Don Tapscott: Four principles for the open world

118,052 views ・ 2012-06-28

TED


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00:00
Translator: Joseph Geni Reviewer: Morton Bast
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Prevodilac: Tatjana Jevdjic Lektor: Stevan S.
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Openness. It's a word that
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Otvorenost. To je reč koja
00:19
denotes opportunity and possibilities.
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označava priliku i mogućnosti.
00:22
Open-ended, open hearth,
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Otvoreno rešenje, otvorenog srca,
00:24
open source, open door policy,
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otvoren izvor, politika otvorenih vrata,
00:27
open bar. (Laughter)
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otvoren bar. (Smeh)
00:31
And everywhere the world is opening up,
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Svet se svuda otvara
00:33
and it's a good thing.
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i to je dobra stvar.
00:35
Why is this happening?
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Zašto se ovo dešava?
00:36
The technology revolution is opening the world.
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Tehnološka revolucija otvara svet.
00:39
Yesterday's Internet was a platform
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Jučerašnji internet je bio platforma
00:42
for the presentation of content.
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za prezentaciju sadržaja.
00:44
The Internet of today is a platform for computation.
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Današnji internet je platforma za računanje.
00:48
The Internet is becoming a giant
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Internet postaje džinovski
00:49
global computer, and every time you go on it,
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globalni računar i svaki put kad odete na njega
00:52
you upload a video, you do a Google search,
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upload-ujete video, uradite Google pretragu,
00:55
you remix something,
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vi nešto kombinujete,
00:56
you're programming this big global computer
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programirate ovaj veliki globalni kompjuter
00:59
that we all share.
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koji svi delimo.
01:00
Humanity is building a machine,
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Čovečanstvo pravi mašinu
01:03
and this enables us to collaborate in new ways.
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i ovo nam omogućava da sarađujemo na nove načine.
01:06
Collaboration can occur on
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Saradnja može da se desi
01:08
an astronomical basis.
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na astronomskoj osnovi.
01:11
Now a new generation is opening up the world as well.
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Nove generacije sada takođe otvaraju svet.
01:14
I started studying kids about 15 years ago,
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Počeo sam da proučavam decu pre 15 godina,
01:17
-- so actually 20 years ago now --
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-- u stvari pre 20 godina --
01:19
and I noticed how my own children were
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primetio sam kako su moja deca bez napora
01:20
effortlessly able to use all this sophisticated technology,
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bila u stanju da koriste svu ovu sofisticiranu tehnologiju.
01:24
and at first I thought,
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Isprva sam pomislio:
01:25
"My children are prodigies!" (Laughter)
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"Moja deca su čuda od dece!" (Smeh)
01:28
But then I noticed all their friends were like them,
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Ali kad sam primetio da su svi njihovi prijatelji kao i oni,
01:30
so that was a bad theory.
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pa je to bila loša teorija.
01:32
So I've started working with a few hundred kids,
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Počeo da radim sa par stotina dece
01:35
and I came to the conclusion
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i zaključio sam
01:37
that this is the first generation to come of age
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da je ovo prva generacija koja stasava
01:39
in the digital age,
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u digitalnoj eri,
01:40
to be bathed in bits.
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prelivena bajtovima.
01:41
I call them the Net Generation.
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Zovem ih mrežnom generacijom,
01:44
I said, these kids are different.
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Rekao sam, ova deca su različita.
01:45
They have no fear of technology, because it's not there.
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Oni nemaju strah od tehnologije, jer je nema tu.
01:48
It's like the air.
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To je kao vazduh.
01:49
It's sort of like, I have no fear of a refrigerator.
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To je kao što ja nemam strah od frižidera.
01:53
And — (Laughter)
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I -- (Smeh)
01:56
And there's no more powerful force to change
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Nema snažnije sile da promeni
01:58
every institution than the first generation of digital natives.
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svaku instituciju od prve generacije digitalnih urođenika.
02:02
I'm a digital immigrant.
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Ja sam digitalni imigrant.
02:04
I had to learn the language.
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Morao sam da naučim jezik.
02:07
The global economic crisis is opening up the world as well.
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Globalna ekonomska kriza otvara svet, takođe.
02:10
Our opaque institutions from the Industrial Age,
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Naše netransparentne institucije iz industrijskog doba,
02:13
everything from old models of the corporation,
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sve od starih modela korporacija,
02:15
government, media, Wall Street,
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vlada, mediji, Volstrit,
02:18
are in various stages of being stalled or frozen
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nalaze se u raznim fazama zaostajanja ili smrzavanja
02:21
or in atrophy or even failing,
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ili atrofije ili čak propadanja,
02:24
and this is now creating a burning platform in the world.
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a ovo sad stvara plamteću platformu u svetu.
02:27
I mean, think about Wall Street.
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Mislim, pomislite na Volstrit.
02:29
The core modus operandi of Wall Street almost brought down
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Srž načina rada Volstrita je skoro oborio
02:32
global capitalism.
