Sean Carroll: Distant time and the hint of a multiverse

208,802 views ・ 2011-05-06

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Translator: Erik Ušaj Reviewer: Tilen Pigac - EFZG
00:15
The universe
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Vesolje
00:17
is really big.
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je res veliko.
00:19
We live in a galaxy, the Milky Way Galaxy.
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Živimo v galaksiji, v Galaksiji Rimska cesta.
00:22
There are about a hundred billion stars in the Milky Way Galaxy.
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Tu je približno sto milijard zvezd.
00:25
And if you take a camera
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In če vzamemo kamero
00:27
and you point it at a random part of the sky,
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in jo usmerimo v naključno točko na nebu,
00:29
and you just keep the shutter open,
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in pustimo odprto zaslonko,
00:31
as long as your camera is attached to the Hubble Space Telescope,
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seveda, če je naša kamera pripeta na vesoljski teleskop Hubble,
00:34
it will see something like this.
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bomo videli nekaj takega.
00:36
Every one of these little blobs
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In v vsaki teh lis
00:39
is a galaxy roughly the size of our Milky Way --
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je galaksija približno velikosti naše Rimske ceste --
00:41
a hundred billion stars in each of those blobs.
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sto milijard zvezd v vsaki taki lisi.
00:44
There are approximately a hundred billion galaxies
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V vidnem vesolju je približno
00:47
in the observable universe.
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sto milijard galaksij.
00:49
100 billion is the only number you need to know.
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100 milijard je edino število, ki si ga moramo zapomniti.
00:51
The age of the universe, between now and the Big Bang,
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Starost vesolja, med zdaj in Velikim Pokom
00:54
is a hundred billion in dog years.
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je sto milijard v pasjih letih.
00:56
(Laughter)
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(Smeh)
00:58
Which tells you something about our place in the universe.
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Kar nam pove nekaj o našem mestu v vesolju.
01:01
One thing you can do with a picture like this is simply admire it.
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Nekaj, kar naredimo s tako sliko, je preprosto občudovanje.
01:03
It's extremely beautiful.
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To je izjemna lepota.
01:05
I've often wondered, what is the evolutionary pressure
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Pogosto sem se spraševal, kakšen je pritisk evolucije
01:08
that made our ancestors in the Veldt adapt and evolve
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ki je naše prednike izoblikoval do te mere
01:11
to really enjoy pictures of galaxies
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da so uživali v slikah galaksij
01:13
when they didn't have any.
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čeprav jih niso imeli.
01:15
But we would also like to understand it.
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Toda mi bi jih radi tudi razumeli.
01:17
As a cosmologist, I want to ask, why is the universe like this?
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Kot kosmolog, želim vprašati: Zakaj je vesolje takšno?
01:21
One big clue we have is that the universe is changing with time.
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Velik namig, ki ga imamo, je da se vesolje spreminja skozi čas.
01:24
If you looked at one of these galaxies and measured its velocity,
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Če bi gledali v eno teh galaksij in izmerili njeno hitrost,
01:27
it would be moving away from you.
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bi se odmikala od nas.
01:29
And if you look at a galaxy even farther away,
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In če se zazremo še v bolj oddaljeno galaksijo,
01:31
it would be moving away faster.
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se le-ta odmika še hitreje.
01:33
So we say the universe is expanding.
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Zato pravimo, da se vesolje širi.
01:35
What that means, of course, is that, in the past,
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In to seveda pomeni, da so bile v preteklosti,
01:37
things were closer together.
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vse stvari bližje skupaj.
01:39
In the past, the universe was more dense,
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V preteklosti je bilo vesolje gostejše,
01:41
and it was also hotter.
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in bilo je bolj vroče.
01:43
If you squeeze things together, the temperature goes up.
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Če stisnemo stvari skupaj, temperatura naraste.
01:45
That kind of makes sense to us.
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To se nam zdi smiselno.
01:47
The thing that doesn't make sense to us as much
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Kar se nam ne zdi tako smiselno
01:49
is that the universe, at early times, near the Big Bang,
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je, da je bilo vesolje, v zgodnji dobi, skoraj ob Velikem Poku,
01:52
was also very, very smooth.
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tudi zelo gladko, enakomerno.
01:54
You might think that that's not a surprise.
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Morda boste pomislili, da to ni presenetljivo.
01:56
The air in this room is very smooth.
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Tudi zrak v tem prostoru je zelo enakomeren.
01:58
You might say, "Well, maybe things just smoothed themselves out."
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Lahko rečete: "No, morda se stvari same uredijo".
02:01
But the conditions near the Big Bang are very, very different
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Toda razmere ob Velikem Poku, so bile zelo, zelo drugačne
02:04
than the conditions of the air in this room.
