Don Tapscott: Four principles for the open world

118,116 views ・ 2012-06-28

TED


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00:00
Translator: Joseph Geni Reviewer: Morton Bast
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Prevoditelj: Senzos Osijek Recezent: Suzana Baric
00:16
Openness. It's a word that
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Otvorenost. To je riječ koja
00:19
denotes opportunity and possibilities.
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označava priliku i mogućnosti.
00:22
Open-ended, open hearth,
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Otvorene granice, otvoreno srce,
00:24
open source, open door policy,
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otvoren izvor, politika otvorenih vrata,
00:27
open bar. (Laughter)
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otvoreni šank. (Smijeh)
00:31
And everywhere the world is opening up,
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Svijet se posvuda otvara
00:33
and it's a good thing.
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i to je dobra stvar.
00:35
Why is this happening?
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Zašto se to događa?
00:36
The technology revolution is opening the world.
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Tehnološka revolucija otvara svijet.
00:39
Yesterday's Internet was a platform
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Jučerašnji Internet bio je platforma
00:42
for the presentation of content.
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za prezentaciju sadržaja.
00:44
The Internet of today is a platform for computation.
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Današnji Internet platforma je za računanje.
00:48
The Internet is becoming a giant
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Internet postaje veliko
00:49
global computer, and every time you go on it,
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globalno računalo i svaki puta kada se na njega priključite,
00:52
you upload a video, you do a Google search,
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postavite neki video, tražite nešto na Googleu,
00:55
you remix something,
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nešto remixirate,
00:56
you're programming this big global computer
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programirate to veliko globalno računalo
00:59
that we all share.
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koje svi dijelimo.
01:00
Humanity is building a machine,
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Čovječanstvo gradi stroj
01:03
and this enables us to collaborate in new ways.
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i to nam omogućuje da surađujemo na nove načine.
01:06
Collaboration can occur on
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Suradnja se može ostvariti
01:08
an astronomical basis.
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na astronomskoj bazi.
01:11
Now a new generation is opening up the world as well.
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Sada također i nova generacija otvara svijet.
01:14
I started studying kids about 15 years ago,
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Počeo sam proučavati djecu prije otprilike 15 godina,
01:17
-- so actually 20 years ago now --
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zapravo prije 20 godina,
01:19
and I noticed how my own children were
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i primijetio sam kako moja djeca mogu
01:20
effortlessly able to use all this sophisticated technology,
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bez problema koristiti tu sofisticiranu tehnologiju
01:24
and at first I thought,
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i isprva sam pomislio:
01:25
"My children are prodigies!" (Laughter)
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"Moja djeca su genijalci!" (Smijeh)
01:28
But then I noticed all their friends were like them,
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Ali tada sam primijetio da su svi njihovi prijatelji poput njih,
01:30
so that was a bad theory.
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dakle, to je bila loša teorija.
01:32
So I've started working with a few hundred kids,
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Počeo sam raditi s nekoliko stotina djece
01:35
and I came to the conclusion
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i došao do zaključka
01:37
that this is the first generation to come of age
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da je to prva generacija koja je odrasla
01:39
in the digital age,
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u digitalnom dobu,
01:40
to be bathed in bits.
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okupana u bitovima.
01:41
I call them the Net Generation.
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Ja ih zovem Net Generacijom.
01:44
I said, these kids are different.
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Rekao sam, ova djeca su drugačija.
01:45
They have no fear of technology, because it's not there.
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Ne boje se tehnologije jer ne znaju svijet bez nje.
01:48
It's like the air.
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Ona je kao zrak.
01:49
It's sort of like, I have no fear of a refrigerator.
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Slično tome kako se ja ne bojim hladnjaka.
01:53
And — (Laughter)
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I — (smijeh)
01:56
And there's no more powerful force to change
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I ne postoji moćnija sila koja bi mogla promijeniti
01:58
every institution than the first generation of digital natives.
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sve institucije od prve generacije digitalnih starosjedioca.
02:02
I'm a digital immigrant.
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Ja sam digitalni imigrant.
02:04
I had to learn the language.
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Morao sam naučiti jezik.
02:07
The global economic crisis is opening up the world as well.
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Globalna ekonomska kriza također otvara svijet.
02:10
Our opaque institutions from the Industrial Age,
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Naše mutne institucije iz industrijskog doba,
02:13
everything from old models of the corporation,
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sve od starih modela korporacija,
02:15
government, media, Wall Street,
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vlada, medija i Wall Streeta
02:18
are in various stages of being stalled or frozen
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u različitim su fazama zastoja, smrzavanja,
02:21
or in atrophy or even failing,
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atrofiranja ili čak propadanja
02:24
and this is now creating a burning platform in the world.
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i to stvara novi gorući problem u svijetu.
02:27
I mean, think about Wall Street.
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Mislim, razmislite o Wall Streetu.
02:29
The core modus operandi of Wall Street almost brought down
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Temeljni modus operandi Wall Streeta gotovo je srušio
02:32
global capitalism.