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globalni kapitalizam.
02:35
Now, you know the idea of a burning platform,
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Znate da je ideja plamteće platforme to,
02:36
that you're somewhere where the costs of staying where you are
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da trošak ostanka tu gde se nalaziš,
02:41
become greater than the costs of moving to something different,
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postaje veći od troška pomeranja na nešto drugo,
02:44
perhaps something radically different.
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možda nešto potpuno drugačije.
02:47
And we need to change
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Treba da se menjamo
02:49
and open up all of our institutions.
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i otvorimo sve naše institucije.
02:51
So this technology push,
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Ovaj tehnološki pritisak,
02:52
a demographic kick from a new generation
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demografski udar nove generacije
02:55
and a demand pull from a new
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i zahtevi novog
02:58
economic global environment
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globalnog ekonomskog okruženja
03:01
is causing the world to open up.
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izazivaju otvaranje sveta.
03:02
Now, I think, in fact,
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Mislim da se, u stvari,
03:05
we're at a turning point in human history,
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nalazimo na tački preokreta u ljudskoj istoriji,
03:09
where we can finally now rebuild
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kada konačno ponovo možemo izgraditi
03:11
many of the institutions of the Industrial Age
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mnoge institucije industrijskog doba
03:13
around a new set of principles.
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oko novih principa.
03:15
Now, what is openness?
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Šta je otvorenost?
03:17
Well, as it turns out, openness
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Ispada da otvorenost
03:19
has a number of different meanings,
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ima mnoga različita značenja
03:21
and for each there's a corresponding principle
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i za svako od njih postoji odgovarajući princip
03:24
for the transformation of
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za transformaciju
03:25
civilization.
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civilizacije.
03:27
The first is collaboration.
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Prvi je saradnja.
03:31
Now, this is openness in the sense of the boundaries
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Ovo je otvorenost u smislu granica
03:33
of organizations becoming more porous and fluid
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organizacija koje postaju poroznije, fluidnije
03:36
and open.
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i otvorenije.
03:38
The guy in the picture here,
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Momak na slici ovde,
03:40
I'll tell you his story.
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ispričaću vam njegovu priču.
03:41
His name is Rob McEwen.
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Njegovo ime je Rob Mekjuen.
03:43
I'd like to say, "I have this think tank, we scour the world
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Voleo bih da kažem: "Imam ovaj rezervoar znanja, pretražujemo svet
03:45
for amazing case studies."
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u potrazi za sjajnim primerima za proučavanje."
03:47
The reason I know this story
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Razlog što znam ovu priču je
03:49
is because he's my neighbor. (Laughter)
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to što je on moj sused. (Smeh)
03:53
He actually moved across the street from us,
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On se u stvari doselio preko puta, u našoj ulici,
03:55
and he held a cocktail party
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organizovao je koktel zabavu
03:56
to meet the neighbors, and he says, "You're Don Tapscott.
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da bi se upoznao sa susedima. On kaže: "Ti si Don Tapskot.
03:58
I've read some of your books."
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Pročitao sam neke od tvojih knjiga."
03:59
I said, "Great. What do you do?"
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Rekao sam: "Sjajno. Šta ti radiš?"
04:00
And he says, "Well I used to be a banker
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On kaže: "Bio sam bankar,
04:02
and now I'm a gold miner."
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a sad vadim zlato."
04:03
And he tells me this amazing story.
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I on mi ispriča ovu divnu priču.
04:06
He takes over this gold mine, and his geologists
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On preuzima ovaj zlatni rudnik i njegovi geolozi
04:09
can't tell him where the gold is.
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mu ne mogu reći gde je zlato.
04:10
He gives them more money for geological data,
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On im daje mnogo više novca za geološke podatke,
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they come back, they can't tell
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oni se vrate, ali mu ne mogu reći
04:13
him where to go into production.
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gde da krene sa proizvodnjom.
04:15
After a few years, he's so frustrated he's ready
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Posle par godina, on je tako frustriran da je spreman da
04:19
to give up, but he has an epiphany one day.
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odustane, ali jednoga dana doživljava proviđenje.
04:22
He wonders, "If my geologists don't know where the gold is,
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Pita se: "Ako moji geolozi ne znaju gde je zlato,
04:24
maybe somebody else does."
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možda zna neko drugi."
04:27
So he does a "radical" thing.
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Zbog toga on učini "radikalnu" stvar.
04:29
He takes his geological data,
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Svoje geološke podatke
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he publishes it and he holds a contest on the Internet
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on objavljuje i postavi sadržaj na internetu,
04:33
called the Goldcorp Challenge.
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nazivajući ga Goldkorp Izazov.
04:34
It's basically half a million dollars in prize money
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To je u osnovi pola miliona dolara nagrade
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for anybody who can tell me, do I have any gold,
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za svakog ko može da mi kaže, imam li imalo zlata,
04:41
and if so, where is it? (Laughter)
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a ako imam, gde je? (Smeh)
04:45
He gets submissions from all around the world.