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kot so razmere zraka v tem prostoru.
02:06
In particular, things were a lot denser.
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Še posebej, stvari so bile zelo gostejše.
02:08
The gravitational pull of things
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Gravitacijske sile stvari
02:10
was a lot stronger near the Big Bang.
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so bile močnejše ob Velikem Poku.
02:12
What you have to think about
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Kar lahko razmislimo
02:14
is we have a universe with a hundred billion galaxies,
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je, da imamo vesolje z sto milijardami galaksij
02:16
a hundred billion stars each.
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in v vsaki sto milijard zvezd.
02:18
At early times, those hundred billion galaxies
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V zgodnjih časih, so bile te milijarde galaksij
02:21
were squeezed into a region about this big --
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stisnjene v območje približno te velikosti --
02:24
literally -- at early times.
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dobesedno, v zgodnjih časih.
02:26
And you have to imagine doing that squeezing
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In predstavljajte si tako stiskanje
02:28
without any imperfections,
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brez kakršnih koli nepopolnosti,
02:30
without any little spots
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brez nobenih malih točk
02:32
where there were a few more atoms than somewhere else.
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kjer bi bilo nekaj manj atomov, kot nekje drugje.
02:34
Because if there had been, they would have collapsed under the gravitational pull
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Kajti, če bi bile, bi se zrušile pod gravitacijsko silo
02:37
into a huge black hole.
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v ogromno črno luknjo.
02:39
Keeping the universe very, very smooth at early times
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Ohranjanje zelo enakomernega vesolja v zgodnjih časih
02:42
is not easy; it's a delicate arrangement.
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ni preprosto, je občutljiva ureditev.
02:44
It's a clue
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To je namig,
02:46
that the early universe is not chosen randomly.
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da zgodnje vesolje ni izbrano naključno.
02:48
There is something that made it that way.
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Tu je nekaj, kar ga je ustvarilo na ta način.
02:50
We would like to know what.
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In mi bi radi vedeli kaj.
02:52
So part of our understanding of this was given to us by Ludwig Boltzmann,
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Torej del našega razumevanja nam je podal Ludwig Boltzmann,
02:55
an Austrian physicist in the 19th century.
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austrijski fizik v 19. stoletju.
02:58
And Boltzmann's contribution was that he helped us understand entropy.
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In Boltzmannov prispevek nam je pomagal razumeti entropijo.
03:01
You've heard of entropy.
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Slišali ste za entropijo.
03:03
It's the randomness, the disorder, the chaoticness of some systems.
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To je naključje, nered, kaotičnost nekih sistemov.
03:06
Boltzmann gave us a formula --
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Boltzmann nam je podal formulo --
03:08
engraved on his tombstone now --
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danes vklesano na njegov nagrobnik --
03:10
that really quantifies what entropy is.
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ki količinsko določa kaj je entropija.
03:12
And it's basically just saying
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In v bistvu pravi le,
03:14
that entropy is the number of ways
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da je entropija število načinov,
03:16
we can rearrange the constituents of a system so that you don't notice,
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s katerimi lahko prerazporedimo sestavine sistema, tako da se ne opazi,
03:19
so that macroscopically it looks the same.
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tako, da makroskopsko zgleda enako.
03:21
If you have the air in this room,
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Če vzamemo zrak v tej sobi,
03:23
you don't notice each individual atom.
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ne opazimo vsakega posameznega atoma.
03:26
A low entropy configuration
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Nizka konfiguracija entropije
03:28
is one in which there's only a few arrangements that look that way.
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je taka, v kateri je samo nekaj postavitev, ki zgledajo tako.
03:30
A high entropy arrangement
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Visoka ureditev entropije
03:32
is one that there are many arrangements that look that way.
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je taka, kjer je več možnih postavitev, ki zgledajo tako.
03:34
This is a crucially important insight
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To je ključnega pomena,
03:36
because it helps us explain
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ker nam pomaga razložiti
03:38
the second law of thermodynamics --
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drugi zakon termodinamike --
03:40
the law that says that entropy increases in the universe,
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zakon, ki pravi, da entropija v vesolju narašča.
03:43
or in some isolated bit of the universe.
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ali v omejenem delčku vesolja.
03:45
The reason why entropy increases
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Razlog za naraščanje entropije
03:47
is simply because there are many more ways
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je preprost, ker je veliko več načinov
03:50
to be high entropy than to be low entropy.
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za doseganje visoke entropije, kot nizke entropije.
03:52
That's a wonderful insight,
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To je čudovito razumevanje,
03:54
but it leaves something out.
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vendar nekaj manjka.
03:56
This insight that entropy increases, by the way,
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Razumevanje, da entropija narašča, mimogrede,
03:58
is what's behind what we call the arrow of time,
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kar je za nami imenujemo časovni vektor,
04:01
the difference between the past and the future.
