The future of money | Neha Narula

404,431 views ・ 2016-10-03

TED


Please double-click on the English subtitles below to play the video.

Prevodilac: Ivana Krivokuća Lektor: Tijana Mihajlović
00:12
I want to tell you about the future of money.
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Želim da vam govorim o budućnosti novca.
00:16
Let's start with a story about this culture
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Započnimo pričom o kulturi
00:19
that lived in Micronesia in the early 1900s, called the Yap.
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koja je živela u Mikroneziji početkom 20. veka, po imenu Jap.
00:23
Now, I want to tell you about the Yap
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Htela bih da vam govorim o Japima
jer je njihov oblik novca veoma zanimljiv.
00:25
because their form of money is really interesting.
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00:27
They use these limestone discs called Rai stones.
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Koriste krečnjačke diskove koji se zovu kamenje rai.
00:31
Now, the Yap don't actually move these Rai stones around
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Japi zapravo ne nose to kamenje rai unaokolo
00:35
or exchange them the way we do with our coins,
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niti ih razmenjuju na način na koji mi to činimo sa novčićima,
00:38
because Rai stones can get to be pretty massive.
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jer kamenje rai može biti prilično krupno.
00:41
The largest is about four tons and 12 feet across.
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Najveći ima oko četiri tone i prečnik od oko 3,6 metara.
00:46
So the Yap just keep track of who owns part of what stone.
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Tako Japi samo prate ko poseduje koji deo kog kamena.
00:52
There's a story about these sailors
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Postoji priča o mornarima
00:54
that were transporting a stone across the ocean
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koji su prevozili kamen preko okena
00:56
when they ran into some trouble and the stone actually fell in.
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kada su upali u neku nevolju i kamen je upao.
01:01
The sailors got back to the main island
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Mornari su se vratili na glavno ostrvo
01:03
and they told everyone what had happened.
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i rekli svima šta se dogodilo.
01:06
And everyone decided that, actually, yes,
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Svi su odlučili da zapravo, da,
01:08
the sailors had the stone and -- why not? -- it still counted.
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mornari su imali kamen i - zašto da ne - on još važi.
01:13
Even though it was at the bottom of the ocean,
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Iako je bio na dnu okeana,
01:15
it was still part of the Yap economy.
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i dalje je bio deo ekonomije Japa.
01:18
You might think that this was just a small culture
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Možda mislite da je to bila samo mala kultura pre sto godina.
01:21
a hundred years ago.
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01:23
But things like this happen in the Western world as well,
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Međutim, ovakve stvari se dešavaju i u zapadnom svetu,
01:26
and the Yap actually still use a form of these stones.
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a Japi zapravo i dalje koriste neki oblik ovog kamenja.
01:30
In 1932, the Bank of France asked the United States
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Godine 1932, Francuska banka je zatražila od Sjedinjenih Država
01:34
to convert their holdings from dollars into gold.
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da pretvore ono što poseduju iz dolara u zlato.
01:38
But it was too inconvenient to think about actually shipping
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Međutim, bilo je previše nezgodno da bi pomišljali na prevoz
01:42
all of that gold over to Europe.
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celokupnog tog zlata u Evropu.
01:44
So instead, someone went to where that gold was being stored
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Umesto toga, neko je otišao tamo gde se to zlato čuvalo
01:47
and they just labeled it as belonging to France now.
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i samo su obeležili da sada pripada Francuskoj.
01:52
And everyone agreed that France owned the gold.
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Svi su se složili da je Francuska vlasnik tog zlata.
01:55
It's just like those Rai stones.
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To je baš kao i sa kamenjem rai.
01:58
The point I want to make with these two examples
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Poenta koju želim da naglasim pomoću ova dva primera
02:00
is that there's nothing inherently valuable
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jeste da ne postoji suštinska vrednost
02:04
about a dollar or a stone or a coin.
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vezana za dolar, kamen ili novčić.
02:08
The only reason these things have any value
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Jedini razlog zbog kojeg te stvari imaju bilo kakvu vrednost
02:10
is because we've all decided they should.
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je zato što smo svi odlučili da treba da je imaju.
02:13
And because we've decided that,
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Zato što smo to odlučili,
02:15
they do.
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imaju je.
02:17
Money is about the exchanges and the transactions
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Novac se svodi na razmene i transakcije
02:21
that we have with each other.