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Iz celog sveta dobija prijave.
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They use techniques that he's never heard of,
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Oni koriste tehnike za koje on nikad nije čuo
04:49
and for his half a million dollars in prize money,
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i to za nagradu od pola miliona.
04:51
Rob McEwen finds 3.4 billion dollars worth of gold.
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Rob Mekjuen je pronašao zlatо vredno 3,4 milijarde dolara.
04:55
The market value of his company
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Tržišna vrednost njegove firme
04:57
goes from 90 million to 10 billion dollars,
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je skočila sa 90 miliona na 10 milijardi dolara.
05:00
and I can tell you, because he's my neighbor,
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Mogu vam reći, jer je on moj sused,
05:02
he's a happy camper. (Laughter)
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da je srećan momak. (Smeh)
05:06
You know, conventional wisdom says talent is inside, right?
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Znate, uobičajena mudrost kaže da je talenat unutra.
05:09
Your most precious asset goes out the elevator every night.
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Vaša najdragocenijа vrednost izlazi iz lifta svako veče.
05:13
He viewed talent differently.
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On je posmatrao talenat drugačije.
05:15
He wondered, who are their peers?
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Pitao se, ko su njihove kolege?
05:17
He should have fired his geology department, but he didn't.
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Trebalo je da otpusti svoje geološko odeljenje, ali nije.
05:21
You know, some of the best submissions
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Znate, neke od najboljih predloga
05:24
didn't come from geologists.
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nisu dali geolozi.
05:26
They came from computer scientists, engineers.
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Dali su ih kompjuterski stručnjaci, inženjeri.
05:28
The winner was a computer graphics company
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Pobednik je bila firma za kompjutersku grafiku
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that built a three dimensional model of the mine
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koja je napravila trodimenzionalni model rudnika
05:32
where you can helicopter underground
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gde je moguće leteti helikopterom pod zemljom
05:33
and see where the gold is.
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i videti gde je zlato.
05:36
He helped us understand that social media's becoming
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Pomogao nam je da razumemo da drušveni medijum postaje
05:39
social production.
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društvena proizvodnja.
05:41
It's not about hooking up online.
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Nije stvar u onlajn povezivanju.
05:43
This is a new means of production in the making.
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Ovo je nastajanje novog načina proizvodnje.
05:46
And this Ideagora that he created, an open market, agora,
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Ova Ideagora koju je stvorio, otvoreno tržište, agora,
05:50
for uniquely qualified minds,
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za jedinstveno kompetentne umove,
05:53
was part of a change, a profound change in the deep structure
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je bila deo suštinske promene u dubokoj strukturi
05:58
and architecture of our organizations,
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i arhitekturi naših organizacija
06:00
and how we sort of orchestrate capability to innovate,
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i načina na koji organizujemo sposobnost uvođenja inovacija
06:04
to create goods and services,
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da bismo napravili robu i usluge,
06:05
to engage with the rest of the world,
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i uposlili se sa ostatkom sveta,
06:07
in terms of government, how we create public value.
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u smislu vladavine, kako da kreiramo javno dobro.
06:11
Openness is about collaboration.
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Otvorenost je saradnja.
06:13
Now secondly, openness is about transparency.
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Drugo, otvorenost je transparentnost.
06:15
This is different. Here, we're talking about the communication
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Ovo je različito. Ovde govorimo o komunikaciji
06:18
of pertinent information to stakeholders of organizations:
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između zainteresovanih strana u organizacijama o relevantnim informacijama:
06:21
employees, customers, business partners, shareholders,
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zaposleni, kupci, biznis parteri, akcionari,
06:24
and so on.
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itd.
06:26
And everywhere, our institutions are becoming naked.
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Naše institucije postaju ogoljene svuda.
06:30
People are all bent out of shape about WikiLeaks,
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Svi ljudi su iznervirani oko Vikiliksa,
06:33
but that's just the tip of the iceberg.
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a to je samo vrh ledenog brega.
06:35
You see, people at their fingertips now, everybody,
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Vidite, ljudi imaju pod vrhovima svojih prstiju, svi, ne samo
06:38
not just Julian Assange,
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Džulijan Asanž,
06:40
have these powerful tools for finding out what's going on,
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ovaj moćni alat za saznavanje toga šta se dešava,
06:43
scrutinizing, informing others,
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provere, daju informacije drugima
06:44
and even organizing collective responses.
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i čak organizuju grupne odgovore.
06:48
Institutions are becoming naked,
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Institucije postaju ogoljene
06:50
and if you're going to be naked,
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i ako ćete da postanete goli
06:52
well, there's some corollaries that flow from that.
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neke posledice proističu iz toga.
06:55
I mean, one is,
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Jedna je da
06:56
fitness is no longer optional. (Laughter)
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fitnes nije više opcioni. (Smeh)
06:58
You know? Or if you're going to be naked, you'd better get buff.
