丹的学生跟我说, “或许这不是机能问题,”
09:33
Maybe it isn't a chemical problem. Maybe it's a stem cell problem."
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“或许也不是化学问题, 或许是干细胞问题。”
09:39
In other words, he had two hypotheses.
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换句话说,他有两个假想:
09:41
Number one, there is such a thing as a skeletal stem cell --
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第一,假設真有这样的骨干细胞--
09:45
a skeletal stem cell that builds up the entire vertebrate skeleton,
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构造了整个脊椎骨架,
09:49
bone, cartilage and the fibrous elements of skeleton,
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骨头、软骨组织、 以及骨架周边的支持物,
09:51
just like there's a stem cell in blood,
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就像是血液中的造血干细胞,
09:53
just like there's a stem cell in the nervous system.
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就像是神进系统中的神经干细胞。
09:55
And two, that maybe that, the degeneration or dysfunction of this stem cell
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假设二,可能是因为 骨干细胞的退化或失能,
09:59
is what's causing osteochondral arthritis, a very common ailment.
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导致了关节炎这种常见的疾病。
10:03
So really the question was, were we looking for a pill
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所以问题根源可能在于 我们一直在找治疗药物
10:06
when we should have really been looking for a cell.
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但是实际上我们应该寻找的是这种细胞。
10:08
So we switched our models,
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于是我们换用了新模型,
10:11
and now we began to look for skeletal stem cells.
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开始寻找这种骨干细胞。
10:15
And to cut again a long story short,
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长话短说,
10:18
about five years ago, we found these cells.
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大概五年前我们终于找到了。
10:21
They live inside the skeleton.
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它们存在于骨架内部。
10:24
Here's a schematic and then a real photograph of one of them.
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图上是原理图和真实的骨头
10:27
The white stuff is bone,
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白色的是骨头,
10:29
and these red columns that you see and the yellow cells
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你看到的红色管狀的,黄色的细胞
10:32
are cells that have arisen from one single skeletal stem cell --
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都是由一个单独的 干细胞生长而来的——
10:35
columns of cartilage, columns of bone coming out of a single cell.
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软骨、骨组织都来自同一个干细胞,
10:38
These cells are fascinating. They have four properties.
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这些细胞太神奇了, 它们有四个特点。
10:42
Number one is that they live where they're expected to live.
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第一,它们就存在于 我们预期的位置。
10:45
They live just underneath the surface of the bone,
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它们就存在于骨头表面之下,
10:48
underneath cartilage.
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存在于软骨组织下面。
10:49
You know, in biology, it's location, location, location.
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你或许知道在生物学上, 位置是很重要的,
10:52
And they move into the appropriate areas and form bone and cartilage.
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所以这些干细胞移动到了 合适的位置方便生成骨和软骨。
10:56
That's one.
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这是第一个特点。
10:58
Here's an interesting property.
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还有一个有意思的特点。
10:59
You can take them out of the vertebrate skeleton,
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你可以将这些细胞从 脊椎动物骨架中分离出来
11:02
you can culture them in petri dishes in the laboratory,
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放在实验室的培养皿中,
11:04
and they are dying to form cartilage.
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它们会拼命的构造软骨组织。
11:06
Remember how we couldn't form cartilage for love or money?
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要知道我们无论用多少钱和 爱都没办法生成软骨。
11:09
These cells are dying to form cartilage.
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它们会拼命的构造软骨组织。
11:11
They form their own furls of cartilage around themselves.
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它们通过构造软骨组织把自己卷起来。
11:14
They're also, number three,
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第三点,
11:16
the most efficient repairers of fractures that we've ever encountered.
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它们是我们见过的最神速的修补匠。
11:20
This is a little bone, a mouse bone that we fractured
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这是一个老鼠的骨头 被我们掰断了
11:23
and then let it heal by itself.
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然后任由其自然恢复。
11:25
These stem cells have come in and repaired, in yellow, the bone,
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骨干细胞出现 修复了骨头(黄色部分)
11:28
in white, the cartilage, almost completely.
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修复了软骨(白色部分) 基本上完好如初。
11:31
So much so that if you label them with a fluorescent dye
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所以基本上 如果你给这些细胞染上颜色
11:34
you can see them like some kind of peculiar cellular glue
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你就能够看到 它们就像是某种细胞胶水
11:38
coming into the area of a fracture,
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填充到骨折的地方,
11:40
fixing it locally and then stopping their work.
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修复好,然后收工。
11:43
Now, the fourth one is the most ominous,
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现在,第四点也是最不好的,
11:45
and that is that their numbers decline precipitously,
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这些细胞的数量 下降地出乎意料的快,
11:49
precipitously, tenfold, fiftyfold, as you age.
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随着你的年龄 十倍或者十五倍的减少。
11:54
And so what had happened, really,
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这里最重要的,
11:56
is that we found ourselves in a perceptual shift.