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koje vršimo međusobno.
02:24
Money isn't anything objective.
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Novac nije ništa objektivno.
02:26
It's about a collective story that we tell each other about value.
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Radi se o kolektivnoj priči o vrednosti koju pričamo jedni drugima,
02:32
A collective fiction.
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o kolektivnoj fikciji.
02:34
And that's a really powerful concept.
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To je veoma moćan koncept.
02:38
In the past two decades,
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Tokom protekle dve decenije,
02:39
we've begun to use digital money.
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počeli smo da koristimo digitalni novac.
02:41
So I get paid via direct deposit,
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Tako ja primam novac putem direktnog depozita,
02:44
I pay my rent via bank transfer,
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plaćam kiriju preko bankovnog transfera.
02:47
I pay my taxes online.
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Plaćam poreze onlajn,
02:49
And every month,
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a svakog meseca,
02:50
a small amount of money is deducted from my paycheck
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mali iznos novca se odbija od moje plate
02:52
and invested in mutual funds in my retirement account.
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i ulaže se u investicione fondove na mom penzijskom računu.
02:57
All of these interactions
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Sve te interakcije
02:58
are literally just changing 1's and 0's on computers.
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bukvalno samo menjaju jedinice i nule na kompjuterima.
03:02
There's not even anything physical, like a stone or a coin.
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Čak ne postoji ni nešto fizičko poput kamena ili novčića.
03:08
Digital money makes it so that I can pay someone around the world
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Digitalni novac omogućava da mogu da platim nekome širom sveta
03:11
in seconds.
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u roku od nekoliko sekundi.
03:13
Now when this works,
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Kada ovo funkcioniše,
03:15
it's because there are large institutions underwriting every 1 or 0
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to je zato što postoje velike institucije
koje daju garancije za svaku jedinicu ili nulu koja se promeni na kompjuteru.
03:20
that changes on a computer.
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03:22
And when it doesn't,
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A kada ne funkcioniše,
03:23
it's often the fault of those large institutions.
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to je često krivicom tih velikih institucija
03:25
Or at least, it's up to them to fix the problem.
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ili je, u najmanju ruku, na njima da reše problem.
03:28
And a lot of times, they don't.
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A mnogo puta ga ne reše.
03:30
There's a lot of friction in the system.
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Postoji mnogo otpora u sistemu.
03:33
How long did it take the US credit card companies
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Koliko je dugo trebalo kompanijama za kreditne kartice u SAD-u
03:36
to implement chip and pin?
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da sprovedu čipove i PIN brojeve?
03:38
Half my credit cards still don't work in Europe.
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Polovina mojih kreditnih kartica i dalje ne funkcioniše u Evropi.
03:42
That's friction.
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To je otpor.
03:44
Transferring money across borders and across currencies
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Prenos novca preko granica i u različitim valutama
03:48
is really expensive:
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je veoma skupo -
03:50
friction.
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otpor.
03:52
An entrepreneur in India can set up an online business in minutes,
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Preduzetnica u Indiji može da pokrene onlajn posao za nekoliko minuta,
03:57
but it's hard for her to get loans and to get paid:
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ali joj je teško da dobije kredit i da prima uplate -
04:01
friction.
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otpor.
04:03
Our access to digital money and our ability to freely transact
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Naš pristup digitalnom novcu i sposobnost da slobodno vršimo transakcije
04:08
is being held captive by these gatekeepers.
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ovi čuvari drže u zarobljeništvu.
04:11
And there's a lot of impediments in the system slowing things down.
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Postoji mnogo prepreka u sistemu koje usporavaju stvari.
04:16
That's because digital money isn't really mine,
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To je zato što digitalni novac nije zaista moj;
04:20
it's entries in databases that belong to my bank,
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to su unosi u baze podataka koje pripadaju mojoj banci,
04:23
my credit card company or my investment firm.
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mojoj kompaniji za kreditnu karticu ili mojoj investicionoj firmi,
04:26
And these companies have the right to say "no."
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a te kompanije imaju pravo da odbiju.
04:30
If I'm a PayPal merchant
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Ako trgujem putem Pejpala
04:32
and PayPal wrongly flags me for fraud,
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i Pejpal nepravedno označi da sam počinila proneveru,
04:37
that's it.