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Znate? Ili ako ćete biti goli, bolje je biti nabildovan.
07:03
Now, by buff I mean, you need to have good value,
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Biti nabildovan, mislim na to da treba da imate dobru vredost,
07:06
because value is evidenced like never before.
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jer vrednost se dokazuje kao nikad pre.
07:08
You say you have good products.
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Kažete da imate dobre proizvode.
07:09
They'd better be good.
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Bolje da su dobri.
07:10
But you also need to have values.
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Ali takođe treba da imate vrednosti.
07:12
You need to have integrity as part of your bones
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Treba da imate integritet u svojoj srži
07:15
and your DNA as an organization,
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i vašoj DNK kao organizaciji,
07:17
because if you don't, you'll be unable to build trust,
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jer ako nemate, nećete moći da izgradite poverenje,
07:20
and trust is a sine qua non of this new network world.
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a poverenje je 'sine qua non' ovog novog umreženog sveta.
07:24
So this is good. It's not bad.
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To je dobro. To nije loše.
07:27
Sunlight is the best disinfectant.
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Sunce je najbolje sredstvo za dezinfekciju.
07:30
And we need a lot of sunlight in this troubled world.
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Nama je potrebno mnogo sunca u ovom problematičnom svetu.
07:34
Now, the third meaning and corresponding principle
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Treće značenje i odgovarajući princip je
07:37
of openness is about sharing.
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da je otvorenost i deljenje.
07:39
Now this is different than transparency.
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Ovo je drugačije od transparentnosti.
07:41
Transparency is about the communication of information.
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Transparentnost je o komunikaciji informacija.
07:43
Sharing is about giving up assets, intellectual property.
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Deljenje je o davanju sredstava, intelektualnog vlasništva.
07:48
And there are all kinds of famous stories about this.
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Ima svakakvih poznatih priča o ovome.
07:50
IBM gave away 400 million dollars of software
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IBM je poklonio softver od 400 miliona dolara
07:53
to the Linux movement, and that gave them
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Linuksu, to im je donelo
07:55
a multi-billion dollar payoff.
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3011
više milijardersku isplatu u dolarima.
07:58
Now, conventional wisdom says,
187
478620
1960
Uobičajena mudrost kaže:
08:00
"Well, hey, our intellectual property belongs to us,
188
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2735
"Pa dobro, naša intelektualna svojina pripada nama,
08:03
and if someone tries to infringe it, we're going to get out
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2303
a ako neko pokuša da je ukrade, uzećemo advokate
08:05
our lawyers and we're going to sue them."
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2348
i tužićemo ih."
08:07
Well, it didn't work so well for the record labels, did it?
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3413
To nije bilo tako uspešno po pitanju izdavačkih kuća, zar ne?
08:11
I mean, they took — They had a technology disruption,
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5104
Mislim, oni su uzeli -- Imali su tehnološki poremećaj
08:16
and rather than taking a business model innovation
193
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2689
i umesto da su inovirali biznis model
08:19
to correspond to that, they took and sought a legal solution
194
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3952
da tome odgovori, posegli su za legalnim rešenjem,
08:23
and the industry that brought you Elvis and the Beatles
195
503124
2313
te industrija koja je stvorila Elvisa i Bitlse
08:25
is now suing children
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505437
2032
sada tuži decu
08:27
and is in danger of collapse.
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4167
i u opasnosti je da propadne.
08:31
So we need to think differently about intellectual property.
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2841
Zato nam je potrebno da mislimo drugačije o intelektualnoj svojini.
08:34
I'll give you an example.
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1029
Daću vam primer.
08:35
The pharmaceutical industry is in deep trouble.
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2882
Farmaceutska industrija je u velikoj nevolji.
08:38
First of all, there aren't a lot of big inventions
201
518388
2605
Prvo, nema mnogo velikih otkrića
08:40
in the pipeline, and this is a big problem for human health,
202
520993
2354
u najavi i ovo je veliki problem za ljudsko zdravlje.
08:43
and the pharmaceutical industry has got a bigger problem,
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5161
Farmaceutska industrija ima veći problem,
08:48
that they're about to fall off something
204
528508
1923
a to je da će da se sruše sa nečega
08:50
called the patent cliff.
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1521
što se zove litica patenata.
08:51
Do you know about this?
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531952
768
Da li znate za to?
08:52
They're going to lose 20 to 35 percent of their revenue
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3004
Oni će da izgube 20 do 35 posto svog prihoda
08:55
in the next 12 months.
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1627
u narednih 12 meseci.
08:57
And what are you going to do,
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1331
Šta ćete vi da uradite,
08:58
like, cut back on paper clips or something? No.
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538682
3110
kao, štedeti na spajalicama ili slično? Ne.
09:01
We need to reinvent the whole model of scientific research.
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4713
Moramo da ponovo osmislimo ceo model naučnog istraživanja.