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globalni kapitalizam.
02:35
Now, you know the idea of a burning platform,
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Poznata vam je ideja gorućeg problema,
02:36
that you're somewhere where the costs of staying where you are
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kada ste na točki gdje cijena ostajanja na mjestu
02:41
become greater than the costs of moving to something different,
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postaje veća od cijene micanja na posve novo mjesto,
02:44
perhaps something radically different.
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možda radikalno drugačije.
02:47
And we need to change
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I mi moramo promijeniti
02:49
and open up all of our institutions.
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i otvoriti sve naše institucije.
02:51
So this technology push,
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Dakle, taj tehnološki poticaj,
02:52
a demographic kick from a new generation
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demografski udarac nove generacije
02:55
and a demand pull from a new
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i potražnja od strane novog
02:58
economic global environment
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globalnog ekonomskog stanja
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is causing the world to open up.
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uzrokuje otvaranje svijeta.
03:02
Now, I think, in fact,
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Zapravo, mislim da se
03:05
we're at a turning point in human history,
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nalazimo u odlučujućem trenutku u ljudskoj povijesti,
03:09
where we can finally now rebuild
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trenutku u kojem napokon možemo ponovno sagraditi
03:11
many of the institutions of the Industrial Age
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mnoge institucije industrijskog doba
03:13
around a new set of principles.
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oko novog seta principa.
03:15
Now, what is openness?
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Što je otvorenost?
03:17
Well, as it turns out, openness
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Pa, ispada da otvorenost
03:19
has a number of different meanings,
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ima više značenja
03:21
and for each there's a corresponding principle
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i za svako od njih postoji odgovarajući princip
03:24
for the transformation of
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za transformaciju
03:25
civilization.
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civilizacije.
03:27
The first is collaboration.
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Prvi je suradnja.
03:31
Now, this is openness in the sense of the boundaries
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To je otvorenost u smislu granica
03:33
of organizations becoming more porous and fluid
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organizacija koje postaju porozne, tečne
03:36
and open.
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i otvorene.
03:38
The guy in the picture here,
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Ispričat ću vam priču
03:40
I'll tell you his story.
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čovjeka na slici.
03:41
His name is Rob McEwen.
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Zove se Rob McEwen.
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I'd like to say, "I have this think tank, we scour the world
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Volio bih reći: "Imam trust mozgova, pretražujemo svijet
03:45
for amazing case studies."
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u potrazi za fascinantnim slučajevima za analizu."
03:47
The reason I know this story
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Ovu priču znam
03:49
is because he's my neighbor. (Laughter)
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zato što mi je on susjed. (Smijeh)
03:53
He actually moved across the street from us,
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Doselio se u našu ulicu
03:55
and he held a cocktail party
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i organizirao koktel zabavu
03:56
to meet the neighbors, and he says, "You're Don Tapscott.
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kako bi upoznao susjede. I kaže: "Ti si Don Tapscott,
03:58
I've read some of your books."
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pročitao sam neke od tvojih knjiga."
03:59
I said, "Great. What do you do?"
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Ja sam rekao: "Super. Čime se baviš?"
04:00
And he says, "Well I used to be a banker
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I on kaže: "Pa bio sam bankar,
04:02
and now I'm a gold miner."
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a sada sam rudar."
04:03
And he tells me this amazing story.
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Zatim mi ispriča tu fantastičnu priču.
04:06
He takes over this gold mine, and his geologists
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Preuzeo je rudnik zlata, a njegovi geolozi
04:09
can't tell him where the gold is.
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mu nisu mogli reći gdje je zlato.
04:10
He gives them more money for geological data,
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Dao im je više novca za geološke podatke,
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they come back, they can't tell
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i vrativši se s tim podacima oni mu nisu mogli
04:13
him where to go into production.
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reći gdje da započne proizvodnju.
04:15
After a few years, he's so frustrated he's ready
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Nakon nekoliko godina, postao je toliko frustriran da je bio
04:19
to give up, but he has an epiphany one day.
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spreman odustati, ali tada je jednog dana imao prosvjetljenje.
04:22
He wonders, "If my geologists don't know where the gold is,
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Zamislio se: "Ako moji geolozi ne znaju gdje je zlato,
04:24
maybe somebody else does."
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možda netko drugi zna."
04:27
So he does a "radical" thing.
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Pa je učinio "radikalan" potez.
04:29
He takes his geological data,
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Uzeo je svoje geološke podatke,
04:30
he publishes it and he holds a contest on the Internet
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objavio ih i održao natječaj
04:33
called the Goldcorp Challenge.
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"Goldcorp izazov" na Internetu.
04:34
It's basically half a million dollars in prize money
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Zapravo je to bila nagrada od pola milijuna
04:38
for anybody who can tell me, do I have any gold,
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za ikoga tko bi mogao reći ima li tamo zlata,
04:41
and if so, where is it? (Laughter)
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i ako ima, gdje. (Smijeh)
04:45
He gets submissions from all around the world.