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razlika med preteklostjo in prihodnjostjo.
04:03
Every difference that there is
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Vsaka razlika
04:05
between the past and the future
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med preteklostjo in prihodnjostjo
04:07
is because entropy is increasing --
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je zaradi naraščanja entropije --
04:09
the fact that you can remember the past, but not the future.
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dejstvo, da se lahko spomnimo preteklosti, toda ne prihodnosti.
04:12
The fact that you are born, and then you live, and then you die,
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Dejstvo, da se rodimo, živimo in umremo,
04:15
always in that order,
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vedno v tem vrstnem redu,
04:17
that's because entropy is increasing.
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to je zaradi naraščanja entropije.
04:19
Boltzmann explained that if you start with low entropy,
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Boltzmann je razložil tudi, da če začnemo z nizko entropijo,
04:21
it's very natural for it to increase
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je zelo naravno, da se poveča,
04:23
because there's more ways to be high entropy.
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ker je veliko več načinov za stanja z visoko entropijo.
04:26
What he didn't explain
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Kar pa ni razložil,
04:28
was why the entropy was ever low in the first place.
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je zakaj je bila entropija vedno nizka v izhodišču.
04:31
The fact that the entropy of the universe was low
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Dejstvo, da je bila entropija vesolja nizka
04:33
was a reflection of the fact
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je odsev dejstva
04:35
that the early universe was very, very smooth.
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da je bilo prvotno vesolje zelo enakomerno.
04:37
We'd like to understand that.
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To bi radi razumeli.
04:39
That's our job as cosmologists.
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To je naloga nas kozmologov.
04:41
Unfortunately, it's actually not a problem
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Nažalost, to ni problem,
04:43
that we've been giving enough attention to.
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ki smo mu namenili dovolj pozornosti.
04:45
It's not one of the first things people would say,
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To ni en izmed prvih odgovorov, ki ga slišiš,
04:47
if you asked a modern cosmologist,
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če vprašaš sodobnega kozmologa:
04:49
"What are the problems we're trying to address?"
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"Katere probleme poskušate rešiti?"
04:51
One of the people who did understand that this was a problem
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Nekdo, ki je razumel, da je to problem
04:53
was Richard Feynman.
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je bil Richard Feynman.
04:55
50 years ago, he gave a series of a bunch of different lectures.
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Pred 50 leti, je imel serijo rezličnih predavanj.
04:57
He gave the popular lectures
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Predaval je na priljubljenih predavanjih
04:59
that became "The Character of Physical Law."
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ki so postali "Karakter fizikalnih zakonov".
05:01
He gave lectures to Caltech undergrads
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Predaval je študentom na Caltechu,
05:03
that became "The Feynman Lectures on Physics."
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danes znanimi kot "Feynmanova predavanja o fiziki".
05:05
He gave lectures to Caltech graduate students
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Predaval je Caltech-ovim podiplomantom,
05:07
that became "The Feynman Lectures on Gravitation."
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kar poznamo kot "Feynmanova predavanja o gravitaciji".
05:09
In every one of these books, every one of these sets of lectures,
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V vsaki izmed teh knjig, vsaki zbirki predavanj,
05:12
he emphasized this puzzle:
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je povdarjal vprašanje:
05:14
Why did the early universe have such a small entropy?
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Zakaj je imelo zgodnje vesolje tako majhno entropijo?
05:17
So he says -- I'm not going to do the accent --
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Tako pravi -- In ne bom naglaševal --
05:19
he says, "For some reason, the universe, at one time,
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pravi: "Zaradi nekega vzroka, je vesolje, v nekem času,
05:22
had a very low entropy for its energy content,
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imelo zelo nizko entropijo za svojo energijsko vsebnost,
05:25
and since then the entropy has increased.
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in odtlej je entropija naraščala.
05:27
The arrow of time cannot be completely understood
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Časovnega vektorja ne moremo povsem razumeti
05:30
until the mystery of the beginnings of the history of the universe
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dokler skrivnost začetka zgodovine vesolja
05:33
are reduced still further
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ni dokončno zmanjšana
05:35
from speculation to understanding."
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iz špekulacije v razumevanje".
05:37
So that's our job.
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To je naša naloga.
05:39
We want to know -- this is 50 years ago, "Surely," you're thinking,
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Želimo vedeti -- to je bilo pred 50 leti in razmišljate: "Seveda
05:41
"we've figured it out by now."
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do danes smo to rezrešili".
05:43
It's not true that we've figured it out by now.
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Ni res, da smo do danes to rezrešili.
05:45
The reason the problem has gotten worse,
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Problem je postal še večji
05:47
rather than better,
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namesto lažji,
05:49
is because in 1998
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ker smo v letu 1998
05:51
we learned something crucial about the universe that we didn't know before.