09:06
The pharmaceutical industry needs to place assets
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3464
Farmaceutska industrija treba da smesti sredstva
09:09
in a commons. They need to start sharing precompetitive research.
213
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3935
u javna dobra. Oni treba da počnu da dele istraživanja sa konkurencijom.
09:13
They need to start sharing
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2343
Treba da počnu da dele
09:16
clinical trial data,
215
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1458
kliničke podatke ispitivanja,
09:17
and in doing so, create a rising tide that could lift all boats,
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4271
i čineći to, da stvore rastuću plimu koja bi mogla da podigne sve brodove,
09:21
not just for the industry but
217
561976
1942
ne samo za industriju već i
09:23
for humanity.
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2791
za čovečanstvo.
09:26
Now, the fourth meaning
219
566709
2405
Četvrto značenje
09:29
of openness,
220
569114
2146
otvorenosti
09:31
and corresponding principle, is about empowerment.
221
571260
1999
i odgovarajućeg principa je osnaživanje.
09:33
And I'm not talking about the motherhood sense here.
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2216
Ne govorim ovde u majčinskom smislu.
09:35
Knowledge and intelligence is power,
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3474
Znanje i inteligencija je moć,
09:38
and as it becomes more distributed, there's a
224
578949
2839
i kako se više raspodeljuju, postoji
09:41
concomitant distribution
225
581788
2545
istovremena podela
09:44
and decentralization and disaggregation of power
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584333
3631
i decentralizacija i razbijanje moći
09:47
that's underway in the world today.
227
587964
1929
koja je na tom putu u današnjem svetu.
09:49
The open world is bringing freedom.
228
589893
3090
Otvoreni svet donosi slobodu.
09:52
Now, take the Arab Spring.
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2349
Pogledajmo arapsko proleće.
09:55
The debate about the role of social media
230
595332
1912
Diskusija o ulozi društvenih medija
09:57
and social change has been settled.
231
597244
1994
i društvene promene je rešena.
09:59
You know, one word: Tunisia.
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599238
3238
Znate, jedna reč: Tunis.
10:02
And then it ended up having a whole bunch of other words too.
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2346
I posle se završilo sa mnogo drugih reči takođe.
10:04
But in the Tunisian revolution,
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604822
2342
Ali u tunižanskoj revoluciji
10:07
the new media didn't cause the revolution;
235
607164
2127
novi mediji nisu uzrokovali revoluciju,
10:09
it was caused by injustice.
236
609291
1780
već nepravda.
10:11
Social media didn't create the revolution;
237
611071
4237
Društveni mediji nisu stvorili revoluciju,
10:15
it was created by a new generation of young people
238
615308
2321
nju je napravila nova generacija mladih ljudi
10:17
who wanted jobs and hope and
239
617629
1808
koji su hteli posao i nadu i koji
10:19
who didn't want to be treated as subjects anymore.
240
619437
4026
nisu više hteli da budu tretirani kao subjekti.
10:23
But just as the Internet drops transaction and collaboration
241
623463
3065
Ali isto kao što internet spušta cene transakcija i saradnje
10:26
costs in business and government,
242
626528
2368
u biznisu i upravi,
10:28
it also drops the cost of dissent, of rebellion,
243
628896
2757
on takođe spušta cenu neslaganja, pobune
10:31
and even insurrection
244
631653
1829
i čak ustanka
10:33
in ways that people didn't understand.
245
633482
2092
na načine koje ljudi nisu razumeli.
10:35
You know, during the Tunisian revolution,
246
635574
1823
Znate, za vreme revolucije u Tunisu,
10:37
snipers associated with the regime were killing
247
637397
2694
režimski snajperisti su ubijali
10:40
unarmed students in the street.
248
640091
1744
nenaoružane studente na ulici.
10:41
So the students would take their mobile devices,
249
641835
3021
Tako da su studenti uzimali svoje mobilne uređaje,
10:44
take a picture, triangulate the location,
250
644856
2653
slikali, pozicionirali lokaciju,
10:47
send that picture to friendly military units,
251
647509
2201
slali tu sliku prijateljskim vojnim jedinicama,
10:49
who'd come in and take out the snipers.
252
649710
2409
koje bi došle i ubijale snajperiste.
10:52
You think that social media is about hooking up online?
253
652119
2534
Mislite da su društveni mediji onlajn povezivanje?
10:54
For these kids, it was a military tool
254
654653
3027
Za ovu decu, to je bilo vojno sredstvo
10:57
to defend unarmed people from murderers.
255
657680
3126
da odbrane nenaoružane ljude od ubica.
11:00
It was a tool of self-defense.
256
660806
2133
Bilo je to sredstvo za samoodbranu.