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to je to.
04:38
My account gets frozen, and I can't get paid.
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Moj račun postaje zamrznut i ne mogu da primam uplate.
04:44
These institutions are standing in the way of innovation.
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Te institucije stoje na putu inovacije.
04:49
How many of you use Facebook photos, Google Photos,
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Koliko vas koristi slike na Fejsbuku, Gugl slike,
04:54
Instagram?
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Instagram?
04:55
My photos are everywhere.
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Moje slike su svuda.
04:58
They are on my phone, they're on my laptop,
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Ima ih na mom telefonu, na mom laptopu,
05:00
they're on my old phone, they're in Dropbox.
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na mom starom telefonu, u Dropboksu.
05:03
They're on all these different websites and services.
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Nalaze se na svim tim različitim veb-sajtovima i uslugama.
05:06
And most of these services don't work together.
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Većina tih usluga ne sarađuje međusobno.
05:10
They don't inter-operate.
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Ne posluju jedna sa drugom.
05:13
And as a result,
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Kao rezultat,
05:15
my photo library is a mess.
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moja kolekcija fotografija je u haosu.
05:18
The same thing happens
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Ista stvar se desi
05:20
when institutions control the money supply.
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kada institucije kontrolišu zalihe novca.
05:23
A lot of these services don't inter-operate,
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Dosta ovih usluga ne posluje međusobno
05:26
and as a result, this blocks what we can do with payment.
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i kao rezultat, to blokira ono što možemo uraditi sa plaćanjem.
05:30
And it makes transaction costs go up.
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To takođe povećava troškove transakcije.
05:33
So far, we've been through two phases of money.
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Do sada smo prošli kroz dve faze novca.
05:37
In an analog world, we had to deal with these physical objects,
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U analognom svetu, morali smo da se bavimo ovim fizičkim predmetima
05:41
and money moved at a certain speed -- the speed of humans.
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i novac se kretao određenom brzinom - ljudskom brzinom.
05:46
In a digital world, money can reach much farther and is much faster,
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U digitalnom svetu, novac može mnogo dalje i brže da stigne,
05:51
but we're at the mercy of these gatekeeper institutions.
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ali smo u milosti tih institucija koje kontrolišu pristup.
05:55
Money only moves at the speed of banks.
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Novac se pokreće samo brzinom banaka.
Nadomak smo ulaženja u novu fazu novca.
06:00
We're about to enter a new phase of money.
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06:03
The future of money is programmable.
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Budućnost novca se može programirati.
06:07
When we combine software and currency,
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Kada kombinujemo softver i valutu,
06:10
money becomes more than just a static unit of value,
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novac postaje više od samo statične jedinice vrednosti
06:14
and we don't have to rely on institutions for security.
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i ne moramo se oslanjati na institucije zbog bezbednosti.
06:18
In a programmable world,
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U svetu koji se može programirati,
06:19
we remove humans and institutions from the loop.
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uklanjamo ljude i institucije iz ciklusa.
06:24
And when this happens,
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Kada se to dogodi,
06:25
we won't even feel like we're transacting anymore.
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nećemo više čak ni imati osećaj da vršimo transakcije.
06:29
Money will be directed by software,
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Novcem će upravljati softver
06:31
and it will just safely and securely flow.
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i samo će bezbedno i sigurno proticati.
06:36
Cryptocurrencies are the first step of this evolution.
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Kriptovalute su prvi korak ove evolucije.
06:40
Cryptocurrencies are digital money
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Kriptovalute su digitalni novac
06:42
that isn't run by any government or bank.
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kojim ne upravlja nikakva vlada niti banka.
06:45
It's money designed to work in a world without intermediaries.
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To je novac koji je predviđen da funkcioniše u svetu bez posrednika.
06:50
Bitcoin is the most ubiquitous cryptocurrency,
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Bitkoin je najprisutnija kriptovaluta,
06:53
but there are hundreds of them.
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ali postoje njih stotine.
06:54
There's Ethereum, Litecoin, Stellar, Dogecoin,
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Tu su itirijum, lajtkoin, stelar, dodžkoin,
06:58
and those are just a few of the more popular ones.
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a to je samo nekoliko najpopularnijih.
07:01
And these things are real money.
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To je stvaran novac.