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Dobio je prijave iz cijelog svijeta.
04:47
They use techniques that he's never heard of,
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Korištene su tehnike za koje on nikad nije čuo,
04:49
and for his half a million dollars in prize money,
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ali je za svojih pola milijuna nagrade
04:51
Rob McEwen finds 3.4 billion dollars worth of gold.
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Rob McEwen našao 3.4. milijardi dolara vrijedno zlato.
04:55
The market value of his company
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Tržišna je vrijednost njegove kompanije
04:57
goes from 90 million to 10 billion dollars,
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između 90 milijuna i 10 milijardi dolara
05:00
and I can tell you, because he's my neighbor,
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i mogu vam reći, zato što mi je susjed,
05:02
he's a happy camper. (Laughter)
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da mu je lijepo u životu. (Smijeh)
05:06
You know, conventional wisdom says talent is inside, right?
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Znate da nam konvencionalna mudrost govori da je talent unutar nas, zar ne?
05:09
Your most precious asset goes out the elevator every night.
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Vaša najdragocjenija imovina svaku večer izlazi iz dizala.
05:13
He viewed talent differently.
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On je na talent gledao drugačije.
05:15
He wondered, who are their peers?
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Zapitao se, tko su njihovi kolege?
05:17
He should have fired his geology department, but he didn't.
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Trebao je otpustiti svoj geološki odjel, ali nije.
05:21
You know, some of the best submissions
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Znate, neki od najboljih prijedloga
05:24
didn't come from geologists.
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nisu došli od geologa.
05:26
They came from computer scientists, engineers.
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Došli su od računalnih stručnjaka, inžinjera.
05:28
The winner was a computer graphics company
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Pobjednik je bila tvrtka za kompjutersku animaciju
05:30
that built a three dimensional model of the mine
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koja je napravila trodimenzionalni model rudnika
05:32
where you can helicopter underground
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gdje se helikopterom možete spustiti dolje
05:33
and see where the gold is.
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i vidjeti gdje je zlato.
05:36
He helped us understand that social media's becoming
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Pomogao nam je uvidjeti da društveni mediji postaju
05:39
social production.
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društveni proizvod.
05:41
It's not about hooking up online.
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To nije samo spajanje preko mreže.
05:43
This is a new means of production in the making.
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Tu su u nastajanju novi načini proizvodnje.
05:46
And this Ideagora that he created, an open market, agora,
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I ta Ideagora ideja koju je on stvorio, otvoreno tržište
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for uniquely qualified minds,
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za specijalno kvalificirane umove,
05:53
was part of a change, a profound change in the deep structure
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bila je dio promjene, dalekovidne promjene u unutarnjim strukturama
05:58
and architecture of our organizations,
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i arhitekturi naših organizacija
06:00
and how we sort of orchestrate capability to innovate,
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i toga kako mi na neki način orkestriramo sposobnosti za inovaciju,
06:04
to create goods and services,
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stvaranje dobara i usluga,
06:05
to engage with the rest of the world,
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da bi se angažirali s ostatkom svijeta,
06:07
in terms of government, how we create public value.
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u smislu vlade, kako stvaramo društvene vrijednosti.
06:11
Openness is about collaboration.
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Otvorenost je povezana sa suradnjom.
06:13
Now secondly, openness is about transparency.
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Također, otvorenost je povezana sa transparentnošću.
06:15
This is different. Here, we're talking about the communication
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To je drugačije. Ovdje govorimo o komuniciranju
06:18
of pertinent information to stakeholders of organizations:
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relevantnih informacija između ljudi u organizacijama:
06:21
employees, customers, business partners, shareholders,
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zaposlenika, klijenata, poslovnih partnera, dioničara,
06:24
and so on.
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itd.
06:26
And everywhere, our institutions are becoming naked.
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I posvuda naše organizacije bivaju ogoljene.
06:30
People are all bent out of shape about WikiLeaks,
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Svi su se uzbunili zbog WikiLeaksa,
06:33
but that's just the tip of the iceberg.
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ali to je samo vrh ledenjaka.
06:35
You see, people at their fingertips now, everybody,
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Vidite, ljudi sada nadohvat ruke, svi,
06:38
not just Julian Assange,
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ne samo Julian Assange,
06:40
have these powerful tools for finding out what's going on,
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imaju te moćne alate za otkrivanje toga što se događa,
06:43
scrutinizing, informing others,
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razmatranje, informiranje drugih,
06:44
and even organizing collective responses.
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čak i organiziranje kolektivnih odgovora.
06:48
Institutions are becoming naked,
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Institucije postaju gole,
06:50
and if you're going to be naked,
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i ako ćete biti goli,
06:52
well, there's some corollaries that flow from that.
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iz toga proizlaze neke posljedice.
06:55
I mean, one is,
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Mislim, jedna je
06:56
fitness is no longer optional. (Laughter)
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ta da fitness više nije izboran. (Smijeh)
06:58
You know? Or if you're going to be naked, you'd better get buff.