11:02
You know, as we speak today, young people
257
662939
2355
Znate, dok danas pričamo, mladi
11:05
are being killed in Syria,
258
665294
2010
se ubijaju u Siriji,
11:07
and up until three months ago,
259
667304
1810
i do pre tri meseca
11:09
if you were injured on the street,
260
669114
2199
ako ste bili ranjeni na ulici,
11:11
an ambulance would pick you up,
261
671313
1452
ambulanta bi vas pokupila,
11:12
take you to the hospital, you'd go in, say, with a broken leg,
262
672765
2900
odvela u bolnicu, ušli biste sa recimo slomljenom nogom,
11:15
and you'd come out with a bullet in your head.
263
675665
2479
a izašli sa metkom u glavi.
11:18
So these 20-somethings created
264
678144
2911
Ovi dvadesetogodišnjaci su napravili
11:21
an alternative health care system,
265
681055
2294
alternativni zdravstveni sistem,
11:23
where what they did is they used Twitter and basic
266
683349
2390
koristili su Tviter i osnovna
11:25
publicly available tools that when someone's injured,
267
685739
3245
javno dostupna sredstva, da kad je neko ranjen,
11:28
a car would show up, it would pick them up,
268
688984
2680
auto bi došao, pokupio bi ih,
11:31
take them to a makeshift medical clinic, where you'd get
269
691664
2559
odvezao u improvizovanu medicinsku ambulantu, gde biste dobili
11:34
medical treatment, as opposed to being executed.
270
694223
3542
medicinski tretman, u odnosu na mogućnost da vas ubiju.
11:37
So this is a time of great change.
271
697765
3185
Zato je ovo vreme velike promene.
11:40
Now, it's not without its problems.
272
700950
2634
Nije bez problema.
11:43
Up until two years ago,
273
703584
2646
Do pre dve godine,
11:46
all revolutions in human history had a leadership,
274
706230
3153
sve revolucije u ljudskoj istoriji su imale vođstvo
11:49
and when the old regime fell, the leadership
275
709383
2792
i kad bi stari režim pao, vođstvo
11:52
and the organization would take power.
276
712175
978
i organizacija bi preuzeli vlast.
11:53
Well, these wiki revolutions happen so fast
277
713153
2525
Ove viki revolucije se dešavaju tako brzo
11:55
they create a vacuum, and
278
715678
1498
da kreiraju vakuum,
11:57
politics abhors a vacuum,
279
717176
1735
a politika ne podnosi vakuum
11:58
and unsavory forces can fill that,
280
718911
2072
i neprijateljske sile ga mogu popuniti,
12:00
typically the old regime,
281
720983
3126
tipično stari režim,
12:04
or extremists, or fundamentalist forces.
282
724109
2346
ili ekstremisti ili fundamentalističke sile.
12:06
You can see this playing out today in Egypt.
283
726455
2735
Ovo možete videti u akciji u Egiptu danas.
12:09
But that doesn't matter,
284
729190
1663
Ali to nema veze,
12:10
because this is moving forward.
285
730853
2137
jer ovo se pomera napred.
12:12
The train has left the station. The cat is out of the bag.
286
732990
2976
Voz je napustio stanicu. Mačka je van torbe.
12:15
The horse is out of the barn. Help me out here, okay?
287
735966
3378
Konj je van štale. Pomozite mi ovde, OK?
12:19
(Laughter) The toothpaste is out of the tube.
288
739344
2142
(Smeh) Pasta za zube je van tube.
12:21
I mean, we're not putting this one back.
289
741486
2223
Nećemo je vraćati unutra.
12:23
The open world is bringing empowerment and freedom.
290
743709
3733
Otvoreni svet donosi osnaženje i slobodu.
12:27
I think, at the end of these four days,
291
747442
2784
Mislim, na kraju ova četiri dana,
12:30
that you'll come to conclude that the arc of history
292
750226
2766
doći ćete do zaključka da je luk istorije
12:32
is a positive one, and it's towards openness.
293
752992
3496
pozitivan i da ide prema otvorenosti.
12:36
If you go back a few hundred years,
294
756488
2481
Ako idete unazad nekoliko stotina godina,
12:38
all around the world it was a very closed society.
295
758969
2384
ceo svet je bio veoma zatvoreno društvo.
12:41
It was agrarian, and the means of production
296
761353
1569
Bio je poljoprivredni, sredstva za proizvodnju
12:42
and political system was called feudalism, and knowledge
297
762922
2715
i politički sistem zvali su se feudalizam, znanje
12:45
was concentrated in the church and the nobility.
298
765637
3938
je bilo koncentrisano u crkvi i plemstvu.
12:49
People didn't know about things.
299
769575
1607
Ljudi nisu znali o stvarima.
12:51
There was no concept of progress.
300
771182
2475
Nije postojao koncept progresa.
12:53
You were born, you lived your life and you died.
301
773657
1903
Rodili biste se, živeli svoj život i umrli.
12:55
But then Johannes Gutenberg came along with his great invention,
302
775560
4596
Onda se pojavio Johan Gutenberg sa svojim sjajnim otkrićem,
13:00
and, over time, the society opened up.
303
780156
3552
i vremenom društvo se otvorilo.