07:04
The sushi restaurant down my street
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Suši restoran na kraju moje ulice
07:06
takes Bitcoin.
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prima bitkoin.
07:07
I have an app on my phone that I can use to buy sashimi.
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Imam aplikaciju na telefonu koju mogu koristiti da kupim sašimi.
07:13
But it's not just for small transactions.
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Međutim, nije samo za male transakcije.
07:15
In March, there was a transaction that moved around 100,000 bitcoins.
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U martu je izvršena transakcija koja je izmestila oko 100 000 bitkoina.
07:20
That's the equivalent of 40 million US dollars.
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To je jednake vrednosti kao 40 miliona američkih dolara.
07:25
Cryptocurrencies are based on a special field of mathematics
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Kriptovalute se zasnivaju na posebnom polju matematike
07:29
called cryptography.
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koje se zove kriptografija.
07:31
Cryptography is the study of how to secure communication,
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Kriptografija je proučavanje načina na koji obezbeđujemo komunikaciju
07:34
and it's about two really important things:
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i odnosi se na dve zaista važne stvari -
07:37
masking information so it can be hidden in plain sight,
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maskiranje informacija tako da se mogu sakriti na vidnom mestu
07:41
and verifying a piece of information's source.
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i proveru dela izvora informacije.
07:45
Cryptography underpins so many of the systems around us.
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Kriptografija podržava toliko sistema oko nas.
07:49
And it's so powerful that at times
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Toliko je moćna da ju je u nekim trenucima
07:51
the US government has actually classified it as a weapon.
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vlada SAD-a klasifikovala kao oružje.
07:56
During World War II, breaking cryptosystems like Enigma
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Za vreme Drugog svetskog rata,
provaljivanje kriptosistema kao što je Enigma
08:01
was critical to decoding enemy transmissions
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bilo je kritično za dekodiranje neprijateljske razmene
08:04
and turning the tide of the war.
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i preokretanje toka rata.
08:07
Today, anyone with a modern web browser is running
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Danas, svako ko ima savremeni pretraživač interneta
upravlja prilično složenim kriptosistemom.
08:10
a pretty sophisticated cryptosystem.
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08:13
It's what we use to secure our interactions on the Internet.
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To je ono što koristimo da bismo osigurali naše interakcije na internetu.
08:17
It's what makes it safe for us to type our passwords in
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To je ono zbog čega je za nas bezbedno da unesemo svoju šifru
08:20
and to send financial information to websites.
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i da veb-sajtovima šaljemo finansijske informacije.
08:23
So what the banks used to give us --
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Tako ono što su nam banke nekad davale -
08:26
trustworthy digital money transfer --
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pouzdan digitalni prenos novca -
08:28
we can now get with a clever application of cryptography.
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sada možemo dobiti pametnom primenom kriptografije.
08:33
And this means that we don't have to rely on the banks anymore
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To znači da više ne moramo da se oslanjamo na banke
da bismo osigurali svoje transakcije.
08:36
to secure our transactions.
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08:38
We can do it ourselves.
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To možemo da uradimo sami.
08:40
Bitcoin is based on the very same idea that the Yap used,
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Bitkoin se zasniva na istoj ideji koju Japi koriste,
08:45
this collective global knowledge of transfers.
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na kolektivnom globalnom saznanju o transferima.
08:49
In Bitcoin, I spend by transferring Bitcoin,
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Kod bitkoina trošim tako što prebacujem bitkoin,
08:53
and I get paid when someone transfers Bitcoin to me.
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a primam uplatu kada neko meni prebaci bitkoin.
08:58
Imagine that we had this magic paper.
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Zamislite da imamo čarobni papir.
09:01
So the way that this paper works is I can give you a sheet of it
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Taj papir funkcioniše tako da,
ako da vam dam jedan list i napišete nešto na njemu,
09:05
and if you write something on it,
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09:07
it will magically appear on my piece as well.
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to će se magično pojaviti i na mom papiru.
09:10
Let's say we just give everyone this paper
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Recimo da svima damo taj papir
09:13
and everyone writes down the transfers that they're doing
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i svako zapiše transfere koje izvrše
09:17
in the Bitcoin system.
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u sistemu bitkoina.
09:19
All of these transfers get copied around to everyone else's pieces of paper.
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Svi ti transferi se kopiraju na svačiji papir.