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Razumijete? Ako ćete biti goli, bolje da se dovedete u formu.
07:03
Now, by buff I mean, you need to have good value,
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Kada kažem da se dovedete u formu, mislim na to da morate imati dobre vrijednosti,
07:06
because value is evidenced like never before.
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jer vrijednost je očita kao nikad prije.
07:08
You say you have good products.
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Kažete da imate dobre proizvode.
07:09
They'd better be good.
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I bolje da budu dobri.
07:10
But you also need to have values.
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Ali morate imati i vrijednosti.
07:12
You need to have integrity as part of your bones
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Morate imati integritet kao dio svojih kosti
07:15
and your DNA as an organization,
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i svoj DNK kao organizacija,
07:17
because if you don't, you'll be unable to build trust,
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jer ako ga nemate nećete moći stvarati povjerenje,
07:20
and trust is a sine qua non of this new network world.
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a povjerenje je uvjet bez kojeg se ne može u ovom novom umreženom svijetu.
07:24
So this is good. It's not bad.
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Dakle, to je dobro. Nije loše.
07:27
Sunlight is the best disinfectant.
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Sunčeva svjetlost je najbolje dezinfekcijsko sredstvo.
07:30
And we need a lot of sunlight in this troubled world.
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A mi trebamo jako puno sunčeve svjetlosti u ovom problematičnom svijetu.
07:34
Now, the third meaning and corresponding principle
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Treće značenje i njemu pridružen princip
07:37
of openness is about sharing.
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otvorenosti povezan je s dijeljenjem.
07:39
Now this is different than transparency.
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To se razlikuje od transparentnosti.
07:41
Transparency is about the communication of information.
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Transparentnost je povezana s protokom informacija.
07:43
Sharing is about giving up assets, intellectual property.
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Dijeljenje je povezano s predajom dobara, intelektualnog vlasništva.
07:48
And there are all kinds of famous stories about this.
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O tome postoje mnoge poznate priče.
07:50
IBM gave away 400 million dollars of software
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2937
IBM je darovao 400 milijuna dolara softwarea
07:53
to the Linux movement, and that gave them
185
473508
2101
Linux pokretu i to im se
07:55
a multi-billion dollar payoff.
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3011
vratilo u milijardama.
07:58
Now, conventional wisdom says,
187
478620
1960
Konvencionalna mudrost govori:
08:00
"Well, hey, our intellectual property belongs to us,
188
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2735
"Pa gle, naše intelektualno vlasništvo pripada nama
08:03
and if someone tries to infringe it, we're going to get out
189
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2303
i ako ga netko pokuša prisvojiti mi ćemo nazvati
08:05
our lawyers and we're going to sue them."
190
485618
2348
svoje odvjetnike i tužit ćemo ih."
08:07
Well, it didn't work so well for the record labels, did it?
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3413
Pa, to nije pomoglo diskografskim kućama, zar ne?
08:11
I mean, they took — They had a technology disruption,
192
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5104
Oni su uzeli — imali su zlouporabu tehnologije
08:16
and rather than taking a business model innovation
193
496483
2689
i umjesto preuzimanja inovativnog poslovnog modela
08:19
to correspond to that, they took and sought a legal solution
194
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3952
koji će tome odgovarati, oni su uzeli i legalno rješenje
08:23
and the industry that brought you Elvis and the Beatles
195
503124
2313
pa industrija koja je donijela Elvisa i Beatlese
08:25
is now suing children
196
505437
2032
sada tuži djecu
08:27
and is in danger of collapse.
197
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4167
i na rubu je kolapsa.
08:31
So we need to think differently about intellectual property.
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2841
Dakle, moramo drugačije razmišljati o intelektualnom vlasništvu.
08:34
I'll give you an example.
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1029
Dat ću vam primjer.
08:35
The pharmaceutical industry is in deep trouble.
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515506
2882
Farmaceutska industrija u velikim je problemima.
08:38
First of all, there aren't a lot of big inventions
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518388
2605
Prije svega, nema puno velikih inovacija
08:40
in the pipeline, and this is a big problem for human health,
202
520993
2354
u pričuvi i to je velik problem za ljudsko zdravlje,
08:43
and the pharmaceutical industry has got a bigger problem,
203
523347
5161
a farmaceutska industrija ima i veći problem.
08:48
that they're about to fall off something
204
528508
1923
Ona će uskoro pasti s nečega što se zove
08:50
called the patent cliff.
205
530431
1521
"litica izuma".
08:51
Do you know about this?
206
531952
768
Jeste li čuli za to?
08:52
They're going to lose 20 to 35 percent of their revenue
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532720
3004
Izgubit će 20 do 35% svojih prihoda
08:55
in the next 12 months.
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535724
1627
u sljedećih 12 mjeseci.
08:57
And what are you going to do,
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537351
1331
I što ćete napraviti,
08:58
like, cut back on paper clips or something? No.
210
538682
3110
smanjiti potrošnju spajalica ili tako nešto? Ne.