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spoznali nekaj ključnega o vesolju, česar doslej nismo vedeli.
05:54
We learned that it's accelerating.
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Spoznali smo, da vesolje pospešuje.
05:56
The universe is not only expanding.
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Vesolje se ne samo širi.
05:58
If you look at the galaxy, it's moving away.
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Če pogledate galaksije, se oddaljujejo.
06:00
If you come back a billion years later and look at it again,
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Če se vrnemo čez milijard let in spet pogledamo,
06:02
it will be moving away faster.
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se galaksije oddaljujejo še hitreje.
06:05
Individual galaxies are speeding away from us faster and faster
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Posamezne galaksije drvijo stran od nas hitreje in hitreje.
06:08
so we say the universe is accelerating.
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Tako pravimo, da vesolje pospešuje.
06:10
Unlike the low entropy of the early universe,
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Za razliko od nizke entropije zgodnjega vesolja,
06:12
even though we don't know the answer for this,
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čeprav ne poznamo odgovora na to,
06:14
we at least have a good theory that can explain it,
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imamo vsaj dobro terorijo, ki nam to lahko razloži,
06:16
if that theory is right,
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in če je teorija pravilna,
06:18
and that's the theory of dark energy.
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je to teorija temne energije.
06:20
It's just the idea that empty space itself has energy.
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Je le ideja, da ima tudi prazen prostor energijo.
06:23
In every little cubic centimeter of space,
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V vsakem malem kubičnem centimetru prostora,
06:26
whether or not there's stuff,
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neglede na to kaj vsebuje,
06:28
whether or not there's particles, matter, radiation or whatever,
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neglede ali so ali ni delcev, materije, sevanja ali česarkoli,
06:30
there's still energy, even in the space itself.
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še vedno je prisotna energija v samem prostoru.
06:33
And this energy, according to Einstein,
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In ta energija, po Einsteinu
06:35
exerts a push on the universe.
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izvaja potisk na vesolje.
06:38
It is a perpetual impulse
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To je ponavljajoč impulz,
06:40
that pushes galaxies apart from each other.
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ki potiska galaksije narazen eno od druge.
06:42
Because dark energy, unlike matter or radiation,
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Ker se temna energija, za razliko od snovi ali sevanja,
06:45
does not dilute away as the universe expands.
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ne razredči medtem, ko se vesolje širi.
06:48
The amount of energy in each cubic centimeter
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Količina energije v vsakem kubičnem centimetru
06:50
remains the same,
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ostaja enaka,
06:52
even as the universe gets bigger and bigger.
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tudi, ko se vesolje veča in veča.
06:54
This has crucial implications
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To ima ključne posledice
06:57
for what the universe is going to do in the future.
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na obnašanje vesolja v prihodnjosti.
07:00
For one thing, the universe will expand forever.
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Ena stvar: vesolje se bo večno širilo.
07:02
Back when I was your age,
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Ko sem bil vaše starosti,
07:04
we didn't know what the universe was going to do.
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nismo vedeli, kaj se bo zgodilo z vesoljem.
07:06
Some people thought that the universe would recollapse in the future.
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Nekateri so mislili, da se bo vesolje v prihodnosti sesedlo.
07:09
Einstein was fond of this idea.
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Einsteinu je bila ta ideja všeč.
07:11
But if there's dark energy, and the dark energy does not go away,
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Toda če je temna energija, in če temna energija ne gre stran,
07:14
the universe is just going to keep expanding forever and ever and ever.
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se bo vesolje le širilo in širilo za vse večne čase.
07:17
14 billion years in the past,
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14 milijard let nazaj,
07:19
100 billion dog years,
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100 milijard pasjih let,
07:21
but an infinite number of years into the future.
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toda neskončno število let v prihodnjost.
07:24
Meanwhile, for all intents and purposes,
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Medtem, za vse namene in namere,
07:27
space looks finite to us.
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prostor vidimo kot končen.
07:29
Space may be finite or infinite,
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Prostor je lahko končen ali neskončen,
07:31
but because the universe is accelerating,
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vendar, ker vesolje pospešuje,
07:33
there are parts of it we cannot see
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so predeli, ki jih ne moremo videti
07:35
and never will see.
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in jih nikoli ne bomo videli.
07:37
There's a finite region of space that we have access to,
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Imamo dostop le do končnega območja vesolja,
07:39
surrounded by a horizon.
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ki ga obkroža obzorje.
07:41
So even though time goes on forever,
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Tudi če je čas neskončen,
07:43
space is limited to us.
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je prostor za nas omejen.
07:45
Finally, empty space has a temperature.
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Končno, prazen prostor ima temperaturo.