09:23
And I can look at mine
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Mogu da pogledam svoj papir
09:25
and I'll have a list of all of the transfers that are happening
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i imaću spisak svih transfera
koji se dešavaju u čitavoj ekonomiji bitkoina.
09:29
in the entire Bitcoin economy.
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09:31
This is actually what's happening with the Bitcoin blockchain,
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To je zapravo ono što se dešava sa blokčejnom bitkoina,
09:35
which is a list of all of the transactions in Bitcoin.
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a to je spisak svih transakcija bitkoina,
09:39
Except, it's not done through paper.
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samo što se ne vrše preko papira.
09:42
It's done through computer code,
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Sprovode se putem kompjuterskog koda
09:43
running on thousands of networked computers
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koji cirkuliše na hiljadama umreženih kompjutera širom sveta.
09:46
around the world.
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09:49
All of these computers are collectively confirming
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Svi ti kompjuteri kolektivno potvrđuju
09:53
who owns what Bitcoin.
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ko poseduje koji bitkoin.
09:54
So the Bitcoin blockchain is core to how Bitcoin works.
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Tako je bitkoinov blokčejn u srži načina na koji bitkoin funkcioniše.
09:58
But where do bitcoins actually come from?
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Međutim, odakle bitkoini zapravo potiču?
10:01
Well, the code is designed to create new Bitcoin
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Pa, kod je osmišljen tako da stvara novi bitkon
10:05
according to a schedule.
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u skladu sa rasporedom.
10:07
And the way that it works is that to get those Bitcoin,
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To funkcioniše na taj način što, da bih dobila te bitkoine,
10:11
I have to solve a puzzle -- a random cryptographic puzzle.
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moram da rešim zagonetku - nasumičnu kriptografsku zagonetku.
10:17
Imagine that we had 15 dice,
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Zamislite da imamo 15 kockica
10:19
and we were throwing these dice over and over again.
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i da ih stalno iznova bacamo.
10:22
Whenever the dice come up all sixes,
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Kad god na svim kockicama budu šestice,
10:25
we say that we win.
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kažemo da smo pobedili.
10:27
This is very close to what these computers are all actually doing.
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To je vrlo slično onome što ovi kompjuteri zapravo rade.
10:30
They're trying over and over again to land on the right number.
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Stalno iznova pokušavaju da dođu do pravog broja.
10:34
And when they do,
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Kada se to desi,
10:36
we say that they've solved the puzzle.
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kažemo da su rešili zagonetku.
10:39
The computer that solves the puzzle
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Kompjuter koji reši zagonetku
10:42
publishes its solution to the rest of the network
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objavljuje svoje rešenje ostatku mreže
10:44
and collects its reward: new bitcoins.
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i prikuplja svoju nagradu, nove bitkoine.
10:48
And in the act of solving this puzzle,
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U činu rešavanja ove zagonetke,
10:51
these computers are actually helping to secure the Bitcoin blockchain
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ovi kompjuteri zapravo pomažu da se osigura bitkoinov blokčejn
10:55
and add to the list of transactions.
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i pridodaju spisku transakcija.
10:57
There are actually people all over the world running this software,
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Postoje ljudi širom sveta koji upravljaju ovim softverom,
11:03
and we call them Bitcoin miners.
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a zovemo ih rudari bitkoina.
11:06
Anyone can become a Bitcoin miner.
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Svako može postati rudar bitkoina.
11:09
You can go download the software right now
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Možete sada skinuti softver,
11:12
and run it in your computer and try to collect some bitcoins.
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pokrenuti ga na kompjuteru i pokušati da sakupite bitkoine.
11:16
I can't say that I would recommend it,
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Ne mogu reći da bih to preporučila,
11:18
because right now, the puzzle is so hard and the network is so powerful,
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jer je zagonetka u ovom trenutku tako teška i mreža je tako jaka,
11:23
that if I tried to mine Bitcoin on my laptop,
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da ako bih pokušala da kopam bitkoine na svom laptopu,
11:26
I probably wouldn't see any for about two million years.
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verovatno ne bih našla nijedan jedno dva miliona godina.
11:30
The miners, professional miners, use this special hardware
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Profesionalni rudari koriste specijalni hardver
11:34
that's designed to solve the puzzle really fast.
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koji je osmišljen da veoma brzo reši zagonetku.