09:01
We need to reinvent the whole model of scientific research.
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4713
Trebamo novi model znanstvenog istraživanja.
09:06
The pharmaceutical industry needs to place assets
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546505
3464
Farmaceutske tvrtke moraju staviti svoja dobra
09:09
in a commons. They need to start sharing precompetitive research.
213
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3935
u javno dobro. Moraju početi dijeliti preliminarna istraživanja.
09:13
They need to start sharing
214
553904
2343
Moraju početi dijeliti
09:16
clinical trial data,
215
556247
1458
podatke iz kliničkih studija
09:17
and in doing so, create a rising tide that could lift all boats,
216
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4271
i tako stvoriti plimu koja će podići sve brodove,
09:21
not just for the industry but
217
561976
1942
ne samo za industriju,
09:23
for humanity.
218
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2791
već za čovječanstvo.
09:26
Now, the fourth meaning
219
566709
2405
Četvrto značenje
09:29
of openness,
220
569114
2146
otvorenosti
09:31
and corresponding principle, is about empowerment.
221
571260
1999
i odgovarajući princip govori o osnaživanju.
09:33
And I'm not talking about the motherhood sense here.
222
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2216
Ovdje nije riječ o majčinskom smislu osnaživanja.
09:35
Knowledge and intelligence is power,
223
575475
3474
Znanje i inteligencija su moć
09:38
and as it becomes more distributed, there's a
224
578949
2839
i kako bivaju sve više dijeljene dolazi do
09:41
concomitant distribution
225
581788
2545
prateće distribucije
09:44
and decentralization and disaggregation of power
226
584333
3631
i decentralizacije i rasipanja moći
09:47
that's underway in the world today.
227
587964
1929
koje se događaju u svijetu danas.
09:49
The open world is bringing freedom.
228
589893
3090
Otvoren svijet donosi slobodu.
09:52
Now, take the Arab Spring.
229
592983
2349
Uzmite Arapsko proljeće.
09:55
The debate about the role of social media
230
595332
1912
Debata o ulozi društvenih medija
09:57
and social change has been settled.
231
597244
1994
i društvenim promjenama je završila.
09:59
You know, one word: Tunisia.
232
599238
3238
Znate, jedna riječ: Tunis.
10:02
And then it ended up having a whole bunch of other words too.
233
602476
2346
I na kraju je tu bilo i mnoštvo drugih riječi.
10:04
But in the Tunisian revolution,
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604822
2342
Revoluciju u Tunisu
10:07
the new media didn't cause the revolution;
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607164
2127
nisu izazvali novi mediji;
10:09
it was caused by injustice.
236
609291
1780
izazvala ju je nepravda.
10:11
Social media didn't create the revolution;
237
611071
4237
Društveni mediji nisu stvorili revoluciju;
10:15
it was created by a new generation of young people
238
615308
2321
stvorila ju je nova generacija mladih ljudi
10:17
who wanted jobs and hope and
239
617629
1808
koji su htjeli posao i nadu i
10:19
who didn't want to be treated as subjects anymore.
240
619437
4026
nisu više htjeli biti tretirani kao podanici.
10:23
But just as the Internet drops transaction and collaboration
241
623463
3065
Ali baš kao što Internet smanjuje cijenu transakcija i suradnji
10:26
costs in business and government,
242
626528
2368
u gospodarstvu i politici,
10:28
it also drops the cost of dissent, of rebellion,
243
628896
2757
tako smanjuje i cijenu neslaganja, pobune
10:31
and even insurrection
244
631653
1829
pa čak i organiziranog ustanka
10:33
in ways that people didn't understand.
245
633482
2092
na način koji ljudi nisu razumjeli.
10:35
You know, during the Tunisian revolution,
246
635574
1823
Znate, tijekom revolucije u Tunisu,
10:37
snipers associated with the regime were killing
247
637397
2694
snajperi povezani s režimom na ulici su ubijali
10:40
unarmed students in the street.
248
640091
1744
nenaoružane studente.
10:41
So the students would take their mobile devices,
249
641835
3021
Studenti su tada uzeli svoje mobitele,
10:44
take a picture, triangulate the location,
250
644856
2653
fotografirali i triangulirali lokaciju
10:47
send that picture to friendly military units,
251
647509
2201
te poslali tu sliku prijateljskim vojnim jedinicama
10:49
who'd come in and take out the snipers.
252
649710
2409
koje bi došle i uklonile snajperiste.
10:52
You think that social media is about hooking up online?
253
652119
2534
Mislite da su društveni mediji samo za spajanje na Internet?
10:54
For these kids, it was a military tool
254
654653
3027
Za tu djecu, to je bilo vojno sredstvo
10:57
to defend unarmed people from murderers.
255
657680
3126
za obranu nenaoružanih ljudi.
11:00
It was a tool of self-defense.
256
660806
2133
Za njih je to bilo sredstvo samoobrane.