07:48
In the 1970s, Stephen Hawking told us
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1970 nam je Stephen Hawking povedal,
07:50
that a black hole, even though you think it's black,
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da črna luknja, čeprav mislimo, da je črna,
07:52
it actually emits radiation
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pravzaprav oddaja sevanje,
07:54
when you take into account quantum mechanics.
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če upoštevamo kvantno mehaniko.
07:56
The curvature of space-time around the black hole
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Ukrivljenost prostora-časa okrog črne luknje
07:59
brings to life the quantum mechanical fluctuation,
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oživi kvantno mehanično fluktuacijo,
08:02
and the black hole radiates.
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in tako črna luknja seva.
08:04
A precisely similar calculation by Hawking and Gary Gibbons
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Natančno podoben izračun Hawkinga and Gary Gibbonsa
08:07
showed that if you have dark energy in empty space,
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je pokazal, da če imamo temno energijo v praznem prostoru,
08:10
then the whole universe radiates.
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potem celotno vesolje seva.
08:13
The energy of empty space
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Energija praznega prostora
08:15
brings to life quantum fluctuations.
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oživi kvantno fluktuacijo.
08:17
And so even though the universe will last forever,
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Tudi če bo vesolje trajalo večno,
08:19
and ordinary matter and radiation will dilute away,
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in se bo običajna snov in sevanje redčilo,
08:22
there will always be some radiation,
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bo vedno ostalo nekaj sevanja,
08:24
some thermal fluctuations,
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nekaj termične fluktuacije,
08:26
even in empty space.
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tudi v praznem prostoru.
08:28
So what this means
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To pomeni,
08:30
is that the universe is like a box of gas
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da je vesolje kot škatla plina,
08:32
that lasts forever.
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ki traja večno.
08:34
Well what is the implication of that?
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In kaj je posledica tega?
08:36
That implication was studied by Boltzmann back in the 19th century.
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Posledice je proučeval Boltzmann v 19. stoletju.
08:39
He said, well, entropy increases
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Rekel je, no, entropija narašča
08:42
because there are many, many more ways
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ker obstaja veliko, veliko več načinov,
08:44
for the universe to be high entropy, rather than low entropy.
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da je vesolje z visoko entropijo, kot z nizko entropijo.
08:47
But that's a probabilistic statement.
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Toda to je verjetnostna izjava.
08:50
It will probably increase,
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Verjetno bo naraščala,
08:52
and the probability is enormously huge.
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in ta verjetnost je ogromna.
08:54
It's not something you have to worry about --
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Zagotovo nam ni treba skrbeti,
08:56
the air in this room all gathering over one part of the room and suffocating us.
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da se ves zrak v tej sobi zbere v eni sami točki in nas tako zaduši.
09:00
It's very, very unlikely.
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To je zelo, zelo neverjetno.
09:02
Except if they locked the doors
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Razen, če bi kdo zaklenil vrata
09:04
and kept us here literally forever,
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in nas zadrževal tu dobesedno za vedno,
09:06
that would happen.
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bi se to zgodilo.
09:08
Everything that is allowed,
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Vse kar je dovoljeno,
09:10
every configuration that is allowed to be obtained by the molecules in this room,
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vsaka postavitev, ki se lahko pripeti molekulam v tej sobi,
09:13
would eventually be obtained.
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je lahko dosežena pod pravimi pogoji.
09:15
So Boltzmann says, look, you could start with a universe
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Boltzmann pravi: poglej, lahko začnemo vesolje
09:18
that was in thermal equilibrium.
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ki je v termičnem ravnovesju.
09:20
He didn't know about the Big Bang. He didn't know about the expansion of the universe.
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Ni vedel za Veliki Pok. Ni vedel za širjenje vesolja.
09:23
He thought that space and time were explained by Isaac Newton --
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Mislil je, da sta prostor in čas razložena po Isaacu Newtonu --
09:26
they were absolute; they just stuck there forever.
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bila sta absolutna in večna.
09:28
So his idea of a natural universe
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Njegova ideja naravnega vesolja
09:30
was one in which the air molecules were just spread out evenly everywhere --
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je bila taka, kjer se molekule zraka širijo vsepovsod enakomerno --
09:33
the everything molecules.
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vse molekule.
09:35
But if you're Boltzmann, you know that if you wait long enough,
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Toda če ste vi Boltzmann, veste, da če čakaš dovolj časa,
09:38
the random fluctuations of those molecules
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naključna fluktuacija teh molekul
09:41
will occasionally bring them
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občasno pripelje molekule
09:43
into lower entropy configurations.
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v konfiguracije nizke entropije.
09:45
And then, of course, in the natural course of things,
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In tedaj, seveda, se v naravnem toku,
09:47
they will expand back.