11:37
Now, the Bitcoin network and all of this special hardware,
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Za mrežu bitkoina i sav taj specijalni hardver
11:41
there are estimates that the amount of energy it uses
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postoje procene da koriste količinu energiju
11:44
is equivalent to that of a small country.
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koja je jednaka energiji koju troši manja država.
11:48
So, the first set of cryptocurrencies
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Dakle, prva grupa kriptovaluta
11:50
are a little bit slow and a little bit cumbersome.
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je malo spora i malo glomazna.
11:54
But the next generation is going to be so much better and so much faster.
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Međutim, sledeća generacija će biti toliko bolja i brža.
11:58
Cryptocurrencies are the first step
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Kriptovalute su prvi korak
12:01
to a world with a global programmable money.
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ka svetu sa globalnim novcem koji se može programirati.
12:05
And in a world with programmable money,
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A u svetu sa novcem koji se može programirati,
12:08
I can pay anyone else securely
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mogu bilo kome bezbedno platiti
12:11
without having to sign up or ask permission,
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a da ne moram da se prijavim, da tražim dozvolu,
12:15
or do a conversion or worry about my money getting stuck.
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da vršim konverziju ili da brinem da će mi se novac zaglaviti.
12:20
And I can send money around the world.
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Mogu i da šaljem novac širom sveta.
12:23
This is a really amazing thing.
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Ovo je zaista neverovatno.
12:26
It's the idea of permission-less innovation.
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Radi se o ideji o inovacijama bez davanja dozvole.
12:31
The Internet caused an explosion of innovation,
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Internet je doveo do naglog porasta inovacija,
12:35
because it was built upon an open architecture.
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jer je izgrađen na otvorenoj arhitekturi.
12:39
And just like the Internet changed the way we communicate,
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Baš kao što je internet promenio način na koji komuniciramo,
12:43
programmable money is going to change the way we pay,
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novac koji se programira će promeniti način na koji plaćamo,
12:46
allocate and decide on value.
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dodeljujemo i odlučujemo o vrednosti.
12:49
So what kind of world does programmable money create?
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Kakvu vrstu sveta stvara novac koji se može programirati?
12:52
Imagine a world where I can rent out my healthcare data
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Zamislite svet u kome mogu da iznajmim svoje zdravstvene podatke
12:56
to a pharmaceutical company.
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farmaceutskoj kompaniji.
12:59
They can run large-scale data analysis
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Oni mogu da izvrše obimnu analizu podataka
13:01
and provide me with a cryptographic proof
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i pruže mi kriptografski dokaz
13:03
that shows they're only using my data in a way that we agreed.
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koji pokazuje da koriste moje podatke samo na dogovoreni način.
13:08
And they can pay me for what they find out.
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Mogu i da mi plate za ono što otkriju.
13:11
Instead of signing up for streaming services
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Umesto prijavljivanja za usluge strimovanja
13:14
and getting a cable bill,
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i dobijanja računa za kablovsku,
13:15
what if my television analyzed my watching habits
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šta ako bi moj televizor analizirao moje navike gledanja
13:18
and recommended well-priced content that fit within my budget
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i preporučivao sadržaj po dobroj ceni koji se uklapa u moj budžet,
13:22
that I would enjoy?
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a u kome bih uživala?
13:24
Imagine an Internet without ads,
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Zamislite internet bez reklama,
13:27
because instead of paying with our attention when we view content,
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jer umesto da platimo svojom pažnjom kada gledamo sadržaj,
13:31
we just pay.
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jednostavno platimo.
13:33
Interestingly, things like micro-payments
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Zanimljivo je da će stvari poput mikroplaćanja
13:36
are actually going to change the way security works in our world,
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promeniti način na koji bezbednost funkcioniše u našem svetu,
13:39
because once we're better able to allocate value,
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jer kada budemo bili veštiji u pridavanju vrednosti,
13:42
people will use their money and their energies
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ljudi će koristiti svoj novac i energiju
13:45
for more constructive things.
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za konstruktivnije stvari.
13:47
If it cost a fraction of a cent to send an email,
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Kada bi slanje imejla koštalo delić centa,
13:50
would we still have spam?
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da li bismo i dalje imali nepoželjne poruke?
13:52
We're not at this world yet,
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Nismo još u tom svetu,
13:54
but it's coming.