11:02
You know, as we speak today, young people
257
662939
2355
Dok danas pričamo, mlade ljude
11:05
are being killed in Syria,
258
665294
2010
ubijaju u Siriji
11:07
and up until three months ago,
259
667304
1810
i do prije tri mjeseca,
11:09
if you were injured on the street,
260
669114
2199
ako biste bili ozlijeđeni na ulici,
11:11
an ambulance would pick you up,
261
671313
1452
hitna pomoć bi vas pokupila
11:12
take you to the hospital, you'd go in, say, with a broken leg,
262
672765
2900
i odvezla u bolnicu. Došli biste, recimo, sa slomljenom nogom,
11:15
and you'd come out with a bullet in your head.
263
675665
2479
i izašli biste s metkom u glavi.
11:18
So these 20-somethings created
264
678144
2911
Ti su dvadesetogodišnjaci stvorili
11:21
an alternative health care system,
265
681055
2294
alternativni medicinski sustav.
11:23
where what they did is they used Twitter and basic
266
683349
2390
Oni su koristili Twitter i osnovna
11:25
publicly available tools that when someone's injured,
267
685739
3245
javno dostupna sredstva kako bi kada netko bude ozlijeđen,
11:28
a car would show up, it would pick them up,
268
688984
2680
auto došao po njih i odvezao ih
11:31
take them to a makeshift medical clinic, where you'd get
269
691664
2559
u improviziranu kliniku gdje bi
11:34
medical treatment, as opposed to being executed.
270
694223
3542
bili izliječeni, a ne smaknuti.
11:37
So this is a time of great change.
271
697765
3185
Dakle, ovo je vrijeme velikih promjena.
11:40
Now, it's not without its problems.
272
700950
2634
Nije to bez svojih problema.
11:43
Up until two years ago,
273
703584
2646
Do prije dvije godine,
11:46
all revolutions in human history had a leadership,
274
706230
3153
sve su revolucije u ljudskoj povijesti imale vodstvo,
11:49
and when the old regime fell, the leadership
275
709383
2792
i kada bi stari režim pao, vodstvo
11:52
and the organization would take power.
276
712175
978
revolucije bi preuzelo.
11:53
Well, these wiki revolutions happen so fast
277
713153
2525
Ove wiki revolucije događaju se tako brzo
11:55
they create a vacuum, and
278
715678
1498
i stvaraju vakuum, a
11:57
politics abhors a vacuum,
279
717176
1735
politika se užasava vakuuma,
11:58
and unsavory forces can fill that,
280
718911
2072
koji mogu popuniti nemoralne sile,
12:00
typically the old regime,
281
720983
3126
obično stari režim,
12:04
or extremists, or fundamentalist forces.
282
724109
2346
ili ekstremisti, ili fundamentalisti.
12:06
You can see this playing out today in Egypt.
283
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2735
Možete vidjeti kako se to sada odigrava u Egiptu.
12:09
But that doesn't matter,
284
729190
1663
Ali to nije važno,
12:10
because this is moving forward.
285
730853
2137
jer se pomičemo naprijed.
12:12
The train has left the station. The cat is out of the bag.
286
732990
2976
Vlak je napustio kolodvor. Istina je na vidjelu.
12:15
The horse is out of the barn. Help me out here, okay?
287
735966
3378
Konj je izvan staje. Pomozite mi, može?
12:19
(Laughter) The toothpaste is out of the tube.
288
739344
2142
(Smijeh) Pasta je izvan tube.
12:21
I mean, we're not putting this one back.
289
741486
2223
Mislim, ne vraćamo se natrag.
12:23
The open world is bringing empowerment and freedom.
290
743709
3733
Otvoreni svijet donosi osnaženje i slobodu.
12:27
I think, at the end of these four days,
291
747442
2784
Mislim da ćete na kraju ova četiri dana zaključiti
12:30
that you'll come to conclude that the arc of history
292
750226
2766
da je tijek povijesti pozitivan
12:32
is a positive one, and it's towards openness.
293
752992
3496
i da vodi otvorenosti.
12:36
If you go back a few hundred years,
294
756488
2481
Ako se vratite unatrag nekoliko stotina godina,
12:38
all around the world it was a very closed society.
295
758969
2384
diljem svijeta društvo je bilo veoma zatvoreno.
12:41
It was agrarian, and the means of production
296
761353
1569
Bilo je agrarno, a to znači da je način produkcije
12:42
and political system was called feudalism, and knowledge
297
762922
2715
i politički sistem bio feudalizam, a znanje
12:45
was concentrated in the church and the nobility.
298
765637
3938
je bilo koncentrirano u crkvi i plemstvu.
12:49
People didn't know about things.
299
769575
1607
Ljudi nisu znali o stvarima.
12:51
There was no concept of progress.
300
771182
2475
Nije postojao koncept napretka.
12:53
You were born, you lived your life and you died.
301
773657
1903
Rodili ste se, živjeli ste svoj život i onda umrli.
12:55
But then Johannes Gutenberg came along with his great invention,
302
775560
4596
Ali tada je Johannes Gutenberg došao sa svojim izvrsnim izumom
13:00
and, over time, the society opened up.