13:03
People started to learn about things, and when they did,
304
783708
2041
Ljudi su počeli da uče o stvarima i posle toga
13:05
the institutions of feudal society appeared
305
785749
1385
institucije feudalnog društva su se pokazale
13:07
to be stalled, or frozen, or failing.
306
787134
3703
kao ustajale, zamrznute ili u stanju propadanja.
13:10
It didn't make sense for the church to be responsible
307
790837
2776
Nije imalo smisla da crkva bude odgovorna
13:13
for medicine when people had knowledge.
308
793613
2282
za lečenje, kad su ljudi imali saznanje.
13:15
So we saw the Protestant Reformation.
309
795895
1947
Tako da smo videli protestantsku reformu.
13:17
Martin Luther called the printing press
310
797842
1870
Martin Luter je nazvao štamparsku presu
13:19
"God's highest act of grace."
311
799712
2397
"božje delo najvišeg milosrđa".
13:22
The creation of a corporation, science, the university,
312
802109
3511
Nastanak korporacija, nauke, univerziteta
13:25
eventually the Industrial Revolution,
313
805620
1687
i na kraju Industrijska revolucija
13:27
and it was all good.
314
807307
2174
i sve je bilo dobro,
13:29
But it came with a cost.
315
809481
2147
Ali je došlo sa cenom.
13:31
And now, once again, the technology genie
316
811628
2712
Sad, još jednom, tehnološki duh
13:34
is out of the bottle, but this time it's different.
317
814340
3320
je van boce, ali ovaj put drugačiji.
13:37
The printing press gave us access to the written word.
318
817660
2865
Štamparska presa nam je pružila pristup pisanoj reči.
13:40
The Internet enables each of us to be a producer.
319
820525
3459
Internet nam omogućava da postanemo stvaraoci.
13:43
The printing press gave us access to recorded knowledge.
320
823984
2814
Štamparska presa nam je pružila pristup zabeleženom znanju.
13:46
The Internet gives us access,
321
826798
1910
Internet nam pruža pristup,
13:48
not just to information and knowledge, but
322
828708
1649
ne samo informacijama i znanju, već
13:50
to the intelligence contained in the crania of other people
323
830357
3376
umovima u glavama ostalih ljudi
13:53
on a global basis.
324
833733
1537
na globalnoj osnovi.
13:55
To me, this is not an information age,
325
835270
3239
Za mene ovo nije samo informaciono doba,
13:58
it's an age of networked intelligence.
326
838509
2874
to je doba umrežene pameti.
14:01
It's an age of vast promise,
327
841383
3872
To je doba neizmernog obećanja,
14:05
an age of collaboration,
328
845255
3128
doba saradnje,
14:08
where the boundaries of our organizations are changing,
329
848383
4179
gde se granice naših organizacija menjaju,
14:12
of transparency, where sunlight
330
852562
2715
doba transparentonsti, gde sunčeva svetlost
14:15
is disinfecting civilization,
331
855277
3223
pročišćava civilizaciju,
14:18
an age of sharing and understanding
332
858500
3556
doba deljenja i razumevanja
14:22
the new power of the commons,
333
862056
1706
nove snage dobara,
14:23
and it's an age of empowerment
334
863762
2643
doba osnaženja
14:26
and of freedom.
335
866405
2891
i slobode.
14:29
Now, what I'd like to do is,
336
869296
3536
Ono što bih želeo u
14:32
to close, to share with you
337
872832
2648
zaključku, je da podelim sa vama
14:35
some research that I've been doing.
338
875480
2609
neko istraživanje koje sprovodim.
14:38
I've tried to study all kinds of organizations
339
878089
2511
Pokušavao sam da proučavam sve vrste organizacija
14:40
to understand what the future might look like,
340
880600
3137
da bih razumeo kako bi budućnost mogla da izgleda,
14:43
but I've been studying nature recently.
341
883737
3025
ali sam u poslednje vreme proučavao prirodu.
14:46
You know, bees come in swarms
342
886762
3630
Znate, pčele dolaze u rojevima
14:50
and fish come in schools.
343
890392
2711
i ribe dolaze u jatima.
14:53
Starlings, in the area around Edinburgh,
344
893103
2813
Čvorci, u oblasti oko Edinburga
14:55
in the moors of England,
345
895916
1483
u vresištima Engleske,
14:57
come in something called a murmuration,
346
897399
2094
dolaze u posebnim jatima,
14:59
and the murmuration refers to the murmuring of the wings
347
899493
2772
čiji se naziv murmuracija odnosi na žamor ptičjih krila
15:02
of the birds, and throughout the day the starlings
348
902265
1913
i tokom dana čvorci
15:04
are out over a 20-mile radius
349
904178
1865
lete u radijusu preko 30 km
15:06
sort of doing their starling thing.
350
906043
2041
radeći njihovu stvar.