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ponovno razširijo.
09:49
So it's not that entropy must always increase --
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Torej ni nujno, da entropija vedno narašča --
09:51
you can get fluctuations into lower entropy,
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lahko dobimo fluktuacije v nižjo entropijo,
09:54
more organized situations.
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bolj urejene razmere.
09:56
Well if that's true,
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Če je to res,
09:58
Boltzmann then goes onto invent
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Boltzmann izumlja
10:00
two very modern-sounding ideas --
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dve zelo sodobni ideji --
10:02
the multiverse and the anthropic principle.
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mnogovesolje in antropično načelo.
10:05
He says, the problem with thermal equilibrium
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Govori nam, da je problem s termičnim ravnovesjem,
10:07
is that we can't live there.
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da ne moremo živeti tam.
10:09
Remember, life itself depends on the arrow of time.
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Pomnite, življenje samo je odvisno od časovnega vektorja.
10:12
We would not be able to process information,
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Nebi mogli obdelovati informacij,
10:14
metabolize, walk and talk,
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prebavljati, hoditi in govoriti,
10:16
if we lived in thermal equilibrium.
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če bi živeli v termičnem ravnovesju.
10:18
So if you imagine a very, very big universe,
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Tako, če si predstavljate veliko, zelo veliko vesolje,
10:20
an infinitely big universe,
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neskončno veliko vesolje,
10:22
with randomly bumping into each other particles,
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z delci, ki se naključno zaletajo eden v drugega,
10:24
there will occasionally be small fluctuations in the lower entropy states,
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bo prišlo do občasnih majhnih nihanj v nizkem stanju entropije,
10:27
and then they relax back.
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ki se nato zopet sprostijo.
10:29
But there will also be large fluctuations.
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Toda prihajalo bo tudi do večjih nihanj.
10:31
Occasionally, you will make a planet
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Občasno, bo ustvarjen planet
10:33
or a star or a galaxy
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ali zvezda ali galaksija
10:35
or a hundred billion galaxies.
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ali sto milijard galaksij.
10:37
So Boltzmann says,
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Torej Boltzmann govori,
10:39
we will only live in the part of the multiverse,
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da bomo živeli samo v delu mnogovesolja,
10:42
in the part of this infinitely big set of fluctuating particles,
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v delu tega neskončnega nabora nihajočih delcev,
10:45
where life is possible.
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kjer je možno življenje.
10:47
That's the region where entropy is low.
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To je področje, kjer je entropija nizka.
10:49
Maybe our universe is just one of those things
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Morda je naše vesolje le ena izmed stvari,
10:52
that happens from time to time.
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ki se zgodijo občasno.
10:54
Now your homework assignment
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Zdaj je vaša domača naloga,
10:56
is to really think about this, to contemplate what it means.
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da razmišljate o tem, kaj to pomeni.
10:58
Carl Sagan once famously said
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Carl Sagan je nekoč izjavil,
11:00
that "in order to make an apple pie,
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da "če želimo speči jabolčno pito,
11:02
you must first invent the universe."
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moramo najprej izumiti vesolje".
11:05
But he was not right.
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Toda ni imel prav.
11:07
In Boltzmann's scenario, if you want to make an apple pie,
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Po Boltzmannu, če želimo speči jabolčno pito,
11:10
you just wait for the random motion of atoms
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le počakamo na naključno gibanje atomov,
11:13
to make you an apple pie.
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ki nam speče pito.
11:15
That will happen much more frequently
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To se bo dogajalo bolj pogosto
11:17
than the random motions of atoms
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kot naključno gibanje atomov,
11:19
making you an apple orchard
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ki pripelje do sadovnjaka
11:21
and some sugar and an oven,
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in nekaj sladkorja in pečice,
11:23
and then making you an apple pie.
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in nam nato speče pito.
11:25
So this scenario makes predictions.
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Ta scenarij daje napovedi.
11:28
And the predictions are
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In napovedi so,
11:30
that the fluctuations that make us are minimal.
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da so nihanja, ki nas ustvarjajo minimalna.
11:33
Even if you imagine that this room we are in now
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Tudi, če si predstavljate, da ta soba
11:36
exists and is real and here we are,
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obstaja in je resnična, da smo tukaj,
11:38
and we have, not only our memories,
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imamo svoje spomine in
11:40
but our impression that outside there's something
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vtis, da je tam zunaj nekaj
11:42
called Caltech and the United States and the Milky Way Galaxy,
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imenovanega Caltech in ZDA in galaksija Rimska cesta,
11:46
it's much easier for all those impressions to randomly fluctuate into your brain
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je enostavnejše, da se vsi ti vtisi naključno zanihajo v vaših možganih,
11:49
than for them actually to randomly fluctuate
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kot za pravo naključno nihanje
11:51
into Caltech, the United States and the galaxy.