303
780156
3552
i, s vremenom, društvo se otvorilo.
13:03
People started to learn about things, and when they did,
304
783708
2041
Ljudi su počeli učiti stvari, i kako su to radili,
13:05
the institutions of feudal society appeared
305
785749
1385
institucije feudalnog društva počele su
13:07
to be stalled, or frozen, or failing.
306
787134
3703
stagnirati i propadati.
13:10
It didn't make sense for the church to be responsible
307
790837
2776
Nije imalo smisla da crkva bude odgovorna
13:13
for medicine when people had knowledge.
308
793613
2282
za medicinu kada su ljudi imali znanje.
13:15
So we saw the Protestant Reformation.
309
795895
1947
Pa smo vidjeli protestantsku reformaciju.
13:17
Martin Luther called the printing press
310
797842
1870
Martin Luther nazvao je stroj za printanje
13:19
"God's highest act of grace."
311
799712
2397
"Božjim najvećim činom milosti".
13:22
The creation of a corporation, science, the university,
312
802109
3511
Stvaranje korporacije, znanosti, sveučilišta,
13:25
eventually the Industrial Revolution,
313
805620
1687
na kraju i industrijska revolucija
13:27
and it was all good.
314
807307
2174
i to je sve bilo dobro.
13:29
But it came with a cost.
315
809481
2147
Ali došlo je uz svoju cijenu.
13:31
And now, once again, the technology genie
316
811628
2712
I sada, duh tehnologije
13:34
is out of the bottle, but this time it's different.
317
814340
3320
opet je izašao iz boce, ali ovaj put je drugačije.
13:37
The printing press gave us access to the written word.
318
817660
2865
Tiskarski stroj dao nam je pristup pisanoj riječi.
13:40
The Internet enables each of us to be a producer.
319
820525
3459
Internet svakom od nas omogućuje proizvodnju.
13:43
The printing press gave us access to recorded knowledge.
320
823984
2814
Tiskarski stroj dao nam je pristup zabilježenom znanju.
13:46
The Internet gives us access,
321
826798
1910
Internet nam je dao pristup
13:48
not just to information and knowledge, but
322
828708
1649
ne samo informacijama i znanju, već
13:50
to the intelligence contained in the crania of other people
323
830357
3376
inteligenciji drugih ljudi
13:53
on a global basis.
324
833733
1537
na globalnoj razini.
13:55
To me, this is not an information age,
325
835270
3239
Za mene ovo nije doba informacija,
13:58
it's an age of networked intelligence.
326
838509
2874
već vrijeme umrežene inteligencije.
14:01
It's an age of vast promise,
327
841383
3872
To je doba velikog obećanja,
14:05
an age of collaboration,
328
845255
3128
doba suradnje,
14:08
where the boundaries of our organizations are changing,
329
848383
4179
kada se mijenjaju granice naših organizacija,
14:12
of transparency, where sunlight
330
852562
2715
doba transparentnosti, kada sunčeva svijetlost
14:15
is disinfecting civilization,
331
855277
3223
dezinficira civilizaciju,
14:18
an age of sharing and understanding
332
858500
3556
doba dijeljenja i razumijevanja
14:22
the new power of the commons,
333
862056
1706
nove moći zajedničkog.
14:23
and it's an age of empowerment
334
863762
2643
To je doba osnaženja
14:26
and of freedom.
335
866405
2891
i slobode.
14:29
Now, what I'd like to do is,
336
869296
3536
Sada bih, za kraj,
14:32
to close, to share with you
337
872832
2648
volio s vama podijeliti
14:35
some research that I've been doing.
338
875480
2609
neka istraživanja kojima se bavim.
14:38
I've tried to study all kinds of organizations
339
878089
2511
Pokušavao sam promatrati razne vrste organizacija
14:40
to understand what the future might look like,
340
880600
3137
kako bih razumio kako bi budućnost mogla izgledati,
14:43
but I've been studying nature recently.
341
883737
3025
ali nedavno sam proučavao i prirodu.
14:46
You know, bees come in swarms
342
886762
3630
Znate, pčele se javljaju u rojevima,
14:50
and fish come in schools.
343
890392
2711
a ribe u jatima.
14:53
Starlings, in the area around Edinburgh,
344
893103
2813
Čvorci, u području oko Edinburgha,
14:55
in the moors of England,
345
895916
1483
u engleskim močvarama,
14:57
come in something called a murmuration,
346
897399
2094
javljaju se u nečemu zvanom "žamorenje",
14:59
and the murmuration refers to the murmuring of the wings
347
899493
2772
naziv se odnosi na žamor krila ptica.
15:02
of the birds, and throughout the day the starlings
348
902265
1913
Tijekom dana čvorci se rašire
15:04
are out over a 20-mile radius
349
904178
1865
u radijusu od otprilike 32 kilometra
15:06
sort of doing their starling thing.
350
906043
2041
dok rade što već rade.