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是我们发现自己的观念转变了。
11:59
We had gone hunting for pills
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我们一开始是为了寻找药物而努力
12:01
but we ended up finding theories.
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最后却发现了新的理论。
12:04
And in some ways
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从某个角度看,
12:05
we had hooked ourselves back onto this idea:
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我们回到了一开始的想法上:
12:08
cells, organisms, environments,
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细胞,组织,环境,
12:11
because we were now thinking about bone stem cells,
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现在我们从骨干细胞的角度出发
12:13
we were thinking about arthritis in terms of a cellular disease.
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我们开始将关节炎 当作是细胞疾病来看待。
12:17
And then the next question was, are there organs?
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接下来的问题就是 那么器官级别的呢?
12:20
Can you build this as an organ outside the body?
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我们能在体外培育这样的器官么?
12:22
Can you implant cartilage into areas of trauma?
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我们能够在磨损的位置直接植入软骨么?
12:26
And perhaps most interestingly,
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还有更加有趣的,
12:28
can you ascend right up and create environments?
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我们能否继续向上 创造出适宜的环境?
12:30
You know, we know that exercise remodels bone,
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当然,我们都知道运动可以重塑骨骼,
12:33
but come on, none of us is going to exercise.
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但是得了吧,没人愿意运动。
12:36
So could you imagine ways of passively loading and unloading bone
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所以你想过有一天 你能把骨头拆下来再装回去
12:41
so that you can recreate or regenerate degenerating cartilage?
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这样你就可以重塑 已经退化的软骨组织了?
12:46
And perhaps more interesting, and more importantly,
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最有意思、也是最重要的,
12:48
the question is, can you apply this model more globally outside medicine?
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这个模型能否 更加广泛的在医疗界推广?
12:52
What's at stake, as I said before, is not killing something,
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重要的是,如我之前所言, 不是杀死什么
12:56
but growing something.
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而是培育什么
12:58
And it raises a series of, I think, some of the most interesting questions
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这进一步的引发了 一系列有趣的问题,
13:03
about how we think about medicine in the future.
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影响到我们未来对于药物观念。
13:07
Could your medicine be a cell and not a pill?
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(未来)你的药物有没有可能 不是药片而是细胞?
13:10
How would we grow these cells?
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我们如何培育这些细胞?
13:13
What we would we do to stop the malignant growth of these cells?
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我们如何阻止这些细胞的恶性增殖?
13:16
We heard about the problems of unleashing growth.
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我们已经听说了不受控的细胞增殖。
13:20
Could we implant suicide genes into these cells
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我们能否在细胞中植入一些自杀基因
13:23
to stop them from growing?
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来阻止它们的增长?
13:25
Could your medicine be an organ that's created outside the body
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未来你的药物有没有可能 就是一个身体器官
13:29
and then implanted into the body?
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在体外培育然后植入体内?
13:30
Could that stop some of the degeneration?
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这样能否阻止器官的老化?
13:33
What if the organ needed to have memory?
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如果这些器官需要记忆呢?
13:35
In cases of diseases of the nervous system some of those organs had memory.
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例如神经系统中的一些器官保存了记忆。
13:40
How could we implant those memories back in?
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我们怎么把这些记忆移植回来?
13:42
Could we store these organs?
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我们能保存这些器官么?
13:44
Would each organ have to be developed for an individual human being
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这些器官能否根据 患者的不同而分别培育
13:47
and put back?
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然后再移植回去?
13:50
And perhaps most puzzlingly,
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最后可能是最令人困惑的,
13:53
could your medicine be an environment?
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你的药物可以是环境么?
13:56
Could you patent an environment?
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治疗的环境能否 (像药物一样)申请专利?
13:57
You know, in every culture,
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每个人类文化里
14:01
shamans have been using environments as medicines.
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都有巫师这样的角色, 将环境视为治疗的药物。
14:04
Could we imagine that for our future?
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你能想象我们未来是那样的么?
14:08
I've talked a lot about models. I began this talk with models.
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我们聊了很多模型, 也是从模型开始说起的。
14:11
So let me end with some thoughts about model building.
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让我在结束的时候 再聊一聊如何构造模型。
14:14
That's what we do as scientists.
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我们科学家就是做这个的。
14:16
You know, when an architect builds a model,
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你知道,当建筑师建造一个模型,
14:19
he or she is trying to show you a world in miniature.
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他(她)会尝试用微型图 向你展示想象的世界
14:22
But when a scientist is building a model,
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但是当一个科学家构造模型的时候,
14:25
he or she is trying to show you the world in metaphor.
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他(她)给你展示的是世界的隐喻。
14:29
He or she is trying to create a new way of seeing.
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他(她)尝试从新的角度看这个世界。
14:33
The former is a scale shift. The latter is a perceptual shift.