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v Caltech, ZDA in galaksijo.
11:54
The good news is that,
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Dobra stvar je,
11:56
therefore, this scenario does not work; it is not right.
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da ta scenarij ne deluje, ni pravi.
11:59
This scenario predicts that we should be a minimal fluctuation.
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Ta scenarij predvideva, da smo minimalno nihanje.
12:02
Even if you left our galaxy out,
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Tudi če izpustimo našo galaksijo,
12:04
you would not get a hundred billion other galaxies.
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ne bi dobili sto milijard drugih galaksij.
12:06
And Feynman also understood this.
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In tudi Feynman je razumel to.
12:08
Feynman says, "From the hypothesis that the world is a fluctuation,
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Feynman govori: "Od hipoteze da je svet nihanje,
12:12
all the predictions are that
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in vse napoveduje,
12:14
if we look at a part of the world we've never seen before,
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da če pogledamo del sveta, ki ga še nismo doslej,
12:16
we will find it mixed up, and not like the piece we've just looked at --
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bo ta zmešan, nič kot predel, ki smo ga gledali --
12:18
high entropy.
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visoka entropija.
12:20
If our order were due to a fluctuation,
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Če je naš red zaradi nihanja,
12:22
we would not expect order anywhere but where we have just noticed it.
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nebi pričakovali reda nikjer drugje razen, kjer smo ga pravkar zaznali.
12:24
We therefore conclude the universe is not a fluctuation."
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Zatorej zaključujemo, da vesolje ni nihanje".
12:28
So that's good. The question is then what is the right answer?
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To je dobro. Vprašanje je kaj je pravi odgovor?
12:31
If the universe is not a fluctuation,
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Če vesolje ni nihanje,
12:33
why did the early universe have a low entropy?
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zakaj je zgodnje vesolje imelo nizko entropijo?
12:36
And I would love to tell you the answer, but I'm running out of time.
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In rad bi vam povedal odgovor, a moj čas se izteka.
12:39
(Laughter)
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(Smeh)
12:41
Here is the universe that we tell you about,
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Tu je vesolje o katerem govorimo,
12:43
versus the universe that really exists.
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nasproti vesolji, ki zares obstaja.
12:45
I just showed you this picture.
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Pravkar sem vam pokazal to sliko.
12:47
The universe is expanding for the last 10 billion years or so.
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Vesolje se širi že vsaj zadnjih 10 milijard let.
12:49
It's cooling off.
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Ohlaja se.
12:51
But we now know enough about the future of the universe
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Toda zdaj vemo dovolj o prihodnosti vesolja,
12:53
to say a lot more.
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da rečemo veliko več.
12:55
If the dark energy remains around,
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Če temna energija ostaja okrog,
12:57
the stars around us will use up their nuclear fuel, they will stop burning.
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bodo zvezde okrog nas porabile svojo jedrsko gorivo in ugasnile.
13:00
They will fall into black holes.
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Padle bodo v črne luknje.
13:02
We will live in a universe
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Živeli bomo v vesolju
13:04
with nothing in it but black holes.
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brez ničesar v njem, razen črnih lukenj.
13:06
That universe will last 10 to the 100 years --
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To vesolje bo trajalo 10 do 100 let --
13:10
a lot longer than our little universe has lived.
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veliko dlje, kot je živelo naše malo vesolje.
13:12
The future is much longer than the past.
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Prihodnost je veliko daljša od preteklosti.
13:14
But even black holes don't last forever.
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Tudi če črne luknje ne trajajo večno.
13:16
They will evaporate,
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Bodo izhlapele,
13:18
and we will be left with nothing but empty space.
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in ostal nam bo le prazen prostor.
13:20
That empty space lasts essentially forever.
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Tak prazen prostor v bistvu traja večno.
13:24
However, you notice, since empty space gives off radiation,
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Kakorkoli, če opazite, ker prazen prostor oddaja sevanje,
13:27
there's actually thermal fluctuations,
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so tam pravzaprav termična nihanja,
13:29
and it cycles around
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in ciklično prehajajo
13:31
all the different possible combinations
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vse različne možne kombinacije
13:33
of the degrees of freedom that exist in empty space.
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stopenj svobode, ki obstajajo v praznem prostoru.
13:36
So even though the universe lasts forever,
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Tako tudi, če je vesolje večno,
13:38
there's only a finite number of things
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je le končno mnogo stvari,
13:40
that can possibly happen in the universe.
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ki se lahko zgodijo v vesolju.
13:42
They all happen over a period of time
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Vse se zgodijo v časovnem obdobju
13:44
equal to 10 to the 10 to the 120 years.
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enakem 10 na 10 na 120 let.