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ali on dolazi.
13:56
Right now, it's like we're in a world that is seeing the first automobile.
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Sada je kao da smo u svetu koji vidi prvi automobil.
14:01
The first cryptocurrency, like the first car,
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Prva kriptovaluta, kao prvi auto,
14:05
is slow and hard to understand and hard to use.
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je spora, teška za razumevanje i za korišćenje.
14:10
Digital money, like the horse and carriage,
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Digitalni novac, kao konj i kočija,
14:12
works pretty well,
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funkcioniše prilično dobro,
14:14
and the whole world economy is built on it.
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i celokupni svet ekonomije izgrađen je na njemu.
14:18
If you were the first person on your block
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Kada biste bili prva osoba u ulici
14:20
to get a car with an internal combustion engine,
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koja je nabavila auto sa motorom sa unutrašnjim sagorevanjem,
14:23
your neighbors would probably think you were crazy:
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vaše komšije bi verovatno pomislile da ste ludi:
14:26
"Why would you want this large, clunky machine
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„Zašto bi hteo ovu veliku, nezgrapnu mašinu
14:28
that breaks down all the time, that lights on fire,
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koja se stalno kvari i zapali se,
14:31
and is still slower than a horse?"
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a i dalje je sporija od konja?“
14:34
But we all know how that story turns out.
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No, svi znamo kako se ta priča završava.
14:38
We're entering a new era of programmable money.
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Ulazimo u novo doba novca koji se programira.
14:42
And it's very exciting, but it's also a little bit scary.
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To je veoma uzbudljivo, ali i pomalo zastrašujuće.
14:46
Cryptocurrencies can be used for illegal transactions,
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Kriptovalute se mogu koristiti za nezakonite transakcije,
14:50
just like cash is used for crime in the world today.
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baš kao što se gotovina koristi za kriminal u današnjem svetu.
14:54
When all of our transactions are online,
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Kada su sve naše transakcije onlajn,
14:56
what does that mean for surveillance -- who can see what we do?
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šta to znači za nadgledanje - ko može da vidi šta radimo?
15:02
Who's advantaged in this new world and who isn't?
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Ko ima prednosti u tom novom svetu, a ko ne?
15:05
Will I have to start to pay for things that I didn't have to pay for before?
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Da li ću morati da počnem da plaćam stvari za koje ranije nisam plaćala?
15:09
Will we all become slaves to algorithms and utility functions?
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Hoćemo li svi postati robovi algoritama i funkcija korisnosti?
15:15
All new technology comes with trade-offs.
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Svaka nova tehnologija nastupa uz kompromise.
15:18
The Internet brought us a lot of ways to waste time.
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Internet nam je doneo mnogo načina za traćenje vremena,
15:22
But it also greatly increased productivity.
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ali je takođe znatno uvećao produktivnost.
15:25
Mobile phones are annoying
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Mobilni telefoni su iritantni jer čine da se osećam
15:27
because they make me feel like I have to stay connected to work
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kao da stalno moram da budem vezana za posao,
15:30
all the time.
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15:31
But they also help me stay connected to friends and family.
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ali mi i pomažu da ostanem u vezi sa prijateljima i porodicom.
15:35
The new sharing economy is going to eliminate some jobs.
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Nova ekonomija deljenja će ukloniti neke poslove.
15:40
But it's also going to create new, flexible forms of employment.
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Međutim, takođe će stvoriti nove, fleksibilne oblike zaposlenja.
15:44
With programmable money,
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Sa novcem koji se programira,
15:46
we decouple the need for large, trusted institutions
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razdvajamo potrebu za velikim, pouzdanim institucijama
15:51
from the architecture of the network.
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od arhitekture mreže,
15:54
And this pushes innovation in money out to the edges, where it belongs.
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a to istiskuje novčane inovacije ka ivicama, tamo gde pripadaju.
16:00
Programmable money democratizes money.
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Novac koji se može programirati demokratizuje novac.
16:04
And because of this, things are going to change and unfold
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Zbog ovoga će se stvari promeniti i razvijati
16:07
in ways that we can't even predict.
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na načine koje ne možemo ni predvideti.
16:10
Thank you.
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Hvala.
16:11
(Applause)
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(Aplauz)

Original video on YouTube.com
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