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前者是比例的变化, 后者是观念的变化。
14:38
Now, antibiotics created such a perceptual shift
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现在,抗生素创造了观念的变化
14:43
in our way of thinking about medicine that it really colored, distorted,
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非常成功地改变了过去 百年来我们对药物的看法
14:47
very successfully, the way we've thought about medicine for the last hundred years.
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以前的看法是过度夸张和歪曲事实。
14:52
But we need new models to think about medicine in the future.
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但是未来我们需要新的模型。
14:56
That's what's at stake.
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这是最重要的。
14:59
You know, there's a popular trope out there
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你知道的,现在有种论调很流行
15:02
that the reason we haven't had the transformative impact
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说我们之所以在疾病的治疗上
15:06
on the treatment of illness
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没有改革性的影响
15:08
is because we don't have powerful-enough drugs,
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是因为我们还没有找到足够强大的药物,
15:11
and that's partly true.
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这倒说对了一半。
15:14
But perhaps the real reason is
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但是可能真正的原因是
15:15
that we don't have powerful-enough ways of thinking about medicines.
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我们对药物没有足够强大的思维模式。
15:20
It's certainly true that
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有一点是肯定的
15:23
it would be lovely to have new medicines.
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有新的药物自然是令人喜悦的。
15:26
But perhaps what's really at stake are three more intangible M's:
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但是可能当前最紧要的 还是这三个难以理解的" M "
15:31
mechanisms, models, metaphors.
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机制、模型、隐喻。
15:35
Thank you.
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感谢大家。
15:36
(Applause)
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(掌声)
15:45
Chris Anderson: I really like this metaphor.
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Chris Anderson:我真的喜欢这种隐喻方法。
15:49
How does it link in?
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它们怎么联系起来的?
15:50
There's a lot of talk in technologyland
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科技领域有很多的讨论
15:53
about the personalization of medicine,
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都提到了个体化医疗,
15:55
that we have all this data and that medical treatments of the future
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说我们汇集所有的数据,然后
15:59
will be for you specifically, your genome, your current context.
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未来的药物会基于你的基因组 和所处环境量身定做
16:03
Does that apply to this model you've got here?
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这种说法跟你提到的模型是契合的吗?
16:07
Siddhartha Mukherjee: It's a very interesting question.
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SM:这个问题很有意思。
16:10
We've thought about personalization of medicine
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我们已经从基因角度考虑个体化医疗
16:12
very much in terms of genomics.
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有一段时间了。
16:14
That's because the gene is such a dominant metaphor,
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那是因为基因本身就是主流的隐喻,
16:16
again, to use that same word, in medicine today,
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同样也是这个词,在今天的医疗界
16:19
that we think the genome will drive the personalization of medicine.
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我们认为基因组会主导 个体化医疗的进展。
16:23
But of course the genome is just the bottom
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但是显然的,基因组这个概念
16:26
of a long chain of being, as it were.
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只是这个链条最基础的部分。
16:30
That chain of being, really the first organized unit of that, is the cell.
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这个链条最开始真正有 组织的单元是“细胞”。
16:34
So, if we are really going to deliver in medicine in this way,
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所以如果我们真的要开始个体化医疗了,
16:37
we have to think of personalizing cellular therapies,
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我们需要考虑的是个性化的" 细胞疗法 ",
16:40
and then personalizing organ or organismal therapies,
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然后是个性化的组织和器官疗法,
16:43
and ultimately personalizing immersion therapies for the environment.
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最后的最后是个性化的 浸入式的环境疗法。
16:47
So I think at every stage, you know --
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我觉得現在每个阶段...你知道
16:50
there's that metaphor, there's turtles all the way.
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用一个比喻可以形容 -“龟速”。
16:52
Well, in this, there's personalization all the way.
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也因如此,才可以做到醫療个性化。
16:55
CA: So when you say medicine could be a cell
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CA:所以当你说未来的药物是细胞
16:58
and not a pill,
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而不是药物的时候
17:00
you're talking about potentially your own cells.
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你说的是有可能是自己的细胞?
17:02
SM: Absolutely. CA: So converted to stem cells,
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SM:绝对地。 CA:转换成干细胞,
17:04
perhaps tested against all kinds of drugs or something, and prepared.
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可能还会跟各种药物或者 别的东西做测试,然后准备好。
17:09
SM: And there's no perhaps. This is what we're doing.
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SM:这不是可能。我们现在就在做。
17:11
This is what's happening, and in fact, we're slowly moving,
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这是正在发生的事情, 实际上,我们正在慢慢取得进展。
17:15
not away from genomics, but incorporating genomics
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并没有脱离基因组, 而是跟基因组结合
17:19
into what we call multi-order, semi-autonomous, self-regulating systems,
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我们称之为多层级、半自动、自制系统,
17:24
like cells, like organs, like environments.
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像是细胞、器官、环境。
17:26
CA: Thank you so much.
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CA:非常感谢。
17:28
SM: Pleasure. Thanks.
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SM:很荣幸。谢谢。
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