13:47
So here's two questions for you.
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Tu sta dve vprašanji za vas.
13:49
Number one: If the universe lasts for 10 to the 10 to the 120 years,
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Prvo: Če vesolje traja 10 na 10 na 120 let,
13:52
why are we born
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zakaj se rodimo
13:54
in the first 14 billion years of it,
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v prvih 14 milijard let vesolja,
13:57
in the warm, comfortable afterglow of the Big Bang?
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v toplem, udobnem siju Velikega Poka?
14:00
Why aren't we in empty space?
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Zakaj nismo v praznem prostoru?
14:02
You might say, "Well there's nothing there to be living,"
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Lahko rečete: "No, tam ni ničesar za življenje".
14:04
but that's not right.
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Toda to ni pravilno.
14:06
You could be a random fluctuation out of the nothingness.
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Lahko bi bili naključno nihanje iz ničesar.
14:08
Why aren't you?
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Zakaj niste?
14:10
More homework assignment for you.
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Še nekaj domačih nalog za vas.
14:13
So like I said, I don't actually know the answer.
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Kot sem rekel, pravzaprav ne vem odgovora.
14:15
I'm going to give you my favorite scenario.
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Podal vam bom moj najljubši scenarij.
14:17
Either it's just like that. There is no explanation.
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Bodisi da je tako. Ni razlage.
14:20
This is a brute fact about the universe
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To je surovo dejstvo o vesolju,
14:22
that you should learn to accept and stop asking questions.
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ki ga morate spoznati in sprejeti ter nehati postavljati vprašanja.
14:26
Or maybe the Big Bang
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Ali morda Veliki Pok
14:28
is not the beginning of the universe.
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ni začetek vesolja.
14:30
An egg, an unbroken egg, is a low entropy configuration,
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Jajce, ne-razbito jajce, je konfiguracija z nizko entropijo,
14:33
and yet, when we open our refrigerator,
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in ko odpremo hladilnik
14:35
we do not go, "Hah, how surprising to find
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ne rečemo, "Ha, kako presenetljivo najti
14:37
this low entropy configuration in our refrigerator."
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to nizko stopnjo entropije v našem hladilniku".
14:39
That's because an egg is not a closed system;
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To je ker jajce ni zaprt sistem;
14:42
it comes out of a chicken.
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pride iz kokoši.
14:44
Maybe the universe comes out of a universal chicken.
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Morda vesolje pride iz vesoljne kokoši.
14:48
Maybe there is something that naturally,
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Morda je tam nekaj, kar naravno
14:50
through the growth of the laws of physics,
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skozi razvoj zakonov fizike,
14:53
gives rise to universe like ours
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daje porast vesolju, kot je naše
14:55
in low entropy configurations.
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z nizko entropijo.
14:57
If that's true, it would happen more than once;
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Če je to res, bi se zgodilo več kot enkrat;
14:59
we would be part of a much bigger multiverse.
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bi bili del veliko večjega mnogovesolja.
15:02
That's my favorite scenario.
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To je moj najljubši scenarij.
15:04
So the organizers asked me to end with a bold speculation.
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Organizatorji so me prosili naj zaključim z drzno špekulacijo.
15:07
My bold speculation
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Moja drzna špekulacija
15:09
is that I will be absolutely vindicated by history.
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je da me bo zgodovina popolnoma upravičila.
15:12
And 50 years from now,
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In čez 50 let,
15:14
all of my current wild ideas will be accepted as truths
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bodo vse moje trenutno divje ideje sprejete kot resnične
15:17
by the scientific and external communities.
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tako znanstveniki kot druge skupnosti.
15:20
We will all believe that our little universe
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Vsi bomo verjeli, da je naše malo vesolje
15:22
is just a small part of a much larger multiverse.
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le majhen delček veliko večjega mnogovesolja.
15:25
And even better, we will understand what happened at the Big Bang
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In še več, razumeli bomo kaj se je zgodilo ob Velikem Poku
15:28
in terms of a theory
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v teoretičnem smislu,
15:30
that we will be able to compare to observations.
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ker bomo lahko primerjali opazovanja.
15:32
This is a prediction. I might be wrong.
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To je moja napoved. Lahko se motim.
15:34
But we've been thinking as a human race
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Toda kot človeštvo razmišljamo
15:36
about what the universe was like,
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o tem, kakšno je bilo vesolje in
15:38
why it came to be in the way it did for many, many years.
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zakaj je nastalo in je takšno kot je, že mnogo, mnogo let.
15:41
It's exciting to think we may finally know the answer someday.
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Razburljivo je, če pomislimo, da bomo morda nekoč le vedeli odgovor.
15:44
Thank you.
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Hvala vam.
15:46
(Applause)
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(Aplavz)
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