15:08
And at night they come together
351
908084
1764
Noću oni zajedno dolete
15:09
and they create one of the most spectacular things
352
909848
2122
i naprave jednu od najspektakularnijih stvari
15:11
in all of nature,
353
911970
1595
u celoj prirodi,
15:13
and it's called a murmuration.
354
913565
2054
koja se zove murmuracija (letenje vrlo blizu) .
15:15
And scientists that have studied this have said
355
915619
2917
Naučnici koji su ovo proučavali rekli su
15:18
they've never seen an accident.
356
918536
1746
da nikad nisu videli da se desi nezgoda.
15:20
Now, this thing has a function.
357
920282
1950
Ova stvar ima funkciju.
15:22
It protects the birds.
358
922232
1862
Ona štiti ptice.
15:24
You can see on the right here,
359
924094
1600
Možete upravo ovde da vidite,
15:25
there's a predator being chased away by the collective power
360
925694
4505
ptice zajedničkom snagom imaju moć da
15:30
of the birds, and apparently this is a frightening thing
361
930199
2990
gone predatora i ovo je zastrašujuća stvar
15:33
if you're a predator of starlings.
362
933189
3464
za predatora.
15:36
And there's leadership,
363
936653
2448
Postoji vođstvo,
15:39
but there's no one leader.
364
939101
2138
ali nema jednog vođe.
15:41
Now, is this some kind of fanciful analogy,
365
941239
2101
Da li je to neka vrsta nestvarne analogije
15:43
or could we actually learn something from this?
366
943340
2446
ili mi u stvari možemo da naučimo nešto iz ovoga?
15:45
Well, the murmuration functions to record
367
945786
3056
Funkcionisanje ovoga beleži
15:48
a number of principles,
368
948842
1363
brojne principe,
15:50
and they're basically the principles that
369
950205
1519
to su uglavnom principi koje sam
15:51
I have described to you today.
370
951724
1914
vam danas opisao.
15:53
This is a huge collaboration.
371
953638
2806
To je ogromna saradnja.
15:56
It's an openness, it's a sharing
372
956444
1779
To je otvorenost, to je deljenje
15:58
of all kinds of information, not just about location
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svih vrsta informacija, ne samo o lokaciji
16:00
and trajectory and danger and so on, but about food sources.
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i putanji i opasnosti itd., ali i o izvorima hrane.
16:05
And there's a real sense of interdependence,
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I tu je stvarni osećaj međusobne zavisnosti,
16:09
that the individual birds somehow understand
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individualne ptice nekako razumeju
16:13
that their interests are in the interest of the collective.
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da su njihovi interesi u interesu zajednice.
16:16
Perhaps like we should understand
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Možda, kao što bismo mi trebalo da razumemo
16:18
that business can't succeed
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da biznis ne može da uspe
16:22
in a world that's failing.
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u svetu koji propada.
16:25
Well, I look at this thing,
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Pogledam ovu stvar
16:26
and I get a lot of hope.
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i ja dobijam veliku nadu.
16:29
Think about the kids today in the Arab Spring, and
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Pomislite o klincima arapskog proleća danas i
16:34
you see something like this that's underway.
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videćete da tako nešto nailazi.
16:37
And imagine, just consider this idea, if you would:
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I zamislite, samo razmotrite ideju, ako možete:
16:41
What if we could connect ourselves in this world
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šta ako možemo da se povežemo u ovom svetu
16:45
through a vast network of air and glass?
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kroz prostranu mrežu vazduha i stakla?
16:49
Could we go beyond just sharing information and knowledge?
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Da li možemo da odemo i dalje od deljenja samo informacija i znanja?
16:52
Could we start to share our intelligence?
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Da li možemo da počnemo da delimo našu pamet?
16:54
Could we create some kind of
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Da li bismo mogli da stvorimo neku vrstu
16:56
collective intelligence
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kolektivne inteligencije
16:58
that goes beyond an individual or a group or a team
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veću od pojedinca ili grupe ili tima,
17:02
to create, perhaps, some kind of consciousness
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da bismo, možda stvorili neku vrstu svesnosti
17:06
on a global basis?
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na globalnoj osnovi?
17:07
Well, if we could do this, we could attack some big problems in the world.
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Ako to možemo, onda možemo da navalimo da rešavamo neke velike probleme u svetu.
17:11
And I look at this thing,
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Gledajući ovu stvar,
17:13
and, I don't know, I get a lot of hope that maybe this
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dobijam veliku nadu da možda ovaj
17:16
smaller, networked, open world
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manji, umreženi, otvoreni svet
17:20
that our kids inherit might be a better one, and that
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koji su naša deca nasledila, može postati bolji.
17:23
this new age of networked intelligence could be
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Ova nova era umrežene inteligencije može biti
17:26
an age of promise fulfilled
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era ispunjenih obećanja
17:29
and of peril unrequited.
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i neostvarene opasnosti.
17:32
Let's do this. Thank you.
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Uradimo to. Hvala.
17:35
(Applause)
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(Aplauz)
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