15:08
And at night they come together
351
908084
1764
Navečer se sastanu
15:09
and they create one of the most spectacular things
352
909848
2122
i stvaraju jednu od najspektakularnijih stvari
15:11
in all of nature,
353
911970
1595
u cijeloj prirodi,
15:13
and it's called a murmuration.
354
913565
2054
i to se zove „žamorenje“.
15:15
And scientists that have studied this have said
355
915619
2917
Znanstvenici koji su to proučavali kažu
15:18
they've never seen an accident.
356
918536
1746
da nikad nisu vidjeli nezgodu.
15:20
Now, this thing has a function.
357
920282
1950
Ta stvar ima funkciju.
15:22
It protects the birds.
358
922232
1862
Štiti ptice.
15:24
You can see on the right here,
359
924094
1600
Možete vidjeti s desna
15:25
there's a predator being chased away by the collective power
360
925694
4505
da je predator potjeran kolektivnom moći
15:30
of the birds, and apparently this is a frightening thing
361
930199
2990
ptica, i izgleda da je to zastrašujuća stvar
15:33
if you're a predator of starlings.
362
933189
3464
ako napadate čvorke.
15:36
And there's leadership,
363
936653
2448
I postoji vodstvo,
15:39
but there's no one leader.
364
939101
2138
ali ne postoji jedan vođa.
15:41
Now, is this some kind of fanciful analogy,
365
941239
2101
Je li ovo jedna čudnovata analogija
15:43
or could we actually learn something from this?
366
943340
2446
ili bismo zapravo iz toga mogli nešto naučiti?
15:45
Well, the murmuration functions to record
367
945786
3056
"Žamorenje" funkcionira na
15:48
a number of principles,
368
948842
1363
mnogo principa,
15:50
and they're basically the principles that
369
950205
1519
a to su zapravo principi
15:51
I have described to you today.
370
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1914
koje sam danas opisao.
15:53
This is a huge collaboration.
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To je velika suradnja.
15:56
It's an openness, it's a sharing
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To je otvorenost, dijeljenje
15:58
of all kinds of information, not just about location
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raznih vrsta informacija, ne samo o lokaciji,
16:00
and trajectory and danger and so on, but about food sources.
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putanji i opasnosti i slično, već o izvorima hrane.
16:05
And there's a real sense of interdependence,
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I postoji pravi osjećaj međusobne ovisnosti;
16:09
that the individual birds somehow understand
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3687
individualne ptice nekako razumiju
16:13
that their interests are in the interest of the collective.
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da su njihovi interesi u interesu kolektiva.
16:16
Perhaps like we should understand
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Možda bismo tako i mi trebali razumijeti
16:18
that business can't succeed
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da posao ne može uspijeti
16:22
in a world that's failing.
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u svijetu koji gubi snagu.
16:25
Well, I look at this thing,
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Promatram to
16:26
and I get a lot of hope.
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i dobivam puno nade.
16:29
Think about the kids today in the Arab Spring, and
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Pomislite na današnju djecu u Arapskom proljeću
16:34
you see something like this that's underway.
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i vidjet ćete da se tako nešto sprema.
16:37
And imagine, just consider this idea, if you would:
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I zamislite, samo uzmite u obzir ovu ideju, ako želite:
16:41
What if we could connect ourselves in this world
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3945
Što ako bismo se u ovom svijetu mogli povezati
16:45
through a vast network of air and glass?
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kroz razgranatu mrežu zraka i stakla?
16:49
Could we go beyond just sharing information and knowledge?
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Bismo li mogli ići dalje od dijeljenja informacija i znanja?
16:52
Could we start to share our intelligence?
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Bismo li mogli početi dijeliti našu inteligenciju?
16:54
Could we create some kind of
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Bismo li mogli stvoriti nekakvu vrstu
16:56
collective intelligence
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kolektivne inteligencije
16:58
that goes beyond an individual or a group or a team
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koja ide iznad individualca, grupe ili tima
17:02
to create, perhaps, some kind of consciousness
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4148
da bi se stvorila možda nekakva vrsta svijesti
17:06
on a global basis?
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na globalnoj bazi?
17:07
Well, if we could do this, we could attack some big problems in the world.
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Kada bismo to mogli, mogli bismo se boriti s nekim velikim svjetskim problemima.
17:11
And I look at this thing,
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Gledam to,
17:13
and, I don't know, I get a lot of hope that maybe this
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i ne znam, dobijem nadu da će možda
17:16
smaller, networked, open world
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taj manji, umrežen i otvoren svijet
17:20
that our kids inherit might be a better one, and that
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koji će naša djeca naslijediti možda biti bolji
17:23
this new age of networked intelligence could be
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3313
i da bi ovo novo doba umrežene inteligencije
17:26
an age of promise fulfilled
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2624
moglo biti doba ispunjenog obećanja
17:29
and of peril unrequited.
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i neostvarene prijetnje.
17:32
Let's do this. Thank you.
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Idemo to ostvariti. Hvala Vam.
17:35
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
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